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Coal Resources
This presentation includes information on Coal Resources (inclusive of Coal Reserves). Coal Resources are compiled by: R Macpherson (MAIG) – Metallurgical Coal and
D Lawrence (SACNASP) – Energy Coal. This is based on Coal Resource information in the BHP Billiton 2007 and 2012 Annual Report for all assets. All reports can be found at
www.bhpbilliton.com.
All information is reported under the „Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves, 2004‟ (the JORC Code) by the above mentioned
persons who are employed by BHP Billiton and have the required qualifications and experience to qualify as Competent Persons for Mineral or Coal Resources under the JORC
Code.
The compilers verify that this report is based on and fairly reflects the Coal Resources information in the supporting documentation and agree with the form and context of the
information presented.
Coal Resource classifications (100% basis) for each province, where relevant, are contained in Table 1.
Table 1
Asset Measured Resource Indicated Resource Inferred Resource BHP Billiton interest
(million tonnes) (million tonnes) (million tonnes) (%)
Metallurgical coal 2007 2012 2007 2012 2007 2012 2007 2012
CQCA and Gregory JV 1,549 2,812 3,174 4,524 3,239 3,772 50 50
BHP Mitsui 116 183 646 1,119 1,035 1,082 80 80
Illawarra Coal 200 283 202 453 774 589 100 100
IndoMet Coal 0 83 120 33 0 658 75 75
Energy coal
New Mexico 1,097 847 5 260 0 4 100 100
South Africa 2,098 1,836 1,742 1,030 1,999 1,030 921 100
Australia 983 1,229 1,873 2,808 1,319 1,729 100 100
Colombia 905 2,955 1,214 984 58 730 33.3 33.3
• Our productivity agenda will increase returns from our installed capacity
• Capital expenditure will peak in FY13 with no new major projects planned
President Coal
Dean Dalla Valle
0
Jun 08 Jun 09 Jun 10 Jun 11 Jun 12
Health
• Improve controls to eliminate and reduce occupational exposures such as diesel
exhaust, respirable dust and silica
• Manage workplace fatigue
• Control and reduce malaria, HIV and TB in developing nations
Safety
Environment
Community
Substantial high quality resource base 1 Share of BHP Billiton Share of BHP Billiton
(billion tonnes, equity share) production2 EBIT 2 Coal
Coal
15 14%
Metallurgical coal Energy coal 21%
10
0
FY07 FY12
Mt Arthur Coal
1. Includes major projects in execution; FY15 capacity excludes Norwich Park and Gregory nominal capacity.
• Decisive action has already delivered tangible Coal business cash cost savings achieved in H1 FY13 1
(US$ million)
results
500
– temporary closure of high cost metallurgical 134 401
375
coal mines 52
252 267
250 (37)
– US$0.8 billion annualised controllable cash
125
cost savings achieved for our Coal business
in H1 FY13 0
Overheads
& business
Operating
related
Volume
Exploration
(P&L)
development
Total
Sub-total
• Substantial opportunity to deliver further
cost savings
– maximise utilisation to drive unit costs lower
– optimise contractor usage and rates Metallurgical coal unit cash costs2
(index, FY08 = 100)
– reduce supplier costs and general overheads 250
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
Q1 FY13
Q2 FY13
Q3 FY13
Q4 FY13e
BMA BMC Illawarra
1. Controllable cash costs exclude non-cash and one-off items. Variance relative to H1 FY12.
2. A$ per tonne FOB costs - cash production costs plus shiploading, demurrage, royalties and marketing and selling costs.
