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Krati Rajoria
Assistant Professor, Amity Law School, Amity University Madhya Pradesh
email: rajoria88@gmail.com
Abstract
Debate around merger of PSBs to consolidate them into 6 mega-banks has
geared-up, with the recent merger of SBI with 5 other associate banks, The
paper makes a case for consolidation of PSBs in order to reduce NPAs,
increase efficiency and improve risk diversification. The author looks at
whether bank consolidation improves bank healthiness and stabilizes the
banking system. The paper is divided into five parts. Part I is the
Introduction; Part II deals with the rising NPA problem in Public Sector
Banks and identifies the reasons for the same; Part III Traces the history of
the banking system consolidation; Part IV analyses the practicality of the
consolidation of banks; Part V provides for recommendations and
conclusion. The paper concludes with author making an effective case for
consolidation. While many issues such as inter alia human resource,
evaluating business and performance of the two banks, geographical limits
and ‘too big to fail’ policy of the government needs to be revisited,
consolidation of banks seems imminent and a way out at least to some extent
to manage the NPA menace.
1. Introduction
1
Arun Jaitely, Budget Speech 2016-2017 available at http://indiabudget.nic.in/ub2016-
17/bs/bs.pdf (p.18).
2
Cabinet approves merger of 5 associate banks with SBI, Economic Times, June 15, 2016.
PSBs continue to hold the highest level of stressed advances ratio at 14.5
per cent as opposed to Private Sector Banks (‘PVBs’) or Foreign Banks
(‘FBs’). 3 According to India Ratings and Research, impaired assets are
likely to rise to 12.5 per cent of loans in 2016-17, from 10.8 per cent in
FY15.4 The primary stressed advance ratios were observed within the basic
metal, metal products, construction and textiles sector. As of March 2016,
gross NPA of 40 listed banks were at INR 5.82 trillion. The aggregate gross
NPA of PSBs at the end of September quarter earnings was Rs.6.49 trillion
which is a 97% increase from Rs.3.29 trillion at the same time in 2015.5
Till 1997 when bad loans were on a rise, Indian banks dramatically lowered
their NPA below global average of 7% by 2006. But after 2008, both PSBs
3
Reserve Bank of India, Financial Stability Report, June 2016, available at
https://rbidocs.rbi.org.in/rdocs/PublicationReport/Pdfs/0FSR2316BB76DB39BF964542B9
D1EBE2CBC273E7.PDF, (p.23). (Last visited on December 21, 2017)
4
Stressed assets ratio of banks to rise to 12.5% in FY16, The Hindu, Feb 2, 2016, available
at http://www.thehindu.com/news/cities/mumbai/business/stressed-assets-ratio-of-banks-to-
rise-to-125-in-fy16/article8181866.ece. (Last visited on December 21, 2017)
5
Ashwin Ramarathinam & Sahib Sharma, Bad loans continue to pile up at banks in Q2,
Livemint, November 15, 2016.
and PVBs took a different view on what to do with bad loans and how to
prepare balance sheets.6 This led to rising NPAs in PSBs which was more
than that of PVBs.
6
Sugata Ghosh, Concerted action and not blind mergers will help tackle NPAs at public
sector banks, The Economic Times Blogs, January 18, 2016.
7
Master Circular - Prudential Norms on Income Recognition, Asset Classification and
Provisioning pertaining to Advances, RBI/2015-16/101, July 1, 2015, (pp. 4.2.5), available
at https://rbidocs.rbi.org.in/rdocs/notification/PDFs/101MC16B68A0EDCA9434CBC239
741F5267329.PDF. (Last visited on December 24, 2017)
8
Charan Singh & Jagvinder Singh Bar, Stressed Assets and Banking in India, April 2016,
Working Paper No. 507, IIMB-WP N0. 507, available at
https://www.iimb.ernet.in/research/sites/default/files/WP%20No.%20507.PDF. (Last
visited on December 24, 2017)
9
NPAs, low loan demand block for lending despite huge deposit: Study, The Economic
Times, December 1, 2016.
