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Handout - 1 - Introduction Spring 2021
Handout - 1 - Introduction Spring 2021
A Forward contract is a contract negotiated in the present that gives the contract holder
both a right and full legal obligation to conduct a transaction at a specific future time
involving a specific quantity and type of asset at a predetermined price. For example, you
can agree today to sell copper with another party on a specific future date at a specific
predetermined price.
A Futures contract is a type of forward contract with highly standardized and closely
specified contract terms. As in all forward contracts, a futures contract calls for the exchange
of some goods at a future date for cash, with the payment for the goods to occur at that future
date. Futures contracts always trade on an organized market.
Note: Futures and Forward contracts perform same economic function. The difference
between the two types of contracts are institutional in nature. In addition to standardized
terms versus negotiated, there are (could be) differences in regulation, taxation, and certainly
counterparty credit risk.
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
2. Interest-Earning Assets: in the US, treasury notes, treasury bonds, and Eurodollar
deposits. Interest rate futures started trading in 1975 and have experience tremendous
growth since then. Existing contracts span the entire yield curve, so it is possible to
trade instruments with just about any maturity
3. Foreign Currencies: Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swiss franc,
Australian dollar and Euro currency. Currency trading started in the early 1972.
4. Indexes: Dow index, NASDAQ index, S&P500 index, NIKKEI, Russell, NYSE
composite index, and U.S. dollar index. Index trading started in 1982. By trading
volume, most index futures are for stock indexes. You should know that stock index
contracts in the US do not allow for actual delivery. A trader’s obligation must be
fulfilled by a reversing trade or a cash settlement at the end of trading.
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
What is a Commodity?
Notice that the types of commodities eligible for futures has expanded over time!
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
Consider the corn contract. Does it meet the characteristics necessary? The Zhengzhou
Commodity Exchange successfully trades a futures contract based on plate glass. Would
plate glass satisfy the characteristics desirable for futures trading?
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
Important Insight!
Futures markets facilitate trading among strangers. They reduce both quality risk by
having contract specifications and credit risk by trading through a clearinghouse.
What makes trading among strangers challenging? A lack of trust. If you do not trust
somebody, you will want guarantees, collateral something to offset the lack of information
about the person’s character. This takes time and money and slows trading. Futures markets
facilitate trading by reducing quality risk by standardizing the definition of the commodity
being traded. Futures markets reduce credit risk by establishing clearing houses.
Liquidity is very important in futures markets. Many of the institutional arrangements that
have developed over the years emphasized liquidity. That is why futures markets facilitate
trading among strangers. The greater the number of traders, the greater the liquidity.
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
MONTH LAST CHG OPEN HIGH LOW SETTLEMENT DATE VOLUME OPEN INT
Corn Mar 2021 523.50 -2.50 525.00 525.25 512.75 526.00 01/19 156,679 745,487
Corn Dec 2021 448.75 -6.25 454.00 454.25 445.50 455.00 01/19 29,465 280,540
- Tuesday, January 19, 2021 is the date for which the prices were recorded.
- Wednesday, January 20, 2021 is the publication date of the data on Wall Street
Journal online.
- Corn contract is traded by CBOT/CBT. (CBOT merged with CME to become CME
Group.)
- One contract is for 5,000 bushels.
- All prices are quoted in cents per bushel.
- March and December are the delivery months. The first row is the contract that
matures next, also called the nearby contract.
- Open, high, low are the opening price, the high price, and the low price for the day,
respectively.
- The settlement price is the price at which the futures contracts are marked-to-market.
Each exchange determines the settlement price of each futures contract to reflect the
true economic price of the futures contract at the end of the trading day.
- “Change” is the change in the settlement price from preceding trading day.
- Open interest is the number of futures contracts that are still not satisfied. These
contracts must be either offset or delivered.
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
The patterns of open interest are different depending on the particular futures contract. Notice
the difference among the Corn contract, the S&P 500 Mini contract and the Eurodollar
contract.
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
The tables above show the pattern of trading volume for each expiration month.
- Open interest and trading volume are low when the contract is far from maturity and
both of them will increase when the contract approach maturity.
