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энергетика Nyman chapter-5
энергетика Nyman chapter-5
DOI:10.1093/oso/9780198820444.003.0005
Keywords: energy security, China, energy policy, security paradox, energy security paradox, national
security
China’s economic growth has astounded the rest of the world and pulled millions
of poor Chinese out of poverty. But it has also meant a growing need for energy.
China is now the world’s biggest energy consumer, producer, and net importer,
and its energy consumption is still rising. To the leadership, energy is incredibly
important: without reliable energy supplies the economy would crumble.
Economic growth would stall, and it would cast doubt on the economic miracle
on which the regime has staked its legitimacy. Thus energy is not just a question
of economic security and stability, it is also key to the political survival of the
regime, and by extension, the survival of the Chinese state as we know it.
Because of concerns over import dependence, oil supply (security of
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‘Common Sense’ Energy Security in China
This chapter opens with a brief look at the history of energy and energy policy-
making in China. It then turns to look at Chinese energy security policy since
2004, focusing on legislation and regulation, production and consumption, the
policy-making process, and the role of energy security in foreign policy. The
following section examines the official discourse, to show how a particular
version of energy security is created and maintained as ‘common sense’,
drawing out four key themes. It then moves on to show how the common sense
created through these practices leads to an energy security paradox.
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‘Common Sense’ Energy Security in China
Like the US, China has had a debate over the whether to take a market/liberal or
a strategic/realist approach to energy security, and in practice China has
pursued a similar approach to the US, combining the two (Tunsjø 2010).
However, in China energy security underpins not just economic and national
security, but also the political survival of the Communist Party of China (CPC)
(Leung 2011). Statistics on China’s energy consumption and production vary,
and tend to use a range of measures. There are often accusations of government
tampering with statistics, but although uncertainty remains reliability has
improved. During most of its history, China has relied primarily on domestic
energy resources: its ‘rate of self-sufficiency has been above 90%, much higher
than that in most developed countries’ (Li 2011: 9). With (p.88)
industrialization, policy has focused on developing domestic energy resources to
retain self-sufficiency. Such initiatives have been largely successful: China
‘became the world’s largest energy producer during the 11th Five-Year period
[2005–10] with a strong foundation for energy production and supply’. This
period saw huge increases in domestic production of coal, doubled gas
production, and some increase in oil production, alongside major growth in
renewable energy (Li 2011: 9–12). But to put this in context, one source
suggests China’s primary energy consumption increased from 0.57 to 3.25 billion
ton coal equivalents between 1978 and 2010 (Fan and Xia 2012: 23):2 so
satisfying demand remains a concern. Oil imports have been of growing concern
since 1993, while coal has been seen as less of a security issue because domestic
supplies are plentiful.
China has not had an energy ministry since 1993. Energy administration, policy,
and planning duties are in the hands of the National Development and Reform
Commission (NDRC), a planning department responsible for national economic
and social development. Within the NDRC, the National Energy Administration
(NEA) is the sub-department in charge of energy policy since 2008, when it
replaced the Energy Bureau. The NEA has a broad mandate, including
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‘Common Sense’ Energy Security in China
‘managing the country’s energy industries, drafting energy plans and policies,
negotiating with international energy agencies, and approving foreign energy
investments’, but it ‘lacks the authority, autonomy, manpower, and tools to deal
with the country’s energy challenges’ (Downs 2008). In order to respond to this,
a National Energy Commission was established in 2010 with the prime minister
as its head ‘to step up strategic (p.89) policy-making and coordination’ (Xinhua
2010a). The Commission is responsible for ‘drafting national energy
development plans, reviewing energy security and major energy issues and
coordinating domestic energy development and international cooperation’,
according to the State Office Information Council, and it includes twenty-one
members from different government agencies (Xinhua 2010a). This also includes
the Minister of State Security as well as the head of the People’s Liberation
Army (CERS 2016), which illustrates the significance of energy as a national
security issue. In practice, the Commission coordinates different departments’
work on energy, while the NEA in the NDRC carries out its daily duties (PRC
NDRC 2012). So far, ‘the commission has functioned on a crisis-driven
basis’ (Zha 2014: 1).