10
Sangita Mehta, Infrastructure, metals and textile sector have contributed most to the
stressed loans, The Economic Times, June 28, 2016.
11
Fitch Ratings downgrades Indian Banking sector outlook ‘negative’, Business Standard,
July 5, 2016.
12
Raghuram Rajan, Resolving stress in banking sector, June 22, 2016, ASSOCHAM –
Interactive Meet with Industry & Trade, Bengaluru, available at https://rbidocs.rbi.org.in
/rdocs/Speeches/PDFs/RSBS220616AF29FC8F00A048B58685073669B575C5.PDF. (Last
visited on December 24, 2017)
was high, deposits in PSBs were rapid and many infrastructure projects
were financed. The banks extrapolated the past growth and over-estimated
the future growth, which was blemished by global financial crisis. Second,
lending by PSBs is tarnished by senseless enthusiasm and excessive
dependence on evaluations by others. Due to inefficient post-lending
monitoring and loan recovery system, many banks do not receive the
interest. In many cases the PVBs were more agile in securing their
collaterals from promoters or getting repaid even as PSBs supported
projects with fresh loans.
In the working paper by Charan & Jagvinder Singh13, the case study on
tractors appropriately highlight the contrast in approach between loans
advanced by PSBs and PVBs. The verification process of the loan,
application, repayment capability and recovery plan in PSBs is not robust.
There is no follow up by PSBs after the loan is dispensed and no strict
recovery regime. PSBs are reluctant to repossess (say) the tractor, many
times because of political reasons unlike PVBs.
13
Supra note 8.
14
Report of The Committee to Review Governance of Boards of Banks in India, May 12,
2014, available at https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/PublicationReportDetails.aspx?ID=784#CH4.
(Last visited on December 24, 2017)
15
M.S. Sriram, Governance reforms in Banks: Nayak Committee Report, Business Today,
May 20, 2014, available at http://www.businesstoday.in/opinion/columns/m.-.s-sriram-on-
governance-reforms-in-banks/story/206375.html. (Last visited on December 30, 2017)
16
Six reasons why bad loans are a menace in India, according to Raghuram Rajan, May 1,
2016, DNA, available at http://www.dnaindia.com/money/report-six-reasons-why-bad-
loans-are-a-menace-in-india-according-to-raghuram-rajan-2207976. Last visited on
December 30, 2017)
17
Outlook for stressed assets markets in India, 2014, Alvarez & Marsal, available at
https://www.alvarezandmarsal.com/sites/archive/files/sidebar-callouts/india-stressed-
assets.pdf. Last visited on December 30, 2017)
18
Indian banks should aim to be in world’s top 10: PM Modi, NDTV Profit, January 3,
2015.
19
See: Fitch: India Bank Consolidation positive in long-term, March 9, 2016,
https://www.fitchratings.com/site/pr/1000697. Last visited on December 30, 2017)
20
Manojit Saha, Public sector bank consolidation: A painful journey ahead, The Hindu,
March 27, 2016.
21
M Jayadev & Rudra Sensarma, Mergers in Indian Banks: An analysis,
https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/1639429.pdf (p.8-9). (Last visited on December 30, 2017)
22
Kaoru Hosono, Koji Sakai & Kotaro Tsuru, Consolidation of banks in Japan: Causes
and Consequences, RIETI Discussion Paper Series 07-E -059,
http://www.rieti.go.jp/jp/publications/dp/07e059.pdf (p.32). (Last visited on December 30,
2017)
Many other countries such as inter alia, United Kingdom and United States
of America also went for massive banking sector consolidation to get rid of
non-performing loans, which proved useful in the long run. For example,
The Riegle-Neal Interstate Banking and Branching Efficiency Act, 199427 in
the USA allowed banks to consolidate their operations under one band. It
also encouraged the banks to expand, diversify their holdings and realize
economies of scale.28 These processes made banking simpler for customer,
increased financial stability and improved bank efficiency.29 The same has
23
Id.
