Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Bureaucracy
professional part of the executive organ
of government.
• usually described as the non-political or
politically neutral, permanent, and
professionally trained civil service.
• the administration of the state according
to the policies and laws of the government
political executive.
• qualities and efficiency of bureaucracy
depends the quality and efficiency of the
state administration, including leadership
and control of the Political Executive.
CHARACTERISTIC OF BUREAUCRACY
ENVIRONMENT functions
Collection of revenue
Maintenance of internal order
Protection of the State from external
aggression
Welfare state –
2. Constitution – document
containing laws, rules and
regulations enacted by a
constituted body governing a
country.
3. Political leadership
POLITICAL 4. Political parties
ENVIRONMEN Party ideology
T Party manifesto
5. Pressure groups
6. Public opinion and mass media
7. Coalition government
Utilising knowledge of your country
case study, explore the issues related
to
recruitment and training,
DISCUSSIO administrative accountability and
N responsibility, and
government administration.
How do these factors mesh with the
political ideology, social values,
administrative efficiency and overall
development of the country
concerned
GOOD GOVERNANCE
Concept of Good Governance
Bureaucracy
61
62 ◾ Globalism and Comparative Public Administration
1. Fixed and official jurisdictional areas are generally ordered by rules and laws.
2. Principles of office hierarchy and of levels of graded authority mean a firmly
ordered system of superior-subordinate authority.
Bureaucracy ◾ 63
emphasize technical skills, knowledge, merit, justice, due process, and all those
values featured in modern professional management. Thus, Weber applied the
comparative approach successfully over time and space in the search for regulari-
ties and common threads.
Thus, Blau and Meyer conclude that organizations of the first type (industrial
and services) would always be bureaucratized, but those of the third type (public
policy making) never would. The authors’ thesis, however, does not resolve the
problem in mixed situations. Also, for policy-making organizations, it is commonly
accepted (and Weber himself has recognized) that setting national goals and poli-
cies in a democratic system is a function of elected people rather than appointed
bureaucrats.
Although the issue of bureaucracy versus democracy is not new, it has been
the subject of a continuing debate that has changed in form and in substance over
time. From the right, as early as 1940s and before, conservatives saw a “danger
that our impatience for quick results may lead us to choose instruments which,
though perhaps more efficient for achieving the particular ends, are not compatible
with the preservation of a free society” (Hayek 1944: x). Accordingly, bureaucracy
is incompatible with democracy. This line of thinking perceives a historical pat-
tern. In The Road to Serfdom, Friedrich A. Hayek (1944: vii) took the position
that increasing government control over the economy would ultimately lead to
nation-wide socialism, which requires that a central plan to replace the market. He
offered this illustration: In 1934, Germany, Italy, Russia, and Japan applied central
planning; ten years later, they had all become totalitarian states. Such overdrawn
conclusion is tenuous for two reasons: First, several other countries employed cen-
tral planning, even considerable measures of socialism—for example, the United
Kingdom and India—but were not transformed into totalitarian states. Second,
the evidence of cause and effect relationship between planning and totalitarianism
is flimsy at best.
Similarly, some recent criticisms of the state regard the growth of bureaucracy
as incursion by the government, beyond what they perceive as its “acceptable” and
limited boundaries. The expansion of the role of public policy in the economies
of the U.S and other countries, after the economic disaster of the 2008–9, has
also been labeled socialism and communism by ideologues and extreme political
groups. Although state activism was often the result of weakened regulatory pro-
cesses and abuse of the market mechanisms that required state intervention, the
assertive regulatory process and the use of public expenditure as a stimulus have
faced rigorous negative reactions not unlike those attacks of earlier times.
From the left, bureaucracy is also considered an obstacle to the functioning of a
democratic society. For radical political left, bureaucracy is a problem that stands in
the way of creating a democratic society. According to the radical left, rules, regula-
tions, hierarchy, standardization, and impersonality of organizational decisions, essen-
tial elements of the Weberian bureaucracy, are manifestations of authoritarianism
68 ◾ Globalism and Comparative Public Administration
and oppression of the individual. Views of the left are not unanimous or even harmo-
nious. The following statement, even if exaggerated, is illustrative:
Weber’s formulation describes the three types of authority system (presented ear-
lier) each with a distinct foundation of authority. In the traditional system, legiti-
mate power comes from the tradition and the inherited status of family and wealth.