Besides the NDRC’s NEA, a number of government departments play some role
in energy policy, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the Ministry of
Commerce, the Ministry of Science and Technology, and the Ministry of
Environmental Protection. Unfortunately for Chinese energy policy-making, the
NDRC is a relatively weak planning agency, and China has had difficulties in
‘finding an appropriate mechanism for governing its energy industry’ (Zha 2006:
186). Problems in energy policy administration are long-standing, and the lack of
an energy ministry ‘greatly reduces the value of strategic plans the central
government wishes to implement’3 (Zha 2006: 186). The three big state-owned
enterprises (SOEs)—CNOOC, Sinopec, and China National Petroleum
Corporation (CNPC)—also play a role in forming energy policy. The relationship
between these companies and the state is debated and still evolving—they do not
simply follow government dictates, but work quite independently—sometimes
leading and pushing policy and occasionally even flouting government advice to
‘advance corporate interests at the expense of national ones’ (Downs 2008).
They are often consulted by government on policy and top staff ‘belong to the
pool of high-ranking cadres’; but on the other hand, most of the companies are
also publicly listed to various degrees, and thus also need to deliver profits to
share-holders (Zha 2014: 7). They remain a potential obstacle when it comes to
enforcing change and a shift towards sustainability since a continued focus on
fossil fuels is in their economic interest. As President Xi Jinping’s ongoing
corruption drive also demonstrates, corruption is a major concern in the ‘big
three’.
Energy is a relatively recent policy priority: the first white paper on energy was
published in 2007. It pointed to the need to strengthen energy legislation ‘to
provide a legal guarantee for increasing the energy supply, standardizing (p.90)
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‘Common Sense’ Energy Security in China
the energy market, optimizing the energy structure and maintaining energy
security’ (PRC NDRC 2007a). Likewise marketization of the energy industry is
considered a priority, but alongside ‘national energy management’, which
remains key to ensuring energy security (PRC NDRC 2007b). The same areas
were noted in the 2012 white paper on energy, which recognized that markets
are ‘playing an increasingly important role in resource allocation’. It emphasized
the need for continuing work on legal reform to regulate the energy market
alongside marketization, together with the need to improve energy
administration and management (PRC Central Government 2012b: sections I and
VIII). End-use energy prices are still regulated by the government, though the
pricing system differs depending on the energy type (Li 2011: 13). The strategic
vs market debate is ongoing. China is often characterized (particularly by
foreign writers) as taking a strategic approach to energy security, with
mainstream thinking focused on securing state oil supply. But the debate is
opening up to include a wider range of perspectives, with a growing influence of
market-centred thinking as well as a focus on sustainability (Nyman and Zeng
2016).
While energy security and policy objectives are increasingly set out in white
papers by central government and the National Energy Commission with input
from the NEA as well as other government departments, bodies, and institutions,
China’s energy administration remains quite unclear. A large number of actors
are involved and these often have conflicting interests and/or overlapping
jurisdictions. Energy security is made up of a number of policy priorities, which
will be discussed in more detail later. The SOEs often resist change and
regulation, and energy administration and implementation remain relatively
weak. A recent documentary by Chinese journalist Chai Jing titled Under the
Dome discusses China’s energy and environmental problems, and points to the
ongoing monopoly of the ‘big three’. It found that petrochemical standards are
basically set by the industry since the dissolution of the Ministry of Petroleum.
Implementation of the government’s sustainability and efficiency targets at local
levels also remains a problem, compounded by the sheer scale of the country.
In some ways, shifting to a more sustainable energy mix is easier in China than
in the US: not only is the public pressuring the government for change, the
government also faces less political resistance. China already has regional cap
and trade trials and is developing a national scheme. The scale of China’s
environmental problems is also driving change. The growing space for
individuals and community groups to contest energy security is an important
development here, discussed further in chapter 6. That said, ensuring economic
growth remains a key concern and the economy is still heavily dependent on
fossil fuels, which limits possibilities for change. How this will play out in the era
of Xi Jinping remains to be seen. So far, his ‘China dream’ (p.91) strategy has
continued to emphasize economic growth and development, alongside
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‘Common Sense’ Energy Security in China
crackdowns on corruption and dissent. However, he has also stressed the need
for ecological security to tackle China’s ‘environmental shortfalls’.