• Capital expenditure will peak in FY13 Coal capital and exploration expenditure
(US$ billion)
• Our major Coal projects in execution are
5.0
nearing completion with the majority expected
to deliver first production by end CY14
– Caval Ridge, 63% complete 4.0
FY13e
FY14e
FY15e
FY08
FY09¹
FY10
FY11
FY12
• Our plan will result in a substantial increase in
free cash flow
Forecast Major project
Minor and sustaining Exploration
• Our productivity agenda will increase returns from our installed capacity
• Capital expenditure will peak in FY13 with no new major projects planned
• BHP Billiton coals continue to be among the most highly valued, supporting strong
long-term margins
CY12 metallurgical coal supply, selected BHP Billiton metallurgical coal sales
seaborne suppliers1 (%)
(million tonnes)
60 100
50
80
40
60
30
40
20
20
10
0 0
Walter
Teck
Mechel
Alpha NR
Energy
Rio Tinto
Anglo
Xstrata
American
BHP Billiton
• Industrialisation and urbanisation of China Crude steel production CAGR 2000-2010 2010-2030
has underpinned strong global steel demand (million tonnes) China 15.5% 2.7%
• Pig iron growth rates will decline further as China Rest of World
scrap use increases
Pig iron production CAGR 2000-2010 2010-2030
India and, to a lesser extent, Latin America, Rest of world -0.2% 3.2%
1,800
the CIS and South East Asia
• However, the Indian steel outlook is less 1,200
certain as steel production growth has been
600
slower than expected
0
2000 2005 2010 2015e 2020e 2025e 2030e
China Rest of World
• Scrap availability in China is expected China scrap availability to total steel output
to quadruple from 2010 to 2030 (%) (million tonnes)
50 1,250
• Increased usage of scrap in basic
oxygen furnaces will see pig iron
growth rates decline 40 1,000
• Electric arc furnaces are expected to
contribute a significant share of total
Chinese steel production by 2030 30 750
20 500
10 250
0 0
2000 2005 2010 2015e 2020e 2025e 2030e
Scrap availability (RHS)
Steel production (RHS)
Scrap ratio to steel output (LHS)
40
600 600
20
400 400
200 200
(20)
0 0 (40)
2004
2007
2010
2002
2003
2005
2006
2008
2009
2011
2012
2020e
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Imports Domestic Pig iron Coking coal imports Coal in coke exports
Coking coal exports Net imports
400
RoW developing
RoW developed
Actual Forecast
0
2015e
2018e
2021e
2024e
2027e
2030e
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
Source: BHP Billiton; GTIS; IEA.
• Severe production constraints in Australia Metallurgical coal seaborne supply versus Q1 2010 forecast
(million tonnes per annum)
led to a sharp price increase in CY11
• Higher prices induced a substantial 40
increase in US supply 20
0 0
CY08 CY09 CY10 CY11 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
CY12 CY12 CY12 CY12 CY13
• The recovery of latent capacity and delivery Metallurgical coal seaborne supply
of projects in execution in Australia should (million tonnes per annum)
lead to a comfortably supplied market in the 600
near-term 2010-2015 2015-2020 2020-2025 2025-2030
80 Peak
Saraji Downs Illawarra
70 Hard CC
Goonyella
Blend quality
60 target
Gregory
50
Coal strength
Semi-hard CC
(coke CSR)
Poitrel
40
Blackwater
coking
30
Blackwater
20
weak Semi-soft CC
LV MV HV
10
low-volatile mid-volatile high-volatile
matter matter matter
0
15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39
Coal volatile matter
(% air dried)
Source: BHP Billiton.
1. BHP Billiton coking coal brands in bold text.
80 Peak
Saraji Downs Illawarra
70 AUS and CAN Prime HCCs Hard CC
Goonyella
Blend quality
60 target
Gregory
US LV Prime US HV
50 AUS SHCCS
Coal strength
Semi-hard CC
(coke CSR)
Poitrel
40
Blackwater
coking
30 AUS Hunter Valley
SSCC
Blackwater
20
weak Semi-soft CC
LV MV HV
10
low-volatile mid-volatile high-volatile
matter matter matter
0
15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39
Coal volatile matter
(% air dried)
Source: BHP Billiton.
1. BHP Billiton coking coal brands in bold text.
• Various price indices are available to the Coking coal price indices
market, with CSR, volatiles and ash among (US$/tonne)
the key value drivers 250
Platts LV HCC FOB
• There are an increasing number of index Argus FOB HCC
providers accepted by the industry Platts 64 CSR Mid-vol FOB
Platts LV PCI FOB
• Increased spot sales have led to greater 200
Platts SSCC FOB
liquidity
• Price discovery has improved and is now
more reflective of the market 150
• Pricing ranges have narrowed, however
better quality LV HCC maintains a premium
even in weak markets
100
• More customers are employing index-linked
pricing in contracts
50
Jun 12
Jan 13
Feb 13
Jul 12
May 12
Aug 12
Sep 12
Mar 13
Apr 12
Oct 12
Apr 13
Nov 12
Dec 12
Source: Platts; Argus.
