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Venttsel Es Ovcharov La Prikladnye Zadachi Teorii Veroiatnos
Venttsel Es Ovcharov La Prikladnye Zadachi Teorii Veroiatnos
P (B) px (a— by >a + b.
1.18. Hs svuKa, conepyamero n nepenyneponanitx names, Hay
yraa BenutslaloT ONO $4 APYTHM Bce NaxonaINHErs B Hes HaXeMA. Haitrit
Bepontuocts Toro, 470 HOMepa BUAYTEIX usLeAMl SyAyT AAT MO NOpARKY:
TD y seep the
OTper. Val
1.19. Tor ae amt, aro 5 B Mpenyzymell samane, HO KarKMOE HIMeHTKE
nocsle DMuMaIKs BKAMBIBAeTEN OGpaTHO H MepencmABacTeA © APYTH-
MH, a ero KoMep sanncumaeres. Hair peposruocrs Toro, ¥to GyneT 8a-
mucana ectectacHHan nocteNosarembrHocTs HOMepOB: 1, 2, vous Me
Orpen, Unt
1.20. B postirpanue nepsencrsa no Gacker6o.ry ysactayior 18 xowaita,
3 KOTOpEIX caysralluBin O6pasows (boparnpyioren ABE FPytitL NO 9 KOMAHA
“41s xamaoh. Cpemit yaacranxos copennonaHna umeetes 5 KOWAHA aKeTpa-
tunica, Halita sepoarnocti cnenyiomitX coGorrit
A = (ce Komanast sketpakacca TOMaAyT B ONY Wt TY 2Ke TpyAnY},
B — {we Konangat axerpaxacca nonaayr B oaity us rpynn, a Tpit
P apyryio).
Other
P(A) = 28s Ls peg) ESTA CH
he 4 Che 7
1.21. Hexto xynta xaprouxy Cuopraoto H onserna B stelt 6 13 HaHeI0-
nie 49 Homepon, noc Yero B Tuparke pasbirpuBarOTes 6 eDLAKrpABIIHX>
voepon u3 49. Halirn nepostocra catenyiouux coOuriii:
Ay = {bopHo yrazamu 3 BaurpaRIuNx Hoepa us 6};
Ay = (sepio yranamat 4 Homepa 13 6};
Ay = {oepuo yranawat 5 Howepon us 6);
Ay = {sepuo Yragaus sce 6 Kovepos),
Pemex me. 3aqaya skBKeaNerTHa BEMHMaHMO GmapoB 3 ypub, B
xor0pofi 6 Gems wapos (nettrpansie oMepa) n 49 —6 = 43 weprcx
(ne Bunrpasmne).
Play Eee #0,01765; P(A) = ACL + 0,000869;
Age ~0,00001845; P(A.) By TOMB 10-.
1.22. Ha yensirn Kaprowxax wanicamnt nupput: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8.
Tine ua BAX BHHNMaOTeA Hayran m YKtaRMBaIOTeR wa CToM B MOpANKe
hosmienns, seven ShTaeTcs HoayTennoe siten0, Hanpanep O7 (cemb), 14
(oerupnamtats) wt. n, Haétra nepostHocrs Toro, aro wute70 GygeT werHEIN,
Pemex we, Yersocrs wncia onpexenserea ero nocneanelt nubpof,
soropan RoMKHAa Gln erHOH (nym — TORE WeTHIOe YuC.IO). HleKOMAy
hepoATHocty €CTh HePORTHOCTE TOrO, TO Ha BrOPOM MecTe TlOABHTE: ONO
tis mcer 0, 2, 4, 6) 8, 1. €. 5/9.
1.23. Ha ‘nist Kaprowax sanucanst mbps: 1, 2,3, 4,5. JIse ns
hax, nwa 3a npyrok, pumunvaores. Hafitn pepoarkocrs Toro, ¥ro HCN
ia Bropoit KeprouKe Gyaer GoaLue, ¥eM Ha NepBOit.
Pemenie. Onur nicer 18a soamoacunix Hexone
A = {ptopoe wnct0 Gomme nepsoro};
B = (stopoe wncT mexeme mepnoro}.
‘Tax Kak yeropua onmira cHumerprumt orHocHTeRDHO A 1 B, To P (A)
=P (B) = 1/2.
1.94, B auqaxe taxoaares oxorHnue HaKeTUR, HaroTORTeKHELe pas
liv saBORAMH; Ha HUX @ HEReAKA HsroTOBTeHE sabonoM I, 6 Hanee —
saporom II, ¢ wazeni% — sapoxom LJ. Hs ama paumaor onto 3a
TPYTHM nce HAXOATIWECH D HEM HIAERUS H OTMeAIOT MeCTA HX HSTOTOR-
aici, Hlafira sepost#ocrs Toro, uno UpiC sTOM HisTeMNe saRORA T KoRBiET-
ca paubuie, vem w3xemne saBona IT
6
Peme nue. B yexonnux sana nanimine wus oreyreraNe 8 auuxe|
sgeauil sagoza TUL pom we urpaer; HeKOMax seposrHocts papita Hepo-
aTHOCTH BEIHYTS MepELM HORE TE SazoTa Tus AMKA, rme a UAC 3
ona 1m b uogeantl sapoaa II, 1. c. a/ (a|- 6). i
1,95, Hivesores gba suika, conepxKAUNIX THTORBIe SaeKeNTH Saxcese |
(798). B nepuoss sauuxe @ uenpisiuax T93 1 6 weuenpabibtx; Ho BrOpoM —
¢ nenpaBMZx ud Hercupapanx. Vs Kaxoro suuKa Rayray BHMMAeTCA |
no oavomy T93. Haier wepomsioet® Toro, wo 06a T93 Syayr senpapuse-
Pemenne, Kanai T9309 mepsoro autnKa momer KoMOmENpO-
parses ¢ Kamnuns T93 3 wrOporo; seo caytaes x = (a+ 6) (c+ d).
