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ABSTRACT KEYWORDS
The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak has become a global COVID-19; pandemic;
pandemic and has greatly impacted the world economy. This accounting index; big data
article adopts the financial data of Listed companies in China portrait analysis; Chinese
industries
and uses the synthetic index compilation method to compile an
accounting index that captures the period before and after the JEL CLASSIFICATION
COVID-19 outbreak. This index is based on big data portrait G31; G32; M41; C33
analysis and measures the impact of the COVID-19 on various
Chinese industries. The study found that except for the basic
industry, which was less affected by the epidemic, the rest of
the industries were significantly affected by the epidemic.
Besides, the costs of various industries have increased by varying
degrees. The aviation, tourism and other service industries have
been greatly impacted. New infrastructure, Chinese patent med
icine and Internet industries have achieved great development.
CONTACT Zhe Sun 27368520@qq.com School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power
University, Beijing,102206, China
© 2020 Taylor & Francis Group, LLC
EMERGING MARKETS FINANCE AND TRADE 2333
surplus information has a predictive effect on GDP growth. They show that the
aggregated accounting surplus information can predict GDP growth. From
these studies, it is obvious that enterprise accounting information is of great
significance for studying macroeconomic issues.
As an in-depth, refined, and highly integrated accounting information, the
accounting index can intuitively and vividly reveal the economic operation
situation and provide ‘wind vane’, ‘monitor’, and ‘early warning device’ for
economic decision-making. Wang, Lu, and Zhang et al. (2012) believes that by
understanding the microeconomic foundation from the perspective of the
accounting index, we can grasp the macroeconomic trends. Existing literature
focuses on different regions and industries from the perspective of economic
accounting indexes. Erwin (2016) constructed a commercial real estate price
index against the backdrop of the production accounting requirements of the
National Accounting System (SNA), which measures the input, output and asset
prices of the commercial real estate industry. Giri and Bansod (2019) con
structed a Financial Condition Index (FCI) and used the autoregressive distri
bution lag model to explore the possible co-integration relationship between
economic growth and FCI. Choi (2010) studied the correlation between
accounting information and economic crisis, and analyzed the impact of differ
ent economic crises on the accounting and economic environment. Lee, Park,
and lee (2013) studied various factors affecting the Korea Accounting
Transparency Evaluation Index and found that increasing accounting transpar
ency will reduce the cost of equity capital. Chen (2017) constructed an industry
prosperity index for China’s listed companies from the perspectives of produc
tion, sales, and investment. Ha et al. (2018) selected relevant indicators from
manufacturing and agriculture, constructed the Korea Agricultural Accounting
Index, classified the cultivation types of rice farms, and provided advice on farm
consultations. In summary, the existing research applies economic accounting
indexes to various fields, such as agriculture, industry and commerce, and
manufacturing, and to scenarios, such as performance evaluation.
Assessing the impact of epidemics/pandemics on the economy is an impor
tant research topic in disaster economics. Existing research on major health
events mainly focuses on SARS. For instance, Liu and Cai (2003) analyzed
China’s macroeconomy under SARS and found that SARS has a greater impact
on the tourism, transportation and catering industries. Beutels et al. (2009) used
the cross-correlation function to study the impact of SARS and found that the
wholesale and retail industry and the daily necessities industry were less affected
by the epidemic. With regards to COVID-19, there is a growing body of
literature studying its impact on various aspects. Xu, Yang, and Liu (2020)
conducted a comparative study of SARS in 2003 and COVID-19 in 2020,
analyzed the functioning and evolution of China’s insurance industry, and
found that the insurance industry plays an active role in responding to public
health events. Weersink, Massow, and Mcdougall (2020) believe that the
2334 P. HE ET AL.
Canadian dairy products, poultry and egg industries suffered losses due to
COVID-19 but are more resistant to COVID-19 than other industries. Iyke
(2020a, 2020b)) demonstrated that COVID-19 can explain exchange rate and
stock return and volatility. Apergis, and Apergis (2020) studied the impact of the
COVID-19 pandemic and oil price volatility on the U.S. partisan conflict index.
