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Digital disruption: a discussion guide for incumbents

The
Detectable Clear Inevitable New normal
disruption Faint signals with lots of noise Emergence of a validated
business model
Critical mass of adoption
achieved
At scale and mature

is...

What drives the economics of my Can I do anything to halt or delay the Do any of my new ventures give me a What is a realistic aspiration in the
business model, and could current disruption? base from which to compete in the new industry context?
technologies challenge it? new model? Can I get one?
What is the baseline trajectory of my Is my business capable of continual
Are there new business models that business if I stay on the current path? Do I understand the radical changes self-disruption?

t i ons
s
can better match the needs of at least required to create a new economic

qu e some of my customers?
How important is pre-emptive action?
Do I really have time to wait?
engine?
Is an exit the best option?

Can I be a winner in the new business What do I do with the old core: Keep
What options and capabilities should I
models? What would that take? running it for cash, radically transform
build now? How close should they be
it, downsize or exit?
to the core business?
How can I make the case for
How can I rally support within the
aggressively shifting resources?
organization?

Acuity Action Acceleration Adaptation

Gather sharp and privileged insight to Develop a pipeline of new initiatives Shift resources (including management Develop talent and capabilities
work through the noise with stage-gated investment focus) from core business to double required to compete in the new model
approach, to create options and build down on new ventures
Challenge your own story Structurally realign the cost base to
capabilities
Build a coalition of believers to change match the new profit pools
View your business through a potential
actio
Expose the core business to competi- mindsets across the organization
disrupter’s lens Evaluate ‘best owner’ scenarios
ns tion with the new ventures

If needed, begin transformation of the


core business

Myopia Pain avoidance Inertia Fit


Overconfidence Reluctance to endure pain of upfront Old centers of power lock in Lack of people or capabilities to
cost increasingly scarce resources compete in the new world
Willful ignorance (i.e., not looking for or
wanting to see disruptive trends) Unwillingness to cannibalize the core Legacy cost base becomes an anchor Likelihood that you’re too late to the
business game
Entrenchment in orthodoxy New initiatives get lip service but little
Putting short-term results ahead of actual commitment Unwillingness to make tough owner-
dang long-term value ship decisions
ers Possibility that the industry is no
longer profitable

Read more: Strategy & Corporate Finance


@McKStrategy
Contact: digital_strategy@mckinsey.com

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