Variance of demand = 793,000 bottles

Variance of orders = 1,805,000 bottles

a) Bullwhip Measure = Variance of orders/ Variance of demand
Bullwhip Measure = 1,805,000 / 793,000
Bullwhip Measure = 2.276

b) If the value of bullwhip measure is more than 1, variance amplification seems to exist.
If value of bullwhip measure is less than 1, it implies a smoothing or dampering effect.
Since Bullwhip measure is more than 1, therefore, Winston's Winery provides an amplifying effect.
mplifying effect.
 Actual Order placed by
Week Estimated Demand Retailer Manufacturer Supplier
1 100 100 200 600
2 100 100
3 200 200 400
4 200 200
5 300 300 600 1400
6 300 300
7 400 400 800
8 400 400
Variance
Bullwhip
 Joglekar Technology, LLC Siemsen Systems, Inc
Vendor Criterion Weight Score (1-5) (5 Highest) Score (1-5) (5 Highest)
Engineering Competence 20 5 4
Process Capability 20 4 4
Cost 10 1 5
Quality 20 4 4
Performance to Schedue 20 4 3
Affer-Sales Service 10 3 4
Total 100

is calculated as the sum of the product of the factor score and their respective weight.
above formula the weighted total for Joglekar technology is
380
 Joglekar Technology, LLC Siemsen Systems, Inc
Vendor Criterion Weight Score (1-5) (5 Highest) Score (1-5) (5 Highest)
Engineering Competence 20 5 4
Process Capability 20 4 4
Cost 10 1 5
Quality 20 4 4
Performance to Schedue 20 4 3
Affer-Sales Service 10 3 4
Total 100

for Joglekar Technology = (20*4+15*4+10*2+18*3+18*5+19*3)

= 361

tal to Siemsen System = (20*3+15*3+10*5+18*3+18*2+19*3)

302

c) Joglekar Technology is the preferred Vendor

This is because of the high total weighted score of the same.