Yuet Graronpuarunx cayyaes m = acy vepostwocrs coOwTiE paBita
ac} Ila + 6) (c+ @))
1.26. B ycnosusx samaun 1.95 wait nepostiiocts toro, wro pumyne
793 Gynyr pasansEN nO KaveeTBy,
Orpen, (ad + dey! Ma + a) + al.
1.27. B tex xe yenoanax wait sepostiocts Toro, To ofa Bamyrax
93" Gyayr newenpans
Orper. biilla+b\lo-+ a].
1.28, B smpixe mmeerey k aepenywepouanmux oanotnmautx wogemalt
c woxepann 1,2,..., A. Ho ania f pas sunimaeres wayran To onKoMy
HaTeAMiO, eTo HOMeP SAMHCHBACTEA H NSAETHE KaazeTes OGPATKO B RMI
Hafirn sepoatiioers p Toro, "To nce sanneautmse Honepa Oyzy? pasmuuns.
Pomenne, Uncro cayyaes 2 Unero Grarompnatiesx cay
‘yaa panvo unc-ry pasmenteniil x3 R anemesttos n0 1, te. mt = & (& — 1)...
ve (2 — L$ 1). Beposraocrn coOnris
m _ kit (FW)
pot Di)
or
1,99. Hs natu 6yxa paspesHoll aa6yxm cocraBteHo ca0s0 «xaurar.
PeGesiox, Re Yocom unTarh, Paccsinar 37H GyKkSE tt SaTeN COOpam B Npo-
nasoabuons nopastke. Hlalith BepostHocrb p Toro, W70 y nero cHosa nomy-
‘iltocb eToBO exrura
Orper. p = V5! = 1/120
1.30, Tor 2Ke Bonpoc, cca Gsin0 cocrab.teHo ewiouo eaeastaes.
Pemenue, Udero caysaes n —6'; aueto Oaaronpustscx eay-
‘aen yake ue oauHL, KaK B2aaae 1.29, am — 3121, rax Kak noBTopmoMue-
ca GYKnW £27 H E> NOAUIO UPONSLOAPNAIM OGpAsMAL NepecraBAT NEKAY
coGo: p = 3! 261 = 1/60.
1.31. Vis nomiofi xozomsi xapr (62 nucra, 4 macra) nummmaerca cpasy
HECKOTBKO KapT. CKONBKO KAPT HYKHO BHT! AIH TOFO, HTOGH ¢ BeposT-
nocTiiD, Combed wen 0,50, yrBepaktarn, 4TO CpeAH HUX GyAYT KANT ON
Holl w Tol 2Ke wacru?
Pemenwe. Ofoataiun A = {name cpean & setiyTisxX KapT He
mesee AByx omHOM NacTH}.
Tipu & ba; ma = Chs + 4; P (A) = 0,235 < 0,50.
Vpn & <8: n = CBsj ma == Cha - 4} ChaCho - 45 P(A) 0,602 >
> 0.50.
Hak, syano punyt & >> 3 xapr.
we
161.3. NV genonex eaywafinen o6pasow paccasxmpaoren 8a xpyraane
ctonion {NV > 2). Hatt seportaocrs p roro, sto aga dusenposanusx,
sauna Aw B oKaxyres pazom.
Pemenne. Ouee snca0
Gnaronpusruix caygaen m. oy x
saa n= Nt; nogcwrmupaen anon
an Au B oxo nocaznns pros
ABYMA cocoOaisH; yeraisuiax ~ —(W—- 2}! enocobawa; roraa m=
ON (N-—9)I; p =2N(V~- 2M —2/ (V—1). Sry ae sanayy
MOrkHO pemnith upome: nycrh mmo A caauven Kyaa YromNo; TorRa yan B
oeraeret N — 1 necro, 03 Wax 2 Gxaronpustmnix: p — 2/ (N — 1)
1.38, Ta ae sanama, Ho cto npswoyroapnuil, uN senonex pacea~
aubaosen caysalind BAO ontOH Hs ¢TO cTOpO:
Pewenive, a —Wh; 6xaronpuarune oxyaar Neanres! Ha ARe Fpyn-
uot 1) A ensvr ¢ xpao; 2) A enaurr ne © Kpaio. Tuend nepporx ity
2 — Yl; aneao sropyix my = 2(N — 2) (N — 2)! p = (my
yin == 2 (WN — 1) (N — QUANT
1.34. Hneetea M oncpatopos a N nepexyweposautiix npx6opos, xo-
sopure Ouit MoryT oGeayaaiBaTb. Kexault oneparop BuSupaer exryeaiiasnt
odpasom He OAMIAKOROH RepostTHIOETeIO uOGo! LIPKGOP, Ho c YeTOBHEM,
‘To HH OAK UPNGOD He MOET OGeayzeHNAI Les GOALIE, YEN OKI oTepa-
ropom. Haliru seporraocts toro, wo Gyayr suGpamn Rag OGeayzxi52-
uti mpuopet ¢ Howepamut 1, 2, .... M.