Appearing in 2007, the first white paper on energy was titled ‘China’s energy
conditions and policies’, and it set out the overall strategy and goals of energy
development; emphasizing conservation, increasing supply capacity, improving
energy technologies, coordinating energy and environmental development,
deepening energy system reform, and strengthening international cooperation
on energy. There was a focus on demand reduction and efficiency, reducing
reliance on foreign oil, and reducing dependence on coal. Overall, it avoided
quantitative goals, focusing on more generic aims, such as, ‘by 2010 the energy
supply will basically meet the demands of national economic and social
development; and obvious progress will have been made in energy
conservation’ (PRC NDRC 2007a: 13). The main exceptions to this are
reiterations of the goals already outlined in other plans, specifying a reduction in
per-unit GDP consumption of energy of 20 per cent from 2005 to 2010, and a 10
per cent reduction in the total amount of major pollutants discharged (PRC
NDRC 2007a: 13); as well as reiterating the goal of 10 per cent increase in
renewable energy consumption by 2010 and 15 per cent by 2020 (PRC NDRC
2007a: 23).
The 2012 white paper on energy was titled ‘China’s energy policy 2012’. It
contains similar key sections to the 2007 white paper, including continued focus
on conservation and improving energy technology and strengthening
international energy cooperation. It also adds a focus on ‘vigorously developing
new and renewable energy, promoting clean development of fossil energy;
improving universal energy service…[and] deepening institutional reform in the
energy sector’ (PRC Central Government 2012b). Like the 2007 white (p.92)
paper, it repeats goals set out in the preceding Five Year Plan, though this time
these goals are more specific, targeting consumption patterns in terms of energy
type: ‘by 2015 non-fossil energy will rise to 11.4 percent in the national total
primary energy consumption, energy consumption per unit of GDP will drop by
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‘Common Sense’ Energy Security in China
16 percent from 2010, and CO2 emission per unit of GDP will decrease by 17
percent from 2010’. Likewise, ‘by 2020 non-fossil energy will account for 15
percent of its total primary energy consumption, and CO2 emission per unit of
GDP will be 40–45 percent lower than in 2005’ (both PRC Central Government
2012b: section II). It also contains more targeted goals for each energy industry.
It specifically addresses the problem of energy regulation in China, mentioning
ongoing work on an energy law, improvements to the ‘energy-related legal
regime to regulate the energy market’, and the need to ‘strengthen
administration’ (PRC Central Government 2012b: section X).
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remains a major energy producer. Its domestic coal reserves have made it
heavily dependent on coal, but thanks to growing energy consumption it is now
also a coal importer. China is facing large increases in energy demand with
increasing economic growth, though efforts have been made to limit
consumption increases through improved efficiency and conservation. It also
aims to increase domestic production to meet growing demand. Oil production
has declined as a percentage of total production, with increasing reliance on
imported oil (Fan and Xia 2012). China is also on schedule to meet renewable
energy targets set out in the Renewable Energy Law, and aims to increase shale
gas exploration and production.
In terms of consumption, China continues to rely heavily on coal, and its central
place in China’s energy mixture ‘will remain unchanged for a long time to
come’ (PRC NDRC 2007a), though environmental considerations increasingly
call this into question. Despite the overwhelming importance of coal, the oil
sector is the one most frequently emphasized in discussions about energy
security in China. This is largely down to the materiality of energy supplies in
China. The oil sector is particularly important because oil dominates
transportation, food production, and defence (all areas where it cannot be easily
replaced by another form of fuel), because consumption is growing with
development, and because oil resources are limited domestically and finite
globally—all of which makes securitization of oil more likely (Leung et al. 2014:
9). In terms of the overall mixture of sources of energy supply, it has remained
relatively unchanged in the period studied here, though total primary
consumption has increased heavily, as discussed in the previous section. Figure
5.1 shows China’s total energy consumption by fuel type in 2015.
