Professional Documents
Culture Documents
National Pakistan
Action Plan
DECEMBER 2019
National
Action Plan
DECEMBER 2019
Ministry of Planning,
Development & Reform,
Government of Pakistan
United Nations
Development
Programme
Pakistan
Pakistan
Contents
1.3.2.3 Cement Sector 54
1.3.2.4 Leather Industry 55
1.3.2.5 Fertilizer Sector 55
1.3.2.6. Pulp and Paper 56
1.3.2.7 Brick Kiln 56
Acknowledgement 9
1.3.3 Energy Efficiency in Transport Sector 56
Message of Deputy Chairman, Planning Commission 10
1.3.3.1 Road Transport 57
Message of Resident Coordinator, United Nations Pakistan 12
1.3.3.2 Fuel Efficient Cars: Hybrid and Electric Vehicles 58
Executive Summary 13
1.3.3.3 Railway Transport 58
Preamble 19
1.3.4 Energy Efficiency in Agricultural Sector 58
The Methodology 21
1.3.5 Supply, Transformation, Transmission & Distribution Efficiency 59
1.3.6 Energy Efficiency in Power Sector 61
INTRODUCTION 23
1.3.6.1 Energy Efficiency in Buildings 61
Overview of Pakistan’s Energy Sector 26
1.3.6.2 NTDC’s Expansion Plan 61
Pakistan’s Power Sector Vision & Reforms 27
1.4 Projections for Primary Energy Supply and Final Energy Consumption by 2030 61
Energy Sector Progress (2013-18) 28
1.4.1 Final Energy Consumption 63
Analysis of Key Issues of Pakistan’s Energy Sector 31
Pakistan’s Vision 2025 and Key Policies for the Energy Sector 33
PART 2: PRIORITY ACTION AREAS 66
World Bank Regulatory Analysis (RISE) 35
2.1 Priority Action Areas 66
Pakistan’s Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC) 36
2.1.1 Energy Access - The Status and Trajectory 66
2.1.2 Completion of On-Going Plans / Strategies 67
PART-1: VISION & TARGETS UNTIL 2030 40
2.1.3 Actions Needed to Achieve Energy Access: Modern Cooking Appliances and Fuel 73
1.1 Energy Access Target until 2030 41
2.2 Status of Renewable Energy in Pakistan 73
1.1.1 Limited Access: Load Shedding 43
2.2.1 Biomass Energy 73
1.1.2 Electricity Access Targets-Methodology 43
2.2.2 Bio-Fuel 74
1.1.3 Access to Modern Fuel 44
2.2.2.1 Private Sector 75
1.1.4 Piped Gas Network Status 44
2.2.3 . Solar Energy 75
1.2 Renewable Energy Target Until 2030 46
2.2.3.1 Solarization of Government School and Colleges 76
1.2.1 Biomass 47
2.2.3.2 Promotion of Solar Heating 77
1.3 Energy Efficiency Target Until 2030 48
2.2.3.3 Promotion PV Solar Powered Water Pumps 77
1.3.1 Residential/Domestic Sector 50
2.2.4 Wind Energy 78
1.3.1.1 Electricity Saving Potential in Domestic Sector 50
2.2.5 . Development of Hydel Energy 78
1.3.1.2 Natural Gas Saving Potential in Domestic Sector 51
2.2.6. Development of Small Hydro 78
1.3.2 Residential/Domestic Sector 52
2.2.7 Promotion of Geothermal 79
1.3.2.1 Textile Industry 53
2.3 Promotion of Energy Efficiency and Conservation 80
1.3.2.2 Sugar Industry 54
2.3.1 Energy Efficiency Measures in Buildings 81
i.e. qualitative and quantitative adopted to conduct a thorough energy sector review and analysis. Participation of all the regions in the consultation
process has facilitated in developing a well-coor- In the process of formulation of NAP, the sustain-
dinated nationally cohesive Action Agenda for ability parameters of the plan have been given
sustainable energy in the country. In addition, due consideration. These include environmental,
A series of regional level consultative meetings, phase, Ministry of Finance coordinated with other
these regional and provincial consultations economic, and social dimensions. Moreover, the
interviews with experts and stakeholders were government ministries such as Planning Commis-
included participants from government depart- externalities, and socio-economic cost has been
conducted. During the review of literature phase, sion and Ministry of Energy (former Ministry of
ments, private sector, civil society and develop- analyzed and viable financing options has been
the research reports and official documents were Water & Power and Ministry of Petroleum and
ment partners. These consultative meetings were discussed. The priority actions areas have been
reviewed. Natural Resources), Energy Sector Regulators
designed to discuss the role played by these developed through the systematic analysis which
(NEPRA and OGRA), and Provincial Energy
regions to deal with the energy crisis and respec- factors-in the on-ground situation and challenges
The process started with the constitution of Departments.
tive plans. Hence, the outcome of all these consul- expected to these action areas.
SEforAll National Steering Committee and with
tations was to bring out the following:
convening of its first meeting on May 16, 2016. Ministry of Planning, Development, and Reforms
The meeting was chaired by Minister for Planning, as a focal ministry has overseen the task of prepa-
Development, and Reforms. The meeting was ration of National Action Plan and Investment
attended by participants from all concerned Prospectus. A National Steering Committee
ministries, provincial energy departments, civil chaired by Minister Planning Commission and
society organizations, NGOs and donor agencies represented by all stakeholders at federal and
(See Annex-I for Constitution of Steering Commit- provincial level. These consultations eventually
tee). operationalized the global SEforALL goals in
Pakistan to achieve larger economic develop-
National Action Plan builds-up on the findings of ment, poverty alleviation and improvement in the
earlier report ‘Rapid Gap Assessment’ and ‘Coun- quality of life of people.
try Situation Assessment’. The process started
with government’s declaration of partnership with These regional consultations were held in the
the SEforAll initiative towards the three goals of following four provinces and two regions for
SEforAll. The first substantial step was an engage- analysis and mapping the energy access, renew-
ment for Rapid Gap Assessment Report which able energy, and energy efficiency and conserva-
was diagnostic in nature. To initiate the diagnostic tion in the country.
CHINA
GILGIT-BALTISTAN
KHYBER
PAKHTUNKHWA
Sustainable Energy for All (SEforAll) initiative is an important component of Sustainable Develop-
AJ&K
ment Goals. This initiative is an all-encompassing approach linking energy access to other goals. FATA
JAMMU & KASHMIR
DISPUTED AREA
ISLAMABAD
SEforAll National Action Plan provides a comprehensive and holistic long-term vision, aligned with AFGHANISTAN
National Vision 2025 and national energy policies notified from time to time.
The Plan ensures overall sector-wide coherence with a population of 207.07 million.2 It is stretched
PUNJAB
and synergy of the accumulated efforts toward over an area of 796,096 sq. Km and divided into
BALOCHISTAN
the three goals of SEforAll to be achieved by 2030 four provinces (Punjab, Sindh, Balochistan and INDIA
as summarized below: Khyber Pakhtunkhwa) and three regions (Federal-
ly Administered Tribal Areas-FATA, Gilgit-Baltistan, IRAN
a) Universal energy access , 1
and Azad Jammu & Kashmir-AJK). However, FATA
SINDH
b) Doubling the share of renewable energy, and is being merged into KP.
c) Doubling the rate of energy efficiency.
The rural population is 61% of the total population
ARABIAN SEA
Pakistan’s vision 2025 and other national and which is employed by the agriculture sector.
Source: Geological survey of Pakistan.
provincial development plans are broadly in line Traditionally, Pakistan has been an agrarian econ-
with goals of SEforAll including access to energy, omy. However, over the years the economy has and economic resilience despite the turmoil in the of energy sector portfolio out of this amount is
doubling share of renewable energy, and shifted towards industry and services sector. region. USD 36 billion (See Annex XX for detail project
doubling the rate of energy efficiency and conser- These have become major contributors to GDP, list).
vation. contributing approximately 80.5% to the econo- Pakistan’s macroeconomic reforms and invest-
my.3 ment friendly policies has transformed Pakistan Pakistan’s economic history is characterized by
Geographically, Pakistan occupies a strategic into a dynamic, open and private sector friendly recurring cycles of high growth and subsequent
location. It is located at the crossroads of South Pakistan has undertaken significant political and economy. Foreign direct investments are encour- stagnations. This volatility of economic growth
Asia, Central Asia, China and the Middle East, economic reforms with the devolution of power to aged and the share of international trade in the has serious implications for the social and
which makes Pakistan a potential hub for regional provinces after the 18th amendment. The GDP has also increased significantly. China-Paki- economic well-being of people at large. However,
trade and economic integration. The region’s management of resources and planning have stan Economic Corridor (CPEC) is a recent devel- the recent performance of the economy has
trading history is as old as the history of Silk Route been devolved to the provinces with greater opment initiative, poised to bring economic, largely been positive. The economy has main-
in Asia. autonomy. These reforms have enhanced the social and regional benefits for the people of tained growth in real GDP over 4% consecutively
deliverance capacity at provincial level. Moreover, Pakistan. Under this initiative, USD 52 billion will in last four years.
Pakistan is world’s sixth most populous country the country has also shown democratic, political be invested on country’s infrastructure – the share The following table provides an overview of
Area 796096 5
Capital Islamabad
4
Provinces 04 (Punjab, Sindh, KP and Balochistan)
Region 03 (AJK, GB, and FATA) 3
Years
1
Population Millions 207.07 2017
Urban 36.83% 2017 0
2014 2015 2016 2017
Rural 63.62% 2017
Source: Eocomic Survey of Pakistan 2017
Male Millions 106.4 2017
Female Millions 101.31 2017 Furthermore, final energy consumption in
Population Growth rate % 2.4 2017
Overview of Pakistan’s 2016-17 (50.12 MTOE) is 63% of primary energy
Per Capita Income $ 1629 2017 Energy Sector supply during the same year.
Labor Force Million 61.0 2014-15 Table 2 Primary Energy Supply by Source
Employed Million 57.4 2014-15 Pakistan’s primary commercial energy supplies Primary Energy of 2016-17
Unemployed Million 3.62 2014-15 have been increased to 80 million tonnes of oil
Source Unit TOE % Share
equivalent (Table 2). The existing primary
Unemployment rate % 5.9 2014-15
commercial energy supply mix during 2016-17 Oil 27,366,526 34.4
Economic Indicator Gas 30,163,334 37.9
has increased by 7.6%. According to Pakistan
Unit Years Energy Year Book 2017, the share of oil and gas is LNG Import 4,455,734 5.6
Nominal GDP S Billion 271 2015-16 34.4% and 37.9 % respectively, followed by 9.7% LPG 1008,673 1.3
Sectoral Contribution to GDP from hydroelectricity and 8.1% from coal. The
Coal 6,482,401 8.1
nuclear share is 2.1%, renewable electricity is 0.8%
Agriculture % 19.53 2016-17 Hydro Electricity 7,681,699 9.7
and imported electricity 0.1%. This shows that
Industrial Sector % 20.88 2016-17
Pakistan energy mix has diversified over the last Nuclear Electricity 1,670,560 2.1
Services % 59.59 2016-17 five years. Renewable Electricity 636,825 0.8
Real GDP growth rate % 5.28 2016-17 Imported Electricity 118,480 0.1
Oil, gas and electricity, coal and LPG are the major
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics & Economic Survey of Pakistan, 2017 Total 79,584,246 100
sources in final energy consumption respectively.
Source: Pakistan Energy Year Book 2017
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
Source: Pakistan Energy Year Book 2017 Considering the gravity of the current energy
sector problems, both long-term and short-term
Pakistan’s Power Sector measures are being taken. The Power division of
Source: Planning commission of Pakistan/NTDC
2018-19
Table4:4
Table Public Sector Development Program- Last Five Years Allocations for Energy Sector
2021-22
Provincial
Development 106,110 115,600 142,227 205,020 270,000 838,957 154
Program
25000
On physical side, government has remained To address energy efficiency and conservation,
successful to have power generation capacity the Federal Government has passed National
20000 additions7000 MW (out of which 1500 MW of Energy Efficiency and Conservation Act and
Solar and Wind projects were also inducted) in the created an Authority (National Energy Efficiency
system. The project completed during the last five and Conservation Authority) to promote energy
years (2013-18) includes: efficiency and conservation in Pakistan.
15000
• Three LNG power plants (Bhikki, Haveli-Baha- Country’s energy sector is being redefined. With
dur, Baloki (3600 MW), the given reform agenda, it is expected that in
10000 • Chashma 3 & 4 Nuclear (340) MW each, future the energy sector will transform and evolve
• Guddu Gas (400) + MW, with privatizations, mergers, and consolidations
• Nandipur Gas 100 + MW, as well as disaggregation of vertically integrated
5000
• Sahiwal Coal (1320 MW), utilities. Resultantly, the sector will see new oppor-
• Various Wind/Bagasse (350 MW), tunities and challenges at all levels of the unbun-
• Patrind HPP Hydel (147 MW), dled energy market. This will demand the more
• Faisalabad Gas (250 MW), proactive role of sector’s regulators (NEPRA &
0 • Neelum Jhelum (969 MW) OGRA).
Hydel Oil & Gas Domestic Imported Imported LNG Nuclear Imported Bagasse Wind and Solar
Coal Coal Electricity • Tarbella 4 Extension (1410 MW)
• Port Qasim Power Plant (1320 MW) Additionally, the government has initiated number
Source: NEPRA State of Industry Report 2016 (in completion phase) of projects to import energy from energy rich
• About 27% of the population lack ation for implementation”. However, due to US
6
strengthening regulatory capacity of NEPRA and Aggregate Commercial & Technical (ACT) losses
access to electricity sanction on Iran no significant progress on this OGRA. – lines losses, electricity theft and poor recovery
project has been achieved. by DISCOs which creates a shortfall of cash within
• Circular Debt hampers smooth function-
The NEPRA regulation on “Net-Metering” is the Central Power Purchase Agency (CPPA-G)
ing of the system
CASA 1000 (The Central Asian-South creating the market for solar housing system, that it cannot pay to power supply companies.