• BHP Billiton coals continue to be among the most highly valued, supporting strong
long-term margins
Metallurgical coal
financial performance
Gideon Oberholzer
Vice President Finance Coal
29 May 2013
Our plan will substantially increase free
cash flow
• Strong financial performance over the last Metallurgical coal financial performance1
five financial years reflects the underlying (EBIT, US$ billion) (EBIT margin, %)
quality of our metallurgical coal assets 6 60
– US$11.9 billion of Underlying EBIT1, 4 40
representing 10% of total
BHP Billiton Underlying EBIT 2 20
• A number of factors have constrained HCC prices have experienced a sharp decline
profitability (US$/tonne, FOB)
100
Apr 10 Nov 10 May 11 Dec 11 Jun 12 Jan 13
Source: Argus.
• Queensland Coal volumes were severely BMA capacity utilisation has recovered
constrained by extraordinary rainfall events (%)
and industrial activity 120
60
40
Jun 10
Jun 11
Jun 12
Jun 13e
Mar 10
Mar 11
Mar 12
Mar 13
Dec 09
Dec 10
Dec 11
Dec 12
Sep 09
Sep 10
Sep 11
Sep 12
Coal briefing, 29 May 2013 Slide 32
A sustainable reduction in costs is our
primary goal
• We are targeting five key components of our Substantial reduction in BMA functional headcount
cost base to reduce operating expenditure (full time equivalent, index, July 2012 = 100)
Other
Consultants
Personnel Contract
reduction
Equipment
Maintenance
• We have successfully renegotiated terms BMA monthly absolute mine site cash costs
with some contractors while other contracts (AUD, index, FY12 = 100)
have been terminated 110
100
• We have optimised the use of hire equipment
90
and rationalised the mining fleet
80
• We have renegotiated terms with suppliers of 70
bulk consumables, spares and maintenance 60
FY12
Jun 13e
Jan 13
Feb 13
May 13e
Jul 12
Aug 12
Sep 12
Mar 13
Oct 12
Apr 13
Nov 12
Dec 12
services
• We have delivered significant savings and
will continue to pull the productivity lever hard
BMA unit cash costs have turned the corner1
(index, FY08 = 100)
250
150
50
FY11
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY12
H1 FY13
H2 FY13e
1. A$ per tonne FOB costs - cash production costs plus shiploading, demurrage, royalties and marketing and selling costs.
• Capital expenditure will peak in FY13 Metallurgical coal capital and exploration expenditure
(US$ billion, BHP Billiton share)
• No new major projects are being considered
4.0
• Our capital expenditure profile will trend
towards the rate required to sustain our
operations in the medium to long term
3.0
• We are „long‟ resource and have sustainably
reduced exploration expenditure
2.0
1.0
0.0
FY13e
FY14e
FY15e
FY08
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY09¹
Forecast Major project
Minor and sustaining Exploration
Metallurgical coal
projects
Phil Hynes
Vice President Project Development Coal
29 May 2013
Our capital expenditure will peak in FY13
Daunia
• 4.5 mtpa (100% basis) greenfield mine development
• First production achieved in March 2013, ahead of
schedule and under budget
• Forecast to ramp-up to nameplate capacity by Q4 CY13
• Budget of US$800 million (BHP Billiton share) with
forecast final cost of US$710 million
Daunia CHPP
1. As at 30 April 2013.
2. The Resource Life is estimated from the Caval Ridge resource base (767 mt) divided by the approved production rate of 5.5 mtpa, factored up by coal preparation plant recovery
(56%) and mining recovery (96%). The Caval Ridge Resource is incorporated into the Peak Downs Mineral Resource reported as of 30 June 2012 composed of: Measured
Resource 685 mt; Indicated Resource 874 mt , Inferred Resource 572 mt on a 100% basis (BHP Billiton interest is 50%) and should be read together with and subject to, the
notes set out in the FY12 Annual Report, which can be found at www.bhpbilliton.com.
1. As at 30 April 2013.
1. As at 30 April 2013.
Existing berths
3rd berth
Product stockyards
Gladstone 81 mtpa
Gregory Crinum
Rockhampton
Emerald
Blackwater
Blackwater
Gladstone
Blackwater Rail System 74 mtpa
0 100km
BMA locomotive
Note: All rail and port capacities are shown at 100%.