Peuren me, Uucao cnocoGos, xoropanat woo pacnpexeaurs M
onepatopos no NV npuGopast, paso axcny paswemenvi 13 N snementow
uo M: 2 = N (N— 1)... (V—M +1), Ho yeaonnaw saaaay we ari
ca0c0GH paBHOReposTHKL, 7. @. LpeneranimoT codoR rpynny caysaes.
Ueto Gnaronpustasx caysaee (pH XOTOpHX oGeayUBaOTeS TOABKO
uepatie M npHGopoa) panno m
M! Oreiona wexomas BeposTHocTE
Mt
Pp
Tp. aD
1.35, B sumuxe mweetcs K TS3, 13 anx Ky saementos 1-ro tuna, .. «
. Km sacventon m-ro tana; SK; = K. Hs
at
suka BLGMpaOT nayrag & T23. Hair vepoatHocts Toro, TO cpews HIX
Gyzer 4, TSS L-ro vita, ..., Ry 7 iro Tana, ..., &_ TIS m-ro tana.
Pee tne, Obince nico enysaen n pasiio uneay enoco6os, Ax
nH MOxKHO BaHyTH & T93 v3 K: n= Ck. Uncao Gaaronpuarapix cay 4aen
Ky saemento3 i-vo Tena,
m~CR Chie Cll = TT Cal,
vax
a fy T93 nepnoro tina vorHO RuGpaTk Ck, cTOCOGAMI, «yyy T2B
m-ronuna—C" enocoGavi, H Bee 2TH enocoGs noryr vounnnposeten
eaay co6ot. Hexowas sepost
1.36. B oraesenue cash noctymiino 4 Tenerpawacs; Boero umeercR
Neruipe Kawaxa coin, Texerpammet caywalimsin oOpasom pacnpexenmor-
cx NO KaHamanG; KamAAM TeeTpaNra C OAHO! # TOH Ie BeposTHOCTEIO ne
penaetes no moGomy Ha sersIpex Kawanos. Halite Beposrnocrs coGuTast
A = (xa ona 13 KawazoD nonaayr TpH Tenerpanwet, Ha pyro — ona
‘Tonerpania, a ABA ocraBMmuxcn KaNana Syay? He sarpyiKeH).
Pemenne, Odmee wicno cayyacs n= 4%, Yneno crocoson, Ka-
KUNH MOXHO BOATS OWN KAILaN, Wa KOTODEAfL HONaxeT TPH TeTerpaMt,
Ch = 4; anexo cnoco6os, KaKiIsH MO>sHO BIAOpaTD Kala, Wa KOTOpEIT NO-
axer Onna Tenerpanina, CJ =3. Unexo enocoGon, wakitnit xorKtO BiuGpatb
ia uenmipex TeerpamM TpH, ATOGM HANPABHTs UX BONN Kallas, CL — 4.
OGuee weno GnaroupusTinx eayuaes ma —4- 3-4.
P(A) = main =4- 3-4/4 = 3/16.
1.37. M renerpasm caysaliutns o6pasom pacuperensores no N Ka
nanas coaan (NV > M), Haiinn seposruocrs co6scri
A = {na Kaxwait Kana npwjercs Me Gomme ONNOH Texerpaxans).
Pemenwe. Odinee sicao crysaes N. Uneao ctiocoGo, KaxuNt
Moxno BaGpars M Kananos x3 N, sroGs Hanpabnts Ha KHX mo OAKO! Te
aerpanme, paso CH. Une cnoco6os, KakEMH MoxHO BRIGpars us M.
Tenerpayns ORY H Hampaniit® ee 8 nepBiad 3 oTweKeHMEEX KatlanoB, paD-
no Cy = M; siteao cnocoSos, Kaklosit MoxHO BEIOpar Bropyto TesterpaNt-
My 13 ocrasumxea M —1, paso Cip1=M—1, wr. 2. OGmee stteo
Gaaronpratinix coGurmo caywaen Gyzer ma = M (M—1)...1 = Ml,
P(A) =CH- MUN,
1.38*, B orgeienue cass mocryniao M Tererpann, Koropue eny-
uailitson OGpaom pacnpenessiorest no N xatianam cBasa. Kanani nepe-
nymepovanti. Haitra nepostaocrs toro, 10 na I-A Katia tlomazer poBio
fy Tenerpanoy, Ha 2 Kanan —, venerpanat wa, Ha Noll Kaxan —
by venerpaun, npuyem >) &; = M.
Pemenne. Uneno cayyaca nN, Haxoxun uexo Gnaronpitst-
ux eayaes mi. Unteso en0co608, KaKinM NowHO BOATS Hs M Tenerpanat
ky, paso Ci; sHenO crocoSoB, KaKUMH MOwHO HS Octanuuxcs M — ky
Tenerpaum BuGpars ky, pasno Chis, ut. a. Une criocoGos, Kaka
mowsno 18 M— (by Fie + Ay—1) = hy Terlerpantc Bu6path kyr, P2Riio
Cit Bee sti antena HyxHo nepenioxnts,
m= CHC CR bay ay
Mt (Mae) IM (hy blah ev ait
“Ri @i—ay! klipe “ey oat yt
a Mt
z _
Bret A
iL
P(A)= min ot | (3 Tat).
