Aplicación 1: Ganancia Anual

Gasto en I y D Ganancia
Anual
Año ciento de miles (millones X² XY
de $ (X de
dólares)
2001 2 20
(Y) 4 40 1165 / 382
2002 4 25 16 100
2003 5 34 25 170 33.1818 5.5455
2004 4 30 16 120
2005 6 33 36 198
2006 5 34 25 170
2007 5 36 25 180
2008 7 35 49 245
2009 8 40 64 320
2010 7 37 49 259
2011 8 41 64 328
11 Σ 61 365 373 2,130
m 3.05

a 16.269633508
Aplicación 2: Ventas de línea blanca
Construcción Ventas de
línea
N X² XY
blanca
de casas (miles) (miles)
1 2 5 4 10 150.9 / 87.96 m
2 2.5 5.5 6.25 13.75
3 3.2 6 10.2 19.2 7.55 3.72 a
4 3.6 7 13 25.2
5 3.3 7.2 10.9 23.76
6 4 7.7 16 30.8
7 4.2 8.4 17.6 35.28
8 4.6 9 21.2 41.4
9 4.8 9.7 23 46.56
10 5 10 25 50
10 Σ 37.2 75.5 147 296
1.71555

1.16814
Aplicación 3: CASO E&A
CANTIDAD Y PRECIO X x^2 XY
32.33 6.385 40.768225 206.42705
42.865 6.74258 45.4623851 289.0206917
46.568 5.2234 27.2839076 243.2432912
49.5625 6.786 46.049796 336.331125
52.458 5.694 32.421636 298.695852
64 7.853 61.669609 502.592 n=
66.45 8.4546 71.4802612 561.80817
70.87 8.847 78.269409 626.98689
71.36 6.96 48.4416 496.6656
73.85 6.9385 48.1427823 512.408225
74.256 7.265 52.780225 539.46984 m=
75.1204 7.655 58.599025 575.046662
76.899 7.985 63.760225 614.038515 calculo intercépto
78.855 8.325 69.305625 656.467875
78.12 8.562 73.307844 668.86344
80.4229 8.68969 75.5107123 698.8500699 a=y-mX
82.491 8.3245 69.2973003 686.6963295
84.237 8.426 70.997476 709.780962
85.235 8.455 71.487025 720.661925
88.588 8.4036 70.620493 744.4581168
77.569 8.231 67.749361 638.470439 Modelo Lineal Simp
78.96 7.2788 52.9809294 574.734048
84.45 10.1254 102.523725 855.09003
85.965 10.8 116.64 928.422
93.965 7.7754 60.4568452 730.615461
98.5666 9.8666 97.3497956 972.51721556
101.458 11.587 134.258569 1175.593846
106.398 12.53225 157.05729 1333.4063355
111.44 14.235 202.635225 1586.3484 x
115.7 15.7999 249.63684 1828.04843 0
117.445 15.698 246.427204 1843.65161 1
119.223 16.0324 257.03785 1911.4308252 2
120.4222 16.89 285.2721 2033.930958 3
121.5667 17.4525 304.589756 2121.6428318 4
122.127 17.992 323.712064 2197.308984 5
123.4921 18.455247 340.596142 2279.077208 6
123.5647 19.1245 365.7465 2363.1131052 7
123.1265 20.1225 404.915006 2477.6129963 8
124.002 20.5634 422.85342 2549.9027268 9
 124.6322 20.8365 434.159732 2596.8988353 10
124.809 21.52741 463.429381 2686.8145147 11
124.8 20.4321 417.47071 2549.92608 12
124.821 20.412 416.649744 2547.846252 13
131.562 24.523 601.377529 3226.294926
133.223 28.0185 785.036342 3732.7086255 500.0000
133.2 28.2422 797.621861 3761.86104 450.0000
148.866 28.459 809.914681 4236.577494 400.0000
148.794 28.9567 838.490475 4308.5832198 350.0000
150.009 30.954 958.150116 4643.378586

