FEDERAL URDU UNIVERSITY OF ARTS, SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY BBA 3" Semester, Examination 2020 Maximum Marks: 60, Date: 2-10-2020 Instructions: @ (iv) (v) (vi) (vii) (viii (ix) Statistical Inferences ‘Time: 3 Hours Submission time till 9:00 p.m Attempt all case studies. All case studies carry equal marks. You can download question paper from Google class. https: 2h67) You have to submit your answer sheet on Google class. Only hand written format will be accepted, You have to take the pictures of yours solved paper in proper order and then convert them into single pdf file. Each student should mention his/her name, seat number, roll number, section on each page. Only paf file will be accepted and paper must be submitted at Google class. No other medium is allowed for paper submission. No query regarding case studies will be entertained. It is an ‘open book paper; you have to explore the things yourself. Wish you Good Luck!How Reliable Is That Poll? CBS News: How and Where America Eats ‘Wen Ameria ett ot starts, mast chose Ameria Ihhonerer se rSovcan Chine an an ny fron chon ites se UniedSines naveen'cas ve CASE ON phone taney Wes und hr 399 of fnles ae opter Fraps ceck slg estan the 40 of fac ws repre ening topetenghs «week nan exer suey by CBS. Most Americans, Pommnenan wns dbsomeut eco he meso coke ato spt tate ae where we uma aber of venga pool eed permet yma end won, Women 2 How often Americans eat uta restaurant is lgly a function of income, “While most houscholdseaming over $50,000 got restaurant food or dinner atleast once inthe last, week, 75% of those caming under 15,000 did not do so at all” incor None 1-SNighs For Nore Nights Undersiso0 5 % : sts-saaaco se 2 3 Sso-ssaaen Ey 3s 2 Ovessomm0 31 a 5 out abet and high calories sociated with urpers hin by schedules n spite ofall the negative publi and res, many Amerians contin ty et fst od ose tie ies ge OE Es Ee Witness 3 » 16 5 Fast Food Wags a 23. a Fifty thre percent of ailies with id at fast fod at east once last week, compared with 441% of fais without kit Furthermore, 54% of men ate fod at easton lst eck, ‘compared with only 37% of women. “The description ofthe survey methods tht gave ise to this data was tated as fellows “This poll was conducted amang a nationwide random sample of 936 adults lmeriewed by elephone. The error due to sapling for ress based onthe entre sample cold be pluc or ins thee percentage points 1. Verify the margin of ero of =3 percentage points tte forthe sample ot = 936 adults Suppose that the sample contained an equal nmber of men and women or 468 men and 468 women. What s the marin of ero for men and fr women? Do the numters in the tables indicat the numberof peopeailies nthe categories? Ifo, what do those numbers represen? 3. 4 Construct 295% confidence intra forthe proportion of Americans who ae together seven nights a week, Construct. 95% confidence interval forthe dtfereace in the proportion of women and men who personally cook at eas 4+ meals por week. «. Constst a 95% confidence interval forte proportion of Americans who ea out at restaurants at leat once a week 4, If these questions were asked toy, would you expect the responses 19 be similar to ‘those reported here oF would you expect them to dle siniicacly?‘An Aspitin a Day ...? case Two (OnWednesday-Janoary 27, 1988. the rot page ofthe New Yok Times ead, “Heart attack risk found to be cut by taking asprin: Lifesaving eects seen” A very large study of US. physicians show that a single aypirn table taken every ater day eed by one-half the isk of heart attack in men. Tne day lates, a headline i the ines ea, “Valve of daly aspirin disputed in Bish sty of hear tacks” How could wo seemingly sitilar studies, both involving doctors as participant, reach such oppnite conclusions? “The US. physician’ heath stay consisted of wo randomize cna alsin one. The fis ested the hypothois hat 325 lira (mg) of aspirin taken every other day ree roriality from cardiovascular disease. The second tested whether 80 mg of Becaroene en on allerate days decreases the incidence of cancer. From names onan American “Medical Assocation compute tape, 261,248 male physicians between the az of 40 and {4 wer ined to participate in he il OF those who responded, 59.285 were willing a parispat. After he exlision of those physicians who hada histor of medical disorders, fr who were curently taking asprin or ha negative reactions taspirn 22.071 physicians ‘were randomized into one of four Weatent groups: (I) hufeed aspirin and eaotene, (2) buffered aspirin and G-caotene olaccho. (3) aspirin nlacebo and G-caotene. and (4) aspirin placebo and B-carotene placebo. Thus, half wow assigned to rocove aspitin and halt receive B-eartene ‘The study was conducted asa double-blind study in which neither the participants nor te investigators responsible for following the