Professional Documents
Culture Documents
The Emerging Asia-Pacific Capital Markets - by CFA Institute Research
The Emerging Asia-Pacific Capital Markets - by CFA Institute Research
Neither CFA Institute Research Foundation, CFA Institute, nor the publication’s edi-
torial staff is responsible for facts and opinions presented in this publication. This
publication reflects the views of the author(s) and does not represent the official
views of CFA Institute Research Foundation.
CFA®, Chartered Financial Analyst®, and GIPS® are just a few of the trademarks owned by CFA
Institute. To view a list of CFA Institute trademarks and the Guide for the Use of CFA Institute
Marks, please visit our website at www.cfainstitute.org.
© 2021 CFA Institute Research Foundation. All rights reserved.
No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted,
in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise,
without the prior written permission of the copyright holder.
This publication is designed to provide accurate and authoritative information in regard to
the subject matter covered. It is sold with the understanding that the publisher is not engaged
in rendering legal, accounting, or other professional service. If legal advice or other expert
assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought.
Cover credit: Afriandi / Moment / Getty Images
ISBN 978-1-952927-14-0
BIOGRAPHIES
Nazmul Ahsan, CFA, is head of Treasury at where he was part of the investment commit-
Midland Bank Ltd. and has extensive experi- tee, managing fixed income, equity, and asset
ence in treasury management, fixed income, allocation portfolios. Before joining HBL AML,
and asset and liability management. Driven by he was responsible for making feasibilities and
his contributions on market making in fixed analyzing potential business ventures at Engro
income, Midland Bank was awarded best pri- Corporation and its energy holding company.
mary dealer by Bangladesh Bank, the cen- Mr. Balani also worked at Elixir Securities in
tral bank of Bangladesh. Mr. Ahsan began his equity research covering the energy and indus-
career at Eastern Bank Ltd., where he worked trial sectors. He holds an MBA and a bach-
in Treasury and managed the foreign exchange elor’s degree from the Institute of Business
and asset/liability management desk. He has Management, Karachi. Mr. Balani serves on the
supported various projects with Bangladesh board of CFA Society Pakistan.
Bank and other organizations to further the
Bujinlkham Boldbaatar is a senior analyst at
development of the fixed-income market in
Long Term Partners of Mongolia, where she
Bangladesh. Mr. Ahsan holds a BBA in finance
specializes in the research of various economic
from the University of Dhaka and is a founding
sectors and individual stocks. She holds a bach-
board member and current vice president of
elor’s degree in finance from the University of
CFA Society Bangladesh.
Finance and Economics, Mongolia.
Thitiphong Amonthumniyom is an analyst in
Luc Can is chief economist at the Bank for
the R&D department at the Securities Exchange
Investment and Development of Vietnam and
Commission, Thailand, where he works in the
president of the BIDV Training and Research
capital market risk field. He is responsible for
Institute. He is also a member of the National
monitoring and reporting on each aspect of
Fiscal and Monetary Policy Advisory Council
capital market risk, including market risk, credit
and the Vietnam National Committee for Pacific
risk, and liquidity risk. Mr. Amonthumniyom
Economic Cooperation. Dr. Luc holds a DBA
also reports on the macroeconomy and capital
and an MBA from Monash University, Australia,
market and is a member of the working group
both under Australian government scholarships.
for financial stability. He holds a master’s degree
He was also a (Fulbright) Humphrey Fellow and
in economics and finance from the University
a Senior Fellow at Harvard Kennedy School.
of East Anglia and a bachelor’s degree in
economics from Kasetsart University. Mr. Jin Yoong Chong, CFA, is director and princi-
Amonthumniyom has passed the Level I exam pal trainer at Ogos Learning and co-founder of
for the CFA Program. StudyLisa.com. Ogos Learning provides educa-
tion services in the field of banking and finance,
Sateesh Balani, CFA, is director of research at
and StudyLisa.com is a mobile chat-based
Ismail Iqbal Securities and possesses a decade
e-learning platform that caters to exam tak-
of diversified finance- and investment-related
ers. Before forming Ogos Learning, he headed
experience. Previously, he was head of research
the structured products development team in
at HBL Asset Management Limited (AML),
AmBank’s Global Markets division and worked Economic Development and Public Policy pro-
as a licensed fixed-income dealer at OSK gram at Harvard Kennedy School.
Investment Bank. Mr. Chong is actively involved
Mark Ilao, CFA, CIPM, is a business develop-
with the Asian Institute of Chartered Bankers
ment manager at COL Financial Group, Inc.,
(AICB) as an examiner, trainer, and curriculum
where he currently heads the first online funds
developer for various examination programs.
distribution platform in the Philippines: COL
He also has authored and co-authored mul-
Fund Source. Previously, he was an investment
tiple textbooks in collaboration with AICB and
analyst for BDO Trust and Investments Group,
Oxford Fajar, including textbooks for the PKMC
covering equity, fixed income, and macroeco-
licensing exam that is compulsory for all prac-
nomic research and strategy.
ticing interbank dealers in Malaysia. Mr. Chong
obtained the PKMC certification with distinc- Raza Jafri, CFA, is head of equities at
tion. He currently serves as treasurer of CFA Intermarket Securities Limited. He has more
Society Malaysia. than 13 years of experience in equity research
and sales in Pakistan and specializes in covering
Bayarsaikhan Davaadorj, CFA, is founder of
commercial banks. Mr. Jafri serves on the board
Long Term Partners of Mongolia, an investment
of directors of CFA Society Pakistan. He holds
advisory firm. Previously, he worked as an equity
a bachelor of science degree (honors) in finance
trader at Deutsche Bank and as an investment
and accounting from the Lahore University of
officer at International Finance Corporation
Management Sciences.
(World Bank Group). Mr. Davaadorj has also been
a consultant for the Asian Development Bank, Nattawut Jenwittayaroje, CFA, is an assistant
the Japan International Cooperation Agency, professor of finance at the National Institute of
and the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Administration Business School,
Development. He is co-founder and served as where he lectures on financial markets, behav-
chair of the Mongolian Society of Financial ioral finance, derivatives, and market micro-
Analysts. structure. Previously, he was a lecturer in the
Department of Banking and Finance, Faculty of
Varabott Ho is an associate professor at CamEd
Commerce and Accountancy at Chulalongkorn
Business School. His experience includes more
University. Mr. Jenwittayaroje holds a PhD in
than 12 years at Credit Suisse and encompasses
business administration from the Nanyang
private banking, asset management, hedge
Business School at Nanyang Technological
funds, private equity, bancassurance, and cor-
University, Singapore.
porate advisory across Europe and Asia for
such entities as the Association of Banks in Rajendra Kalur, CFA, is an independent
Cambodia, Banque Hottinguer, Aberdeen Asset consultant and financial educator. Using his
Management, AXA, and Leopard Capital. He extensive experience in the financial services
holds an MBA from the University of Chicago domain, he mentors first-time entrepreneurs
Booth School of Business and is a certified and offers training on such subjects as leader-
European Federation of Financial Analysts ship, entrepreneurship, and wealth manage-
Societies international investment analyst. Mr. ment. Previously, Mr. Kalur was the founding
Ho currently is pursuing the Corporate Director director and CEO of TrustPlutus, a boutique
Program at Harvard Business School and the wealth management firm. He also has worked
in various capacities at RBS N.V., ABN AMRO Vidushan Premathiratne, CFA, is the founder
N.V., Wealth Advisors India Pvt. Ltd., ICICI and managing director of Elon Venture Catalysts,
Prudential AMC, DSP Merrill Lynch, and a boutique investment advisory and data analyt-
General Insurance Corporation of India. Mr. ics company in Sri Lanka. He also is an invest-
Kalur serves on the boards of CFA Society ment banker with 12 years of experience,
India and Multi-Act Trade and Investments Pvt including working with Asha Phillip Securities,
Ltd. He is also a certified Ethics Trainer. Mr. York Street Partners, and Candor Capital.
Kalur holds an MBA from Cranfield School of
Mr. Premathiratne serves as strategist, mentor,
Management, United Kingdom, and a postgrad-
and financial adviser for many innovative start-
uate diploma in marketing from the Chartered
ups and SMEs in Sri Lanka and has sourced,
Institute of Marketing, United Kingdom. He is
structured, and negotiated transactions involv-
also a long-distance runner and cyclist.
ing debentures and merger and acquisition for
Asif Khan, CFA, is managing partner and leading corporates in Sri Lanka. Leading institu-
co-founder of EDGE Research & Consulting tions seek his advisory expertise in such fields
Limited. EDGE provides investment research to as data science, fixed income, derivatives, and
a large number of globally reputed fund manag- digital payments. Mr. Premathiratne holds a
ers, commercial banks, and development finance bachelor’s degree (honors) in chemical engi-
institutions. Mr. Khan has more than 13 years of neering from the University of Nottingham
experience working in both buy-side and sell-side (United Kingdom) and an MBA in marketing
roles covering frontier markets. He is also a found- from the University of Colombo. He is a mem-
ing board member of CFA Society Bangladesh. ber of CMA (Australia) and a Certified Global
Business Analyst (Australia).
Md Shah Naoaj, CFA, is a deputy director of
the Central Bank of Bangladesh, where he works Mr. Premathiratne is currently reading for his
on financial sector policy issues, macroeco- doctorate in business administration at the
nomic analysis, and macroprudential policy- University of Colombo.
making. Previously, he was an economist for the
Shwetabh Sameer, CFA, CIPM, is an applied
International Monetary Fund (IMF), where he
statistical researcher with the Behavioral
conducted Article IV missions and co-authored
Sciences team at Morningstar. His primary
many pieces on the financial sector issues of IMF
responsibilities include conducting statistical
member countries. Mr. Naoaj is a current board
analyses and survey research on the financial
member of CFA Society Bangladesh. He holds an
behavior and behavioral obstacles among inves-
MBA in finance from the University of Dhaka.
tors and investment professionals. Previously,
Dung Nguyen works in the strategic manage- Mr. Sameer worked as a senior quantitative
ment department at the Bank for Investment analyst with the Indexes team at Morningstar,
and Development of Vietnam. He has published where he helped create various factor- and
a number of articles on such topics as bank- sustainability-based solutions used for creating
ing and finance, the effect of globalization on exchange-traded funds, structured products,
Vietnamese banks, and Vietnam’s corporate notes, asset allocation, and benchmarking funds.
governance. Mr. Nguyen holds a master’s degree
He holds a bachelor’s degree from the Birla
in banking and finance and is a PhD candidate at
Institute of Technology and Science, Pilani.
National Economic University.
Seng Chan Thoeun is managing director at SBI His competencies include investment evalua-
Royal Securities in Phnom Penh. Involved in the tion and selection, firm competitiveness and
Cambodian investment industry for more than industry benchmarking, financial modeling
10 years, he has directed the successful comple- and analysis, and risk identification and man-
tion of several historic transactions, includ- agement. Previously, Mr. Sisowath was an
ing the IPO of Phnom Penh Water Supply, the equity analyst and portfolio manager at Fidelity
IPO of Phnom Penh Autonomous Port, and the International and Credit Lyonnais International
IPO of Sihanoukville Autonomous Port. Mr. Asset Management, both in Tokyo. As a part-
Seng also oversaw the issuance of the first-ever ner and managing director at Comgest in Hong
corporate bond in Cambodia and completed Kong, he managed Asian equity portfolios and
three other public issuances of corporate bonds directed the team of research analysts and port-
among the six in total. He holds a master’s folio managers. Mr. Sisowath is an independent
degree in international finance from CERAM non-executive director of Manulife TEDA Fund
Business School and has passed the Level I and Management Co. in Beijing. He holds an MBA
Level II exams for the CFA Program. from the University of Chicago Booth School
of Business and a BA from EDHEC Business
Mohammad Shoaib, CFA, is the founder and School in Lille, France.
CEO of Al Meezan Investment Management
Ltd., the first and only fully Shariah-compliant April Lynn L. Tan, CFA, is the vice president,
asset management company in Pakistan. He head of research, and chief equity strategist at
has authored articles in local and international COL Financial Group, Inc. She also writes a
publications, such as Islamic Finance News, weekly column, “Intelligent Investing,” for the
and has been a speaker/panelist on Islamic Philippine Daily Inquirer and hosts the TV
asset management at various conferences in show Insight with April Lee Tan for ANC, both
Middle Eastern and Far Eastern countries. of which focus on the stock market, business,
Mr. Shoaib has extensive volunteer leadership and personal finance topics. Ms. Tan is an active
experience, including serving as Presidents member of CFA Society Philippines, where she’s
Council Representative for the Asia-Pacific served as president and as the head of the soci-
Region of CFA Institute, chair of the Mutual ety’s Investment Research Challenge committee.
Funds Association of Pakistan, and board mem-
Ignatius Denny Wicaksono, CFA, CIPM,
ber of the Institute of Financial Markets of
is head of the business development divi-
Pakistan and the Pakistan Institute of Corporate
sion at Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). His
Governance. Awards include Most Influential
main responsibility is to support IDX and
CFA Charterholder and Lifetime Achievement
Indonesia Capital Market’s initiatives to ensure
Award, both from CFA Institute. Mr. Shoaib
a fair, orderly, and efficient capital market. Mr.
was the founding president of CFA Society
Wicaksono holds an MBA from I.A.E. Grenoble,
Pakistan and currently serves on its board as the
a master’s of management degree from the
Advocacy and GIPS® Standards chair. He holds
University of Indonesia, and a bachelor’s degree
an MBA from IBA.
in electrical engineering from the University of
Chakara Sisowath, CFA, is co-founder and Indonesia.
managing partner of 3E-Fii Capital, the corpo-
rate finance practice within the 3E-Fii Group.
Introduction of electronic
1998
trading
Incorporation of Central
2000 Depository Bangladesh
Limited (CDBL) as a public
DSE became the second- limited company
highest-performing exchange
2010
globally with a 92% year-over-
year return
2011 Second capital market crash
DSE launched three new
indexes: the DSE Broad 2013
Index (DSEX), DSE 30 Index A consortium of the
(DS30), and DSEX Shariah Shenzhen Stock Exchange
Index (DSES); The Exchanges 2018 and Shanghai Stock
Demutualization Act 2013 Exchange became the
was passed strategic partner of DSE, with
25% shareholding
Equity Market
Capitalization (USD) 40.67 Bn* 25.04 Bn* Debt Market
Capitalization (USD)
Domestic Equity
Market Cap/GDP 14%* 8%* Domestic Debt
Market Cap/GDP
Debt Market
Equity Market Share
Volume Traded 17,280 Mn** 2,250 Mn*** Instrument
Volume Traded
Number of Listed
Companies 317* 5* Number of
Issuers (Bonds)
* As of June 2019
** June 2018–June 2019
*** As of June 2020
bolster raising funds in a cost-effective manner, the independent Central Depository System
enhance financial intermediation, expand alter- (CDS) in 2004. These reforms, coupled with
native sources of credit, enable investors to gain the Grameenphone IPO in 2007, helped build
access to alternative investment opportunities, investor confidence, making DSE the second-
and boost investor confidence. highest-performing exchange in the world. The
IPO book-building method, introduced in 2010,
represented a major change from prior fixed-
STOCK MARKET HISTORY price IPOs. In 2013, DSE, in collaboration with
The history of the stock market in Bangladesh S&P Dow Jones Indices, introduced the DSE
dates back to 1954, when the East Pakistan Stock Broad Index (DSEX), DSE 30 Index (DS30), and
Exchange Association Ltd. was formed. After DSEX Shariah Index (DSES).
the Bangladesh Liberation War ended in 1971,
Another significant change came in 2013 when
trading was halted for five years; it resumed in
the exchange was demutualized. In 2018, a con-
1976. In 1986, the country’s premier bourse took
sortium of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and
on its current name, Dhaka Stock Exchange
Shanghai Stock Exchange became the strategic
(DSE). In 1993, the Bangladesh Securities and
partner of DSE, with a 25% shareholding and
Exchange Commission (BSEC) was established
plans for technological upgrades, new product
as the regulator of the country’s capital mar-
development, and promotion of Bangladeshi
kets through the enactment of the Bangladesh
indexes in China.
Securities and Exchange Commission Act, 1993.