81.39, B yenonuax sagas 1.37 walirn sepostnocrs Toro, Wro u3 NV
xatanon’ Gyser lg TAKAX, Ha KOTOPSIe Ke LONANer Ki ORMa TeerpaNma,
fy —TaKHX, wa KOTOpBIe MONaHeT posto OKA TeNerpaMMa, KT. £5
Jy vaKHx, "Ha Koropnie nonanyr ace M renerpawm: Ip + fy-+ w+
Hl = MN; 0+ hy $1 ht. + My = M.
Pemenwe, Odmee meno caytaes n = N*. Urots waitri aucz0
Gnaronpuarasix caywaes m, HY*HO HepeMHowtTh HCHO enocoGoB, KAKI-
MHL MODKHO BLIOPaTb Kanal, H HNEO CNOCOGB, KAKA MOrKHO BANGparb
renerpaints. UHeT0 eMOCOGOB, KAKUAHH KOIKHO BLIOPATe KaNasHs, PaBKO
Mu
NG! bo tw-=¥t | TL Bh
| eo
Haitzem uuero cnoco6os, KaKUMH MOKNO BEGpaTh Teaerpaxca. OxH
pacnagaores Ha rpynnst: Mavanbuas rpysma (ao 0 Tencrpamm) nyctaa;
ueppas coxepant /, reerpaw; Boodme k-a — kl, Tenerpawnt ( == 1, 2,
vy M), YkeI0 cndco6os, KAKEMH MOXHO BUOPATb Fpyinbt Teslerpain,
pan
A
Ci Gin (sig CEH
(1.39.1)
‘Teneps ompeneaunt uriesi0 cnoco6oR, KAKHMK MOXKHO BHIOpaTs Tenerpan-
ut BHYSpH AAA FpYHITN TAK, GTO. Me KanKBAl KARA NpMUBsIOGH MO k Te
werpanm. Qro wHes0 cnoco6os paso
(Bly) (EI BL... fl) = (Ady) (EAD "s,
7 ae
iy
41 aueno clocoGoB, KAKI MOXKKO BHIGpATs Bee TeNerpasM jun BeeX
"pYIM, paBuo upokaneneRMe TAKUX M-ceA juin pasERIS ki
au
on
ne. (1.39.2)
wat (et
MicpestsorKas (1.39.1) 1 (1.38.2), moxyaen sisca0 en0c0608, KARIN MOA
ho BEOpaTs Tenerpanssc:
a
TH (eit
i
TT titayt
MI
i
Th gs)
ay’
TI @y®
ket feat fet
Yomtoxkasl 910 Ha WHeRO cHocoGoB, KAKUMH MoxHO BLIGpar KaHaNes, Ha
AowIML WENO GrArONpUSTHRX enyyacn
x
Tr en
aa
w
Orcioza wepostaocrs mTepecyromero ac coGiuria
P(A) wt ait
aa (1.39.3)
fi
WMT at TT cn
1.40. Ha xpyraox 9kpaxe pantozoxatopa pantyea r uneeres ToxeN
oe iao6pankeiiie oGuerra M (pic. 1.40), sinuvawomee exysahuoe mo10-
etme DB mpezeaax 9spana, piven HH OHA. oOacTh
BnpeseAax oxpana He Mucer Mpeuyslecrs nepex
Apyroil (nsopaneane oGwexta snayrak GpocaeTea
ta okpai). Paccwarpimzeren coGutue A, cocroa-
mee oN, TO paccrostane p oT rower M ao eH
a oxpaita yet were, went r/2: A = fo < 112).
Halen neposttioer sore eGwrns
Pemeie, Ilpocrpanereo Q saesewrapytsx
coCsrilt — Bkytpestioers Kpyra paauyca r, O6.tacr
A sauxpuxonaua na pue. 1.40
Sa __ nti
Diay= 8 =
Bq
LAL. ineeren sarmrroponnas aewra mma L = 200 x, ua oGenx
cToponax KoTOpo! sanneaEr coodmenns; 1a onAOlk cTopoHe cooGulentNe
aauiet f, = 30 xt, #a apyroft — amicina Jy — 50 a; Mectonosiowertie 3a
cel seussecruo. B cosait ¢ nonpexpexnen exror Hay pHUlAOce YaatHTs
ee yuacrox Aauint fy = 10 m, Hawinaromuien a paccroamien 80 st OT Ha
gaia crease. Hafiri neposvuocre cneaywontux coOsriti
A= {un Ta, WH xpyran ganic He noppercteuts};
B = {nepsan sates nospestena, sropax — Her};
C = {etopaa samucs noapewmena, aepsas — ver);
{oGe sarnci nospenkitensr)
u ospesctena
i sanuce
100)
2
‘Mo8pesedena
sa 2s sanuece
WX
oa 50 300180 0 =
Pas, £44
20Pewense.Hs oro, 70 nomoxKoute
‘amicelt conepmienio yeNanectiio, — netaeN
Mino, VFO mIOGOe mHonOAKeHME Navara KarK-
aol m3 tx, pn KOTOpOM nest sameH
ynemzerca Wa dlerre, eros Ke MIpaDzo-
nox06110, Kak wioG0e Apytoe. AGcunccy Ha~
siasa nepsok samiter oGosuauin +, Btopoit
4g Tipocrpaxerso saemenrapiix coGurrisit —
hpssoyronounK aauinse Le — f= 170 at.
