Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Times Of Coronavirus:
India And The World
Table of 55 Impact On Funding Activity In India
Impact On Startup Funding
Contents
Listed Companies In India
19 Impact On Sectors
Edtech Coworking
83 Bibliography
The impact of coronavirus on global economy, Contemporary and future operational trends for startups
various industries and sectors,
Contingency plans for startups
startup funding activities
India Impact
Source: John Hopkins University, DataLabs Secondary Research - *31 December 2019 To 24 March 2020
How It Spreads
Simply put, COVID-19 spreads in a way similar to flu.
A coronavirus-positive person releases droplets of infected fluid while coughing, sneezing or exhaling
These droplets fall and settle on nearby surfaces and objects - such as desks, tables, telephones etc.
Others can catch the COVID-19 infection by coming into contact with contaminated surfaces and
Human
Contact then touching their eyes, nose or mouth.
Coronavirus can also be transmitted by being close - say one metre - to an infected person by
breathing; as one comes in contact with the droplets exuded by an infected person.
Fluid “Most persons infected with COVID-19 experience mild vulnerable than those under 40. People with weakened immune
Contact symptoms and recover. However, some go on to experience systems and people with conditions such as diabetes, heart
more serious illness and may require hospital care. The risk of and lung disease are also more vulnerable to serious illness,”
serious illness rises with age: people over 40 seem to be more the WHO explains.
Contaminated
Objects
Italy— 6,077 China— 3,160 Spain— 2,311 Iran— 1,812 France— 860
10.9 %
87.6 %
H1N1 (Swine Flu) Apr 2019- Aug 2020 (0.7 to 1.4) Bn 0.02%
30,000.0
China’s overall exports contracted
23,917 23,064 17.2 per cent in dollar terms in January
20,152 and February.
20,000.0 17,002
13,958 Consumer expenditure towards
10,852 traditional sectors such as retail,
10,000.0 7,588 restaurants, tourism and aviation has
5,151 declined, and is expected to drop
further in the coming months.
0.0
FTSE 100 NYSE Nikkei Dow Jones (DJI) Hang Seng Sensex
Consumer habits are expected
to change, with consumer spend
10 Jan 2020 16 Mar 2020 shifting to new-age sectors such
as hyperlocal delivery, online
conference/meeting tools and
e-commerce.
$20 K
15597
$15 K
Impact (In $ Mn)
$10 K
5779
5187
$5 K 3816
2645 2296
2165 1917
1369 1087 1077
733 660 425 348
$0 K
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Economies
Tech companies are helping the public in the best way possible. Facebook
is providing the WHO with free ads for spreading awareness on the health
crisis facing humanity, as well as updating its vigilance policies to deal
with the spread of disinformation and fake news.
Not only Facebook but also many other social media companies such as
Twitter, YouTube and TikTok have stepped up vigilance efforts to eradicate
the promotion of coronavirus-related conspiracy theories. For instance,
the WHO has joined TikTok to suggest measures people can adopt to
help in protecting themselves and others.
Twitter has rolled out a warning label linking to the Centers for Disease
Control and Prevention (CDC) for the search term ‘coronavirus’, and
Facebook deployed a box into the news feed directing users to the US
agency’s page on COVID-19. The WHO itself has released its own myth
buster resources for the public. Not just that, tech giants such as Microsoft,
Google and Zoho are providing free access to advanced features enabling
collaboration while working from home or from remote areas.
However, there is a platform which is still underperforming in the time of the public to rely on credible sources such as the WHO tfor information,
coronavirus. Due to encryption, misinformation is often spread in leaps and and check the source of any received information thoroughly before
bounds through WhatsApp. Authorities are making efforts to encourage sharing it with others.
40
General Motors Stock Price (In USD)
30
25
20
21 Feb 2 Mar 10 Mar
Date
800
700
600
Date
15,000
14,000
18 Feb 24 Feb 27 Feb 3 Mar 6 Mar
Date
26,000
22,000
20,000
18,000
19 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar
Date
8,500
8,000
Index Points
7,500
7,000
Date
Source: Google Finance, DataLabs Analysis
Country-wide
school closure
Localized school
closures
Free access to Internshala Trainings, e-learning platform, for the students of Kerala, Jammu
and Kashmir, and Ladakh till March 31.