Ataguba (2020) analyzed the impact of COVID-19 and emphasized the impor
tance of establishing a flexible health system. Zandifar, and and Badrfam (2020)
discussed Iran’s fight against COVID-19 and called on the government to
maximize the use of existing resources to fight the pandemic. Lai et al. (2020)
analyzed the pandemic situation and control measures in different countries and
regions, and argued that the potential mechanism through which COVID-19
affected these economies needs to be further studied. Gil-Alana, and Monge
(2020) discussed the impact of COVID-19 on crude oil prices. Liu et al., (2020)
discussed the impact of COVID-19 on crude oil prices and stock prices in the
US. Narayan (2020) analyzed the relationship between COVID-19 and oil price
news. Qin et al., (2020) analysed the impact of the pandemic on oil markets.
Wang (2019) analyzed the way that accounting information is used for macro
decision making.
The outbreak of major health events has a serious impact on various
industries, and the accounting index can better reflect the different trends
of responses across industries. However, there are few existing studies on the
combination of accounting indexes and major health events, and none
studies the impact of COVID-19 on various industries from the perspective
of accounting indexes. This study uses the synthetic index compilation
method to compile an accounting index that captures the period before
and after the COVID-19 outbreak. The purpose of this study is to discover
the impact of COVID-19 on different industries, explore its impact mechan
ism, and provide guidance for the recovery of the industrial chain after the
outbreak. The study found that the industry and commerce, life and tech
nology, and culture and social industries are significantly affected by the
pandemic, whereas the basic industries are less affected. The manufacturing,
and sports and entertainment industries received development opportunities
during the pandemic, while the hotels and catering, and residential service
industries suffered heavy losses. At the same time, the pandemic also
increased the cost of mining, manufacturing, information technology, sports
and entertainment, and transportation industries by varying degrees. The
study further found that the aviation, tourism, and other service industries
are greatly impacted by the pandemic. New infrastructure, Chinese patent
medicine, and other industries are steadily improving, similar to the medical
equipment and internet industries.
The study’s contribution is as follows. On the one hand, we develop the
industry accounting index to discuss the impact of COVID-19 from the
perspective of value creation, cost expenditure, inventory overstocking, and
EMERGING MARKETS FINANCE AND TRADE 2335
financial risk of the whole Chinese industry. On the other hand, we use big
data portrait technology to provide a detailed map of the impact of COVID-19
on various industries, so that macroeconomic policymakers can intuitively
understand the impact of COVID-19 on the industries, and how to promote
the recovery of the industrial chain after the outbreak.
this period showed a steady upward trend. The COVID-19 outbreak impacted
economic production, hotels, catering, and residential services – these indus
tries are hard hit. Notwithstanding, most industries in China are still on the
rise, and the manufacturing and sports & entertainment industry value crea
tion index increased significantly. On the whole, the basic industries, and
industry and commerce, which are related to national economy and people’s
livelihood, are more resistant to risks and have a higher stability in the face of
the sudden COVID-19 outbreak.
Under the premise of ensuring the stability of the industry value creation
index, the lower the industry’s cost index is, the more favorable the indus
try’s development will be. Table 2 shows the cost index of each industry,
from which it can be seen that the cost of mining and manufacturing
industries increased significantly under the influence of the pandemic, and
the cost of scientific research and sports and entertainment increased
slightly. This change shows that in the face of major public emergencies,
the government should focus on supporting industries, such as industry,
scientific research, and culture. In the process of resuming production after
the pandemic, policymakers should accelerate the implementation of the
“cost reduction” strategic concept and promote sustainable economic
development.
To a certain extent, the leverage index reflects the production status and
financial risks of enterprises. Table 3 shows that the leverage index of all
industries increased by varying degrees under the pandemic situation.
