Date Y X1 X2 X3 Et E t-1 E t-E t-1

1 88.7 98.6 99.1 108.5 -1.84162 -6.12358 4.28196

2 98.9 101.2 99.1 110.1 -6.12358 -1.02604 -5.09754
3 98 102.4 98.9 110.4 -1.02604 1.86284 -2.88888
4 99.5 100.9 110.8 104.3 1.86284 2.97968 -1.11684
5 101.1 102.3 108.2 107.2 2.97968 -0.62027 3.59995
6 101.8 101.5 105.6 105.8 -0.62027 0.12259 -0.74286
7 104.5 101.6 109.8 107.8 0.12259 -5.04742 5.17001
8 109.1 101.6 108.7 103.4 -5.04742 -0.65740 -4.39002
9 97.9 99.8 100.6 102.7 -0.65740 -1.73745 1.08005
10 101.2 100.3 81.0 104.1 -1.73745 0.62280 -2.36025
11 76.4 97.6 68.6 99.2 0.62280 -0.09602 0.71882
12 78.2 97.2 70.9 99.7 -0.09602 -1.26223 1.16621
13 85.9 97.3 81.4 102.0 -1.26223 2.56582 -3.82805
14 91.9 96.0 102.3 94.3 2.56582 -1.14297 3.70879
15 104.4 99.2 105.0 97.7 -1.14297 3.89381 -5.03678
16 106.4 100.3 110.5 101.1 3.89381 3.71102 0.18279
17 97.7 100.3 92.5 102.3 3.71102 3.15123 0.55979
18 105.7 104.1 89.3 104.4 3.15123 2.18946 0.96177
19 112 105.3 93.0 108.5 2.18946 -1.54425 3.73371
20 128.4 107.6 106.6 111.3 -1.54425
Somme -0.29737

DW= 1.368996 q= 0.315502

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
-2

-4

-6

-8
 E t^2 H^2 Et*Et-1
3.39156 18.33518 11.27731
37.49823 25.98491 6.28304
1.05276 8.34563 -1.91135
3.47017 1.24733 5.55067
8.87849 12.95964 -1.84821
0.38473 0.55184 -0.07604
0.01503 26.72900 -0.61876
25.47645 19.27228 3.31817
0.43217 1.16651 1.14220
3.01873 5.57078 -1.08208
0.38788 0.51670 -0.05980
0.00922 1.36005 0.12120
1.59322 14.65397 -3.23865
6.58343 13.75512 -2.93266
1.30638 25.36915 -4.45051
15.16176 0.03341 14.45001
13.77167 0.31336 11.69428
9.93025 0.92500 6.89949
4.79374 13.94059 -3.38107
2.38471
139.54060 172.69528 41.13723

Estimarea parametrilor
0.294804734 b0= 223.0429
b1= 1.188256
b2= -2.630096
b3= -0.640034