Question No 1:

X is a normally distributed random variable with an average of 2943 and a standard deviation of
381. '
(a) (10 pts) What is the probability of X not being between 1000 and 3200?

Make a representation (i.e., a graphical interpretation) of the answer by sketching a simple graph.

(b) (10 pts) What is the cut off point for the highest 16% percentage?

Make a representation (i.e., a graphical interpretation) of the answer by sketching a simple graph.

Answer 1:
This is a normal distribution question with

This implies that

P(1000.0 < x < 3200.0) = P(-5.0997 < z < 0.6745) = P(Z < 0.6745) - P(Z < -5.0997)
P(1000.0 < x < 3200.0) = 0.750 - 1.7010e-07
P(1000.0 < x < 3200.0) = 0.75

b) Given in the question

P(X>x) = 0.16

P(X < x) = 1-0.16

P(X < x) = 0.84

This implies that
P(Z < 0.9945) = 0.84
With the help of formula for z, we can say that

x = 3321.90
Question No 2:
Assume that the life time of a microchip follows exponential distribution and the average life
time is 100 years.

(a) (10 pts) What is the probability that a randomly selected chip will last
between 80 and 110 years?

Make a representation (i.e. a graphical interpretation) of the answer by sketching a simple graph.

(b) (15 pts) Pi [(X>110) or (90>X)] and [X>80] )= ?

Make a representation (ie. a graphical interpretation) of the answer by sketching a simple graph.

Answer 2:
Given, mean(µ) = 100
Since, λ = 1/µ = 0.01
F(x) = λе-λx for x ≥ 0
So, cumulative distribution function of X is
F(x) = 1-е-λx
P(X<x) = F(x)
a) x1 = 80
x2 = 110
P (80.0 < X <110.0) =?
P (80.0 < X <110.0) = P (X < 110.0) – P (X < 80.0)
P (80.0 < X <110.0) = (1-е-0.01*110.0) – (1-e-0.01*80.0)
P (80.0 < X <110.0) = 0.1164
b) P((X>110) or (90>X)0) and (X>80)

P(90<x>110) and P(X>80)

P(80<x<90) and P(X>110)

P(80.0 < X < 90.0) = ?

P(80.0 < X < 90.0) = P(X < 90.0) – P(X < 80.0)

P (80.0 < X < 90.0) = (1-е-0.01*90.0) – (1-e-0.01*80.0)

P (80.0 < X < 90.0) = 0.0427
P(X > 110.0) = ?
P(X > 110.0) = 1 – (1-е-0.01*110.0)
P(X > 110.0) = 0.3329

P(80<x<90) and P(X>110) = 0.0427 +0.3329 = 0.3756

Question No 3:
Average number of fatal crashes caused by one-wheelers each year is 155. Assume that the
yearly figure of fatal crashes per year being normally distributed with a standard deviation of 30.

(a) (10 pts) What is the probability the number of fatal crashes will not be
between 110 and 19000 for a year?

Make a representation (Le. a graphical interpretation) of the answer by sketching a simple graph.

(b) (lOpts) For a year to be in the top 8% with respect to the number of fatal crashes, how many
fatal crashes would have to occur during that year?

Make a representation (Le. a graphical interpretation) of the answer by sketching a simple graph.

Answer 3:
a. We have, 

Using   to calculate z values corresponding to 1100 and 1900.

P (x<1100 and x>1900) = 0.1885

b. uses the z value corresponding to 95 percentiles

z = 1.645
Question No 4:
CPU of a certain laptop brand has a lifetime (X) which is normally distributed with a mean of 65
years and a standard deviation of 6 years.

a) (lOpts) What is the probability of the CPU functioning less than or equal to71 years?

b) (lOpts) What is the probability of the CPU functioning more than or equal to 77 years?

c) (15pts) Pl [(X>77) or (71>X)] and [(X>59) and (83>X)] )= ?

Make a representation (Le. a graphical interpretation) of each answer by sketching a simple

graph for each sub-question.

Answer 4:
We are given the distribution here as:
X = N (M = 65, SD = 6)

a) The probability here is computed as:

P (X <= 71)

= P (Z < (71 - 65) / 6)

= P (Z < 1)

From standard normal tables,

P (Z < 1) = 0.8413
Therefore 0.8413 is the required probability here.
b) The probability here is computed as:

P(X >= 77)

= P(Z > 2)

= 0.0228 from standard normal tables,

c) The given X values here are converted to Z scores as:
P( (Z > 2 or Z > 1) and ( Z > -1 and Z < 3) )

= P(1 < Z < 3)

= P(Z < 3) - P(Z < 1)

From standard normal tables,

= 0.9987 - 0.8413

= 0.1573