• Nascent regulatory frameworks
Asian) is $1.6 billion project with the aim to where any household with solar system installed; With the installed capacity of 32,612 MW in FY 17,
• Weak governance of DISCOs, GENCOs
export 1300 MW hydroelectricity from Tajikistan meeting basic condition can sell excess electricity the circular debt figure was hovering around 566
and Gas Companies
and Kyrgyzstan to Pakistan and Afghanistan. to the DISCOs and KE. Similarly, the competitive billion , where additional 533 billion is parked with
• Majority of the population lack access to
markets (reverse auction) regime for renewables Power Holding Company. For power sector, an
clean cooking facilities are put in place. increase in supply to the grid in the absence of
• Energy conservation and efficiency Analysis of Key Issues major governance reforms in the energy sector
requires special emphasis of Pakistan’s Energy The analysis shows that the importance assigned can exacerbate the circular debt situation and so
• Off-grid electricity solutions have yet
not proliferated
Sector to renewables by various government agencies as for access to the electricity.
varied from time to time. Among few policy-mak-
ers there are doubts of affordability and reliability At the macro level, the circular debt makes power
The above discussion reveals that Pakistan’s
Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-In- of renewables, whereas, some believe there is a sector management and operations unsustain-
energy mix is currently heavily dominated by oil
dia Gas Pipeline Project (TAPI) supply potential for further reduction in cost and address able. This result in increased load-shedding and
and gas with a share of 72.3% in overall primary
natural gas from the Yoloten, Osman and adjacent the technical challenges. less access to electricity at the national level to all
energy supplies. In Power Sector, the majority of
gas fields in Turkmenistan to Afghanistan, sectors of the economy. Similarly, the surging PSO
electricity generation in the country is through
Pakistan and India. It is supported by the Asian The analysis of renewable tariff shows that indica- circular debt negatively impacts all sectors of the
thermal sources. Renewable energy (including
Development Bank (ADB), “a 56-inch diameter tive upfront tariff, as well as cost-plus tariff for wind economy including power sector which
hydroelectricity) contribution in the electricity
1,680 kms pipeline with design capacity of 3.2 and solar power projects has decreased drastical- consumes a major share of oil imports.
generation is 28.3%. It is expected that by 2030,
billion cubic feet of natural gas per annum ly. Although, the cost of power generation from
Pakistan’s energy mix will significantly change in
(BCFD). The first gas flow is planned by the end of non-renewable sources are disputed especially
favor of renewable energy. It is expected that
2019” 5
when it comes to infrastructure development of
significant increase will be observed in the genera-
coal and LNG imports – as costs are not sufficient-
tion of electricity through solar and wind sources.
Iran-Pakistan Gas Pipeline Project will ly internalized. Development of these projects
Energy Sector Diamer- Bhasha Dam and Dasu Dam; Power Generation Policy 2015, and Policy Frame- • Promotes the on-shore exploration and produc-
• Tap Pakistan’s huge potential for alternative work for Private Sector Transmission Line Projects tion (E&P) activity by providing globally compet-
energy; 2015 was launched to attract new investments for itive incentives.
Pakistan’s Vision 2025 (Pillar – IV) is focused on
• Maximize distribution efficiency and cut waste- development of new power generation projects • Proactive resource management through the
the energy-water and food security. The energy
ful losses through investment in transmission and augmentation of transmission network in the strengthening of Directorate General of
sector has been given high priority which shows
and distribution infrastructure and effective country. The Private Power and Infrastructure Petroleum Concessions (DGPC) is also on top
government’s firm commitment. While addressing
enforcement of controls; Board (PPIB) was processing around 37 IPPs with agenda.
the energy sector, the Vision document emphasiz-
• Address institutional fragmentation and decay cumulative capacity of 15,469MW based on • Emphasizes on training in the E&P sector
es ensuring uninterrupted access to affordable
of the sector due to poor capacity; multiple fuels (Annex V) meeting international standards and creating
and clean energy.
• Focus on demand management and conserva- favorable conditions for retaining them within
tion to ensure prioritization in allocation, elimina- The IPP projects which are at different stages of the country.
GUIDING POLICYFRAMEWORK tion of wasteful use, incentives to use more processing / implementation includes:
• Vision 2025
energy efficient equipment and appliances and Energy Conservation Policy draft is being
• Power Policy 2015 achieve better balance between peak and • Sixteen (16) Hydro IPPs of 6,430 MW prepared through stakeholder dialogues to
• Petroleum Exploration and Production off-peak hours; • Thirteen (13) Coal based IPPs of 9,491 MW Five ensure commitment and ownership of all relevant
Policy 2012 • Introduce institutional reform and strengthen Imported Coal based Project of 4,423 MW sector players. National Energy Efficiency and
• Policy for Development of Renewable regulatory frameworks to improve transparen- Seven Thar Coal based Projects of 4,950 MW Conservation Act has been passed and National
Energy, 2006 cy and efficiency; One Cogeneration (Bagasse/Imported Coal) Energy Efficiency and Conservation Authority
• National Energy Conservation Act 2016 Project 118 MW (NEECA) has been established. Although, NEECA
Moreover, the government has already initiated a • Three (03) R-LNG based power projects of is still in its infancy and government is in process
Pakistan is yet to achieve its access goal, as the project in collaboration with different agencies for 3,633 MW of developing the organizational structure,
national electrification coverage ratios over 86% the development of an “Integrated Energy Devel- • Handling / facilitating 900 KM Long, 4000 MW policies, laws, and regulations at multiple levels.
whereas access to piped gas network is as low as opment Plan” that offers a highly structured frame- Capacity, ±660 kV Matiari-Lahore HVDC (High For this purpose, the government has already
25%. The main goals as stated in the Vision 2025 work to simulate results and analyze strategic Voltage Direct Current) Transmission Line engaged international donor agencies and devel-
for Energy sector are : 7 options such as: Project, first ever transmission line project of the opment partners. In addition, there have been
through renewable energy; Analysis (RISE) 250 Parties (COP21) in Paris in December 2015. The
Ministry of Climate Change in collaboration with
• Introduce investment-friendly incentives, and
other ministries has outlined post-2020 climate
facilitate renewable energy markets to attract According to World Bank report entitled “Regula-
200
actions intended to take under the Paris agree-
private sector interest in RE projects, help tory Indicators for Sustainable Energy” providing a
ment.10
nurture the nascent industry, and gradually comparison for SEforAll at the global level,
lower RE costs and prices through competition Pakistan’s score on renewable energy is 77 which
The NDC document submitted by Government of
in an increasingly deregulated power sector; is higher than other countries in the South Asia 150
Pakistan has also incorporated the major projects
• Devise measures to support the private sector and even more than some of the developed
such as CPEC, projecting the future economic
in mobilizing financing and enabling public countries in the world.8 On energy access and
growth and the subsequent GHG emissions. It is
sector investment in promotional, demonstra- energy efficiency, the score is 59 and 38 respec- 100
also strategically aligned with “Vision 2025”.
tive, and trend-setting RE projects; tively. The good score for all these indicators is
• Optimize impact of RE deployment in underde more than 66, where both energy access and
According to Ministry of Climate Change, the total
veloped areas by integrating energy solutions energy efficiency require improvement.
50 GHG inventory of Pakistan (2014-15) is 405.06 MT
with provision of other social infrastructure, e.g.,
CO2-Equivalent. From 1994-2015, the overall
educational and medical facilities, clean water Pakistan performance on renewable energy sourc-
increase in emission is approximately 123%with
supply and sanitation, roads and telecommuni- es is commendable. The investors’ confidence
0 90% of emissions are solely attributed to energy
cations, etc., To promote greater social welfare, and interest in investing in developing renewable 1994 2008 2012 2015
and agriculture sector (See Fig. 4). The emission
productivity, trade, and economic wellbeing power plants have improved. It is expected that
Source: Nationally Determined Contributions of Pakistan profile is dominated by energy sector with the
amongst deprived communities; renewable installation will surpass the previously
major share of 46%out of total emission, and there
37 Introduction
1
The gap of 27% will be fulfilled through a major power generated through renewable energy in
policy shift and reforms in energy sector of national grid will grow more than 15% by 2030.
Pakistan. The government has already initiated a Government has already taken initiative such as
number of projects to achieve this target (see net-metering, reverse auctions, and energy
Energy Access Section for details). exchange which will disrupt the existing energy
markets with more penetration of renewable
In 2005, Government of Pakistan tasked Alterna- energy.
tive Energy Development Board (AEDB) to deploy
minimum 9,700 MW of renewable energy in the The energy efficiency potential of Pakistan is
national grid by 2030 (MTDF 2005-10). Renew- estimated around 15-20% of primary energy use.1
able Energy share in national grid is above 1,200 Government has established NEECA (National
MW which come to 4.28 % of the installed capap- Energy Efficiency and Conservation Authority)
city. The power sector’s future demand projec- after enactment of NEECA Act of 2016. NEECA
China, Sri Lanka, and Nepal - all of which have the country have more than 90% electrification. In
electrification coverage ratio above Pakistan’s. GB, the electricity access has seasonality issues; in
India also has a higher rate compared to Pakistan summer, there is excess due to high river flow
but owing to its large population, a number of whereas, in the winter there is less flow resulting in
BALOCHISTAN
people without electricity in India (244 million) far less electricity generation. The region is not
exceeds the population in Pakistan without connected to National Grid. Therefore, the short-
access to electric grid (See table 5). age or excess of electricity in the region cannot be
Table
Table4:6 Comparison of Electricity Access 2016
SINDH
Region Population without National Urban Rural
electricity millions electrification electrification electrification
Coverage Ratio % rate % rate %
Nepal 7 76% 97% 72% managed. ratio while Gujrat, Hafizabad and Sialkot have less
Pakistan 51 73% 90% 61% than 30,000 households which are not electrified
Districts in central and south Punjab, including – most of these are temporary settlements. In
Sri Lanka 0 99% 100% 98%
Jhang, Rahim Yar Khan, and Bahawalnagar, are Sindh, districts like Tharparkar, Sanghar, Dadu,
Other Asia 29 35% 66% 24%
found to have the lowest electrification coverage and Thatta have more than 150,000 households
Source: International Energy Agency - Energy Database 2016
SINDH
Additionally, in areas where pipe gas access is not In Punjab, a new housing scheme will be given least 15% of total power generated from Renew- On the other hand, the share of renewable energy
possible, the improved cook stoves will be provid- gas connection if the cost of providing the able energy in national grid by 2030. At institu-
9
without traditional biomass stands at about 6.5%
ed. See the following Table 7 for short, medium connection is less than PKR. 54,000 per customer. tional level, AEDB (Alternative Energy Develop- in 2017 and it will reach 13% of TFEC in 2030 to
and long-term access to improved cook stoves in On the other hand, in KPK and Sindh, the cost ment Board) has been mandated with this task. satisfy the SEforALL objective. Thus, doubling this
all provinces and regions. threshold is PKR. 108,000 while in Balochistan it is Additionally, AEDB has been directed to electrify share without considering traditional biomass will
KP 2.58 0.52 0.77 1.29 2.58 combustion technology. The amount of MSW
Hydro Electricity MTOE 2.62
produced in 16 landfill sites can generate
Balochistan 1.381 0.276 0.414 0.691 1.38 Other Renewables (Solar and Wind) MTOE 0.64
around 360 MW of gross power capacity in the
FATA 0.097 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.09 Traditional Biomass Estimates MTOE 17 anaerobic digester-based power plants.
AJK 1.007 0.201 0.302 0.504 1.01 Total Renewables (Without Biomass) MTOE 3.26 Additionally, Punjab Power Development
GB 0.274 0.055 0.082 0.137 0.27 Share of Renewables % 6.50% Board assisting 40 MW waste to energy power
(Without Traditional Biomass) project at Lakhodair landfill site Lahore. Sindh
Total 14.03 2.79v 4.18 6.97 14.03
Total Renewables (With Biomass) * MTOE 20.26 Solid Waste Management Board conducted
Source: Author Estimate based on OGRA / SNGPL and SSGC data
Share of Renewables % 31% study 11000 tons per day waste availability in
be more rational and realistic target for the Under reverse auction / Competitive bidding tariff (With Traditional Biomass) * power generation project has been initiated by
SEforALL objective for Pakistan. The figure shows regime, the solar and wind tariffs can be reduced Source: Utilizes data from Energy Year Book, 2017 - *Author’s Own Estimates Sindh Energy Department.
the current as well as a future target for the share even further. Renewable energy technologies are
Sindh and 7 In KP.13 90% of this amount of
of renewable energy in TFEC for Pakistan. Over the most suitable options for generating clean
bagasse is used as fuel in cogeneration plants III. Rice Mills: The results of the rice mills analysis
the last 25 years, the TFEC in Pakistan increased electricity for both the large scale – grid connect-
to meet the energy demands of the sugar mills. show that with a biomass fuel of 1.86 million
by Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of ed plants and an excellent choice for the off-grid
The majority of these plants utilize low-pressure tonnes/year, 1062 GWh (potential capacity of
about 3% from 22 MTOE in 1990 to 50 MTOE in applications.
steam boilers, which are inefficient and don’t 162 MW) can be annually generated.
2017.11 If TFEC is projected to increase at a
1.2.1 optimize the use of bagasse. The total installed
current rate of 3% for the next 15 years, it will reach
Biomass power capacity for all 84 existing cogeneration
around 88 MTOE by 2030. The SEforALL objec- 1.3
plants is estimated at 830 MW. There is a
tive thus requires that renewables share contribu-
tion about 13% Primary Energy Supplies in 2030. The NAP targets to implement biomass-based substantial potential for implementing new Energy Efficiency Target
co-generation projects of about 2000 MW explor- high-pressure cogeneration plants using Until 2030
ing the following potentials:12 bagasse generated at the sugar mills.14 The
Worldwide, the costs of these clean energy
results of the sugar mills analysis show that the There is a compelling case for Pakistan to invest
technologies are constantly declining, and their
I. Sugar Mills: A total of 17.1 Million tonnes/year new high-pressure cogeneration plants at 84 and achieve energy efficiency to improve the
efficiencies are improving; some of these technol-
of bagasse is generated in the 84 existing sugar sugar mills could have a combined power economy of the country. According to ADB
ogies have already reached grid parity in Pakistan.
mills in the country. Out of 83 functional sugar capacity output of 1,844 MW - 2.2 times higher studies (2009), there is a potential of 11.09 MTOE
One of the mechanisms is ‘Reverse Auction’,
mills in Pakistan, 44 are located in Punjab, 32 in than the total power capacity of all existing saving potential in energy sector. It is evident that
which has been already approved in Pakistan.
huge infrastructure projects and considering cial instruments to create a meaningful impact. 1.3.1.1 .
United Kingdom
energy efficiency as an option is inevitable. Electricity Saving Potential in Domestic
Switzerland
The primary energy intensities of selected coun- Sector
The energy efficiency has been based on indica- tries including Pakistan are shown in the figure8
tors of energy intensity in terms of primary energy below for comparison and analysis. Left axis Source: World Energy Council and EnerData According to NEECA that over 10 million new fans
and uses PPP (Purchasing Power Parity) for GDP. represents the primary energy intensity for the not the best indicator to assess the energy are sold annually in the domestic market and
The target for energy efficiency under SEforALL is year 2014 and their percentage improvement competitiveness of a country. standard power consumption of these fans is
to double the rate of improvement of energy (reduction in primary energy intensity) over the about 80 watt each. There are new more efficient
efficiency. Therefore, it is important to identify and last 14 years is on the right axis. The fact that 1.3.1 fan entrants in the market which can achieve
assess the current rate of improvement of energy Russia has a very high energy intensity, it is not Residential/Domestic Sector around 50 watts of power consumption. In
efficiency in Pakistan which has to be doubled by because the country is energy inefficient, but it is addition, 1.3 million new refrigerators are added in
2030. due to Russia’s industrial structure, mainly vast In Pakistan, there are over 29 million households the market annually. Similar trends have been
geography and extremely cold climate conditions in the residential sector that consume about witnessed in the case of Air Conditioners as well.
