You are on page 1of 10

WYOMING– STATEWIDE

LIKELY WYOMING GOP CONGRESSIONAL PRIMARY VOTERS


SAMPLE SIZE=300 +/-5.6%
1. AS YOU ARE AWARE, VERY FEW PEOPLE ACTUALLY VOTE IN REPUBLICAN PRIMARY ELECTIONS. THINKING AHEAD, HOW
LIKELY IS IT YOU WILL VOTE IN THE 2022 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY FOR CONGRESS? WOULD YOU SAY YOU ARE DEFINITELY
GOING TO VOTE, VERY LIKELY TO VOTE, ONLY SOMEWHAT LIKELY TO VOTE, OR NOT LIKELY TO VOTE AT ALL? IF YOU ARE NOT
GOING TO VOTE IN THE REPUBLICAN PRIMARY FOR CONGRESS, JUST SAY SO.

Total 300
DEFINITELY VOTING 87.3
LIKELY VOTING 12.7
Very Likely 11.0
Somewhat Likely 1.7
Mean 2.86

2. DO YOU APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE OF THE JOB DONALD TRUMP DID AS PRESIDENT?

Total 300
APPROVE 79.3
Strongly 63.3
Somewhat 16.0
DISAPPROVE 20.0
Somewhat 5.7
Strongly 14.3
DON'T KNOW 0.7
Net Diff. 59.3
Mean 3.29

3. DO YOU APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE OF THE JOB LIZ CHENEY IS DOING IN CONGRESS?

Total 300
APPROVE 27.7
Strongly 15.3
Somewhat 12.3
DISAPPROVE 72.3
Somewhat 8.7
Strongly 63.7
DON'T KNOW -
Net Diff. -44.7
Mean 1.79
4. NOW, I AM GOING TO READ YOU A LIST OF NAMES. WILL YOU PLEASE TELL ME IF YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR
UNFAVORABLE OPINION OF EACH PERSON? IF YOU HAVE NO OPINION OR HAVE NEVER HEARD OF THE PERSON, JUST SAY SO.

DONALD TRUMP

Total 300
FAVORABLE 77.0
Very 61.7
Somewhat 15.3
UNFAVORABLE 22.3
Somewhat 5.3
Very 17.0
NO OPINION 0.7
Net Diff. 54.7
Mean 2.99
5. OPINION: MARK GORDON

Total 300
FAVORABLE 54.0
Very 13.3
Somewhat 40.7
UNFAVORABLE 37.0
Somewhat 18.7
Very 18.3
NO OPINION 6.0
NEVER HEARD OF 3.0
Net Diff. 17.0
Mean 3.12

6. OPINION: LIZ CHENEY

Total 300
FAVORABLE 26.3
Very 13.7
Somewhat 12.7
UNFAVORABLE 72.3
Somewhat 9.7
Very 62.7
NO OPINION 0.7
NEVER HEARD OF 0.7
Net Diff. -46.0
Mean 2.04

7. OPINION: DARIN SMITH

Total 300
FAVORABLE 16.3
Very 3.7
Somewhat 12.7
UNFAVORABLE 9.0
Somewhat 3.3
Very 5.7
NO OPINION 27.3
NEVER HEARD OF 47.3
Net Diff. 7.3
Mean 3.10
8. OPINION: CHUCK GRAY

Total 300
FAVORABLE 26.7
Very 9.0
Somewhat 17.7
UNFAVORABLE 19.3
Somewhat 7.3
Very 12.0
NO OPINION 23.0
NEVER HEARD OF 31.0
Net Diff. 7.3
Mean 3.06

9. OPINION: ANTHONY BOUCHARD

Total 300
FAVORABLE 28.3
Very 9.0
Somewhat 19.3
UNFAVORABLE 26.0
Somewhat 7.7
Very 18.3
NO OPINION 21.0
NEVER HEARD OF 24.7
Net Diff. 2.3
Mean 2.91

10. OPINION: ED BURCHANAN

Total 300
FAVORABLE 22.7
Very 3.0
Somewhat 19.7
UNFAVORABLE 12.3
Somewhat 6.0
Very 6.3
NO OPINION 36.0
NEVER HEARD OF 29.0
Net Diff. 10.3
Mean 3.10

11. OPINION: BO BITEMAN

Total 300
FAVORABLE 8.7
Very 2.7
Somewhat 6.0
UNFAVORABLE 9.0
Somewhat 3.3
Very 5.7
NO OPINION 21.7
NEVER HEARD OF 60.7
Net Diff. -0.3
Mean 2.92

12. WOULD YOU VOTE TO RE-ELECT LIZ CHENEY TO CONGRESS REGARDLESS OF WHO RAN AGAINST HER?

Total 300
YES 22.7
NO/ALL OTHER RESPONSES 77.3
Net Diff. -54.7
13. IF THE REPUBLICAN PRIMARY ELECTION FOR CONGRESS WERE HELD TODAY, FOR WHOM WOULD YOU VOTE AMONG THE
FOLLOWING CANDIDATES?

