Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Portfolio Theory, CAPM, WACC and Optimal Capital Structure
Portfolio Theory, CAPM, WACC and Optimal Capital Structure
com
Strictly Private
and Confidential
20 July 2018
Agenda 1
2
An introduction to capital structure
Different measures of gearing
3
8
3 Value of an ungeared company 13
4 The traditional approach to the theory of capital structure 18
5 The Modigliani Miller approach to the theory of capital structure 24
6 Capital structure theory and CAPM 36
7 Calculating the WACC 44
8 The Adjusted Present Value approach 46
An introduction
to capital
structure
Gearing
Capital structure
- The extent of debt finance
- Depends on a company’s
in a company
choice between debt and
- Volatility in earnings as a
equity
result of a company’s
capital structure
The main advantages of debt capital centre on its relative cost. Debt capital is
usually cheaper than equity because:
The pre-tax rate of interest is invariably lower than the return required by
shareholders (due to the legal position of lenders). Debt is usually secured
on the firm’s assets, which can be sold to pay off lenders in the event of
default.
Debt interest can be set against profit for tax purposes, reducing the
effective cost.
The administrative and issuing costs are normally lower, e.g. underwriters
are not always required, although legal fees are usually involved.
The main downsides of debt capital centre on the additional risk to the
borrower:
Excessively high borrowing levels can lead to the risk of inability to meet
debt interest payments in years of poor trading conditions.
Traditional view
• Modigliani and Miller’s (MM, 1958) work on the pure theory of capital structure
initially suggested that company value was unaffected by gearing.
• This conclusion prompted critical opposition, leading eventually to a coherent
theory of capital structure, the current version of which looks very similar to the
traditional view.
Different
measures of
gearing
Measures of gearing
Capital gearing
– the proportion of Income gearing –
debt capital in the Financial the extent to which
firm’s overall gearing the company’s
capital structure income is pre-
empted by interest
charges
𝐼𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑡 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑔𝑒𝑠
𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 𝑔𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑖𝑛𝑔 = × 100
𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡 𝑏𝑒𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑒 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑡 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑡𝑎𝑥
Equity Debt
Value of an
ungeared
company
• For debt, where there is no discrepancy between book value (B) and market
value (VB) the capitalisation rate is simply the nominal interest rate.
• The overall value of the geared company, Vg, is the combined value of its
shares and its debt:
(𝐸 − 𝑖𝐵) 𝑖𝐵 𝐸 − 𝑖𝐵
𝑉𝑔 = 𝑉𝑠 + 𝑉𝐵 = + = + 𝑉𝐵
𝑘𝑒 𝑖 𝑘𝑒
• The overall capitalisation rate (denoted by k0) for a company using a mixed
capital structure is a weighted average, whose weights reflect the
relative importance of each type of finance in the capital structure, i.e. Vs/Vg
and VB/Vg for equity and debt, respectively:
𝑉𝑠 𝑉𝐵
𝑘0 = 𝑘𝑒 𝑥 + 𝑖𝑥
𝑉𝑔 𝑉𝑔
• Bearing in mind that (keVs) and iB (or iVB, when VB=B) represent the
returns to shareholders and lenders respectively, together E, the weighted
average expression simplifies to:
𝑘𝑒𝑉𝑠 + 𝑖𝐵 𝐸
𝑘0 = =
𝑉𝑔 𝑉𝑔
• For both ungeared and geared firms alike, k0 is found by dividing the total
required earnings by the value of the whole firm.
• k0 = weighted average cost of capital (WACC) expresses the overall
return required to satisfy the demands of both groups of stakeholders.
• The WACC may be interpreted as an average discount rate applied by the
market to the company’s future operating cash flows to derive the capitalised
value of this stream, i.e. the value of the whole company.
The traditional
approach to
the theory of
capital
structure
Cost of
capital Ke
(%)
WACC
Kd
0
Level of gearing
Note: ke rises
before kd given
that equity has a
higher risk
The Modigliani
Miller approach to
the theory of
capital structure
01
All investors 02
are price-
takers.