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Total energy consumption is still increasing, though the rate of increase has
slowed dramatically (see Figure 5.2).
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Protection as their objectives under the Plan coincided (Interview 2012e), and
this continues with the growing power of the Ministry of Environmental
Protection, granted by the increasing focus on environmental ‘shortfalls’ under
Xi Jinping.
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China’s energy supply story is one of increasing tension between supply and
demand. Since the early 2000s the domestic energy industry has been subject to
growing marketization alongside increasing interaction with the international
energy market. Rapid development has led to huge growth in consumption,
putting heavy pressure on supply capacity and causing increasing environmental
pressure due to China’s heavy reliance on coal. Reliance on domestic sources of
energy forms the core of China’s energy supply strategy. However, increasing
imports have led to growing attention to global energy markets. In many
quarters, the response has been to call for increasing domestic energy supply to
‘ensure energy security’ (PRC Central Government 2005). Coal tends to be
emphasized here, since it is domestically available and could be used to reduce
dependence on foreign oil imports. The dual attention to domestic and
international supply security continues despite China’s high rate of energy self-
sufficiency.
Concerns over dependence on foreign supply are high and increasing domestic
supply remains the cornerstone of China’s response. The 2012 white paper notes
‘grave challenges to energy security’, listing China’s increasing dependence on
‘foreign energy sources’ in recent years, particularly oil (PRC Central
Government 2012b: section I). It continues the focus on domestic supplies,
suggesting that ‘China must rely on itself to increase the energy supply steadily
to satisfy such demands’ (PRC Central Government 2012b: section V). In terms
of international supply security, the threat referenced is increasing dependence
on foreign oil and gas, and unstable international markets, as well as potential
political instability in energy-exporting regions. The 13th Five Year Plan similarly
stresses ‘building a modern energy system’ (to ensure self-sufficiency), including
changing patterns of energy production and consumption and ‘safeguarding
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Concerns over price stability largely relate to imports and therefore primarily to
oil. International energy prices remain a concern and are often linked to fears of
import dependence and the impact of price volatility on China’s economic
growth and stability. The international dimension is central here, (p.99) as
increasing marketization within China as well as increasing reliance on imported
oil have made China more vulnerable to volatile international energy markets.
China’s 2012 position paper to the UN pointed to the need for cooperation to
stabilize prices:
Joint efforts must be made to stabilize the prices of energy and other
commodities and prevent excessive speculation and market hype, so as to
meet the energy demands of all countries, particularly the developing
countries, and maintain order in the energy market.
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the Chinese state. A 2003 report from China’s Energy Strategy and Policy
Research Group noted that ‘energy security, especially oil security, is
increasingly important’ (Chen et al. 2003). Likewise, the 2007 white paper states
that ‘energy is an essential material basis for human survival and
development’ (PRC NDRC 2007a: preface). In a 2011 white paper on China’s
development, energy is listed as a ‘common security issue’ that states need to
cooperate on, as a threat ‘to the world’, which will ‘have a major impact on
human survival and sustainable economic and social development’ (PRC Central
Government 2011: section IV). Around this period the development dimension is
central, and it is largely in this sense that energy is considered a security issue—
at the UN in 2005 President Hu listed energy security as a non-traditional
security issue posing a ‘severe challenge’ to development (Hu (p.100) 2005a).
Energy security is here considered a key issue for the policy agenda, and as
required to maintain both ‘economic security and national security’ (PRC NDRC
2006).
The role energy plays in economic growth and economic and social development
is continually highlighted. Economic growth as emphasized here is often
national, but sometimes also global. In 2005 Hu noted the need to address ‘the
growing constraint of energy, resources and environment on economic
development’ (PRC Ministry of Foreign Affairs 2005). Energy is noted as a key
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As one of the major economies and the biggest developing country in the
world, China attaches great importance to energy supply and security, as
energy (p.101) provides the basic conditions for economic and social
development.
The 2012 white paper retains this focus on development, noting that energy is
‘an indispensable basic condition for the development of modern society’ (PRC
Central Government 2012b: preface). The key threat evident here is lack of
economic growth, which would have a serious impact on political legitimacy and
national security. Although the state remains the focus as referent object to be
secured in energy terms, two other referent objects are also present in these
discourses—global energy security is frequently promoted, and energy is also
occasionally linked with human survival.