Chittagong Stock Exchange (CSE), the country’s
second stock exchange, was established in 1995. EQUITY MARKET STRUCTURE,
The two exchanges have similar equity mar- INVESTOR PROFILE, AND
ket capitalization, around USD29 billion. As of
19 July 2020, DSE had 359 listed stocks and TURNOVER
closed-end mutual funds and CSE had 329. The The ratio of market capitalization to GDP
two exchanges have a lot of overlap in listed stood at only 14% in Bangladesh in June 2019
stocks, and it is possible to buy shares of a com- (see Table 1). The stock market is not a good
pany on one exchange and sell them on the representation of the economy, with many com-
other. DSE dominates turnover, with more than panies remaining private. As an example, the
90% of the total trade volume on any given day. ready-made garment industry, which makes
Therefore, we will focus primarily on DSE in the up 80% of the country’s exports, has almost no
rest of this chapter. presence in the stock exchange. The market
has also performed poorly. From 2014 through
Even though the capital market started func- 2019, the DSEX had a cumulative aggregate
tioning in 1976, the lack of infrastructure, a geometric return of 0.08%, in contrast to nomi-
socioeconomic crisis, and political instability nal GDP growth of 12%–14% per year.
limited activity until the 1990s. The 1996 capi-
tal market crash triggered reforms, such as the There are about 2.55 million beneficiary owner
introduction of electronic trading in 1998, the (BO) accounts in Bangladesh. BO accounts are
establishment of Central Depository Bangladesh used to uniquely identify buyers and sellers of
Limited (CDBL) in 2000, and the formation of instruments, and therefore, it is mandatory to
Notes: MCAP = market capitalization. ADTV = average daily trading value. GDP = gross domestic product.
BDT = Bangladesh taka.
Source: DSE.
have one before trading in the stock market. with a daily market share of 1%–2%, foreign
Active stock trading occurs in only 100,000– institutional investors in the last few years con-
200,000 BO accounts, however, which implies tributed around 6%–8% to daily transactions.
that the stock market is not a popular invest-
ing destination for the vast majority of the
Bangladeshi population of 170 million–180 FIXED-INCOME MARKET IN
million people. Fixed-income securities—such as BANGLADESH: POTENTIAL
fixed deposits and national savings certificates—
and land tend to dominate asset allocation. NOT YET EXPLORED
The fixed-income market in Bangladesh is
Figure 1 shows the sectoral market capitalization
dominated by government Treasury bills and
breakdown for DSE. The main sectors are tele-
bonds. Issuance of debt instruments by quasi-
communication, financials, pharmaceuticals, con-
government entities and corporations is at a
sumer goods, and power. The top 20 companies
nascent stage because of a small investor base,
by total market capitalization make up 54% of
relatively high issuance costs, and a lengthy time
the market. In terms of shareholding, sponsors
to issue compared with bank loans.
own the highest percentage, followed by foreign
investors, the general public, institutions, and the The Bangladeshi fixed-income market is rela-
government. tively small. The government bond market
accounts for only 7.9% of GDP, and the corporate
In terms of turnover, the market is dominated
bond market accounts for only 0.01% of GDP.
by local investors. Over the years, however, for-
eign institutional investors have been increasing Since 2011, the settlement of government bonds
their participation in daily activity. Compared has taken place on a platform called Market
Misc, 9%
Pharma, 18%
Telecom, 13%
Power, 14%
Infrastructure Module, which is owned and in private placements, totaling USD4.48 billion.
maintained by the central bank. From July 2018 to June 2019, USD1.518 billion in
bonds were issued in the form of private place-
ments, mostly by banks in the form of debt for
FIXED-INCOME MARKET Tier 2 capital to comply with Basel III require-
STRUCTURE ments. The fixed-income market in Bangladesh
is denominated in local currency, and the coun-
Government-issued instruments can broadly try has not yet explored issuing debt instru-
be categorized into three segments: Treasury ments in foreign currency. Local companies
bills and bonds, savings instruments, and are not allowed to invest in foreign-currency-
government-entity-issued captive bonds, the denominated securities.
latter two of which are non-tradable. Figure 2
presents outstanding positions of debt instru- Yearly issuance of government Treasuries fluc-
ments. As of June 2020, total outstanding debt tuates with the interest rate cycle, which is the
securities stood at USD69.7 billion, of which determining factor in the sale of government
USD33.27 billion (47.7%) were Treasury bills and savings certificates. The government adjusts its
bonds, USD1.25 billion (1.8%) were government- fiscal deficit by fine-tuning issuance of Treasury
entity-issued captive bonds, USD35.5 billion bills and bonds. The corporate bond market is
(50.4%) were savings instruments, and the almost nonexistent.
remaining USD45.6 million (0.1%) were listed
The largest investors in the fixed-income market
corporate bonds.
are commercial banks: In June 2019, investments
From June 2015 to December 2020, 88 firms from commercial banks and financial institu-
received approval to raise debt by issuing bonds tions (FIs) in government securities totaled
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
1/Jan/13 1/Jan/14 1/Jan/15 1/Jan/16 1/Jan/17 1/Jan/18 1/Jan/19 1/Jan/20
Government Treasury Government Entity Bond
Savings Instruments
USD16.7 billion (70.4%; see Table 2). The sec- taka has been a stable currency over the last
ond-largest investors are insurance companies two decades.
(including the deposit insurance fund of the
The automated process of trading and settle-
central bank), which held USD2.8 billion (11.6%)
ment of government bonds began in 2011, after
in government securities. Foreign investment in
which secondary trading started to flourish.
the bond market is at nascent stage, although
Commercial banks are a major player in the sec-
there are no capital controls. The Bangladeshi
ondary market. With a small investor base and
the above-market interest rate of non-tradable (10-year) bond would be 6.6% (9.1%), as Table 3
savings certificates, there is limited second- shows. Returns on all three-portfolios improve
ary trading of government bonds. The average significantly over a longer time frame.
monthly transaction volume was USD202.9
million at the end of June 2020. The majority of
the transactions took place in the OTC market. CHALLENGES,
There is no fixed-income index in Bangladesh. OPPORTUNITIES, AND
For a hypothetical market-duration-matched THE WAY FORWARD
portfolio with semiannual rebalancing,2 as of
The following issues pertain to the future of the
June 2020, the five-year (one-year) rolling total
Bangladeshi stock market.
return would be 7.5% (8.3%). From July 2015 to
June 2020, the average 1-year return of a 5-year Lack of quality IPOs: The Bangladeshi stock
market is not a good representation of the
2The portfolio is constructed by matching the duration of economy, because some key sectors, such as
the portfolio with market duration. The portfolio is rebal- the garment industry, are not represented in
anced semiannually by replacing older issues with fresh the market. Also, with a new generation of
issues and is matched with market duration at each rebal-
ancing date. Any cash flow received between rebalancing technology companies emerging, IPO rules
times is reinvested until the next rebalancing date at the can be modified to foster listings.
prevailing T-bill rate. Cash flows for less than 30 days until
rebalancing, however, are not reinvested.
Corporate governance and market integ- Creating a sizable demand side: The creation
rity: Similar to other frontier markets, of pension funds and fixed-income mutual
Bangladesh lags behind developed markets funds should help generate stable demand,
in terms of minority investor protection, an additional reason for the government to
corporate governance, and insider trading consider starting these initiatives.
regulation. Making progress in these areas
Listing of government bonds: Currently, gov-
can lead to substantial benefits.
ernment securities are not listed on any
Lack of new products: Currently, an inves- exchange. Regulators should give prior-
tor can take only long positions in equity ity to the listing of government securi-
securities via the stock market. Adding new ties. Additionally, older issues should be
types of products—such as index funds and replaced with newer issues to reduce the
exchange-traded funds—can attract differ- number of instruments and to increase
ent types of clients with higher or lower risk market liquidity.
appetites.
Simplified listing requirements for corporate
Technology upgrades: During the initial stages bonds: For corporate bonds, listing regula-
of the COVID-19 pandemic, the stock mar- tions should be simplified and listing costs
ket remained closed for two months because reduced. Tax incentives should be consid-
the stock exchange is not fully automated. ered. Semiautonomous bodies may consider
With rising internet penetration and a more issuing project-based bonds against a gov-
tech-savvy population, now is the perfect ernment guarantee to create a high-quality
time to make the market fully automated by and stable source of supply.
leveraging technology.
Showcasing the strength of the country to
The following issues pertain to the future of the global investors: Bangladesh is one of only
Bangladeshi fixed-income market. a few countries with an average GDP growth
rate of at least 7% over the last decade. Also,
Dual risk-free interest rate: Retail investors are the Bangladeshi taka has been a stable cur-
not interested in government and corporate rency in comparison to peer countries’ cur-
bonds, because they can earn higher inter- rencies. New initiatives could be developed
est rates on national savings certificates. To to increase the interest of global investors.
overcome this challenge, savings certificate
rates must be aligned with market interest
rates.
Equity Market
Capitalization (USD) 2.45 Bn* 0.13 Bn* Debt Market
Capitalization (USD)
Equity Market
Cap/GDP 9%* 0.5% Domestic Debt
Market Cap/GDP
Debt Market
Equity Market Share
Volume Traded 15 Mn** — Instrument
Volume Traded
Number of Listed
Companies 7* 8* Number of
Issuers (Bonds)
* as of Dec 2020
** 2019
cash settlement agents, three security registrar weighted average of all the stocks listed on the
and transfer agents, two paying agents, and one Main Board.
bondholder representative. Some companies
The performance of the CSX since its inception
perform several of these roles concurrently.
on 18 April 2012 has been lackluster, with an
Figure 1 shows the percentage of trading by average annual return of 1.9%. Note that most
value for each of the six CSX security under- of this positive performance occurred in 2018
writers. Figure 2 shows the free float percent- and 2019. From 2012 to 2017, the annual per-
age of the companies listed on the CSX. formance of the CSX Index was negative. In
comparison, an investment in a Cambodian riel
The market’s average P/E is 16.3× (based on (KHR) time deposit would have yielded higher
2019 EPS). With a total market capitalization weighted-average returns (5.4% annually; see
of USD2,486 million (USD582 million without Figure 3).
ACLEDA Bank), the CSX is still small in terms
of size and behind schedule in terms of develop- Stock market returns have been disappointing
ment. The total market capitalization/GDP ratio for a country with an average GDP growth of
in 2019 was 9.8%, up from 2% in 2018, but still 7% per annum. Among many possible causes,
behind the ratio in neighboring countries. This one is that the listed stocks do not represent
underlines the country’s need to keep educating the economy as a whole. Indeed, four of the
about its financial systems and continue mod- six stocks are state-related quasi-utilities with
ernizing them. safe but unexciting growth prospects. Another
issue is the competition from other invest-
The CSX’s performance is represented by the ment options. Risk-averse investors can receive
CSX Index, a composite market capitalization
Cana
Securities
12%
SBI Royal
Securities
55%
25
20
15
10
0
PPWSA GTI PPAP PPSP PAS ABC
Float
5%–6% returns from time deposits. At the other have seen a strong rebound in the stock mar-
end of the spectrum, real estate offers attrac- ket. The listing of ACLEDA Bank brings more
tive prospects to investors with a greater risk exposure to the Cambodian economy at large.
appetite. The stock market sits uneasily some- More listings of interesting companies in the
where in between. The situation, however, may near future will draw yet more attention. Finally,
improve dramatically, and the past two years a correction in property prices would remind
100
80
60
CSX
40
20
0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
investors of the virtue of diversification into Previously, companies had to rely on bank loans,
such asset classes as stocks and bonds. shareholder injections, and stock issuance.
The Royal Government of Cambodia offers
bond issuers a 50% reduction on profit tax for
THE BOND MARKET three years in order to encourage participation
Corporate bonds launched in Cambodia in in the development of the capital market.
2018, when Hattha Bank Plc issued Cambodia’s
There are currently six corporate bonds listed
first-ever corporate bond. The historic transac-
on the CSX, five of which are from financial
tion was supported by the International Finance
institutions. So far, three types of bonds have
Corporation and underwritten by SBI Royal
been issued: plain bonds, foreign exchange–
Securities. Regulations allowing for corporate
linked bonds, and guaranteed bonds. All the
bond issuance, implemented in 2017 by the SECC,
bond issuances to date total the equivalent of
included the Prakas on Public Offering of Debt
roughly USD130 million. One of the most recent
Securities,1 Prakas on Corporate Governance
corporate bond issuances was that of RMA
Policy, and Prakas on Corporate Disclosure and
Cambodia, a private automotive retailer. It was
Listing Rule on the CSX. The National Bank of
the first nonfinancial institution to issue a cor-
Cambodia (NBC) issued its own prakas that
porate bond and the first bond to be guaranteed
allowed banks and financial institutions under its
by Credit Guarantee and Investment Facility,
supervision to issue both equity and debt securi-
a trust fund of the Asian Development Bank.
ties. The first bond built the issuance framework
The bond also contained an option feature,
and roadmap for the future, and within one year,
allowing the issuer and investors to transact in
two more bonds were issued by financial institu-
US dollars, but was still priced in Cambodian
tions. Owing to the absence of government bonds,
riel. This transaction offers a good roadmap for
coupon rates were negotiated between issuers
other private companies to follow.
and investors. Bond issuances by banks and finan-
cial institutions were settled in Cambodian riel to
be in line with the NBC policies of promoting the OTHER MARKETS
country’s currency. To provide currency hedging
Besides equity and fixed-income markets, the
for investors, the first long-term swap (a three-
SECC supervises the activities of several cen-
year swap) was introduced to the market dur-
tral counterparties (CCPs) that clear trades for
ing the bond issuance of PRASAC Microfinance
derivative brokers. The approved derivatives
Institution, which allowed offshore investors to
consist of foreign exchange (FX) crosses, a few
hedge their currency risk.
overseas stock indexes, and commodities.
Since the 2017 introduction of the regulations
The prakas dated 2 July 2015 defined the scope,
allowing for corporate bond issuance and with
licensing requirements, and supervision of
the first corporate bond transactions completed,
derivative trading for the main actors: CCPs,
bonds have become one of only a few financing
derivative brokers, and derivative representa-
options available for companies in Cambodia.
tives. A derivative instrument is a contract
1According to the Asian Development Bank, a “prakas” is between two parties under which the value of
a regulation issued by a minister or by the governor of the the contract is determined by the price fluctua-
National Bank of Cambodia concerning banking or finan- tion of an underlying asset.
cial issues.
The CCP’s task is to reduce counterparty opera- both of which have been promoting the capital
tional, settlement, market, legal, and default market in the media and through regularly held
risks for traders. Currently, there are five CCPs educational seminars that target both issuers
operating with 24 derivative brokers. and investors.
The aim of the SECC is to accelerate the mod- Although the capital market has seen strong
ernization of Cambodian financial markets. growth, many developments and evolutions are
Derivatives could be an important building block still needed. New financial products, such as
because they would allow hedging and increase private equity, REITs, mutual funds, and other
trading activities in the underlying assets. types of fund management firms, have been
licensed by the SECC. A prakas on depository
Presently, given that all the underlying assets are receipt is under consideration and expected to
non-Cambodian assets, the derivative markets be released soon, with input coming from a vari-
are mostly attracting individual investors who ety of relevant market participants. Tax incen-
wish to actively trade in popular instruments tives for issuers and investors have been in place
listed overseas. for many years. Government bonds are expected
to launch soon and will become a much-needed
FUTURE DEVELOPMENTS benchmark for pricing all financial instruments.
The Cambodian capital market is attracting To promote IPOs, the SECC has initiated the
attention from both domestic and offshore Excellency Program for SMEs. This program
investors because of an expected improvement aims to educate potential issuers on the pos-
in return on investment and favorable tax con- sibilities for fundraising through the capital
ditions for investing in financial instruments. market along with the requirements for doing
Offshore investors can invest directly in this so, including accountability, corporate gover-
capital market after obtaining an investor ID nance, and financial reporting. Following the
and a trading account at any securities firm, a success of the program’s first session in 2018, in
process that takes less than two weeks and can which more than 70 SMEs participated, the sec-
be done mostly online. ond session commenced in July 2020. Although
the initial program attracted a large number
Both the size and liquidity of Cambodia’s equity of participants, only a handful have pursued
market are still small compared with neighbor- IPOs. The main challenge for SMEs is the recent
ing markets. Cambodia’s strong banking indus- adoption of International Financial Reporting
try has many companies that could benefit from Standards (IFRS) in Cambodia and the require-
listing stocks on the securities exchange. Almost ment for IFRS-audited financial statements. In
all banks in Cambodia are 100% subsidiaries of the medium to long term, these SMEs will be
foreign banks, however, so dilution of owner- big contributors to the capital market and will
ship could pose challenges. Recently, there is potentially drive listings if matters related to
increasing interest from private companies, accounting standards, corporate governance,
especially small and medium-size enterprises internal control, and taxes are addressed.