24
IMF working paper, José Garrido, Emanuel Kopp & Anke Weber, Cleaning-up Bank
Balance sheets: Economic, Legal and Supervisory Measures for Italy, 2016,
https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2016/wp16135.pdf (p. 4). (Last visited on
December 30, 2017)
25
International Monetary Fund, GLOBAL FINANCIAL STABILIT Y REPORT:
FOSTERING STABILIT Y IN A LOW-GROWTH, LOW-RATE ERA, October 2016,
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/gfsr/2016/02/pdf/text.pdf (p.10); David Lawder, IMF
says European banks need urgent asset clean-up, consolidation, Reuters, October 5, 2016.
26
German banks falling behind, Reuters, http://www.dw.com/en/german-banks-falling-
behind/a-36663330. (Last visited on December 30, 2017)
27
Pub. L. No. 103-328, 108 Stat. 2338 (1994) (codified in 12 U.S.C.).
28
Indick, Murray A. & Satish M. Kini, The Interstate Banking and Branching Efficiency
Act: New Options, New Problems, 112 Banking L.J. 100, 1995.
29
Hubert P. Janicki and Edward Simpson Prescott, Changes in the Size Distribution of U.S.
Banks: 1960–2005, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Economic Quarterly, Vol. 92/4, p.
296, Fall 2006; James Barty and Tommy Ricketts, Promoting competition in the UK
Banking industry, June 2014, https://www.bba.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/BBA
_Competition_Report_23.06_WEB_2.0.pdf (p. 51). (Last visited on December 30,
2017)
Historically, India has been slow in bank consolidation that has left the
sector highly fragmented. Despite many recommendations of merging PSBs
and creating a conducive environment for mergers and amalgamations in
reports such as Narasimham Committee Report I (1991)30 and II (1998) and
Rakesh Mohan- led Committee on Financial Sector Assessment, 31 the
consolidation of Indian banking sector has been debated and discussed for
many years.
Many Experts have believed from a very long time that India has too many
PSBs which compete in the same geography and have roughly similar
business models.32
There are primarily two kinds of bank consolidation. The first is a voluntary
merger and the other is merger of banks done from the perspective of
resolution of weak banks.
30
Chapter VII, Organisation, Methods and Procedures in Banks, NARSIMHAN
COMMITTEE REPORT ON THE FINANCIAL SYSTEMS, (November 16, 1991).
31
India’s Financial Sector An Assessment available at https://www.rbi.org.in
/scripts/PublicationReportDetails.aspx?ID=544 (Last visited on December 30, 2017)
32
Polling synergies, Beyond Markets, Volume 8 Issue 07 | 01st - 15th Jul ’16,
http://www.nirmalbang.com/BeyondMarketNew/Beyond%20Market%20-
%20Issue%20123.pdf (p.7). (Last visited on December 30, 2017)
33
RBI approved ING Vysya - Kotak Mahindra merger, Business Standard, April 2, 2015.
34
M Jayadev & Rudra Sensarma, Mergers in Indian Banks: An analysis,
https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/1639429.pdf. (Last visited on December 30, 2017)
35
Sec. 44 A of the Banking Regulation Act, 1949 provides for a detailed Procedure for
amalgamation of banking companies subject to the sanctioning of the amalgamation
scheme by Reserve Bank of India
Before 1999, most mergers were of the second kind, however post that
period there has been an increasing trend of voluntary mergers but mostly
among PVBs. The PSBs seem to have bypassed the trend despite
opportunities existing.
As a result, the second edition of Gyan Sangam, which took place in March
2016, the discussion was on how to consolidate the banks than whether to
consolidate the banks.41 The Finance Ministry proposed to formulate a bank
consolidation committee and tweak laws such as the SARFESI Act and laws
with respect to Debt Recovery Tribunals.42
36
Sec. 45 of the Banking Regulation Act, 1949 provides for Power of Reserve Bank to
apply to Central Government for suspension of business by a banking company and to
prepare scheme of reconstitution of amalgamation.
