7/26/2021 Solution

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Question:
The Safety Performance functions for injury, fatal and property damage only crashes are:

For the data given below, determine:

(a) the long term average number of injury crashes per year at the site

(b) the long term average number of fatal crashes per year at the site

(c) the long term average number of property damage only crashes at the site

Data:

Answer:

Step 1 of 9
Determine the predicted number of intersection-related injury crashes per year using the
formula,

Here, AADT is the annual average daily traffic.

Substitute 7,585 t for length and 5,250 for AADT.

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Thus, the predicted number of intersection-related injury crashes per year is .

Step 2 of 9
Determine the predicted number of intersection-related fatal crashes per year using the given
formula,

Here, AADT is the annual average daily traffic.

Substitute 7,585 t for length and 5,250 for AADT.

Thus, the predicted number of intersection-related fatal crashes per year is .

Step 3 of 9
Determine the predicted number of intersection-related property damage only crashes per year
using the formula,

Here, AADT is the annual average daily traffic.

Substitute 7,585 t for length and 5,250 for AADT.

Thus, the predicted number of intersection-related fatal crashes per year is .

Step 4 of 9
Determine the weighting factor for injury crashes using the formula,

Here, k is the over-dispersion parameter and n is the number of years of observation.

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7/26/2021 Solution

Substitute 2.51 for k, 10 years for n, and 0.815 for .

Thus, the weighting factor for injury crashes is 0.235.

Step 5 of 9
Determine the weighting factor for fatal crashes using the formula,

Here, k is the over-dispersion parameter and n is the number of years of observation.

Substitute 2.51 for k, 10 years for n, and 0.015 for .

Thus, the weighting factor for fatal crashes is 0.944.

Step 6 of 9
Determine the weighting factor for property damage only crashes using the formula,

Here, k is the over-dispersion parameter and n is the number of years of observation.

Substitute 2.51 for k, 10 years for n, and 1.940 for .

Thus, the weighting factor for property damage only crashes is .

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Step 7 of 9
Determine the long-term average number of injury crashes (m) at the site using the formula,

Here, is the expected number of intersection-related injury crashes per year, is the relative
weight for this type of crash, and is the number of crashes observed over n years at a given
site.

Substitute 0.235 for, , 0.815 for , 12 for , and 10 for n.

Thus, the long-term average number of injury crashes (m) at the given site is .

Step 8 of 9
Determine the long-term average number of fatal crashes (m) at the site using the formula,

Substitute 0.015 for , 0.944 for , 12 for , and 3.0 for n.

Thus, the long-term average number of fatal crashes (m) at the given site is .

Step 9 of 9
Determine the long-term average number of property damage only (m) crashes at the site using
the formula,

Substitute 0.115 for , 1.940 for , 48 for , and 10 for n.

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7/26/2021 Solution

Thus, the long-term average number of property damage only (m) crashes at the given site is
.

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