The primary energy intensity of Pakistan has make it a highly energy intensive country. As 23.2% of total final energy consumption of the Worldwide, the efficiency of these appliances has
decreased by 1.7 annually since 2000. In order to discussed above that energy intensity of GDP is country. However, in contrast to the global trends, been improving and their costs have been declin-
ing.
Domestic final energy consumption in 201621 and contrib- even rely on grid electricity and they have their
According to Asian Development Bank, a power generation units for self-generation24
22.63% Industrial uting over 18%22 of overall GHG emissions in the
35.77%
substantial amount of natural gas saving can be which is more commonly known as captive
country.
achieved in the Pakistan’s Domestic sector (Table generation capacity. According to an estimate,
10). The table shows the gas saving potential for the import of backup generators exceed over 1
33.93% Energy efficiency in the industrial sector is
domestic geysers, space heater, and cook stoves. Transport
billion USD per annum in the country.25 Diesel and
planned to be achieved by employing a broad
Energy efficiency potential for geysers is about natural gas are two commonly used sources of
range of energy management, efficient technolo-
30%. In addition, the use of solar water heaters for fuel for local industry. While some units, especially
gies, and practices to reduce overall energy
water heating can bring down the consumption the textile mills are beginning to use the imported
Source: Pakistan Energy Year Book 2017
consumption. A huge potential for investment
of natural gas in the residential sector. Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) from Qatar. Cement
exists in the industrial sector. According to a study
The potential for improving energy efficiency in conducted by IFC, over US$ 4 billion can be & brick industries meet their fuel demands primari-
There are 2 million gas geyser consumers in the space heating is 36%, which can be achieved by ly through local or imported coal.
absorbed in energy efficiency improvements in
SNGPL network, if all those consumers were to be replacing existing low-quality space heaters with the industrial sector of Pakistan with a typical
converted to the solar water heater, there will be more efficient ones. Similarly, the potential for According to IFC, energy shortages and rising
payback of around 5 years.23
an estimated saving of 15 19
BCF annually or 41 improving energy efficiency for cook stoves is energy prices are driving industries to take signifi-
MMCFD which is about 9% of total natural gas around 40%. cant measures and reduce energy consumption
The technologies and practices for improvements
consumption in Punjab.
Textile Spinning 3.50% 247,990 2,075 energy savings are planned to be achieved in the Sugar mills in Pakistan can take advantage of this
textile industry by the installation of meters, opportunity by using HPC technology and gener-
Textile Processing 18.40% 2,155,043 4,262
controls to reduce leakages of compressed air ate revenue by selling of electricity to the national
Sugar 3.60% 1,149,901 1,698
and improved maintenance of electrical motors. grid. Despite all these competitive advantages of
Leather 6.90% 9,776 14 using HPC technology, only three sugars mills
Pulp & Paper 6.30% 167,176 142 1.3.2.2 have HPC technology in Pakistan where total
Total 3,729,886 8,191 Sugar Industry sugar mills are 89. With a production of 4.4 million
tonnes of bagasse annually, Pakistan has the
Source: IFC-funded Study “Sustainable Growth: Cleaner Production in Pakistan” by National Productivity Organization (NPO) & Cleaner Production Institute (CPI)
Sugar is the second largest industry in Pakistan. potential to generate about 1000 MW of electrici-
As of 2016, there are over 89 sugar mills in the
on a voluntary basis. Some industrial units have • Installation of Variable Frequency Drive (VFD) ty. According to Cleaner Production Institute,
already achieved savings of 287 GWh (15% of country producing over 5 million tonnes of sugar there is also a good potential in the sugar industry
or inverters on pumps and motors;
annually.28 Energy in the sugar industry is
current electricity requirement) which translate • Installation of Heat Recovery Systems (HRS) to reduce energy consumption and cost by
into a cost saving of PKR 381 million. Most of consumed mainly in the form of steam (96%) and insulation of steam lines and valves in sugar mills
from exhaust flue gases in sugar and paper
energy saving measures were achieved in the electricity (4%). 29
Energy requirements of sugar that can offer decent energy savings.
industry;
industry are largely met by combustion of
textile and sugar industry. • Thermal insulation of steam lines and valves in
bagasse which is a renewable energy source and 1.3.2.3
almost all the industrial units;
The Table 11 shows the estimated energy and • Improvement of Maintenance Operation i.e.
a by-product of sugar production. Processing of Cement Sector
cost saving potential in the industrial sector of every 3 tons of sugarcane, produces about 1 tons
reduction of air leakages; and
of bagasse . 30 Cement production is an energy-intensive
Pakistan. The investments in textile industry can • Proper maintenance and operation of electrical
be attractive as it offers highest energy efficiency process. The primary fuel for cement production
motors. Electric motor-driven systems (EMDS)
gains with a total energy saving potential of 2,150 Only three sugars mills have HPC technology is coal, which accounts for more than 90 per cent
in the industry consume almost half of the total
GWh and cost saving of over 4 billion PKR. Most in Pakistan where total sugar mills are 89. of energy consumption and thus it is the largest
electricity. The cost‐effective potential to
energy efficiency gains therefore are planned to contributor of GHG emissions amongst industrial
improve the energy efficiency of electric motor
be achieved by implementing following funda- Sugar industry offers good potential for energy sector.32 Energy prices havemajor impact on the
systems in the industrial sector is about 20% to
mental measures: efficiency by deploying the energy efficient cost of production as fuel and energy cost
30%.26
technologies, such as the High-Pressure Cogene- accounts for more than 60% of the total produc-
• Improvement in Process Operation. e.g. proper 1.3.2.1
ration (HPC). HPC is an efficient power generation tion cost of cement. Consequently, investments in
metering in the textile and sugar industry; Textile Industry technology use high-pressure boilers (66 bar), more energy efficiency cement processing
• Replacement of low-pressure boilers with widely deployed in the sugar industry across the technologies can significantly reduce the fuel or
higher pressure boilers in the sugar industry; Pakistan’s textile sector is one of the most import- world. It generates electricity based on bagasse energy consumption and as well as cut down the
fuel emissions.
uses steam as a thermal energy, natural gas, million to the exchequer. and United Kingdom. In addition, pulp and paper Energy Efficiency in Transport Sector
diesel and as well as grid electricity to meet its mills in Pakistan have the potential to reduce their
energy requirements. According to IFC, leather Fertilizer sector will convert existing process- gas demand by 7%38 and overall energy The transport sector accounted for 33.93% of total
industry has annual energy saving potential of es to a high-efficiency steam reforming and consumption by 5.6%39 just by tuning their boiler final energy consumption in 2017. With a contri-
over 17,000 MWh. According to CPI, implementa- Haber-Bosch synthesis with the potential to burners and adjusting air-to-fuel ratios. bution of over 13% to Pakistan’s GDP, oil (liquid
tion of simple energy-saving techniques such as reduce gas consumption by 25% by 2030 fuels) dominates in the transport energy
efficient lighting and installing controls for By tuning boiler burners and adjusting consumption mix, while the share of natural gas is
compressed air could help save $134,000 in Therefore, fertilizer sector could be an ideal case air-to-fuel ratios of pulp and paper mills’ gas about 10%.
energy costs annually. to invest in energy efficiency technology and demand can reduced by 7% and overall
practices that will not only reduce their energy energy consumption will reduce by 5.6% . Much of this gasoline demand is coming from
Simple energy-saving techniques such as consumption and the fuel requirements, but it will increasing number of motor cars and motorcycles
efficient lighting and installing controls for also improve the economics of fertilizer produc- which have been growing at an excessive rate
compressed air are estimated to save tion. The major step towards energy efficiency in (CAGR) at 10% (See Fig. 10). The NAP as such
$134,000 in energy costs annually. fertilizer sector is to convert existing processes to
HSD
Motor Spirit
Natural Gas
Aviation
In this regard, one of the key areas is addressing which would be enormous, especially power be carried by railways.
the trucking business for cargo services. These generation and distribution network to charge all
trucks are highly inefficient as their design is not those electric vehicles and installation of charging 1.3.4
synchronized with latest scientific practices of Note: Consumption of HOBC, furnace oil, kerosene, and E-10 is almost negligible in stations across the country. Nonetheless, future of Energy Efficiency in Agricultural Sector
transport sector
aerodynamics. According to one estimate the Source: Energy Year Book 2017 EVs looks promising with increasing share of
only change in design of truck can save around renewables into the grid and declining costs of Pakistan’s 62.63 % population lives in rural areas
26 % of energy consumption. battery technology. which rely on agriculture48 to sustain their
Recently, public sector has successfully complet-
The NAP envisages to follow a more energy livelihood. In agriculture sector energy is
ed the Mass Transit Projects i.e. Metro Bus Service
The conversion efficiency of conventional CNG efficient policy to encourage manufacturing and consumed for operating water pumps for irriga-
in Islamabad, Multan and Lahore. Similar projects
vehicles is only 17% to 21%. This implies that this
44
importing fuel efficient cars and electric vehicles. tion and tractors for soil preparation (See Fig.11).
are also being planned for other cities like Karachi,
precious natural gas resource is being wasted The use of commercial energy is also steadily
and Peshawar. The NAP envisages to initiate a
that could have been utilized much efficiently in 1.3.3.3 increasing with growing number of mechanized
Mass transit projects in other cities to achieve the
processes like power production for which the Railway Transport practices to improve agricultural productivity. The
fuel efficiency and conservation on larger in road
conversion efficiency is much higher. Therefore, process of irrigation through diesel and electric
transportation system.
NAP envisages to adopt latest power technolo- Railway transport is to play an important role in powered pumps is extremely inefficient. Effective
gies, like Combine Cycle Natural Gas (CCNG) achieving energy efficiency and sustainable energy efficiency measures can help farmers save
The conversion efficiency of conventional
having potential of achieving a conversion mobility. In Pakistan, about 72% of crude oil and energy, increase yields, and reduce production
CNG vehicles is only 17% to 21% .
efficiency of over 60%. 45
petroleum products are transported by road, 19% costs.
Oil
introduced to reduce power demand of existing
1.72%
tube wells and replace them with more efficient Intervention Saving Potential Sector
pumping systems. The program offered 50% Potential Investment (M PKR)
subsidy to potential farmers, which helped reduce Use of mechanical seal pumps instead of gland-packed pumps 1-2 %
the power consumption of tube wells by 7 mega-
Electricity
Use of energy efficient electric pumps, motors, and diesel engines 20 %
98.27%
watts.
Installation of properly sized pumps 5% 10,000
The NAP therefore envisages initiating a program Proper maintenance of pumping system 5%
to replace 30,000 existing diesel-based pumps Installation of Variable Speed Drive (“VSD”) 5%
supplied by oil in the form of High-Speed Diesel in the region. In 2016, it was between the range of
30
for irrigation pumps and machinery. Use of solar 9.47% and 38.56%51 compared to 7% in Europe
photovoltaic will be cost effective option to (See Fig. 13). 25
convert existing low-headtube wells to run on
solar, thereby improving independence and Similarly, a huge volume of natural gas is lost due 20
reducing the overall pumping costs. The low to theft, leakages, and non-recovery of bills. The
15
head pumping requirement for these areas, these UFG (Unaccounted for Gas Losses) losses in
pumps are particularly suitable for solar conver- southern (SSGC) network are about 15%, but the 10
sion with an investment of PKR. 1.5 million and permissible limit is about 4.5%52 in 2016. This is
they offer a very low payback period of about reported to be one of highest UFG losses in the 5
three years. If converted to solar, these tube wells region. Whereas, the UFG losses in northern
0
can potentially save HSD fuel by about 27%. 50
(SNGPL) network stands at about 11.5%. This IESCO PESCO GEPCO FESCO LESCO MEPCO QESCO SEPCO HESCO TESCO
indicates the potential for improvement in efficien-
Previously, an initiative to improve energy efficien- cy of the transmission and distribution of gas Source: National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (NEPRA)
cy in the agricultural sector was launched with the network, which would not only lead to cost
The NAP envisages to introduce smart metering To cater for transmission of power from upcoming S. No Source 2030 % Change
technology for natural gas and power consumers. generation power plants and strengthening of the (over 2017 to 2030)
Along with the upgradation of transmission and existing system, NTDC has planned up-gradation % Commercial
distribution system. Smart metering technology of its system. By the end of 2017, 3 new grid + Non-Commercial
A Commercial Energy MTOE Energy
has been proven to be very useful and effective in stations at 500 kV level will be added which will
Oil 45 25% 64%
reducing the losses, improving the accuracy of add 3,750 MVA in transformation capacity in the
measurements and billings.53 system, the fourth 500 kV grid station will be Gas 50 28% 66%
completed by the end of 2020 adding additional LPG 3.5 2% 247%
1.3.6 1500 MVA to the system. At 220 kV level, 8 new 8 4% 80%
LNG
Energy Efficiency in Power Sector grid stations with a cumulative transformation
Hydel 25 14% 226%
capacity of 5750 MVA will be added in the system.
1.3.6.1 Coal 10 6% 54%
Similarly, one overloaded 500 kV grid station will
Energy Efficiency in Buildings be strengthened, while six such grid stations at Nuclear Electricity 4.28 2% 156%
220 kV level are being improved by 2019-20 (See Renewable Electricity 4.8 3% 655%
Buildings consume a significant amount of Annex XV). Wind 1.8 1%
energy. According to IEA, buildings sector
Solar 3 2%
consumes more electricity than any other sector.
1.4 Others (Geothermal & bagasse) 0.65 0%
Generally, the space heating, space cooling,
refrigeration, cooking, and lighting are one of the Projections for Primary Imported Electricity 0.1 0% -15%
major end-use activities in the buildings sector. Energy Supply and Final Subtotal 151.33 84% 90%
Although, Pakistan Engineering Council (PEC)
has developed Pakistan Building Codes Regula-
Energy Consumption by B Non-Commercial Energy
PGBC operates under the framework of World and 76% respectively by 2030. requires development of additional infrastructure and KP) has improved. In addition to setting up
Green Building Council. PGBC use an internation- such as pipelines, refineries and downstream new refinery projects, capacity expansion of the
al LEED (Leadership in Energy and Environmental Oil distribution network and aligned infrastructure. existing refineries is required. This offers good
Design) certification system of the USA. Besides, In the case of oil, the final primary energy supply of It is anticipated that domestic exploration and opportunities for the foreign companies.
PGBC is also establishing the indigenous the oil would be 45 MTOE, which would still be production activities would boost once law and
13%
15% LPG 3.5 0.03 167%
Projected Primary Energy Supply Wind and Solar
Subtotal 88 0.76 76%
Domestic Coal
B Non-Commercial Energy
The total Primary Energy supply has been estimat-
Source: Author’s Own Estimate Based on Energy Year Book 2017 and MOE Wood/Dung/Others 28 0.24 65%
ed at 179.33 MTOE out of which 151.33 MTOE
would be met from commercial energy source. It In addition to the above due to adaption of Subtotal 28 0.24 65%
is estimated that share of commercial energy in comprehensive power generation policies and A+B Grand Total 116 100% 88%
overall primary energy supply will increase by 90 plans additional electricity of 75,000 MW would Source: Author’s Estimate Based on Energy Year Book 2017 and MOE data
However, the share of coal will increase 56 The projected power generation by 2030 comes 7 Imported Electricity 1000 1000 1500
percent by 2030 as compared to the electricity out to be 102,425 MW which corresponds to 8 Bagasse 146 850 919 1200 2000
use of 2017. Although the share of non-commer- NTDC demand under high growth scenario 9 Wind and Solar 902 2231 4732 9582 24000
cial energy will increase in absolute terms approxi- 104210 MW assuming a growth rate of around Total 25,878 38,035 47,295 72,593 102,425
mately 28 MTOE by 2030. But in relative terms the 10%.