Consequently, when the political order is not representative of citizens, it would be
unrealistic to expect bureaucracy to be. Also, such system is not fully bureaucra-
tized (rules, technical competence of the staff, hierarchical responsibilities, etc.) and
so remains highly inefficient. In the charismatic system, the legitimacy of power is
tied to the exceptional qualities of the leader. Thus, again, it is not representation
that governs political or administrative authority. And in the legal-rational system,
legitimacy of power emanates from the belief in the rightness of the law and the
respect for it (Gerth and Mills 1946). Americans, for example, habitually describe
their political order as a “system of laws’” and they like to justify many public deci-
sions with the ultimate defense by pointing out that “it is the law.”
How can bureaucracy be made to conform with citizens’ views, preferences,
and values? If bureaucracy were always neutral in its values, obedient to the elected
superiors, and limiting its activities to enforcement of public laws and rules, then
most controversies surrounding bureaucracy would melt away. But size of bureau-
cracy, its continuity in office, its expert knowledge, and its effective channels of
communication with the public tipped the balance of power-structure in some soci-
eties in favor of bureaucracy. This is more noticeable in societies that experience
high turnover in the political and executive leadership such as frequent resignations
of the cabinet or the chief executive. Bureaucracy’s performance under these condi-
tions tends to fill in the gap created by the political vacuum rather than usurping
power, as the critics charge.
Certainly, performance seems to concern the public far more than the issue of
whether bureaucracy is an impediment to democracy, an issue relayed often in an
exaggerated form. Charles Goodsell, in The Case for Bureaucracy (1994), accumu-
lated “hard” data on citizens’ opinions of public bureaucracy, beginning with a sur-
vey by Leonard White in 1929 to public polls in the 1990s. He concluded that the
“hard” data on bureaucracy are “overwhelmingly favorable.” “Bureaucracy works.
To claim otherwise is either to ignore the evidence or to assert that we are being
totally fooled by the paradigm of rationality, with only a few critical theorists able
to escape the charade” (Goodsell 1994: 46).
Thus, fears of bureaucratic despotism in democratic societies are magnified for
ideological and political reasons. But this should not mean a defense of a per-
fect situation. Administrative reform is a continual objective of public policy and
strengthening tools of monitoring and control is a constant challenge. Generally,
combinations of control and monitoring mechanisms over bureaucratic powers are
found to varying degrees of effectiveness in all systems of governance:
of the necessary long delays, because of the amplitude of the scope it must attain,
and because of the resistance it must overcome, change in bureaucratic organi-
zations is a deeply felt crisis” (Crozier 1964: 196). Various theoretical constructs
and derivative techniques evolved to modify early parochial assumptions of pub-
lic administration. Indeed, cross-cultural comparisons and the subsequent advent
of development administration are among the vigorous responses in this respect.
Development administration, in its early conception, has been viewed as an integral
part of societal development, as well as profoundly influenced by overall societal
attributes. In other terms, while development administration is to disconnect with
the known anomalies of traditional administration, it is, also, to associate with
overall change and development in the new nations. In the industrial countries,
however, responses to bureaucratic rigidities, over-conformance to rules and regula-
tions, and unsatisfactory responsiveness to community needs and to policy objec-
tives, took different shapes and offered different alternatives:
are another swing of the pendulum in the opposite direction of the bureaucratic
rigidity.
Fearing for their jobs in societies with high unemployment levels, and dread-
ing unrestrained political and administrative powers at the top, public employees
seek safety through compliance and by avoiding risk. “Following the rules” usually
means minimizing the chances of making punishable mistakes. Under these condi-
tions, changing organizational culture, empowering employees, and training and
personnel development usually go a long way to remedy some of these symptoms
and to stimulate creativity and change. Addressing the issue of costly bureaucracy
in the Pentagon, Secretary of Defense Robert Gates pointed out that a simple
request for a dog-handling team in Afghanistan must be reviewed and assessed
at multiple high-level headquarters before it can be deployed to the war zone. The
secretary continued to say, “Can you believe it takes five four-star headquarters to
get a decision on a guy and a dog up to me?” (Jaffe 2010: A03).
one might expect to find in a given political system would vary with the form of
legitimate authority claimed and accepted in the society.
In sum, despite tendencies to discredit bureaucracy and to associate with it vari-
ous negative images, the merit of focusing on bureaucracy in the analysis remains
overriding. Anti-bureaucratic sentiments and the numerous myths and distortions
surrounding the subject often prevent objective assessments of the matter (Goodsell
1994). Unfavorable images have been internalized, particularly in the American
culture and to a lesser extent universally, that a balanced consideration of the issues
is becoming hard to reach. The negative conception of bureaucracy is misleading
as it is discouraging to students of the public administration. The negative per-
spectives seem to accumulate the dysfunctions and unanticipated consequences of
the Weberian formulation of bureaucracy to construct a straw man rather than to
provide a realistic analysis of organizational and managerial issues. This is like a
case of mistaken identity where a growing distrust of governance for failure and for
corruption of politics has been misdirected to blame bureaucracy and civil service.