- As the nearby contract comes very close to maturity the open interest and trading
volume falls. This is due to the fact that most traders avoid delivery by rolling their
positions forward.
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
Think of an EFP as a contract settled by delivery but the commodity used to settle the
futures obligation does not exactly match the characteristics specified in the futures
contract. I call it a “non-standardized delivery”.
Example: A trader goes long 2 May futures contract for corn. There are 3 ways to get out of
the futures position:
- Delivery: He may choose to wait until May and take delivery of 5,0002 = 10,000
bushels of corn.
- Reverse Trade: He may sell two of the futures contracts on or before last trading day
of this contract.
- Exchange for physicals: He may buy corn from another trader who needs to sell
10,000 bushels of corn and has shorted 2 May futures contracts. After the trade takes
place, both traders have to inform clearinghouse to close the position of both parties.
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
Note what happened. The initial position is between Trader A and Trader B. The final
position is between Trader C and Trader B. Did anyone ask B if C could substitute for A?
How trading affects open interest. There are four traders, A, B, C, and D.
Table 1: Transactions
Transaction Date Buyer Seller Contracts
1 6-Jul A B 5
2 6-Jul C B 10
3 7-Jul D A 10
4 7-Jul B D 5
5 8-Jul B A 7
If both buyer and seller are initiating a new position, open interest goes up (see Transaction
1). If both buyer and seller are initiating an increasing position, open interest goes up (see
Transaction 2). If one party is increasing a position, while the other party is reducing a
position, open interest does not change.
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
Receives corn; pays Trader B Delivers corn; receives payment from Trader A
Reports EFP to exchange; Exchange adjusts books to Reports EFP to exchange; Exchange adjusts books
show that Trader A is out of the market to shows that Trader B is out of the market
Note this is a non-standard delivery for no other reason than Trader A is not an
approved delivery location.
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
TABLE 1
The annual Sugar and Cotton futures volumes vs. delivery for the last eleven years
Sugar 11 Cotton No. 2
Calendar Futures Futures
Year Volume Delivered % Volume Delivered %
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
Southwire is a big copper wire manufacturer located in Georgia. The company is concerned
about increasing copper prices. They protect themselves by going long copper. Why would
they not be likely to take delivery? Under what circumstances would they take delivery?
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
Product HO
Symbol
Hours CME Globex: Sunday – Friday 6:00 p.m. – 5:15 p.m. (5:00 p.m. – 4:15 p.m.
(All Times Chicago Time/CT) with a 45-minute break each day beginning
are New at 5:15 p.m. (4:15 p.m. CT)
York
Time/ET)
CME Sunday – Friday 6:00 p.m. – 5:15 p.m. (5:00 p.m. – 4:15 p.m.
ClearPort: Chicago Time/CT) with a 45-minute break each day beginning
at 5:15 p.m. (4:15 p.m. CT)
Maximum Initial Price Fluctuation Limits for All Contract Months. At the commencement of
Daily Price each trading day, there shall be price fluctuation limits in effect for each contract
Fluctuation month of this futures contract of $0.25 per gallon above or below the previous
day's settlement price for such contract month. If a market for any of the first
three (3) contract months is bid or offered at the upper or lower price fluctuation
limit, as applicable, on CME Globex it will be considered a Triggering Event
which will halt trading for a five (5) minute period in all contract months of the HO
futures contract, as well as all contract months in all products cited in the
Associated Products Appendix of rule 150.07. Trading in any option related to
this contract or in an option contract related to any products cited in the
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
Associated Products Appendix which may be available for trading on either CME
Globex or on the Trading Floor shall additionally be subject to a coordinated
trading halt.
Termination Trading in a current month shall cease on the last business day of the month
of Trading preceding the delivery month.
Trading at Trading at settlement is available for spot (except on the last trading day), 2nd,
Settlement 3rd and 4th months and subject to the existing TAS rules. Trading in all TAS
(TAS) products will cease daily at 2:30 PM Eastern Time. The TAS products will trade
off of a "Base Price" of 0 to create a differential (plus or minus 10 ticks) versus
settlement in the underlying product on a 1 to 1 basis. A trade done at the Base
Price of 0 will correspond to a "traditional" TAS trade which will clear exactly at
the final settlement price of the day.
