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Report  October 2010

Best Policy Practices for 


Promoting Inward and Outward
Foreign Direct Investment

Trade, investment policy, and international cooperation

Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1722003


Best Policy Practices for Promoting Inward and Outward Foreign Direct Investment
by Steven Globerman and Victor Zitian Chen

About The Conference  Preface


Board of Canada This report identifies and discusses best practices to
attract and promote inward and outward foreign direct
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investment. To better inform Canadian policy-making
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at various levels of government, this report provides
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evidence on the public policies and other factors that
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which policies and other factors affect the degree to
for services to the private and public sectors.
which foreign direct investment improves productivity
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Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1722003


Contents

Executive Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . i

Chapter 1—Introduction and Conceptual Background . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1


Conceptual Background . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2

Chapter 2—Methodology and Main Findings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6


Categories of Variables for the Determinants of FDI . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
Categories of Variables for the Determinants of FDI Spillovers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
What Affects Foreign Investment? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
What Determines Investment Quality? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14

Chapter 3—Policy Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18

Appendix A—Bibliography . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
Publications Related to FDI/FDO Determinants . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
Publications Related to Determinants of Spillover Benefits . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28

Appendix B—Glossary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32
Acknowledgements
The authors thank Adrian Bibby for excellent research assistance. They also thank Ram Acharya, Danielle
Goldfarb, and Walid Hejazi for very helpful comments and suggestions on earlier drafts.

International Trade and Investment Centre Members


The Conference Board of Canada is grateful to the champion and lead members of the International Trade and
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Executive Summary

Best Policy Practices for


Promoting Inward and Outward
Foreign Direct Investment
equity shares of local companies by foreign investors.
At a Glance When viewed from the perspective of the recipient (or
host) country, we are discussing inward foreign direct
 Best policy practices for attracting foreign dir-
investment—referred to as FDI in this report. When
ect investment, and for promoting “spillover”
viewed from the perspective of the sending (or home)
productivity benefits from that investment, are
country, we are discussing outward foreign direct
“framework policies”—such as transparent
investment—referred to as FDO in this report.
regulations and solid infrastructure and edu-
cation policies.

 It is less clear from the evidence whether This report identifies and discusses “best practices” to
policies that specifically target foreign invest- attract and promote inward and outward FDI from the
ors—such as subsidies and tax breaks—are perspective of national and sub-national governments.
best practices for attracting investment. Such
policies could even reduce any spillover pro-
ductivity effects from that investment. While not without some disagreement, the broad con-
sensus of economists is that inward foreign direct
 Though there is less evidence on what directly
investment and outward foreign direct investment have
encourages outward foreign direct invest-
net economic benefits for host and home economies. As
ment, it is clear that the framework policies
a result, policy-makers have an interest in identifying
that favour inward foreign direct investment
public policies that support inward and outward foreign
also encourage outward direct investment
direct investment. There is also a potentially substantial
over the longer term.
economic payoff to policies that leverage the economic
benefits of FDI and FDO.

T
his report identifies and discusses “best practices” This report offers an extensive and systematic review of
to attract and promote inward and outward for- the empirical evidence on what factors affect FDI and
eign direct investment from the perspective of FDO. We identify the major policy and other factors
national and sub-national governments. Foreign direct that influence the location decisions of foreign investors
investment can be thought of as investments in productive and the decisions of domestics firms to expand abroad.
assets that are managed by companies headquartered in We review the evidence at both the national and sub-
foreign countries, as opposed to financial investments in national levels to better inform Canadian policy-making

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ii  |  Best Policy Practices for Promoting Inward and Outward Foreign Direct Investment—October 2010

at various levels of government. A related focus is to 5. Further, because outward direct investment focuses on
evaluate how such factors affect the quality of foreign accessing specialized skills and knowledge abroad,
direct investments. Specifically, we ask which policies it can lead to greater productivity benefits at home.
and other factors affect the degree to which foreign dir- This is because skills and knowledge transferred
ect investment improves productivity in the economies from host countries to the home country are likely
receiving the investment. to convey productivity benefits to organizations
beyond the home-country multinational company
responsible for directly or indirectly transferring the
The limited available evidence suggests that best practices skills and knowledge to the home country.
for promoting outward direct investment are similar to 6. These findings have important implications for
those for attracting inward direct investment. Canadian policy-makers at the federal, provincial,
territorial, regional, and city levels. In choosing loca-
tions for foreign direct investment, investors largely
Our detailed analysis of the literature indicates that: look at the quality of legal and regulatory governance,
1. Best practices that make locations attractive to foreign physical and communications infrastructures, and
investors include public policies that are convention- the workforce’s education and training level. These
ally associated with promoting productivity and real components of a favourable FDI environment are
economic growth more broadly. This includes a reli- importantly influenced by public policy, including
able and transparent legal and regulatory regime, an government spending. While Canada and sub-
educated and skilled workforce, good transportation national political units in Canada rate relatively
and telecommunications infrastructure, and an highly on these attributes, there is certainly scope for
environment that encourages innovation. improvement. In particular, improvements to roads
2. Such factors also contribute to greater “productivity and ports could be accelerated. Also, encouraging
spillover” benefits from FDI. increased science and related technical education in
3. Policies—such as subsidies and tax breaks—that publicly funded schools would enhance the quality
specifically target foreign investors are not necessarily of Canada’s workforce and promote the ability of
best practices for attracting investment. The evidence Canadian companies to create and quickly adopt new
is not clear that such fiscal incentives promote FDI in technology. This, in turn, would strengthen the ability
the longer run. Such policies could even reduce any of Canada to encourage FDI and capture its produc-
spillover productivity effects from that investment. tivity benefits.
This is particularly true if subsidies or tax breaks 7. The use of government agencies to attract FDI can
result in FDI that geographically disperses industrial be an effective policy instrument at the national and
and scientific capacity. sub-national levels. Specifically, promotional agen-
4. The limited available evidence suggests that best cies can be effective tools to educate foreign invest-
practices for promoting outward direct investment ors about the advantages of a location, as well as to
are largely similar to those for attracting inward dir- mitigate administrative procedures and delays that
ect investment. Contrary to popular conception, an impose costs and risks on foreign investors. The
environment favourable for inward direct investment activities of promotional agencies might be espe-
is not unfavourable for outward direct investment. This cially relevant for sub-national governments, since
is because policies promoting improved productivity foreign investors are likely to be less aware of the
and real economic growth ultimately strengthen the economic advantages of specific locations within
competitive advantages of domestically owned firms. Canada than they are of the economic attributes of
This, in turn, encourages and enables domestic firms the country, as a whole.
to expand internationally, including investing abroad.

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The Conference Board of Canada  |  iii

8. Higher taxes, by themselves, are a disincentive to that intentionally (or unintentionally) geographically
FDI, although their quantitative importance has been disperse “agglomerations” of skilled labour and spe-
difficult to estimate precisely; however, the public cialized production capacity are ill-advised from a
services and amenities paid for through taxes— best-practices perspective. This observation is par-
including education, physical infrastructure, efficient ticularly relevant at the sub-national level.
and reliable legal and regulatory governance, and so 10. There is no consistent evidence that requirements
forth—attract FDI, again at both the national and imposed on foreign investors to buy inputs from
sub-national levels. To the extent that lower taxes local suppliers, or to take in domestically owned
require commensurate reductions in “desirable” public partners through joint ventures, enhance the benefits
services and amenities, FDI is likely to decrease, on from inward direct investment. Since such require-
balance, as will the efficiency benefits from FDI. ments are likely to discourage FDI, holding other
9. A concentration of economic activity in geographic things constant, they are undesirable from a best-
locations encourages FDI and strengthens its produc- practices perspective.
tivity benefits. The implication is that public policies

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Chapter 1

Introduction and Conceptual


Background
1. Which factors influence inward foreign direct
Chapter Summary investment (referred to as FDI in this report) and
outward foreign direct investment (referred to as
 This report systematically reviews the empirical
FDO in this report)?
evidence on which factors influence the quantity
2. Which factors influence the quality of that FDI to the
of inward and outward foreign direct investment.
host country and FDO to the home country? We focus
 The report also assesses which factors influence specifically on whether that investment confers addi-
the quality of that investment, or the degree to tional productivity benefits.
which it confers productivity benefits on the
receiving country. The evidence from the empirical studies provides the
basis for policy recommendations with regard to FDI
 More attention has been paid to productivity
and FDO.
benefits from inward foreign direct investment,
but outward investment can also confer produc-
The report does not deal with arguments about whether
tivity benefits to the home economy by intro-
or not FDI and FDO have overall net economic benefits to
ducing new technologies, expertise, and inputs.
host and home countries. A long, complex, and extensive
 The factors that affect the degree to which body of literature deals with this broad concern, which
investments have spillover productivity benefits is well beyond the scope of this study. Furthermore, a
tend to be similar for outward and inward for- companion piece to this report to be prepared by The
eign direct investment—an example is com- Conference Board of Canada will discuss the economic
panies’ capacities to absorb new technologies. impact of FDO. The premise underlying this study—
which reflects the balance of the evidence—is that both
FDI and FDO convey net economic benefits, at least for