Free access to lessons to students appearing for UPSC, banking and railway exams
Pooling in educators to offer 20,000 free live classes
Deeper internet penetration along with the rampant use of smartphones With technology coming to the rescue amid the coronavirus pandemic,
and other connected devices has exponentially increased the capitalisation edtech platforms have already begun to witness a surge in users. According
opportunity in the Indian edtech segment. This trend is attracting investors, to a Quartz India report, Gradeup’s daily enrolments have risen 25 per
resulting in huge funds for Indian startups. In FY2018, the gross merchandise cent, which underlines the huge potential for online learning— a trend
value of edtech startups was above $120 Mn, marking a surge of 48 per expected to prevail in the years to come.
cent compared to the previous year.
130
113.75 USD Mon, 9 Mar
120
Zoom Stock Price (In USD)
110
100
90
80
Date
5.00%
0.00%
-5.00%
-10.00%
16-Feb-2020 23-Feb-2020 1-Mar-2020 8-Mar-2020
Date
Zoom has added 3.5 times more monthly active users since February 24 compared to 2019. Businesses are widely adopting video/audio conferencing
solutions to conduct meetings and to enable remote work operations for their workforce. This has resulted to a surge in downloads and the number
of active users of online work management tools. This is reflected in Zoom shares which are drawing more and more buying interest with the rising
popularity of remote working solutions in the backdrop of the coronavirus pandemic.
Tech companies such as Google, Microsoft, Zoom and Zoho are doing their part by providing free access to some of their paid services, thus making
the remote collaboration much more effective and easier.
Global downloads of apps such as Tencent Conference, WeChat Work, Zoom, Microsoft Teams and Slack have surged nearly five fold so
far this year.
From 1.4 Mn new users in the first week of January, the figure jumped to a record 6.7 Mn in the first week of March across the App Store and
Google Play platforms, according to app analytics firm Sensor Tower.
Zoom Video Communications’ daily active user base has grown 67% since early January, according to data from Apptopia.
By January-end, the company’s run rate stood at a hundred Bn annual meeting minutes. The company also removed the time limit from
video chats using Zoom’s free service for affected regions.
The boom was recently highlighted in Zoom’s financial results for the October-December period, as the company’s total revenue came in
at $188.3 Mn, marking an year-over-year increase of 78%.
Microsoft’s Teams platform witnessed a six-fold increase in meetings, calls and conferences in China since January-end.
Slack’s revenue rose to $181.9 Mn in the December quarter—a gain of 49% compared to the corresponding period a year ago.
On an average, free sign-ups of Cisco’s Webex in affected countries are up seven times compared to the pre-outbreak period, according
to the company.
350000
300000
Number of downloads
250000
200000
150000
100000
50000
0
03/12/19 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 03/11/20
Date
Zoom Cloud Meetings (App) Worldwide Zoom Cloud Meetings (App) U.S.
No Drop In Productivity
Companies are using tools to track the progress of work being done by With the rising number of companies sending their employees home to
their employees from home to make this mandatory transition smooth and work, and collaborate digitally, there is a clear surge in the adoption of
effective. Some of the highly adopted tools for tracking the progress of tools enabling such operations. Collaborative work solutions are also
staff working from home are Time Doctor, Toggl, RescueTime and Timely. expected to clock multifold growth in near future.
2,500
2,300
2,200
2,100
21 Feb 2 Mar 10 Mar
Date
12,000
Supermarkets and retail outlets
are bracing for a drop in footfalls
10467.14 Mon, 9 Mar with the growing number of mall
11,500
and shopping complex shutdowns.
India’s overall retail sector will
Index points
10,000
18 Feb 24 Feb 27 Feb 3 Mar 6 Mar
Date
Source: Google Finance, DataLabs Analysis
100
Popularity Score (0 to 100
75
50
25
0
16-Feb-2020 23-Feb-2020 1-Mar-2020 8-Mar-2020
Date
India USA
100
Popularity Score (0 to 100)
75
50
25
Date
India USA
With the growing demand and limited supply for hand sanitisers and (from INR 10 to 40), while that of an N95 mask has jumped 3.3 times (from
facial masks amid the panic, the prices of such products have spiked to INR 150 to 500).
record levels. The price of a basic surgical mask has surged four times
28,000
25,000
24,000
21 Feb 2 Mar 10 Mar
Date
14,500
14,000
Index points
13,500
13,000
20 Feb 2 Mar 10 Mar
Date
120
60
Date
1500
1213.20 INR Mon, 9 Mar
1400
Indigo Stock (In INR)
1300
1200
1100
1000
18 Feb 24 Feb 27 Feb 3 Mar 6 Mar 12 Mar
Date
80
60
40
Date
The rising number of flight cancellations and a slump in air travel demand is
expected to take a troll on the working capital of airlines. Refunds against
cancellations and the cost of daily operations are likely to pile up, hampering
the overall performance of the carriers in the coming quarters.
