Modeling Secon 16
Mo dels i, The Number of claims oad Ibe (a,b,0) class
An iisuer ay have e por alr Becca ael viet shee of policies aid ale
may elinlsested in Nhe nen ber of (0580S that occuria
eile reel ced tobe
the dist bobon of the ‘aumber of lesces ia a unit fine is rebeved
to as the Frequency distribute,
wscrele dis tibu tons ace osebel bor wobble, frequency. he
Deel dpsfabelons ge cath foc ell fepeccya Yee
° Poissen (A) oF 1
; oiegon mode | is
N~ poisson (A) ahiéa wsed a5 3, ve
sina 1€ §0,4%~§ (for he aumber of
ea:
Pn * Piven) = —ar- 6 Jeo events pec unit 4:
wear ECW) 4
vanane Var(M)= 0
pg PLE): ECE) > MO?
¥ Properties,
i) tw
a
ter
Nm ae inky. poissen ts with pararelus
din respectiely!, fen
$2 BM ~ porsson (9-22:)
war
i) Soppese N ~ poisson (4) represtals the overall number of euenks
fa a certeia urs perio
csc alto Hab cach euert ton be clasyife d ya one Expr:
SH
and there ase Ko dishact types eb eve
Sfyex Yat ghen ag cveat occers , the ohh, Lhy that if is
Tyee PR Epes)
hea, The nome, of cron of type L per peered is
™ poisson (Ap) 3 be fy K}
oad MIN, 05t.
as Now peissen (A) pepecen) the averbe _
Wi) Suppose M~ pet .
a ae . To Ne.
ie the he nits trae Sey Ns
NN poisson (2)
° Binomral (om, p)
N~ bial m,p)
ag Pleads (it) pe leaf jn aos
fo CON), ae
Usrionte Voilu)=™ p (i-p)
pf Pye): [la 9 e-n”
* Geome tie
(det p= cy repens the publ
N~ geo (a) ~ negbia (1,8) | rig sepa, Hpbi]
1 llin)= (ap) ode) eb §
N sepestals the numberof failiier [rere
bash cues
Atl: p lr-p\? |
~ oe ee
avin — Vor tM)=B np) ee |
oF Fults Li peed
* Negative Braomral
N~ Negbin Le, p)
: aa) = =)) pL? h
Pat Plura)= (nir-1) (a) (BY ntbers
won E(W)* pg “CEE pri repase the pa. |
Worl): ellis) — Netnen ie nenler Hers lobe
the rth eucess le
pr Pleads (Up)
Eye o oe
| 71) a
Vavioace* Mean Veraace “elalroaship
N~ poisson E(w) = Var tw)
binoanal E(M) > Vor (w)
Negative Bronul ECP) < Var(W)
* The (a,b,0) class
Lek 0 bs a, aoarnega tui ialgervalled raaloan varia ble with
probobilily Feachen p= P(nea), IN is a member of — the
Ca,b,0) class iF phere are toasdank & ond & seh tt
the pf sahshres:
seat sO pi fer all ine #2,3,..
| binomial (ap) U-p)"
[gee (8)
| aegbie P| Ga
Note bad
Wx porsson O70 620
bin aco $0
geo aro bee
knny 830 60+The (a,b ,1) class
Congider «No be a member of the (a,b,0) class, TE we
modily ae for aay valve Preto), te resulting
tordon ‘vaiable N*is said fy hace zevo-mod:fied drstulubon
with
Pld) = pt
ten). 1-9
Pleten)s aa
Pee eae
ero tuncaded subcloss (Ny)
é RY Plutso)= 0 we say
oad it will be deroted by M
the papabilihes ave cesoted — pl= Player)
wilh — prso
Pie a rhe NFA
2,
that NP hus zeo-funcaled ols
Nee fhap :
mean E (Hy) = coon
re PT) PO-p
“2
“Tero modsbrea tren (M,)
Po ph?0 we cay tho! WN? has a ceo-vedel disbibber
id ull le deeckd by My
the prbabilttes ow denoted by — pte Pli,2a)
wth — ptrg
Node tha) pez jot
a7 } 4
won Ea)» (FB) Ela)
vf Pues (ERE) (rs-p)