witeors L— ty = 150 mt (puc. 1.41). Ha
ye, 141 pastienait BHLAANHE AITDHXOBKM OT
exenst OOTACTH, COOTHETCTBYFOME MOBPOK-
cio Mepsof N BTOpoH sanmeeH, GyxBanmt
4, B,C, D —oGnact, coorsercrayiomme KaKAomy 3 coGurnl A,
B,C, D (sce atv oGaaers, Kpome D, cocrowr 43 sactel)
So = 170
Sa = 30 - 60 + 80 + 60+ 90 - 50 +
Puc, 142
150 = 25 500 my
80. 50 = 12 100 wy
Sp = 60 + 60 + 60» 50 = 6600 mt
So = 80 + 40 + 80 - 40 = 4400 x;
Sp = 60 - 40 = 2400 we.
P (4) = 0,474; P (B) = 0,259;
P (C) =0,173; P (D) = 0,094.
1.42, Tlo paznonanany B teveime npomemyrKa spewenn (0; 1) aepe-
jwoTes Apa cirhaca aawremsHocristo + < 1/2; Kansnetit 113 Hitx c OnKAKO-
of BoavOHoCTSIO HaWAHACTeR B TOGH Mowext HTepBana (0; 1 —1).
oan currama nepexpoor apyr apyra xoT# Got Yacritutio, O6a OMT HeK@Ka~
Tea H npukaTit Gath ne wory’. Haitr Bepostuocr» Tore, wto curHamu.
SyAYT MpHRsTe Ges HcKANeri.
Peweswe, Odosuasim x movenr nataa nepsoro curnaaa, y —
roporo, Fpoctparicrao aaemedrapwtix coGurif nokasanio ta puc. 1.42,
Surprxopannite oGaactH A coorsercrayiot coGsTH0:
A = {enrnami ne nexansemss} = {he — yl <1}.
P(A) = SalSa = (1 = 29° (I=
1.43. Vimewores ane mapasterprne ANNAN TeAepONNOM cans UEBE
J (pune. 1.43, a), paccrosime menay Kotopumm d < /. Vsrectno, ato na
KAKLO Ma IMAM Pyle-To ecrh paspsiB (HeASRECTHO, B KAKOM MecTe). Halt-
PH BeposTHOCTS Tora, uTO pacctosune R Mexay ToUKaMn paspyBa Oyner
ne Gomme a d 0; y > 0; ¥ -+ y <1; mpoctpanerso saewenrapiisx
cobs ecre BuyspertuaIN YacTH NpsIMOYrOaLHOTO TpeyromDuUKA C KATE
Tami, Papua eniurne; Sq — 1/2, Yeaoane A, arobis no orpesKon x,
y, 1 — (e+ y) moxno Ge110 cocraBHTs TpeyronbHHX, cBOMUTCH K BY
cheno: 1) cya aoGux zByx cropou Gonsiwe nperbelt; 2) pastiocn
OOKX EBYX cTOpoH MenBiNe TpeTbeH. Stosy yeroBRIo coormercrByer Tpe-
yrompiaa oGnacto A (puc. 1.44, 6) ¢naowanbo Sq = (1/2) (1/4) = 1/8;
P (A) = SaSq = 1/4.
1,45. Zadqua Bropiona. Tlaccsoors pasrpagmena napaamenbutant
npsmasu Ha paccrosiims L npyr or apyra (puc, 1.45, a). Ha naocxocts
2el
Pe, 145
wayran Spocacren uta (orpesox) anu £< L, Haiktn nepostuocts 10-
fo, 70 mira nepecexer KAKYIO-IIGYNG 19 HPAL.
Pewmenwe. Byxen xapanteprsogars tiexox ona (nomoentte sir
abi) Reyna ticnannt? a6cunccoft x MeHtpa Mrmr OTHOCHTeTbHO OmtoKaimel
TpsMof cieBa H yraoM p, KOTODLI CocTaBNaeT HTaa C HaNpaBrenNeM npA-
uaix (puc. 1.45, 6). Tor baxr, 70 uraa Gpocaerea ta maOcKOCTS HayTal,
GyLeM HOKUMATS ‘TAK, UO Bee BuAMEHHA xu ~P OAMHAKOBO BOSMOSKHLI.
Gresnatio, noxito (ne Tepan o€muKocTH) orpaKnants BosKonmEe a:aue-
ius x yaacrkom or O'n0 L/2, @ — or 0 no a/2, a BosMoxnocT nepeceue-
lex pacenarpimnan TomuKo Anak onwOM Ke npanLx (Gauonaikweh aeRO).