T
his report addresses the broad issue of whether current volumes of both, such that it is in the economic
there are “best practices” to attract and promote interests of governments to facilitate more of both types
foreign direct investment from the perspective of of investments at the margin—that is, incrementally. In
both host and home countries (or regions). In particular, this regard, knowledge about factors influencing FDI
the report reviews and evaluates numerous empirical and FDO should be of value to policy-makers, as should
studies that help answer two specific questions: insights into the factors that either increase or decrease
any spillover productivity or other economic benefits

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2  |  Best Policy Practices for Promoting Inward and Outward Foreign Direct Investment—October 2010

from that investment. Hence, the specific questions Conceptual Background


focused on in this report are fundamentally relevant to
the design and implementation of what might be identified Policy discussions in the literature are disproportion-
as “best practices” for two-way foreign direct investment. ately focused on FDI as opposed to FDO. In particular,
while the economic impacts of FDI have been widely
Since the bulk of the relevant literature deals with for- acknowledged and discussed, and numerous statistical
eign direct investment policy issues at the national studies of these potential impacts exist, the economic
level, there is relatively little evidence on best practices impacts of FDO are poorly understood; in part because
for sub-national political units, such as provinces. empirical studies addressing those impacts are few in
Nevertheless, we review what evidence is available for number.1 As a result, far more attention has been paid
sub-national units with regard to the specific research to policies that influence FDI and to the effects of FDI
questions identified above, and compare and contrast on the host or receiving country than to policies that
findings for the different levels of government. influence FDO and to the effects of FDO on the origin-
Furthermore, while the specific policy focus is on ating country. In addition, far more has been written
Canada, much of the existing evidence concerns other about the determinants of the location choices of for-
countries. Hence, some attention is paid to how results eign investors than about the determinants of the eco-
for other countries might be applied to Canada. nomic impacts of foreign direct investment.

Factors That Affect the Quantity of Foreign


Often-recommended public policies to attract FDI include Direct Investment
transparent regulatory regimes, investments in infrastruc- A number of often-recommended public policies to
ture and education, corporate tax reductions, subsidies, attract FDI can be identified in the literature. They
and eliminating limitations on foreign investments. include the following eight policies:
1. Establish and maintain legal and regulatory regimes
that protect property rights, create transparent and
This report concludes that the main public policies fair rules of law, and minimize the transaction cost
identified as best practices are neither unique to promo- burdens and other unwanted consequences of regu-
ting FDI and FDO flows, nor to promoting the benefits lation.
of those flows. For example, policy recommendations 2. Implement macroeconomic policies that encourage
relevant to macroeconomic policy, rule of law, protection real economic growth with low inflation.
of property rights, investment in physical infrastructure 3. Invest in transportation and communication infra-
and human capital, and so forth, are broadly appropriate structure to lower the costs of coordinating and
to influencing real economic growth, as well as FDI carrying out international business transactions.
and FDO. Specific policies of potential interest, such as 4. Invest in education and worker training programs to
government subsidies to foreign investors, might influ- improve the quality of labour available to employers.2
ence the magnitude of FDI but also condition its net
benefits, and sometimes in the opposite direction of 1 For an overview of theory and evidence regarding the FDI pro-
their influence on the size of FDI flows. In other words, cess and the impact of FDI on host countries, see Graham and
Krugman (1995) and Lipsey and Sjoholm (2005). For an overview
while such policies might increase the amount of for-
of the impacts of FDO on home countries, see Globerman (1994).
eign direct investment, they could reduce any spillover
2 Establishing foreign investment promotion agencies is not exten-
productivity effects from that investment. (See sively discussed in the academic literature but represents a policy
Appendix C for a glossary of terms used in this report.) initiative for numerous governments. We discuss the effectiveness
of such agencies on page 13 of this report, in the section “What
Affects FDI at the Sub-National or Provincial Level?”

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The Conference Board of Canada  |  3

Other more controversial public policies can also be FDI is more uncertain. For the same reason, the rela-
identified, including: tionship between domestic corporate tax rates and FDO
5. Reduce corporate tax rates. is ambiguous. Specifically, lower tax rates in combina-
6. Weaken or eliminate regulatory review processes tion with a degradation of public goods amenities might
applying to foreign investors. lead to increased FDO rather than increased domestic
7. Offer financial subsidies to prospective foreign investment by local firms.
investors.
8. Eliminate limitations on foreign ownership levels in
“sensitive” industrial sectors. Foreign ownership restrictions have been defended by
It should be noted that foreign direct investment is rela- reference to a sector’s activities being “sensitive” or
tively footloose, particularly at the sub-national level. otherwise critical to the national interest—thus necessi-
That is, foreign investors ordinarily compare alternative tating domestic rather than foreign ownership.
geographic locations when making investment deci-
sions. Hence, the attractiveness of any host country to
foreign investors will depend on public policies imple- Weakening or eliminating FDI review procedures, as well
mented not only by that host country’s government but as sectoral restrictions on foreign ownership, should
also in other countries and regions. encourage inward FDI. Nevertheless, they are contro-
versial initiatives. In particular, some observers con-
Initiatives 1–4 above clearly are not solely relevant to tinue to argue that reviewing FDI inflows for approval
investment decisions of foreign investors, since domes- enables policy-makers to improve the host country
tic investors should also find that such initiatives make benefits from FDI by allowing the host government to
their home country a more desirable location in which demand specific commitments or activities that aug-
to invest. Therefore, in the short run, at least, initiatives ment the net benefits from FDI to the host country. For
1–4 might discourage FDO at the same time as they example, as a condition of approval, the host-country
encourage FDI. In the longer run, domestic firms are government could demand that a foreign investor pro-
likely to become more efficient, and therefore more posing to acquire a domestically owned firm maintain
competitive internationally, as a consequence of govern- the level of research and development spending of the
ments implementing these initiatives. Domestic firms domestically acquired firm. It is not necessary to assess
may therefore find FDO more profitable in the long run, the merits of FDI review procedures such as those man-
such that factors promoting increased FDI also poten- dated under the Investment Canada Act. Although we
tially promote FDO. This is not to say that domestic do not review available evidence in this report, the evi-
investment will necessarily decrease as FDO increases. dence generally discredits the argument that FDI review
Indeed, domestic investment, FDI, and FDO may all procedures benefit the host economy and cast doubts on
increase as an economy becomes more productive. the magnitude of net benefits claimed by governments
for the review procedures.3
In short, initiatives 1–4 are relatively uncontroversial
policy recommendations designed to increase a loca- Eliminating restrictions on FDI also promotes increased
tion’s attractiveness to foreign investors. This is not the FDI flows to a host country. Foreign ownership restric-
case for the other initiatives identified above. For tions have been defended by reference to a sector’s
example, reducing corporate tax rates should attract activities being “sensitive” or otherwise critical to the
increased quantities of FDI, other things being constant; national interest and, therefore, necessitating domestic
however, if the result is lower tax revenues that, in turn, rather than foreign ownership. Without going into detail,
lead to reductions in publicly provided services and such defences of foreign ownership restrictions are
amenities such as good public schools and safe and
clean cities, the impact of lower corporate tax rates on 3 Globerman (2008) provides a critical analysis of the FDI review
process in Canada.

