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Data were collected from 31 regional subunits of a national financial services company to examine
differential effects of 3 types of turnover (voluntary, involuntary, and reduction-in-force) on measures of
organizational subunit performance. Although each form of turnover exhibited adverse effects on subunit
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performance when examined separately, partial correlation results revealed greater and more pervasive
adverse effects for reduction-in-force turnover (i.e., downsizing) in comparison with the effects of
voluntary and involuntary turnover. The results confirm the negative effects of downsizing, suggesting
the need to move beyond the traditional voluntary-involuntary classification scheme used in turnover
research.
The purpose of the present study was to examine the effects of firm on its core competencies, preempt future slowdowns, change
turnover on organizational subunit performance. This study differs the corporate culture, or reduce the number of levels in the orga-
from the majority of such research in that it examines turnover nizational structure (Hitt, Keats, Harback, & Nixon, 1994). Ulti-
from the organization's point of view rather than from that of the mately, however, even these latter efforts are driven by the desire
individual. Previous research has attempted to look at the relation- to improve the firm's financial performance. Unfortunately, as
ship between turnover and job performance as part of the func- discussed below, there is little empirical evidence that the perva-
tional versus dysfunctional approach to turnover (Hollenbeck & sive practice of downsizing actually has this effect on financial
Williams, 1986). However, little research exists on the aggregated performance.
effects of turnover on organizational performance. In addition,
focusing on organizational subunit-level turnover bridges the gap Turnover and Organizational Performance
between the literatures on turnover and those on downsizing.
Downsizing is, in a sense, an organizationally induced form of Although some evidence exists for a curvilinear relationship
turnover. It is not, however, well represented in theoretical models between turnover and performance at the individual level of anal-
of turnover. In documented taxonomies of turnover, downsizing is ysis (Jackofsky, 1984; Trevor, Gerhart, & Boudreau, 1997), the
embedded within larger taxonomic categories. For example, down- weight of the evidence points toward a negative relationship (Cot-
sizing would be considered a form of involuntary (from the indi- ton & Turtle, 1986; Morrow, McElroy, Laczniak, & Fenton, 1999;
vidual's perspective) turnover (Bluedorn, 1978; Price, 1977), a Vecchio & Norris, 1996; Williams & Livingstone, 1994). Extrap-
form of avoidable (from the organization's point of view) turnover olating these findings to the organization or subunit level is very
(Dalton, Krackhardt, & Porter, 1981), and potentially either func- difficult because of the lack of studies that partition out the various
tional or dysfunctional depending on the individuals downsized. forms of turnover and their effects on more macrolevel measures
Subsuming downsizing within other categories of turnover is of performance. Consequently, this study posits that the relation-
unfortunate because it can be expected to have different attitu- ship between turnover and organizational performance is a func-
dinal and behavioral consequences for both individuals and tion of the nature of the turnover in question—that is, involuntary,
organizations. voluntary, or reduction-in-force.
In this article, we separate downsizing from other forms of Assessing the effects of involuntary turnover on organizational
involuntary, avoidable turnover such as dismissals. Dismissals are performance is complicated by the fact that terminations normally
a function of poor individual performance or of insubordination. entail relatively small proportions of an organization's workforce
Downsizing is more often a function of the organization's eco- and thus terminations have a low base rate (i.e., are characterized
nomic conditions or strategic planning efforts, such as to focus a by restriction in range). Terminations may need to exceed a thresh-
old level before the benefits associated with eliminating poor
performers actually result in changes in organizational perfor-
mance indicators. However, assuming that poor performers are
James C. McElroy and Paula C. Morrow, Department of Management,
Iowa State University; Scott N. Rude, Department of Human Resources, replaced with better performers, organizational performance
Mellon Financial Corporation, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. should be enhanced. The removal of poor performers should help
Correspondence concerning this article should be addressed to James C. to maintain and preserve performance-based norms among remain-
McElroy, Department of Management, Iowa State University, 300 Carver ing employees (Trevino, 1992). Furthermore, the attributional ef-
Hall, Ames, Iowa 50011. Electronic mail may be sent to jmcelroy® fect on those employees who remain should be positive (Mowday,
iastate.edu. 1981), given the knowledge that it was the leaver's poor perfor-
1294
RESEARCH REPORTS 1295
mance that caused his or her dismissal, as opposed to attributions (1996) found an overall positive relationship between downsizing
that the organization was somehow at fault. In light of evidence and organizational performance, this finding is actually tempered
positively linking the removal of poor performers with improve- by asset divestiture in addition to employee reductions. That is,
ments in the replacement and remaining employees' work norms Bruton et al. found that the better performing downsized firms
and attitudes, the loss of poor performers should be advantageous were those that had also reduced their asset base during the study
to the firm. Consequently, we hypothesize the following: period. Given that the organizational performance measure used in
the study was return on assets, downsizing of assets as well as
Hypothesis 1: Involuntary turnover—that is, dismissals—will be pos- people allowed the more successful downsizers to affect both
itively related to organizational performance measures. the numerator and denominator of the performance measure. Con-
sequently, these results are actually more in line with Cascio,
People voluntarily leave organizations for a variety of reasons.
