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This article has two aims. The first is to present a monetary theory of inflation which we
think is radically different from the dominant monetarist theory. It is inspired by the
work of Aglietta and can be characterised as being at the point of intersection of a
'heterodox' reading of Marx and a reading of Keynes. The realisation of thisfirstaim
brings us to our second objective, namely a defence of the thesis that inflation is a two-
dimensional process, being made up of a monetary and of a price-formation dimension.
While these two dimensions are usually viewed as belonging to alternative theories, we
argue that they should in fact be integrated.
The article has five parts. The first and by far the largest one presents the theoretical
background underlying the monetary dimension of inflation. It starts with a discussion
of the notion of money, a topic for which monetarists have shown little inclination. It
then introduces a crucial distinction between extra-money and inflation. While these two
phenomena are usually linked, we argue that the opposite is the case: extra-money,
which we define precisely must be studied separately because it does not neces-
sarily lead to inflation. Two types of extra-money are distinguished, according to
whether it derives from a private or a public issuing of money. Our main focus will be on
the first of these. After a brief comparison between our view and other interpretations,
the first section ends with some general considerations about the possible inflationary
impact of extra-money. It is asserted that such a question cannot be resolved satisfac-
torily without considering the price-formation dimension. The latter is the object of the
second part of the article, in which we ask ourselves whether rises in the price level are
possible without any monetary expansion, contrary to what monetarist authors argue.
Our conclusion is that such a result is conceivable but implausible. The tools developed
then help us in the third section when we return to the relationship between extra-money
and inflation and when we study the integration of the two dimensions of inflation. The
last two sections are pitched at a less abstract level. They deal briefly with the link
between obsolescence and creeping inflation, the distributional stakes and the functional
or dysfunctional character of inflation.
Here we should like to make two preliminary remarks. The first one follows from the
fact that our general aim is to provide a clarification of some basic theoretical questions,
such as ascertaining the conditions for inflation. For this reason our analysis is at a high
•Catholic University of Lovain, Louvain-La-Neuve, Belgium. Too many people have commented on the
several earlier versions of this paper for all to be mentioned. Special thanks are however due to Philippe De
Ville, Jacques Gouvemeur, Jan Kregel, Bentley MacLeod and Philippe Van Parijs as well as to the referees
and the editors of the Cambridge Journal of Economics.
1.2 Extra-money1
Nowadays the notion of 'money in excess' usually has two connotations. First, its origin
is ascribed to state monetary creation. Second, inflation is seen as its automatic result.
Neither of these views is accepted here. As will be demonstrated, money in excess (or
extra-money in our vocabulary) can have a private origin. Nor do we accept the auto-
matic link between monetary expansion and inflation. It is true that the former can
generate the latter or reinforce an already-present inflationary process, but this is not a
necessary outcome. The notion of extra-money must be considered on its own and the
study of its possible inflationary impact should come only at a second stage.
Let us start by making its meaning more precise. In our view extra-money refers to the
result of contravening some basic 'rules of the game' of a pure market system. Two
remarks should be made at once, before detailing their content. First, it must be stressed
that these rules pertain to a pure market economy. Their transgression means that real
market systems are departing from the pure model. Second, the terms 'contravening'
and 'transgression' must not be understood as having a pejorative connotation. Contrary
to what conservative authors, like Hayek or Friedman, would assert, we do not accept
that the rules of the game of a pure market system could and should be enforced in real
market economies. We rather favour their transgression, as will be clear soon.