(SMEs), to participate in fundraising through
the capital market. Much of the increased inter- The bond market holds great potential for fur-
est stems from the efforts of the SECC and CSX, ther growth because it is able to match the needs
of issuers with the demands of local institutional attractive option for issuers because of the high
investors. The energy, infrastructure, and real costs of funds, brought on by high coupon rates
estate sectors all have strong interest in bond demanded by the few investors that have suf-
issuance as they seek long-term funding. There ficient Cambodian riel to invest. Restructuring
is also high demand for investments with lon- the bond settlement scheme to be linked to the
ger duration from domestic institutional inves- US dollar will unlock the market’s potential and
tors, such as insurance companies, looking to is key to its future. It will also support the gov-
diversify their holdings, which so far have been ernment’s objective of mobilizing more afford-
limited to deposit accounts at local banks. In able funding for Cambodia. FX-linked bonds
the near term, greater flexibility of currency and bonds with US dollar derivatives have
denominations and structures would be help- already been issued. The market will reap signif-
ful, given that the US dollar is the main cur- icant benefits if plain US dollar bonds become
rency of both issuers and investors. Plain vanilla available, because commercial swap products
bonds in Cambodian riel may not be a very are still very new in Cambodia.
Equity Market
Capitalization (USD)* 1,506 Bn 1,797 Bn Debt Market
Capitalization (USD)*
Equity Market
Cap/GDP* 56% 67% Domestic Debt Market
Cap/GDP
Debt Market
Equity Market Share
Volume Traded (USD)** 1,282,000 Mn 2,057,000 Mn Instrument
Volume Traded (USD)**
Number of Listed Com-
panies* 5,539 ~29,000
Number of
Issuers (Bonds)
* As of March 2020
** Fiscal Year 2020 (April 2019–March 2020)
to further development of Indian businesses. A stock scandal in 1992 led to the creation of the
Consequently, World War I and World War II Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI)
made the world recognize India as a key sup- as the regulator of Indian capital markets and
plier of various commodities. But with restric- the formation of National Stock Exchange of
tions on cotton, bullion, seeds, and other India (NSE), an automated, paperless exchange,
commodities, enterprises started looking for to bring about transparency in the Indian equity
other sources of funds for their businesses. This markets. Since then, NSE has grown tremen-
trend prompted these companies to become dously, primarily because of the initial liquidity
listed on the exchanges, which led to the emer- it was able to receive from its owners—banks
gence of a few more exchanges in various parts and other financial institutions that had become
of the country to facilitate the buying and selling important institutional holders of equities dur-
of securities. ing the 1980s. Also, NSE gave cheaper and
more efficient access to small brokers across
During World War II, most of the stock the country, drawing liquidity away from other
exchanges experienced a sharp fall. In the exchanges, including BSE.
1950s, as the scrips of such major companies as
Tata Steel and Century Textiles and Industries The idea of strong corporate governance was
Ltd began fluctuating wildly, a need for regula- also prominent in the past three decades, which
tion and recognition of the exchanges emerged. led to amendments in the existing governance
When the Securities Contracts (Regulation) Act, structure and the establishment of the Naresh
1956, came into force in 1957, the BSE became Chandra Committee on Corporate Audit and
the first exchange to be recognized under the Governance by the Ministry of Corporate
act, followed by seven other exchanges. The Affairs in 2002. Ethical practices and strong
development of such financial institutions as governance form the pillars of the history of
the Life Insurance Corporation of India further Indian capital markets.
helped revive the sentiment of the public, which
had been affected by insurance fraud by owners
of private insurance agencies. In 1963, the Unit EQUITY
Trust of India, the first mutual fund in India, The India equity markets constitute around 6.5%
was established at the initiative of the govern- of the Asia-Pacific equity market capitaliza-
ment of India and the Reserve Bank of India. tion. NSE and BSE are the two most renowned
The markets followed a downward trajectory national exchanges in India. Both follow the
over the next few years as the country suffered same trading mechanism and settlement pro-
wars and droughts. cess (T+2 rolling-settlement-cycle basis) and are
regulated and governed by SEBI. The functions
The 1980s saw tremendous growth in the
of clearing and settlement for NSE and BSE are
security market in India. The introduction of
provided by NSE Clearing Limited and Indian
public sector bonds and such successful issues
Clearing Corporation Limited, respectively.
as Reliance Industries Limited and Larsen
& Toubro led to enlarged volumes in the BSE boasts more than 5,000 companies listed
secondary market, coupled with new listings on it consistently over the last 20 years. NSE has
and the establishment of new stock exchanges seen a steady increase during this period, from
across India. around 800 companies in 2002 to almost 2,000
03 3
04 4
05 5
06 6
07 7
08 8
09 9
10 0
11 1
12 2
13 3
14 4
15 5
16 6
17 7
18 8
19 9
0
20 201
20 200
20 200
20 200
20 200
20 200
20 200
20 200
20 200
20 201
20 201
20 201
20 201
20 201
20 201
20 201
20 201
20 201
02
–2
–
–
–
01
20
NSE BSE
in 2020 (see Figure 1). Although NSE has fewer years) of the total turnover (see Figure 3). Part
listed companies, its market cap has been about of this turnover comes from NSE’s fully auto-
equal to that of BSE throughout the period, with mated trading system—the National Exchange
BSE and NSE being the 10th and 11th largest for Automated Trading, or NEAT, which was
stock exchanges in the world by market capital- introduced at the beginning of the exchange’s
ization (see Figure 2). establishment—and its vast network of very
small aperture terminals, or VSATs (which
In terms of liquidity, both exchanges compete require less infrastructure to service remote
for order flow, which leads to reduced transac- locations), and leased lines spread across more
tion costs and efficiency. NSE, however, enjoys than 2,000 cities in India. This vast network and
the lion’s share (i.e., more than 90% in recent the high liquidity of NSE, along with that of
8
09 9
10 0
11 1
12 2
13 3
14 4
15 5
16 6
17 7
18 8
19 9
0
20 201
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
20 201
20 201
20 201
20 201
20 201
20 201
20 201
20 201
20 201
02
–2
–2
–2
–2
–2
–2
–2
–2
–2
–
–
–
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
BSE NSE
03 3
04 4
05 5
06 6
07 7
08 8
09 9
10 0
11 1
12 2
13 3
14 4
15 5
16 6
17 7
18 8
19 9
0
20 201
20 200
20 200
20 200
20 200
20 200
20 200
20 200
20 200
20 201
20 201
20 201
20 201
20 201
20 201
20 201
20 201
20 201
02
–2
–
–
–
01
20
BSE NSE
BSE, also paved the way for the consolidation of Intelligence Group shows that among public
15 regional exchanges in 2014. shareholders, mutual funds owned around 19%
of the stocks in the S&P BSE 500 Index as of
Each exchange introduced a new platform for September 2019, compared with around 12% in
small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in 2015 (see Table 1).1 This change can be attrib-
2012, in accordance with the rules and regula- uted to multiple factors, including an increase
tions established by SEBI, to raise funds from in financialization after the 2016 demonetiza-
the public without an initial public offering. The tion, product innovations by asset management
NSE EMERGE platform has around 200 listed companies (AMCs) in the form of systematic
SMEs, and BSE has more than 300 companies investment plans, and improved reach of chan-
listed on its SME platform. nel partners (especially direct channel, where
In terms of sectoral composition, the Indian sales happen through AMC branches and web-
capital markets have seen much change over sites) to bring smaller investors into the pool.
the past three decades. Prior to globalization, As a result, such factors have led to a recent
the composition of the BSE SENSEX was com- surge in inflows from retail investors, reducing
pletely dominated by manufacturing compa- the reliance on offshore investments.
nies, featuring 26 out of 30 companies. As the The clients of the asset management industry
services sector grew, with a number of com- are predominantly individual asset owners,
panies being nongovernment, especially in the owning more than 50% of fund assets under
finance and information technology industries, management. This fact highlights how the
the number of manufacturing companies fell by Indian market has no separation of institutional
half, to around 13 companies in 2018. asset owners and asset managers, unlike most
The mutual fund industry in India has become developed markets.
an integral part of the country’s financial
1Rajesh Mascarenhas, “Domestic Investors Grow in
landscape, seeing significant growth in the
Strength as Foreign Funds Take a Step Back,” Economic
past decade. Research conducted by the ET Times (1 November 2019).
Note: The S&P BSE 500 is a broad representation of the Indian market, consisting of the largest 500 con-
stituents by market cap.
Source: ET Intelligence Group.
The last few years have also seen consistent wake of the 2008–09 global financial crisis.
growth in the participation of retail investors Cumulative net investments have significantly
in owning equities, with the current number of increased to almost INR9 trillion (see Figure 4).
Demat accounts, or dematerialized accounts, However, foreign investors have certain owner-
growing to almost 41 million. Demat accounts ship limits when investing in Indian equities.
were introduced when the Depositories Act, The aggregate FPI limit for Indian companies
1996, was passed by SEBI to phase out share is equivalent to the sectoral limits to which
certificates and encourage holding shares in the companies belong. Securities are subse-
electronic form. Today, shares of Indian listed quently put on the RBI caution or breach list
companies can be held only in a Demat account, once the limit is reached and are monitored by
since SEBI amended provisions to disallow Indian central securities depositories, National
the transfer of securities in physical form after Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) and
March 2019. Central Depository Services Limited (CDSL).
In terms of foreign investor segments, there are
two categories—foreign portfolio investment FIXED INCOME
(FPI) and foreign direct investment (FDI). FPI
Indian fixed-income securities consist of four
is a harmonized route that came into effect in
major segments: government securities, cor-
June 2014, merging the two existing modes of
porate and public sector debt, money market
investments—foreign institutional investment
securities, and bank and corporate deposits.
(FII) and qualified foreign investment (QFI).
Government securities (G-secs) constitute the
The FPI category is governed by the Securities
largest and most liquid segment of the Indian
and Exchange Board of India (Foreign Portfolio
fixed-income market. G-secs, along with money
Investors) Regulations, 2019, and guidelines
market securities, are regulated by RBI, India’s
specified under FEMA 20 as issued by the
central bank, whereas SEBI regulates the corpo-
Reserve Bank of India (RBI). India has witnessed
rate debt market.
significant FPI growth in equity markets in the
20 1–1
20 –1
20 3–1
20 4–1
20 5–1
20 6–1
20 7–1
20 8–1
–2
9
19
Equity Debt
Source: NSDL.
The government security market includes Indian domestic fixed-income market, followed
T-bills; cash management bills (maturity less by around 20% of the market for SDLs (see
than 91 days); dated G-secs, which are issued Figure 5).
by the government of India; and state develop-
G-secs have experienced significant growth
ment loans (SDLs), which are issued by state
since the implementation of various structural
governments. Of these, dated G-secs constitute
and policy changes in 2012. They have become
the highest share, with more than 40% of the
Note: “GOI Dated” represents Government of India dated G-secs; “SDLs” represents State
Development Loans.
Source: RBI.
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
March March March March March March March March March March
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Source: SEBI.
macro-prudent or other regulatory hurdles that has also hindered the development of well-
exist for FPI. Unlike with the normal route, for- capitalized financial intermediaries, which
eign portfolio investors would have to volun- causes corporate bonds to have lower liquidity
tarily commit to retaining a required minimum and quality. As a result, retail and institutional
percentage of their investments in India for a investors have stayed away from this market.
period of their choice. Furthermore, the quotas on foreign invest-
ment make it difficult for foreign institutional
The next largest segment, the corporate bond investors to effectively participate in this mar-
market, consists of bonds issued by public sec- ket. The implementation of the Insolvency
tor undertakings and private corporations. It and Bankruptcy Code, 2016, and a few cru-
is much smaller than the government security cial amendments to RBI’s Large Exposures
market in terms of trading volume and size Framework have provided a considerable boost
(see Figure 7). Its penetration has generally to expand the market with more diverse issu-
ranged between 15% and 20% of India’s GDP. ers. However, the demand for such issues has
Around 80% of the market in corporate bonds mostly come from mutual funds and insurance
consists of AAA and AA corporate issuances, products, which represent around 42% of mar-
most of them private placements. Financial ket share, according to a report by CRISIL.2
sector companies represent around 75% of Hence, to attract new investors—including
the total issuance. This market is relatively foreign portfolio investors and banks—more
less developed compared with most develop- reforms are required, including incentives
ing countries because of the reliance of cor- for market makers to improve the liquidity of
porations on banks as the primary source of bonds in the secondary market.
working capital. In addition, public sector own-
ership of banks and RBI’s regulatory mecha-
nism have prevented the growth of corporate 2CRISIL, “CRISIL Yearbook on the Indian Debt Market
bonds. The absence of a proper reward system 2018” (24 October 2018).
traded separately on commodity exchanges, Note: Only notional turnover is considered for
such as MCX and NCDEX. But with the recent options.
merger of SEBI and the Forward Markets Sources: NSE; authors’ calculations.
Commission, SEBI has now been granted the
power to approve trading of commodity deriva-
tives on major exchanges. CHALLENGES AND
Today, NSE is the world’s largest exchange by OPPORTUNITIES
the number of contracts, notching more than The principal capital market regulator, the
6 billion contracts in 2019–2020. NSE’s index Securities and Exchange Board of India, has
options on NIFTY 50 and NIFTY Bank have a taken a series of steps to not only protect the
share of over 87% by turnover in the financial interest of investors but also foster innova-
year 2019–2020 (see Figure 8). Interest rate tion and entrepreneurship in the capital mar-
futures and commodity derivatives, in contrast, kets. Chief among them is to initiate steps to
represent a marginal portion, with shares of strengthen corporate governance in listed com-
0.1% and 0.002%, respectively. All options avail- panies by implementing the Kotak Committee
able on NSE are European style and can be exer- on Corporate Governance report. SEBI has also
cised only at expiration. initiated steps to make trading more transparent
Equity Market
Capitalization (USD) 520.98 Bn* 228.78 Bn* Debt Market
Capitalization (USD)
Domestic Equity
Market Cap/GDP 46% 20%* Domestic Debt
Market Cap/GDP
Debt Market
Equity Market Share
Volume Traded 3,562,370 Mn* 522,830 Mn** Instrument Volume
Traded (USD)
Number of Listed
Companies 668* 120** Number of
Issuers (Bonds)
* As of 2019
** Issuers of government and corporate bonds; volume based on government and corporate bonds and sukuk
include the development of digital technol- last 10 years, market capitalization increased to
ogy for the advancement of the Indonesian IDR7,265 trillion (equivalent to USD521 billion)
capital market. in 2019 from IDR2,019 trillion (equivalent to
USD214 billion) in 2009. Average daily trad-
The Indonesia Financial Services Authority ing value increased to IDR9.11 trillion (equiva-
(Otoritas Jasa Keuangan, or OJK) was estab- lent to USD653 million) per day in 2019 from
lished in 2012. The main function of OJK is to IDR4.05 trillion (equivalent to USD300 million)
promote and organize a system of regulations per day in 2009.
and supervisions that is integrated into the
overall activities of the financial services sector. The trading figures are supported by a rising
Taking over these roles from Bapepam-LK and number of listed companies. The number of
Bank Indonesia, OJK performs regulatory and listed companies on the IDX rose to 668 com-
supervisory duties over financial services activi- panies in 2019 from 398 companies at the end of
ties in banking, capital markets, and non-bank 2009. On average, IDX has listed 30 new compa-
financial industry sectors. nies per year since 2010.
In addition to the OJK, three SROs—IDX, KPEI, Over the last 10 years, USD53 billion in equity
and KSEI—provide rules and regulation for funds have been raised in Indonesia. The
their members, as shown in Figure 1. increasing trend indicates the capital market
is a prominent place for sources of capital. The
trade, service, & investment sector is the big-
INDONESIA EQUITY MARKET gest sector (25.0%), followed by infrastructure,
Equity is the main instrument in the Indonesian transportation, & utilities (13.7%) and then
capital market. As shown in Figure 2, for the properties & real estate (11.9%).
Indonesia
Financial
Bank Deposit Ministry of
Services
Indonesia Insurance Finance
Authority
Corporation
Capital
Bank Non-Bank
Market
Indonesia
Stock Exchange
Indonesia Clearing
and Guarantee
Corporation
Indonesia Central
Securities
Depository
8
6,000
6
4,000
4
2,000
2
0 0
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Source: IDX.
Market Development Before 2000, IDX had only one listing board. In
2000, to accommodate more companies, IDX
Various outreach programs have been imple-
divided the listing board into two segments: the
mented to attract issuers and investors. Some
main board (for relatively larger size companies)
of the major milestones include equity listing
and the development board. Listing require-
development, trading rules development, and
ments for the development board are less strin-
other initiatives.
gent than for the main board. Figure 3 shows
that many companies use this new board. As of
Equity Listing Development June 2020, 50.9% of listed companies were listed
Several initiatives have supported the growth on the development board.
in equity listings:
• Indonesia tax amnesty (2016)
• Creation of a second listing board (2000)
Source: IDX.