Young, and Morris's (1997) finding that employee reductions (as
Some leave to escape negative work environment factors and
opposed to asset reductions) were detrimental to organizational
others are pulled away from the organization by more attractive
performance.
opportunities. Although some research on voluntary turnover, such
The lone remaining study demonstrating support for a positive
as Ostroff s (1992) finding of a negative relationship between
This article is intended solely for the personal use of the individual user and is not to be disseminated broadly.
stronger causal inferences regarding the role of each form of turnover and Productivity was also collected from company records. The company
also facilitates an assessment of the extent to which turnover exhibits lag calculates it by adding the total amount of loans funded per region per
effects on subsequent organizational performance. Except for customer month divided by the number of sales employees in the region. Thus,
satisfaction (see below), the Year 1 and Year 2 time frames underlying productivity represents the sales volume produced per month by the aver-
turnover and performance data matched exactly. age sales representative in each region. The data used in this study were the
annualized average per-month figures per region for 30 regions in the 1st
year and for 31 regions in the 2nd year. For the 1st year, productivity
Measures figures ranged from $230,620 to $ 1,324,110, with a mean of $574,940. For
the 2nd year, the range was from $414,160 to $978,930, with a mean of
Control variables. Three variables were treated as control variables in $628,410.
this study: the existence of banking services in the region, the urban-rural Customer satisfaction was derived from a survey administered by the
nature of the region, and subunit size. Although the financial services company to all customers obtaining loans from November of the 1st year
company that served as the basis for the study has offices in all 50 states, to June of the 2nd year (i.e., approximately a year and a half, cutting across
its banking subsidiary operates in only 7 of the 31 regions included in the the 2-year time frame of the study). Customers rated their satisfaction with
study. Bank presence is assumed to increase name recognition, provide a given region's loan processing performance on a 1-5 scale (1 = poor,
greater opportunities for referral business through relationship marketing, 5 = outstanding). In company records, all "4" and "5" responses were
This article is intended solely for the personal use of the individual user and is not to be disseminated broadly.
Table 1
Descriptive Statistics, Correlations, and Partial Correlations
Measure M SD 1 10 11 12
Note. Zero-order correlations < ±.36 are statistically significant at p < .05 (two-tailed). Correlations > ±.45 are statistically significant at p < .01
(two-tailed). Partial correlations are in bold above the diagonal and were controlled for bank status, metro status, and size. Partial correlations < ±.38 are
statistically significant at p < .05 (two-tailed). Correlations > ±.47 are statistically significant at p < .01 (two-tailed). RIF = reduction-in-force.
a
No bank state = 0, bank state = 1 . b Nonmetro status = 0, metro status = 1 . c Number of employees.
The relevant partial correlations are shown above the diagonal in Discussion
Table 1.
Hypothesis 1, postulating that involuntary turnover (dismissals) The results of this study clearly suggest that turnover has un-
would be positively related to organizational performance mea- desirable consequences for organizational performance. Although
sures, was not supported. Partial correlations between performance the results support only one of the three hypotheses, they do
and involuntary turnover measures in absolute value terms ranged provide substantial support for treating reduction-in-force turnover
from —.21 to —.53, with only two statistically significant corre- as distinct from involuntary or voluntary forms of turnover. Even
lations. Specifically, involuntary turnover adversely affects cus- though several individual findings raise interesting questions for
tomer satisfaction (r = —.53) and cost per loan (r = .43), even future research (e.g., why is involuntary turnover associated more
after controlling for bank status, metro status, and size. with declines in customer satisfaction than with voluntary turn-
Hypothesis 2 stipulated that voluntary turnover would not be over?), the emphasis here is on the advantages of separating the
significantly related to organizational performance. Partial corre- three forms of turnover.