37
Supra note 29.
38
Report to the People, UPA Government (2004-2008) available at
http://archivepmo.nic.in/drmanmohansingh/upa_en_2004-08.pdf (Last visited on January
13, 2018)
39
PSU Bank officers stage protest at Gyan Sangam, NDTV Profit, March 4, 2016.
40
Supra note 21 at 5.
41
Supra note 33 at 6.
42
Gyan Sangam 2016 ends; Focus on bank consolidation, NPAs, Money Control, March 7,
2016, http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/gyan-sangam-2016-ends-focusbank-
consolidation-npas_5776541.html. (Last visited on January 13, 2018)
Looking at the Indian banking scenario which seems too fragmented (the
Herfindahl-Hirschmann Index ‘HHI’ for Indian banking sector using square
of on-balance sheet market share of all banks in the system is 518.53 which
is very low proving there is room for consolidation) 48 it is advisable to
consolidate banks which have relatively strong capital ratios and are in a
better position to withstand shocks to asset quality.
43
Fitch: India Bank consolidation positive in long-term, March 9, 2016,
https://www.fitchratings.com/site/pr/1000697. (Last visited on January 13, 2018)
44
Govt. considers merging 26 banks into six big lenders, Business Standard, June 22, 2016.
45
Supra note 30 at 6.
46
Sharan poovanna and Nidheesh M.K., Indian banking system highly fragmented, needs
consolidation: R. Gandhi, Livemint, April 23, 2016.
47
M Damodaran, Is merging PSU banks good idea? Experts debate pros and cons, Money
Control, August 3, 2014.
48
R. Gandhi, Consolidation among Public Sector Banks, April 26, 2016,
https://www.rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_SpeechesView.aspx?Id=999. (Last visited on January
13, 2018)
Further, with growing India companies, the demand for large scale credit
will become rampant which can only be met by large and strong PSBs.
Hence, the banks will also have to grow in size to meet the demand of huge
credit in an efficient, competitive and well-capitalized manner. 49
Consolidation of banks will also lead to lesser number of bank branches in
urban areas where there are too many branches of different banks in the
same area. Consolidated banks will apply stricter standards to recognize
NPAs than before thereby resulting in increase in disclosed NPA.50
The only support could be from the government, which can infuse equity
capital to shore up capital buffers. 53 The capital adequacy ratio of most
PSBs with the exception of Bank of Baroda and Bank of India is not close to
the minimum capital adequacy levels required under Basel III norms.54 As
per Basel III norms banks must have an adequacy ratio of 10.25% by March
2017 11.5% by March 2019.55
49
Supra note 40 at 7
50
Supra note 22 at 5.
51
Charan Singh, Don’t merge loss-making banks, privatize them, The Hindu, July 1, 2016.
52
Moody’s Investors Service, Moody's: Consolidation of Indian banking system presents
greater risks than benefits, June 28, 2016, https://www.moodys.com/research/Moodys-
Consolidation- of- Indian- banking- system- presents- greater- risks-than--PR_351286.
(Last visited on January 13, 2018)
53
Id.
54
https://www.bis.org/bcbs/basel3/compilation.htm (Last visited on January 13, 2018)
55
Vishwanath Nair, Public sector Banks mergers face many hurdles, Livemint, October 12,
2016.
56
Speech of Arun Jaitley, Budget 2016-2017 February 29, 2016 available at (pg.18)
https://www.indiabudget.gov.in/ub2016-17/bs/bs.pdf
57
B Yerram Raju, Why consolidation of Indian banks is no cure to ills, Money Life, March
10, 2016, http://www.aibea.in/upload/flashnews/20160321.pdf (p.5). (Last visited on
January 13, 2018)
58
Supra note 21 at 5.