Trade at Platts TAM trading based on the Platts 3:15PM (Eastern Time) Futures
Marker Assessment, will be available in the first two (2) contract months of HO and in
(TAM) calendar spreads between the first and second contract months.
NY Harbor ULSD Futures (HO) spot, 2nd and 3rd months and nearby/second
month, second/third month and nearby/third month calendar spreads.
No-Activity Periods:
4:30 p.m. London time – 5:50 p.m. Eastern time Monday – Thursday
4:30 p.m. London time Friday – 5:20 p.m. Eastern time Sunday
Settlement Physical
Type
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
Rulebook 150
Chapter
Exchange These contracts are listed with, and subject to, the rules and regulations of
Rule NYMEX.
Source: http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy/refined-products/heating-oil_contract_specifications.html
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
Chapter 150
NY Harbor ULSD Futures
150100. SCOPE OF CHAPTER
This chapter is limited in application to NY Harbor ULSD futures. The procedures for trading, clearing, delivery
and settlement not specifically covered herein or in Chapter 7 shall be governed by the general rules of the
Exchange.
The provisions of these rules shall apply to all ULSD bought or sold for future delivery on the Exchange with
delivery in New York Harbor.
The terms “seller” and “buyer” shall mean the seller of the physical product and the buyer of the physical product,
respectively.
The term "contract value" shall mean the amount equal to the settlement price on the last day of trading in a
futures contract times 42,000 times the number of contracts to be delivered.
For purposes of these rules, unless otherwise specified, times referred to herein shall refer to and indicate New
York time.
150101. CONTRACT SPECIFICATIONS
The term “ASTM” refers to the American Society for Testing Materials.
150101.A Grade and Quality Specifications through April 2013 Contract Month - No. 2 Heating Oil
The oil shall be a hydrocarbon oil free from alkali, mineral acid, grit, fibrous or other foreign matter and shall meet
the following physical and chemical properties.
The term “API” refers to the American Petroleum Institute.
The term “DuPont” refers to Petroleum Chemical Division, E.I. DuPont de Nemours & Company (Inc.), Petroleum
Laboratory Test Methods.
1. Gravity: API 30 degrees Fahrenheit minimum (ASTM Test Method D-287)
2. Flash: 130 degrees Fahrenheit minimum (ASTM Test Method D-93)
3. Viscosity: Kinematic, Centistokes at 100 degrees Fahrenheit, minimum 2.0, maximum 3.6 (ASTM Test Method
D-445)
4. Water and Sediment: .05% maximum (ASTM Test Method D-1796 or D-2709)
5. Pour Point: 0 degrees Fahrenheit maximum for contract months September through March; 10 degrees
Fahrenheit maximum for contract months April through August, (ASTM Test Method D-97)
6. Distillation: 10% Point, 480 degrees Fahrenheit maximum; 90% Point, 640 degrees Fahrenheit maximum, End
Point 690 degrees Fahrenheit maximum (ASTM Test Method D-86)
7. Sulfur: 0.20% maximum (ASTM Test Method D-129, D-1552, D-1266, D-2622 or D-4294)
8. Stability: (i) Thermal Stability: 90 minutes 300 degrees Fahrenheit Pad rating 7 maximum (DuPont Test
Method); or (ii) Oxidation Stability: mg/100ml., 2.5 maximum (ASTM Test Method D-2274);
9. Haze Rating: 25 degrees Celsius (77 degrees Fahrenheit), Procedure 2, 2 maximum (ASTM Test Method D-
4176);
10. Carbon Residue: Weight% on 10% Bottom, 0.35 maximum (ASTM Test Method D-524 or D-4530);
11. Ash: 0.01 wt. % maximum (ASTM Test Method D-482);
12. Corrosion: 3 hours 50 degrees Celsius (122 degrees Fahrenheit), 1 maximum (ASTM Test Method D-130).
13. Cloud Point: 15 degrees Fahrenheit maximum for contract months September through March; 20 degrees
Fahrenheit maximum for contract months April through August. (ASTM Test Method D-2500)
14. Dye: All heating oil delivered against this contract, regardless of sulfur content, shall be dyed in satisfaction of
the dyeing requirements as prescribed by the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) for tax-free sales or uses of diesel
fuel (using the Petro Spec dye analyzer or the IRS Test Method), pursuant to Section 4082 of the Internal
Revenue Code of 1986, as amended.