Source: Author’s Estimate Based on Energy Year Book 2017 and MOE data
non-commercial energy share will decline.
Priority Action
Areas
To achieve the targets given in part I of the NAP, Government intends to take concrete steps through
a comprehensive action plan to be implemented in collaboration with provinces, private sector, local
government and the community. Access to energy is the one of top priorities of the Government of
Pakistan and considerable measures have been taken in the recent years. The access to energy is in
urban areas has improved to great extent. However, there is still considerable efforts required to
ensure universal access in rural areas. There are initiatives taken by the government to ensure
universal access to energy. These initiatives are discussed in the following sections.
According to Global Tracking Framework, Based on the level of electricity access and the
Pakistan’s energy access situation has improved incidence of poverty, priority districts have been
exponentially from 1990-2014, where the nation- identified in the table below, which the provincial
PRIORITY ACTION
increased from 23.77% to 44.84%during
2000-2014. Pakistan has a large geographical area with
diverse topography and terrain which requires
AREAS
UN Multidimensional Poverty Report 2014-15, the diverse energy solutions. Similarly, all these areas
incidence of poverty is highest in Balochistan have different set of challenges to ensure univer-
followed by KP, Sindh, and GB. This is consonant sal energy access. Following is the list of the key
with the energy access maps as the districts with challenges and proposed interventions (Table
low energy access are the ones with the highest 19)
incidence of poverty. These districts will be
Less than 10% CHITRAL Punjab Bahawalnagar, Rahim Yar Khan, Bahawalpur, Rajanpur, Dera Ghazi Khan, Vehari,
GILGIT-BALTISTAN
Khanawal, Multan, Lodhran and Muzaffargarh
10% - 19.9%
UPPER DIR • SWAT KOHISTAN
20% - 29.9% SHANGLA • Sindh Thatta, Badin, Tharparkar, Umerkot, Mirpur Khas, Sanghar, Matiari
• BATTAGRAM
• LOWER DIR
• TOR GHAR
30% - 39.9% MALAKAND • BUNER • MANSEHRA
CHARSADDA •
MARDAN KP Kohistan, Batagram, Upper and Lower Dir, Buner, Shangla, Tor-ghar, Karak, D.I.Khan,
• ABBOTTABAD
40% - 49.9% PESHAWAR •
• SWABI
• NOWSHERA
• HARIPUR Jammu & Kashmir Bannu, Lakki-Marwat and Kohat
AJ&K Disputed Area
ISLAMABAD
50% - 59.9%
HANGU KOHAT ATTOCK RAWALPINDI Balochistan Awaran, Chaghi, Zhob, Sherani, Killah Saifullah, Barkhan, Kohlu
60% - 69.9% KARAK
BANNU CHAKWAL JHELUM
CHAGHI
KALAT BOLAN/
KACHHI
RAJANPUR
BAHAWALPUR
Table4:
Table 7:18 Challenges and Recommended Interventions for Access to Electricity
DERA BUGTI
• NASEERABAD
JHAL MAGSI •
KASHMORE RAHIMYAR KHAN
KHARAN JACOBABAD
JAFFARABAD •
SHIKARPUR
WASHUK GHOTKI
KAMBER SHAHDADKOT •
• LARKANA
Region Key Challenges Recommended Interventions
SUKKUR
KHUZDAR
PANJGUR
DADU • NAUSHEHRO FEROZE
Gilgit-Baltistan Difficult terrain and lack of Interconnectivity of all parts of GB by developing
NAWABSHAH \
KHAIRPUR
SHAHEED BENAZIR ABAD
connectivity with the national the regional grid. This will ensure that surplus
AWARAN
KECH/TURBAT LASBELA MATIARI • SANGHAR
grid. electricity in one part of the region can be
JAMSHORO
HYDERABAD •
• TANDO ALLAHYAR transmitted to another.
GAWADAR
MIRPUR KHAS •
UMERKOT
Lack of financing available from
KARACHI • TANDO MUHAMMAD KHAN
THARPARKAR
International donor agencies to Extending technical assistance to GB Water and
BADIN
THATTA
timely execution of planned Power Department for their capacity building
SUJAWAL
projects.
Connecting GB to the national grid to attract
Lack of capacity of Water and private sector investment for power projects in
Power Department of GB. the region.
Source: UNDP Multidimensional Poverty Index Report 2014
Region Key Challenges Recommended Interventions Region Key Challenges Recommended Interventions
AJK Dilapidated grid infrastructure Facilitating private sector investment for power KP Limited affordability of rural Setting up mini/micro hydel stations in the
and power project issues in the projects in AJK by easing regulatory and population and low connection northern KP.
absence of NTDC presence in institutional hurdles. efficiency in remote areas
the region. Lack of capacity of constraining viability of rural Distribution of solar home systems in southern
AJK power department to Exploit the hydel potential in the north and solar electrification projects. KP
undertake major power potential in the south for powering off-grid
Punjab
generation projects. communities. Business models for Provision of fiscal and/or financial incentives for
commercially viable operations the private sector to invest in RE off-grid
Channel investment in upgrading the of renewable energy off-grid projects
transmission and distribution infrastructure in projects are not well established
AJK. yet hindering investment by Implementing business models that minimize
either public or private sector. reliance on subsidies and/or grants from the
Sindh Power Evacuation has emerged Increased penetration of solar home systems government and generate adequate tariff-based
as one of the main problems through micro-financing and/or revenue stream for recovery of at least
from newly established pay-as-you-go-systems. operation and maintenance costs
Renewable Energy Power sites.
Facilitating private companies engaged in the Technical support for communities to install and
Lack of financial and technical distribution of solar home systems for operate RE technology
capacity of the concerned un-served and underserved communities.
DISCOs to extend the grid to
Source: Review of Government Programs and SEforAll Review Meeting
off-grid areas. Setting up hybrid plants (solar+wind, solar+gas)
Balochistan Lack of grid infrastructure for a Expansion of transmission and distribution Table4:
Table 7:19 Existing Programs on Off-Grid Electrification
scattered population over a network in the province.
large area;
Distribution of Solar Home Systems to off-grid
Present 132 kV lines are not communities on subsidized rate considering Region Program/ Beneficiaries/ Implementing Funding Execution
sufficient to meet the current lower per capita income in the province. Project Name Purpose Agency Sources Period
demand of 1600MW of the
province. Replace of conventional power pumps with more Punjab Khadam-e-Punjab Solarization of Punjab Energy ADB 2016-20201
efficient solar PV powered pumps. This measure Ujala 20000off- grid Department
Inability to evacuate the power is expected to reduce power demand by at least Program(KPUP) schools and BHUs
from the province if province 400 MW.
solar generation potential is Energy solution Vehari and Directorate of Annual 2017-2018
optimally utilized. using indigenous Faisalabad Power Projects, Development
resources in Punjab Energy Program
High dependency on electricity villages (PV and Department
to pumps groundwater for Biogas Hybrid)
irrigation.
Sindh Pakistan Solar 50,000 households Sindh Energy World Bank 2017-20
and Renewable could be electrified Department
Energy Program
Region Program/ Beneficiaries/ Implementing Funding Execution Region Program/ Beneficiaries/ Implementing Funding Execution
Project Name Purpose Agency Sources Period Project Name Purpose Agency Sources Period
Sindh Solar Solar Systems are Sindh Energy otal Cost PKR. 2017-20 Khyber Solar Home Chitral – 3750 Pakhtunkhwa ADB 2016-2020
Electrification of being handed over Department 454 million to Pakhtunkhwa Solutions households Electricity
284 BHUs to School be funded by
Central/Southern Department
Management ADP
Districts – 2,950 (PEDO)
Committees
households
through respective
District Education
Solarization of 8000 Schools and Pakhtunkhwa ADB 2018-2020
Officer
Schools and 187 BHUs will be Electricity
BHUs solarized with Department
Scheme I 12,000 households Sindh Energy Total Cost is 2016-18
cumulative (PEDO)
Electrification of altogether in 300 Department PKR. 0.5 billion
capacity of 50 MW
40 homes each in villages will be to be funded
300 villages electrified through through ADP
4440 Mosques will Pakhtunkhwa KPK – ADP 2018-19
Scheme 2: solar home
Solarization of be solarized Electricity
Electrification of systems
Mosques Department
5000 Schools on
(PEDO)
Stand Alone
off-Grid
Balochistan Provision of Solar Tapping shallow Balochistan ADB 2018-2022
technology in 10
System for Water groundwater Energy
Border Districts
Access emanating from Department
of the province
perennial streams
of the river basins
20 million by 2017-18
of Zhob and Mula,
Construction of Rural Populations Sindh Energy ADBz
using
230 Biogas Department
solar-powered
Plants in Rural
systems in off-grid
Areas
locations
Region Program/ Beneficiaries/ Implementing Funding Execution Region Villages/Towns Target Estimated No. of
Project Name Purpose Agency Sources Period (2017-2020) Household Served
AJK Solarization of 10,000 Houses will AJK Electricity ADP / 2017-2022 Punjab Phagwari, Sher Bagla, Rawat, Ghoro Gali, Charhan, 15 112,500
Remote Areas be electrified Department Community Dhanda, Ariari, Karor, Kotli, Santh Anwali, Kahuti,
Participation Lehtrar, Narrar and Panjar
Solarization of More than 100 GB Water and GB ADP 2018-2025 Sindh Umerkot and Mithi 2 15,000
office buildings buildings and 5 Power
and hospitals hospitals in GB Departments KP Chitral, Ayun and Malkot 3 22,500
and Fuel Energy in Pakistan AJK Muzaffarabad, Rawalkot, Kotli, Palandri, Forward
Kahuta, Bagh, Hajira, Abbaspur, Dhirkot and
10 75,000
Bhimber
Government’s plans to provide LPG Air-mix 2.2.1 GB Gilgit and Skardu 2 15,000
plants/facility to population of far-flung / hilly Biomass Energy
areas. GOP will be installing 60 LPG Air Mix plants,
Total 60 450,000
out of which 28 will be in Balochistan, 2 in Sindh Pakistan has approximately 50 million3 animals for
and the remaining 30 will be set up in Punjab, KP, agricultural and livestock-related activities. On Source: Petroleum Division, Ministry of Energy
AJK, and Gilgit-Baltistan. According to Petroleum average, the daily waste produced from a cow, these areas, it provides the residents with an landfills by reusing waste products and is compar-
Division of Ministry of Energy the size of these bullock or bull (the most common animals kept in environmentally friendly alternative compared to atively environmentally friendly.
plants is going to be between 0.5 and 1 mmcfd. Pakistan) is around 10kg, if 50% of this can be LPG, coal, diesel or kerosene. In rural areas, materi-
collected for fuel; it amounts to 150 million kg als that can be fed into a biogas digester are 2.2.2
Assuming an average size of 0.75 mmcfd,2 one translating into around 12 million cubic meters of mostly readily and locally available: agricultural Bio-Fuel
LPG air mix plant will serve gas to 7,500 house- biogas. The potential uses of this are for house- residues, manure, crops, etc. Furthermore, wastes
holds. 60 such plants will serve 450,000 house- holds (cooking/ lighting) and industry, transporta- from landfills or sewer treatment facilities can be The bio-energy alternative is an exciting prospect
holds by 2018. The cost of these plants is estimat- tion and to generate electricity helping to reduce used as input materials. for Pakistan as it provides an easily available fuel
ed to be PKR. 2500/mmbtu. However, the govern- the dependency on fossil fuel imports in rural that can fit into today’s gasoline and diesel
ment will be giving subsidy to the consumers areas. As an agricultural-based economy, biomass is engines with minimal or no changes to existing
charging them PKR. 600/mmbtu, which is about
readily available in most areas of Pakistan, particu- systems. Since we are an agriculture-based
one-third price of an LPG cylinder of 11.8 kg. Biogas is a particularly suitable fuel for rural areas larly in rural areas. Biomass energy offers signifi- economy, production of biodiesel in Pakistan will
that are not connected to the gas network. In cant environmental advantages: it saves space in strengthen our agricultural sector and empower
Province Projects in Projects Under Implementation Solicited Sites Projects Total Serial Area Number of Potential Total potential Remarks
Operation Public Sector Private Sector (Projects with with Hydropower Number potential sites range (MW) (MW)
(MW) Province Federal
Completed Raw Resources
Level Level Feasibility Sites (MW) 1 Khyber Pakhtunkhwa 125 0.2-32 MW 750 Natural falls/flow
Studies) (MW
(MW) 2 Punjab 300 0.2-40 MW 560 Canals
Khyber 3,849 9,482 377 2,370 77 8,930 24,736
Pakhtunkhwa 3 Gilgit-Baltistan 200 0.1-38 MW 1,300 Natural falls
Gilgit - Baltistan 133 11,876 40 - 534 8,542 21,125 4 Sindh 15 5-40 MW 120 Canal falls
Punjab 1,699 720 308 720 3,606 238 7,291 5 Azad Jammu & Kashmir 40 0.2-40 MW 280 Natural falls
Air Conditioners
Hybrid and all Electric Vehicles (EVs) have several While the sector struggles to tackle technical and Conclusion
33%
advantages compared to conventional ICE financial issues, the electricity demand is expect-
Air Coolers
powered vehicles. Firstly, th ey are highly energy ed to grow at 8% annually with a 6% growth in The following table summarizes the priority action
Source: RAFTAAR - DFID: Energy Saving in Pakistan (2016)
efficient. For example, EVs conversion efficiency GDP. The high and growing demand make the areas of National Action Plan and isa compilation
is about 62%, while conventional vehicles efficien- NTDC’s transmission network constantly of all the priorities which has been described in
out inefficient and polluting vehicles. Such
cy is only 20%. This means that EV requires almost overloaded, without sufficient margin to prepare the above sections. Additionally, along with the
standards will be introduced to improve fuel
one-third of the energy used by conventional for accidents. The overloaded transmission priority action area the responsibility of the
economy and limit the GHG emissions under a
vehicles to cover the same distance. Electric cars system is unable to provide the quality and reliabil- concerned ministry, department or agency has
phased program to bring fuel efficiency by to
offer high-cost savings. According to IEA, electric ity of supply required under the national grid been also specified:
international standards 2030.
cars can cost about one- fourth to one-fifth of the code, resulting in major blackouts. Expansion of
cost of using conventional vehicles.18
Hybrid and Electric vehicles are revolutionizing
the automobile market. Electric vehicles have
During the plan period, it is envisaged to replace
seen impressive growth in last five years mostly in
the fuel vehicles by hybrid vehicle by 30% and
the developed world. They are challenging the
introduce electric mass transit vehicles.
conventional vehicles that use Internal Combus-
tion Engines (ICE). Currently, three different
2.3.5
variants of hybrid and electric cars exist in the
Upgradation and Improving the
market, namely Hybrid, Plug-in-Hybrid and all
Efficiency of NTDC
Electric Vehicles.