The Indonesian government issued a tax In 2014, IDX introduced a new regulation to
amnesty program in 2016 to repatriate maintain minimum floating shares and minimum
Indonesians’ foreign assets at a favorable tax shareholders as a continuous listing require-
rate. This program changed investor compo- ment. Listed companies were given two years to
sition in equity ownership. In 2015, overseas comply with this new regulation. As a result, sev-
investors held 63.79% of equity and domestic eral companies—including two large-cap com-
investors held 36.21%. In 2017, the figures were panies, Bank Cimb Niaga Tbk PT (BNGA) and
51.30% and 48.70%, respectively. Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk PT (HMSP)—
increased their floating shares by right issue, thus
• IDX Incubator (2017) bringing more liquidity in the market.
To support Indonesian start-ups, IDX estab- • Changes of lot size and tick size
lished IDX Incubator in 2017. IDX Incubator is
a facilitator to help digital-based start-ups that IDX changed lot size from 500 shares/lot to 100
want to go public in an IPO by giving access shares/lot in 2014, which made many expen-
to underwriters, supporting professionals, and sive stocks more affordable for investors. This
providing IPO preparation training. change was reflected in the substantial increase
of trading frequency from 2013 to 2014.
• Creation of “acceleration board” for small-
and medium-sized enterprises (2019) • Margin trading regulation easing and
establishment of IDX securities financing
In 2019, IDX added one more board, the accel-
eration board, to facilitate the listing of small- In 2017, IDX eased margin trading regulations.
and medium-sized enterprises. The acceleration The number of stocks that could be traded on
board has less stringent listing requirements margin jumped from 45 to 200 following the
compared with the main and development regulatory change.
boards. Given that these initiatives align with
In addition to regulation easing, IDX established
the IDX Incubator program, some of the start-
the Indonesia securities financing company to
ups from the IDX incubator are listed on the
support this initiative. IDX securities financing
acceleration board.
was established in 2016 and received its license
• Simplification of going public and listing from OJK in 2019. Because of the limited finan-
process (2019) cial institutions that accept shares as collateral
for loanable funds, IDX securities financing
In 2019, IDX and OJK integrated their listing exists as an alternative source of funding for
and public offering document submissions. This securities transactions, and it offers competitive
integration simplified the listing process. costs of funds.
Source: IDX.
The increasing bond demand has resulted from Asset-Backed Securities (ABS)
Indonesia’s improved sovereign credit rating.
Indonesian asset-backed securities mainly con-
Fitch Ratings (Fitch) gave a rating of investment
sist of mortgage-backed securities (MBS). In
grade in 2011, followed by Moody’s in 2012 and
2008, the Indonesian government established
Standard & Poor’s (S&P) in 2017. At the end of
PT Sarana Multigriya Financial (Persero) to
August 2020, the Indonesia sovereign credit rat-
promote secondary mortgage finance. The first
ing was Baa2/Stable by Moody’s, BBB/Negative
issuance of MBS took place in 2010.
by S&P, and BBB/Stable by Fitch.
There are two types of ABS:
Islamic Bonds (Sukuk) 1. Collective investment contract, in which
As a Shariah equity investment, the Indonesian ABS are issued and monitored by the invest-
bond market offers Islamic bonds (sukuk). PT ment manager and custodian bank.
Indonesia Satellite Corporation Tbk (Indosat)
2. Letter of Participation, which is allowed
issued the first listed Shariah corporate bond in
only for special companies that promote
2002, and the Indonesian government started
secondary mortgage finance and does not
issuing Islamic bonds in 2008. In Indonesia,
require an investment manager.
sukuk have been considered as alternative fund-
raising instruments. As of 2019, Indonesian In 2017, PT Mandiri Manajemen Investasi
government-issued Islamic bonds outstanding (Mandiri Investasi) issued the first ABS with an
equaled USD34.8 billion, or 17.64% compared underlying based on future cash flows (toll road
with total outstanding government bonds and revenue). Subsequently, the Indonesian govern-
Islamic bonds. Listed corporate Islamic bonds ment issued several ABS through state-owned
(sukuk) outstanding equaled USD2.6 billion, or enterprises to finance Indonesian infrastructure
6.8% compared with total outstanding corpo- development.
rate bonds and sukuk.
B. Corporate Bonds
US$ (millions)
150
100
50
0
2016 2017 2018 2019 7/2020
C. ABS
US$ (millions)
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0
2016 2017 2018 2019 7/2020
the fair market price of debt securities issued and 1 bond), the number of ETFs increased to
in Indonesia on a daily basis. IBPA’s fair mar- 14 in 2017. In 2018 and 2019, there were 10
ket prices are used by the financial industry as and 14 newly listed ETFs, respectively, as can
a reference in debt securities transactions, asset be seen in Figure 6. This trend is expected to
valuation, auctions, audit activities, and fund continue.
performance appraisal.
Strong demand for index-based funds is
one important factor behind ETF growth in
Bonds Electronic Trading Indonesia. The number of equity index funds
has increased tremendously over the past five
Platform years, and their market share increased to
To increase liquidity in the Indonesian bond 10.21% in 2019 from 1.31% in 2009.
market, given license by OJK (previously
Bapepam-LK), the Indonesia Stock Exchange Currently, Indonesia has only stock and bond
also now provides an electronic trading plat- ETFs. It does not yet have commodity-based
form to accommodate regulated OTC bond ETFs or inverse or leveraged ETFs because cur-
trading. The first phase of this initiative began in rent regulations do not allow such products to
2017 for retail government bonds only. In 2020, be listed.
IDX provided a new electronic trading platform
Other instruments that are listed in Indonesia
system for all bonds and sukuk.
are real estate investment funds and deriva-
tives products, such as options and futures. The
OTHER MARKETS volume of derivatives products transactions
is very low. Ongoing regulatory initiatives are
OR INSTRUMENTS underway to grow derivatives and other product
Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have recently markets, including the uptick rule exception for
experienced tremendous growth in Indonesia. liquidity providers to short the underlying for
Starting in 2007 with only 2 listed ETFs (1 equity, hedging purposes.
40
30
20
10
0
2007 2017 2018 2019 2020*
Equity Market
Capitalization (USD) 369.06 Bn 364.29 Bn Debt Market
Capitalization (USD)
Equity Market
Cap/GDP 114% 114% Domestic Debt
Market Cap/GDP
Debt Market
Equity Market Share
Volume Traded 617,660 Mn 158,070 Mn Instrument
Volume Traded
Number of Listed
Companies 932 75 Number of
Issuers (Bonds)
As of June 2020
1,000
800
600
400
200
10
1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008 2013 2018
on the Main Market. New listings via initial pub- The number of listed companies across the dif-
lic offerings (IPOs) happen predominantly in ferent markets in Bursa Malaysia between 1973
the LEAP Market, which caters to smaller com- and 2020 is illustrated in Figure 1. In 2009, the
panies with a shorter track record of operations. Main and Second Boards were merged into the
The first half of 2020 saw a total of seven new Main Market and the MESDAQ Market was
listings, with all the IPOs occurring in the first reformulated into the alternative ACE (Access,
three months of the year due to mid-March lock- Certainty, Efficiency) Market. The exchange
downs imposed in response to the COVID-19 was further complemented with the launch of
pandemic. The easing of these restrictions in the LEAP (Leading Entrepreneur Accelerator
late June resulted in a flurry of listing activity, Platform) Market in 2017. The Main Market is
with four IPOs in July alone. the prime market for established companies that
have met the standards in terms of quality, size,
The total market capitalization for the exchange and operations. Potential issuers aiming to list
stands at USD369.06 billion as of 30 June 2020,3 on the Main Market must demonstrate operat-
which is a drop of 9.9% in the local currency ing and profit track records coupled with mini-
compared with a year ago, mostly attributed to mum size as measured by market capitalization.
the impact of the global pandemic that occurred The Main Market also caters to listings for for-
in 2020. eign companies including secondary listings.
3USD/MYR: 4.2800 on 30 June 2020 as per BNM’s The ACE Market is a sponsor-driven market
Exchange Rate page. Data from www.sc.com.my/analytics/ designed for companies with growth prospects
equities.
*As of 30 June 2020. All other figures are as of 31 December (average for a full year) of the
indicated year.
but lacking an operating track record. Prior to The volume of trading on Bursa Malaysia dis-
3 August 2009, it was known as the MESDAQ played an upward trend over the past 10 years as
Market. Sponsors, which are typically invest- reflected in the Average Daily Value in Figure 2.
ment banks or brokerage firms, perform the role A notable exception was observed in the year
of assessing the suitability of the potential issu- 2020, when nationwide lockdown measures
ers, taking into consideration such attributes introduced to combat the pandemic resulted
as business prospects, corporate conduct, and in a huge influx of retail investors, causing an
adequacy of internal control. The ACE Market upward spike in trading activity.
also facilitates listings for foreign companies but
only for primary listings.
DEBT CAPITAL MARKETS4
Finally, the LEAP Market is an adviser-driven
market catering to emerging companies,
including small- and medium-sized enter-
Public Debt
prises looking to tap the capital markets for The Malaysian bond market started in the
fund raising. Shares listed on this market are 1970s with the government issuing Malaysian
accessible only to sophisticated investors.
4For
Hence the LEAP Market has a significantly more information on the debt markets in Malaysia,
lower secondary trading volume and liquid- see Muhammad bin Ibrahim and Adrian Wong, “The
Corporate Bond Market in Malaysia,” BIS Papers, No. 26,
ity due to the significantly smaller addressable Part 16 (February 2016): https://www.bis.org/publ/bppdf/
investor base. bispap26p.pdf. Also see Dato’ Salleh Harun, “The
Development of Debt Markets in Malaysia,” BIS Papers,
Government Securities (MGS) to meet the bank, Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM), appoints
funding needs of the country’s public sector selected banking institutions biannually as PDs
development expenditure at the time. MGS based on a set of criteria. These criteria include
also served the purpose of meeting the invest- the ability to handle large-volume transactions
ment needs of the Employees Provident Fund as measured by participation in primary auc-
(EPF), local banks, and insurance companies tions, secondary market trading volumes, and
in Malaysia. Between 1988 and 1997, however, overall risk management capabilities. The PDs
MGS issuance slowed in line with the govern- are obliged to bid for all government papers in
ment’s policy to increase the private sector’s the primary market, effectively underwriting all
contribution towards economic growth. government issuance. PDs are also required to
provide two-way price quotations for bench-
The MGS issuance calendar outlines the tim- mark securities to ensure liquidity in the sec-
ing, tenure, and issuance method (new issue/ ondary market.
re-opening), which are announced at year-
end for the following year to enhance mar-
ket transparency. The actual issuance size is Private Debt
announced a week before the issuance date. In the mid-1980s, the private sector started to
Typical issuance sizes range from MYR1 billion play an increasingly important role in the devel-
to MYR4.5 billion, depending on government opment of the Malaysian economy. During that
financing requirement. The government contin- period, the corporate sector’s primary source
uously issues 3-year, 5-year, 7-year, and 10-year of financing was bank loans. This led the gov-
MGS as benchmark (on-the-run) securities as ernment to prioritize the development of the
part of its commitment to develop and maintain corporate bond market to diversify financing
the benchmark yield curve. Benchmark securi- channels for the private sector. The Asian finan-
ties are often reopened to enlarge outstanding cial crisis that occurred in 1997–98 led the gov-
size in order to improve market liquidity. ernment to accelerate its efforts to develop the
corporate bond market as an alternative source
In addition, the government also offers the
of finance for the private sector and to reduce
Government Investment Issues (GIIs), which
funding mismatches.
is a type of Islamic security. GIIs are issued to
facilitate Islamic banks’ compliance with their Over the past 30 years, the government’s effort
statutory liquidity requirements. The issuance to develop the Malaysian bond market have
of these securities also enables banks to invest been a resounding success. The growth in the
their liquid funds in instruments that adhere to size of the bond market compared to domestic
Shariah principles, as Islamic banks cannot pur- bank credit has been significant. The other nota-
chase or trade MGS, Malaysian Treasury Bills ble achievement is the successful promotion of
(MTB), or other interest-bearing instruments. the Islamic bond market. Islamic bonds, which
comply with Shariah principles, have played a
MGS and GII issuances are conducted on a
major role in Malaysia’s capital market develop-
competitive auction basis via the principal
ment, contributing to the significant growth of
dealer (PD) system in Malaysia. The central
the country’s Islamic financial system.
No. 11 (June–July 2002): https://www.bis.org/publ/bppdf/ The Malaysian corporate debt market has
bispap11m.pdf. witnessed enormous growth, rising from
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
Dec/00 Dec/02 Dec/04 Dec/06 Dec/08 Dec/10 Dec/12 Dec/14 Dec/16 Dec/18
MYR4.1 billion in private debt securities peer-to-peer (P2P) lending Both are essentially
(PDSs) outstanding in 1989 to approximately platforms that facilitate funding for companies
MYR698 billion in 2019,5 a 170-fold increase, or ventures by raising many small individual
as illustrated in Figure 3. In addition, the amounts of money from a large number of
Malaysian corporate bond market represents people. These platforms are set up to cater to
over 50% of the country’s GDP in 2019. In stark the unique requirements of businesses, par-
contrast, corporate debt accounted for only ticularly micro, small, and medium enterprises
0.5% of the country’s GDP in 1987. (MSMEs), which traditionally have encountered
challenges in raising capital. The ECF and P2P
platforms were promoted as means to con-
ALTERNATIVE FUNDRAISING nect issuers with traditionally untapped pools
CHANNELS6 of investors through cheaper, faster, and more
convenient delivery channels. These alterna-
In 2015, the Securities Commission Malaysia tive channels also aim to meet the demands of
(SC) introduced two alternative financing underserved investors.
platforms via equity crowdfunding (ECF) and
Since the first license was awarded in 2015,
5This the number of ECF platforms has grown to 10.
total includes corporate bonds and sukuk. Data were
retrieved from “Bonds & Sukuk Market Overall Statistics,” These platforms have facilitated 106 successful
SC Malaysia website: https://www.sc.com.my/analytics/ fundraising (crowdfunding) campaigns, raising
bonds-sukuk-market. a total of MYR110.26 million via the issuance of
6All numbers are cumulative (up to 30 June 2020) since
equity (mostly in the form of preference shares)
inception and are based on data from the SC website
Crowdfunding Statistics, Securities Commission Malaysia: for 102 private limited companies.
https://www.sc.com.my/analytics/ecfp2p.
Size of ICM (MYR bil) ICM Size as Percentage of Malaysia Capital Market
The equity derivative space consists of three Among the many firsts achieved by Malaysia are
types of futures contracts (most notably the the world’s first Islamic real estate investment
KLCI Futures) and one option contract. Finally, trust (REIT), the Al-Aqar KPJ REIT (which was
the financial derivatives consist of the three- invested in six hospitals), and Khazanah’s issu-
month KLIBOR futures and MGS futures.9 ance of the world’s first exchangeable sukuk,
the Islamic equivalent of an exchangeable bond.
Despite the breadth of derivative products Both of these innovative instruments were
offered on Bursa Malaysia, equity-linked deriva- issued in 2006.
tives are still predominantly traded in the form
of warrants listed on the Bursa Malaysia Main Today, Malaysia continues to maintain its lead-
Market, including single stock warrants as well ership in the Islamic capital market (ICM), par-
as warrants with indices as the underlying. ticularly in the area of sukuk and Islamic funds.
Figure 4 shows how, as of the end of 2019, the
Islamic capital market represented 63.57% of
ISLAMIC CAPITAL MARKETS Malaysia’s capital market, with a market size of
The world’s first contemporary sukuk issu- MYR2,035.58 billion as of December 2019.10
ance originated from Malaysia in 1990. This Globally, within the domestic sukuk issuance
USD125 million sukuk was issued by Shell MDS space, the Malaysian market contributed more
(Malaysia) Sdn Bhd. Since then, the Malaysian than 50% of the total USD107.26 billion issu-
government and regulatory authorities have ance in 2019.11
continuously introduced measures to position
Malaysia as a hub for Islamic financial market
10Securities Commission Malaysia, Annual Report 2019
activities.
(December 2019): https://www.sc.com.my/resources/
publications-and-research/sc-ar2019.