parcipants knew to which group a parii- ‘ant belonged. The results ofthe American study conceming myocardial infarctions (he ‘eehnical name for heart atacks) are given inthe Following table Tariean Susy Tapia (n= 1.037) Peebo = 1150) ‘yoenlintecon etal 5 8 Nona a m Te io 109 ‘The objective ofthe Btsh study was to determine whether SO0 mg of aspirin taken daily would reduce the incidence of and morality from cardiovascular disease. In 1978 all male physicians inthe United Kingdom wore ivited to participate. Ale he usual exclusions, 5130 doctors were atom allocated to take aspirin unless some problem developed and ‘one-third were randomly allocate to avoid aspirin. Placebo tablets were not use, 0 the Study was not blind! The results of the British study are given hee, rah Sy ‘epinin = 3429) Contain = 1710) iiyocralintreion otal sours) 7496) Nona 01425) 103) Tot) ——~C« ‘Toaccount for unequal sample sizes, the British shy reported rates per 10,000 subjet- years alive (given in parentheses) 1. Test whether the American study docs in fact indicate that the rte of heart attacks for physicians taking 325 mg of aspirin every oter day is significantly fferent from the fate for those on the placebo. the American claim justified? Repeat the analysis using the data from the British study in which one group took 500 mg of aspirin every day and the contol group took none, Based on their das the iih claim justitiod? 5. Can you thnk of some possible easons why the results ofthese two studies, which were lik in some respects, produced sich diferent conelusions?School Accountability—Are We Doing Better? The school accountability movement has relied in large parton standardized tet scores w evaluate su- Cage Three dents, schools, teachers, principals, and distrits. It started under the No Child Left Behind Act, which went nto eect in 2002 under President George W. Bush and continues today. A 2017 school accountability progress report forthe state of Florida can be fund on the Florida Department of Education homepage" The data that follow are the 2016 and 2017 achievement scores at the end of the course for grades 4-8 and 9-12 for Algebra I based on a random sample of districts from the 67 county districts. 5 selected Grade: Grade 9-12 District 2016 —-2017,~=S—«2016-—=—«2017 Bay 95 93 49 51 Broward 31 92 a2 49 Charlotte 94 95 “4 45 Collier 95, 91 4B 51 Flagler 89 95 4a 55 Hendry 57 78 24 20 Holmes 73 78 29 29 Lafayette 85 n 29 a Marion 93 94 33 39 Monroe 31 98 36 69 Orange 82 83 2 7 Osceola 33 87 35 31 St Johns 98 99 6 66 Taylor 75 79 18 m4 Washington 94 88 28 31 1. Suppose that you wish to test for significant improvement in scores from 2016 to 2017 for each of the groups Grade 4-8 and Grade 9-12. Conduct the appropriate tests using a =.05. 2. Find 95% lower bounds for the mean increases in scores from 2016 to 2017. 3. Summarize your results on the progress of students from 2016 to 2017 in the form of a report,Who Is the Primary Breadwinner inYour Family? How have te roles of working women changed in Ameren? How many ofthe Job in Americ are held by Gime? How ha adverssing tfoeined ni to intuence ne C@S@ FOur 3 of women who athe pinay breadinsinbei {amity Te est munbers pat womens sare of he 130.2 tilen ein Americas. Nye Fie namie he rol working women IMherohte oper nck -Te Rey of he Weking omar Hr tn he ewe Tuer Beynd Consumption" The arma tht follows wae fom Ine sty of 1136 men and 795 women conde by JWT and Aetna and Sone nf paper ‘Wim ale sth ouseold eaves 10 men an 10 omen sgn asta Spouse or You ____Signiantther__About qua Jeu During the recent recension, 82% of pink slips went to men, refeting men's dominance inseetor like constuction and mamufctiring. Anaites ig thee re sed in the ‘next table or 100 men and 100 women, Moa Anny Finances Ovtof Work Farly Relationship Heath Total ‘When asked hey had wouble “Sepang my work ie fom my personal is, and vice versa" n=300 women respondents had disparity by generations, as given i he next table Wiens Gena Boomers Taos SSSCtSSSCts The image ofa working woman is nothing new in entertainment, but fo the mos pa. many see the workplace asa mans word. Ia gendee-blanced workforce a mth? The survey revealed thal men and women appa to bein ageementon this ine Sethe table that falls, ‘Wontpice ah Yer Tod Wen s a 190 1. le there significant difeenc inthe propaions of men and women wha identity thmseives as the pznary eadinner inthe amily? Use a =, Is there a significant ference betwen mon an women with respec to which fact Tves produce the most anxiety daring the recent exami dwn? Use 4. Does the pronation of women fom etch ofthe Mill, Got X, of Boome gnera- ions fer in ther ability to spare he werk ives fom their personal ives? Use an 05. ‘Are men and women in agreement about a genderhalanced workplace? Use a= 05, Summarize the resus of pats If ws writen report of you aig