Upoctpanerso sremewrapnnx coGunui © — apamoyrosmunKe co eropor
naan L/2 uw x/2 (pic. 1.45, @); Se = Lx/4, Vieaa nepeceser upsimyio, ec-
ant aGenueea x ee uetpa GyaeT MeuBute, aon ({/2) sing: uMTepecyiomee:
tac coOsrie A= {x= (/2)sin@). Obnacrs A sammpuxonava na
pac, 1,45, 6, naomane ce
m2
Ls
j 5 sin gdp
:
Tpuwesanue. Sra goonyss, noayiemax Boftouoe ewe » XVI n,
sconionpamio. noatepranaee ‘vetepisterrasiaol tyovepee, Ant ero noxemmeaa:
‘ote tatrorn nepesesens nana cepam Spoeakinh C nowotney svo% popu
Iporssomeraecs aarme nprCaumennas ouensa sieaa st x Gua uoayseust BuOaMe
ysosnersopirezsawe pesyasraral.
Sa=
SABA 2
AJITEBPA COBbITHH. IIPABHJIA CHORKEHUS
H YMHOKEUMS BEPOATHOCTER
2.0. Ocuoimanc » reopun seposrwocrel sasamores Ke npamue, # xocnexmse
noroxin susimeaexol seponTHocteh, NOraa BeposTocrH uiTepecyoNK. ae eNO.
‘iit supamaroren seped veposiocrk gpyrix coGuou, © mum eoaaniux. Han
‘oro, lipene utero, uyxuo Ysters buparare ENrepecyouge lige COOMTH vepes
‘nye, Drone wens eapaur vax Maasacuay aseeOpa cofwmil. a4 COOwTaR Heo
‘ives ows seyinia cobtntf, enporspexee coats mw wekoTopHe APYEMEy
A raeme npaunaa Aohetonh e coGkrusnt, Sever, W90 8CC 91H UOIIAR BBOARTCR
23
we erste ec a ta ag Sa
‘eo ae Sacann srorasprnngrosnea (pce 2.01) Cane 1
Smee “ananarntd arto eoronones cobumt Ayy Agy voy Ay RASUBRETEA
coburne 3.Aj = Ay-+ Ag+ uct Any coerommes muszonmennm xors 63 onmero
it
Spe
ag
so tix, CymaupoaaTicn Hower m Geexone Doe (eretoe) een cosis
wey t Agta + Ante
Puc, 20.1 Puc, 202
ouster A.» B dpe ctu A 4 Bvanusuerc cobs, ccna»
oe es ee taint
Sa ye ct On dg be
unaerca coGurne HL Ay = Ay Ay Any coeronmee 9 copweeruow mumosnesn
cox ik eoturi Toepécevenne cogmerreyioas sions). epesmensnsen
oer n 6ecxoxernce (ctetsee) sueao cobtnnn: HAg = Aydy ms An oe
Hs ouperenewes cys nponsnexenua codaraf eaeayer, m0
ALA=A;A Aq A AtO= 0; AO AAT BA:
A+ B= 2B
wo AGB & AB=A
Bea, A SB: Rost m yusonenia coOuil e6zOxaT pazOM croenB, upHCY-
wx Sot caus Wyaoacento.
me prepemecinerumge eacone:
ALB BAS AsBO BoA.
2, Cowezareuioe enoierbo:
ALB) ECW At B+ OAC
3, Pacnpesemreautve caoteme:
A+ Os ABEAG. :
se oon euolrba vtcexaior no 7010, 0 eosumK ssa MMORCeTEANH (eH. £2, 1)
Bee are doc CoOumen ra coburn A (sero AOMOANEHRCH) ake
cron coonime T cocronice » weronbaeuun cosines A: A (A wo nomDunoce}.
on
A (BC).HtsoSpanckme nportBonoTorsHero cooNTHA RaNIO Ha pHc, 2.0.8, OGaacrk X sonoste
niser 30 tlonioro apoerpancrss 2.
Via ‘onpegeaenus: npotmBocionoxNore cobuTHA caeAyer, STO
H=4, Bo;
sero yGeaurees (pic. 2.0.4), wro ecru B
pue. 2.0.5) » encayiouux esoftereax nj
aFB
SSN
NS
N S
SS
Puc. 208 Puc. 204
Tipasuaa arespu cofurul nosnoamor, xonGunupya Mewxy coSoi panznamue
apoerwe cobisris, odpasonumars Apyrue, ‘Gorse esO-KLse.
Bepowraocrs cHoxuwx cOONVNH HORN DHCATE € MOMOMMD BepowrHocre
apymx, Gosee mpoctsix, nombayscs awyym OeOBERONM mpABIEAKO TeOPHH BepORT-
1) npawusow etoxceunst neposrmocrelt 4 2) mpasnoM YMROIKeNa Kepost-
mu bpaphaa Yacto NassmmoT ocMoSRENN TeODENAN TeOpHN DeposTROCTE!,
Tia catiow Acne of HBARWTER Teopercew TostPKO RAR COME CMYAACB, 2A OMIM
tos, ne cpoammixea x cxeMe cay¥aeD, BoOATTER axcHOMATHECKA.