30
19.01 USD Mon, 9 Mar
MMYT Stock (In INR)
25
20
15
3.5
YTRA Stock (In INR)
3.0
2.5
2.0
21 Feb 2 Mar 10 Mar
Date
In a bid to halt the spread of the coronavirus outbreak, India has suspended the grant
of visas for a month with few exceptions. The travel industry has taken a big blow due
to the coronavirus outbreak, as March and April are believed to be the peak season
for Indians traveling both within the country and abroad. Indian tour operators are
staring at losses of up to $500 Mn thanks to booking cancellations from China and
other countries due to the coronavirus crisis; those losses can multiply four-fold if
the situation lasts for the entire year.
12
6.67 USD Mon, 9 Mar
Realogy Holdings Stock (In USD)
10
Date
0.00%
-10.00%
-20.00%
16-Feb-2020 23-Feb-2020 1-Mar-2020 8-Mar-2020
Date
Source: Google Finance, DataLabs Analysis
2,400
1,972.96 Mon, 9 Mar
2,200
Index Points
2,200
1,800
1,600
Date
0.00%
(% Change) Daily Closing Price
-2.50%
-5.00%
-7.50%
-10.00%
16-Feb-2020 23-Feb-2020 1-Mar-2020 8-Mar-2020
Date
In addition to the country’s traditional realty market, new age markets such as co-
working/living as well as shared office spaces are also expected to bear the brunt
of the coronavirus pandemic, especially the pay-as-you-go model-based products.
10.00%
5.00%
(% Change) Daily Closing Price
0.00%
-5.00%
-10.00%
-15.00%
16-Feb-2020 23-Feb-2020 1-Mar-2020 8-Mar-2020
Date
Besides the traditional finance sector, new age fintech instruments are expected to suffer due to decreasing business activity and narrowing
consumer expenditure.
36,000
30,384.17 Mon, 9 Mar
34,000
Index points
32,000
30.000
28.000
26.000
Date
Source: Google Finance, DataLabs Analysis
2.50%
0.00%
(% Change) Daily Closing Price
-2.50%
-5.00%
-7.50%
-10.00%
16-Feb-2020 23-Feb-2020 1-Mar-2020 8-Mar-2020
Date
HDFC ICICI
With self-isolation and contactless communication becoming the need volumes and value - and in turn enhance the utility of fintech products such
of the hour, the demand for home delivery and digital payments is poised as payment gateways, mobile wallets and prepaid payment instruments
to grow. This will give an impetus to digital transactions - in terms of both (PPIs).
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Impact On
Funding Activity
In India
Frequency Of Funding Deals Decreasing With Growing Fear Of
Coronavirus In India
The total deal count in February was 12% lower than that of January
20
15
Funding Deals
10
Date
Source: DataLabs
The volume of funding deals in the first two months of 2020 fared better 119 in the year-ago period. Despite having a good start so far in 2020, the
compared to the corresponding period a year ago. In January-February hysteria surrounding the COVID-19 pathogen has affected the frequency
2020, the total number of deals stood at 154, up 29 per cent compared to of deals in the ecosystem.
800
Funding Amount ($ Mn)
600
400
200
10.0%
%change (Daily Closing Price)
0.0%
-10.0%
-20.0%
16-Feb-2020 23-Feb-2020 1-Mar-2020 8-Mar-2020
Date
Source: DataLabs
7.50%
5.00%
(% Change) Daily Closing Price
2.50%
0.00%
-2.50%
-5.00%
-7.50%
Date
Naukri Matrimony
10.00%
(% Change) Daily Closing Price
5.00%
0.00%
-5.00%
-10.00%
-15.00%
Date
Infibeam Tejas
Macro
The most visible sign of the virus’ impact on capital is the sheet hollowing of the listed space – making all rises and falls in fund value and startup
out of the capital markets worldwide. The precipitous fall is in danger of stock slower, but stickier.
reversing close to 6 years of gains for stock market investors globally as
investors rush to cash out and sit on liquidity. Funds normally value their portfolios based on the most recent funding
round (known in the industry as the Price of Recent Investment methodology)
The slide is in no danger of ending as the US markets have hit the lower as it offers the closest analogue to a stock-ticker for the underlying
circuit breaker thrice in the past week itself. Marquee stocks such as portfolio. Commonly, only in cases of a force majeure event, erosion of
Berkshire Hathway are trading at book value and in India, during Holi, the substratum of the business or the lack of a funding round amongst
the only colour that investors saw was red. others do the VCs mark down their investments.