Objectives SDG No. Priority Action Responsibility Timelines Objectives SDG No. Priority Action Responsibility Timelines
(S=Short Term, (S=Short Term,
M=Medium Term, M=Medium Term,
L=Long Term) L=Long Term)
A-Enhance 7.1.1 1 Serving Underserved districts in all provinces Provincial and S A-Enhance 7.1.1 8 Increase the utilization of renewable energy Federal and M-L
energy for off-gird lightening programs. Punjab (10 local energy to alleviate the power shortage problems as Provincial
access districts), Sindh (07 Districts), KP (13 Governments access renewable (wind and PV energy) costs have Governments
districts), Balochistan (7 District), AJK (3 lower fluctuations as compared to Oil, Coal
district), Gilgit Baltistan (4 districts) and LNG.
7.1.1 2 Enhancement of generation capacity upto Federal and S 7.1.1 9 Improved Cooking Stoves for around 40 Provincial and L
1,02,425MW by 2030 against the current Provincial percent of population by giving alternate local
25,878 MW as 2017. Hydel 34,500 MW, Governments source of cooking (biomass) Governments
Thermal 21300 MW, Renewable 16200, and
Expansion of Transmission Capacity of Power
Sector B-Renewable 7.2.1 1 Exploit potential of Municipal Solid Waste Provincial S
Energy (MSW) to generate around 360 MW of gross Governments
7.1.1 3 Solarization of government schools and Provincial M power capacity in the anaerobic
colleges (the number of institutions without Governments digester-based power plants by utilizing 16
access to electricity in each province has landfill sites.
been documented in the report)
7.2.1 2 Promotion of Solarization in the country NGOs S
7.1.2 4 Solarization of basic health units which do Provincial M through Distribution of basic solar products &Provincial
not have access to the electricity now Governments to low-income households Governments
7.1.1 5 Schools, colleges and universities will be Provincial M 7.2.1 3 Promote Wind energy projects in Hyderabad
powered using Solar PV technology through Governments, to Gharo region and coastal areas south of Federal & S
either standalone system with a battery Private Karachi in southeastern Pakistan, hills and Provincial
backup or through installation of micro grids Sector ridges in northern Punjab, near Mardan and Governments
of 5kW-115kW. &International Islamabad. In northern Indus valley, and near
Agencies Nokkundi and hills and ridges in the Chagai
area. Makran in the southwestern part of the
7.1.2 6 Install 60 LPG Air Mix plants in areas un Federal M country.
served by piped network, out of which 28 will Government
be in Balochistan, 2 in Sindh and the 7.2.1 4 Conduct feasibility for establishing a pilot Federal S
remaining 30 will be set up in Punjab, KP, AJK 100 MW geothermal power generation unit in &Provincial
and Gilgit-Baltistan. Size of these plants is an area of high potential Governments
going to be between 0.5 and 1 mm.
7.2.1 5 Promote Solar water-heating for areas, like Provincial S-M
7.1.2 7 Improve access to clean cooking by Federal M-L Gilgit-Baltistan and/or villages in AJK, KP and Governments
extending provision of LPG to the regions Government Punjab, with no access to traditional gas
without access to gas connections. Subsidy network. Otherwise it would require billions of
for one cylinder per month using BISP rupees in capital expenditure to lay down the
mechanism. pipeline network.
B-Renewable 7.2.1 6 Solar powered water pumps will be provided Federal and S-M B-Renewable 7.2.1 13 Diversification of fuel mix by introducing Public and M-L
Energy to reduce the cost of fuel consumption to Provincial Energy biogas for cooking and power generation. private sector
farmers on subsidized rates. (With a fuel Governments
consumption of around 3 to 5 liters per hour, 7.2.1 14 Development of about 600 Small-Hydel Provincial M-L
the average daily expense per pump is Projects site with cumulative power Hydel Power
approximately PKR 700 per day ($7/day) in generation capacity of around 3100 MW Development
fuel costs every day) Organizations
/ Private
7.2.1 7 Promotion of biomass energy in the rural Provincial M Sector
areas where no gas connections are Governments
available. Materials that can be fed into a 7.2.1 15 Promote job creation through fostering Federal and L
biogas digester are mostly readily and locally renewable energy technologies. Developing Provincial
available and it can be used for households indigenous capacity for manufacturing Governments
(cooking/ lighting) and industry, renewable energy in SEZs.
transportation and to generate electricity
helping to reduce the dependency on fossil
fuel imports. C-Energy 7.3.1 1 Promote usage of energy efficient Federal S
Efficiency appliances in domestic sector (LEDs and DC &Provincial
7.2.1 8 Replace low-pressure steam boilers in 84 Private M and Inverter Air Conditioners) to improve energy Governments
Sugar Mills with high-pressure cogeneration Sector and Conservation efficiency. / NEECA
plants. Regulatory
Agencies 7.3.1 2 Regulate the manufacturing sector to Federal S
produce energy efficient products. &Provincial
7.2.1 9 Increase in the share of biomass fuel by Provincial M Governments
generating 162 MW will through Rice mills Governments / NEECA
waste. / Private
Sector 7.3.1 3 Improvement of Maintenance Operation i.e. Private S
reduction of air leakages; and Proper Sector
7.2.1 10 Produce biodiesel in Pakistan on Private and M maintenance and operation of electrical
experimental basis to diversify the fuel mix. Public Sector motors to increase energy efficiency
7.2.1 11 Convert 2 million gas geyser consumers to Federal M 7.3.1 4 Energy savings in the textile industry by Private S
solar water heater in the SNGPL network to Government – installation of meters, controls to reduce Sector /
save 15 BCF annually or 41 MMCFD which is SNGPL / leakages of compressed air and improved Regulator
about 9% of total natural gas consumption in SSGCL maintenance of electrical motors.
Punjab.
7.3.1 5 Implementation of simple energy-saving Private S
7.2.1 12 Provide Clean and Improved Cook stoves Provincial M techniques such as efficient lighting and Sector /
with higher conversion efficiencies to help Governments installing controls for compressed air in Regulator
relieve the environmental damage and to and NGOs Leather sector.
save biomass resources.
7.3.1 6 Introduction of Zig-Zag Technology to Private S
increase energy efficiency in Brick-Kilns Sector /
Industry. Regulator
C-Energy 7.3.1 7 Replacing smart metering technology for Federal S C-Energy 7.3.1 16 In Cement Industry, shifting of single stage Private M
Efficiency natural gas and power consumers to improve Government / Efficiency dry kilnsto multistage dry kilns to improve Sector /
and revenue collection. DISCOs / and energy efficiency of cementing process Regulator
Conservation NEPRA Conservation .
7.3.1 8 Achieve Energy efficiency in the industrial Federal and S-M 7.3.1 17 Introducing high efficiency steam reforming Private M
sector by employing a broad range of energy Provincial and Haber-Bosch synthesis in fertilizer Sector /
management, efficient technologies and Governments sector. Regulator
practices to reduce overall energy / NEPRA
consumption. 7.3.1 18 Tuning of boiler burners and adjusting Private M
air-to-fuel ratios in Pulp and Paper mills to Sector /
7.3.1 9 Standardizedfuel efficiency mechanism in Private S-M reduce their gas demands. Regulator
transport sector i.e. Fuel Efficient - Hybrid Sector /
and Electric Vehicles. Regulator 7.3.1 19 Introduction of system to withstand NTDC / M-L
pressures from demand and potential Ministry of
7.3.1 10 Up-gradation of NTDC transmission system NTDC / S-M breakdowns in national transmission system. Energy
compatible to evacuate enhanced power Private Strengthening the capacity of NTDC to (Power
generation capacity. Sector manage the power supply and demand in Division)
peak hours.
7.3.1 11 Improvement in Process Operation in Private M
Industrial Sector e.g. proper metering in the Sector / 7.3.1 20 Replace tube wells pumps i.e. 180,000 with Provincial M-L
textile and sugar industry Regulator more efficient pumps by 2030 Governments
/ Private
7.3.1 12 Installation of Variable Frequency Drive (VFD) Private M Sector
or inverters on pumps and motors reduce Sector /
energy losses; Regulator D- 1 Facilitation to SEforAll National Steering UNDP / S-M
Coordination Committee for providing effective leadership Development
7.3.1 13 Installation of Heat Recovery Systems (HRS) Private M and follow up in execution of SEforAll NAP. Partners /
from exhaust flue gases in sugar and paper Sector / Ministry of
industry Regulator Planning,
Development
7.3.1 14 Thermal insulation of steam lines and valves Private M and Reforms
in industrial units Sector /
Regulator 2 Establishment of Sustainable Energy for All Ministry of S
Secretariat at the Energy Wing, Ministry of Planning,
7.3.1 15 Sugar industry to deploy energy efficient Private M Planning, Development and Reforms with the Development
technologies, such as the High-Pressure Sector / support of UNDP and other development and Reforms
Cogeneration (HPC). Regulator partners. SEforAll Secretariat will liaison with
ministries, departments, authorities,
research organization, universities, financial
institution and private sector at national
level for tracking and monitoring.
volatile for oil prices shocks. The renewable tariff analysis shows that indicative
The following key policies were promulgated for upfront tariff wind and renewable has decreased
ENABLING ACTION
enabling an investment environment in power drastically since 2013. Although, the cost of
sector: power generation from different sources are
I. Power Generation Policy 2015 disputed especially when it comes to infrastruc-
AREAS
II. Policy for Development of Renewable Energy ture development of coal and LNG imports – as
for Power Generation 2006 costs are not properly internalized. Additionally,
III. National Policy for Power Co-generation by the development of these projects from public
Sugar Industry and Guidelines for Investors finance will shrink the fiscal space and pose
2008. additional challenge to operation and manage-
Policy Analysis: Power able energy arena, especially in solar and wind. In parallel, Petroleum division, and Oil and Gas
Regulatory Authority (OGRA) is to foster competi-
opportunities are not been capitalized. During the
plan period, issues of legislative gaps will be identi-
Generation Policy 2015 However, the policy for Renewable energy requires tion, attractive private investment, and ownership fied and addressed accordingly
a thorough evaluation and revisions due to chang- in the midstream and downstream petroleum
On April 2015, the Power Generation Policy of es after 18th Amendment in overall governance industry. The regulation of activities relating to 3.5.1
2015 was announced to provide better incentives structure. Similarly, the recent promulgation of Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) and Compressed Government of Sindh Power policies
and efficient processes for the developer of reverse auctions and net-metering regimes needs Natural Gas (CNG) sector are assigned to Oil and
power project companies. The policy addresses to be embedded in the policy framework. Gas Regulatory Authority. The government of Sindh has adopted federal
the development of large hydropower projects government power policies for the development of
(greater than 50 MW) and new thermal power 3.4 3.5 renewable energy, offering same incentives as of
Policy Analysis: Policy establishment of NEPRA through NEPRA Act 1997 powers and operations to provinces. Before 2010, with the aim to simplify and fast-track access to
land for investors in renewable energy projects by
for Development of is the most important achievement. The NEPRA Act the energy policies and planning for the large-scale
power projects (more than 50 MW) were under the offering lease agreements for up to 30 years at
of 1997 is complemented through various guide-
Renewable Energy lines and amendments from time to time. However, statute of the federal government. The provinces favorable terms. By implementing this policy and
earmarking large areas of land for renewable
2006 one of the most important guidelines from the are allowed to issue a letter of intent for hydropow-
energy projects, provincial government attracted
government is in setting tariffs. In November 2005, er projects of 50 MW or below, of installed capacity.
investors. However, the provincial government
The government of Pakistan promulgated the the guidelines were issued to define and interpret
After the 18th amendment, the functions were lacks an effective mechanism coordinating the
Policy for Development of Renewable Energy for various financial and fiscal incentives, such as a tax
devolved to the provinces, including energy and issuance of letters of intent with the federal
Power Generation in 2006. The policy focused on on dividend, interest on loans etc., and how they
climate change, empowering the provinces to play government.
promoting renewable energy power projects in would constitute the applicable tariff. NEPRA has
also been issuing various regulations for the a more proactive role in the energy sector. The
Pakistan. Initially, the policy mandate was to devel-
smooth functioning of the power sector and provinces have been given authority to either
medium to large hydroprojects AEDB in collabora- regulation will signal the market for on-premises
Other Benefits Cost Reductions
tion with international donor agencies – bilateral installation for solar power systems replacing the
and multilateral development partners have UPS and generators. Further, it will not only create Lower Business Risks
created an environment to attract private sector a revenue stream for the household but also
investment in Pakistan. Some of the effective policy reduce the load on the grid. 3.7 policies supporting renewable energy develop-
ment. They will inform decisions on transmission
tools and initiatives by AEDB, related to national
and provincial level, interalia include: During the plan, the initiative will be supported
Enabling Action infrastructure planning and facilitate private
through effective regulation, facilitating DISCOs to Areas:Renewable sector investigation and site selection in new
a) Allocation of Land (Sub-lease agreement) adopt a bottom-up approach for improvement of Energy Resource areas.
b) Upfront tariffs for renewable energy technologies dilapidated grid infrastructure through focused
c) Standardized Agreements investments in an area where net-metering
Planning 3.8
d) Net Metering Provision “distributed generators” are expected to penetrate
The endowment of renewable energy in the
Energy Efficiency
Regulatory Reforms
e) Renewable Resource Mapping manifold. DISCOs implemented revenue-based
country is very diverse and they will be developed
f) Grid Study to determine the limit of intermittent load-shedding model, the same revenue-based
based on regions’ requirements. However, the
renewable energy sources model will be revamped in this case for grid
strategic mapping of these untapped resources The primary mandate to promote energy efficien-
g) Grid codes for solar and wind energy projects improvement. To incentivize the consumers in all
will get serious consideration by the government cy and conservation in the country has long been
categories (domestic, commercial and industrial),
AEDB have initiated the project, under the ESMAP with National Energy Conservation Center (ENER-
3.6 the government may offer tax rebates and import
through World Bank support, to assess and map CON now reconstituted as National Energy
Enabling Action Areas: duties reduction on equipment for grid-connectiv-
ity as well invertors and other auxiliary equipment
the renewable energy resources including Efficiency & Conservation Authority (NEECA)).