59
C.R.L. Narsimhan, State Bank of India consolidation has many benefits, but it is not
without pitfalls, THE WIRE, June 27, 2016.
with Punjab National Bank. The two banks might also be using two
different technology platforms, which could be a challenging task to
integrate. For example, merger of Global Trust Bank with Oriental Bank of
Commerce wherein former used a more sophisticated technology platform
as compared to latter took about a decade to assimilate.60
60
Supra note 48.
61
BoI, Union Bank set to merge in April, Business Standard, February 6, 2013,
http://www.business-standard.com/article/finance/boi-union-bank-set-to-merge-in-april-
104100601026_1.html
62
Surabhi, Bank consolidation: No major decision likely till FY17, Business Line, March
18, 2016, http://www.aibea.in/upload/flashnews/20160321.pdf (p.2). (Last visited on
January 13, 2018)
63
Supra note 21 at 5.
64
SBI, associate banks merger may be a costly affair: Credit Suisse, The Economic Times,
October 29, 2016; Supra 45 at 11.
65
M Damodaran, Is merging PSU banks good idea? Experts debate pros and cons, Money
control, August 3, 2014.
66
SBI-associate banks merger re-defines union-management relationship, Business
Standard, October 3, 2016.
There must be a strategic vision which creates value of both merging banks
else a weak bank combined into a strong bank may result in a weak
combined entity if done in hurriedness or not handled properly. 67 For
example, according to a report by Credit Suisse (2016), the gross NPAs at
SBI’s associate banks more than doubled to 13.2% at the end of September
2016 as opposed to 6% last year.
This will transpire into 23% rise in SBI’s consolidated NPAs just from the
associates. 68 Hence, the merging of associate banks would outweigh the
benefits in the short-term as bad loans are expected to mount at the units.
Experts have further argued that consolidation should take place in an
optimistic and confident environment while being driven by inherent
strength of the banking system and not to escape from the problem of rising
NPAs.69
Mega size banks may also pose a systemic risk to the economy and may not
always be beneficial to the economy. The 2008 financial crisis also
highlighted the problems created by large banks, which are seen as ‘too big
to fail’. In fact most mega-mergers in banking industry took place to take
advantage of government’s ‘too big to fail’ policy.70
67
Supra note 21 at 5.
68
SBI, associate banks merger may be a costly affair: Credit Suisse, The Economic Times,
October 29, 2016.
69
Consolidation in Indian Banking sector: Pros and Cons, May 19, 2016,
http://www.jagranjosh.com/current-affairs/consolidation-in-indian-banking-sector-pros-
cons-1463665135-1. (Last visited on January 13, 2018)
70
Youssef Cassis, Crises and opportunities: The Shaping of Modern Finance, Oxford
University Press, (p. 64).
71
Supra note 5 at 2.
The PSBs need to have a look at inter alia, their structure, functioning
methods, financial and risk management. They must actively participate in
the financial markets especially in the derivate instruments for hedging their
risks, retail banking in PSBs must be completely over-hauled in terms of
instruments, products and methods for deployment and PSBs must chart out
a clear capital raising plan for over the next 5 years.72 Bringing in credible
outsiders to state-owned banks and arranging a fund-line in a way that does
not bloat the equity of the banks can help reduce NPA in banks.73 With bad
loans in PSBs growing by 80,000crores in last three months (July-
September) it will help banks to be vigilant if government declares
exposures of banks in sectors and highlight the sectors that have stressed
assets on a quarterly basis. 74 The banks must also not be influenced by
politicians and lend in a specific sector, for example, steel.75
72
R. Gandhi, Public Sector Banks: At crossroads, January 12, 2015,
https://www.rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_SpeechesView.aspx?Id=932. (Last visited on January
13, 2018)
73
Supra 6 at 3.
74
Bad loans in Public Sector Banks grow by 80,000 cores in 3 months, The Indian Express,
November 30, 2016.
75
Id.