“Diminished trust and confidence in government brought with it an onslaught of
attacks on civil servants that called into question the motivations of civil servants
and the control systems that direct them” (Perry and Hondeghem 2008: 2). Such
notions simply detract from realizing the full benefits of the analysis and hinder
neutral judgments on bureaucracy and its considerable role as an institution per-
forming essential functions for governance of modern society.
Another powerful source of the boisterous criticism is business mass media,
which are not totally altruistic or entirely motivated by concerns for the public
interest. Privatization usually opens up new opportunities for private profits; but
privatization is difficult to attain if public management is performing well. Thus,
although privatization did not always result in improvements in public service,
myths are perpetuated about efficiencies of the private sector that are unrealistic
and even contrived. In fact, government can never tolerate the waste and the high
cost of the incentive systems of the private sector. Imagine government compet-
ing with the private sector and paying the U.S. secretary of defense or any public
official the same as the CEO of Disney Corporation, for example, or as the nearly
100 large companies that awarded each of their top executives options mega grants
worth over $12 million annually.2 Nor can the public sector offer the other benefits
available to corporate managers, let alone justify the cost of huge failures such as
in the case of savings and loan associations, steel industry, Enron, AIG, and many
other businesses that lost out to foreign competitors, or were victimized by gigantic
schemes of fraud and mismanagement.
In the final analysis, the bureaucratic model in the Weberian sense is an ideal
model that rarely exists in practice. On the other hand, public administration has
incorporated enormous changes and modifications since Max Weber pronounced
his framework. Today’s public administration is an interdisciplinary field that con-
sists of clusters of frameworks; each derives its content from a variety of intellectual
roots. Whether in managing human resources, budgets, or whole organizations,
76 ◾ Globalism and Comparative Public Administration
of its reputation for doing work of limited quality focused on a narrow domain”
(Thompson 1999: 120). What area of social science would not benefit by such
advice? But this is a different matter altogether.
The ultimate test of public administration, particularly the comparative aspect,
is inseparable from its ability to cultivate concepts and practices that produce sig-
nificant quantitative and qualitative improvements in the performance of public
organizations. This objective is well-served by (1) continued refinements of admin-
istrative theory in relation to application; and (2) by systematic monitoring of man-
agerial practices to identify complementary measures that create substantive effects,
thus enabling us to know, with a measure of confidence, “what really works.”
Indeed, as Donald Kettl points out, public administration does have important
things to say to public officials. “Public administration has a rich theory and even
richer tradition of analyzing what is truly public about government management,
and this is the piece most prominently missing from the public reform debate”
(Kettl 1999: 131).
Conclusion
Bureaucracy is a key institution of national as well as local governance. Today’s
bureaucracy, however, has largely been customized and profoundly adapted to fit
the conditions of its context. Also, within the national bureaucracy (administra-
tion), each organization is distinct in its practices and proficiency. Much advance-
ment in knowledge of human behavior over the past several decades has resulted in
modifications of Weber’s classic formulations. The impact of change in managerial
concepts and practices as a result of new approaches such as Human Relations
School, Team Building, and Total Quality Management has been profoundly man-
ifested. The rationale for the CPA in focusing on bureaucracy in its modern reality
is based on these factors:
necessary insights and knowledge not only for delivery of public services, but
also for the greater domain of policy making and policy implementation.
Thus, more information is usually available on bureaucracy in different con-
texts because of institutional visibility, concrete structures and actions, and
having identifiable membership, definable objectives, and measurable levels
of performance (Heady 2001).
3. The study of national bureaucracy lends itself to a single case method as well
as to a multiple case analysis and comparison. To be sure, bureaucracy may
be a small or a large institution, depending on the size of the country and the
type of government. But bureaucracy has always been a manageable unit for
study and analysis. Utilizing bureaucracy as the unit of analysis, therefore,
means improved ability to generate middle-range hypotheses for testing
within one or more countries.
4. Most of the sins attributed to bureaucracy are either magnified misdeeds
or consequences of misapplication. A basic question is whether bureau-
cracy indeed exerts a hobbling effect on political development. Although
bureaucracy can accumulate excessive powers, more often than not, it
remains subservient to the political order. Bureaucratic power is the result
of attributes that make bureaucracy imperative in the first place such as
expertise and continuity in office. But, an effective political system has
the oversight means to check bureaucratic deviations, maintain reliability
of the processes of performance, and continually stimulate administra-
tive improvement to counterbalance any excess of bureaucratic influence.