101 Part 3 : Energy Planning and Policies National Action Plan 102
client organization. ESCOs can even finance the 3.11 v. Eliminate tube-wells subsidy in Balochistan by market towards a competitive, open, multi
energy efficiency measures or process improve- installation of solar PV based tube wells. buyer market
ments, whereby their earnings are directly linked
Enabling Action Areas: vi. Introduce tax reform for energy producers to h) Moving away from cost plus tariffs in
to the energy savings of client organization. Addressing Circular settle refund claims within a rational time favor of international competitive bidding
103 Part 3 : Energy Planning and Policies National Action Plan 104
Currently, in Pakistan there are a limited number of low-income clientele. It also argued that rural include tax credits, exemption fromcustoms through financial incentives provided by the
energy financing products offered by the electrification cannot be sustained on client duties and taxes on energy efficient equipment government. These audits will be financially
commercial banks. Although, there is a great revenues and requires external financing. This
9
and processes. These measures include incentivized to encourage consumers by carrying
potential to attract investments to improve renew- result in governments offering subsidies, grants out energy audits at subsidized rates.
able energy technologies and energy efficiency in and concessional loans. Pakistan Poverty Allevia- 3.14
the industrial sector as it is relatively easy for the tion Fund and GIZ demand assessment study
Enabling Action Area: 3.16
industries to have access to capital and as well as indicated that over 72% rural population are
Investment Subsidies Enabling Action Area:
the capacity to utilize these investments to make interested to take microloans for solar home
profits. New energy financing instruments or prod- systems.10 for Energy Efficiency Concession of
ucts for renewable energy and energy efficiency Customs Duties /Taxes
for industrial users will be offered through regula- The plan therefore envisages to facilitate rural
tory framework under State Bank of Pakistan. electrification through off-grid /distributed solar
Investment subsidies to retrofit existing buildings,
on EE Equipment
appliances and industrial facilities with a goal to
system supported by government policy and shorten the payback times. Subsidies will be
Access to finance in the agriculture sector energy regulatory framework. Similarly, mini-grids will be considered to reduce the replacement cost of Many countries encourage the purchases of
user (tube-well) will be ensured. Government will promoted through a clearly defined policy mech- efficient equipment that are more expensive than energy-efficient products or renewable energy
introduce an agriculture relief package including anism. Policies for mini-grids will be carefully the average market price. Investment subsidies equipment by providing concession on tax and
markup free loan for the farmers to install solar formulated for universal energy access while can be implemented for LEDs, electric motors, duties on the purchase of such equipments. The
tube wells. These loans will be utilized for small to ensuring economic viability. 11
Government will solar water heaters, & boilers etc. and these government is already offering generous tax relief
medium scale farmers and financing will be facilitate the micro-financing mechanism for rural subsidies are often conditional on replacement of in the power sector. The government has reduced
limited to farmers who own land of 12 acres or clients to develop a sustainable market-based old or inefficient equipment. sales tax and duties to zero for power generation
more. The federal and provincial government will model. using renewable energy resources (the wind,
pick-up themarkupcost of this financing. 3.15 solar and hydro) and are subject to some condi-
Mechanism for Fiscal and financial incentives are essential to Energy auditing is one of the effective ways to
LED lamps, electric motors, cook stoves etc. While
Off-Grid Rural achieving energy efficiency improvements. These income tax credit will be offered to businesses
deliver targeted information that enables consum-
incentives are typically provided to encourage who invest in energy conservation and efficiency
Electrification ers to undertake investments and cut energy
investments in energy efficiency by bringing or the manufacture of renewable energy equip-
wastages. Energy Auditing is a service where the
down the equipment and processes costs for ment.
factories or buildings are evaluated based on their
The goal of universal access to energy is not improvements. Financial incentives generally energy usage with the aim to recommend the
possible without 100% electrification of rural include subsidized investments’, soft loans, and best means to improve energy efficiency.
areas. However, the rural electrification programs subsidized energy audits. While fiscal instruments Energy audits by consumers will be encouraged
are considered to be high-risk investment due to have an indirect impact on investments and
105 Part 3 : Energy Planning and Policies National Action Plan 106
3.17 refrigerators, and fans. On-bill financing of solar
water heaters is being provided through SNGPL,
avenues to set up indigenous funds as well as
attract investments from energy efficiency fund
Capacity Building and
Enabling Action Area: who have sold over 2,000 units to its consumers with the support of the multilateral organization. Knowledge Sharing
Soft Loans through easy installments of up to 24 months. The World Bank, Global Environment Facility
(GEF), UNFCCC, Asian Development Bank, GIZ,
3.19 and USAID are fairly active in financing energy 3.20
Initial capital cost is a potential barrier which can
be intensive in energy efficiency investments. An Enabling Action Area: efficiency programs in developing countries.
Rural electrification
access to capital for initial investments at attrac-
Renewable Energy The government of Pakistan can also attract and off-grid market
tive financing terms can be a fundamental step to
overcome this barrier. Consumers who invest in &Energy Efficiency investments through financial mechanism operat-
ed under Green Climate Fund (GCF). GCF is a
energy efficiency equipment would be provided Funds fund set up under the framework of UNFCCC to
There is a provision of off-grid and distributed
renewable power generation under the Renew-
soft loans at subsidized interest rates by establish-
assist developing countries like Pakistan in adap- able Energy Policy 2006mandated to AEDB and
ing specific credit lines with the support of guaran- Energy Efficiency funds are dedicated funds for
tation and mitigation practices. The target for other concerned provincial agencies. However,
tee schemes which encourages banks to finance the investment in a project that reduce energy
climate financing under GCF is to reach US$ 100 the implementation mechanism and procedural
energy efficiency investments. wastage, extract useful energy from waste and
billion annually, whereby it primarily redistributes modalities will bedeveloped.12 Initially, the
avoid excessive energy consumption. These
money from the developed world to developing small-scale hydropower projects were imple-
funds are typically invested in public and commer-
world to counter climate change. mented under the policy framework. Although
3.18 cial building retrofits; industrial energy sector;
policy provides an option for other off-grid
Enabling Action Area: urban infrastructure and utilities to improve the
The SEforAll Small Grants Programme will be technology such as solar, biomass, and wind to
energy efficiency. Large multilateral organizations
On-bill Financing and governments generate this fund which is
established to offer grants up to USD 100,000/- for be developed for community or isolated grid
any initiatives that accelerate the adoption of any
Scheme distribution.13 However, no detail policy mecha-
routed through Energy Services Companies
of the proposed actions within the SEforAll plan. A nism has been so far developed.14 Further, in the
(ESCOs), where Energy Efficiency Agencies (e.g.
trust fund of USD 20 million will be set aside, and absence of the policy mechanism, there is no
NEECA) monitors the fund and client organiza-
On-bill financing can be one of the effective instru- only the investment income be utilized for grant incentive for private sector to invest in this area
tions utilize them. These funds, if utilized and
ments for utility consumers to overcome the making. It is suggested that at least 40% of this which can be a critically important area for the
invested well can provide extraordinary solutions
barrier presented by the high initial costs of USD 20 million is contributed from the govern- economy and social development.
that deliver energy savings and produce optimal
energy measures. On-bill financing enables the ment’s own funds, and the rest can be through
performance and best value for money for
customer to pay for energy efficiency equipment, donor contributions facilitated by UNDP. The In the absence of the government policies, neither
consumers.
whereby the investments are financed through SEforAll Trust Fund should be established as a public sector nor private sector has put serious
monthly installment via bill payments. It delivers Section 42 non-profit company with an indepen- efforts for development of micro/mini-grids for
Pakistan as developing country can take benefit
financial benefits to the consumers by providing dent Board. rural electrification. Rural areas lack technical
of external finance in the form of special credit
them access to low financing costs offered by the skills and no financial incentive for development
lines with soft loans and special grants. The
power or gas utility company. Such facilities will and implementation of any such technology.
government of Pakistan has signed the Paris
be extended to replace old appliances with more There is a lack of standardization for solar PV
Agreement; therefore, it will explore various
efficient products, such as LEDs, air-conditioners, which has resulted in the poor performance of
107 Part 3 : Energy Planning and Policies National Action Plan 108
small-scale systems. It also lowered end-user stand the broad benefits of Energy Efficiency. The commercial developers will be enhanced to procedures, NEECA will develop harmonization
confidence in stand-alone systems. 15
objective of development of such a tool would be address the issue of split-incentives through schemes for equipments’ testing and standards
to provide a simplified framework to show a improvement in the building codes. so that the locally made equipment could be
The Private sector has highlighted the issues with business case for energy efficiency from the exported and as well as encourage the import of
the investment in rural areas such as: standpoint of consumers, utilities, and govern- 3.22 efficient appliances and equipment. This would
ment policies.
Enabling Action Area: also enhance the international and regional coop-
I. Solar PV installation offered in some region for eration and strengthen trade of energy efficient
free by Government and donor agencies; Worldwide, many countries have established Appliance Testing equipment within the region. International energy
II. Commercial risks and higher investment costs; energy information centers to inform and educate Laboratories organizations will be used as an exchange
III. No information available of market potential; households on energy efficiency actions. These platform to learn from the experiences of other
IV. Lack of financing mechanism for solar installa- information centers have been developed for Successful implementation of energy appliance countries to develop policies and identify best
tion for small scale solar installation; energy information and dissemination where labeling measures requires adequate facilities of practices.
V. Lacking Government support. households and consumers can receive all energy standards and certification laboratories in
information relevant to energy efficiency, these the country. Pakistan Standards and Quality 3.23
The government will devise policy framework to are called the “one-stop shops” for energy Control Authority (PSQCA) is the designated Enabling Action Area:
facilitate private sector to provide an off-grid efficiency. NEECA will establish similar kind of
solution to rural areas. information centers in all the provincial headquar-
agency of the Government of Pakistan which
develops the national standards. PSQCA is respon-
Mandatory Regulatory
ters to facilitate and educate the public and sible for the development of national standards, Measures for
3.21 consumers about the potential benefits of energy quality testing and conformity assessment of
Consumers
Enabling Action Area: efficiency in Pakistan. various products. Conformity Assessment
109 Part 3 : Energy Planning and Policies National Action Plan 110
(organizations with more than 250 employees or recommend cost-effective strategies that will save whereby these power and gas utility companies and management.
an annual turnover of more than €50 million) are them money and energy. Energy savings will be required to set targets and timelines to cut
required by law to submit serious targets and achieved through energy efficiency improve- their energy losses and improve energy efficien-
plans to reduce energy use. These organizations ments will increase their business competitive- cy. The Mandatory Energy Saving Plans can also 3.27
are also required to monitor their performance ness and operations. be implemented in the private businesses and
Private Sector Role and
against those targets. Similarly, India has estab- government organizations as well. NEECA will
lished mandatory minimum energy standards for The mandating of energy audits will be an import- impose a penalty in case of non-compliance to Incentives in the
buildings with a connected load of over 100 kW or ant step which will allow the consumers to know these measures. Energy Sector of
contracted demand of over 120 kVA. Likewise, the actual opportunities that exist within their
there is a great potential to reduce energy use in business operations. Consumers will get their 3.26 Pakistan
large organizations in Pakistan. NEECA will initiate facilities audited, and based on the outcomes of
Enabling Action Area: Energy Sector will be opened for more private
similar measures in Pakistan. these audit reports, NEECA will issue Energy
Performance Certificates. These certificates will Capacity Building of sector investment. Pakistan has a proven track
Saving Plans these departments and ministries are using the risk insurance, and tax breaks to private sector
energy usage with the aim to recommend the
conventional techniques and knowledge. There- investors. The government’s energy planning
best means to improve energy efficiency. Without
fore, the capacity building/ training of officers and process has addressed from different
getting a building or factory audited, consumers Transmission and distribution losses of Power and
staff at national and provincial energy depart- dimension in this National Action Plan. A more
would generally be not aware of the potential Natural Gas utilities in Pakistan are one of the
ments will be organized in phased manner. rigorous all energy subsectors (oil, gas, power
savings or improvements that they could make by highest in the region. The average power distribu-
renewables, etc.) mechanism will revised. The
implementing relatively simpler measures. tion losses in Pakistan are as high as about 20%
Furthermore, Planning Commission’s Energy sufficient analytical rigor to focus the policy and
Consumers and organizations often do not realize and for some DISCOs, these losses can reach over
Wing will spearhead the Integrated Energy incentive process for more private sector partici-
the true potential and financial attractiveness of 38%.16 For comparison, the average power
Planning in collaboration with international donor pation is one of the desired goals to be achieved.
implementing energy efficiency measures. distribution losses in Europe are less than 7%.
agencies. In-house capacity buildings through Investment prospectus will identify the gaps
NEECA will devise a mechanism by which certain While the UFG losses in the gas network for SSGC
trainings, courses and international collaborations where private sector can be driving force for
consumers will get their facilities audited by and SNGPL stands at about 15% and 11.5%
will be developed for sustainable energy planning implementation of energy projects.
certified energy auditors. These auditors will respectively. NEECA will enforce a mechanism
111 Part 3 : Energy Planning and Policies National Action Plan 112
3.28
Linkages to Investment
Prospectus
The implementation of this National Action Plan
by and large depends on the resource availability
which will be developed and linked to the Invest-
ment Prospectus (IP). Adaption of viable financial
mechanism on business models to execute the
planned follow-up projects will depend on
selection of projects having potential to repay the
capital investment through its own cash genera-
tion. In addition, the prioritization of projects is
required to make the Action Agenda financially
viable.
Mechanism for
Coordination and Follow-up
Sustainable Energy for All initiative at national, provincial, and district level requires a comprehen-
sive and all-inclusive coordination, monitoring and tracking framework to achieve a tangible result.
The coordination and tracking framework developed at this level will be part of global tracking
framework. The flow diagram (see figure Coordination and Follow-Up) delineates the organizational
structure and mechanism.
Sustainable Energy for All Secretariat established for coordination and tracking of initiatives under
at the Energy Wing, Ministry of Planning, Develop- SEforAll. The relevant section of the Energy Wing
ment, and Reforms will be strengthened with the notified as Secretariat of SEforAll National Steer-
support of UNDP and other development partners ing Committee will serve as the lead manager of
(See Fig. 19). The Energy Wing at national level the Action Plan. In addition to National Coordina-
plays a vital role for review of projects to be tor, the other proposed team members include:
funded under PSDP. UNDP will assume as the
COORDINATION
required resources for the implementation of NAP 5. Specialist Communications and Media / Social
and IP. It is therefore necessary that UNDP should Media
follow-up with donor agencies. The same kind of 6. Business Development Specialist
AND FOLLOW-UP
model has been adopted in other countries for the 7. Specialist Policy and Program Analysis
operationalization of SEforAll NAP and IP.1 8. Specialist Trainings and Capacity Building
9. Specialist Public Private Partnership
The SEforAll Secretariat while leading the SEforAll 10. Specialist NDC Partnerships.
initiative will have management responsibilities
Donors/Intl.