Obviously, the functioning of the market system rests on a number of such rules. Two
of them, however, are our concern here. The first relates to the private sector, the second
to the government. Concerning the former, the basic rule which we want to emphasise is
the 'payment constraint'. It states that commodities are exchanged for money and that
promises to pay must be honoured. In particular, debts must be paid back by the fixed
deadline. In cases of failure, sanctions should be taken against defaulting agents, possibly
leading to the acknowledgement of their bankruptcy. The second rule, which concerns
the state,flowsfrom the general view that maintaining a pure market economy implies a
minimisation of state interventions. Its main role is to set up the rules of the game, and to
look after and to maintain and enforce them. But it should not interfere with the market
mechanism itself. The specific rule, relevant for our analysis, is that it should only
finance its expenses by borrowing or by taxation. Monetarisation of deficits is defined as
a practice against the rules of a pure market system.
The transgression of these rules leads to an additional increase in the money supply1,
one which should have been cancelled (private case) it should never have been issued
(public case). The meaning of the expression 'extra-money' should by now be clear. It
designates the amount of money coming into circulation in addition to what a strict
adherence to these rules would allow.
As mentioned above, extra-money is usually associated with state actions. Whilst
recognising this possibility, we shall focus on its other source which has been almost
entirely disregarded (however, see Minsky, 1982), namely private money creation. We
argue that privately-induced extra-money results from the simultaneous satisfaction of
1
In earlier drafts of this article we used the term 'excess money' instead of 'extra-money'. However the
disadvantage of the former notion is that it conveys a normative prejorative that we repudiate. The alterna-
tive notion does not do so. Moreover, the fact that it conveys the idea of second-chance money-issuing is not
displeasing to us.
Inflation 385
three conditions: debt-financing of capitalist projects, the occurrence of irretrievable
market losses andfinallya specific response to the latter by the banking system.
To isolate these effects, it is initially assumed that the state is entirely passive so far as
the creation of money is concerned. Money is created exclusively by private banks in
response to private loan requests, the banks' intermediation function is ignored and the
analysis concentrates on their money-creating function. All money is supposed to be
created ex nihilo (Aglietta, 1979, p.335) (banks have no deposits) and all income is
supposed to be spent immediately. Such an assumption is of course implausible, but it
allows us to focus on those factors which can lead to extra-money: clearly, credit as a
mere operation of intermediation cannot do this. Henceforth the notion of credit is to be
understood as an ex nihilo creation of credit-money. Furthermore, we leave aside con-
sumption credit and concentrate on 'productive credit' granted to capitalists to finance
business ventures. To use the traditional Marxian terminology, we are referring to
credit-money functioning as capital. All capitalist projects are assumed to be entirely
debt-financed (an assumption which is again justified by the purpose stated above).1
What then determines the adequacy of privately issued credit-money? To answer this
question we must see this issuing as the starting-point of a circuit consisting of a series of
operations and eventually liable to be successful or not, i.e. to come to a spontaneous
closure or not. These operations can be summarised as in Fig. 1.
In such a system, money supply and money demand are always equated. All money crea-
tion is demand-determined or endogenous since its object is to start commodity produc-
tion. However—and this is a crucial point—this endogeneity does not automatically
entail that the credit granting is well founded. This depends on the result of the business
venture. Whenever the latter is successful, it leads to the formation of income which
allows for the debt repayment. If there were no losses and if all branches had the
same production time, then at the end of each cycle of exchange all debts would be
'The institutional form* which a pure debt economy can take are described in Aglietta and Orlean (1982,
ch. 2).
386 M.DeVroey
extinguished. Obviously such a complete closure never happens. Once the market
system is viewed as lacking a priori coordination, business failures become one if its
inherent features. The creation of extra-money must be seen as an indirect result of the
latter. To understand this we examine the notion of business failure or loss.
Losses can be of different types and lead to different effects. For our purpose the ques-
tion of whether they are irretrievable or not is particularly important.' Losses due to the
failure to sell are perhaps the most common. However, with the exception of perishable
goods, such losses are not entirely irretrievable. Unsold commodities can be stored and
sold later. If this is a case the loss amounts only to the storage costs. Sales at below cost
prices also entail some irretrievable loss. But we want to focus on the losses through
obsolescence emphasised by Aglietta in his Theory of Capitalist Regulation.2 Technical
changes may make the existing means of production obsolescent before their physical
depreciation. The capitalist risk therefore consists not only in the threat of a failure
to sell but also in the possibility that a change in the conditions of production may
make existing equipment obsolescent before its full costs have been recovered from
amortisation charges included in price.