To bypass some traditional shortcomings of bureaucracy in develop-
ing countries, development administration was prescribed with features
that promise to serve better the objectives of national development. The
comparativists seem to have confidence in development administration
as a unique set of structures and functions unencumbered by traditional
bureaucratic anomalies of legendry rigidity and resistance to change. But
even such conceived development administration cannot be detached from
the political context.
5. National bureaucracy operates within a web of relations and shares in the
stewardship for public policy. But bureaucracy is only one part of governance,
an inclusive concept that involves many structures and functions. In complex
processes of interactions, each of the legislative, executive, and judicial pow-
ers maintains autonomy but also shares responsibilities and powers. Thus,
the functioning of national bureaucracy has to be viewed in a broader under-
standing of governance. A balanced consideration of all institutions and pro-
cesses of decision making and their consequences is essential for effective
conduct of comparative analysis. As the classic model of bureaucracy stipu-
lates, the proper functioning of bureaucracy is not separate from its legal-
rational political context or in today’s terms a civil society with supremacy of
the law.
Bureaucracy ◾ 79
References
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Blau, P. M., and M. W. Meyer 1971. Bureaucracy in Modern Society. 2nd ed. New York:
Random House.
Braibanti, R. 1969. Political Administrative Development. Durham, N.C: Duke University Press.
Crozier, M. 1964. The Bureaucratic Phenomenon. Chicago: The University of Chicago Press.
Diamant, A. 1962. The bureaucratic model: Max Weber rejected, rediscovered, reformed. In
Papers in Comparative Public Administration, eds. F. Heady and S. L. Stokes, 59–96.
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Fry, B. R. 1989. Mastering Public Administration: From Max Weber to Dwight Waldo.
Chatham, NJ: Chatham House.
Gerth, H. H., and C. W. Mills 1946. From Max Weber: Essays in Sociology. New York: Oxford
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Goodsell, C. T. 1994. The Case for Bureaucracy. 3rd ed. Chatham, NJ: Chatham House.
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force. Washington Post. (Sunday May 9: A03).
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istration really stood for. Public Administration Review 61 (2): 144–160 (March/April).
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Merton et al. New York: The Free Press.
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Bureaucracy ◾ 81
Endnotes
1. A report by T. Yokota and Y. Nagaoka in Newsweek June 21, 2010, titled “Japan’s Not-
So-Prime Minister,” is telling. They say that Japan’s new prime minister [Naoto Kan]
“has a reputation as a flip-flopper.” He used to slam Tokyo’s powerful bureaucrats as “a
bunch of idiots.” But when he was sworn in as prime minister in June 2010, he prom-
ised to consult “their knowledge and expertise.” P. 5.
2. In 1998, the CEO of Disney was paid a total of $575.6 million, according to Business
Week. April 19, 1999. P. 72. (Over 70% of employees at Disney were making a little
more than minimum wage.) Annually business journals publish these figures and show
how they continue to grow. In 2010, USA Today (April 2: 2B) published the names
of the twenty-five most highly paid corporate chief executives in 2009. The pay per
person ranged between 5 and 50 million dollars annually.
Chapter 2
Comparative Public
Administration
Introduction
Comparative public administration (CPA) is the study of administrative institu-
tions, processes, and behaviors across organizational, national, and cultural bound-
aries. The CPA is a method of investigation and analysis that compares attributes
and performance of administrative systems and subsystems as well as individuals or
groups in positions of decision making to generate knowledge and enhance under-
standing of public management. Comparison recognizes similarities and differ-
ences and underscores successful practices, thus, expanding options and alternative
strategies for improving the performance of public institutions.
The context (environment) of public administration consists of various exter-
nal factors that exert significant influences on management action and behavior
through different means and channels. External factors include societal values, legal
norms, politics, international-global accords, culture, and the state of the economy.
Together, these diverse external factors have considerable impact on public manage-
ment, stimulating or stifling systemic traits and performance. In democratic gover-
nance, however, the political environment “determines the scope and objectives of
the public services; it is the political environment which determines the values to
be applied when delivering these services; … and [the political environment] is the
33
34 ◾ Globalism and Comparative Public Administration
most important factor in the differences between public administration and man-
agement or administration in other contexts” (Chapman 2000: 219). These external
influences on public administration are often loosely grouped together under the
terms environment, context, or even culture (Almond and Verba 1989).