08
03
Investors
have similar MM’s No personal
expectations or corporate
about future
assumptions income
earnings. taxes.
07 No
Firms can be
grouped into brokerage 04
‘homogeneous or other
risk classes’. Investors are transaction
all rational charges.
06 wealth
05
seekers.
Optimal capital structure 20 July 2018
PwC 26
5 The Modigliani Miller approach to the theory of capital
structure
MM Proposition I
MM Proposition II
MM Propositions I and II
MM Proposition III
• MM’s third proposition asserts that ‘the cut-off rate for new investment
will in all cases be the WACC and will be unaffected by the type of
security used to finance the investment’.
• Proposition I states that the WACC is constant and equal to the cost of equity
in an equivalent ungeared company. Since it is invariant to capital structure,
it follows that however a project is financed, it must yield a return of at least
the overall minimum return required to satisfy stakeholders as a whole.
• The post- tax annual expected earnings stream, comprises the earnings
attributable to shareholders plus the debt interest:
𝐸𝑇 = 𝐸 − 𝑖𝐵 1 − 𝑇 + 𝑖𝐵 or 𝐸𝑇 = 𝐸 1 − 𝑇 + 𝑇𝑖𝐵
• The first element is the net income that the shareholders in an equivalent
ungeared company would receive, while the second element is the annual
tax benefit afforded by debt interest relief.
• The total value of the geared company, Vg, is found by capitalising the first
element at the cost of equity capital applicable to an ungeared company (keu)
while the second is capitalised at the cost of debt, which we have assumed
equals the nominal rate of interest, i:
𝐸(1 − 𝑇) 𝑇𝑖𝐵 𝐸(1 − 𝑇)
𝑉𝑔 = + = = 𝑉𝑢 + 𝑇𝐵
𝑘𝑒𝑢 𝑖 𝑘𝑒𝑢
• The discounted value of future tax savings, or the tax shield, is thus a major
modification of MM’s Proposition I.
Optimal capital structure 20 July 2018
PwC 32
5 The Modigliani Miller approach to the theory of capital
structure
• In its tax-adjusted form, the MM thesis looks rather more like the traditional
version, in so far as the WACC declines over some range of gearing.
• However, the benefits from gearing clearly derive from the tax
system, rather than from the apparent failure of the shareholders to
respond fully to financial risk by seeking higher returns.
Capital structure
theory and CAPM
• The asset Beta (i.e. the activity Beta) equals the Beta of the methods of
finance used to acquire those assets, i.e., the asset Beta equates to a weighted
average of the Betas of the various methods of financing, according to the
importance of each source of finance in the capital structure.
𝐵𝑒𝑡𝑎 𝑜𝑓 𝑎𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠
= 𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝐵𝑒𝑡𝑎 𝑥 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑝𝑜𝑟𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑜𝑓 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 + 𝐷𝑒𝑏𝑡 𝐵𝑒𝑡𝑎 𝑥 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑝𝑜𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑜𝑓 𝑑𝑒𝑏𝑡
𝑉𝑠 𝑉𝐵
𝛽𝐴 = 𝛽𝑠 𝑥 + 𝛽𝐵 𝑥
𝑉𝑠 + 𝑉𝐵(1 − 𝑇) 𝑉𝑠 + 𝑉𝐵(1 − 𝑇)
• When moving into a new activity we can take a firm’s equity Beta
and ungear it to reveal the underlying activity Beta.
• This is particularly useful when diversifying into a new activity – we might
borrow a Beta from another firm, whose gearing may differ from our own.
• In this case, we might ungear the borrowed Beta to strip out that firm’s
financial risk, and then re-gear to incorporate our own firm’s gearing ratio.