Since the 1990s, China has always met over 90% of its overall energy
needs on its own. As a country with coal dominating its energy structure,
China still has a huge potential for domestic energy supply.
In the same year, Vice Premier Zeng also suggested that China needs ‘security of
supply based on domestic production’ (PRC NDRC 2005). The focus on the
domestic as secure is key. The 2007 white paper also emphasizes China’s
reliance on ‘domestic energy resources’, repeating the figure of 90 per cent self-
sufficiency (PRC NDRC 2007a: section IV): a statistic cited in most speeches and
documents discussing China’s supplies and energy security. Boosting domestic
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production of coal, as well as importing more coal, and increased domestic oil
and gas exploration, are seen as essential to ensure energy supplies due to
growing demand (Xinhua 2011). The 2012 white paper reiterated that ‘as the
world’s largest energy producer, China mainly relies on its own strength to
develop energy, and its rate of self-sufficiency has reached around 90
percent’ (PRC Central Government 2012b: section I). This is later reinforced as a
key part of China’s energy strategy: ‘The country relies on domestic resource
advantages…makes special efforts to enhance its energy supply capability and
security…and controls its dependence on foreign energy sources’ (PRC Central
Government 2012b: section II). Here the idea of secure domestic supplies is
clearly juxtaposed with ‘dependence’ on foreign energy sources, which needs to
be controlled. Leung et al. interviewed an official involved in the drafting of
China’s 2012 energy white paper, and (p.102) found that oil supply is
constructed as a security issue specifically because it can threaten the ‘self-
reliance’ of China in energy terms (Leung et al. 2014: 9): the security of the
state again remains at the centre here.
The 2012 white paper notes increasing dependence on foreign energy sources as
a ‘grave challenge’ to energy security, particularly the rise in imported
petroleum to 57 per cent of total consumption, as well as the ‘ever-greater
security risks’ to ‘marine transportation of petroleum and cross-border pipeline
transmission of oil and gas’ (PRC Central Government 2012b: section I).
Increasing domestic supply of fossil fuels is usually cited as the solution to deal
with these potential threats. Lastly, new or ‘alternative’ energy is an increasingly
popular frame, playing a major part after the 12th Five Year Plan, with
quantitative targets for renewables (15 per cent by 2020), energy intensity,
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These four themes dominate the official discourse on energy security. Here,
energy security is primarily about securing energy supplies at stable prices to
protect national security and economic growth. Self-sufficiency and increasing
domestic energy supply is considered central to achieve this. Meanwhile, the
international environment is constructed as a context within which these
activities have to take place, and its political stability is considered paramount to
ensure the state continues to be secure in energy terms. China’s interaction in
the international sphere has been reluctant, and despite a discourse that
emphasizes cooperation its international engagement is one designed to protect
China’s (national, economic, energy) interests above all. It is also a counter-
discourse intended to ease international fears over China’s international energy
engagements. These different discursive themes interact with policy and other
practices to create a particular common sense where securing the state’s energy
supplies is central to protect national security and economic growth, and
increasing domestic supply to ensure self-sufficiency is considered the safest
route to achieving that. Again, dependence on the outside world for supplies is
considered problematic. All of this works to reproduce a mindset where energy
security necessarily equals providing the state with continuous energy supplies
at any cost, and this common sense becomes difficult to question.