The comparative approach has been an important thrust within the field of public
administration, committed to human learning and to discovery through compari-
son. The CPA seeks to advance administrative knowledge by focusing on adminis-
trative structures, functions, behaviors, and performance across organizational and
cultural boundaries to improve reliability and applicability of administrative con-
cepts and practices. As Bannister (2007: 171) notes, “The human urge to compare
one’s performance with that of others seems to be an intrinsic part of our psycho-
logical make-up.” Comparison is more prevalent in our expressions and formal judg-
ments than commonly acknowledged. We often compare performance to previous
years, to other people, to other organizations, to cost, to benchmarks, and to similar
functions and activities across jurisdictions and across national boundaries.
Consistently, the CPA seeks discovery of patterns and regularities of administra-
tive action and behavior to produce new knowledge and insights and to affirm and
refine existing information. The outcome, whether comparative research discovers
new knowledge or validates existing information, is that public administration schol-
ars and practitioners are better able to sort out and to adopt most worthy practices.
“Comparison is so central to good analysis that the scientific method is unavoidably
comparative” (Collier 1991: 7). Similarly, social scientists regard the comparative
approach as “the methodological core of the humanistic and scientific methods”
(Almond et al. 2000: 33). As a requirement of the scientific investigative process, the
comparative approach has frequently been noted and emphasized in public admin-
istration literature since Woodrow Wilson’s famous article in 1887. After many
decades, Dahl’s (1947: 8) widely quoted declaration remains true. Namely, as long as
the study of public administration is not comparative, “claims of a science of public
administration” sound rather hollow. Dahl concluded that the development of an
American, British, or French science of public administration is feasible. But he also
inquired: can there be “a science of public administration” in the sense of a body of
generalized principles, independent of their peculiar national setting?
Comparative studies of organizations and institutions also reinforce under-
standing of global influences while expanding the domain of intellectual inquiry
beyond traditional, parochial tendencies. Credible comparison of any aspect of
governance cannot be confined to culture-bound practices any more for certain
reasons: (1) The impact of globalization and regional integration in Europe, the
Americas, and the rest of the world, points out that many decisions are made
through multilateral negotiations and agreements that are binding to participating
countries and beyond. Also, a large number of international organizations are fre-
quently setting rules and policies that moderate the notion of unfettered authority
of the nation state. (2) The examination of administrative practices of other societ-
ies permits us to see a wider range of administrative actions and choices, beyond
Comparative Public Administration ◾ 35
the horizon of our own experiences. Rephrasing Woodrow Wilson, if we study only
ourselves we know only about ourselves and remain isolated in an interconnected
world. The CPA scholarship, at various phases of its evolution, devoted much atten-
tion to learning about unfamiliar, non-Western countries and their aspirations to
transform and to modernize their administrative systems.
Comparative research broadens knowledge of conditions conducive to strong or
weak administrative performance by focusing on a range of patterns of administra-
tive activities and characteristics of the systems performing them. Much learning is
achieved from practices that worked well and from those that did not. Not surpris-
ing, therefore, that administrative reform and capacity building are major concerns
in the comparative literature. To learn from the best practices is to encourage the
recognition and the utilization of the most appropriate organizational structures
and processes. In many countries, irrespective of the results of reform plans for
improving performance of public organizations, the contents of such plans have
largely been based on lessons learned through cross-cultural comparative investi-
gations (Manning and Parison 2004). While explanatory research is essential for
the advancement of scholarship, it also benefits practitioners by expanding their
horizons of choice and their capacity to observe, learn, and improve performance.
Certainly, the practitioner gains deeper understanding of institutions, and the
political processes that influence them, by comparing experiences across boundaries
and across institutions.
to the needs of their organizations. One form of learning has been the meetings of
managers from developed and developing countries, joining in a variety of seminars
and training activities in the United States, Europe, or in developing countries to
discuss and learn about administrative problems and solutions in many contexts.
Utilizing new information technologies, made the flow of information on adminis-
trative successes and failures constant and in all directions.
To cultivate the advantages of the comparative approach, one has to face the
invariable need for constructing a framework that would allow systematic compari-
son of administrative systems of different countries with different levels of develop-
ment. A broadly accepted framework has to meet the test of utility. Specifically, a
proficient framework for comparative studies has to manifest the following general
characteristics:
Still, the overall results of central planning were largely disappointing. In gen-
eral, central plans lacked clarity and specificity of execution procedures and suffered
many other shortcomings such as weak commitment to projects, rigid and routine
management, no participation by citizens and private institutions from outside the
bureaucratic setting, and lack of information and expert knowledge about planned
projects. The accumulation of such problems and shortcomings resulted in serious
deviations from preconceived plans. Formal requirements of project preparation,
analysis, and management changed in the course of implementation (Rondinelli
1982: 46). Central ministries and departments assigned major development duties
failed to reorient and strengthen existing or newly created structures for manag-
ing development plans and projects. They simply presided over modestly effective
operations with dismal records of accomplishments.