Those in the private markets (VCs and startups) have been insulated from
this fall. After all, the private markets lack the price discovery and liquidity
VCs, like startups, too need to raise funds. They have decks, undergo due performance, thesis and an ask in terms of a capital commitment. They
diligence and make quarterly reports to their LPs, similar to the cycle that aren’t as adversely affected as the newer breed of GPs coming out.
startups endure. Their cycles are typically longer than startups -with funds
taking around 6-18 months to close out depending on the GP, sector, For the new GPs – VC fundraising is still an old school as it places greater
experience, etc. importance on a face-to-face meeting initially to get a good read of
the GP.
For the more established GPs with a strong LP base – the fundraises can
be as simple as an email and a call announcing the new strategy, prior For those who are fund-raising and who are new GPs, their processes have
Compounded by tax policies that make gains from startups suffer a tax
rate that’s 2.54x the one for listed gains, a holding period that’s twice that
of listed entities and the lack of liquidity, fundraising in India for VCs just
got harder.
The silver lining is that the rout in the stock market and the relative stability back for foreign investors and gains from the listed space.
of the private markets is making VC and startups a more attractive asset
class for LPs the world over. India needs to capitalise on this and create Those who completed their fundraises are more secure, but they also
more conducive policies that don’t discriminate against startups as face another issue – capital calls in the time of the Corona Virus. VCs
opposed to listed companies so that greater value creation can happen who have raised funds are grappling with capital calls being postponed
here and rupee capital is less discriminated against than foreign capital. due to LP requests as exiting the market and going back six years is a
prospect few can stomach. While many LPs have exited their positions,
For context, gains from startup share sales for Indian investors suffer from the ramifications are still being felt.
the “superrich surcharge” announced in July 2019 whereas it was rolled
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100K
80K
Total Coronavirous Cases
60K
40K
20K
0K
22
24
26
28
30
Fe 1
3
7
9
11
13
15
17
19
Fe 1
23
25
27
29
10
2
b
ar
b
ar
b
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b
b
b
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Fe
b
n
b
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Fe
n
Fe
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Fe
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Ja
Ja
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Fe
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Fe
Fe
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Date
The world today shares a common value chain, and any disruption in its second largest economy is bound to result in a significant turbulence for
all. As the Chinese economy experiences a major hit due to the coronavirus outbreak, China’s GDP growth is estimated to decline to 4.9 per cent
in 2020, according to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)
6.1
6.4
6
5.1 5.6
GDP growth (%)
4.9
4.9
4
3.3
2.9 2.4
2
Year
China’s share in the global economic activity increased drastically from 2002 to 2019. This is why the adversities faced by China are bound to spill
over to the world economy. Despite China’s speedy recovery from the coronavirus, a substantial drag is likely on global growth.
24
20
16
% Share
12
0
Global Global GDP Global Global Global FDI
Industry Trade Tourists
2002 2019
60
50
40
% Share
30
20
10
0
Aluminium Copper Nickel Zinc Lead Natural Cruid Oil
Rubber
Date
2000 2018
Note: Share of industry, GDP and trade in constant US dollars. Share of global FDI in current US dollars. Data for the tourist share refer to 2002 and
2017, and data for FDI refer to 2005 and 2018. Industry data are on a value-added basis and include the construction sector.
Source: OECD Economic Outlook database; OECD FDI in Figures, October 2019; and World Bank.
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
0.0
-0.1
-0.2
% Difference From Baseline
-0.3
-0.4
-0.5
-0.6
-0.7
-0.8
Date
% pts
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
0.0
-0.1
-0.2
Contribution in %
-0.3
-0.4
-0.5
-0.6
-0.7
-0.8
Date
Note: The first panel shows the contributions to the decline in the level global GDP. Commodity exporters are Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Russia,
of GDP from the different element of the shock. The second panel shows South Africa and other non-OECD oil-producing economies. See text
the contributions of differents regions and countries to the decline in for details of the shocks applied.
here’s a surge in sales of staples as well as products of daily necessities and personal hygiene in the backdrop of the fast-spreading coronavirus
outbreak. Sales growth numbers range from 15 per cent to 45 per cent across categories.