There are some indications of changing thinking even in official discourse. These
are discussed in more detail in the following chapter. Official discourse
sometimes presents alternative constructions of energy security that are rarely
recognized in the academic literature, which tends to portray China’s thinking
as realist/strategic and mercantilist. There are some indications of a broadening
understanding of energy security to include sustainability and human well-being,
particularly more recently. While the emphasis on national, or domestic, security
remains, the inclusion of multiple referents of energy security is particularly
interesting. At the G8 meeting in 2006, Hu pointed to the need for increased
cooperation on clean energy as ‘part of the overall effort to ensure sustainable
development of human society’ (PRC Ministry of Foreign Affairs 2006). Xi Jinping
also justified increased domestic energy supply to meet demands for economic
growth and improve people’s lives (Xinhua 2008). The 2011 white paper on
development mentioned energy security among global security issues that have
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So to some degree, it’s fair to say that China’s thinking on energy security is
changing. There is some debate over this, however—some of those interviewed
during this research suggest the leadership is still very strongly focused on
security of oil supplies. The changes that we can see more clearly tend to
highlight security ‘with Chinese characteristics’: security remains key, but the
meaning of security is widening. Some of this can be explained by the growing
rate of environmental degradation in China—in particular the visible effects of
air pollution—and resulting public demands for action. The survival and stability
of the state itself is therefore also increasingly threatened by the environmental
consequences of energy use. So I would suggest ‘security with Chinese
characteristics’ is primarily concerned with taking in new forms of threat to the
state, as opposed to broadening the referent of security beyond the state.
Sustainability and ecological security are increasingly considered to be
‘strategic’ tasks. This also comes out in the 13th Five Year Plan, which contains
a chapter on ‘protecting national ecological security’ (Xinhua 2016a: ch. 47).
That said, the preceding chapter also discusses the need to respond actively to
‘global climate change’, shifting the referent from the national to the global
level. It is often difficult to separate these different goals—China’s sustainable
development policy aims to balance economic growth with environmental
protection, ultimately in the aim of national security. But although China is
beginning to restructure its economy in response, change is slow and
implementing changes in the national energy security system is difficult,
particularly given both the relatively weak central administration over energy,
and the power of the SOEs.
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‘Common Sense’ Energy Security in China
Ultimately, national security takes precedence over the environment, and the
priority remains on secure (domestic) sources of energy to fuel continued
economic growth. The ‘domestic’—as both a source of security and the sphere to
be secured—is continually contrasted with the threat of dependence on ‘foreign’
sources of energy. In this sense, the state and national security remain at the
centre of Chinese notions of energy security. This works to create a reality
where increasing domestic fossil fuel supplies makes sense. Economic
development of the scale that China is undertaking makes rising energy
consumption difficult to avoid, but it does not necessitate prioritizing fossil fuels
in the name of self-sufficiency. There are some indications of a broadening
understanding of energy security more recently, and policy is changing to reflect
this, but it will take time before it has any real impact on production and
consumption patterns. The scale of China’s fossil fuel consumption necessitates
major improvements in renewable capacity before we can see real easing of
environmental problems. So although thinking on energy security is evolving,
current practices still produce a security paradox. This final section
demonstrates the two levels of the energy security paradox produced by these
‘common sense’ energy security practices in China.
On the first level, common sense energy security practices create insecurity for
the state itself, causing mutual hostility and making all less secure. Energy
security remains closely linked with a narrow notion of national security and
policies continue to emphasize providing continued supplies of fossil fuels to the
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But running parallel to this is a darker nationalist strand of thought, where the
nationalist sentiments of the populace are drawn upon to push a more
aggressive ‘China first’ foreign policy. This can be seen for example in China’s
aggressive security behaviour in the South and East China Seas, where it is
increasingly asserting territorial claims based on ‘historical rights’. Much of this
can also be linked to energy resources, since some of the island groups claimed
are also thought to have potential resources to exploit. This again reflects the
exclusive us/them logic of China’s common sense thinking on energy security.
This has spread mistrust and increased tension between China and its
neighbours, in particular Japan, the Philippines, and Vietnam, who have all been
contenders for territories, as well as between China and the United States,
which has long been a strong naval presence in the region. This in turn
undermines longer-term stability in the region.