Today, comparative and development administration occasionally appear
together as in the Handbook of Comparative and Development Administration
(Farazmand 2001). Others may routinely juxtapose the two terms in the literature,
implying a particular practical or conceptual association. By the end of the 1980s,
however, development administration is infrequently the subject of scholarly atten-
tion, even if the need for the knowledge, skills, and values represented in the devel-
opment administration perspective remain salient and compelling. An important
part of the explanation for the modest contribution by the development administra-
tion approach is that big government, statist involvement in the economy, and the
whole notion of central control through planning were widely disparaged after the
collapse of communist systems and the ascendance of the neoconservative move-
ment in the United States (the Washington Consensus) that sought to relegate most
functions of governance to the private sector. The New Public Management was
one alternative offered for a minimum state and maximum privatization. Moreover,
“donor agencies, both bilateral and multilateral, have attempted to transfer to a
development context theories and practices adopted at various times in developed
countries” (Bertucci 2008: 1002).
During the early years of the emerging countries, the limited available knowl-
edge of administrative systems was mainly derived from comparative administra-
tion studies of newly independent nations such as India, Pakistan, Egypt, and
Thailand. To be sure, this knowledge was insufficient in content and relevance, but
the CPA itself was also at an embryonic phase of conceptual articulation. Emphasis
on the administrative problems of developing countries in the early comparative
literature resulted in (1) forcing administrative reform to the top of the agenda
for action in many countries, (2) recognizing the significance of institutions with
capacity to act as foundations for developmental policies, and (3) breaking out
42 ◾ Globalism and Comparative Public Administration
of the parochial mode and gradually developing shared experiences with a global
outlook on governance. Not surprising, therefore, that during the early years of
the comparative movement, the conventional practices for building administrative
capacity were preoccupied by the need to create instruments that can define and
champion administrative improvements (Riggs 1964).
Subsequently, development administration focused on the question of insti-
tution building as a sure path for developing administrative capacity in the new
nations. Building viable, capable, and innovative institutions to lead in develop-
ment efforts was advocated and promoted in education, training, and internation-
ally through the efforts of the U.S. Agency for International Development. The
institutions that received the endorsement of consultants and financial support by
AID include national planning councils or boards, institutes of public adminis-
tration, development-oriented universities, and research institutes. Foreign consul-
tants followed the trail, also peddling all sorts of “development-oriented training
programs” for public employees in developing countries.
The institution-building framework appeared to have high promise in the 1960s.
It was developed by a consortium of scholars of development from universities of
Pittsburgh, Michigan, Indiana, and Syracuse with significant efforts from people
like Fred Riggs, Milton Esman, William Siffin, and others. An institution was
described and analyzed through three categories of variables:
Governance and
Globalism
Introduction
To fulfill its professional responsibilities and to serve its authoritative obligations,
public administration as a profession continues to evolve and to search for the most
appropriate knowledge and competence. Early in the previous century, develop-
ment of the administrative state within the industrial nations was a major adjust-
ment that changed the structure and the functioning of contemporary governance.
As Kettl and Fesler (1991) note, increasing citizens’ demands of government for
delivery of public services as well as for securing and protecting the general wel-
fare have led to a multiplicity of administrative agencies, a large number of civil
servants, and swelling government budgets to pay for what citizens want, and for
developing the administrative capacity to meet such expectations. This brought
us into a new phase of governance, characterized as “the administrative state.”
Dwight Waldo was one of the earliest to use the term in the title of his semi-
nal work The Administrative State (1948). Since then, extensive literature focused
1
2 ◾ Globalism and Comparative Public Administration
on the administrative state and its profound effect on society, such as Emmette
Redford’s Democracy and the Administrative State (1969), Fritz Morstein Marx’s The
Administrative State (1957), John Rohr’s To Run a Constitution: The Legitimacy of
the Administrative State (1986), and others.
The Industrial Revolution and subsequent technological advancements revolu-
tionized production with greater use of machines. This created new needs for ratio-
nalized organizational management, public or private, through design, planning,
measurement, and regularity in production. Two profound changes in the business
sector transformed corporate governance, permanently:
Governance
Definition Issue
The considerable effects of governance on society have attracted wide interest in the
literature, conveying diverse conceptualizations and definitions (Ahern 2002; Jain
2002; Hyden 2002; Jreisat 2001a; Pierre 2000; Nye and Donahue 2000). Regardless
of how governance is perceived, public administration is a component of significance,
though with variable levels of capacity and professionalism. The association of politics
and administration within governance is intrinsic; each profoundly reflects the image
and values of the other. This connection is more real today because conventional
jurisdictional boundaries of administration no longer have the same relevance as in
the past in explaining what happens with formulation and implementation of policy
(Hyden 2002: 14). Public administration is the operational dimension of governance,
providing the tools for efficient and effective implementation of policies and deci-
sions. Governance can be powerless without the instruments to carry out its policies.