150101.B. Grade and Quality Specification Effective with the May 2013 Contract Month and Beyond –
Ultra Low Sulfur Diesel (“ULSD”)
The oil delivered shall be a pure hydrocarbon oil free from renewable fuel, biodiesel, alkali, mineral acid, grit, fibrous or
other foreign matter, meeting the "Delivery" specifications of the Colonial Pipeline's Fungible Grade 62 for Ultra Low
Sulfur Diesel, and being properly designated for sale in New York Harbor in accordance with U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency (EPA) regulations. Delivery test results may vary by the smaller of ASTM reproducibility for a given test
or any test tolerance as allowed for downstream parties by state or EPA regulations at the point of delivery. The ULSD
delivered shall fully comply with specifications of the Colonial Pipeline Fungible Grade 62 for on-road ULSD,
including the requirement that the on-road diesel fuel must contain no renewable diesel or biodiesel.
Source: http://www.cmegroup.com/rulebook/NYMEX/1a/150.pdf
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
Corn Futures
Tick Size 1/4 of one cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
(minimum
fluctuation)
Contract March (H), May (K), July (N), September (U) & December (Z)
Months/Symbols
Trading Hours CME Globex (Electronic Sunday – Friday, 7:00 p.m. – 7:45 a.m. CT
Platform) and
Monday – Friday, 8:30 a.m. – 1:15 p.m.
CT
Open Outcry (Trading Floor) Monday – Friday, 8:30 a.m. – 1:15 p.m.
CT
Daily Price Limit $0.40 per bushel expandable to $0.60 when the market closes at limit bid or
limit offer. There shall be no price limits on the current month contract on or
after the second business day preceding the first day of the delivery month.
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
Corn Futures
Last Trade Date The business day prior to the 15th calendar day of the contract month.
Last Delivery Second business day following the last trading day of the delivery month.
Date
Exchange Rule These contracts are listed with, and subject to, the rules and regulations of
CBOT.
Source: http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/commodities/grain-and-oilseed/corn_contract_specifications.html
To manage the risk associated with the futures contracts, each futures exchange has an
associated clearinghouse. The clearinghouse may be constituted as a separate corporation or
it may be part of the futures exchange, but each exchange is closely associated with a
particular clearinghouse.
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
Role of Clearinghouse
- The Chicago Mercantile Exchange defines the clearing relationship as “The accounts
of individual member, clearing firms and nonmember customers doing business
through the CME must be carried and guaranteed to the clearinghouse by a clearing
member.”
- The clearinghouse is substituted as the buyer to the seller and the seller to the buyer,
with the clearing member assuming the opposite side of each transaction.
- Market professionals understand that a clearinghouse reduces credit risk and allows
for offset of positions by inserting itself between buyers and sellers. It is this function
that contributes significantly to liquidity by permitting trading without regard to the
credit risk of the ultimate counterparty to the trade
Goods Goods
Clearinghouse
Buyer Seller
Funds Funds
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
Marking to Market
Daily Resettlement of a Futures Contract
$498/oz
A B
Buyer Seller
100 oz gold
A receives 100 oz gold on December 16. Effectively, he pays $500 for the gold (498+5+4-6-1=500).
However, the cash flows are unpredictable.
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
Variation margin is the amount of money trader has to deposit to cover any mark-to-market
loss. Variation margin will bring the account back up to the initial margin level. Variation
margin must be paid in cash only that is same day funds. From the example in previous page,
Buyer A has to deposit variation margin = ($500 - $495) × 100 = $500 per one contract at the
end of December 12.
Assume further that, one month later, the settlement price of the futures contract rise to $3.30
which is only 10% from the original price. However, now our capital will equal (initial
margin + profit from futures = $1,500 + ($3.30-$3.00) 5,000 = $3,000. Ten percent change
in the value of the futures contract will affect the investor account by 100%
To reduce your leverage, you can always post more margin than required to establish your
position.