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4  |  Best Policy Practices for Promoting Inward and Outward Foreign Direct Investment—October 2010

ordinarily vague and fail to withstand critical analysis.4 economic benefits of FDI and FDO derive from their
Nevertheless, foreign ownership restrictions are politic- contribution to productivity and, therefore, to higher
ally difficult to eliminate, since strong vested domestic real incomes in the host and home countries.5 Both
interests will lobby against their elimination. FDI and FDO promote increased specialization of pro-
duction across and within industries, and even within
To the extent that FDI review procedures and foreign individual firms by serving as relatively efficient modes
ownership restrictions indirectly reduce foreign compe- for reallocating productive resources across geographic
tition faced by domestic firms, they may contribute to locations. For well-known reasons, increased specializa-
domestic investors earning economic profits, thereby tion of production contributes to improved productivity
discouraging FDO, at least in the short run. However, and higher real incomes for host and home countries.
reduced FDO is not necessarily a desirable conse-
quence, since FDO can provide net economic benefits While foreign direct investment can promote increased
to the home country as discussed below. international specialization of production, so can inter-
national trade. In fact, the contribution of foreign direct
investment to the international specialization of produc-
Policies to attract FDI may discourage FDO in the short- tion has typically taken a back seat to international trade’s
run, and stimulate increased FDO over the longer-run. contribution. Indeed, in some early theories of foreign
direct investment, FDI was seen to be a “second-best”
instrument of international specialization of production.
In summary, suggested policies to attract FDI can be Specifically, foreign direct investment was seen as being
readily identified in the academic literature. Those same primarily motivated by the incentive to jump over tariff
framework policies may discourage FDO in the short and non-tariff barriers that discouraged exports by firms
run, but they arguably also stimulate increased FDO in enjoying efficiency or other competitive advantages in the
the longer run by contributing to an economic environment international marketplace. Later theories of foreign direct
in which domestically owned firms become more inter- investment de-emphasized the role of barriers to trade as
nationally competitive over time. FDO is a business mode the motivation for foreign direct investment. In these later
through which domestically owned firms can participate theories, foreign direct investment is seen as a relatively
in international markets as they become more competitive. efficient and profitable way for firms to exploit specific
The majority of relevant policy recommendations should competitive advantages tied to the possession of intangible
make a domestic economy more attractive to all investors, assets. That is, trade and foreign direct investment are
both foreign and domestic. A literature review of empir- increasingly seen as complementary phenomena. Modern
ical studies can therefore assess the importance of specific theories of international production also emphasize the
policies affecting both FDI and FDO. impact of spillover benefits, which are seen as important
potential consequences of the international transfer of
Factors That Affect the Economic Benefits of FDI technology and other intangible assets.6 In this report, the
The policy literature focusing on the determinants of “quality” of foreign investment is determined by the spill-
the economic benefits of FDI and FDO is both more over benefits derived from that investment.
limited and more equivocal than the literature on the
determinants of FDI and FDO flows. The economic
benefits of FDI and FDO primarily derive from two 5 FDI and FDO might also affect overall levels of economic activity,
phenomena: 1) increased specialization of production   including employment, at least in the short run. However, these
types of broad macroeconomic impacts are not seen as being
in the economy; 2) spillover efficiency benefits to the specific to foreign investment but are seen as distinct from
host or home economy. More specifically, the primary domestic investment. See Lipsey and Sjoholm (2005).
6 For an overview of models linking foreign direct investment to
international production patterns, see Dunning (1993). It is beyond
4 For an extensive and critical rejection of arguments in favour of the scope of this report to review the evidence linking FDI to
sectoral foreign ownership restrictions, see Sidak (1997). increased trade specialization.

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The Conference Board of Canada  |  5

Spillover efficiency benefits encompass productivity expertise possessed by host country firms. Another factor
improvements enjoyed by firms other than those is the market structure of industries in the host economy.
involved in the direct investment activity, but which On the one hand, stronger competition in host country
arise from that activity. Most of the focus in the litera- industries should intensify incentives for domestically
ture has been on spillover efficiency benefits from FDI owned firms to adopt new technologies and administra-
to domestically owned firms in the host country. However, tive processes, thereby promoting increased spillover
some recent attention has been paid to spillover efficiency efficiency benefits. On the other hand, stronger compe-
benefits to home-country firms from FDO undertaken tition dilutes the economic profits that domestically
by other home-country firms. Spillover efficiency benefits owned firms can expect to enjoy from early and more
from FDI can potentially arise from “leakages” of tech- complete adoption of new technologies and administrative
nology and management expertise from foreign-owned processes. A third broad factor is government policies
firms to domestically owned firms, through the general and regulations related to the activities of foreign-owned
skill upgrading of employees working for foreign-owned affiliates. In particular, policies that require or encourage
firms who then migrate to domestically owned firms, and foreign-owned affiliates to transfer technology more
so forth. Spillover efficiency benefits from FDO can quickly than they otherwise would to domestically
arise from leakages of new technology and management owned firms might enhance potential spillover benefits
expertise brought into the home economy by domestic- from FDI by enriching the pool of appropriable tech-
ally based multinational companies, the availability of nology in the host country. However, if the relevant
higher quality inputs to the home economy through policies reduce the ex ante profitability of foreign
importing activities of domestically owned multinational investment in the host country, the overall pool of
companies, and other phenomena. New theories of FDO appropriable technology might actually decline as a
emphasize the importance of resource-seeking motives result of substantial reductions in FDI.
for FDO, including efforts to acquire new brands, product
designs, and technologies in overseas markets to exploit Absorptive capacity is also a prominent conceptual  
in the home country. variable influencing the spillover efficiency benefits to
home-country firms from FDO. In particular, FDO is
often undertaken to seek and appropriate knowledge in
Knowledge-seeking FDO may generate potential spillover other markets that would be more costly to identify and
efficiency benefits for other domestically owned home- appropriate through some other mode of international
country firms. business such as importing. Since it is ordinarily diffi-
cult for firms to completely protect their proprietary
technologies, knowledge-seeking FDO can be expected
Relatively little has been written discussing the potential to generate potential spillover efficiency benefits for
determinants of spillover efficiency benefits from foreign other domestically owned home-country firms. That is,
direct investment for host countries, and especially for the indirect importation of technology into the home
home countries.7 Nevertheless, several characteristics of country by parent companies of foreign affiliates
host country and home-country firms have been linked expands the potential efficiency frontiers of other
to the existence and magnitude of spillover efficiency domestically owned firms in the home country. The
benefits. One is the so-called absorptive capacity of extent to which domestically owned companies can take
host country firms—that is, the ability of those firms to advantage of potential efficiency gains will be a function
adopt and exploit new technologies and management of their absorptive capacity, among other things. Domestic
processes that are brought into the host country through market structure conditions can also affect incentives to
FDI. Absorptive capacity, in turn, is determined by a exploit potential spillover benefits in the home country.
number of factors, including the scientific and engineering In short, a number of the factors that can be linked to
spillover benefits from FDI can also be linked to spill-
7 For a review and extension of the literature, see Blomstrom,
over benefits from FDO.
Kokko, and Globerman (2001).

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Chapter 2

Methodology and Main Findings


A keyword search was done of the main databases that
Chapter Summary could be expected to identify papers on these two topics
of interest. One is Business Source Complete, which
 An extensive literature review was undertaken
indexes about 1,300 scholarly journals in the areas of
to identify empirical studies of the determin-
economics, finance, and business. A second is JSTOR,
ants of FDI and FDO, as well as the determin-
which indexes journal articles, as well as books, book
ants of their productivity benefits.
chapters, conference papers and proceedings, and work-
 Among policy-related variables influencing ing papers in the subject areas of business, economics,
FDI are the political, regulatory, and physical finance, law, political science, arts, and humanities. A
infrastructures of a country or region, the third is Google Scholar Beta, which extends our search
quality of the labour force, and the use of FDI to non-indexed papers such as professional reports and
promotion agencies. The influence of tax rates online repository documents. Prior to the preparation of
is not simple or clear-cut. this report, the database search covered the time period
1970–2009; a follow-up survey was done to include
 Factors encouraging FDI also promote FDO,
papers published in 2010.
in the longer run, by strengthening the inter-
national competiveness of domestic firms.
Benefits to the host country from FDI are
The report’s main focus is to identify, summarize, and
primarily related to the absorptive capacity
evaluate the empirical literature dealing with the deter-
of the host country.
minants of FDI and FDO and spillover efficiency benefits.