“A strategy paper without a road map is a paper, not a strategy; a decision without
implementation is a wish not a decision” (Schiavo-Campo and McFerson 2008: 3).
While one conception of governance refers to empirical manifestation of state
adaptation to its external environment, another denotes representation of coordi-
nated social systems and the role of the state in the pursuit of collective interests
through traditional, institutional channels (Pierre 2000: 3). Yet another conception
focuses on “the extent and form of [governance] intervention and the use of mar-
kets and quasi-markets to deliver ‘public’ service” (Rhodes 2000: 55). A distinction
is also made between “old governance,” focusing on how and what outcomes are
conceivable, and recent or new governance, conceived in terms of comparative poli-
tics and whether concepts “can ‘travel’ across a range of political systems and still
have substantial meaning and validity” (Peters 2000: 50). “In much of the public
and political debate, governance refers to sustaining co-ordination and coherence
among a wide variety of actors with different purposes and objectives such as politi-
cal actors and institutions, corporate interests, civil society, and transnational orga-
nizations” (Pierre 2000: 3–4).
Governance is an organizing inclusive function that encompasses, in addition to
central government, other players who share the responsibilities such as local authori-
ties, business, interest groups, voluntary organizations, and a variety of civic associa-
tions (Klingner 2006). Thus, governance is a system of many dimensions, continually
evolving and adapting its complex web of structures, processes, policies, behaviors,
traditions, visions, and outcomes. The United Nations Development Program defines
governance “as the exercise of economic, political, and administrative authority to
manage a country’s affairs at all levels, comprising the mechanisms, processes, and
institutions through which that authority is directed” (UNDP 2007: 1).
The term governance is derived from the Greek to steer, the process by which
a society or an organization steers itself (Rosell 1999: 1). Despite the apparent
4 ◾ Globalism and Comparative Public Administration
◾◾ Structure is the standard features and forms of the authority system in prac-
tice. Usually, structures reveal specific attributes of the system such as cen-
tralized or decentralized authority, type of organizational and institutional
setting, specificity of functions performed, and the overall authority pattern
that connects all such structural essentials for performance. The capacity of
institutional structures to perform the diverse functions of governance is a
crucial measure of effectiveness. Also, the structure signifies the extent of rep-
resentation of the people and the legitimacy of the authority system itself.
◾◾ Process defines the rules and operational methods of decision making. In
theory, the process promotes fairness and legitimacy of outcomes of public
policy and advances the common interests. In reality, however, outcomes of
the process often vary from expectations, specially when the process becomes
captured by powerful special interests, and serves mainly to accommodate
the objectives of organized interest groups. Although basic processes of gov-
ernance are designated by law or constitution, other factors may have impor-
tant modifying effects such as tradition and precedent. Still, an open and
transparent process indicates real responsiveness to citizens’ preferences and
attempt at sound reasoning in decision making. An impartial process raises
confidence in the integrity of governance.
◾◾ Outcome is the measured quality and quantity of the overall results of gov-
ernance performance, particularly in serving the collective interest, delivery
of public services, managing sustainable development, and improving the
effectiveness of a civil society. Outcomes exemplify accountability of public
decision making and illustrate the level of commitment to equity in the dis-
tribution of benefits and delivery of public services as well as the uniformity
in the application of law and justice in the society.
the “magic of the market,” sought, with some success, to restrict the role of gover-
nance. The recipe of such perspective was a profound institutional restructuring to
facilitate implementation of the measures of deregulation, privatization, reduction
of civil service, and introduction of business managerial practices in government
(Falk 1999; Pierre 2000: 2; Jreisat 2006). But, the huge size of business corpora-
tions compromised healthy competition, became impediments to innovation, and
exerted corrupting influence in politics (Greider 2009: 11–12). Weakening anti-
trust laws allowed concentration of economic power within a few corporate entities,
which were deemed “too big to fail” and thus had to be bailed out by taxpayers’
money.
Against a worsening economic crisis in 2008–9, reorientation of public policy
toward broader collective interests restored some of the power of public authority.
The internal economic disorder and global pressures required clarifying and rede-
fining public policy objectives, analyzing and evaluating possible solutions, and
authorizing new public policies. Among the most effective instruments of the newly
promised state activism is fiscal policy that is directed to stimulate employment
and achieve economic growth and stability. The state relies on the budget process
(taxes and expenditures) and the regulatory framework to execute its major policies
on the economy. The result of the economic crisis of 2008 was a plea to govern-
ments to assume greater responsibilities in ensuring orderly economic activities.