PROYECCCION
300.0000
152.185 32.1698 1034.89603 4895.761013 250.0000
160.366 35.964 1293.4093 5767.402824
200.0000
164.558 39.654 1572.43972 6525.382932
150.0000
166.7635 40.5638 1645.42187 6764.5612613
100.0000
172.684 42.334 1792.16756 7310.404456
50.0000
176.452 41.624 1732.55738 7344.638048
0.0000
178.124 43.122 1859.50688 7681.063128 0 50 100
180.1865 45.7455 2092.65077 8242.7215358 P
184.453 46.372 2150.36238 8553.454516
185.42 46.89545 2199.18323 8695.354339
185.45 47.784 2283.31066 8861.5428
186.784 47.772 2282.16398 8923.045248
186.421 47.821 2286.84804 8914.838641
186.1864 50.412 2541.36974 9386.0287968
186.478 50.482 2548.43232 9413.782396
186.1255 54.722 2994.49728 10185.159611
188.2234 58.451 3416.5194 11001.845953
189.354 60.7122 3685.97123 11496.097919
192.324 60.81224 3698.12853 11695.653246
198.4412 62.5545 3913.06547 12413.390045
199.424 62.3782 3891.03984 12439.710157
199.4522 65.5645 4298.70366 13076.983767
198.242 66.4058 4409.73027 13164.418604
200.422 78.442125 6153.16697 15721.527577
200.4226 82.7272 6843.78962 16580.400515
200.785 85.122 7245.75488 17091.22077
200.492 86.4127 7467.15472 17325.055048
200.2428 88.898251 7902.89903 17801.234695
200.852 90.4225 8176.22851 18161.53997
204.6224 94.8565 8997.75559 19409.764686
208.34412 98.8656 9774.40686 20598.06643
210.8722 100.529 10106.0798 21198.771394
208.4232 105.65454 11162.8818 22020.857321
 215.4233 110.2855 12162.8915 23758.066352
215.14223 110.5585 12223.1819 23785.802235
215.1532 115.05227 13237.0248 24753.864058
219.354 116.4727 13565.8898 25548.752636
222.762 118.12252 13952.9297 26313.2088
228.854 120.4727 14513.6714 27570.659286
235.46678 125.7472 15812.3583 29609.288278
248.471 130.471721 17022.87 32418.438989
258.945 135.17172 18271.3939 35002.041035
278.452 140.1717 19648.1055 39031.090208
289.4625 142.5258 20313.6037 41255.874383
298.7528 145.42828 21149.3846 43447.105849
300.752 150.1283 22538.5065 45151.386482
300.1256 155.4712832 24171.3199 46660.912153
315.8272 160.5828 25786.8357 50716.416092
320.46413 178.3164 31796.7385 57144.009991
350.74642 180.43423 32556.5114 63286.660218
360.65899 182.3665 33257.5403 65772.1177
15883.08397 5254.9247072 517323.646 1175267.694
 NOMBRE: EDUAR VALLE MAGALLAN
LA CONSULTORA E&A QUIERE CONTRATARLO PARA QUE UD. LE CONSTRUYA UN MODELO QUE PROYECTE CANTIDADES Y P
LA CONSULTORA E&A QUIERE CONTRATARLO PARA QUE UD. LE CONSTRUYA UN MODELO QUE PROYECTE CANTIDADES Y P
a) CALCULE EL MODELO CORRESPONDIENTE A LA CONSULTORA E&A

100

1.4123134

calculo intercépto

a= 84.6148348

Modelo Lineal Simple:

Y= a+mx X= (y-a)/m

Y= 84.61483+1.41231X X = (Y-84.61483)/1.41231

b) PROYECTAR LOS PRECIOS Y CANTIDADES:

P (x) proyección Q(Y) y Q (y)

55.63 163.1818 0 85.22
100 225.8462 1 92.37
15.49 106.4916 2 96.33
5.79 92.7921 3 98.99
0.599 85.4608 4 1.01
0.23 84.9397 5 0.5
48.26 152.7731 6 255.55
0.12 84.7843 7 280.44
12.99 102.9608 8 47.22
9.22 97.6364 9 201.21
 84.635 204.1460 10 4.62
252.63 441.4076 11 99.56337
50.665 156.1697 12 12.65833
20.365 113.3766 13 152.657

50 100 150 200 250 300

P
ODELO QUE PROYECTE CANTIDADES Y PRECIOS.
ODELO QUE PROYECTE CANTIDADES Y PRECIOS.