Total 300
LIZ CHENEY 23.0
CHUCK GRAY 17.7
ANTHONY BOUCHARD 17.0
DARIN SMITH 7.3
ED BUCHANAN 3.0
BO BITEMAN 2.0
FIRM UNDECIDED 30.0

14. REPUBLICAN PRIMARY ELECTION FOR CONGRESS – COMBO (FIRST CHOICE + SECOND CHOICE):

Total 300
CHUCK GRAY 25.7
ANTHONY BOUCHARD 24.7
LIZ CHENEY 23.3
DARIN SMITH 18.7
ED BUCHANAN 11.3
BO BITEMAN 4.7
UNDECIDED 1 30.0
UNDECIDED 2 31.7

15. NOW, IF THE REPUBLICAN PRIMARY ELECTION FOR CONGRESS WERE HELD TODAY, FOR WHOM WOULD YOU VOTE AMONG
THE FOLLOWING CANDIDATES?

Total 300
LIZ CHENEY 22.7
CHUCK GRAY 25.0
DARIN SMITH 13.7
UNDECIDED 38.7

16. IF THE REPUBLICAN PRIMARY ELECTION FOR CONGRESS WERE HELD TODAY, WHICH ONE OF THE FOLLOWING BEST
DESCRIBES HOW YOU ARE LIKELY TO VOTE BETWEEN LIZ CHENEY AND CHUCK GRAY?

Total 300
LIZ CHENEY 23.7
Definitely 19.7
Probably 1.3
Lean 2.7
CHUCK GRAY 62.7
Definitely 45.0
Probably 13.0
Lean 4.7
UNDECIDED 13.7
Net Diff. 39.0

17. NOW, IF THE REPUBLICAN PRIMARY ELECTION FOR CONGRESS WERE HELD TODAY, FOR WHOM WOULD YOU VOTE?

Total 300
LIZ CHENEY 23.3
ANTHONY BOUCHARD 57.7
UNDECIDED 19.0
Net Diff. -34.3

18. NOW, IF THE REPUBLICAN PRIMARY ELECTION FOR CONGRESS WERE HELD TODAY, FOR WHOM WOULD YOU VOTE?

Total 300
LIZ CHENEY 22.0
DARIN SMITH 54.3
UNDECIDED 23.7
Net Diff. -32.3
19. NOW IF YOU KNEW THAT PRESIDENT TRUMP OFFICIALLY ENDORSED CHUCK GRAY FOR CONGRESS IN THE REPUBLICAN
PRIMARY FOR WHOM WOULD YOU VOTE?

Total 300
LIZ CHENEY 22.3
CHUCK GRAY 65.7
UNDECIDED 12.0
Net Diff. 43.3

20. WOULD YOU SAY LIZ CHENEY IS LIBERAL, MODERATE, OR CONSERVATIVE IN HER POLITICAL BELIEFS?

Total 300
LIBERAL 53.3
Very 31.7
Somewhat 21.7
MODERATE 13.7
CONSERVATIVE 25.7
Somewhat 10.7
Very 15.0
DK/REFUSED 7.3
Net Diff. -27.7
Mean 2.52
21. DO YOU APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE OF LIZ CHENEY’S VOTE TO IMPEACH PRESIDENT TRUMP?

Total 300
APPROVE 22.3
Strongly 18.7
Somewhat 3.7
DISAPPROVE 73.7
Somewhat 3.3
Strongly 70.3
DON'T KNOW 4.0
Net Diff. -51.3
Mean 1.69

22. LIZ CHENEY SAYS SHE HAD NO ALTERNATIVE BUT TO VOTE TO IMPEACH HIM BECAUSE HE INCITED THE MOB TO RIOT AND
TO INVADE THE CAPITOL BUILDING ON JANUARY 6TH AFTER THE ELECTION. IN VIEW OF HER ARGUMENT, DO YOU APPROVE
OR DISAPPROVE OF LIZ CHENEY’S VOTE TO IMPEACH PRESIDENT TRUMP?