U"rpavino exoxewnn neportsocrel. Beponminems eyaace Oeyx Hecoauecmnne
cobuti® paene qyuste eepoamuocniet mux cacumud, te. ean A~B— Qi, 70
PA+B)=PA+ PB) eon
amro Caio wnegeRO axcrioMarHecKH ¥ Yt I (aKextoma TH)
panto CHOMEANT BepoaTHOcTel TKO OGoSuaeTeR sia eAYsaHl MponsRoabNO-
so auedta'n wecommecruax cofirua: cca Ay» Ay— Q apud ej, 70
P ( Sy “)
Mpannzo caomenus oGo6maeTca M Ha crywait Geckowesnora (cucTHOTO) YREMA CO-
eee ee ay ee an ESR
P ( 3 a) -3 P(A)
oA
(6 axenomy TUL ra.
His noasuaa caomesius neposmoeret nssrexaer, 70 ecau cOGwMUa Ayy Ags os
An necostecmnee u o6pasyom Roaigin cpynny, mo cyanea ux éepoaminoemed Pati
esuauage; Te. eeu
> Pan.
oh
2.0.2)
2.0.3)
Ban 8, Ardea woe i.
25
DS Paya.
4
2.0.41
B socrnocru, ram xaK soa aporusonosoatitx coOuraa Au A wecoowecrau # 06pa-
Syn beat Tpyliny, 70 ejsina eeponniocmespomusmnesoacice com pasts
inte
Pat P=.
"o6 otepuyznponans negpiso yaoneiis nepownioere, weso
arue yenopio sepoatioes. Vesaead sepoamnocmen ereeimia AA npu Keauwl
hainas B locosnatacren P (AUB) tankaveren nepomtoors court A, Due
Senaa ups yenooua, wo coburus B nponscazay.
B85
Puc, 205
Puc. 2.06
Yetonne, cocrosmyeaw roM, uro coburte B npoxsounto, PesHocHAbiO HaMedeNIO
yeaonmih omnta, xorge Ha Reex outewenTapmUIx cobuTAE OCTAIOTET TOABKO Ye, Kove
ue Sxeronpaarine eosurm B, a nce oovanance ordpacussiotes. Hs sToro caeayer,
vo mecro MpoerpaneTaa eneweniTapaux coCtITA @ paceMatP"BEeTER Howe s1pO-
erpancreo Qp, coorscierayomee coburn B (pHc, 2.0.0), Obsacts AB, covrsererByo-
max nepecetenme A u B, 6aaronpusria coGuriie A npn Neaoms cosum B.
2, Tpanuao yiuoxeuisa weposruccrel. Beposnmacms, tun day cote
mutt A w B pasne: ceponmnocris odxo2o us wee (uanpunep, A). YaHosceHKol Ha yoann
yw seponmauocme dpysced npw naauuiun neperee:
P (AB) =P (4) PB) A) 2.0.8)
Naat, coud» XauecrBe sepsoro cobutua esate By
(AB) = P (8) - P(A 1B). eon
Mpanuao yusonenna neposmmacreh oGobuaeTes ra mpoMBBO-Noe wc COMETS
P (AyAg wee Ay) = P (AY) * P (Ag Ay)» P(Ag| Anda) oP An | Arg An made
2.0.8)
Via (2.0.6) nurreraer cnexyromee suipaxeine ax yenoswof DeporTHocTH:
P (B1 A) = P (BYP (A), 2.0.)
1. yesoanan eepozmzoem oDia20 codunus npu naan Opyecco paeKa eepasmnoc-
hia npoussedenuin Gaye coGumud, desenuon na aepoamuoc®e moeo us Hux, Komopoe
peDnosacaenien eesnoanenntia,
Anaaorueno thopuyce (2.0.9) xomno anzcars
P (A | B) = P (AB) /P (B)- (2.0.10)
Jina coturaa A m B wasumaiorce nesmaucunemn, eotM ORBACHNE OXEOTO Ha
unx ue Meliner bepontHoerW HOARACHIIN RDYTOPO!
PL B)=P A)
26
2.019om, ato pasociasto,
P (Bl A) =P). 2.0.12)
Aas soyx nesapneumux cobssrnit xpannino yuuoxewnn sepostuocrel npn
veamaer Bix
2 (AB) =P 4) PB), @.0.13)
1c. eepormmocme npouaeedenn days nesaeucienu coSeImul peana npowDBedertUN oe
Poainwocmen ome eocumd.
Fleexonsko coOwrith Hassmaioren Hescaucuauaa @ covaKynancmy (RaW upoETo
esapnemeuni), e6an NomBIeKNe aaGoro uiena Na HK we Meuse? seposTHocTel,
octane cootrm, [Ltn neekonskux Neaanwenutsx cosiss4l upasnao Yautoxcenns
0.0.8) mpuaunaer sa
P (ApAg An) = P (A) © B(Ag) os PAD 2.0.14)
1. €, aeponmnocms npousredenun nescsucuswx ooSumuid paeite npowseedent9 éepoam
Wocmen somux oben.
