3.

42
H = annual maximum wave height = N(4,3.2)

6−4
(a) P(H>6) = 1 − Φ ( ) = 1 − Φ (0.625) = 0.266
3.2

(b) Design requirement is

P(no exceedance over 3 years) = 0.8 = (1-p)3
Where p = p(no exceedance in a given year)

Hence, p = 1-(0.8)1/3 = 0.0717

h−4
That is, Φ ( ) = 0.0717 where h is the designed wave height
3.2
h = 3.2 Φ -1(0.0717) + 4
= 3.2x0.374 + 4 = 5.2 m

(c) Probability of damaging wave height in a year

= 0.266x0.4 = 0.1064

Hence mean rate of damaging wave height = 0.1064 per year

P(no damage in 3 years)

= P(no damaging wave in 3 years)
= e-0.1064x3
=0.727