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Turning now to the second level of the energy security paradox, the common
sense also produces insecurity above and below the state level. China’s
obsession with energy self-sufficiency combined with its economic growth have
driven huge increases in energy production and consumption, the vast majority
of which is satisfied by domestically available fossil fuels. Energy security is
linked to development to justify exploiting domestic resources, while China’s
dependence on fossil fuels, particularly coal, has made it the world’s top energy-
related CO2 emitter (EIA 2015). The question of energy is at the heart of climate
change and China’s energy security policies are having a disastrous impact on
the global environment and climate as well as on its own environment. In its
attempt to protect national security, Chinese common sense energy security
practices legitimize choices that make the climate, environment, and ecosystems
less secure in the long term. Continued economic growth is emphasized
throughout. It is often explicitly linked to social development, and it is important
to remember that there is a complex relationship between security and
insecurity here: China’s economic growth is providing security and improving
life experiences for millions of very poor citizens, while at the same time it is
causing irreversible environmental damage that will affect the future survival of
those very same citizens.
China’s energy security practices have global consequences, affecting the global
climate and environment in unpredictable and irreversible ways. The established
common sense legitimizes a growing emphasis on unconventional oil and gas as
well as a continued focus on coal extraction. The obsession with economic
growth and economic prosperity and national security legitimizes a continued
focus on fossil fuels which are causing irreversible damage to the global climate
and environment. Increased domestic fossil fuel production is considered
unequivocally positive, and energy consumption is still rising. As the biggest
CO2 emitter globally, Chinese energy security practices affect all of us. In 2014
some statistics suggested that China’s emissions may have peaked, but updated
figures in 2016 illustrated that emissions likely continued to rise, though there
may have been a 0.1 per cent drop in 2015 (Korsbakken et al. 2016). Clearly, this
is not enough given the challenge we are facing globally. Meanwhile, China’s
SOEs continue to push for weaker environmental legislation, and their
entrenched position make changes difficult to implement. This not only affects
the global environment, China’s own government assessment notes that ‘China
is one of the countries most vulnerable to the adverse impact of climate
change’ (PRC Central Government 2012c). In China, climate change is likely to
have a particularly serious impact (p.109) on water and food security, affecting
human livelihoods as well as causing long-term displacement from heavily
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‘Common Sense’ Energy Security in China
affected areas (Lewis 2009). Climate change is taken more seriously by the
government today, as can be seen in China’s shifting role in the Paris climate
change negotiations. But without technological developments to reverse some of
the damage already caused, current emissions targets leave a lot to be desired.
Beyond the global level, China is also experiencing more localized insecurities at
national and regional levels as a direct consequence of its energy security
practices. These relate particularly to the production processes of turning oil,
gas, and coal into energy, and affect human security, well-being, and survival as
well as environmental security and stability. Coal mining accidents are
particularly prevalent in China, although statistics vary widely. According to one
source, deaths averaged 7,619 annually, or twenty per day, between 1996 and
2000, though more recently it has been significantly lower: in 2015, deaths
dropped below 1,000 for the first time (Lelyveld 2015). Some regions have been
made unsafe for human habitation by excessive underground mining, causing
the ground itself to sink. As a result, Shanxi province alone will have moved over
650,000 people out of unsafe regions by 2017 (Cendrowski 2016). Alongside this,
oil and gas exploration accidents have caused major pollution incidents, though
these have received less international media attention than the BP Deepwater
Horizon accident in the Gulf of Mexico. China suffered major oil spills in Dalian
in north-east China in 2010, and in 2011 in Bohai Bay, also in north-east China.
In 2013 an oil pipeline exploded in Qingdao, killing sixty-two people. The
environmental contamination from these accidents also damage ecosystems and
local livelihoods, in particular for people dependent on farming and fishing.
China has abundant reserves of shale gas, and is very keen to develop these to
ease supply concerns. However, the geological and practical conditions differ
from those in the US, and it has yet to see a similar boom. This was an area
initially opened up for negotiation in the US–China climate talks in 2014, but
progress stalled over intellectual property disagreements. Despite these
difficulties, China’s gas production is increasing. Given growing evidence of the
harmful environmental impact of fracking in the United States, China’s
underdeveloped environmental regulations are highly unlikely to provide
sufficient protection. Like coal production, fracking is water intensive, and water
is another resource China does not have plenty of. But environmentally
questionable shale gas production is still considered more desirable than
importing gas, because of the priority placed on self-sufficiency. Fracking in
China comes at a serious environmental cost. Its shale reserves are ‘deeper
underground and in more complex geological formations’, which means they will
likely need up to twice as much water to extract (Lee and West 2014).