Whatever their origin, whenever firms encounter irretrievable losses they find it diffi-
cult to pay back their debts. The resulting conflict between debtors and creditors can be
resolved in two ways, called by Aglietta and Orlean (1982), the 'fractioning logic' and the
'centralisation logic'. The former occurs in a context of intransigent respect for the rules
of the game: deadlines must be respected and no debt consolidation is allowed to occur.
In such a context different outcomes are possible: the loss can be absorbed from other
income, it can be passed on to suppliers or purchasers if the firm in question has suffi-
cient monopoly power or it will eventually be passed on to creditors if the firm goes
bankrupt. The common feature of all these outcomes is that they entail a shrinkage of
purchasing power concentrated on a specific fraction of economic agents (hence the term
fractioning). In this context the loss is absorbed without any extra-money creation. In
the 'centralisation logic1, on the contrary, the loss is offset by the creation of new
credit—a fresh debt, instead of being settled out of income. Credit creation then has two
objects: the financing of new projects or the refinancing of irretrievable loss. In the latter
case, as Aglietta says:
This new money is not at the origin of a new income since it only compensates private losses.
Consequently, in the period in which it enters into circulation, this money constitutes aflowwhich
is added to the expense of income while it does not form part of the formation of income (1978, p.
112; own translation).
The second part of Aglietta's quotation does not cover all possibilities. As will be seen
presently, extra-money may give economic agents a second chance, enabling the forma-
tion of income which would not have appeared otherwise. Leaving this point aside pro-
visionally, we notice that the centralisation response to the conflict between debtors and
creditors maintains in circulation a certain amount of purchasing power which would not
be present if there were no losses or if the fractioning logic dominated. In our
terminology, this amount constitutes extra-money. Firms benefiting from the consoli-
1
The term irretrievable designates the fact that a given project appears to have failed to such an extent that
it cannot be rescued. Nothing is asserted about the possible compensation of the specific failure by other
successes.
2
Aglietta's analysis of obsolescence is scattered in several passages of his book (1979, 102-110, 206-208,
292-294, 313-315). See also De Vroey (1981) and Gouvemeur (1983, p. 223).
Inflation 387
dation of their debt do not have to acknowledge this part of their losses and to this extent
their purchasing power is not affected.'
The link between privately-induced extra-money and market losses should have
become clear by now. Firstly, in the absence of losses there would be no debt-consolida-
tion and extra-money. Secondly, it is seen that extra-money plays a definite function: it
socialises private losses. Fractioning and centralisation are thus two alternative ways
of absorbing private deficits. The first places the sanction of losses on particular
agents while the second gives the initiators of losses a second chance (which may stretch
indefinitely) and discharges them from having to acknowledge a loss and to face a
decrease in their purchasing power. According to Aglietta and Orlean, both processes
have always been present in the history of capitalism, not by coincidence but by
necessity. As these authors have tried to demonstrate in La violence de la mortnaie (1982,
chs. 2 and 3), capitalist economies could not work without this duality. The exclusive rule
of fractioning logic would lead to an incessant under-utilisation of resources, to financial
fragility and to cumulative deflations. The exclusive reign of centralisation logic would
impede the restructuring of capitalist ownership through the elimination of defective
capitalist units and could lead to hyper-inflation. However, the relative importance of
the two logics can change and has changed over time. Fractioning logic prevailed before
World War I. Very obviously this was linked to the existence of a metallic money acting
as an objective constraint on monetary authorities. After World War I, thanks amongst
other things to the demetallisation of money, centralisation logic increased its dominance
(Cartelier and de Bmnhoff, 1974; Mandel, 1975, ch. 13; Lipietz, 1982). Undoubtedly
this was a central element in the post-war 'golden years' growth but it is also at the root
of the contemporary structural crisis of the post-war regime of accumulation (De Vroey,
1984B).