a=b= 84.614835

MEDIA DE Y: 158.83084

MEDIA DE X: 52.5492471

X = (Y-84.61483)/1.41231

proyección P(x)
0.42849
5.49111
8.29502
10.17845
-59.19708
-59.55819
121.03204
138.65560
-26.47772
82.55616
-56.64099
10.58443
-50.94939
48.17781
Aplicación 4: JUAN FERNÁNDEZ
CONSUMO DE POLLO PRECIO
XY X²
X
(kg por mes) Y (S/.)
3.01235 30.65 92.3285275 939.4225
3.2463 29.32 95.181516 859.6624
3.3856 28.69 97.132864 823.1161
3.5456 22.6325 80.245792 512.23005625
3.64652 19.7456 72.002725312 389.88871936
4.5635 14.475 66.0566625 209.525625
4.4785 13.9563 62.50328955 194.77830969
5.543656 13.9552 77.3628282112 194.74760704
6.2452 11.5752 72.28943904 133.98525504
7.1752 11.2455 80.6887116 126.46127025
7.5423 6.8755 51.85708365 47.27250025
8.91255 6.254 55.7390877 39.112516
10.4755 6.5966 69.1026833 43.51513156
12.4622 5.2324 65.20721528 27.37800976
13.56 5.023 68.11188 25.230529
13.5455 5.2334 70.8890197 27.38847556
13.98852 5.0666 70.874235432 25.67043556
14.6335 5.0666 74.1420911 25.67043556
14.99663 5.0322 75.466041486 25.32303684
15.6334 5.001 78.1826334 25.010001
16.2436 5 81.218 25
18.9635 4.9336 93.5583236 24.34040896
39.6422 4.5896 181.94184112 21.06442816
51.5322 4.462 229.9366764 19.909444
66.6335 4.23622 282.27416537 17.9455598884
68.47554 4.3662 298.977902748 19.06370244
69.426 4.2302 293.6858652 17.89459204
70.4855 4.1235 290.64695925 17.00325225
72.489 4.0233 291.6449937 16.18694289
73.4223 3.9365 289.02688395 15.49603225
74.7546 3.89365 291.06824829 15.1605103225
75.8662 3.86337 293.099201094 14.9256277569
76.4228 3.7685 287.9993218 14.20159225
78.42201 3.7652 295.274552052 14.17673104
79.4002 3.743026 297.1970130052 14.010243636676
80.1829 3.70322 296.934918938 13.7138383684
82.4223 3.4536 284.65365528 11.92735296
82.43524 3.2302 266.282312248 10.43419204
84.1002 3.1325 263.4438765 9.81255625
85.7529 3.10365 266.146988085 9.6326433225
86.7586 3.0063 260.82237918 9.03783969
88.422 3.003566 265.581312852 9.021408716356
108.49102 3.0335 329.10750917 9.20212225
110.5653 2.8963 320.23027839 8.38855369 200,000,000.00
115.8785 3.016 349.489556 9.096256
118.96421 2.982 354.75127422 8.892324 150,000,000.00
119.6952 2.6556 317.86257312 7.05221136