9Thereare three contracts covering the 3-, 5-, and 10-year 11 IIFM Sukuk Report 2020: A Comprehensive Study of the
benchmark (on-the-run) MGS. Global Sukuk Market (9th edition), International Islamic
Within the equity markets, the market capi- Return of Retail Participation
talization of Shariah-compliant publicly listed
companies continues to account for the majority in Equity Markets
of the listed companies. In June 2020, the mar- The year 2020 witnessed a sharp increase in
ket capitalization of these Shariah-compliant retail participation in the equity markets to
companies totalled MYR1,072.92 billion as levels not seen since the mid-1990s. The ease
compared with the total market capitalization of online trading coupled with a robust flow
of MYR1,579.59 billion. of information in the age of social media have
facilitated a change in the demographics of
investors. The emergence of a younger genera-
THE ROAD AHEAD: tion of investors who are tech-savvy and less
CHALLENGES risk-averse has contributed to the increasing
risk appetite seen in the markets. However,
concern about these investors’ level of financial
Acceleration in Digitization literacy remains. There has been a significant
Efforts increase in online blogs, discussion platforms,
The COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 has affected and social media channels that focus on listed
every segment of the economy including the stocks. All these information sources are out-
capital markets. However, one positive outcome side the typical regulatory oversight, caus-
is that the ongoing digitization initiatives have ing justifiable concerns. This is not unique to
now been accelerated. Malaysia alone but also is a concern in other
countries.
In 2018, the SC launched the Brokerage Industry
Digitisation Group (BRIDGe) to improve the
competitive position of the Malaysian stock- Low-Yield Environment
broking industry. BRIDGe is a multilateral part- and Credit Concerns for
nership between the SC, Bank Negara Malaysia,
Bursa Malaysia, and industry participants. The Bond Markets
BRIDGe working group concluded in 2019 with The onset of the pandemic in 2020 triggered
recommendations to implement the following massive monetary and fiscal stimulus measures
initiatives: in most economies. Malaysia is no different,
leading to strains on the government fiscal con-
• digital client onboarding experience; dition and yields at all-time lows.
• seamless and efficient post-trade and settle- Secondary trading activity in the fixed income
ment experience; markets continues to be dominated by govern-
• e-corporate actions for greater adoption ment-guaranteed bonds and AAA rated securi-
and transparency. ties. The sheer size of issuance and outstanding
amount of these high-quality papers will ensure
that this remains the case for the foreseeable
future.
Financial Regulatory
2006
Commission (FRC) established
First corporate bond issued on
2007 international market
First IPO of Mongolian company
issued on international market 2010
London Stock Exchange
2011 cooperated with Mongolian
government to modernize
MSE introduced Millennium the MSE
IT system; Mongolian
government issued first bond 2012
on international market
Equity Market
Capitalization (USD) 0.984 Bn
Equity Market
Cap/GDP 7.3%
Equity Market Share
Volume Traded
(USD)
48.8 Mn
Number of Listed
Companies 200
Note: As of 2019
The Mongolian Stock Exchange (MSE) was there were more than 100 securities firms. This
established in 1991 to implement the privatiza- growth was associated with government plans
tion of state-owned entities in the early stages to list on the MSE a state-owned mining com-
of transition from a centrally planned economy pany, Erdenes Tavan Tolgoi JSC, that owns one
to a market economy. In the mid-1990s, a sec- of the largest coking coal deposits in the world.
ondary market was established and private The listing was cancelled, and the number of
brokerage firms started operating on the stock securities firms declined gradually to the cur-
exchange. rent level. For most companies, it is impossible
to operate profitably given the current low trad-
In April 2011, the Mongolian government ing volume on the MSE.
signed a Master Service Agreement with the
London Stock Exchange to modernize its trad-
ing system by improving the legal environment, Listed Companies
financial infrastructure, and technology. Within As of 2019, there were 200 listed companies
the scope of this agreement, the Millennium IT on the MSE, but only 8 out of the “Top 100”
operating system was introduced to the MSE in Mongolian companies are publicly listed.
2012, which brought such new capabilities as Among the listed companies, 18 companies are
remote access and high-frequency trading, but state owned, 10 have state participation, and the
it also increased operating costs of the exchange. remaining 170 are private.
One special feature of Mongolian listed com-
MARKET PARTICIPANTS panies is that most became publicly listed as a
Figure 1 shows the participants in the Mongolian result of privatizations in the early 1990s. The
capital market as of 2019. government directly distributed to all citizens
vouchers that could be converted to a certain
number of common shares in certain formerly
Securities Firms state-owned companies. Consequently, right
As of 2019, 54 securities firms licensed by the after the privatization, some 470 entities reg-
FRC operated on the MSE. Most of these firms istered as listed public companies on the MSE.
are small operations with limited staff and trad- The number has gradually decreased as the
ing activity. The number of securities firms stock exchange made efforts to delist companies
increased significantly in 2012, and at one point that did not meet the listing rules. Also, some
companies went bankrupt and some majority government’s recent second attempt to list
shareholders took their companies private. Erdenes Tavan Tolgoi JSC on the MSE and to
distribute dividends to all citizens led most
During the privatization process, a heavy stock Mongolians to open securities accounts.
concentration occurred for most companies as Although the listing has not yet taken place,
50% to 90% of a company’s common shares were most Mongolians now have a securities account.
collected by one individual or members of a In the first six months of 2020, almost 500,000
family. Over the years, this share concentration new brokerage accounts were opened, which
and poor corporate governance practice may is significant considering the total Mongolian
have had a negative impact on trading activity population is 3.3 million. In addition to local cit-
and on the general lack of public confidence in izens, 2,287 foreign individuals, 2,771 local com-
the stock market. panies, and 196 foreign companies and funds
Mongolian mining companies commonly raise have opened securities accounts in Mongolia.
capital on foreign stock exchanges because it is dif- The institutional investor base is weak in
ficult to raise large amounts of capital on the MSE. Mongolia. Although the insurance sector is
Among some 30 companies listed abroad, the growing and some insurance companies invest
majority are listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange in the local capital market, pension funds do
and the Australian Stock Exchange, with some not invest in public securities and there are no
listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, the US active mutual funds.
exchanges, and other stock exchanges.
Investors EQUITIES
The investor base on the MSE consists mostly Total market capitalization of the MSE as a
of local retail investors, who generated 96% of percentage of GDP was only 7.3% in 2019
the total trading value in 2019. The Mongolian (see Figure 2).
The main equity index on the MSE is the TOP-20 but it has decreased since then as the economic
index, a market capitalization–weighted equity situation worsened from 2014 to 2017.
index that consists of 20 leading stocks selected
The market started becoming more active
on the basis of market capitalization and trad-
in 2017 as the economic situation improved.
ing activity. Lesser-known indexes include MSE
Another reason for the recent increase in trad-
ALL, MSE-A, and MSE-B.
ing activity is that more start-ups and/or young
The TOP-20 index has fluctuated widely in the companies are listing on the MSE to raise capi-
past because of the fact that Mongolia is a small tal. This is a positive trend because these com-
economy with high dependency on commodity panies tend to be more responsible in terms of
cycles. The most recent example was in 2017, corporate governance.
when the TOP-20 index increased by 62% as the
government took drastic measures to improve
the economic situation, such as applying for an BONDS
International Monetary Fund (IMF) program. The bond market in Mongolia consists mostly
The high volatility is also linked to the market’s of government bonds (see Figure 4). The gov-
low liquidity; average daily volume of the equity ernment of Mongolia issued local currency-
market in 2019 was only USD30,000. denominated bonds regularly until 2017. The
latest government bonds had maturities of one
Equity trading volume in Mongolia is quite
to three years and coupon rates of 14%–18%.
low by world standards and also fluctu-
Given the high yield and the fact that revenue
ates in line with the economic cycle, which
from government bonds is risk-free and tax-
in turn is highly correlated with commodity
exempt, government bonds are attractive invest-
cycles (see Figure 3). Trading activity on the
ment instruments for all investors, most notably
MSE increased to USD104 million in 2012 as
commercial banks and foreign investors. Local
Mongolia was in the middle of a mining boom,
banks are the largest investors in government
100
80
60
40
20
0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020*
bonds, which they usually hold until maturity microfinance institution, with a maturity of one
resulting in low trading activity on the second- year and a coupon rate of 17%.
ary market.
Demand for alternatives to bank deposits has
Regarding corporate bonds, there have been increasing in recent years, as evidenced by
been very few issuances with much smaller an increase in the issuance of so-called “private
amounts (see Figure 5). The latest corporate bonds” (in effect, loan agreements between a
bond was issued by LendMN, a mobile-based company and private investors).
Equity Market
Capitalization (USD) 47.49 Bn 113.7 Bn Debt Market
Capitalization (USD)
Equity
Market Cap/GDP 18% 45% Domestic Debt
Market Cap/GDP
Debt Market
Equity Market Share
Volume Traded 302 Mn 940 Mn Instrument Volume
Traded (USD)
Number of Listed
Companies 530 106* Number of
Issuers (Bonds)
Formal capital market activity in Pakistan began the 1990s with a combination of privatization
with the establishment of the Karachi Stock and other measures to liberalize the economy,
Exchange (KSE) in 1947. Initially, just five com- with the encouragement of the International
panies were listed (several of which are still listed Finance Corporation. Steps included the open-
today); this number grew to 81 by 1960 and then ing of the market to international investors
to 219 by 1970. The rapid progress in the 1960s and removing constraints to the repatria-
coincided with an industrialization drive and tion of investment proceeds. This period also
high average GDP growth (6.8% per annum). coincided with the introduction of a central
Momentum was lost in the 1970s with the sepa- depository for securities and the establishment
ration of East Pakistan (now Bangladesh) and of the Securities and Exchange Commission
the introduction of nationalization policies, of Pakistan (SECP). The Central Depository
before the 1980s saw the renewed encourage- Company of Pakistan (CDC) helped facilitate a
ment of private enterprise. The formation of the shorter settlement cycle, catalyzed higher trad-
Lahore Stock Exchange (LSE) in 1970 and the ing activity, and paved the way for the introduc-
Islamabad Stock Exchange (ISE) in 1989 neatly tion of electronic trading. Despite intermittent
frames this period. A turning point occurred in periods of political volatility and poor security
conditions, the subsequent market growth and digits and recovered only in the mid-2000s.
development has been relatively rapid. From its As Pakistan once again became an attractive
launch in 1991, the benchmark KSE-100 Index investment destination, given its quickly grow-
has posted an annualized return of almost 15% ing economy, equities widely outperformed
(approximately 8% per annum in US dollars), other asset classes during 2003–2007, with mar-
and more than 500 stocks are now listed, with ket capitalization to GDP expanding to a peak
a combined market capitalization of more than of approximately 45%. Equities suffered again
USD50 billion. during the global financial crisis, but the market
capitalization to GDP in Pakistan has not fallen
Today, the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) is back into the single digits since, not even during
the sole stock exchange in the country, formed the height of the COVID-19 pandemic. In P/E
after the merger of KSE, LSE, and ISE in 2016. terms, Pakistan’s valuations have typically fluc-
A year later, in 2017, it was majority acquired by tuated between 6× and 12×, with a long-term
a consortium led by the China Financial Futures mean of approximately 9×.
Exchange, the Shanghai Stock Exchange, and the
Shenzhen Stock Exchange. These developments The next phase of stock market development
followed the demutualization that took place in might see the fruits of the structural reforms
2012, as the exchange evolved from the broker- undertaken in the past decade. Pakistan has
owned model. The operational architecture at been under democratic rule since 2008, the
PSX allows for electronic trading, clearing, and erstwhile energy deficiency has been greatly
settlement, supported by CDC and the National addressed, security conditions are the best in
Clearing Company of Pakistan Limited. This many years, and the government is making con-
includes the trading of fixed-income securities certed efforts to deliver more sustainable and
as well, issued by both the government and the inclusive economic growth. This growth can
private sector. The regulatory environment for provide a conducive environment for new list-
capital market activity in Pakistan is compa- ings, product innovation, and greater participa-
rable to that of several regional peers. This was tion from the domestic retail investor base. In
acknowledged by MSCI’s decision to once again 2020, despite the challenges posed by the coro-
upgrade Pakistan to Emerging Markets status in navirus pandemic, IPOs were oversubscribed,
2016–2017, marking a return to when Pakistan exchange-traded funds (ETFs) were launched
was formally recognized as an Emerging for the first time, and the trading regime saw
Market in 1994. the introduction of index halts and wider circuit
breakers (±7.5% for individual stocks, compared
with ±5% earlier).
EQUITIES
Buoyed by the economic liberalization of the Major Equity Indices
1990s, the market capitalization to GDP for
Pakistan’s equity market quickly moved from Pakistan’s benchmark stock index is the KSE-
the single digits in the early part of the decade 100, which replaced the KSE-50 in 1991. Several
to the mid-teens by 1998. However, Pakistan’s other indexes are available on PSX, including the
nuclear tests in 1998 sparked a chain of events KSE-30, the KSE All Share, the KMI-30, and the
that culminated in a military takeover. Market KMI All Share. The latter two indexes represent
capitalization plummeted back to the single Shariah-compliant stocks, a popular category
given that more than 95% of Pakistan’s popu- well choose to list going forward. This scenario
lation is Muslim (the country’s largest private is what appears to have happened in the steel
sector asset management company is Islamic). sector, with several steel manufacturers listing
The benchmark index, however, remains the in the previous five years.
KSE-100, which captures approximately 80% of
Of the more than 500 stocks listed on PSX,
the market capitalization of the KSE All Share
9 have a market capitalization of more than
Index. Figure 1 shows the level of the KSE-100
USD1 billion, 12 have a market capitalization
since 2000.
between USD500 million and USD1 billion, and
Because the component weights of index com- nearly 70 have a market capitalization rang-
panies are based on their free float market cap, ing from USD100 million to USD500 million.
several large listed multinational companies, The number of stocks that traded more than
such as Nestle, Colgate-Palmolive, and Philip USD0.5 million per day in 2020 stands at more
Morris, have a relatively small bearing on the than 40. As interest rates have declined sharply,
KSE-100 index. This became more the case local liquidity has significantly improved, and
after the early 2000s, when several large local fiscal year 2021 commenced with an average
banks and oil and gas exploration companies daily turnover in excess of USD110 million, up
were listed. As can be seen in Figure 2, these from USD66 million over the previous fiscal
two sectors today have a combined weight year. This improvement has come about in the
(free-float based) of approximately 40% in the absence of large leverage in the system. Direct
KSE-100. The distribution of sector weights in-house financing by brokers was a key reason
is more balanced on the KSE All Share Index, for the higher trading activity in the past but has
which incorporates the full market capitaliza- not been allowed in recent years. Eligible financ-
tion methodology, but some prominent absen- ing products such as the Margin Finance System
tees still exist. Like other emerging and frontier and the Margin Trading System are available,
markets, sectors such as technology, real estate, but their depth is minimal for now. Going for-
and retail trade are not well represented at PSX. ward, with the SECP consistently pushing bet-
As companies in these sectors take on a more ter risk management and compliance, market
formal structure and become larger, they might leverage and liquidity could improve. A natural
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
Jan/00 Jun/02 Dec/04 May/07 Nov/09 Apr/12 Oct/14 Apr/17 Sep/19
25
20
15
10
0
ls
rt
te
ls
ry
os
ls
gy
le
nk
ar
nc
io
ria
ia
ia
po
ta
na
ut
er
ap
C
at
nc
ra
er
Ba
Es
ns
st
En
io
ic
St
lth
at
su
na
du
et
a
al
un
M
Tr
er
In
ea
Fi
cr
Re
In
m
H
is
d
om
su
D
fie
on
er
si
m
er
C
&
su
iv
y
D
og
on
ol
C
c hn
Te
increase in trading activity should also occur as The next most active category is broker proprie-
the number of retail investors increases and as tary trading, followed by local mutual funds and
institutional assets under management (AUM) foreign investors. The size of the local mutual
grow, particularly for local mutual funds and fund AUM was last recorded at USD5.1 billion,
insurance companies. of which USD1.5 billion is dedicated to equi-
ties (conventional and Islamic). If interest rates
remain low and the equity market continues
Historical Turnover to perform well, mutual funds might be able to
At present, Pakistan has fewer than 275,000 attract additional flows.
central depository account holders (0.13% of
the population), compared with more than
2 million in Bangladesh (1.3% of the population) Foreign Investors in Pakistan—
and 25 million in India (2% of the population). Key Highlights
Despite what is clearly a low level of retail inves-
Foreign institutional investors have been
tor penetration, individuals contribute approxi-
active in Pakistan since the 1990s and own an
mately two-thirds of the local gross trading
estimated USD3 billion of Pakistani equities
activity in Pakistan. This is possibly due to the
(approximately 25% of the free float). No foreign
outsized influence of high-net-worth individu-
ownership limits are in place, except for a few
als and a retail base that perhaps makes up for
companies (e.g., PSX itself ). Both foreign and
its small numbers with a high activity level.
local investors have to notify ownership levels
of 10% and higher to the stock exchange, while billion) in the form of tradable T-bills and PIBs.
special permission from the central bank is These securities are primarily held by the cen-
needed to build a 5% or higher stake in a com- tral bank and financial institutions. OTC trading
mercial bank. in these instruments is active. The average daily
trading volume in government instruments
Foreign investors are treated similarly to local (conventional and Shariah compliant) was close
investors on taxation. Repatriation of invest- to USD1 billion in fiscal year 2020.
ment proceeds takes place through Special
Convertible Rupee Accounts. PSX provides a full suite of trading services
through its Bond Automated Trading System
Pakistan is part of the MSCI Emerging Markets (BATS) for corporate debt instruments (term
(EM) Index, albeit with a very small weight of finance certificates, or TFCs) and government
2 bps. Currently, three stocks are part of the debt securities. The latter have been available
standard MSCI EM Index—namely, Oil and Gas for trading on BATS since 2014, offering the
Development Company, MCB Bank, and Habib retail segment a liquid and direct platform for
Bank Limited. More than 20 stocks are part of trading in government securities. Table 1 shows
the MSCI EM Small Cap Index. Before upgrad- the secondary market trading activity in govern-
ing in 2017, Pakistan had an 8% weight in the ment securities.