'Of course, this escape from the payment constraint will last only for so long as postponing effective
repayments remains a continuing process. Whenever firms are able to make extra profits during the next
period and then pay back their debt, or whenever banks refuse to reschedule the debt, extra-money ceases to
exist.
388 M.DeVroey
Both from the analytical and the normative viewpoints, the neutral money approach
emphasises only one of the two logics which we have distinguished. Translated into our
terminology, the aim of an author like Hayek is to instal the most exclusive possible reign
of fractioning logic. All centralisation is condemned by him for allegedly progressively
destroying the foundations of the market system (Hayek, 1978, ch. 13). While we could
agree with this author about the content of the rules of the game of a pure market system,
for us they express only one dimension of the functioning of real market economies. Both
fractioning and centralisation logic seem to us indispensable to the reproduction of
capitalist economies. In other words, it is true that our theory like that of Hayek
incorporates the idea of a certain threshold beyond which extra-money arises. However,
while we accept this threshold as a theoretical reference, we consider, contrary to him,
that installing the rule of neutral money in reality is at one and the same time an
unachievable and undesirable aim.
Finally, coming to the other side of the political spectrum, our approach must also be
contrasted with Kaldorian conceptions, despite a closer position on basic premisses. Let
us take Kaldor's last book The Scourge of Monetarism (1982) for reference. We entirely
share his idea, also stressed by other authors (see Moore, 1978, 1979), that the quantity
of money is demand-determined. However, in our opinion, this does not preclude the
possibility of extra-money. In a world of uncertainty and decentralised decision-making,
losses are always present. Endogeneity is thus not a sufficient guarantee of the eventual
correctness of private money creation decisions. The latter is ascertainable only ex post
after business ventures have effectively succeeded and debts are actually cancelled.
Business failures, once they exceed a certain threshold, are the ex post sign that the debt
sustaining the failed project was in fact an incorrect decision. Whenever in such a
case debts are rescheduled, extra-money exists. Therefore we cannot accept Kaldor's
view (1982, p. 70) that money in excess is impossible in a credit money economy, a pos-
ition which leads him (like most Keynesian authors) to retreat on wage pushes as the sole
cause of inflation and to give monetarists a monopoly over the monetary causation of
inflation.
1.5 Conclusion
The main points of the above analysis can be summarised as follows:
(i) Extra-money should not be confused with its possible effect, a rise in the price
level. This view is not new. In fact, in the past, before World War II, it used to belong to
conventional wisdom about inflation, but since then it has been rather forgotten. It was
then broadly admitted that, while inflation should be denned as an excessive increase in
the quantity of money, it does not necessarily lead to rises in the price level, if only
because of the counteracting force of productivity increases. On the other hand, not all
rises in the price level were viewed as resulting from inflation. Shortage of food or bad
harvests were commonly used counter-examples. Aglietta and Orlean (1982), like our-
selves, claim that this tradition is right. However, while these authors see inflation as
the result of a centralised response to conflict between debtors and creditors,
without bothering at all about what happens to prices, we have taken a less radical stance.
For reasons of communicability we accept the now usual definition of inflation as arisein
the price level. This however compels us to put forward extra-money as an additional
and specific theoretical concept. Moreover, as will be seen, once the objective of the
theory is to explain increases in the price level as well, one cannot confine the analysis to
the monetary dimension, and one must take the system of price formation into account.