Total 300
APPROVE 22.3
Strongly 19.0
Somewhat 3.3
DISAPPROVE 73.7
Somewhat 3.7
Strongly 70.0
DON'T KNOW 4.0
Net Diff. -51.3
Mean 1.70

23. PRESIDENT TRUMP’S SUPPORTERS SAY HE SPECIFICALLY TOLD THE CROWD TO GO HOME PEACEFULLY AND THAT HE DID
NOT INCITE ANYONE TO RIOT. DO YOU APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE OF LIZ CHENEY’S VOTE TO IMPEACH PRESIDENT TRUMP?

Total 300
APPROVE 22.7
Strongly 18.7
Somewhat 4.0
DISAPPROVE 74.0
Somewhat 5.0
Strongly 69.0
DON'T KNOW 3.3
Net Diff. -51.3
Mean 1.71

24. CRITICS OF LIZ CHENEY SAY THAT HER REACTION TO THE JANUARY 6TH RIOT IS RIDICULOUSLY DISPROPORTIONATE TO
WHAT REALLY HAPPENED. THEY POINT OUT THAT THE MOB WAS NOT ARMED AND DID NOT POSE A THREAT OF INSURRECTION
AS IS CLAIMED. REPORTS THAT A CAPITOL HILL POLICE OFFICER WAS KILLED ARE INCORRECT. HE DIED OF A STROKE. NO
OFFICER WAS KILLED. DO YOU APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE OF LIZ CHENEY’S VOTE TO IMPEACH PRESIDENT TRUMP?

Total 300
APPROVE 23.0
Strongly 19.7
Somewhat 3.3
DISAPPROVE 74.0
Somewhat 5.0
Strongly 69.0
DON'T KNOW 3.0
Net Diff. -51.0
Mean 1.73
25. IN ANY EVENT, PRESIDENT TRUMP HAD ALREADY LEFT OFFICE SO THE IMPEACHMENT WAS NOT NECESSARY. CRITICS OF
CHENEY SAY IT WAS A VINDICTIVE PARTISAN ATTEMPT TO TARNISH TRUMP’S LEGACY. DO YOU APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE OF
LIZ CHENEY’S VOTE TO IMPEACH PRESIDENT TRUMP?

Total 300
APPROVE 21.7
Strongly 19.0
Somewhat 2.7
DISAPPROVE 74.7
Somewhat 5.3
Strongly 69.3
DON'T KNOW 3.7
Net Diff. -53.0
Mean 1.70

26. DO YOU APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE OF LIZ CHENEY AGREEING WITH SPEAKER NANCY PELOSI’S ACTION TO BAR
REPUBLICAN MEMBERS OF CONGRESS, EXCEPT FOR LIZ CHENEY, FROM SERVING IN CONGRESS’ JANUARY 6 COMMITTEE?

Total 300
APPROVE 15.3
Strongly 11.7
Somewhat 3.7
DISAPPROVE 76.3
Somewhat 4.0
Strongly 72.3
DON'T KNOW 8.3
Net Diff. -61.0
Mean 1.51

27. THE FOLLOWING IS A STATEMENT FROM A CHUCK GRAY SUPPORTER…… “CHUCK IS STRONGLY PRO-LIFE AND STOPPED
TAXPAYER FUNDING OF ABORTION. HE PASSED A LAW REQUIRING PHOTO IDENTIFICATION TO VOTE IN WYOMING. HE GOT
WASHINGTON STATE TO BUILD A FACILITY TO SHIP OUR COAL OVERSEAS. HE STRONGLY SUPPORTED PRESIDENT TRUMP. HE
SHOULD BE OUR NEW CONGRESSMAN.”

Total 300
MORE LIKELY 57.3
Much 32.7
Somewhat 24.7
LESS LIKELY 13.7
Somewhat 1.7
Much 12.0
NO DIFFERENCE 27.0
DK/REFUSED 2.0
Net Diff. 43.7
Mean 3.66

28. NOW, IF THE REPUBLICAN PRIMARY ELECTION FOR CONGRESS WERE HELD TODAY, WHICH ONE OF THE FOLLOWING BEST
DESCRIBES HOW YOU ARE LIKELY TO VOTE BETWEEN LIZ CHENEY AND CHUCK GRAY?

Total 300
LIZ CHENEY 24.3
Definitely 21.7
Probably 0.7
Lean 2.0
CHUCK GRAY 67.0
Definitely 52.0
Probably 12.7
Lean 2.3
UNDECIDED 8.7
Net Diff. 42.7
29. WITHIN THE PAST WEEK HAVE YOU SEEN A TV AD FOR CHUCK GREY RUNNING AGAINST LIZ CHENEY THAT BEGINS WITH A
VIDEO OF PRESIDENT TRUMP AND SAYS "NO GOOD DEED GOES UNPUNISHED AND ENDS BY SAYING SHOW LIZ CHENEY THE
DOOR?