The World Health Organization has stressed upon the adoption of everyday practices such as frequent handwashing to fight the deadly
pandemic.
Consumers have become more aware of the available supply chains and how they works. China, being India’s second largest trading partner
for long, accounted for 13.7 per cent of India’s imports in 2018-19. Awareness about relevant supply chains and alternatives will be pivotal in
shielding local businesses from the coronavirus-induces global crisis.
There is clearly the need for Indian startups to act responsibly and equip themselves with realistic contingency plans in the time of Covid-19.
There is a need for startups - big or small - to expedite the adoption of processes in a timely and logical manner to ensure public safety. Many
startups have sensed a lack of communication between their management and employees in adhering to government policies in containing
the spread of the pathogen. On the contrary, many startups have already taken bold and strict steps to fight the outbreak; while Paytm and
Flipkart have shifted their employees to work-from-home protocols, Ola has placed hand sanitizers in its walk-in stores across the country.
In order to make robust contingency plans, the responsibility of startups only begins at maintaining hygiene in office space and offer work-
from-home alternatives to their employees. They have to think of sustainable solutions that can ensure operability even under coronavirus
circumstances. Investors such as Sequoia Capital have taken initiatives such as the issuance of letters to startup founders outlining practices
that can protect businesses in best possible ways should things go south.
There is clearly a need for Indian startups to be well equipped with of closely monitoring the situation and following relevant government
contingency plans during these times. With big players acting slow on recommendations, there is clearly a lack of communication from some
taking the necessary steps like Swiggy sending a safety advisory to startups to their employees. On the other hand, there are many Indian
delivery partners in Delhi on March 3, no release of information to Zomato startups who are taking strict measures to avoid any loss such as Paytm
delivery agents about proper food handling to avoid infection by the and Flipkart providing its employees work from home, Ola has kept
company, there is high time for Indian startups to sense the urgency sanitizers in its walk-in stores across the country.
for taking necessary action. As claimed by multiple startups in terms
The responsibility is not limited to maintaining a hygienic workplace and Internet speed fluctuations, power outages and employees attrition but
providing work from options for companies. But, the responsibility stretches with such outbreaks taking place, there is high time for Indian startups to
beyond this and towards keeping startups running even in coronavirus brace themselves up and manage when there is major loss experienced.
outbreak circumstances. This reminds us of our responsibility to have Startups need to have strong plans in terms of leadership succession
contingency plans in place during these tough times. planning and clear planning of workflow and team structure.
Investors like Sequoia Capital are initiating such efforts by issuing letters to For instance, a recent note from Easy Home Finance accessed by Inc42
founders about how to manage business better and plan for contingencies has documented the plan of action for the business if the office building
in case things go further south. or an employee or a senior employee is quarantined. It laid out the
team structure in such a scenario, which makes the process clear to all
Till now, startups have been prepared for the short term contingencies like stakeholders.
Glossary
$X Bn VC
Billion in USD Venture Capital
$X Mn Angels
Million in USD Angel Investors
Seed Stage
<Pre sereis A
United Nations
DataLabs by Inc42
https://inc42.com/buzz/coronavirus-and-startups-contingency-and-business-continuity-plans-come-into-focus/
https://unctad.org/en/PublicationsLibrary/ditcinf2020d1.pdf
https://www.gadgetsnow.com/tech-news/coronavirus-this-is-how-government-will-be-using-your-phone-to-spread-awareness/
articleshow/74534001.cms
https://www.tiktok.com/@who
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/advice-for-public/myth-busters
https://www.businessinsider.in/tech/enterprise/news/microsoft-has-quietly-started-offering-free-trials-of-its-premium-teams-chat-app-to-
support-public-health-and-safety-amid-the-coronavirus-outbreak/articleshow/74466444.cms
https://cloud.google.com/blog/products/g-suite/helping-businesses-and-schools-stay-connected-in-response-to-coronavirus
https://www.theverge.com/2020/3/3/21163972/pinterest-showing-custom-search-results-coronavirus-misinformation
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/advice-for-public
https://fortune.com/2020/03/18/zoom-is-zooming-despite-coronavirus/
https://www.cnet.com/news/zoho-offers-free-work-from-home-software-for-coronavirus-careful-businesses/
https://ozonetel.com/blog/how-your-call-center-can-handle-a-sudden-work-from-home-emergency/
http://www.oecd.org/berlin/publikationen/Interim-Economic-Assessment-2-March-2020.pdf
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Sandeep Singh
COVER & DESIGN
Sabith
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