Solar Economic
Analysis
Introduction
Although 1
is Tree, the equipment requi
resource of a solar energy system, that is, the solar irradiation,
ed to collect it and convert it to useful form (heal
‘Orelectriciiy) has a cost, Therefore, solar energy systems are generally char-
aT cost and low operating costs. To d
The cost of collectors, other required equipment, and con
‘eterized by high ini
ie to employ a
volar energy
ventional fuel required ax backup must be lower than the cost of other conven-
tional energy sources to perform the same task. Thus, the economic problem is
to compare an initial known investment with estimated future operating cost
including both the cost to run and maintain the solar energy system and auxil-
iary energy used as backup. Other factors that need to be considered include the
interest paid on money borrowed, taxes if any, insurance cost if any, and resale
of equipment at the end of its life,Since the availability of solar energy is intermittent and unpredictable. it is
erally nt cost effective to provide 100% of the energy requirements ofa the
imal system with solar energy year roune, This because, when the system s
Tes Tilly the requirements under the wort operating conditions, it willbe greatly
oversized during the rest of the year, requiring the dumping of thermal ener
whichis not cost effective, Usual
the ether way around is effective
size
‘operating conditions, usually during sumn and use auxiliary energy for
The rest of the year (0 back up the solar enengy system. The actual size is usually
decided by Following an economic analysis, as described in this chapter. The best
use of sol gy IS in conjunction wth the type and cost of the conventional
fuel used as backup, The target is to de
time,
jgn a solar energy system that operates.
at full or nearly full capacity most of the time and uses auxiliary energy for the
rest of the year, although the total percentage of annual demand covered is Tess
than 100%, It can easily be proved that such a system is much more economical
than a larger system satistying tully the thermal load year round. The auxthary
system can also cover the load in extreme weather conditions, thus increasing
the reliability of the solar energy system. The annual load factor covered by solar
energy compared to the total annual thermal load is ealled the solar fraction, F
Iti defined as the ratio of the useful sclar energy supplied to the system to the
cenergy needed to heat the water or the Fuilding space if no solar energy is use
In other words, F is a measure of the fractional energy savings relative to that
used fora
conventional energy system. This is expressed in percentage, given by
an equation similar to Eq. (11.1):
a2)
where
L_ = annual energy required by the load (GI),
Laux = annual energy required by the auxiliary (GI).Power, kW
Fower, kW
Once
LPG consumption
LPGconsumation, gs
LPG censumption, 08
building
Items
Initial expenses
Operational aad
ruining cost per
Components|
Heating system
Collector units
Hot water storage tank
Beckup heating unit
Cooling system
Absorption chiller
Cooling towe
neo units
Control and monitering
Computer hardwvere
Control software
Measurement probe
Installation and commissioning
Total
LPG.
“Overview of expenses Tor the SVAC system insalled at SERTs testing
Value (8)
28.500)
4,600
8500
30.00
114,900
240You are about to receive €500 over three years and there are (wo options. The
first is to receive €100 during year |, €150 in year two, and €250 in year thre
The second is to receive nothing in year 1, €200 in year two, and €300 in year
three, Ifthe interest rate is 8%, which option is more beneficial?
Solution
Fro Tat
12.1 ur By, (12.12) the present wonth for the vasiuus yous ae
Year 1 = 0.9259
Year 2
Year 3 = 0.7938
p.8573
‘The present worth of each option is obtained by multiplying PW,, by the
annual amount received, as shown in Table 2.2.