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
Non-clearing
Trader B
Member Arrows indicate flow of margin funds
Clearinghouse cannot use customer account to cover losses in the house account. But,
clearinghouse can use house account to cover customer position.
Notice that all customer deposits and positions for a clearing member are in one account at
the clearing house. The default of one customer could jeopardize the other customers of that
clearing member. This is a consequence of the fact that the clearinghouse does not know the
positions or money of individual customers.
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
Customer
C
Buys 9
December
gold
contracts
Prudential
Goldman Sachs Securities, Inc.
CP CP
At clearinghouse
- Goldman Sachs: long 1 Dec
- Prudential: (Gross) long 9 Dec. and short 10 Dec.
(Net) short 1 Dec.
What would happen to the risk faced by the clearing house if it tried to protect
customer C?
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
Forwards Futures
Counterparty Credit Risk High Low
Contract Terms Flexible Inflexible
Delivery Expected Yes No
Timing Flexibility No Yes
Regulation Low High
Liquidity Requirements Low High
Capital Requirements High Low
• Forwards are private contracts in the over-the-counter market and do not trade on organized
exchange. Futures contracts trade on organized exchange. Thus, forwards have default risk
(counterparty credit risk). The seller may not deliver, and the buyer may not accept delivery.
With futures contracts, performance is guaranteed by the exchange’s clearinghouse.
• Forwards are customized to satisfy the needs of the parties involved. Futures contracts are
highly standardized. A futures contract specifies the quantity, quality, delivery date, and
delivery mechanism.
• Most futures contracts are satisfied through offset or via a reversing trade. Less than one
percent of futures contracts traded have been settled by delivery/cash settlement.
• If a futures contract has choices in it (these choices are called delivery options), these choices
typically belong to the short. Futures trader with short position has flexibility to choose
delivery date. For example, a trader who is going short a wheat futures contract can deliver
wheat anytime in the delivery month. For forward contracts, the delivery date is determined
to be a specific date.
• Futures markets are highly regulated by governments. There are rules and regulations that
traders have to follow. Furthermore, each clearinghouse develops its own safeguards to
protect all clearing members. Forward markets are more loosely organized and typically have
no physical location where trading takes place.
• The most powerful mechanism to reduce default risk in futures market is the requirements for
margin and daily cash settlement. However, the requirement for marking-to-market in cash
requires liquidity.
• Because there is counter party credit risk in the forward market, each party is required to have
a sufficient level of capital or provide some collateral.
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
These tiers overlap, but each of them has its specific duties.
The Broker represents his or her customers to the exchange and clearinghouse. The broker is
responsible for knowing the customer’s position and intentions, for ensuring that the
customer does not disrupt the market or place the system in jeopardy, and for keeping the
customer’s trading activity in line with industry regulations and legal restrictions.
1
http://www.goodwinprocter.com/Dodd-
Frank/Publications/Newsletter%20Articles/Financial%20Services%20Articles/2012_05/29_02.aspx
2
http://www.cftc.gov/LawRegulation/DoddFrankAct/Rulemakings/DF_12_DCMRules/index.htm
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
CFTC
Exchange
Member who
Clearing
also is Clearing
Association Member
Exchange
Member, but
Exchange not Clearing
Member NFA
Non-Exchange FCM,
Commodity Pool
Operators, Trading
advisors, etc.
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FIN 4720: Futures Markets Spring 2021
Handout #1 Terrence F. Martell, Ph.D.
Mert Demir, Ph.D.
Alex Gansch
Limit Order – An order to buy or sell at a specified price. This order can be executed
only at the specified price or better.
Open Order – Also known as “good until canceled” (GTC). An open order also
specifies a price at which the order is to be executed, but it stands until executed or canceled.
Stop Order – This type of order becomes a market order to buy or sell only if prices
reach a specific level: to buy only if prices rise to a stipulated level or to sell only if prices
drop to a stipulated level.
Trading before customers trading for one’s personal account or an account in which
orders, front running one has an interest, while having in hand any executable
customer order in that contract
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