(ii) State monetary creation is not the only source of extra-money. The latter can also
spring from private money creation, a feature which we emphasise, firstly because it is
never mentioned and, secondly, because we think that it is a more pervasive and perman-
ent factor (though we shall not try to substantiate this view empirically). Privately-
induced extra-money is essentially the monetarisation of private losses. The burden of
the latter, rather than being loaded on specific agents, is accomodated by the creation of
new debt and the result is that the burden is carried by the whole system. It has also been
pointed out that failure to sell is not the only possible source of private losses. Another is
obsolescence, and this we place in the forefront. This second type of loss is likely to occur
in periods of high prosperity when the first type is less in evidence.
No extra—money Extra-money
Fig. 2. The monetary dimension of inflation in isolation from the price-formation dimension.
390 M.DeVroey
2. The possibility of inflation without changes in the quantity of money
This section examines the price-formation dimension of inflation in isolation from its
monetary dimension. As is well known, monetarist authors argue that changes in relative
prices cannot lead to increases in the general price level without an increase in the quan-
tity of money, for rises in particular prices will be compensated by decreases in others.
Therefore they think that inflation can in no way be connected to price-setting methods
and that explanations focusing on market power, wage-pushes, etc., which they label
'sociological theories', should be discarded.1 The view defended here is that the
monetarist assertion is not necessarily true whenever the assumptions of market-clearing
and price-flexibility are abandoned. In such a context one can conceive of an inflationary
process without any increase in the stock of money. However our position on this point
must be made clear. After having shown the possibility of such an outcome, we shall not
defend its plausibility, because it runs counter to our thesis of the integration of the two
dimensions. We shall argue instead that the very factors leading to what can be called
price-rigidity inflation are also likely to induce an accommodating monetary expansion.
Thus the rationale for studying the price-formation aspect in isolation from the money
aspect is that it helps to clear the way for the subsequent analysis of the interaction of the
two dimensions.
To make our point we repeat, in a slightly different form, an argument put forward by
Schultze (1959) and make use of an old-fashioned device: the construction of an imagin-
ary market square, where sellers and purchasers meet for a given time-span. Assuming
homogeneous periods of production and exchange, we examine the process of price
formation during one given period. It is supposed that during the previous period all
markets have cleared. The only admitted change between the period under examination
and the previous one is an autonomous increase in the price of some commodities. In
order to eliminate the monetary factor, all possibilities of credit are excluded. A very pre-
cise sequential order is adopted. It will be supposed that commodities sold at a given
period of time are produced during the previous period, so that supply is given. Receipts
from sales in the current period are supposedly used for purchases only during the next
period. All income from the previous period is assumed to be fully spent. Thus every
monetary unit is supposedly circulating once and only once per period. Consequently,
the total nominal income of each period is the same. The following assumptions are
made about supply and demand. Two polar extreme types of pricing are examined. The
first case is one in which sellers set prices at the beginning of the market day and sell what
can be sold at that price from the given supply. In the second case prices are completely
flexible and adjust in order to clear the market. Likewise two different types of demand
functions are considered: either a perfectly inelastic demand curve or the more usual
downward sloping demand curve. As will be seen, the inflation results from particular
interactions of these pricing systems and demand functions.
We suppose that, without any change in the production conditions, the supply price of
commodity c,, produced in market 1, is raised compared with its earlier magnitude.
Since the demand for this particular commodity is inelastic, all the supplied quantities
will be sold at the higher price. Consequently, the amount of money which its purchasers
are able to devote to other purchases diminishes, so that in other markets a decrease in
demand occurs. The latter are aggregated in one single market called market 2. The pos-
sibility of inflation depends then on market 2 sellers' reaction to a decrease in demand or,
1
For one example amongst others, see Brunner (1981).
Inflation 391
Fig. 3. (a) Market 1. BB': earlier supply function; CC: new supply function; AA': demand function and sup-
ply constraint; OB: earlier price; OC: new price; OA sold quantity, (b) Market 2. First possibility: price
adjustment. AA': supply function and supply constraint; D,D,': earlier demand function; D 2 D 2 ': new
demand function; OA: sold quantity; OB: earlier price; OC: new price, (c) Market 3. Second possibility:
quantity adjustment. BB': supply function; AA': supply constraint; D,D,': initial demand function; D 2 D 2 :
new demand function; OB price; CC: sold quantity; CA; unsold quantity.
in other words, on their pricing. This is illustrated in the diagrams in Fig. 3 in which
dark lines represent the initial supply or demand functions and dash lines the modified
functions.