T
he major focus of this report is to identify, sum- In the first stage of the database search, a number of key-
marize, and evaluate the empirical literature deal- words were used to identify potentially relevant studies.
ing with the determinants of FDI and FDO, as After identifying a large list of potential studies, the sample
well as the determinants of their spillover efficiency bene- of studies was reduced by eliminating all non-empirical
fits. The following section discusses the methodology studies—those that did not use statistical models to quan-
underlying our data gathering and analysis. tify the determinants of foreign direct investment or the
determinants of spillover benefits from foreign direct
The same basic procedure was followed to identify investment. The remaining studies provide the basis for
empirical studies relevant to the determinants of foreign our analysis. The “Publications Related to FDI/FDO
direct investment and of FDI spillover efficiency benefits. Determinants” section in Appendix A identifies the studies

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The Conference Board of Canada  |  7

used to evaluate the determinants of foreign direct invest- reported in the literature. The first category is identified
ment. The “Publications Related to Determinants of as “economic gravity relationships.” It includes variables
Spillover Benefits” section in Appendix A identifies the that are typically specified in so-called gravity models,
studies used to evaluate the determinants of spillover which represent the basic theoretical structure of most
benefits from foreign direct investment.1 We don’t claim
to have reviewed every published study on the two main
Table 1
topics of interest. Nevertheless, we believe this report
Broad Variable Categories for Determinants of FDI and FDO
provides a comprehensive overview of the relevant litera-
ture that fairly summarizes empirical work on the topics Category Specific Variables
of interest.
Economic gravity relationships  Geographical proximity
 Trade values
 Free trade agreement
Eleven broad categories encompass the numerous specific  Cultural proximity
variables identified in statistical models of FDI and FDO.
Macroeconomic conditions  Market size
 Exchange rate
 Market size growth
For the studies referenced in these two sections of  Per capita income
Appendix A, one of us read and summarized all of the
Industry characteristics  Degree of competition
publications listed in “Publications Related to FDI/FDO
 Productivity
Determinants,” while the other author read and summar-  Trade and investment openness
ized all of the publications listed in “Publications Related
to Determinants of Spillover Benefits.” After reading Institutional infrastructure  Socio-political stability
 Government efficiency
the articles, we developed a template for summarizing
 Legal protection
them. The template sets out the major categories of
 Corruption
variables identified in the various studies. Specifically,
Table 1 identifies the main sets of variables we identified Physical infrastructure  Transportation
in empirical studies addressing the determinants of for-  Electricity
 Telecommunications
eign direct investment. As can be seen, there are 11 broad
categories that encompass the numerous specific variables Openness to foreign investment  Investment restrictions
identified in statistical models of FDI and FDO. Table 2  Trade-related aspects of intellectual
focuses on the determinants of spillover benefits from property matters (TRIPs)
foreign direct investment.  Foreign investment promotion
agencies

Openness to international trade  Trade to GDP ratio


Categories of Variables for the  Tariff and other barriers
Determinants of FDI
Financial markets  Interest rate
 Stock market capitalization
While the clustering of variables into categories is
somewhat subjective, it provides a convenient way to Labour markets  Unit labour costs
summarize the extensive and eclectic set of findings  Skill endowment/education

Technological capabilities  R&D activities


 Intangible capital
1 This study is not meant to be a critical review of the relevant lit-
erature. Hence, it does not assess the reliability of the underlying Taxes  Corporate tax rate
methodologies; however, given the comprehensive coverage of our  Other taxes (direct and indirect)
review, it seems fair to conclude that our conclusions are unlikely
to be distorted by individual poorly designed or executed studies.
Source: Steven Globerman and Victor Zitian Chen.

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8  |  Best Policy Practices for Promoting Inward and Outward Foreign Direct Investment—October 2010

empirical studies of trade and capital flows. Gravity more narrowly specified measure of that attribute. For
models include variables such as physical distance example, tax rates in host and home countries may be
between trade or investment partners, similarity of   specified in different ways depending on the studies in
cultures and language, membership of the trading or question. If the general finding is that higher tax rates
investing partners in a free trade area or common market, in the host country discourage FDI, it is less important
and so forth.2 whether the tax rate is measured as the ratio of tax rev-
enues to GDP or as the nominal average or marginal
The second category encompasses variables describing the corporate tax rate. In short, conclusions drawn with
macroeconomic attributes of the home and/or host country, respect to broad categories of variables are likely to be
including market size, per capita income, exchange rates, more reliable than those drawn from specific variables
rates of inflation, and so forth. The third category includes that make up the broader categories.
industry attributes in the home and/or host country, includ-
ing ownership concentration, productivity levels, minimum
efficiency scale, and others. The fourth and fifth categories Variables that studies assess as possibly affecting FDI
include measures of the physical and institutional infra- and FDO quantity and quality include trade openness,
structures of host and/or home countries, such as the qual- proximity, market size, and corporate tax rates.
ity of telecommunications and transportation facilities, the
strength of legal protection of property rights, rule of law,
and similar attributes.
Categories of Variables for the
The sixth and seventh categories encompass measures Determinants of FDI Spillovers
of openness to foreign investment and foreign trade.
Examples of relevant variables include foreign owner- The literature on spillovers is relatively small compared
ship restrictions and the ratio of trade to gross domestic with the number of empirical studies on the determin-
product. A related policy measure is the use of invest- ants of FDI and FDO. Furthermore, virtually all of the
ment promotion agencies by the host country. available studies focus on spillover effects for the host
country to the exclusion of impacts on the home coun-
Categories eight through ten include variables that iden- try. Hence, it is not surprising that the list of variables
tify the availability of resources such as financial capital, identified and discussed in empirical studies of spill-
human capital, and technology in home and/or host overs is smaller than the list of variables identified and
countries. Specific variables include skill endowments discussed in empirical studies of the determinants of
and education levels of the population, labour costs, foreign direct investment.
financial market development, R&D activity, and cap-
acity to innovate. The final category focuses on taxes Table 2 clusters the relevant variables identified in our
and related variables in the home and host countries. review of the publications listed in the “Publications
Related to Determinants of Spillover Benefits” section
In reviewing our findings on the determinants of foreign in Appendix A into six broad categories. It also identi-
direct investment, we discuss in more detail the specific fies the main specific variables associated with each
variables used in the sample of studies, as well as their broad category. Unsurprisingly, there is substantial
empirical relationships to foreign direct investment. overlap between Tables 1 and 2 in terms of both the
Similar variables may be measured in different ways broad and the specific variables that form the focus of
across studies. Hence, it is arguably more reliable to the literature reviewed. This is expected in light of our
draw inferences from broad measures of a specific earlier discussion of the theoretical literature on the
attribute of the home or host country than from one or determinants of foreign direct investment and the deter-
minants of spillover efficiency benefits.
2 For a discussion of gravity models of foreign direct investment,
see Blonigen (2005).

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The Conference Board of Canada  |  9

Table 2 Table 3
Broad Variable Categories for Determinants of Summary of Empirical Findings on the Determinants of FDI and FDO:
Spillover Effects Macroeconomic Variables

Category Specific Variables Macroeconomic Variables Relationship to FDI Relationship to FDO

Absorptive capacity  R&D performance Market size Positive Positive


 Innovativeness
Exchange rate (home per host) Mixed Mixed
 Education/skill level
Market size growth Positive Mixed
Openness of economy  Trade/GDP
 Migration/immigration Per capita income Mixed Mixed

Nature of FDI and  Wholly owned affiliates Inflation rate Negative n.a.
FDO linkages  Vertical linkages
 Joint ventures Exchange rate stability Positive Negative

Regulations and related  “Buy local” Note: “Mixed” means that the positive and negative results for the variable in question
policies  Requirements to export were about equal in number, and/or the majority of the results for the variable in ques-
 Location requirements tion were not statistically significant; “n.a.” indicates only a small number of studies
reported results for the variable in question, such that no reliable inferences about the
Infrastructure  Transportation variable could be drawn.
Source: Steven Globerman and Victor Zitian Chen.
 Telecommunications

Industrial structure  Industrial concentrations


 Geographical concentrations variables used in the studies we reviewed. The summar-
ized results are based on the number of times an estimated
Source: Steven Globerman and Victor Zitian Chen. result was reported for each variable in our sample
studies. Hence, results could be reported for a variable
more than once in any given study. We do not provide
What Affects Foreign Investment? the number of studies reporting results for each of the
variables discussed in the report. However, if there were
As noted above, Table 1 summarizes the main categories fewer than four studies reporting findings, we identified
of variables used in the empirical studies of the deter- results as being “not available.”
minants of FDI and FDO that we reviewed. It also iden-
tifies specific variables most frequently specified in the The variable most frequently included in the studies  
empirical models discussed in the reviewed papers. Our is the market size of either the host or home country,
review of the literature is organized around the frame- depending on whether the model focused on FDI or FDO.
work set out in Table 1. In the overwhelming majority of studies, the market
size of the host economy is positively and significantly
What Affects FDI and FDO at the National Level? related to FDI. Simply put, larger economies attract
inward direct investment. This finding reflects the simple
1. Macroeconomic Variables: Market Size fact that market opportunities for foreign investors are
Of all of the variable categories identified in Table 1, generally more abundant in larger economies. Also, in
the category encompassing macroeconomic attributes the majority of cases, the market size of the home econ-
tends to be the most widely represented in empirical omy is positively and significantly related to FDO. That
studies of foreign direct investment. In particular, the is, larger countries are sources of FDO. This latter result
market sizes of the host and home countries, as well as reflects the fact that larger economies tend to be home
market size growth, are frequently specified in empir- to multinational companies. It should be noted, however,
ical models. Table 3 summarizes the macroeconomic that the results for FDO are less consistent than those

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10  |  Best Policy Practices for Promoting Inward and Outward Foreign Direct Investment—October 2010

for FDI. A plausible reason is that some relatively small undertake profitable FDO. In any case, it is clear from
economies such as The Netherlands and Canada are also the literature that effective public governance is a key
home to a significant number of multinational companies. factor encouraging inward direct investment.