Groundwater and soil contamination is a major concern, because wastewater (p.
110) is rarely properly stored and/or disposed of—and the increased
earthquake risk related to fracking makes contamination even more likely (Lee
and West 2014). Jiaoshizhen has seen the dark side of China’s fracking industry:
a rig explosion in 2014 is said to have killed a number of workers, and villagers
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now say fields and streams are polluted (Bradsher 2014). But again, very little
information is available, and Sinopec (the SOE involved) has denied an accident
occurring at the time. All of these practices are justified and legitimized by the
accepted common sense understanding of energy security, which prioritizes
energy supply above environmental and human security.
In 2007…the World Bank estimated that outdoor air pollution in China was
causing between 350,000 and 400,000 premature deaths each year, more
than Chinese historians estimate their country suffered in the Korean War.
Sensitive to the outrage such figures could produce, the Chinese
government insisted that the World Bank not publish the figures, citing
threats to ‘social stability’.
In 2015 Chai Jing’s documentary Under the Dome, which chronicles China’s air
pollution problems, went viral—some sources suggest it was viewed around 300
million times before it was taken offline after just a week. The film builds on
Chai’s personal experiences of giving birth to a daughter with a tumour that she
believes to be linked to pollution, combined with journalistic investigation into
China’s energy and environmental policy and regulation. It paints a dark picture
of the state of China’s climate, including interviews with children who have
never seen stars, white clouds, or a blue sky. This is now a daily reality for some
Chinese. Some schools have even built giant domes to protect students from
smog and allow them to play ‘outside’. The Carbon Map initiative traces social
vulnerability related to carbon emissions, and suggests that over 100 million
Chinese are ‘already suffering from droughts, floods or (p.111) extreme
temperatures’, which ranks China as a ‘very high risk’ country (Carbon Map
2016). China’s fossil fuel pollution threatens the environment and the health of
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millions of people, particularly bearing in mind that air pollution does not stop at
national borders. The human cost of pollution is high: it actively makes humans
less secure, directly and indirectly, and makes the environment less secure,
which in turn also undermines long-term human and planetary survival.
It is clear that the common sense legitimizes practices that cause an energy
security paradox, making states, human beings and the environment less secure.
Even in China, many still view energy security as something that is separate
from climate policy, suggesting that the ‘Paris Agreement is not strongly linked
to China’s energy security’ and ‘will not have a direct impact’ on China’s energy
security (Interview 2016c). When discussing the successes and failures of
China’s energy policy, one interviewee said:
I think the biggest success so far is the energy development itself—that it’s
not a barrier for the country’s economic development. If you look at
China’s economic growth, energy supply has generally kept pace with
economic development—this is the biggest success, that it hasn’t been a
barrier. But it’s also at the same time the biggest failure, when we consider
the environmental consequences of China’s economic development,
including air quality and air pollution. So the government needs to step up
its efforts to reduce energy related environmental impact.
(Interview 2016c)
Economic growth clearly remains the core priority, but as this quote suggests
and as the next chapter illustrates, environmental protection is now taken more
seriously, though it is rarely considered an integral part of energy policy. Tension
remains between these objectives, but environmental degradation is now in itself
becoming a potential threat to stability, which is pushing action. This can be
seen in Xi Jinping’s focus on China’s ‘environmental shortfall’—a vague term
which may also be an indirect attempt to turn this into a policy issue while
avoiding more serious/flammable rhetoric that could encourage protest. On the
ground, however, implementation of existing environmental legislation often
remains poor.
Notes:
(1) Some of this is also discussed in a co-authored paper, see Nyman and Zeng
(2016).
(2) The IEA measures this using ‘toe’ (tons of oil equivalent), to a consumption
increase from 420 million toe in 1980 to 2,150 million toe in 2009 (IEA 2012).
(3) Zha details that ‘the Ministry of Fuel Industries was abolished in 1955, when
separate ministries for coal, electricity and oil were established. In 1970 a new
Ministry of Fuel and Chemical Industries combined the functions of those three
ministries, but it had to be dissolved five years later. In 1988 a Ministry of
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