SEforAll Finance Facility Project UNDP As FMP
Energy Alliance
Administrative Unit
Resource Base
PUNJAB SINDH BALOCHISTAN KHYBER PAKHTUNKHWA GILGIT BALTISTAN AZAD JAMMU & KASHMIR
Partners responsible Partners responsible Partners responsible Partners responsible Partners responsible Partners responsible
for delivery for delivery for delivery for delivery for delivery for delivery
Local projects
4.2 For effective SEforAll implementation the provin-
Table
Figure4:
7:18 Coordination and Monitoring Mechanism
cial government will work with local governments
Monitoring and Tracking for the development of comprehensive imple- Ministry of Planning, Development, and Reforms
Framework mentation strategy along with clearly defined
roles and responsibilities. The local governments Sons Secretariat Ministry of
The involvement of diverse stakeholders’ vis-a-vis will implement the SEforAll at grass-root level and 5E4A11 Secretariat / Energy and
Plan Coordination Energy Wing Stakeholders
success of the initiative demands a Secretariat increase the provincial governments’ outreach. Section
with an ability to properly support provincial and The local governments will be vital to achieve the
regional governments. The secretariat will targets of SEforAll from multiple perspective i.e.
communicate the best practices in completing identification, planning, implementation, monitor-
the relevant processes and liaison with right Provincial / Regions International
ing and oversight. The involvement of people at
P&O Department Development Partners,
partners globally. The effective communication as grass-root level will capture the local needs which Coordination SEforAll Financial Institutions
SEforAll Hubs
well as networking between the SEforAll will be reflected into the planning, execution and
stakeholders and partners is a key for successful monitoring of the projects. A successful imple-
implementation. SEforAll Secretariat will liaison mentation of SEforAll will benefit the local
Provincial Departments & Other Stakeholders
with the ministries, departments, authorities, communities and ensure universal access to Energy Departments
research organizations, universities, financial energy. Agriculture Departments Local Government
Industries Departments
institutions, donor agencies, CSO and private Provincial Communication Departments
sector at the national level for tracking and Government of Pakistan has already established
monitoring of SEforAll initiatives. Moreover, the the SDGs Secretariat and the Ministry of Planning,
Secretariat will coordinate with SEforAll hubs for Development and Reform convened a “Local • Water and Power Development Authority
information sharing and capacity building. The Government Summit on SDGs” with the theme of
To develop a comprehensive collaboration mech- • Central Power Purchasing Agency
anism at the national level will require the follow- o Petroleum and Natural Resources Division
Integrated Energy Planning Regime being estab- “Development for All”. This has initiated the
lished by the government will also support to coordination and support mechanism framework
ing key stakeholders to be on board: • Sui Northern Gas Pipelines Limited
coordinate the activities of SEforAll Action Plan. for SEforAll among all three tiers of government. At
• Ministry of Planning, Development, and Reforms • Sui Southern Gas Pipelines Limited
district level, proper accountability mechanisms
• Energy Wing • Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority
Post 18th constitutional amendment, the power will be designed to monitor and control the prog-
• Ministry of Energy • Ministry of Housing and Works
has devolved to the provincial which substantially ress on the SDGs (SEforAll) related schemes and
o Power Division • Ministry of Communication / National Transpor-
increased the function and responsibilities of the projects.
• National Transmission and Dispatch tation Research Center
provincial government. The SDGs (Goal #7 –
Company • Capital Development Authority / Planning and
SEforAll) mandate right from planning, resource
• Alternative Energy Development Board Design Wing
allocation, and implementation perspective has
• National Energy Efficiency and Conser
vation Authority Similarly, at the provincial level, Planning & Devel-
been transferred to provinces. The role of provin-
cial governments as a policymaker and imple-
• National Electric Power Regulatory opment departments will liaison with provincial
Authority stakeholders – ministries, department, authorities,
mentor is to effectively coordinate with federal
and local governments, and other stakeholders.
• Distribution Companies financial institutions, academia, research organi-
and research to meet the SEforAll goals. living standards of poor, and remote communi- productive uses of energy and entrepreneurial
• Provincial Planning and Development • Develop and improve the mechanism ties that are not covered by power grids; activities using the energy plus approach; and,
Departments proposed for SEforAll Coordination, Tracking • Prepare Investment Prospectus identifying • Develop platforms of key stakeholders to
• Provincial Energy Departments and Monitoring Framework. specific projects and programs to initiate public promote knowledge and information
• Provincial Agriculture Departments • Implementation of SEforAll Coordination, private partnerships exchange and new partnerships to advance
• Provincial Transportation Departments Track- • Develop capacities of partner organizations sustainable energy solutions;
• Provincial Environment Protection ing and Monitoring Framework: Acquire and government departments related to • Actively promote and carry out advocacy,
Departments information for SEforAll targets in short, energy access, energy efficiency and renew- outreach and communication activities to
• Provincial Industries, Commerce and medium and long-term. able energy increase the knowledge and information about
Investment Departments • Negotiate and establish SEforAll Tracking • Provide resources that support policy and sustainable energy business models and
• Provincial Higher Education Departments Frame institutional reforms and regulatory frameworks available financial resources among energy
work with Provincial Planning and Develop- that encourage development of sustainable practitioners
Along with the Governmental ministries and ment Departments. energy production • Development of SEforAll Database / Mobile
departments at the national and provincial level, • Liaison with International Development • Conduct stakeholder workshops to identify the application, the Secretariat will be responsible
International development organizations such as Partners and International Financial Institutions. capacity barriers of the country, including for update of the database and mobile applica-
USAID, GIZ, and JICA etc., and international finan- • Introduce new technologies in Pakistan togeth- sub-regional or thematic workshops; tion. Secretariat will also track the information in
cial institutions such as ADB, AIIB, WB etc., will be er with international partner organizations. • Promote existing regional, sub-regional and this system. Data feeding responsibility will be
engaged as observer and partners at the national • Organize Workshops for the end users for national initiatives that align with the objectives of the stakeholders – agencies, line ministries,
level with SEforAll secretariat. Along with the awareness related to advantages related to of SEforAll; as well as initiatives that arise from and departments at provincial and federal level.
financing, these development organizations and adoption of new technologies.
financial institutions can provide assistance to • Develop and manage a website for ready
introduce latest trends/technologies/best practic- information for the end users and the stake-
es around the World to implement in Pakistan holders.
under the SEforAll. • Provide assistance/support to the donor agen-
cies to implement relevant projects smoothly.
Some of the proposed key responsibilities of • SEforAll secretariat will act as one window
SEforAll Secretariat are: solution for all the stakeholders including
end-users and donor agencies.
2 Source: http://www.dawn.com/news/1295092
14 AEDB, 2015 (b).
3 http://www.nepra.org.pk/Legislation/Regulatio
15 Ali S. , 2015.
ns/NOTIFICATION%20SRO%20892%20-2015.
PDF
16 National Electric Power Regulatory Authority
4 Source:https://propakistani.pk/2016/08/12/raw
alpindi-resident-becomes-first-pakistani-to-sell- PART-4: COORDINATION AND FOLLOW-UP
electricity-to-grid-save-thousands/
1 Bangladesh and African Countries has
5 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/1 successfully operationalized the SEforAll
04071469432331115/Biomass-resource-map National Action Plan and Investment
ping-in-Pakistan-final-report-on-biomass-atlas Prospectus through similar model.
9 Ibid.
127 Notes
NOTES
13 Pakistan Sugar Mills Association website 26 Arshad H Abbassi & Maha Kamal, “Importing 39 Asian Development Bank 2009 8 These high fuel costs are not fully transferred
LNG: A Policy Analysis” Sustainable to the end consumer, due to commodity
14 Use of new extraction condensing steam Development Policy Institute (SDPI) 40 Ibid market prices, but instead absorbed by the
turbine allows the high-pressure cogeneration farmers, reducing their profit margin
system to run during the off-milling season by 27 Pakistan Sugar Mills Association (2016) 41 National Electric Power Regulatory Authority substantially.
utilizing all the bagasse generated at the sugar
mill as well as additional biomass feedstock 28 IFC funded Study “Sustainable Growth: 42 Sui Southern Gas Company Limited 9 Alternative Energy Development Board (AEDB)
sourced from the vicinity of the sugar mill. Cleaner Production in Pakistan” by National
Productivity Organization (NPO) & Cleaner 43 According to the Environmental Protection 10 This study has also shown that about 3% of
15 Pakistan Energy Year Book 2017 Production Institute (CPI), 2016. Agency (EPA), Natural gas emission through Pakistan’s total land has Class 4 wind resource
leakages into the atmosphere is approximately and about 9% of the land has Class 3 or even
16 Energy Access Outlook - International Energy 29 CKDN “Catalyzing leadership on efficient 21 times more harmful than carbon dioxide. better wind resource
Agency, 2017 bagasse processing: Case Study on Pakistan
Sugar Industry” 44 The rational for this increase is extensive 11 Wind Resource Assessment and Mapping for
17 Pakistan Energy Year Book, 2017 growth in power sector with exponential Afghanistan and Pakistan, NREL access
30 ibid growth in installed power projects. at:http://www.nrel.gov/international/pdfs/afg_p
18 NTDC ak_wind_june07.pdf
31 International Institute for Sustainable PART-2: PRIORITY ACTION AREAS
19 Energy Saving in Pakistan by RAFTAAR, DFID Development, IISD 12 http://www.pcq.com.pk/denmark-company-ve
(2016) 1 Source: http://cm.punjab.gov.pk/node/3971 stas-to-bring-wind-energy-to-punjab-region-of-
32 All Pakistan Cement Manufacturing pakistan/
20 Economic Survey of Pakistan (2016-17) Association (APCMA) (2016) 2 0.75 mmcf = 750 mmbtu Therefore 0.1
13 Alternative Energy Development Board (AEDB
21 Pakistan Energy Year Book (2017) 33 International Finance Cooperation, 2014 3 NRSP, Renewable Energy: Evaluation of Biogas
Initiative in Punjab. 14 GIZ, 2013.
22 International Institute for Sustainable 34 Brick kiln industry by Syed Akhtar Ali –
Development, IISD Business Recorder 4 Usmani, Jafar. “Presentation on Biodiesel in 15 Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Energy & Power
Pakistan” Department, 2016 (a).
23 International Finance Cooperation, 2014 35 World Energy Council
5 IFC-Market Study of Sustainable Energy 16 https://www.thenews.com.pk/print/107384-Pa
24 Market Study of Sustainable Energy Finance in 36 Petroleum Institute of Pakistan Finance in Pakistan k-geothermal-energy-resources-have-potential
Pakistan, IFC 2014 -to-generate-100000MW-power-Research
Energy Saving in Pakistan, RAFTAAR, DFID 37 Petroleum Institute of Pakistan 6 http://www.aedb.org/index.php/ae-technologi Sustainable Energy Efficiency Program, ADB
2016 https://www.fueleconomy.gov es/solar-power/solar-current-status (2009)
25 Trends in Global Energy Efficiency: An 38 National Electric Power Regulatory Authority 7 Raheem, A., Abbasi, S.A., Memon, A. et al. Energ 17 RAFTAAR: Research and Advocacy for the
Analysis of Industry and Utilities, ABB (2011) (NEPRA) Sustain Soc (2016) 6: 16. Advancement of Allied Reforms
doi:10.1186/s13705-016-0082-z
18 Global EV Outlook 2016
iii. Chief Economist, Planning Commission Total 596 100.0 100.0 103.0 103.0 100.0 1000 100.0
iv. Chief (Macro) Ministry of Planning Development & Reform AcylcuttusiSbnery 5% 100 10A 9.2 7.8 6.4 5.4 4.5
v. Chief (Plan Coordination), Planning Commission Industry 29.2 30.2 37.0 41.5 44.6 47.4 50.0
vi. All Chiefs Energy Wing. Commerdal & Senas 596 6.6 6.8 7.6 8.2 87 9.5 10.1
vii. Staff Officer to Minister for Planning Development and Reform Public Government 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
viii. SPS to Secretary, Ministry of Planning Development & Reform Public Street gm S% 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2
ix. SPS to Member (Energy) ResIdentUls 5% 37.0 36.3 32.1 29.7 27.5 24.9 22.6
Annex
Table 7:IV
4: JICA’s Scenario Base Electric Energy Demand Forecast by 2050
Commercial & Services 5.0 10.3 9.4 8.4 8.0 7.7 8.7
2017 Project Sponsor/ Power Location Fuel Capacity Expected COD/ 8(i)* 1320 MW Imported coal China Power HUB 2015 Balloki, Punjab RLNG ST 423 Combined Cycle
Company Name Policy (MW) Remarks based Power Project at HUB Generation Co. by Jan-18
Balochistan Ltd.
1 Patrind Hydropower Project Star Hydropower 2002 Kunhar River, Hydel 147 Oct-17 Under
9(i)* 660 MW Thar Coal based Engro Powergen 2015 Haveli Bahadur RLNG ST 430 Combined Cycle
Limited KP/AJ&K testing &
Power Project Thar Limited Shah, Punjab by Jan-18
commissioning
2* 1320 MW Imported coal Huaneng 2015 Qadarabad, Coal First Unit Inaugurated on
3(ii)* 1320 MW Imported coal Port Qasim 2015 HUB, Coal First Unit Dec-18 LOS
based Power Project at Shandong Ruyi District 660 25.05.17
based Power Project Electric Power Balochistan issued FC in
Qadarabad Dist Sahiwal (Pakistan) Energy Sahiwal Second Inaugurated on
Co. (Pvt) Ltd progress
(Pvt) Limited Unit 03.07.17
(under
660
construction)
3(i)* 1320 MW Imported coal Port Qasim 2015 Coal Dec-17
based Power Project Electric Power Port Qasim, First Unit Under Sub Total (2018) 2503
Co. (Pvt) Ltd Karachi 660 MW construction
4 1180 MW RLNG based QATPL 2015 RLNG Open Cycle (717 2019 Project Sponsor/ Power Location Fuel Capacity Expected COD/
Project at Bhikki Bhikki, Punajb 1180 MW) Company Name Policy (MW) Remarks
commissioned
Combined Cycle 8(ii)* 1320 MW Imported coal China Power HUB 2015 HUB, Coal Second Aug-19
by Dec-17 based Power Project at HUB Generation Co. Balochistan Unit 660
Balochistan Ltd. MW
5(i) 1223 MW RLNG based NPPMCL 2015 RLNG Open Cycle by
Project at Balloki, Punjab Balloki, Punjab GT1 & GT2 Sep-17 9(ii)* 660 MW Thar Coal based Engro Powergen 2015 Tharb lock-II, Coal Jun-19
800 Power Project Thar Limited Sindh Second
6(i) 1230 MW RLNG based NPPMCL 2015 RLNG Open Cycle (760 Unit 330
Project at Haveli Bahadur Haveli Bahadur GT1 & GT2 MW) inaugurated MW
Shah, Punjab Shah, Punjab 800 on 07.07.17 10 163MW imported coal Grange Power 2002 Arifwala, Coal Sep-19 LOS
based Power Project at Limited Punjab issued FC in
7 Fatima Energy Cogeneration Fatima Energy Co-gen Bagasse/ ec-17 Arifwala Punjab 163 progress
Project Limited Policy 2008Muzaffargarh Imported Coal 118 LOS issued
FC in progress
(Under 11 Gulpur Hydropower project Mira Power Ltd 2002 Poonch Hydel Oct-19 FC
Construction) River/Gulpur, achieved Under
AJ&K 102 Construction
Sub Total (2017) 5025
12 1250 MW RLNG based Punjab Thermal 2015 Near Trimmu RLNG Oct-19 LOI
Project near Trimmu Barrage, Power (Pvt) Ltd Barrage, Jhang, issued. LOS in
2018 Project Sponsor/ Power Location Fuel Capacity Expected COD/ Jhang, Punjab (PTPL) Punjab 1250 progress
Company Name Policy (MW) Remarks
5(ii) 1223 ME RLNG based NPPMCL 2015 Balloki, Punjab RLNG ST 423 Combined Cycle Sub Total (2019) 2505
Project at Balloki, Punjab by Jan-18
6(ii) 1230 MW RLNG based NPPMCL 2015 Haveli Bahadur RLNG ST 430 Combined Cycle
Project at Haveli Bahadur Shah, Punjab by Jan-18
Shah, Punjab
13* 1320 MW Thar Coal based Thar Energy 2015 Thar Coal 1320 Dec-20 21* Suki Kinari Hydropower S.K Hydro Pvt Ltd 2002 Kunhar Hydel 870 Dec-22
Power Project Limited Block-I, Sindh LOS issued Project River/Mansehr FC achieved
FC in progress a, KP Under construction
14* 330 MW Thar Coal based Thar Energy 2015 Thar Block-II, Coal 330 Dec-20 Sub Total (2022) 870
Power Project Limited Sindh LOS issued
FC in Progress
2024 Project Sponsor/ Power Location Fuel Capacity Expected COD/
15* 330 MW Thar Coal based Thal Nova Power 2015 Thar Block-II, Coal 1180 Dec-20 Company Name Policy (MW) Remarks
Power Project Thar (Pvt) Ltd Sindh LOS issued
FC in Progress 22* Kohala Hydropower Project China Internation- 2002 Jehlum Hydel 1124 Jun-24
al Water & River/Kohala, LOS issued
Sub Total (2020) 1980 Electric Company AJ&K FC in progress
18* 1320MW Thar coal based Oracle Coal 2015 Thar Block VI, Coal 1320 Dec-21 Azad Pattan Hydropower Alamgir Power 2002 Jehlum Hydel 640 Dec-24
Power Project Fields PLC Sindh Project proposal 24 Project Pvt Ltd River/Sudhnoti, LOS issued
England yet to be submitted AJ&K FC in progress
28 Athmuqam Hydropower Korea Hydro and 2015 Neelum River, Hydel 350 Dec-25
Project Nuclear Company AJ&K LOI issued.