Optimal capital structure 20 July 2018
PwC 39
6 Capital structure theory and CAPM
Example:
• Equity Beta of firm operating in new activity = 1.35
• Gearing ratio (debt/ equity) of firm = 40%
• Tax rate = 30%
• Own gearing ratio = 10% (debt/ equity)
Ungearing the other firm’s equity Beta, assuming the debt Beta is zero:
𝑉𝑠 60
𝛽𝐴 = 𝛽𝑠 𝑥 = 1.35 x = 0.92
𝑉𝑠 + 𝑉𝐵(1 − 𝑇) 60 + 40(1 − 30%)
Re-gearing to incorporate the company’s own gearing, the βs is given by:
100
0.92 = 𝛽𝑠 𝑥
100 + 10(1 − 30%)
107
𝛽𝑠 = 0.92 𝑥 = 0.98
100
Optimal capital structure 20 July 2018
PwC 40
6 Capital structure theory and CAPM
• Few companies gear up to extreme levels, through both their own and
lenders’ fear of insolvency, and its associated costs. MM’s omission of
liquidation costs from their analysis was a logical consequence of their
perfect capital market assumptions.
• However, liquidation costs and the other costs of financial distress
introduce a new imperfection into the analysis of capital structure decisions:
namely the actual or expected inability to realise ‘full value’ for assets in a
distress sale and the costs of actions taken to forestall this contingency.
• Denoting the ‘costs of financial distress’ by FD, the value of a geared
company becomes:
𝑉𝑔 = 𝑉𝑢 + 𝑇𝐵 − 𝐹𝐷
• The costs of financial distress rise with gearing once the market starts to
perceive a substantially increased risk of financial failure.
• For most companies, the probability, p, of financial distress will increase
with the book values of debt, B, so that the FD function increases with
gearing. If d denotes the expected percentage discount on the pre-liquidation
value in the event of a forced sale, the expected costs of financial distress are:
𝐹𝐷 = 𝑝 𝑥 𝑑 𝑥 𝑉𝑔
Calculating
the WACC
• The WACC is the overall required return needed to satisfy all stakeholders.
Example:
• Value of debt = VB = €1m
• Value of equity = Vs = €2.80m
• Shareholders’ required return = keg = 22.5%
• Interest cost of debt = i = 10%
• Rate of corporate tax = T = 30%
𝑉𝑠 𝑉𝐵
𝑊𝐴𝐶𝐶 = 𝑘𝑒𝑔 𝑥 + 𝑖 1−𝑇 𝑥
𝑉𝑠 + 𝑉𝐵 𝑉𝑠 + 𝑉𝐵
€2.80𝑚 €1𝑚
= 22.5% 𝑥 + 10%(1 − 30%) 𝑥
€2.80𝑚 + €1𝑚 €2.80𝑚 + €1𝑚
= 22.5% 𝑥 0.74 + 7% 𝑥 0.26 = 16.6% + 1.8% = 18.4%
The Adjusted
Present Value
approach
Example:
Rigton plc has a debt/equity ratio of 20%. The equity Beta is 1.30. The risk-free
rate is 10% and a return of 16% is expected from the market portfolio. The rate
of corporate tax is 30%. Rigton proposes to undertake a project requiring an
outlay of €10 million, financed partly by equity and partly by debt. The project,
a perpetuity, is thought to be able to support borrowings of €3 million at an
interest rate of 12%, thus imposing interest charges of €0.36 million. It is
expected to generate pre-tax cash flows of €2.3 million p.a.
Solution:
1. Calculate the ungeared beta
𝑉𝑠 100% 1.30
𝛽𝑢 = 𝛽𝑔 𝑥 = 1.30 𝑥 = = 1.14
𝑉𝑠 + 𝑉𝐵(1 − 𝑇) 100% + 20%(1 − 30%) 1.14
© 2018 PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership. All rights reserved. PwC
refers to the United States member firm, and may sometimes refer to the PwC network. Each member firm
is a separate legal entity. Please see www.pwc.com/structure for further details. This document is for
general information purposes only, and should not be used as a substitute for consultation with
professional advisors.