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Current opinion
0195-668X/03/$ - see front matter © 2003 Published by Elsevier Ltd on behalf of The European Society of Cardiology.
doi:10.1016/S0195-668X(03)00438-X
Current opinion 1963
credible. This task is facilitated by the fact that major both the reduction in relative risk, as well as the
medical journals, which publish these studies, require absolute risk reduction in the total population who would
them to fulfil high standards as regards study design and be candidates for the therapy being studied.4 Thus, two
statistical methodology. Furthermore, it is important to studies may show a 33% reduction in relative risk of
be vigilant about potential sources of bias in the study: mortality, but in one, the mortality could be reduced
patient selection, their allocation to the randomized from 6% to 4% while in the other, from 30% to 20%. Both
arms, equivalent treatment except for the therapy being studies might well show the same level of statistical
tested, drop-outs/crossovers, definition of endpoints and significance, but clearly, the latter has a significantly
their evaluation when the study ends. Studies least sus- more compelling treatment benefit.
ceptible to such biases are those that are conducted in
many centres, not just one or a few; use proper ran- Guidelines and conflict of interest
domization schemes; apply methods to assure that
patient profiles and their therapies are similar for Expert guidelines are expected to be objective, impartial
the development of guidelines should include the con- the guidelines created under such circumstances — might
cept of ‘affordability’ of a medical therapy has recently be interpreted by the health administration as a sign of
been raised. As previously anticipated, the official pos- our lack of confidence in the validity and strength of the
ition of the ESC is in disagreement with this approach, data itself. That in turn will diminish the impact of the
and it will therefore not be adopted in ESC guidelines, for work of researchers and of the investigators involved in
the reasons indicated below. clinical trials. Conversely, maintaining the focus on the
First of all, the guidelines produced by the ESC are medical/scientific evaluation of new data will direct the
endorsed and implemented in a variety of different health authorities in their deliberations on a proper
countries. It is therefore impossible to provide an accu- allocation of funds for medical care. In particular, the
rate economic assessment that would be simultaneously inclusion of the magnitude of benefit of a tested therapy
applicable in a set of healthcare systems as profoundly as a key criterion for its recommendation in Guidelines
different as those present in the 47 ESC member will aid these authorities in setting out priorities for
countries. allocating funds to new therapies or indications.