Feasibility Study in
progress Annex-VI Power distribution losses Europe versus Pakistan
Sub Total (2025) 998
Neckeherdim-PaurHydropow-
17 er Project 2015 Yarkun River, Hydel 80
Chitral Valley
KP
Madian Hydropower Project
18* 2015 Swat River, KP Hydel 157
Asrit-Kedam Hydropower
19* Project 2015 Near Hydel 215
Kalam/Swat
River, KP
Kalam-Asrit Hydropower
20* Project 2002 Swat River, KP Hydel 197
Sujawal 8 1,507
Source: Author’s own analysis and calculation based on Consultative Meetings
Kashmore 12 742
Ghotki 21 1,539 Woman and Children Effected by Young children are often carried by mothers or kept in the
Annex VIII
Umerkot 22 1,741 Indoor Pollution kitchen area during cooking exposing them to high levels
of smoke. Because women do most of the cooking and
Tando Mohammad Khan 23 779
spend more time indoors, they are exposed more to
KP Torghar 2 231 Number of People Affected by Hazardous 111,079,269 pollutants and are believed to have greater adverse health
Kohistan 5 1,012 Air Pollution (HAP)
impacts. In general, rural women and children are
Number of People Households Affected 16,335,187
Batagram 15 693 malnourished and the impact of indoor air pollution on
by HAP
Shangla 27 525 them is likely to be much stronger. The table below shows
Number of deaths per year by HAP 114,806
the health effects of air pollution caused by use of
Upper Dir 30 669 33,673
Number of child deaths per year by HAP
traditional fuel
Balochistan Awaran 1 263
Source: Global Alliance for Clean Cook-stoves, Pakistan Profile
Chaghi 11 234
Barkhan 9 541
Kachhi 13 392
Khuzdar 17 600
Ziarat 9 241
GB Astore 34 77
Skardu 49 218
Region Year Total Added Total Access to Province Firewood Gas Kerosene Oil Dung Cake Electricity Crop Residue Charcoal Others
Consumption Connections Household Grid Network
Punjab 2015 11,496,063 15,748,031 73% KP 79% 16% 0.09% 0.70% 0.05% 4% 0.05% 0.15%
2020 13,699,427 2,203,364 16,912,873 81% Punjab 46% 24% 0.09% 9% 0.03% 20% 0.06% 1%
2025 16,826,650 3,127,223 18,490,825 91% Sindh 64% 25% 0.10% 10% 0.04% 1.38% 0.07% 0.07%
2030 20,215,997 3,389,347 20,215,997 100% Balochistan 18% 25% 0.10% 1.33% 0.02% 3% 0.25% 0.74%
Sindh 2015 4,467,692 6,769,231 66% Total 61% 22% 0.11% 7% 0.03% 11% 0.09% 0.63%
Industry Potential Annual Potential Main Equipment for investment Sr. No. Sponsor Capacity Location Remarks
Savings Potential Investment name MW
per year Savings per (million PKR)
(MWh) (million PKR) 1. Quaid-e-Azam Solar 100 Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park, Lal Project completed in March 2015 and electricity is
Company Ltd. Sohanra, Bahawalpur being fed into the National Grid.
Textile 1,965,500 20,638 173,000 Compressors, heat recovery, heat transfer equip., lights,
meters, motors, power factor correction equip., main process, 2. Zonergy Company Ltd 900 Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park, Lal 3x100 MW out of 9x100 MW started Commercial
process control, steam system, variable frequency drives (“VFDs”) (CPEC Project) Sohanra, Bahawalpur Operations since July 31, 2016.Remaining 600 MW is
under development
Sugar 138,350 1,453 105,000 Co-generation, heat recovery, transfer equip., motors,
general process, process control, steam system, VFDs 3. Zorlu Enerji Elektrik 100 Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park Tariff application @ US cents 6/kWh filed before NEPRA
Uretim A.S (extension), Lal Sohanra,
Leather 17,000 179 1,150 Compressors, heat recovery, heat transfer, motors, Bahawalpur
power factor, main process control, steam systems
4. Zorlu Enerji Elektrik 200 Quaid-e-Azam Solar Park Feasibility study is in process
Paper 92,400 970 7,800 Compressors, heat recovery, motors, power factor, Uretim A.S (extension), Lal Sohanra,
main process, process control, VFD Bahawalpur
Cement 660,000 6,930 30,600 Co-generation, meters, motors, power factor, main process, 5. Zhenfa Pakistan New 100 Rakh Chaubara, Layya Power Acquisition consent is pending at CPPA-G end
process control, VFDs
Fertilizer 88,200 926 5,800 Heat recovery, heat transfer, main process 6. Energy Co. Ltd. 100 Chishtian, Bahawalnagar Grid Interconnection Study was pending at NTDC end.
(Extension of QA Solar Park) After approval, sponsor is in process to approach
Other sectors 486,750 5,111 80,800 Diverse process and ancillary equipment NEPRA for completion of regulatory processes
Total 3,448,200 36,207 404,150 7. Storm Harbour 100 Chishtian, Bahawalnagar Grid Interconnection Study was pending at NTDC end.
Solution De Energy (Extension of QA Solar Park) After approval, sponsor is in process to approach
Source: International Finance Cooperation (2014) NEPRA for completion of regulatory processes
8. CWE & Welt Konnect 50 QA Solar Park, Lal Sohanra, Grid Interconnection Study was pending at NTDC end.
(Joint Venture) Bahawalpur After approval, sponsor is in process to approach
NEPRA for completion of regulatory processes
11. Roshan Power (Pvt.) 10 Lahore Grid Interconnection Study was pending at LESCO end.
Ltd. After approval, sponsor is in process to approach
NEPRA for completion of regulatory processes
1A. Solar Power Projects in IPPs mode by Private Sector – Projects approved
Sr. No. Sponsor name Capacity Location Sr. No. Sponsor Capacity Location Remarks
name MW
1. MASDAR Mubadla, UAE 300 MW Punjab
1. Olympus Energy (Pvt.) 20 Marala (Lucky HPP) Cost Plus Tariff is approved by NEPRA.
2. Zhenfa Energy Group Co. Ltd. 100 MW Punjab Limited (Chenab), District Sialkot Gazette Notification by MoWP is awaited.
3. Shandong Linuo 100 MW Punjab 2. Trident Power JB 4.6 Lower Bari Doab Canal Upfront Tariff is approved by NEPRA.
(Pvt.) Ltd. RD. 260+000, District Gazette Notification by MoWP is awaited.
Total capacity 500 MW Sahiwal Sponsor has submitted performance guarantee
LOS signing pending at PPIB
17. Engro Powergen 7.10 D.G. Khan Link – III Canal HPP, FS is in progress. 4 Hydro power project Turmic 67 Km from Skardu 10 2021
Limited RD. 0+000 to RD. 14+000,
5 Hydro power project Hassan abad Hunza 100 km from Gilgit 5 2020
District DG Khan
6 Hydro Power Project near KIU Gilgit. Gilgit city 100 2025
18. Mefa Industries (Pvt.) 1.80 Pakpattan Canal HPP FS is in progress.
Limited RD. 306+000, District 7 Hydro power Project Attabad Hunza. 20 km from Aliabad Hunza 32 2020
Pakpattan
8 Hydro power project Passu Gojal 52 km from Hunza 30 2020
19. Under Process 135.00 Taunsa HPP on Taunsa Evaluation of Bids is in progress.
Barrage, Muzaffargarh 9 Hydro Power Project Sai Nallah 67 km from Gilgit 6 2021
Total capacity Small Hydro - 310.45 MW 10 Hydro power project Golodass 10 Km from Gahkuch Ghazir 15 2020
Total 442.0
17 Establishment of Regional grid and high Connection of District Gilgit, Evacuation of electric 2021
voltage lines in GB (phase-1) Skardu aqnd Hunza. power from one region to
another.
18 Establishment of regional grids and high Linking of all Districts in GB Evacuation of electric 2025
voltage lines inGB(phase-2) power from one region to
another
19 Establishment of regional grids and inter Inter connection of high Evacuation of surplus 2030
connection of high voltage lines voltage lines power to National Grid
9- 220kV D.I. Khan 2x250 100 09.12.2010 ADB- Tr-IV 3779 Mar 2018
44
Sr. No. Name of MVA Addition in PC-I Approval Financing PC-I Cost Expected 10- 220kV Chakdara 2x250 85 03.10.2014 ADB- Tr-IV 4397 Mar 2018
the Project Capacity T/L (km) Date (MRs. Completion 45
MUS$)
11- Improvement & Upgradation - - 08.06.2016 ADB MFF-II 887 December
of Protection System to 8.5 2017
1- 220 kV Dera Murad Jamali 2x160 5 07.04.2011 NTDC Own 880 Dec, 2017
Avoid the Frequent Trippings
Resources 11
in South Areas
2- 500kV Lahore New G/S 2x750 130 (500kV) 09.12.2010 JICA 12664 Commissioned
500kV Rahim Yar Khan G/S
104 (220kV) 147 in Dec, 2017
12- 2x600 60 22.10.2007 JICA 4936
+ 81 Dec 2017
3- 220kV Mansehra 2x250 1 07.04.2011 ADB 905 Dec, 2017
2x250
Tranche-III 11
Extension/Augmentation of
4- 220 kV GIS Ghazi Road 2x250 30 25.02.2005 KfW 2592 Mar, 2018 13- 220/132kV Rewat 430 - 23.09.2014 ADB MFF-II 844
Lahore 43 substation (2x160 to 8 June 2018
2x250 + 1x250)
5- 3rd 500 kV Circuit from - 590 26.08.2013 ADB 36857 Dec, 2017
Jamshoro to Rahim Yar Khan Tranche-III 351
2- 500 kV Islamabad West 3x250 35 (220 kV) 20.07.2016 WB 8288 2018-19 14- 220kV Punjab University Grid 3x250 4 Approved on WB 2948 2019-20
+ 27(500 kV) 79 Station 19-09-201 28
2x750 7
3- 220 kV Zhob 2x160 220 07.11.2016 ADB 6878 2018-19 15- 500 kV Lahore North 2x750 110 (500 kV) Approved on ADB 20034 2019-20
66 15 (220 kV) 24-11-201 191
7
4- 220kV Mirpur Khas 2x250 70 07.11.2016 ADB 3857 2018-19
37 16- Evacuation of Power from - 10 Approved on Own Resourc- 525 2020-21
Karot and Azad Pattan HPPs 02.03.2015 es 5
5- 500kV Chakwal 2x450 33 12.04.2017 KFW 6710 2018-19
+ 64 Approved on
4x160 17- Evacuation of Power from - 53 24-11-201 World Bank 4718 2020-21
Tarbela 5th Extension 7 45
6- Enhancement in 1050 - 12.04.2017 WB 16526 2018-19
Transmission capacity of (500kV) 158 Approved on
NTDC System by Extension 6096 18- 220kV Jamrud G/S 2 x 250 20 19-10-201 ADB 2398 2020-21
and Augmentation of (220kV) 7 23
Existing Gridstations
07.05.2015
7- Conversion of Four 220kV - - 07.03.2017 WB 5684 2018-19 19- Interconnection Scheme for - 100km (HVDC) World Bank 16659 2020-21
Grids from AIS to GIS 54 CASA-1000 (HVDC Part) 169
8- Evacuation of Power from 1250 35 (220kV) Approved on USAID 10,753 2018-19 500 kV Peshawar Nowshera) 2x750 15 (500 kV) 12634 2020-21
1224MW Wind Power Plants 220 (132kV) 24-11-201 102 alongwith allied HVAC /Ls 24 (220 kV) 130
at Jhimpir Clusters 7 (HVAC Part of CASA-1000)
-do-
9- Evacuation Of Power from 250 100(220kV) Recommend NTDC Own 4339 2018-19 20- Evacuation of Power from - 250(765kV) WB 75680 2021-22
1230MW RLNG Power Plant 15(132kV) ed by CDWP Resources 41 2160 MW Dasu Hydro Power 722 2
At Trimmu on Project (Phase-I)
04.12.2017
Recommend
10- 220kV Zero Point Grid 3 x 250 24 Approved on WB 2541 2019-20 21- Upgradation/Extension of - - ed By CDWP ADB 11410 021-22
Station 19.09.2017 24 NTDC's Telecom & SCADA on 108
System 19.09.2017
Approved on
11- - 360 24-11-201 ADB 8624 2019-20
Cosntruction of New 220kV 7 80
Guddu-Uch-Sibbi S/C T/ Line
10 SSRL Thar Coal Block-I 6.8 mtpa &SEC Mine Mouth Power Plant(2×660MW) 1320
15 Thar Mine Mouth Oracle Power Plant ( 1320MW) & surface mine 1320
157 Annexures