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If I was making predictions for the 2020 elections based on the polls in late October/ early November;

I would have predicted that Biden would have won the most electoral college votes based on the poll
results observed. This is because for majority of the period between October-November, majority of the
polls that was done from different organization and people had Biden winning most of the electoral
votes in comparison to Trump.

The most interesting thing that I learnt from reading the chapter of The Signal and The Noise is how the
right attitude for making better predictions. The author used a comparison of the animals: fox and a
hedgehog. The writer gave details of the characteristics of the different type of political scientist that
would fall under the different animal and also what characteristics would be better for a forecaster.

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