Among them, the manufacturing, information technology, and sports and
entertainment industries are greatly affected by the pandemic (i.e. the leverage
index significantly improved compared with other industries), and the finan
cial risk is very high. However, the financial leverage of the basic industry
remained stable. For companies with greater debt risk, they can use equity
financing, debt-to-equity swaps, etc., to resolve the short-term liquidity pres
sure brought about by single debt financing, and further enhance their ability
to resist risks. The government should also adopt policy assistance to reduce
the financial risks of enterprises and give enterprises an active role in the
process of epidemic prevention and control.
Table 4 shows the inventory index of various industries. The inventory
index of various Chinese industries shows a certain upward trend under the
influence of the pandemic. The sudden outbreak affected the original stable
supply chain structure. The normal circulation of products is blocked, result
ing in a backlog of inventory at the production end.
200
150
100
50
-50
-100
B C G H
I M R
Figure 1. Value creation index by industry.
112
110
108
106
104
102
100
B C G H
I M R
Figure 2. Cost index by industry. Note: B, C, G, H, I, M, R represent Mining, Manufacturing,
Transportation, Hotels & Catering, IT, Scientific research, Sports & Entertainment.
107
106
105
104
103
102
101
100
B C G H
I M R
Figure 3. Leverage index by industry.
Therefore, the overall operation of the industry is under pressure and the
ability to repay debts has been somewhat reduced – the financial risk has
become more serious. For information technology, and sports and entertain
ment, because personnel are unable to carry out normal work on the job,
various related activities stagnated leading to a decline in industry revenue,
2344 P. HE ET AL.
107
106
105
104
103
102
101
100
B C G H
I M R
Figure 4. Stock index by industry. Note: B, C, G, H, I, M, R represent Mining, Manufacturing,
Transportation, Hotels & Catering, IT, Scientific research, Sports & Entertainment.
which caused excessive pressure on corporate debts and increased the leverage
index. Judging from the inventory situation, the outbreak and the road block
ing measures adopted by various provinces was undoubtedly a direct blow to
the transportation industry. The transportation of mining enterprises’ pro
ducts is highly dependent on the smoothness of the road. The COVID-19
outbreak forced various cities to introduce various restrictions on public
transportation. The road blockade caused a large amount of inventory accu
mulation in the mining industry, which, in turn, was detrimental to the
production and operation of this industry.
4. Further Research
To visually show the COVID-19 impact on various industries using the
accounting indexes, we draw a big data portrait of the value creation index
for all 17 industries. The big data portrait used in this article refers to obtaining
the behavior index of various industries in China, using Internet technology to
build efficient, accurate and rich big data samples, and then abstracting the
characteristics of different industries under COVID-19. It can be clearly seen
from Figure 5 that residential service and hotels are heavily impacted by the
pandemic. In the face of the pandemic, manufacturing, and sports and enter
tainment showed the strongest response capacity, ranking first in the industry.
The reason for this phenomenon can be attributed to the fact that the COVID-
19 outbreak started around the Chinese New Year. With the promulgation of
home segregation measures, the continuous extension of the Spring Festival
EMERGING MARKETS FINANCE AND TRADE 2345
Figure 5. Big data portrait of changes in industry-wide value creation index. Note: The data in the
figure is the change of the value creation index in the first quarter of 2020 relative to the end of
2019.
Figure 6. Big data portrait of the value creation index of 25 industries. Note: The data in the figure
is the change of the value creation index in the first quarter of 2020 relative to the end of 2019.
Conflicts Of Interest
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
Funding
The National Social Science Fund of China [17BGL051], the Fundamental Research Funds for
the Central Universities [2018QN068], the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central
Universities [2019FR005] and the Beijing Social Science Fund [18GLB017], supported this
work
ORCID
Zhe Sun http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8890-0262
2348 P. HE ET AL.
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