MSCI Frontier Markets Index.
CDC has earmarked special participant status
A few Pakistani stocks are listed abroad through in the Pakistan Real-time Interbank Settlement
global depositary receipt issuances. Global ETFs Mechanism and Real-Time Gross Settlement
tracking Pakistan are also available. system to ensure transparency and smooth exe-
cution of system-based transactions. Investors
BONDS can also use Investor Portfolio Services (IPS)
with CDC to open IPS accounts for investment
The banking sector reforms of the 1990s saw in government securities.
the development of the bond market, with the
auctioning of short- and long-term government Similar to its equity market, Pakistan’s domestic
securities, which replaced the tap sale of gov- fixed-income market is open to foreign inves-
ernment paper. March 1991 saw the first auc- tors via Special Convertible Rupee Accounts.
tion of the six-month Treasury bill (T-bill) as Via this special window, foreign investors can
well as the Federal Investment Bond (FIB), with invest in local-currency government debt secu-
maturities of 3, 5, and 10 years. The FIB was rities and also make use of tax concessions (10%
replaced by Pakistan Investment Bonds (PIBs) compared with 30% for resident investment).
in 2000, and a yield curve started to develop Total foreign inflows in Pakistan government
with participation through competitive bids. As securities during fiscal year 2019–2020 rose
the banking sector grew, an interbank money to approximately USD3.5 billion (primarily in
market began to develop, which subsequently T-bills).
transitioned into a secondary market.
Pakistan’s corporate debt market is relatively
Today, Pakistan’s fixed-income market is domi- smaller, with total outstanding issues of approxi-
nated by government securities, with approxi- mately USD4 billion (approximately 1.5% of
mately 80% of domestic public debt (USD108 GDP) by more than 100 issuers. After the
PIBs
3 years 1,062 1,596 2,713
5 years 1,031 889 973
10 years 928 1,017 1,266
15 years 10 1 –
20 years 11 1 9
3,042 3,503 4,961
nationalization policies of the 1970s, the first cor- of benchmark rates, and high costs of issuance.
porate bond was issued in 1988 by WAPDA, the Some of these issues are structural, whereas
national power utility at that time, and not until some could improve with time. To promote the
1995 were private companies again allowed to listing of debt securities, regulatory require-
issue corporate bonds. This delayed start, among ments for operational history, credit rating, and
other factors, has meant that Pakistani corporates audited accounts (reduced from five years to
still rely mainly on bank financing for their needs. two years) have been relaxed.
The investor base in the corporate debt market Furthermore, since 1 July 2020, institutions
is primarily institutional, with low participa- have again been disallowed from investing in
tion from the retail sector. Some of the factors NSS products, which could divert funds toward
behind the small size of the corporate debt mar- the corporate bond market. Also, almost 75%
ket and limited retail participation include the of the corporate debt issuances by value are
following: (i) a low savings-to-GDP ratio (less through sukuk (see Figure 3), in sharp contrast
than 20%), (ii) crowding out due to competition to the sovereign debt market, which continues
from the government’s National Savings Scheme to be dominated by conventional instruments.
(NSS), and (iii) issues such as low liquidity, lack The success of sukuk might show the corporate
CHALLENGES, OPPORTUNITIES,
AND THE WAY FORWARD
Unlike many others, Pakistan is a market where
bond market a way to attract more institutional a negative perception continues to permeate
interest (Islamic banks cannot invest in T-bills deeply. A recent quote from Mattias Martinsson,
or PIBs) and retail participation, as has been chief investment officer and founding partner
ably demonstrated by recent successful sukuk at Tundra Fonder AB, one of the active foreign
issuances by K-Electric, Pakistan’s largest pri- institutional investors in Pakistan, aptly summa-
vate sector utility company. rizes this situation and highlights why opportu-
nities are sometimes missed in this market by
Over the years, the government has attempted to
international US-dollar-based investors:1
reduce volatility in the fixed-income market with
a structured approach to fixed-income auctions. One of the most common ques-
The acceptance ratio has been in the 28%–56% tions we get is: How come you are
range, with gradual issuance of bonds in the so positive towards Pakistan?
secondary market, and this has helped the gov-
ernment in reducing its fiscal costs. The govern- There are two reasons why we
believe this market long-term pro-
ment’s recent emphasis has been on diversifying
vides a unique opportunity within
the available fixed-income products and elongat-
the low-income and lower-middle-
ing the maturity profile of its domestic debt. In
income countries:
this regard, the government has introduced new
products, such as floating-rate bonds with 3-year, (1) Its financial infrastructure for
5-year, and 10-year maturities. The government investors in listed equity is among
has also started reissuing 15-year fixed-rate PIBs. the best in our universe. You can
choose a sector and favorite com-
On the Islamic front, the government has intro- pany within that sector, as opposed
duced five-year floating-rate sukuk, issued to investing in whatever is avail-
in the primary market along with conven- able in similar markets.
tional instruments. Moreover, the government
issued Pakistan Energy Sukuk in March 2019 1Interview: Mattias Martinsson, “DeepDive: Investing in
and March 2020 (two separate issues) via the Pakistani Equities,” 7 July 2020.
market, which has significant room to grow. develop the corporate debt market, where a
Investing in Pakistan offers access to the fifth high fiscal deficit has traditionally crowded out
largest population in the world (more than 200 the private sector. Fiscal discipline would have a
million people), which leads to strong domestic positive impact. Notably, the government’s Debt
consumption. Pakistan can attract foreign buy- Management Office has taken several steps
ing to its equities, similar to the foreign inter- recently to develop the longer end of the yield
est it has seen in its government bonds over the curve, which should have positive implications
past year. However, more needs to be done to going forward.
Launch of scripless
1997
government securities
Launch of Small Investors
Program for government
1998 bonds, which lowered the
minimum denomination from
The PSE transformed from a PHP10 million to PHP25,000
nonprofit, nonstock, member- 2001
governed organization
into a shareholder-based,
revenue-earning corporation; Incorporation of the Philippine
Government bonds were first 2003 Dealing & Exchange Corp.
listed and traded on the PSE (PDEx); Listing of the PSE on
the local stock exchange
Equity Market
Capitalization (USD) 324.5 Bn 178.4 Bn Debt Market
Capitalization (USD)
Equity
Market Cap/GDP 88% 48% Domestic Debt
Market Cap/GDP
Debt Market
Equity Market Share
Volume Traded 95,975 Mn 127,800 Mn Instrument Volume
Traded (USD)
Number of Listed
Companies 274 57 Number of
Issuers (Bonds)
17,000
16,000
15,000
14,000
13,000
12,000
11,000
10,000
Q1/14 Q1/15 Q1/16 Q1/17 Q1/18 Q1/19
Source: Bloomberg.
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Source: Bloomberg.
which is owned and managed by the Philippine in the economy and the potential for debt capi-
Dealing System Holdings Corporation (PDS), tal markets to expand. Recent regulatory efforts
together with its three subsidiaries: the have laid the groundwork for this expansion; for
Philippine Dealing & Exchange Corp. (PDEx), example, the Securities Regulation Code was
the Philippine Securities Settlement Corp. amended in 2015 to align the local bond market
(PSSC), and the Philippine Depository & Trust with global and regional best practices in terms
Corp. (PDTC). In 2008, the Securities and of an enhanced shelf registration process and
Exchange Commission (SEC) granted PDEx the longer issuance periods, among other things. The
authority to operate an over-the-counter (OTC) country has also taken part in regional partner-
market and at the same time function as a self- ships to deepen the local bond market through
regulatory organization consistent with its OTC the implementation of the ASEAN+3 Multi-
rules. PDEx was also licensed by the SEC as an Currency Bond Issuance Framework (AMBIF).
exchange under the Securities Regulation Code.
Regarding the breakdown of the Philippine bond
This allowed PDEx to open its doors as the trad-
market, of the total outstanding figure as of year-
ing platform for fixed income, where broker
end 2019, PHP5.1 trillion (USD101.5 billion) is
participants can transact with one another.
from government securities, representing 77.4%
In terms of size, the Philippine debt capital mar- of the total market. Of the total outstanding
ket stood at PHP6.6 trillion (USD131.2 billion) as government debt paper, roughly 80% is denomi-
of year-end 2019 (see Figure 3). This is equivalent nated in Philippine pesos, and the maturity
to just 34% of the country’s GDP over the same profile is a barbell, with more than 60% being
period, underscoring the overall credit health payable either less than 3 years or more than
100 60
50
80
40
60
30
40 20
20 10
0 0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
PH Government Debt Securities PH Corporate Bond Securities
Percent of Debt Capital to GDP
10 years. Meanwhile, corporate paper stood at capital market. Absent an official database,
PHP1.5 trillion (USD29.7 billion), or 22.6% of it is common knowledge in the industry that
the market, but unlike government securities, fixed-income volumes are largely attributable
60% of this figure is denominated in foreign to banks, investment houses, asset managers,
currency. and insurance companies; in short, the market
is mainly driven by institutions. Retail investor
On the new issuance side, a total of PHP1.5 tril- participation is still low because of the dearth of
lion (USD29.2 billion) of government securities options to directly access bonds and the larger
was raised in 2019, while only PHP366.6 billion amounts often required by intermediaries to
(USD7.1 billion) was raised by corporates. allow them to invest in such securities. Usually,
Although corporate bonds have increased in the participation of most individual investors
size recently, the growth is still concentrated is even limited to just short-term instruments,
around the usual issuers in the country, which such as Treasury bills.
are also the companies with the largest publicly
listed stocks. The entire outstanding corporate Foreigners are also largely absent, likely owing
bond market can be traced back to only 50+ to the high tax rates on interest income and
issuers. Clearly, the Philippine debt market is trading gains as well as poor liquidity.
heavily skewed toward government paper.
In fact, in 2019, a total of PHP5.3 trillion of fixed- CHALLENGES AND
income securities changed hands, and of this
figure, 98.7% was attributable to government OPPORTUNITIES
securities. This also is related to the structure The Philippine equity and bond markets
of market participants in the Philippine debt face numerous challenges, the most significant
of which are poor liquidity and low retail In addition, there are various initiatives to
participation. boost retail participation in both the stock and
bond markets.
For the equity market, poor liquidity is largely
a function of the limited number of listed Aside from regularly conducting free basic stock
companies. For the bond market, poor liquid- market seminars and road shows around the
ity is also a result of the absence of large foreign country, the PSE in 2009 signed a memorandum
investors and dealers, aside from having only a of agreement with the Department of Education
limited number of issues available. Nevertheless, for the integration of a capital market segment
recent developments could help boost market in the high school curriculum in the senior year
liquidity for both the equity and bond markets. economics subject.
In 2020, the PSE listed its first real estate invest- In 2013, the PSE launched its online service
ment trust (REIT) after regulators amended the bureau, which allowed several stockbrokers
implementing rules and regulations of the REIT to launch their own online trading facility by
Act earlier in the year, making it more attractive simply using the stock exchange’s online trading
for companies to list REITs. platform.
During the same year, the PSE also disclosed In 2019, the PSE launched the PSE Electronic
plans to relax listing rules by removing the Allocation System (PSE EASy) website and
PHP500 million (USD10 million) minimum mobile application, allowing investors who want
market-capitalization requirement for a com- to take part in the Local Small Investor (LSI)
pany to be listed on the main board. The PSE also tranche of an IPO to subscribe online. Prior to
plans to remove the requirement that companies the launch of PSE EASy, retail investors who
must generate a positive EBITDA in at least two wanted to subscribe to the LSI tranche of an IPO
of the last three fiscal years, reduce the required had to go to designated IPO kiosks in selected
operating history from three years to two years, malls to secure and fill out a form, bring this
and replace the PHP100 million (USD2 million) form to their stockbroker’s office for acknowl-
minimum authorized capital stock requirement edgement, and then bring the same form back
with PHP25 million (USD500,000) paid-up cap- to the kiosk to make payments. Because of
ital to qualify for listing on the SME (small and the cumbersome process, the take-up of the
medium-size enterprise) board. LSI tranche of IPOs has never exceeded 2%,
even though the LSI tranche is at least 10% of
Meanwhile, to boost liquidity for the bond mar- the offering.
ket, the Philippines has taken part in regional
partnerships to deepen the local bond market To encourage more retail participation in the
through the implementation of the ASEAN+3 bond market, the Bureau of Treasury, together
Multi-Currency Bond Issuance Framework. with a private bank, launched in July 2020 the
first mobile app in the country that allows small
The government also plans to gradually reduce investors to purchase retail Treasury bonds for
taxes on bonds, which are currently among the as low as PHP5,000 (USD100). Some online
highest in the region. The government plans to brokers have also started exploring the distri-
reduce the tax on interest income from 20% to bution of fixed-income instruments through
15% and reduce the tax on trading gains slowly their platform.
from as much as 30% to 20%.
One major development that could signifi- Nevertheless, investor participation could finally
cantly boost both market liquidity and investor pick up because PERA was recently relaunched
participation in the future is the digitization by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas, the central
of Personal Equity and Retirement Account bank, in digital form, allowing Filipinos to open
products. The Personal Equity and Retirement an account and make their contributions online.
Account (PERA) Act is an initiative that aims to The central bank has a target of at least 5 million
promote a voluntary retirement savings account of these accounts over the next five years. Aside
for working Filipinos by providing annual tax from increasing investor participation, this
incentives. Although the act was passed in 2008, development would boost demand for stocks
only a few Filipinos have participated because and bonds, leading to greater market liquidity,
of a lack of awareness and financial literacy, as to the benefit of the local capital market.
well as the difficulty of accessing this scheme
through traditional bank branches.
Equity Market
Capitalization (USD) 12.989 Bn* 1.389 Bn* Debt Market
Capitalization (USD)
Equity Market
Cap/GDP 16%* 2%* Domestic Debt
Market Cap/GDP
Debt Market
Equity Market Share
Volume Traded 4,443 Mn* 40 Mn** Instrument
Volume Traded
Number of Listed
Companies 287* – Number of
Issuers (Bonds)
* As of 31 July 2020
** Only corporate debt
(S&P SL 20). In 2009, the CSE was named the Instead, the members of such companies act as
best performing stock market in the world, with guarantors and agree to contribute a set amount
growth of 120%. of capital toward the company each year. The
SEC has been taking measures to demutualize
The activities of the exchange are driven pri- the CSE, and such measures are expected to
marily by 15 members and 14 trading members, materialize in the coming years.
who are licensed as stockbrokers for equity and
debt (three of whom work exclusively in the
debt market). The policy-making body of the GOVERNMENT SECURITIES
CSE is the board of directors (BOD), compris-
ing nine members: Five are elected by the mem- MARKET
bers, and four are appointed by the government The Public Debt Department (PDD) of the
on the recommendation of the SEC. The BOD is Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) is in charge of
responsible for appointing subcommittees and the issuance of government securities and public
delegates with the required authority to convey debt management on behalf of the government
recommendations on daily operations. The sub- treasury. Government securities are issued in
committees comprise capital issues, rules and both rupee-denominated and foreign currency–
by-laws, disciplinary and arbitration, research denominated securities. Rupee-denominated
and development, finance, and listings. securities include Treasury bills and Treasury
bonds, and foreign currency–denominated
CSE market turnover was recorded at LKR171 securities include Treasury-denominated
billion during 2019, of which LKR62 billion bonds, such as Sri Lanka Development Bonds
was attributed to foreign investors. Market (SLDB) and Sri Lanka International Sovereign
capitalization stood at LKR2,851 billion by the Bonds. Since 2007, Sri Lanka has been issu-
end of 2019 (see Figure 1). CSE is a limited-by- ing sovereign bonds. Sri Lanka has made 14
guarantee company and a mutual exchange. A international sovereign bond issues with matu-
company limited by guarantee usually refers to rity periods of 5 and 10 years, for a total of
a public company that is formed with the inten- USD15,050 million. Sovereign bonds are listed
tion to benefit the community. This type of com- on the Singapore and Berlin Stock Exchanges.
pany does not have share capital or shareholders.