If we assumeflexibleprices market 2 is cleared, though at a lower price. In such a case
the monetarist argument is verified: a change in relative prices does not entail a change in
the price level, the increase in one price being compensated by a decrease in another one.
However, this result is altered in the second case. Here the increase in price in market 1 is
no longer offset by a decrease in price in market 2. Consequently, the price level goes
up.1 Generalising the argument, we can state that inflation is possible without monetary
causation as soon as demand-shifts take place in fixed price markets. Simplistic as this
may sound, the reason explaining inflation is merely that, while some prices have gone up,
some others have not gone down, contrary to what traditional supply and demand theory
asserts. Had these other prices decreased, no inflation would have arisen. Hence the label
of'price-rigidity inflation'.
The latter is thus associated with a series of rather drastic conditions: a rigid budget
constraint, a hierarchy of goods based on different degrees of price elasticity and, finally,
fixed supply. The process is triggered off by an increase in the price of a good the elasti-
city of demand for which is so low that after the price rise a higher proportion of the
money supply is absorbed in that market. As shown in the appendix, this result is not
altered when wages are included in the analysis.
Of course, several remarks can be made. Firstly, these assumptions are very restric-
tive. Secondly, our example does not explicitly take into account the dynamic dimension
and the permanent character of inflation. Thirdly, one should notice that the inflationary
process described above can be seen as the result of a bias in index calculation, as unsold
commodities are not included in the price indices. A simple example may illustrate what
we have in mind. Assume that at the end of the market day, half of the supply of a given
good is still unsold, the first half having been sold at the supply price of 1-0. Two out-
comes are possible. In the first one, the second half of the production is eventually sold at
'This assertion rests on the assumption that the price level is a perfect indicator which takes into account
not only the commodities' average prices but also their relative weight in total production. In order to escape
from this restriction, inflation can be denned in a different although equivalent way, namely as a discrepancy
between the evolution of total nominal income and total real income. If the former rises more than the
latter or if it remains constant while the latter decreases, without compensatory changes in the velocity of
circulation of money, we have inflation.
392 M. De Vroey
a bargain price, say 0 1 . The market is cleared and the average price of the product enter-
ing into the index calculation is 0-55. The second outcome is that this second half
remains unsold. Now the average price is still 1 0, in so far at least as only commodities
sold are taken into account in the index calculation. If the price of another commodity
has risen, in the first outcome this rise will be compensated by the decline in price of the
considered commodity but in the second one it will not and the price index will increase.
If unsold commodities were counted in die index at a zero price, the average price would
fall to 0-5 and no index increase would take place. With such a procedure the price level
would no longer be influenced by the absence of market clearing and would only vary as a
function of productivity and monetary change.
Despite these restrictions, one main idea should be retained from our analysis, namely
that when the quantity of money is fixed and prices are downwardly rigid and
upwardly flexible, changes in relative prices can lead to an increase in the price level. In
such cases inflation necessarily goes along with the failure of markets to clear and presum-
ably with social waste, since part of the product remains unsold. However, while the
assumption made about price behaviour seems quite acceptable, the same cannot be said
about the assumption of a constant money stock. For a very probable response to the
outcome depicted in our example is increased indebtedness, either by the frustrated
purchasers or by the firms threatened by losses. However, once we give up the assump-
tion of a fixed money stock we are back with the situation studied above of a monetary
expansion generated by counteracting a loss. The only difference is that now, instead of a
definitely irretrievable loss, we face die prospect of a loss which can be accommodated.
