Judgement (A) Scenarios

Question 1
In four pages of a novel (about 2,000 words), how many words would you
expect to find that have the form - - - - - n - (seven letter words that have the
letter n in the sixth position)?

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Question 2
A newly hired engineer for a computer firm in the London area has four years of
experience and good all-around qualifications. When asked to estimate the
starting salary for this employee, my secretary (really knowing nothing about
the profession, industry, or London) guessed an annual salary of £100,000.
What is your estimate?

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Question 3

Imagine you receive the following advice from your physician, regarding a new
form of treatment. “This treatment has a 90% chance of saving your life.” Would
you take the treatment or not?

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