Treasury bills are zero-coupon, short-term tax incentives were provided by the govern-
securities with 3-, 6-, and 12-month maturi- ment for investing in listed debt securities. Such
ties. Treasury bonds have been issued within incentives included the exemption from income
the range of 2- to 30-year maturities. Treasury and withholding taxes of interest income
bonds carry a fixed rate of interest. SLDB have received from listed debt. Such action prompted
been issued with short-term maturities of the rise in debt issues in 2013—where 28 debt
3–12 months and with longer-term maturi- issues raised LKR68 billion, representing 72% of
ties of two years, with both fixed and floating all the capital raised through the CSE that year.
interest rates. The CSE also changed the maximum tick size to
LKR10,000 in 2013 to improve liquidity among
Government securities are sold by the PDD listed debt instruments. Entities that sought a
through multiple-price competitive auctions on listing managed to raise LKR55.9 billion in 2018
the primary market. The participants of the pri- and LKR57.9 billion in 2019 through listed debt
mary auction are approved primary dealers, and instruments. In 2019, debt issues represented
currently, 15 primary dealers exist, consisting of 55% of the total capital raised through the CSE.
eight bank primary dealers and seven non-bank
primary dealers. Each primary dealer is required The listed corporate debt market in Sri Lanka
to bid for at least 10% of the value of securities began in 1997. The turnover in the corpo-
offered at the primary auction. Sri Lanka has rate debt market has witnessed a consider-
relied primarily on short-term funds for financ- able increase, from LKR75 million in 2012
ing the government’s cash flow requirements. to LKR5,677 million in 2019 (see Figure 2).
However, the corporate debt market turnover
was only approximately 3% of the stock mar-
CORPORATE BOND MARKET ket turnover in 2019. The market capitaliza-
The primary market for listed corporate debt tion of the listed corporate debt market was
became active in 2013 as a result of incentives LKR257.9 billion in July 2020, compared with
introduced for corporate debt listing by the CSE. the stock market size of LKR2,412 billion.
One such measure was the enactment of new The corporate bond market in Sri Lanka is
listing rules for corporate debt in 2013. Further, only approximately 8% of the size of the stock
market. This is mainly due to the preference of and the implementation of a risk management
entities to resort to bank-based financing for system, delivery versus payment, and central
their capital needs. Another reason is the lack counterparty. The SEC has now facilitated the
of familiarity with capital markets in Sri Lanka. introduction of a real estate investment trust
(REIT) framework, and the proposed initiative
provides real estate developers and owners the
FOREIGN INVESTMENT option to convert fully completed properties
IN THE CSE into REITs. This new product, REIT, will be the
first product introduced to the CSE after a lapse
Both the CSE and SEC aim to strongly encourage of 23 years, following the introduction of cor-
foreign investment in companies listed on the porate bonds to the capital market in Sri Lanka
CSE. Such investments are unrestricted to any in 1997.
particular entity but are subject to certain own-
ership restrictions in entities of certain indus-
tries. Foreign ownership is permitted up to 100% Equity Market
in all listed entities of the CSE, except for a cap The equity market has limited attractiveness
of 40% on plantation stocks. A 10% restriction for large-scale investments because it is small
exists for banking sector stocks for any single in size relative to the economy and regional
local or foreign accountholder or accountholders nations. The size of the market also limits diver-
acting in concert. However, with the approval of sification and growth, with many listed firms
the Monetary Board of the CBSL, ownership can having a smaller public free float that impedes
be extended up to 15%. No specific restrictions active trading.
are in place on the ownership of debt instru-
ments listed on the CSE. In terms of government Compared with regional counterparts and
securities, the threshold limit on foreign owner- emerging markets, the equity market is less
ship of Treasury bills and bonds is 5%. liquid. The lack of market making can be con-
sidered one aspect that severely limits liquid-
ity. Transaction costs on stock trades in Sri
THE WAY FORWARD Lanka are high. Too many intermediaries are
The SEC has developed a master plan for the involved in Sri Lanka’s stock market, and the
CSE. The aim of the set strategies is to develop presence of specialized brokers for different
the CSE in line with global exchanges. A few of capital market products is not economically fea-
the key challenges emphasized include enticing sible. Stockbrokers lack adequate technical skills
new listings from both the private and public required to provide investor advice on alterna-
sectors locally and attracting new global inves- tive instrument products.
tors, such as investment funds. Attention has Over the years, many suggestions have been
also been given to developing new financial made on policy initiatives and incentives to
instruments for the exchange in an effort to expand and grow the CSE. One such measure
expand the investment options available. was to encourage the listing of large, privately
With the view of expanding market operations, owned enterprises, given that most of the
consideration has been given to the develop- well-known entities, some of which are public,
ment of capital market–related infrastructure continue to remain unlisted. Other suggested
initiatives have included creating a national
policy framework for public enterprise reforms to deal in all capital market products, such as
linked to capital market development and equity, debt, mutual funds, and derivatives.
implementing such public enterprise reforms to
restructure state-owned enterprises (SOEs) to
make them profitable and financially robust. An
Government Securities Market
initial measure would be to list at least a minor- A majority of bond issues have been of short-to-
ity stake of some SOEs on the stock market. medium maturity, resulting in lower liquidity at
long maturities and higher refinancing risk. The
Capital markets can also help raise funds for secondary market trading in government bonds
infrastructure development corporations and is illiquid at longer maturities, hindering the
infrastructure development projects. One such dependability of the Treasury yield curve. The
measure included the proposal to establish the lack of an auction calendar makes auctions and
Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) Board interest rates less predictable and undermines
for listing SMEs. This proposal became a real- the auctions’ credibility.
ity in 2019. In addition, consideration can be
given to establishing listing boards for compa- Measures must be taken to establish an evenly
nies approved by the Board of Investment of Sri distributed maturity structure that spans both
Lanka (BOI). The BOI is the main institution medium-term and long-term divisions. A
entrusted to encourage and promote invest- mechanism must also be in place to develop a
ment, specifically foreign direct investment, reliable benchmark yield curve by issuing rela-
in Sri Lanka. Most entities that obtain BOI tively more benchmark securities at key points
approval receive tax concessions and are pri- along the yield curve. The CBSL must publish a
marily export-oriented industries (i.e., driven quarterly Treasury auction calendar in advance
predominantly by foreign investment). containing security type, term to maturity, cou-
pon rate, volume, announcement date, auction
Several regulatory measures are currently being date, and settlement date to provide credibility
considered to implement higher public float and predictability to auctions. Steps must also
requirements to increase liquidity. The main be taken to increase the competition in the
reason for the low public float has been that primary market by creating a more diversified
the major shareholders of local enterprises have range of investors in government securities.
preferred to retain majority shareholding and
continue to do so.
Corporate Bond Market
An important requirement is the establishment The supply of corporate debt securities is related
of a market-making mechanism to ensure a primarily to bank, finance, and insurance sec-
continuously liquid market for listed equities. tors. At present, one key concern is that the sec-
To reduce transaction costs, the introduction ondary market for listed corporate debt remains
of negotiated brokerage could be considered. highly inactive and illiquid. And a market-mak-
The design and implementation of a brokerage ing mechanism for corporate bonds is lacking.
industry consolidation plan to create a finan- Transaction costs on large debt trades are high,
cially strong and competitive brokerage industry and unlisted corporate debt (including bonds,
is also paramount. A universal brokerage model debentures, commercial paper, and promis-
can be adopted to allow market intermediaries sory notes) remains unregulated. Moreover,
stockbrokers have an insufficient level of knowl- Unlisted corporate debt includes debt instru-
edge and skills with respect to investing and ments (e.g., debentures) issued by both public
trading in debt securities. and private entities that do not trade on the debt
board of the CSE. Training must be conducted
The immediate development and implementa- to enhance the technical capacity of stockbro-
tion of policy reforms must be undertaken to kers and other market professionals on debt
increase institutional investor participation in instruments and trading, which will strengthen
the listed corporate debt market, thereby cre- the existing financial industry education and
ating a strong investor base for corporate debt. qualification framework.
In addition, conditions must be established to
make debt financing through the capital market A new government was elected to office in
more beneficial to companies than bank-based August 2020, and the foreign ownership
financing to increase debt security issuance by a restrictions just mentioned can be subject to
wider range of industries. amendment if the foreign investment policy is
modified. However, no indication of a dramatic
Measures can also be established to develop the change has been made public up to this point.
necessary framework for introducing corporate Amendments to the existing SEC Act of 1987
bond derivatives and to develop market funda- are expected to take place to attract more for-
mentals that are suitable for bond derivatives. eign investors to the CSE. In addition, the devel-
A formal market-making mechanism for listed opment of the corporate bond market, as well
debt securities should be introduced, and mea- as of the unit trust industry, is at the forefront
sures must also be taken to lower transaction of the financial instruments that come within
costs for trading debt securities and to bring the SEC’s strategic plan to attract more overseas
unlisted corporate debt under SEC regulation. investment.
Equity Market
Capitalization (USD) 471.57 Bn* 419.12 Bn** Debt Market
Capitalization (USD)
Equity
Market Cap/GDP 87%* 77%** Domestic Debt
Market Cap/GDP
Equity Market Debt Market
Share Volume
Traded (USD)
412,970 Mn** 2,830 Mn† Instrument Volume
Traded (USD)
Number of Listed
Companies 724* 199†† Number of
Issuers (Bonds)
The formation of the capital market in Thailand Alternative Investment (MAI) has been increas-
can be traced to 1963 with the registration of ing steadily during the past 10 years, from
the Bangkok Stock Exchange (BSE). The BSE, 541 companies in 2010 to 724 companies in
however, operated as an informal securities Q2 2020. The growth in size of listed companies
exchange market with little trading volume. (as measured by market capitalization) is illus-
Stock trading formally commenced in Thailand trated in Figure 2. The market capitalization of
in 1975 on the Securities Exchange of Thailand, SET and MAI has increased significantly over
which was renamed the Stock Exchange of the past 10 years, from USD270.6 billion in 2010
Thailand (SET) in 1991. As of mid-2020, SET to USD471.6 billion in Q2 2020.
ranks 25th in terms of market capitalization
among the stock exchanges around the world
and is the 11th largest stock market in the Asia- EQUITIES
Pacific region, with a market capitalization of
roughly USD471.6 billion in Q2 2020. In the Thai capital market, there is only one
securities exchange: SET Group. SET Group
As shown in Figure 1, the total number of provides a wide variety of securities exchange
companies listed on SET and the Market for services, including listing and trading, clearing
86 © 2021 CFA Institute Research Foundation. All rights reserved.
Thailand
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q2/20
Source: SETSMART.
and settlement, depository, and market supervi- trading on TBX due to inactivity and traders’
sion. SET Group operated a local bond market, lack of interest in bond trading. SET Group
the Thailand Bond Exchange (TBX), from 2003 also operates a derivatives market, the Thailand
to 1 March 2021. SET Group recently ceased Futures Exchange (TFEX), which was founded
500
400
300
200
100
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q2/20
in 2004. TFEX is an exchange for trading futures investment trusts (REITs), property funds (PFs),
and options on various underlying assets. and infrastructure funds (IFFs).
Trading activities of all derivative products
SET and MAI investors can be divided into four
traded on TFEX are supervised by SET Group.
main types: domestic institutions (such as mutual
Under SET Group, there are two equity bourses: funds, banks, insurance companies, pension
SET and MAI. The SET bourse is for estab- funds, and provident funds), proprietary trad-
lished companies with a minimum market cap ers (brokers’ own accounts), foreign investors,
of THB7.5 billion. The MAI bourse is for young and domestic individual investors. As shown in
companies and has no minimum market capital- Figure 3, from 2015 to Q3 2020, the most active
ization requirement. As of mid-2020, 555 com- investor group was domestic individual investors,
panies are listed on the SET bourse, with a total followed by foreign investors, proprietary trad-
market capitalization of THB14.41 trillion, and ers, and domestic institutions. The proportions of
169 companies are listed on the MAI bourse, baht volume traded during 2015–Q3 2020 ranged
with a total market capitalization of THB207.2 from approximately 34% to 59% for domestic
billion. Various types of equity instruments are individual investors, 22% to 41% for foreign inves-
available on the SET and MAI bourses—namely, tors, 9% to 14% for proprietary traders, and 9%
common stock, preferred stock, warrants, unit to 11% for domestic institutions. Trading activ-
trusts, non-voting depository receipts (NVDRs), ity by foreign investors during the past few years
and depository receipts (DRs). Other types of (i.e., during 2018–Q3 2020), however, accounted
instruments include derivative warrants (DWs), for a larger proportion, ranging from 36% to 41%,
exchange-traded funds (ETFs), real estate the highest level during 2015–Q3 2020.
25
20
15
10
0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q3/20
Domestic Institutions Proprietary Trading
Foreign Investors Domestic Individual Investors
Source: SETSMART.
Financials
13%
Services
27% Industrials
5%
Property and
Construction
14%
Resources
23%
Source: SETSMART.
Figure 4 illustrates the proportion of the market SET and MAI have consistently improved mar-
capitalization of eight industry groups as of Q2 ket liquidity over time, though a steady increase
2020. The four biggest industry groups in the in the number of companies listed on SET and
Thai stock market are the services industry MAI over that period could be a partial expla-
(27%), resources (23%), property and construc- nation as well.
tion (14%), and financials (13%).
There are several stock indexes on the SET and BONDS
MAI bourses, all of which are market-capital-
The main bond market in Thailand is the Thai
ization-weighted indexes. Popular stock indexes
Bond Market Association (ThaiBMA). It was
are the SET Index, the SET50 Index, and the
founded in 1994 as the Bond Dealers Club
MAI Index. The SET Index comprises all stocks
(BDC), which was restructured and renamed the
traded on the SET bourse, and the SET50 Index
Thai Bond Dealing Center (ThaiBDC) in 1998.
comprises the top 50 stocks on the SET bourse
In September 2005, with the support from the
in terms of market capitalization and trading
Thailand Securities Exchange Commission (SEC),
volume. The MAI Index comprises all stocks on
ThaiBDC was granted the license of a securities
the MAI bourse.
business related association under the Securities
Equity market activity in Thailand improved and Exchange Commission Act 1992 and named
steadily from 2015 to Q2 2020. As shown in ThaiBMA. ThaiBMA is a self-regulatory organi-
Figure 5, the average daily trading value of zation, aiming to provide fair and efficient opera-
SET and MAI was THB44.3 billion in 2015 and tion of the bond market. In addition, ThaiBMA
reached its highest level, THB68.6 billion, in aims to be an information center of Thai bond
Q2 2020. This trend reflects the fact that both data for Thai bond market participants.
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q2/20
Source: SETSMART.
Figure 6 shows the outstanding value in baht bond traded on ThaiBMA. For example, gov-
of bonds listed by ThaiBMA from 2006 to ernment bonds grew from THB1.83 trillion in
2019. The size of the Thai bond market has 2006 to THB4.97 trillion in 2019. Of the total
been growing steadily, from THB4.32 trillion in outstanding value of Thai bonds in ThaiBMA,
2006 to THB13.52 trillion in 2019—an impres- government bonds account for the highest
sive growth rate of 9.2% per year. The steady share, 37%, followed by corporate bonds (29%),
growth over time can be seen in every type of Bank of Thailand bonds (27%), and state-owned
Source: ThaiBMA.
Government Agencies
BOT, and SSO,
20%
Insurance,
27%
Other Depository FI*, 0%
Mutual Fund, 2%
Government Pension and
Provident Fund,
13%
Source: ThaiBMA.
*Shows as 0% because of rounding.
Notes: BOT = Bank of Thailand; SSO = Social Security Office. Other Depository FI = Other Depository
Financial Institutions, such as cooperatives.
enterprise bonds (6%). At just 1%, foreign bonds in the past few years. The second most liquid
are too small to be represented in the figure. bonds in ThaiBMA are government bonds, with
an average trading value of around THB20 bil-
Figure 7 shows the proportion of government lion recently. These numbers reflect the fact that
bond holdings categorized by investor type in ThaiBMA has consistently improved market
2019. Insurance firms held the largest share liquidity over time.
of government bonds outstanding, represent-
ing 27% of the total. Government agencies,
BOT, and SSO were the second largest holder, DERIVATIVES
at 20%.