2. Industry and Infrastructure Conditions 3. Openness to Foreign Investment and Trade


Table 4 summarizes empirical results for variables Table 5 summarizes the findings from studies that
describing industry conditions in home and host coun- include measures of an economy’s openness to foreign
tries, as well as infrastructure conditions. The main investment and trade. It is not surprising to find that
conclusion to be drawn is that political stability, protec- foreign investment approval procedures, such as those
tion of property rights, rule of law, and a relatively effi- mandated under Canada’s Foreign Investment Review
cient public sector are strong attractors of FDI. So is Act and its successor legislation (the Investment Canada
good physical infrastructure in the host country, including Act), discourage inward direct investment. Also unsurpris-
transportation and communication facilities. Very few ing is the finding that foreign ownership restrictions are
studies identify the impact of industry conditions and negatively related to FDI. Somewhat less expected are
infrastructure on FDO. If their impacts were estimated, the findings that subsidies to foreign investors, as well
the findings would likely be mixed. On the one hand, as requirements imposed on foreign investors, such as
good infrastructure in the home country should make it requirements to undertake a minimum level of exporting
more profitable to operate in the home country and or to purchase inputs from local suppliers, are not con-
therefore discourage outward direct investments. On the sistently related in a positive or negative way to FDI.
other hand, good home-country infrastructure should One would have expected to find that requirements
promote the emergence and growth of competitive
multinational companies that are willing and able to Table 5
Summary of Empirical Findings on the
Determinants of FDI and FDO: Openness
Table 4 to Trade and Investment
Summary of Empirical Findings on the Determinants of FDI and FDO:
Industry Attributes and Infrastructure Relationship Relationship
Openness Variable to FDI to FDO
Relationship Relationship
to FDI to FDO Investment protection Negative Mixed

Industry Competitive Mixed Mixed Foreign ownership Negative n.a.


attributes conditions restrictions

Productivity and Positive n.a. Investment promo- Positive n.a.


growth tion agencies

Infrastructure Socio-political Positive n.a. Subsidies Mixed n.a.


stability
Requirements Mixed n.a.
Protection of Positive n.a.
property rights Trade to GDP ratio Positive Mixed

Government efficiency Positive n.a. Tariff and other Mixed Mixed


barriers
Physical infrastructure Positive n.a.
Note: “Mixed” means that the positive and negative results for
Note: “Mixed” means that the positive and negative results for the variable in question the variable in question were about equal in number, and/or
were about equal in number, and/or the majority of the results for the variable in ques- the majority of the results for the variable in question were not
tion were not statistically significant; “n.a.” indicates only a small number of studies statistically significant; “n.a.” indicates only a small number of
reported results for the variable in question, such that no reliable inferences about the studies reported results for the variable in question, such that no
variable could be drawn. reliable inferences about the variable could be drawn.
Source: Steven Globerman and Victor Zitian Chen. Source: Steven Globerman and Victor Zitian Chen.

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The Conference Board of Canada  |  11

imposed on foreign investors would discourage inflows possessing a skilled and educated workforce. On the
of direct investment, other things being constant. However, other hand, higher unit costs of labour discourage
it should be noted that very few studies focus on how inward foreign direct investment, although unionization,
these variables affect FDI. Furthermore, it is possible per se, is not linked consistently, either positively or
that the costs imposed on foreign investors by such negatively, to FDI. R&D capabilities, as well as an
requirements are implicitly passed on to host country active innovation system more generally, attract foreign
firms in the form of lower acquisition prices. direct investment to host countries. Interestingly, R&D
also encourages outward direct investment from home
Relatively few studies identify the relationship of open- countries. This finding, again, presumably reflects the
ness variables to FDO. In the few cases where findings fact that countries characterized by advanced innovation
are reported, the results are mixed. In brief, available activities are likely home to efficient and highly suc-
studies provide no consistent evidence on whether the cessful multinational companies that, in turn, seek to
openness of the home country to investment and trade exploit their competitive advantages in foreign markets,
encourages outward direct investment. often through FDO.

4. Country Resource Attributes: Labour Force


Characteristics and R&D Capabilities Available studies provide no consistent evidence on
Table 6 summarizes findings with respect to the whether the openness of the home country to investment
resource attributes of host and home countries, particu- and trade encourages outward direct investment.
larly the characteristics of the labour force. Once again,
relatively little evidence is available on the determinants
of FDO. However, the evidence linking labour force 5. Tax Structures
characteristics and FDI is quite consistent. Specifically, Given the relatively few studies that link host and home-
foreign direct investment is attracted to host countries country tax structures to FDI and FDO, it was not worth-
while to create a separate summary table. Suffice it to say
that most of those few studies focus on the corporate tax
Table 6 rate. On balance, a higher host-country corporate tax rate
Summary of Empirical Findings on the discourages inward foreign direct investment. Specifically,
Determinants of FDI and FDO: Resources
we identified 14 studies that attempted to link corporate
Relationship Relationship tax rates to FDI. Nine of the studies identified a statistic-
Resource Variable to FDI to FDO ally significant and negative linkage, while five studies
found no statistically significant relationship between the
R&D activeness Positive Positive
two variables.3 A handful of studies also focus on other
Skill endowment Positive n.a. indicators of the tax structures of host and home countries,
such as income taxes or total tax revenues as a ratio of
Total employment Positive n.a.
GDP. While the individual number of such studies is
Unit wages Negative n.a. small, they tend to identify higher taxes as having a statis-
tically significant and negative impact on inward foreign
Unionization Mixed n.a.
direct investment. A very few studies (four, to be precise)
Large, liquid Positive Positive discussed findings for the relationship between home-
stock markets country tax rates and outward foreign direct investment.
Interest rates Negative n.a.

Note: “n.a.” indicates only a small number of studies reported 3 In his review of the literature, Moran (2005) concludes that tax
results for the variable in question, such that no reliable infer- considerations have become more important influences on the
ences about the variable could be drawn. location decisions of multinational companies since 1990. He also
Source: Steven Globerman and Victor Zitian Chen. asserts that multinational companies have become more respon-
sive to tax concessions and other investment incentives.

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12  |  Best Policy Practices for Promoting Inward and Outward Foreign Direct Investment—October 2010

They all report that higher corporate tax rates are nega- particular countries, e.g., Canada and the United States.
tively and significantly related to FDO. That is, higher These studies are usually set up as gravity models and
home-country corporate tax rates discourage FDO. This include such variables as physical and cultural proxim-
seemingly surprising result might reflect the fact that high ity, bilateral trade volumes, sharing a common physical
corporate tax rates in developed countries often accom- border, and sharing a common language. In effect, stud-
pany well-developed infrastructures for corporations in ies of bilateral foreign direct investment flows consider
which to do business; something that, in turn, discourages why two-way foreign direct investment between Canada
outward direct investment. By the same reasoning, one and the United States is likely to be larger than two-
would expect higher corporate tax rates to attract FDI, if way foreign direct investment between Canada and, say,
the revenues collected were used to improve the infra- Germany. The earlier studies we reviewed in this sec-
structure used by host country businesses. That is, if tion address the issue of what makes a country such as
physical and other social infrastructure is funded by tax Canada attractive to FDI from any potential source
revenue to any significant extent, the impact on FDI will country. Numerous countries are sources of FDI in
reflect the net effect of both government taxes and the multi-country models, unlike in bilateral models.
availability and quality of physical and related infrastructure.