pw, =—-— (12.12)
a+a"
Tablei2.a Present Worth
Year [Marker dicount ate
” 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% | 15% | 20% | 25%
1 _[o9wo4 Joos | ansss [fr9279] 1.90 | 0.8029 | osean | xsas | sao
9612 | 09246 [08000 ffossts | 0826s | 7072 06944 | 06400
3 [09123 | os90 [03396 floss] o.7s13 [oss | o6s75 fos7s7 | osi20
1 [os2as fossis [0.7021 [07350 [o.ess0 | o6sss | ovis | 0.823 | 0.96
3 foses7 [oszry fo.7473 | eave [oa [0307 | 04972 | van | 0327
6 [os880 | 07903 [0.7050 | os202 [seas | 03066 | 0.4223 [osu | 02821
7 [os [0.7399 [osast | ossas [05132 [0.823 | 02759 |n270 | 0.207
s fossss [oza07 fos2v | osans [oses [02029 | 2240 fv22s | oasis
9 [ossss [o-7026 [05019 [03002 fo.zat [osu 0.1938 [0.1m
10 [0x20 | 16756 fossst | o.si2 [0 s895 [osc oasis | o.t07sTable12.2 Present Worth of Each Option in Example 1
Year) | PW, ‘Annual benett (€) Preseat worth (€)
Option 1] Option Option 1] Option 2
1 09259 100) 0 92.59 0
2 oss73 200 128.60 in46
07938 300) 198.45 238.14
Toa 500 300 fs19.69] | [ro9.00]
Therefore, it is better to receive more money sooner than more me
later.
Calculate the cost of fuel of a conventional (non-solar) e
rey system for 15
years if the total annual load is 114.9GI and the fuel rate is $17.2/GI, the m:
ket discount rate is 7%, and the fuel infation rate is 4% per yeat.
Solution
The first-year fuel cost is obtained from
Ge
fn f le = 172% 1149 = 81,975.30
(because the total ann
The 1
al Load is given, the integral is equal to 114.9GI).
1 costs in various years are shown in Table 12.4‘Table12 Fuel Costsin Various Vewrsfor Example >
Year Fact cout) | PW ot fielcost (8)
1976.30 701
2 aossas | LPS es
3 aus7s7 | 1.74889 ual
4 amso7 | 1.60897
5 3119 Lots.a2
6 2aosa7 | 1,602.20
F=ca+y
1 2soss | 158728
8 aeooss | 1813.62
’ rouro | tara
0 81289 | 142993
u 292841 1380.84
2 somaz | 13308
1B s6LI2 | 1313.00
4 s2m06s | 1276.8
Is 42231 1240.40
‘Tol PW of fuel ast S22876
An altemative method is to estimate PWF(, i, ) from Eq, (12.18)
From Eq, (12.18),
PWFUn. id) =
a
L
PWF(5, 0.04, 0.07) = ————_|
0.07 — 0.04)
1.5752
(sy
ro
Present worth of fuel cost = 1,976.3 X 11.5752 = $22,876
As can be seen, this is a much quicker method, especially if the caleula-
fand the same result is obtained but the intermediate
tious are done
values cannot be seenFind the undiscounted payback time of a solar energy sysiem that covers 63%
of an annual load of I85GI and costs €15,100. The first-year fuel cost rate is
€9,00/GI and inflates at 9% per year
Solution
Using Eq. (12.26),
Gig 5.100
neecrirme (2 100x009
FLC 063 x 185 x9)
Ind +) inl + 0.09)
= 96 years.
Example 4
A flat plate solar collector is used as a solar hot
water heater. The collector area equals 20 square
meters. The collector is located in a location with
annual average daily solar insolation equal to 5.0
kWh/square meter/day.1. Calculate the amount of solar energy
incident on this collector each day.
+ Solar Energy =
* =5.0kWh/ sq m/ day + 20 sqm
+ = 100 kWh/ day
2. Assuming that the efficiency of the solar
collector and the rest of the system equals
50%, calculate the average daily energy
produced (as hot water) by this system.
Express your answer in kWh/day.
+ Average Produced Energy/day =
+ = 100 kWh/ day + 0.50
+ =50kWh/ day3. Calculate the amount of energy produced
by this system each year. Express your
answer in kWh.
* Annual Energy Production =
+ = 50 kWh/day - 365 day/ycar
+ = 18,000 kWh / year
4. Assuming that the solar energy replaces
the heating of hot water by electric energy and
that electric energy cost 10¢/kWh, calculate
the yearly savings in electricity costs as a
result of using the solar hot water system.
Express your answer in $/year.
* Money Saved =
* = 18,000 kWh « $0.10/kWh
+ =$1,800/ year5. Suppose this solar hot water system were to
cost $5,400 (installed). Calculate the payback
period for this system
+ Payback — Cost / Savings
2 = $5,400 / $1,800 /year
=3 years