risk ◼ Unique Risk – non systematic/diversifiable risk Capital Asset Pricing Model ◼ CAPM explains the relationship between risk and return for a particular security. Assumptions ◼ Investors want to maximise the expected returns on their portfolio. ◼ Investors are risk averse ◼ Investors have homogenous expectations of risk and return ◼ Investors have identical time horizon ◼ Individuals can borrow and lend freely at a riskless rate of return ◼ The market is perfect: there are no transaction costs & securities are completely divisible ◼ Information is freely and simultaneously available to all investors E (Rj) = R f + b j ( E (Rm) – R f) E (Rj) = Expected return on security j Rf = return on risk free security B j= volatility of security j with respect to the market portfolio E (Rm) = Expected return on the market portfolio.
E (Rm) – R f =Market risk premium
◼ Expected return on a security j = Risk free return +( market risk premium* beta of security j) Risk free rate ◼ The return on a security that is free from default risk
◼ Eg: Return on a short term government
security like a 364 days treasury bill ◼ The return on a long term government bond with a maturity period of 15-20 years Market risk premium
◼ It is the amount above the risk-free rate
required to induce average investors to enter the market ◼ It is the difference between the average return on stocks in the portfolio and the average risk free rate ◼ Use maximum possible historical period ◼ Use arithmetic mean Beta ◼ Beta measures the volatility of the security. It describes how the expected return of a stock or portfolio is correlated to the return of the financial market as a whole. Security Market Line ◼ A security market line is a linear relationship between risk and return. ◼ Under priced securities are plotted above the SML ◼ Overpriced securities are plotted below the SML ◼ The difference between the actual (expected )return on a security and its fair return as per the SML is called alpha ◼ The risk free return is 5% and the expected return on the market portfolio is 14%.The beta of the stock is 1.25.Find the fair return of the stock as per SML. ◼ If stock beta is 1.2, the risk free rate is 4 and market rate of return is 14 %, what is the market risk premium? ◼ Security market line (SML) is the representation of the CAPM. It displays the expected rate of return of an individual security for its systematic, non- diversifiable risk Security Market Line