Domestic R&D “activeness” and a more highly skilled


Specifically, physical and cultural proximity—including and educated workforce can encourage FDI into Canada.
a similar language, a shared border, similar political
institutions, and a strong trade relationship—all promote
bilateral foreign direct investment. The findings from studies of bilateral foreign direct
investment all report plausible results. Specifically,
physical and cultural proximity—including a similar
In short, and notwithstanding extensive discussions in language, a shared border, similar political institutions,
the popular business media about the important influ- and a strong trade relationship—all promote bilateral
ence of taxes on the investment decisions of multi- foreign direct investment. Membership of the bilateral
national companies, hard statistical evidence on the partners in a free trade area or a customs union also
linkages between taxes and direct investment decisions encourages increased bilateral foreign direct investment.
is limited, and the available results do not necessarily
tell a consistent story. This conclusion is consistent with We identified 12 empirical studies that focused specifically
Blonigen’s interpretation of the available evidence.4 He on inward and outward foreign direct investment at the
argues that the linkage is uncertain because the way in national level in Canada. The limited number of Canadian
which parent companies reduce double taxation on their studies militates against drawing strong conclusions from
multinational companies can have different implications the Canadian experience. Nevertheless, the results for
for foreign direct investment activities. More generally, Canada are consistent with those from the full sample of
it is difficult to measure the precise incidence of corpor- studies. In particular, domestic R&D “activeness” and a
ate income taxes. more highly skilled and educated workforce are identified
as encouraging FDI into Canada.
Bilateral Foreign Direct Investment
Next to the number of foreign direct investment studies There is no reason to believe that the results pertaining
encompassing macroeconomic attributes, the second more broadly to the determinants of FDI and FDO
single-largest number of studies focuses on bilateral should not apply to Canada, although the precise impact
investment flows. That is, they focus on the determinants of any specific determinant is likely to differ across
of direct investment flows that take place between two countries and regions. For example, improvements in
public sector governance are likely to have a larger
4 Blonigen, Foreign Direct Investment Behavior of Multinational
impact on FDI in developing countries than in developed
Corporations.

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The Conference Board of Canada  |  13

countries.5 Furthermore, the precise determinants of Agglomeration economies encompass the efficiency
FDI will vary across industrial sectors. Since the eco- benefits that firms enjoy by operating in close geographic
nomic importance of specific sectors, such as energy, proximity to suppliers of specialized inputs and services,
differs across countries, FDI determinants are unlikely to as well as to organizations in the same industry that are
be identical, even for developed countries. Nevertheless, potential sources of spillover efficiency benefits and
the broad policy inferences that can be drawn from the other external economies of scale. Indeed, in a number of
empirical evidence seem applicable to most countries, studies, measures of geographical density of manufac-
including Canada. turing establishments are found to be positively and sig-
nificantly related to FDI in regions and cities. The
What Affects FDI at the Sub-National or presence of foreign-owned firms in a location often
Provincial Level? attracts other foreign investors from the same home coun-
There are far fewer empirical studies of the determin- tries by signalling the advantages of operating in that
ants of FDI at the sub-national level than at the national location, thereby strengthening agglomeration economies.
level.6 Given the relatively few studies that focus on
FDI determinants at the sub-national level, we provide a Physical infrastructure is another location attribute that
qualitative assessment of the relevant literature in this is regularly incorporated into FDI models applied at the
section of the report, using the broad variable category sub-national level. Available studies consistently report
outline provided in Table 1. a positive and statistically significant linkage between
measures of physical infrastructure and FDI, although
there is some variation in the particular components of
Only a small majority of relevant studies find that higher physical infrastructure that seem to matter most to foreign
unit labour costs have a statistically significant and nega- investors. For example, in some cases, transportation
tive relationship to foreign direct investment. facilities are identified as being particularly important,
while in other cases, telecommunications capabilities are
cited. Such differences in emphasis are to be expected
The location attribute receiving perhaps the greatest given the fact that available studies focus on different
attention in studies of FDI at the sub-national level is industries. For some manufacturing industries, access to
the market size of the relevant region or city. As in the water or rail transportation is a critical determinant of a
case of FDI studies at the national level, the evidence is location’s attractiveness, whereas service industries are
unambiguous in pointing to a strong and positive rela- likely to be more concerned about the state of a loca-
tionship between FDI and larger market size; however, tion’s telecommunications infrastructure.
the precise interpretation of the market size variable dif-
fers in sub-national studies. Specifically, measures of Studies are more equivocal about the nature and import-
overall market size at the sub-national level can be ance of labour market conditions to foreign investors. In
interpreted in some cases as indicators of agglomeration particular, only a small majority of relevant studies find
economies, particularly when market size is measured that higher unit labour costs have a statistically signifi-
as total industrial or services-sector output, as opposed cant and negative relationship to FDI. However, there is
to a measure of overall output such as total income. more consistent support for a positive and statistically
significant relationship between FDI and the “quality”
of the available labour force in a region or city.

Although differences across sub-national regions in tax


5 Globerman and Shapiro, “Global Foreign Direct Investment Flows: rates and government subsidies are a conceptually
The Role of Governance Infrastructure,” 1899–1919. important issue, few available statistical studies address
6 We found only five Canadian-specific FDI studies at sub-national the issue. A possible reason for this paucity of evidence
(i.e., sectoral or provincial) levels and were unable to identify a
single empirical study that examines the determinants of FDO at
is the difficulty in measuring effective tax rates at the
the sub-national level. regional or city level, particularly when effective tax rates

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14  |  Best Policy Practices for Promoting Inward and Outward Foreign Direct Investment—October 2010

can vary substantially across different industries and any province or city. Rather, a more effective policy
organizations, even within the same region or urban approach could involve public investments in infrastruc-
area. The limited amount of evidence militates against ture, even at the expense of higher taxes.8
drawing strong conclusions about the practical import-
ance of taxes and subsidies to foreign investors.
Furthermore, what evidence is available tends to be Spending on foreign investment promotion agencies may
inconclusive. Specifically, there is no consistent evi- exceed the benefits if the agencies are operated inefficiently.
dence that fiscal concessions to foreign investors in the
form of lower taxes and/or direct or indirect subsidies
promote increased FDI in the longer run. Many, if not most, countries, as well as many sub-national
political units, have foreign investment promotion pro-
We should be cautious in concluding that taxes and grams. These programs typically include the use of gov-
other financial conditions in a region are unimportant to ernment or quasi-government agencies to advertise and
foreign investors. Certainly, anecdotal evidence sup- promote the advantages of a particular location to pro-
ports arguments to the contrary. Indeed, the inconsistent spective foreign investors. In some cases, the mandate of
evidence might reflect, in part, the competition among an agency might also include clearing bureaucratic hurdles
neighbouring political jurisdictions to keep tax rates and to FDI in a location, as well as providing assistance in
other fiscal attributes comparable.7 To the extent that site selection, worker training, and even financing.9 The
provinces and other sub-national jurisdictions base their limited available evidence, primarily from several stud-
own tax policies on policies in other sub-national juris- ies of FDI in U.S. states, suggests that agencies promot-
dictions, we might find little tax or fiscal policy varia- ing FDI do, indeed, encourage FDI. However, this
tion, and therefore observe only a small impact of fiscal evidence does not necessarily mean that the social
regimes on FDI location divisions. benefits of taxpayer funding of promotional agencies
will always exceed the relevant costs. As with other
public policies, spending on foreign investment promo-
There is no consistent evidence that fiscal concessions, tion agencies may exceed the associated benefits if the
in the form of lower taxes and/or direct or indirect sub- agencies are operated inefficiently or attempt to imple-
sidies, promote increased FDI in the longer run. ment unrealistic mandates.

