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Liquidation Value
Article by
Dheeraj Vaidya, CFA, FRM
Unlike human beings, a company is not a natural person. Its identity is different
from that of its owners and managers. So, a death which seems to be inevitable
for human beings is something which can be avoided from a company’s point
of view. Many companies go on for hundreds of years. However, even a
company can shut down at either on account of law ﴾mostly on account of
bankruptcy﴿ or at the discretion of the management or the desire of the owners
of the company.
Let us look at Fitbit’s share price movement over the past few quarters. We note
that Fitbit stock plummeted by more than 90%. Does this mean Fitbit is now
trading at an all‐time low and is a buying opportunity? One way to perform a
valuation check is to compare Fitbit’s share price with its Liquidation Value.
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Definition
FITBIT’s Example
Transocean – Example
Depreciation on furniture ﴾for the sake of convenience let us say that the
depreciation rate is 10% p.a. on the written down value﴿
So, the book value of this piece of office furniture at the end of year 2 will be $
1,03,500 – $ 10,350 – $ 9,315 = $ 83,835.
If we were to take the liquidation value of the above furniture, we would look
more at the market value of the asset rather than the book value of the asset.
The current market price, which it can fetch at the end of 2 years, is $ 90,000,
and this will be considered as the liquidation value and not $ 83,835, which is
the book value of the asset.
The simplest explanation for the above is that when a company is in the
The simplest explanation for the above is that when a company is in the
liquidation phase, it is putting an end to its business and selling its assets to
pay its debt. In this case, it is obvious that the selling price will be considered as
the liquidation value and not the book value.
E.g., The office furniture in the above example has a useful life of 10 years, after
which its salvage value is expected to be $ 5000. But as clearly seen above that
the market value is $ 90,000 for the given asset, it will be considered as the
liquidation value.
The simplest way to find out this value is to go through the following steps:
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Prepare the balance sheet of the company as per normal accounting policies
as on the date on which you would like to find out the liquidation value.
Now, you take the tangible assets of the company and find the market values of
the same. At times, the purpose of finding the liquidation value may not
necessarily be to wind up the company. It can be done for analysis purposes, as
well. In this case, finding the market value for each and every asset may be
inconvenient, and many companies resort to assigning a recovery percentage
to each asset. This has to be as close to the market value as possible.
Land owned by the company in a prime area may have a recovery of 150%
as land prices generally appreciate in most developed/developing areas.
Now coming back to the above example, let us apply the above pointers to
figure out the recovery ratios for the assets:
Recovery Recovery
Assets Amount Comments
Ratio Value
Fixed Assets
The value of
land in the
area has
been
appreciated
since the
time the
company
had
purchased it.
The current
property
property
prices in the
area suggest
$ $ that we can
Freehold Land 150%
50,00,000 75,00,000 earn a 50%
profit over
the original
purchase
price. Since
there was no
depreciation
on freehold
land, we
have applied
a flat
recovery
ratio of 150%
of the book
value.
The company
has found
similar
second‐hand
office
furniture
listed on e‐
commerce
Office $
50% $ 6,12,500 websites at
Furniture 12,25,000
this price.
That is why
the company
assumes it
can sell its
furniture at
the same
rate.
The
machinery
has been
used on an
overtime
basis over
the past
years. The
depreciated
Plant &
$ 4,30,000 25% $ 1,07,500 value itself is
Machinery
less, and the
company
expects that
that they will
have to sell it
for a value
very close to
its salvage
value.
In this case,
the company
has spoken
to a second‐
hand car
Transportation
$ 4,50,000 75% $ 3,37,500 dealer, and
Vehicles
the rate is
determined
after
consultation
with them.
Total Fixed $ $
Assets 71,05,000 85,57,500
Recovery Recovery
Assets Amount Comments
Ratio Value
Current
Assets
As
mentioned
earlier, small‐
timers don’t
end up
paying their
debt if the
company is
going to
liquidate,
and they will
Accounts
$ 3,00,000 75% $ 2,25,000 never have
Receivable
to worry
about their
future orders
with them. A
prudent
estimate is
that they will
be able to
fetch 75%
from its
debtors.
Inventory
Raw material
lying in the
goods will
fetch a good
value as it is
not very
aged
a﴿ Raw inventory. So
$ 1,70,000 90% $ 1,53,000
Materials we can fairly
assume that
the fresh
stock can be
sold in the
market at
100% of its
value.
The company
does not
want to
spend its
time and
resources on
completing
the work‐in‐
progress. It
b﴿ Work‐in‐ intends to
$ 1,25,000 5% $ 6,250
progress sell the
work‐in‐
progress
inventory as
scrap, and
the scrap
value will
fetch only
5% of the
total value.
Finished
goods
should fetch
100% but
considering
the time
frame to
liquidate the
c﴿ Finished
$ 3,00,000 90% $ 2,70,000 goods, the
Goods
company
might offer a
discount,
which is why
the recovery
ratio is
assumed to
be 90%.