No extra-money ^^ 1 Extra-money
/
1
Stability or
^
Quantity effect
^
Second rite
Key
1 1
Increase in amortisation Consolidation of Indebtedness
costs and creation of extra-money
\ i
Increase in prices Increase in purchasing power
Price-rigidity Market Resorption of Extra-money
inflation unclearing market unclearing inflation
tion. Both result from obsolescence: extra-money from actual obsolescence; cost-plus
pricing from its threat. Fig. 5 summarises the argument.
Secondly, the centralisation policy has impeded the working of the 'creative destruction'
process, to borrow Schumpeter's expression. 'Lame ducks' have been kept alive, pro-
ductive structures have been rigidified and countries with a relatively more extensive
centralisation policy may have become less competitive internationally. Thirdly, once
inflation gallops with the possible threat of hyper-inflation, money itself as the central
institution of a market economy becomes imperilled. A suspicious attitude towards it,
especially towards its reserve function, tends to develop, paralleled by the search for pro-
xies (Aglietta and Orlean, 1982, ch. 5). To stop such developments drastic measures
must be taken against both the spiralling price-rigidity effects and extra-money.
In the current debates about the future of capitalist economies conservative econom-
ists use these features to advocate their own views of what is required to transform the
concept of a pure market economy into reality. We find this objective illusory and
socially dangerous. But this is not a reason for denying the existence of the above-
mentioned contradictions. They cannot be swept away through the application of
centralisation policies which have proved successful in the past. This reveals that
inflation, after having been a full partner in capitalist development in its post World War
II growth phase, has now become a central element in its structural crisis (De Vroey,
1984B).
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Inflation 397
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398 M. De Vroey
C \
B' B'
N,
B
O A q 0 A q 0 C A q
Fig. Al. (a) Market 1. BB': earlier supply function; CC new supply function; AA': demand function and
supply corutraint; OB: earlier price; OC: new price; OA: sold quantity, (b) Market 2 or 3. First possibility:
price adjustment. AA': supply function and supply constraint; D,D,: earlier demand function; D 2 D 2 ': new
demand function; OA: sold quantity; OB: earlier price; OC: new price, (c) Market 2 or 3. Second possibility:
quantity adjustment. BB': supply function; AA': supply constraint; 0 , 0 , ' : initial demand function; D 2 D 2 ':
new demand function; OB: price; CC: sold quantity; CA: unsold quantity.
We now assume that at the beginning of the period wage-earners get a rise in wages without an
initial rise in the supply price of wage-goods. Again this leads immediately to a restriction in
capitalists' purchasing power and thus to decrease in demand for c3. However, in so far as we
assume that during the previous phases all markets were cleared and that nothing has changed in
terms of productivity and output, eventually this rise in nominal wages will not improve real
wages, for it will lead to an increase in demand in one wage-goods branch, let us say branch 2. If p 2
is upwardlyflexibleit will rise, otherwise some rationing will occur. Inflation can occur only in the
former case. Again its occurence then depends on the adjustment behaviour in market 3 and we fall
back on the initial situation depicted above.
Finally, whatever assumption is made about the origin of increased wage-costs, one could
imagine that as soon as the latter have increased all capitalist firms raise their supply price to main-
tain their profit margin. What would be the result of such a strategy? In the wage-goods sector this
rise will be accepted by the market since demand has increased. But in the other branches demand
is decreasing. If market clearing prevails,firmsin these branches will have to forego their strategy
of mark-up pricing and reduce their prices beyond what they would have asked without the rise in
wages. No inflation would arise. However, if the mark-up objective prevails and if firms maintain
their higher prices, sales will decrease even more than if prices had remained stable. In such a case
we get both greater inflation and a bigger loss.
Wage increases thus appear to be neither a necessary condition nor a sufficient condition for
price-rigidity inflation. The latter can arise without a wage increase while autonomous wage
pushes do not necessarily lead to inflation.