Therefore, it might well be the case that an individual What Determines Investment Quality?
province or city might gain a location advantage by
lowering corporate taxes and/or extending fiscal benefits Significantly fewer empirical studies focus on what
to foreign investors. However, the advantage is likely to determines the quality of the investment—i.e., whether
be short-lived, given the likelihood that other provinces there are productivity spillovers—rather than on what
or cities will offer comparable fiscal benefits to foreign determines the size of those investments. In Table 7,  
investors. Moreover, improvements in infrastructure we examine factors that determine the quality of the
may be less easy for other jurisdictions to duplicate. So FDI based on a qualitative evaluation of the empirical
tax reductions that come at the expense of maintaining literature. There is virtually no statistical evidence on
and expanding public infrastructure could be a rela-
tively ineffective policy instrument to attract FDI for
8 Bellak and Leibrecht (2009) argue that a policy of contributing to
improvements in production-related infrastructure compensates
foreign investors for higher taxes.
7 For an illustrative discussion of tax competition among states in 9 Contractor, “Promoting Foreign Direct Investment in Developing
Switzerland to attract FDI, see Ball and Bryan-Law (2010). Countries,” 107–142

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The Conference Board of Canada  |  15

used are uniformly statistically significant). It is cer-


Table 7 tainly possible to interpret measures of R&D activity as
Factors That Determine the Degree to Which FDI or broad indicators of scientific and technical activity in
FDO Has Spillover Productivity Benefits
the host economy, since R&D activity is highly correl-
Variable Impact ated with other indicators, such as patenting activity
and employment rates for scientists and engineers. In
R&D Strongly positive
fact, a number of studies specify absorptive capacity
Education and skill level Weakly positive using other variables besides R&D activeness. In par-
ticular, measures of the education and skill level of the
Linkages to foreign affiliates Mixed
domestic workforce, as well as the export orientation of
Domestic competition Mixed the host country work force, have been used.11 Variables
measuring the education and skill level of the host
Geographic density Strongly positive
country workforce tend to be positively related to spill-
Export orientation Mixed over efficiency benefits from FDI, although the results
tend to be weaker than when absorptive capacity is
Openness of economy n.a.
measured as R&D activeness. Specifically, the workforce
Regulation of foreign affiliates n.a. quality variable is sometimes statistically insignificant.

Note: “Mixed” means that the positive and negative results for Empirical results for export orientation are distinctly
the variable in question were about equal in number, and/or
mixed. That is, in several cases, export orientation is
the majority of the results for the variable in question were not
statistically significant; “n.a.” indicates only a small number of positively related to spillovers, while in other cases it is
studies reported results for the variable in question, such that no either negatively related to spillovers or the estimated
reliable inferences about the variable could be drawn.
Source: Steven Globerman and Victor Zitian Chen. relationship is statistically insignificant. A possible
explanation for the mixed results is that in some cases,
particularly when the host countries are emerging econ-
what determines the quality of outward investments. omies, export orientation identifies labour-intensive
Only a handful of statistical studies look at the factors industries with relatively limited capabilities to adopt
that affect the quality of outward investments, and the relatively new production and managerial processes.
evidence is mixed. Specifically, there is no consistent
evidence of spillover benefits from FDO.10 We there- A number of available studies consider the empirical
fore focus on what affects the quality of inward direct relationship between FDI spillover benefits and the
investments. nature of foreign ownership. In particular, they evaluate
whether the extent of foreign ownership is related to the
The primary focus of empirical studies of FDI quality magnitude of spillover benefits. For example, several
or spillover benefits is the absorptive capacity of host studies consider whether FDI spillover benefits in a
country firms. The level of research and development sample of host country firms are larger when foreign
activity in the host country or among host country firms investment takes the form of joint ventures or minority
is the most frequently specified measure of absorptive ownership than when it takes the form of majority or
capacity. The findings are unequivocal: R&D activity is wholly owned affiliates. These findings, which hold
positively related to spillover efficiency benefits from obvious policy importance for foreign ownership
FDI (the estimated coefficients for the specific measures restrictions, can be prudently described as being mixed.  

10 See Zhao, Liu, and Zhao (2010), Iyer, Rambaldi and Tang (2008),
Singh (2007), Vahter and Masso (2007), and Braconier, Ekholm,
and Knarvik (2001). The potential economic benefits of FDO to the 11 The presumption is that export-oriented firms are likely to be
home country are broader than just spillover benefits. Hence, one relatively efficient compared with domestic firms that focus exclu-
should not conclude that FDO has no net economic benefits to sively on serving the local market, since the former must compete
home countries. against world-class competitors in foreign markets.

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16  |  Best Policy Practices for Promoting Inward and Outward Foreign Direct Investment—October 2010

In several studies, spillover efficiency benefits to host Several other potential factors that affect FDI quality
country firms seem to be larger when foreign ownership are included in the empirical models we have reviewed,
primarily takes the form of joint ventures with domes- although the number of relevant studies is small. Again,
tically owned firms. In other cases, spillover benefits we hesitate to draw any firm conclusions. The openness
are either larger, or no smaller, when foreign investors of the host economy to international trade is one such
have dominant or wholly owned positions in host coun- additional variable. Again, the expected empirical rela-
try firms. To the extent that foreign ownership limita- tionship is ambiguous. On the one hand, a relatively
tions discourage FDI at the margin, the overall impact open economy might be expected to be relatively effi-
of such limitations on spillover efficiency benefits is cient and competitive, in which case domestic firms are
likely to be negative, since discouraging FDI will more likely to have both the incentive and the capability
indirectly limit potential (and actual) spillover effi- to exploit new processes and techniques brought into
ciency benefits. the domestic economy through inward direct invest-
ment. On the other hand, in a relatively open economy,
new processes and techniques might also be embodied
Productivity spillovers from FDI are larger when foreign in imports of capital equipment that would reduce the
and domestically owned companies are located near scope for spillovers to be tied to FDI.13 As noted above,
each other. the available empirical evidence on the linkage between
openness and FDI spillovers is limited, and what evi-
dence is available is mixed.
Does the concentration of industry matter for the qual-
ity of FDI? As discussed earlier in this report, economic Finally, a few studies consider whether policies that
theory is ambiguous concerning how industry attributes affect the behaviour of foreign-owned affiliates influ-
like concentration of ownership affect FDI spillovers. ence the efficiency or innovation of host country firms.
The empirical findings are also mixed. In some studies, In particular, two studies consider whether more pro-
spillover efficiency benefits are larger when domestic ductivity spillovers flow from export-oriented foreign
industries are more highly concentrated, and in other affiliates than from non-export-oriented foreign affili-
studies they are smaller. ates, and they differ in their findings. Specifically, one
study finds FDI spillovers are mainly transmitted from
Geographic concentration does matter for the quality   export-oriented foreign affiliates to large domestic
of FDI. When activities are located close to each other, firms,14 whereas a second finds no significant relation-
there are more direct and indirect technology transfers ship between the export orientation of foreign-owned
between organizations. One would therefore expect FDI firms and domestic innovation.15 A third study exam-
spillovers to be larger when foreign and domestically ines whether government programs requiring foreign-
owned establishments are near each other. This is, owned firms to source from local suppliers promotes
indeed, a strong finding from the sample of empirical FDI spillovers, and finds no evidence that they do.16
studies that we reviewed.12

13 Keller and Yeaple (2009) examine technology spillovers to U.S.


manufacturing firms from inward foreign direct investment and
12 Few studies seek to identify whether the presence of foreign-
from imports. They find that the former are stronger than the
owned establishments has a stronger link to spillover benefits
latter, particularly in high-tech sectors.
than the presence of domestically owned establishments. Debaere,
Lee, and Paik (2010) find evidence from South Korean investment 14 Blyde, Kugler, and Stein, “Exporting Vs. Outsourcing by MNC
in China that geographic concentration has particularly strong Subsidiaries: Which Determines FDI Spillovers?” 18.
beneficial impacts on spillovers when other Korean companies are
15 Cheung and Lin, “Spillover Effects of FDI on Innovation in China:
located in the specific region. Conversely, Lileeva (2010) finds that
Evidence From the Provincial Data,” 43.
U.S.-controlled and Canadian-controlled plants are both equally
likely to benefit from productivity spillover deriving from new tech- 16 Driffeld, “Regional Policy and Spillovers From FDI in the U.K,”
nology brought into Canada by FDI from the United States. 579-594.