Derivatives in the Thai capital market are traded
Thai bond trading activity has improved gradu- on the Thailand Futures Exchange (TFEX),
ally since 2006, as shown in Figure 8. The aver- which was founded in 2004. The main deriva-
age daily trading value of bonds in ThaiBMA was tives products traded on TFEX are futures and
about THB18 billion in 2006, reached its highest options on such assets as stock indexes, individ-
level—THB92 billion—in 2016, and stayed rela- ual stocks, bonds, interest rates, precious met-
tively flat thereafter. Bank of Thailand bonds are als, agriculture products, and exchange rates.
the most liquid, with an average daily trading There were 40 TFEX members as of January
value of around THB55 billion–THB67 billion 2020. These members are allowed to access the
Source: ThaiBMA.
“grow with efficiency: improve enterprise-wide The third strategy is to “grow with stakeholders
business management.” This strategy aims to and sustainable society: development toward
reform and revise regulations that are outdated, inclusive growth.” SET Group will continue
unclear, inconsistent, or redundant. In addition, to develop IT infrastructure to improve the
SET Group has continued to develop a central cost efficiency of all exchange-related busi-
database for economic, financial, and industrial nesses. In addition, it aims to enhance the
data, accessible by the general public. quality of the listed companies by integrating
ESG (environmental, social, and governance)
The second strategy is to “grow with new oppor- considerations into their businesses, thereby
tunities: reachout and expand businesses.” This potentially increasing the number of listed
strategy aims mainly to partner with more companies on the SET Thailand Sustainability
exchanges globally to explore opportunities to Investment (THSI) list. Lastly, SET Group is
launch new financial products. Moreover, since focused on developing its education platform
small and medium-size enterprises (SMEs) will to provide online financial knowledge to the
be a core engine driving the growth of the Thai general public.
economy in the future, SET Group will provide
an alternative, more cost-efficient fundraising
platform for those SMEs.
Equity Market
Capitalization (USD) 188.97 Bn 51.26 Bn Debt Market
Capitalization (USD)
Equity
Market Cap/GDP 73% 11% Domestic Debt
Market Cap/GDP
Debt Market
Equity Market Share
Volume Traded 140 Mn — Instrument Volume
Traded
Number of Listed
Companies 1,659 211 Number of
Issuers (Bonds)
Note: All data as of 31 December 2019
Vietnam’s capital markets have grown strongly Finance (MOF). More specifically, as Figure 2
over the past 20 years. Products and services illustrates, Vietnam is adopting a sectoral super-
are increasingly diversified to meet the grow- visory framework, in which credit institutions
ing needs of investors and other participants. are regulated by the SBV, whereas the securi-
Moreover, market institutions are more and ties market is regulated by the State Securities
more professional, providing a safe and sustain- Commission (SSC) and the insurance market
able business environment for participants. by the Insurance Supervisory Department,
both under the MOF. The National Financial
Vietnam’s financial markets consist of three Supervisory Commission coordinates the
subsectors: banking, securities, and insurance. supervisory work and provides advice to the
As shown in Figure 1, the securities sector cur- government in supervising the financial system.
rently accounts for 32% of total financial assets,
credit institutions 67%, and insurance premi-
ums approximately 1%, indicating that Vietnam OVERVIEW OF VIETNAM’S
is still a bank-based economy. However, the
capital markets are growing rapidly. CAPITAL MARKETS
The starting point for formatting capital mar-
Vietnam’s financial markets are function- kets in Vietnam was the establishment of the
ally regulated and supervised by the State SSC on 28 November 1996. Approximately four
Bank of Vietnam (SBV) and the Ministry of years later, on 28 July 2000, Vietnam’s stock
market officially came into operation with the Vietnam’s capital markets have achieved robust
establishment of the Ho Chi Minh (HCM) City growth over the past few years. The country’s
Stock Trading Center. Following that, the Hanoi overall market size jumped from less than 40%
Stock Trading Center opened in 2005. Both of GDP in 2011 to 104% of GDP as of June 2020.
centers were then upgraded to exchanges in Despite this rapid expansion, Vietnam’s stock
2007 and 2009, respectively. The Unlisted Public market is still much smaller than those in other
Companies Market (UPCoM) was founded in Asian economies. Notably, the bond market in
2009 and the financial derivatives market in 2017. Vietnam is dominated by government bonds
Source: BTRI.
because the corporate bond market is still In 2019, in the context of the country’s eco-
underdeveloped. nomic restructuring, Decision 242 on restruc-
turing the securities and insurance markets was
Given the relatively short history of the capital issued. As a result, the stock market’s institu-
markets, long-term financial products are quite tional and legal frameworks have been gradually
limited. However, the government has been established.
pushing the restructuring of the financial sector.
In the initial stage (2000–2005), Vietnam’s stock
market capitalization was only approximately
THE STOCK MARKET 1% of GDP. After the 2008–09 global financial
The stock market in Vietnam is quite young, crisis, and motivated by Vietnam’s participa-
with the HCM City Stock Trading Center estab- tion in the World Trade Organization, the stock
lished just 21 years ago in 2000 before being market started booming and attracting a large
upgraded to a stock exchange in 2007. However, number of foreign investors. The stock market
it took Vietnam approximately 10 years of prep- capitalization to GDP increased rapidly from
aration, starting with the equitization of state- 12.4% in 2008 to 72.6% in 2019 (according to
owned enterprises (SOEs) in 1992 and followed the SSC). As of 30 June 2020, the capitalization
by the establishment of the SSC in 1996. The of the stock market reached nearly VND4,000
Hanoi Stock Trading Center opened in 2005 and trillion (see Figure 3), equivalent to approxi-
was upgraded to a stock exchange in 2009. The mately 65% of GDP. The stock market has played
securities law was passed in 2006, then revised an important role in mobilizing medium-to-
twice, in 2010 and in 2019. Notably, the finan- long-term capital for economic development.
cial derivatives market was launched in 2017 to Since 2012, the volume of capital mobilized via
help diversify various stock markets in Vietnam. the stock market has increased significantly,
Source: SSC.
with an average growth rate of approximately the HCM City Stock Trading Center and the
30% per year, doubling the growth rate of capi- others on the Hanoi Stock Trading Center. Since
tal supplied by the credit institution system. By 2006, the SOE equitization wave associated
the end of 2019, the amount of capital mobi- with listing on the stock market began to thrive.
lized through the stock market had reached As of 30 June 2020, Vietnam’s stock market had
approximately VND300 trillion (approximately 1,723 stocks and fund certificates listed or regis-
USD13 billion). tered for trading, including 737 stocks and fund
certificates listed on both stock exchanges and
Despite such a high growth rate, the relative 903 registered for trading on the UPCoM. Not
size of Vietnam’s stock market (72.6% of GDP only is the number of listed stocks growing but
in 2019) is still much smaller than that of other also many new products are being introduced.
economies; for example, that of ASEAN–5 was Some examples are VN30 Index futures con-
104.56%, the world average was 93%, and those tracts, covered warrants (CWs), green bonds,
of the more developed economies of Japan and and green stocks (in an experimental stage).
Korea were 121.8% and 87.3%, respectively.
The total number of stocks listed or registered
The first trading session on the HCM City Stock for trading in 2001 was 52,000, which grew to
Trading Center took place on 28 July 2000 with 142 million in June 2020 (see Figure 4)—an
only two tickers, REE and SAM, and a total increase of 2,715 times. Even though product
capitalization of VND270 billion. By the end quantity has increased rapidly, product quality
of 2000, only five companies were listed, with a and diversification need further improvement.
total of 32.1 million shares. At the end of 2005, Among the 1,723 stocks and fund certificates
41 companies were listed, of which 32 were on listed on the market are some inefficient small
140
120 1,500
100
80 1,000
60
40 500
20
0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Jun/20
Source: SSC.
businesses with low corporate governance 1.3% of the total number of investors on the
capacity. Some products, such as investment stock market.
fund certificates, hedging instruments, options
Information technology (IT) and databases
contracts, and capital preservation investments,
have developed significantly. From a primitive
have not been provided.
IT infrastructure system, Vietnam has built a
The legal framework for market operations has relatively complete IT infrastructure, ensuring
been established in accordance with the prac- safety and security for its securities markets.
tical contexts, international experiences, and Early warning systems have been built to help
practices, helping the stock market develop improve the regulation and supervision of the
more stably. In August 2019, the International capital markets to protect investors. In par-
Finance Corporation and the SSC issued a set ticular, the information disclosure system for
of 10 corporate governance principles in accor- publicly listed companies to report and publish
dance with the best practices for publicly listed electronic information has gradually replaced
companies in Vietnam. Listed companies, espe- the paper-based one. Moreover, IT systems used
cially SOEs after equitization, will receive an for supervising market institutions such as the
annual corporate governance rating according securities company management database sys-
to those principles. tem are becoming increasingly important tools
over time. Currently, all market members report
The number of investors participating in the and publish information on the SSC’s web por-
market has rapidly increased. In 2000, there tal using an IT system.
were approximately 3,000 investment accounts,
more than 99% of which belonged to individual
investors. By June 2020, the number of invest- THE BOND MARKET
ment accounts was 2.54 million, 820 times
The government bond market officially began
higher than in 2000, of which 16,000 accounts
operations in 2009, bringing all bidding activi-
belonged to institutional investors.
ties and government bonds trading to the Hanoi
The securities assets of domestic investors Stock Exchange. Over the past 11 years, the
account for a small proportion of the stock legal system for the government bond market
market. In 2015, to attract foreign capital to has improved significantly. Furthermore, the
the market, the Vietnamese government issued government has introduced several market
Decree No. 60/2015/ND-CP, then Circular mechanisms aimed at improving the function-
No.123/2015/TT-BTC, regulating foreign ing of the domestic bond market.
investment activities in the securities markets.
First, the Vietnam State Treasury (VST) has
Accordingly, foreign ownership in Vietnamese
introduced regular auctions, with auction dates
publicly listed companies has accelerated to
announced for the entire year. Tenor selection
meet international integration commitments
has become more predictable, but tenors are
and practices. As a result, the number of for-
announced only shortly before the auction,
eign investors has grown by 15% per year since
constraining investors from planning well in
2015, higher than the 10% growth rate of invest-
advance.
ment accounts in the stock market. By the end
of June 2020, the number of foreign invest- Second, the benchmark issuance programs
ment accounts reached 33,000, accounting for implemented by the VST should help reduce
debt portfolio fragmentation. Since early 2019, In July 2019, government bond futures were
the VST has increased the target size of the officially launched, providing investors with a
benchmark bonds issuance and successfully tool to hedge risks and contributing to liquid-
achieved targets for 10- and 15-year bonds. ity and market development.
The targeted outstanding volume of the bench-
The institutional investor structure has
mark bonds, which is currently approximately
improved and become less concentrated, with
USD500 million, is expected to increase in
decreased holding by commercial banks and
the coming years to improve market liquid-
increased holding and participation by other
ity and support portfolio consolidation. As of
investors, as shown in Table 1. Specifically, the
31 December 2019, the capitalization of govern-
holding by commercial banks decreased from
ment bonds reached approximately VND1,770
84% in 2012 to 44% in 2019, while that by insur-
trillion, or 29% of GDP (see Figure 5), having
ance companies and social security agencies
increased since 31 December 2012 by 3.7 times
increased from 2% and 12% in 2012 to 7% and
and 2 times, respectively.
44% in 2019, respectively.
Before 2011, the government bond market
The government bond market liquidity has also
only had products with tenors of less than
improved, with the turnover ratio growing from
one year up to 10 years. Now it has a full
1 in 2013 to 1.2 in 2019.
range, from short-term tenors to those of
20–30 years. As illustrated in Figure 6, gov- Because of the improved primary market and
ernment bonds with a maturity of five years market size, secondary market liquidity has
or more account for approximately 70% of the also increased, with an average trading volume
total volume issued. In addition, one-lump- of approximately VND10 trillion per day in
sum and flexible-interest payment bonds are 2019 compared to VND1.67 trillion in 2013 and
available to meet investors’ diverse needs. VND6.28 trillion in 2016.
800 15
10
400
5
0 0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Market Cap Value (LHS) Market Cap (RHS)
Source: asianbondsonline.adb.org.
On the other hand, the corporate bond market, As of June 2020, the market capitalization was
despite having commenced operation in 2000, VND700 trillion, 11.4% of GDP, which was
has developed only recently, especially since more than double the 4.1% of GDP seen in 2011.
2015, and, as shown in Figure 7, has seen a The total value of corporate bonds issued during
boom since 2018, after the regulations on issu- 2018–2019 was VND570.35 trillion, a majority
ing corporate bonds were loosened (Decree (94%) of which was through private placement,
No. 163/2018/ND-CP on 12 April 2018). given the lighter regulations.
60,000 10
50,000
8
40,000
6
30,000
4
20,000
10,000 2
0 0
31/Mar/00 31/Mar/03 31/Mar/06 31/Mar/09 31/Mar/12 31/Mar/19
Source: asianbondsonline.adb.org.
The term structure has also been broadened, issuers to satisfy higher standards of informa-
ranging from one to 15 years. The most popu- tion disclosure, issue and private investor limits,
lar maturities are two, three, and five years; the and so on. The new regulations also encourage
average maturity of bonds issued in 2019 was the establishment of local credit-rating firms to
4.1 years. Most bonds pay coupons periodi- better support the growing bond market. The
cally, with floating rates based on the one-year plan to integrate the two stock exchanges into a
deposit rate of state-owned commercial banks. national one and to upgrade market infrastruc-
However, since 2019, some companies have ture will facilitate a broad-based improvement
issued bonds with high coupon rates (12%–15% in the efficiency of trading, clearing, and settle-
per annum) to attract private investors through ment mechanisms, making the securities mar-
private placements, raising concerns over risks kets more transparent and effective.
for retail investors. As a result, Decree No.
Although the bond market in Vietnam has been
81/2020/ND-CP, which was intended to make
growing quickly, it is still relatively small com-
the corporate bond market more transparent
and sound, was issued and become effective as pared to those of its regional peers.
of 1 September 2020. The secondary market
for corporate bonds is still limited and not very THE FUND MANAGEMENT
liquid. Most primary investors buy and hold the
bonds until maturity. INDUSTRY
As of June 2020, 48 fund management compa-
Starting in 2021, the bond market will be regu-
nies were operating in Vietnam, with registered
lated by the revised Securities Law 2019 and
capital of VND4 trillion (according to the SSC).
Corporate Law 2020 (both going into effect on
Total net asset value of all funds at the end of
1 January). The market will be more professional
2019 was VND32.6 trillion, an increase of 45%
to match the international practices that require
enable Vietnam to attract more foreign invest- development but also low liquidity and a lim-
ments, especially portfolios. ited product range, narrowing opportunities for
firms to raise capital and investors to invest or
Fifth, Vietnam’s economy is forecast to have hedge.
bright prospects for early recovery from the
impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and con- Second, a limited range of products and services
tinued strong growth during 2021–2030. Under also makes the market less attractive, especially
the country’s plan, the GDP annual growth rate for professional investors and foreign institu-
should be 6.5%–7%. tional investors.
Sixth, because of the trade and technological Third, the investor base is quite limited. Only
tensions between economic powers as well as approximately 3% of the population is active in
the impact of COVID-19, Vietnam is consid- the stock market; this is low compared to the
ered one of the bright spots for shifting invest- relative percentages in other countries in the
ments and production chains. Importantly, the region. Besides, most investors (more than 90%)
Vietnamese government has committed to fur- are individual, and far fewer are institutional.
ther improving the business-investment envi- Individual investors normally lack professional
ronment as an important measure to attracting knowledge, which might lead to higher volatility.
more investment (both foreign and domestic).
Fourth, policy coordination is still weak, espe-
Finally, the government has also committed cially with respect to managing systemic risks in
to continuing equitization and divestment of the financial markets. Given that the size of the
SOEs, as well as to improving corporate gov- financial system’s assets is approximately 300%
ernance, transparency, IT, and infrastructure of GDP, the country really must develop institu-
for developing the capital markets. The market tions and tools to manage such systemic risks.
is also expected to continue its strong growth
Finally, such fundamentals as institutions, high-
momentum because of the needs of recapital-
quality human resources, financial infrastruc-
izing banks and of financing SOEs and other
ture, IT, big data, transparency, and disclosure
important infrastructure projects.
need to be further improved so that Vietnam’s
However, various challenges also exist. First, securities market can be upgraded to the
the size of Vietnam’s stock and bond markets is Emerging Markets classification and develop
still small in comparison with those of its peers sustainably.
in the region. This implies a lot of potential for
Gifts of at least US$100,000 qualify donors for membership in the Named Endowment category, which
recognizes in perpetuity the commitment toward unbiased, practitioner-oriented, relevant research
that these firms and individuals have expressed through their generous support of the CFA Institute
Research Foundation.