The bank
balance is
also liquid,
and it will
definitely
Balances in fetch 100%.
$ 70,000 100% $ 70,000
bank However, at
times there
are charges
on the
closure of an
account
Cash is
already
liquid, and
there is no
Cash‐in‐hand $ 5,000 100% $ 5,000
point in
applying a
recovery
ratio to it.
The company
has already
paid prepaid
insurance
for its stock,
and on the
closure of
business, the
insurance
Prepaid company will
$ 10,000 0% –
Insurance not pay back
the premium.
It is a kind of
loss which
the company
will have to
suffer and
hence the
recovery
ratio of 0%
Total Current $ $
Assets 9,80,000 7,29,250
Since liquidation value does not take into account intangible assets; the market
value of all intangible assets will be marked as 0. ﴾Recovery ratio will be 0% in
this case﴿
In the above example, there are no intangible assets like goodwill. But the
company would have taken the recovery ratio as 0%, just like prepaid insurance.
Now, from the total liquidation value of all assets, you need to subtract all
liabilities. There is no point in calculating the market value of liabilities because,
unlike assets, there will be no separate book value and market value. You will
have to end up paying the entire amount reflected in the balance sheet.
The net amount derived from the amount will be the liquidation value of the
company, which will be available to the shareholders. There is a possibility
﴾especially in the case of bankrupt companies﴿ that the liquidation value may be
negative, which means that the company does not have enough assets to repay
its lenders. In this case, the lenders will be paid on the basis of the priority of
claims they hold on the assets of the company.
Let us drill down the above example of ABC Limited to determine how to arrive
at the final liquidation value for different stakeholders.
Total
Liquidation $
Value of 92,86,750
Assets
Less: Current $
Liabilities 10,50,000
Less:
Amount
outstanding $ 4,50,000
towards
Debt funds
Less:
Amount
outstanding $
towards 15,00,000
Preference
Shareholders
FITBIT’s Example
Fitbit’s stock has taken a beating in the last few quarters ﴾as seen from the
graph below﴿.
In this example, we find out whether Fitbit is trading below its liquidation value.
source: ycharts
In order to find the liquidation value of Fitbit’s asset, we assign a recovery rate
to each class of assets. The reasons for the recovery rate was discussed in the
earlier example.
Please note that Fitbit does not have debt in its book.
Step 4 – Calculate Net Liquidation Value of Fitbit
In order to find the per share liquidation value, we require the total number of
shares outstanding.
We note that the total number of basic shares outstanding is 222,412 ﴾‘000﴿
Fitbit is trading at 2.61x of its liquidation value. This implies that Fitbit is trading
very close to its liquidation value. If this stock falls further, then it will be a buy.
Let’s compare the Tangible Book Value formula with that of the Liquidation
Value formula.
Liquidation Value Formula = Liquidation Value of Assets – Liquidation
Value of Liabilities
In this formula, we assume that the recovery rate of Intangible Assets is 0%.
This removes intangible assets from the liquidation value of Assets.
For other assets, the recovery rate is less than 100%, and therefore Liquidation
value of Assets is less than ﴾Book value of Assets – Intangible Assets﴿.
We note that even though Liquidation value is less than the Tangible book
value, it is a great proxy for identifying stocks that are trading close ﴾below﴿ the
liquidation value.
Using the Price to tangible book value ratio provides us with a relative
valuation multiple for making such a comparison.
If Price to tangible book value is less than 1, then the share price is
trading below its tangible book value. This implies that if the company is
liquidated today, the shareholders will profit from higher tangible book
value.
If Price to tangible book value is greater than 1, then the share price is
trading above its tangible book value. This implies that if the company is
liquidated today, the shareholders will be at a loss.
Let us pick some practical examples where Tangible Book Value ﴾~Liquidation
value﴿ is greater than the Share Price.
value﴿ is greater than the Share Price.
Take a look at Noble Corp Price to Tangible Book Value. Noble Corp owns and
operates advanced fleets in the offshore drilling industry.
source: ycharts
Noble Corp’s tangible book value was above 1.0x in 2012‐2013. Due to the
slowdown in the commodities ﴾Oil﴿, Noble Corp stock prices plummeted from a
high of $32.50 in July 2013 to $6.87 currently. This resulted in a share
decrease in Price to Tangible book value and is currently trading at 0.23x.
source: ycharts
Transocean Example
source: ycharts
Let us now pick some other examples where the Liquidation value is negative.
Fiat Chrysler’s price to book value is 0.966x; however, its Price to “tangible”
book value is ‐2.08x. This implies that if Fiat Chrysler is to liquidate today, the
shareholders will not recover their money ﴾forgot about profiting from the
investment﴿.
source: ycharts
WDV Method
Depreciation Rate
PE Ratio
EV to EBITDA Multiple
PEG Ratio
FCFF
FCFE
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