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The Conference Board of Canada  |  17

Other reviews of the FDI spillover literature broadly In short, the policy implications for the quality of FDI
support our qualitative assessment summarized in Table 7. are roughly consistent with those for the magnitude of
For example, Görg and Greenaway also highlight find- FDI. Namely, the focus of government policies should
ings that the absorptive capacity of domestic firms is a be on ensuring the efficient provisions of public goods
key factor determining whether domestic firms benefit such as education and physical infrastructure, and on
from FDI spillovers, and that spillovers benefit companies promoting the technological capabilities of private firms
in close proximity to foreign-owned affiliates.17 The and non-profit institutions, such as universities, that
absorptive capacity of host economies is related to contribute indirectly to bolstering the absorptive cap-
technological activities and the availability of skilled acity of domestic organizations.
labour. They also note that what little work has been
completed on trade-related investment measures has It is beyond the scope of this report to discuss govern-
failed to establish a direct link between such measures ment financial support for R&D and other innovation-
and the transfer of useful technologies to domestically related activities. We merely note that the spillover
owned firms. One point of disagreement with our efficiency benefits of FDI are larger when related indus-
assessment is Görg and Greenaway’s assertion that trial activities are near each other. Indeed, the literature
economies with more open trade regimes benefit from suggests that as activities become more spread out,
FDI more than countries with inward-oriented regimes. technological spillovers tend to decline dramatically.
Therefore, deliberate efforts on the part of policy-makers
to “spread out” industrial activity geographically, par-
There is no consistent evidence that FDI spillover ticularly activities characterized as science- and tech-
benefits will be larger if governments require investing nology-intensive, are likely to weaken society’s overall
companies to commit to activities that they would not technological capabilities.
otherwise find profitable.
Our broad policy conclusions for making sure invest-
ments are of the best quality—i.e., result in the greatest
In summary, a strong absorptive capacity is likely to productivity spillovers—are consistent with those of
result in greater FDI spillover efficiency benefits. For other researchers. For example, Fan highlights the roles
developed countries such as Canada, this absorptive that government policy can play by investing in infra-
capacity includes the active performance of R&D and a structure, educating, and training, and by encouraging
strong innovative infrastructure. An important component domestic firms to invest in technology development.18
of a strong innovative infrastructure is a skilled and Another study concludes that regions can improve both
relatively highly educated workforce. their access to and benefits from FDI by creating good
physical and communications infrastructures, by culti-
There is no consistent evidence to suggest that host vating a highly educated workforce, and by encouraging
governments can gain larger FDI spillover benefits by a high level of spending on R&D-related activities.19
requiring foreign-owned affiliates to enter partnerships
or joint-venture arrangements with domestically owned
firms or to commit to activities that they would not other-
wise find profitable. Examples of such activities might
include local content or export target requirements.
18 Fan, “Technological Spillovers From Foreign Direct Investment—
A Survey,” 20.
17 Görg and Greenaway, “Much Ado About Nothing? Do Domestic 19 Copenhagen Economics and Magnus Blomstrom, Study on FDI
Firms Really Benefit From Foreign Direct Investment?” 15. and Regional Development: Final Report, 5.

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Chapter 3

Policy Conclusions
can fit the description of best practices. For example,
Chapter Summary financial subsidies to foreign investors might attract
some FDI, at the margin; however, the impact of those
 Public policies facilitating FDI and FDO, as
subsidies seems to weaken over time. Moreover, if the
well as their spillover benefits, contribute
subsidies, intentionally or unintentionally, encourage
more generally to real economic growth.
investment outside concentrated “centres of excellence,”
 Best practices encompass improving infra- the spillover benefits to domestically owned firms are
structure, investing in education, and promot- likely to be negligible. However, foreign investment
ing the capacity of domestic firms to use new promotion agencies can be effective instruments to
technology. encourage inward direct investment, particularly if they
focus on mitigating administrative costs and delays that
confront foreign investors.

N
ational and sub-national governments both
have an interest in facilitating foreign direct
investment (both inward and outward), as well In broad terms, best FDI practices can be seen as “frame-
as in leveraging the spillover efficient benefits from work” policies—i.e., they contribute to an increased pro-
foreign direct investment. In fact, policies that promise duction capacity of the national or local economy.
to facilitate FDI and FDO, as well as their spillover
benefits, are largely consistent with public policies that
are recommended more generally for improving pro- It is obvious that restrictions imposed specifically on
ductivity and economic growth. For example, improving foreign investors, particularly limitations on foreign
the physical and communications infrastructure of a ownership, will discourage inward foreign direct invest-
country or region, raising the education and skill level ment. Supporters of foreign ownership restrictions
of the workforce, and encouraging innovation-related sometimes argue that such restrictions encourage foreign
activities are important components of best practice investors to take on domestically owned partners, and
policies to encourage foreign direct investment. that such shared ownership promotes spillover benefits
from FDI. In fact, there is no consistent evidence sup-
In broad terms, best FDI practices can be seen as porting this presumption. Moreover, requirements
“framework” policies. That is, they contribute to an imposed on foreign-owned firms to source more inputs
increased production capacity of the national or local domestically or to export more do not seem to increase
economy. It is less clear from the available evidence the benefits of FDI to the host economy. Hence, such
that policies targeted specifically at foreign investors targeted policies seem inadvisable.

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The Conference Board of Canada  |  19

Government subsidies to foreign investors will increase full impact of lowering tax rates might be to discourage
inward foreign direct investment, at the margin, pre- investment, if the supply of public goods is diminished
suming that they are not matched by other governments. as a consequence. Since public sector investments are
Given the existence of spillover benefits to FDI, target- moderated by a broad range of social considerations,
ing subsidies to potential foreign investors would seem there may be no policy inferences that apply uniquely
to be an advisable policy; however, extending such sub- to best practices for promoting foreign investment.
sidies is not necessarily an element of best practices. However, it seems fair to argue that investments focused
For one thing, if subsidies are linked to investing in on improving the efficient operations of government,
“have not” locations, the spillover benefits to the host modernizing and enhancing physical infrastructure cap-
economy are likely to be severely compromised. For acity, and improving innovation capabilities are particu-
another, the fiscal burden of significant investment sub- larly relevant components of best practices.
sidies implies either that taxes must be increased to pay
for the subsidies or that government expenditures in
other areas, including possible expenditures on public Good framework policies encourage both increased
services, must be reduced. Either of these initiatives FDI and greater spillover benefits from that FDI.
will discourage inward direct investment. On balance,
national, but particularly sub-national, units might be
more effective in attracting FDI, and in leveraging the The available evidence is much more conclusive for
benefits of FDI and FDO, by emphasizing governance best practices for FDI than for FDO. In particular, the
and infrastructure improvements, rather than fiscal sub- available evidence suggests that good framework poli-
sidies to foreign investors. cies encourage both increased FDI and greater spillover
benefits from FDI. While it is plausible that those same
Tax policies are, perhaps, the most controversial aspect policies promote increased home-country spillover
of best practices. Popular opinion, as well as anecdotal benefits from FDO, there is simply not enough evidence
evidence, suggests that lowering tax rates should encour- to support or disprove this presumption. While more
age increased investment, including investment by for- research on the home-country spillover benefits from
eigners. However, difficulties in accurately measuring FDO is clearly desirable, there is no basis for imposing
effective tax rates, particularly at the sub-national level policies that discourage FDO at the margin. Both FDI
and for specific industries and companies, limit rigor- and FDO are modes through which international pro-
ous empirical examination of the relationship between duction becomes more specialized geographically, and
tax rates and foreign investment. Furthermore, since the benefits to production specialization are very well-
taxes help fund the provision of public goods, and since established. Framework policies that encourage FDI
the supply of public goods encourages investment, the will, over time, also encourage increased FDO.

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The Conference Board of Canada  |  27

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28  |  Best Policy Practices for Promoting Inward and Outward Foreign Direct Investment—October 2010

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Publications Related to Determinants of Spillover Benefits

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The Conference Board of Canada  |  29

Barrios, S. “Foreign Direct Investment and Productivity Spillovers: Evidence From the Spanish Experience.”
Fundación de Estudios de Economía Aplicada (FEDEA) Documento De Trabajo 2000–19. Madrid: FEDEA, 2000.

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30  |  Best Policy Practices for Promoting Inward and Outward Foreign Direct Investment—October 2010

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The Conference Board of Canada  |  31

Marcin, Kolasa. “How Does FDI Inflow Affect Productivity of Domestic Firms? The Role of Horizontal and
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Appendix B

Glossary
Agglomeration economics: The productivity benefits that Human capital: The skills and knowledge embodied in
derive from a concentration of input suppliers,   the labour force that are acquired through education and
producers, and customers in a specific location. experience.

Absorptive capacity: The ability of firms to use new tech- Market structure: The degree of competitiveness
nology to improve their productivity. characterizing a market; primarily reflects the number
of competitors and the ease with which new firms can
Economic profits: Profits that are higher than necessary to enter the market.
compensate for the investment risks assumed  
by companies. Spillover productivity benefits: Improvements in the effi-
ciency of host and/or home-country firms arising from
Efficiency frontier: The productivity performance of the inward (FDI) and outward (FDO) direct investment.
most efficient organizations in an industry.
Trade-related investment measures (TRIMs): Domestic
Framework policies: Public policies that shape the broad regulations that a country applies to foreign investors,
business environment. often as part of an industrial policy. An example is a
requirement for foreign investors to buy inputs from
Gravity models: Economic models of international trade, local suppliers.
investment, and migration that emphasize the sizes of
national economies as key determinants of those phe-
nomena.

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