PROYECCION Q(Y)
120.01 2.5524 306.313524 6.51474576 100,000,000.00
135.4515 2.5632 347.1892848 6.56999424
146.3546 2.3365 341.9575229 5.45923225
50,000,000.00
153.4742 2.1864 335.55599088 4.78034496
151.2713 2.08745 315.771275185 4.3574475025
-
163.8812 2.0152 330.25339424 4.06103104 0 20
167.12 1.9821 331.248552 3.92872041
-50,000,000.00
175.4175 1.9396 340.239783 3.76204816
182.993 1.956 357.934308 3.825936
185.459 1.8264 338.7223176 3.33573696
188.8823 1.7462 329.82627226 3.04921444
189.344 1.6545 313.269648 2.73737025
190.771 1.6112 307.3702352 2.59596544
192.22 1.5545 298.80599 2.41647025
196.489 1.412 277.442468 1.993744
198.112 1.3112 259.7644544 1.71924544
200.443 1.235 247.547105 1.525225
201.657 1.023 206.295111 1.046529
201.5624 1.02567 206.736506808 1.0519989489
202.563 1.0025 203.0694075 1.00500625
203.899 1.0011 204.1232889 1.00220121
203.564 0.963 196.032132 0.927369
203.4632 0.93564 190.368308448 0.8754222096
204.5331 0.89355 182.760551505 0.7984316025
205.4638 0.87365 179.50344887 0.7632643225
208.795 0.86256 180.0982152 0.7440097536
209.42254 0.82336 172.4301425344 0.6779216896
210.86526 0.8056 169.873053456 0.64899136
212.486 0.78356 166.49553016 0.6139662736
213.637 0.7235 154.5663695 0.52345225
214.667 0.703544 151.027679848 0.494974159936
215.67934 0.6865 148.06386691 0.47128225
216.5325 0.68222 147.72280215 0.4654241284
218.962 0.68111 149.13720782 0.4639108321
219.422 0.67256 147.57446032 0.4523369536
220.4626 0.6532 144.00617032 0.42667024
221.5327 0.64522 142.937328694 0.4163088484
222.586 0.6232 138.7155952 0.38837824
223.5232 0.60235 134.63919952 0.3628255225
225.38255 0.589635 132.89343986925 0.347669433225
228.1335 0.56722 129.40188387 0.3217385284
229.6669 0.55235 126.856512215 0.3050905225
230.4521 0.502545 115.8125505945 0.252551477025
 232.4225 0.48349 112.373954525 0.2337625801
232.748252 0.478522 111.37515904354 0.228983304484
234.822828 0.452567 106.27306279948 0.204816889489
235.8182 0.4556 107.43877192 0.20757136
238.5182 0.42315 100.92897633 0.1790559225
239.542532 0.403556 96.668826043792 0.162857445136
240.54546 0.3865522 92.983376763012 0.1494226033248
242.56562 0.3756232 91.113274394384 0.1410927883782
243.08555 0.3564522 86.64837908571 0.1270581708848
245.55665 0.334689 82.18510963185 0.112016726721
13,158.67 407.78 19436.56268754 5,158.21
EL SEÑOR JUAN FERNÁNDEZ QUIERE CONTRATARLO PARA UD. LE CONSTRUYA SU MODELO DE DEMANDA SOBRE EL CON
a) CALCULAR EL MODELO DE LA DEMANDA DEL SEÑOR JUAN FERNÁNDEZ

n= 100

Calculo intercepto

a=y-mX

a= - 7,247,538.98

Modelo Lineal Simple:

Y= a+mx

Y=-7247538.98+1777364.36X
b) PROYECTAR LOS PRECIOS Y CANTIDADES:

x P Proyección Q(Y)
0 55.63 91,627,240.22
1 100 170,488,896.76
2 15.49 20,283,834.91
3 5.79 3,043,400.64
4 0.599 - 6,182,897.73
5 0.23 - 6,838,745.18
6 48.26 78,528,064.90
7 0.12 - 7,034,255.26
8 12.99 15,840,424.02
9 9.22 9,139,760.39
10 14.56 18,630,886.06
11 0.599 - 6,182,897.73
12 5.6874 2,861,043.06
13 15.89 20,994,780.65
14 25.684 38,402,287.17
 200,000,000.00

150,000,000.00
PROYECCION Q(Y)

100,000,000.00

50,000,000.00

-
0 20 40 60 80 100 120

-50,000,000.00

P
DELO DE DEMANDA SOBRE EL CONSUMO DE POLLO POR MES QUE NECESITA EN SU CANASTA FAMILIAR.

m= 1,777,364.36

MEDIA DE Y: 131.59

MEDIA DE X: 4.08

X=(y-a)/m

x =(y+(-7247538.98))/1777364.36

Y Q PROYECCION X(P)
0 85.22 4.077737
1 92.37 4.077741
2 96.33 4.077743
3 98.99 4.077745
4 1.01 4.077690
5 0.5365 4.077689
6 255.55 4.077833
7 280.44 4.077847
8 47.22 4.077716
9 201.21 4.077802
10 56.89 4.077721
11 2.65 4.077690
12 0.856 4.077689
13 255.55 4.077833
14 32.4125 4.077707