Total 300
YES 16.7
NO 80.0
DK/REFUSED 3.3
Net Diff. -63.3

30. WITH WHICH POLITICAL PARTY ARE YOU REGISTERED?

Total 300
REPUBLICAN 92.0
DEMOCRAT 1.0
INDEPENDENT/OTHER 7.0
Independent 4.0
Other 3.0
DK/REFUSED -
Net Diff. 91.0

31. IF YOU WERE TO LABEL YOURSELF, WOULD YOU SAY YOU ARE A LIBERAL, A MODERATE, OR A CONSERVATIVE IN YOUR
POLITICAL BELIEFS?

Total 300
LIBERAL 2.3
Very 0.7
Somewhat 1.7
MODERATE 20.3
CONSERVATIVE 73.3
Somewhat 22.7
Very 50.7
DK/REFUSED 4.0
Net Diff. 71.0
Mean 4.26

32. ON THE ISSUE OF ABORTION, DO YOU CONSIDER YOURSELF PRO-LIFE OR PRO-CHOICE?

Total 300
PRO-LIFE 63.3
Strongly 49.7
Somewhat 13.7
PRO-CHOICE 32.3
Somewhat 14.7
Strongly 17.7
DK/REFUSED 4.3
Net Diff. 31.0
Mean 3.00

33. WHAT IS YOUR RELIGION?

Total 300
PROTESTANT 52.7
CATHOLIC 17.7
MORMON/LDS 5.7
ATHEIST/AGNOSTIC 5.7
JEWISH 1.0
MUSLIM/ISLAMIC -
OTHER 3.7
DK/REFUSED 13.7
34. DO YOU CONSIDER YOURSELF TO BE AN EVANGELICAL OR BORN AGAIN CHRISTIAN?

Total Answering 227


YES 36.6
NO 52.0
DK/REFUSED 11.5
Net Diff. -15.4

35. WHAT IS YOUR MAIN RACIAL BACKGROUND?

Total 300
WHITE/CAUCASIAN 91.0
HISPANIC 3.0
AFRICAN AMERICAN/BLACK 2.0
NATIVE AMERICAN 1.0
ASIAN/ASIAN AMERICAN 0.3
OTHER 0.3
REFUSED 2.3

36. WHAT IS THE HIGHEST LEVEL OF FORMAL EDUCATION THAT YOU HAVE COMPLETED?

Total 300
NON-COLLEGE GRADUATE 49.7
Some Grade School -
Some High School 0.7
High School Graduate 7.7
Some College 19.0
Associates/2 Yr Degree 18.3
Technical/Voc. School 4.0
COLLEGE GRADUATE 48.3
Bachelors/4 Yr Degree 29.3
Post-Graduate Degree 19.0
REFUSED 2.0
Net Diff. -1.3

37. WHAT IS YOUR AGE? ARE YOU BETWEEN…

Total 300
18-29 3.0
30-40 10.7
41-55 22.0
56-65 23.7
66-75 24.7
OVER 75 14.0
DK/REFUSED 2.0
Mean 58.75

38. GENDER:

Total 300
MALE 50.3
FEMALE 49.7

39. INTERVIEW:

Total 300
LANDLINE PHONE 8.3
CELL PHONE 41.7
TEXT 50.0
40. MEDIA MARKETS:

Total 300
DENVER MEDIA MARKET 19.7
CASPER-RIVERTON MM 26.0
RAPID CITY MEDIA MARKET 10.3
CHEYENNE-SCOTTSBLUFF 18.0
WESTERN MEDIA MARKETS 26.0
Salt Lake City 13.3
Idaho Falls-Pocatello 3.0
Billings 9.7

41. VOTE FREQUENCY (HOUSEHOLD - PRIMARY):

Total 300
1 OF 4 27.7
2 OF 4 25.0
3 OF 4 17.7
4 OF 4 29.7
Mean 2.49

42. VOTE 2020 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY:

Total 300
YES 75.3
NO 24.7
Net Diff. 50.7

43. VOTE 2018 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY:

Total 300
YES 74.3
NO 25.7
Net Diff. 48.7

44. VOTE 2016 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY:

Total 300
YES 49.3
NO 50.7
Net Diff. -1.3

45. VOTE 2014 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY:

Total 300
YES 50.3
NO 49.7
Net Diff. 0.7

You might also like