Hecko.csxo onbios uastusaores nesaaucumau, ec nepostrocTs roro nal
aworo Nexo KarMAOTO MS HX Me SaDWeNT OT 7OrO, HaKMe WexOR MMe apyrHE
Crexerowen npanua eaoxekna # yHaoNentA sepoxsHocrel meaneroH Teopea
© mostopenm: onsivos, coctommar s ereayouen. Eom npousoodumen n nesaeucuax
‘enioa, @ xasedon a Romopix coOurize A howasenicn ¢ gepOamNOCTSD P, M0 eepO~
Sinudcemy. moaa, timo 9 Oanod eepus neni eoGamue A noseAIace POeHO Mh Pad, et
paacaemes dopayaon
Pram p™ (py 2.0.15)
vat, oboanaen | — p=
Prax OE POM, 2.0.18)
Beportuocss toro, 410 n cepnn Hs n uesasucumusx onstr08 coburue A uoauuteR
vo meee mt pag, nupaikaesen fopuryzon
2.0.17)
2.0.18)
Ua anys opmya (2.0.17) x (2.0.18) suGupaor zy, koropan conepikuT Mensule sede,
SANAH I VIIPARRHENHST
2:1. Moser an eywata asyx coOsrrn A m B conronars cx nponssere-
nest
Orpen, Ha, womer, coms coGurue A oxpuvanentHo cobra B
(AS BxBS A). Hanpunep, ecan ncxaxenme coodwenia, nepetasac-
Koro TO KaHaay cBA3H, MOxeT GLITL BEIsBAHO TOADKO HamMyuem nomex
a YuacTKe BpeMeNN, saBATOM coouIeHHEM, H HeMpeMcHBO npoucXOsHT
Up HX HaAHMHH, TO COObTHs
‘A = {ooobutenie ucKaxeno},
B = {ua yuactve npenchi, 3avztom cooSwcuHeM, uMenucb Nomex)
vwousanenri: A= B; A+B =A =B; AB =A =B.
0
2.2. Moxasatp, uro ecau apa courua Au B commectusi, 10
Pia t 2 FAP FAB (2.2.1)
Pewesne, Mpencrasnm coGurne A -+ B kak cyumy 1pex necos-
eer cote: AB (A, s0 ne B); AB (B, wo we A) «AB (a A w B) (ox.
, A+B =AB-+ AB + AB.
Bupaxaem co6utun Aw B:
A =AB + AB, B = AB + AB.
Puc 22 Pac, 23
Floasaysee npasnvon caoaenin BepostHocrell, saxo.
P(A +B) =P (4B) + P GB) + P (4B);
P(A) (AB) + P (AB),
P (8) =P (AB) + P (4B).
Cunanuinaa na NOCKeANNX sHp@KEKUR, NOAyAEM
P (A) + P (8) =P (AB) + P (AB) + 2P (AB). f
Buunran orcioga (2.2.2), nonysacm
P(A) +P (B) =P (A +B) + P (AB),
orayga # caeayer (2.2.1). Hy (2.2.1) cueayer, wo neensa
P(A+B) 4, 6 > 4, ¢ > 4), Ha suuxa puxSupaior on
Hionpeeitio H Hayrax WeTaIpe HsAeTAA, He OOpaMaR HIKNAKHTE Ha HX KO-
ecto, Paccarpusaiotcn coOwrns:
4 = {open Bu6panmx HsxeMKH xoTA Gel OXNO co SHAKOM KaweCTBA};
B = {epers sw6panwsx napeanci xora Gt oxHo Breporo copra}
Hatira seposrnocrs cogatus C = A + B.
Pemexne. Mepexors x npormonoxoxnomy cosurmo CT — {ner
aut A, ni BY = {ace uate nepsoro copra), uweem
Jan? ___#-l__¢
oS Ghbbe ate tent ate
orkyna P(C) =1—P ©).
2.97. TIpu oatom nnxze oG30pa paxnoroKannonnoi cranuint, cneAR~
elt 82 KocMMNeCKHN OGpEKTOM, OGEEKT OSHAPYRUBICTCH C BEPOSLTHOCTEIO
p. OGHAPYIKCHC OGKEKTA B KAKION IUTKMe NPOMCXONUT HesABHeWMo OT
apyrix . Hair pepostxocrs Toro, uro“mpis n uuKaax oGneKr yer oGHa-
pyar.
Orser. 1—(1—p).
2.98, Viveeres m paghoxoKannoHRHX cramuul, Kaxkien 13 KOTOPHX
32 OWN Wii oG30pa OORapyansaer OOseKT ¢ BEPOSTHOCTHIO p (teSAEH-
ClIMO OF XPYTHE IAKAOE # OT APYTHX cranny). 3a BpeMA T KaXRABK Craik
Wis Yerenaer caeTaTs n umios, Hair BepostrHocTs cneayrouutx coGLi-
ry
A = foGveKr Gyxer oOnapyaxen xors Gor omUOHt He eraMtHA};
B = {oSvext Gyner oGuapymen Kanon wa crasi}
Orser. P(A) =1—(1—p)m, P(B) = [1 — (1 — pple.
2.99. Vneeres rpynna ns & Kocamveckirx OGpextoB, KaAKHLT 118 KOTO
PUX HesaDHOMO OF pYTHx OGnapyrusaeTet PaAKOAOKALTIOMMO! Crate
uielt c Bepostnoctnio p. 3a TpynToh OGseKTOB veAYT HaGmonene HeSA-
BHCHMO ADyT oT Apyra nt paaMoROKannonNEx crank. Hata vepost-
HOCTS TOTO, HTO He BCe OGLEKTH, BXORSUKE B rpYnUIy, GYAYT ObWAPYZeHI.
Pemet we, Tlepexonia x mporsnonorornony cobain A = face
oopextar Oyayt oOxapyxenn):