lations in absolute value terms ranged from —.20 to .56. Half of the The results of the zero-order correlations support the general
partial correlations were statistically significant, and half were not, finding from the psychological literature of an overall negative
with the three significant findings suggesting that voluntary turn- relationship between turnover and performance, regardless of the
over has undesirable consequences for subunit profitability in type of turnover. The partial correlation analysis, however, dem-
Year 1 (r = —.39), productivity in Year 2 (r = —.42), and cost per onstrates the difficulty of making such a generalization. Only 5
loan (r = .56). of 12 correlations involving involuntary and voluntary turnover
Hypothesis 3 posited a negative relationship between reduction- remained significant after controlling for subunit characteristics.
in-force turnover and performance. This hypothesis received Reduction-in-force turnover, on the other hand, demonstrated large
strong support, with partial correlations in absolute value terms and pervasive adverse associations with all measures of subunit
ranging from —.21 to —.81. Five of six partial correlations entail- performance except Year 1 productivity. The lack of association
ing reduction-in-force turnover were significant. Reduction-in- between reduction-in-force turnover and Year 1 productivity is a
force turnover had an adverse association with all performance significant finding in its own right, given that productivity was
measures except Year 1 productivity. measured in terms of efficiency—that is, amount of loans divided
Two interesting patterns emerge when one views these correla- by the average number of sales employees. Lack of a significant
tional data. First, whether viewing zero-order or partial correla- correlation between this and reduction-in-force turnover indicates
tions, the negative relationship between reduction-in-force turn- that as the denominator got smaller (due to downsizing) the nu-
over and subunit performance indicators is much stronger than that merator also got smaller. The detrimental effects of reduction-in-
for involuntary or voluntary forms of turnover. Second, these data force turnover are apparently less immediate in the case of pro-
show that reduction-in-force turnover in Year 1 has adverse con- ductivity, relative to other Time 1 outcomes. However, it is also
sequences that extend into Year 2. For example, the partial corre- interesting to note that this negative relationship between
lation for reduction-in-force turnover and subunit Year 1 profit- reduction-in-force turnover and productivity efficiency was even
ability (r = -.66), although substantial, is even greater for Year 2 greater (and more statistically significant) in Year 2.
profitability (r = -.81). Moreover, the partial correlation between Given the cross-sectional nature of the Year 1 data, the signif-
reduction-in-force turnover and subunit productivity changes from icant, negative effect of reduction-in-force turnover on Year 1
a statistically insignificant —.21 for Year 1 to —.42 in Year 2. profitability may be a function of the decision to downsize as a
These findings suggest the effect of downsizing may even be result of poor profitability. That is, when faced with poor prior or
exacerbated over a 1-year lag time. anticipated profitability figures, management may have made the
1298 RESEARCH REPORTS
decision to downsize in an effort to reduce costs in hopes of (2000), for example, found that such violations were significantly
improving Year 1 end-of-year profitability (i.e., a preemptive- related to employees' efforts to find other jobs, intentional neglect
move strategy). Indeed, discussions with company officials indi- of job duties, and decreased organizational citizenship behavior,
cate this to be the case. However, the stronger correlations evident all of which might help explain the negative correlations found
with respect to Year 2 outcomes support the asserted causal link in this study between reduction-in-force turnover and subunit
between reduction-in-force turnover and declines in organizational performance.
performance. In summary, downsizing, an organizationally based form of
The results here must be viewed in light of this study's statistical involuntary turnover, was a potent predictor of organizational
and sample limitations. Regarding statistical issues, readers are performance in this study. If substantiated in future studies, the
cautioned that strong estimates of association observed may be inclusion of downsizing to turnover models may enhance under-
partially a function of the use of aggregated data (Hulin, standing of all turnover phenomena.
Roznowski, & Hachiya, 1985; Steel & Griffeth, 1989). The sample
organization selected also poses some limitations. Analyzing turn-
over effects within subunits of one company, although allowing us References
This article is intended solely for the personal use of the individual user and is not to be disseminated broadly.
to control for exogenous variable effects, limits the generalizability Anderson, P. M., & Meyer, B. D. (1993). The extent and consequences of
This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers.
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RESEARCH REPORTS 1299
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Turnley, W. H., & Feldman, D. C. (2000). Re-examining the effects of Received July 3, 2000
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faction as mediators. Journal of Organizational Behavior, 21, 25-42. Accepted February 5, 2001
This article is intended solely for the personal use of the individual user and is not to be disseminated broadly.
This document is copyrighted by the American Psychological Association or one of its allied publishers.