Activated governance requires effective managerial capacity to devise and
implement solutions. But the tilted perception of the role of the state and its policies
over the years created knowledge gaps and neglect. The new demands for pertinent
knowledge and renewed administrative competence are not attainable through the
traditional training and education. Broader views by managers and the ability to
incorporate and integrate knowledge in their decisions have become imperatives in
a fast-changing global context. As policy issues in areas such as health care, finance,
labor migration, environment protection, and international agreements acquired
higher importance, so did new administrative knowledge and skills.
An illustrative example of recent change of perspective on governance in the
United States is reliance on contracting out that has been a pillar of neoliberal pro-
business policies since the 1980s. Budget cuts announced by Secretary of Defense
Robert Gates (May 2010) recognized that defense contractors are a “significant
budgetary bloat.” As reported, Gates also said, “We ended up with contractors
supervising other contractors—with predictable results” (Jaffe 2010: A03).
Among Gates’ apparent targets for major cuts are the private contractors
the Pentagon has hired in large numbers over the past decade to take on
administrative tasks that the military used to handle. The defense sec-
retary estimated that this portion of the Pentagon budget has grown by
as much as $23 billion, a figure that does not include the tens of billions
of dollars spent on private firms supporting U.S. troops in Afghanistan
and Iraq. (Jaffe 2010: A03)
8 ◾ Globalism and Comparative Public Administration
The shifting role of governance has instigated some of the most passionate politi-
cal and economic debates in recent history. The economic crisis of 2008–9 caused
the emergence of extreme positions on both sides of the political spectrum. On the
left, serious doubts are expressed about the functionality of capitalism and the free
market as viable systems. On the right, ominous warnings have been delivered about
state activism, charging that it creates destructive huge public debts and invites
socialism and communism. The politics of the middle has been struggling to govern
throughout the democratic systems with no support from either political extreme.
The dilemma is that a governing strategy with commitment to economic growth
and job creation cannot succeed without public spending that adds to already huge
public debts in many countries as it portends a tax increase in the future. The oppo-
site strategy of deep cuts in public spending to reduce the size of government and
public debt could cause deep recessions and impede economic growth.
An effective strategy of governing under conditions of economic stress requires
pragmatism and reliance on empirical evidence far more than ideology or rigid
dogma. Rational public policy formulation has to utilize all reasonable policy tools
available such as spending cuts, tax increase, fiscal austerity, and stimulus spend-
ing, or the opposite of each, as the situation requires. Successful execution of any
strategy of governance, however, has to be mindful of basic prerequisites: (1) main-
tenance of discipline, accountability, and transparency; (2) clear definition of the
strategy, ensuring broad support and wide communication of the strategic vision;
and (3) employment of an inclusionary approach, partnering with local govern-
ments, the private sector, and community organizations. Certainly, governance has
an important role in building and developing the society; it is the size of resources
used and the style of authority applied that, generally, raise questions and cause
concerns.
in the society. The second part is primarily concerned with “good government,” such
as effective institutions, efficient methods of operation, and equitable policy outcomes
(Ahrens 2002: 119). As a system, governance is continually changing, reflecting his-
torical, political, cultural, educational, and economic circumstances. Appraisal of
such a system has to consider many factors, particularly those that influence perfor-
mance. Evaluation indicators have also to convey a high priority among these indica-
tors to citizens’ satisfaction and participation in decisions affecting them.
Measuring results requires relevant criteria that incorporate compatible prin-
ciples and objectives with societal values and interests. Valid measurement has
to determine degree of fidelity to these values in principle and in practice. Some
widely conveyed core values of good governance are mutually reinforcing—that is,
the flaw of one causes difficulties in another. The following are some examples:
free domestic and world markets. Achieving this synergy requires other precondi-
tions, particularly checks and balances in the market and a representative govern-
ment. Actual experiences in many countries indicate absence of many of the key
instruments of effective governance: lack of market competition and weak adherence
to cherished societal values of liberty and the rule of law. Various studies and politi-
cal declarations on governance and reform have not produced a universally accepted
analytical framework or model. With a more precise meaning of governance, Hyden
(2002: 17) argues, it is possible to distinguish between the distributive side of poli-
tics (how public resources are allocated), addressing the perennial question of “who
gets what, when, and how,” and the constitutive side that deals with the question of
“who sets what rules, when, and how?” This distinction is particularly important to
countries emphasizing policies for sustainable development. The conventional needs
approach that has dominated international development assistance, for example,
relies more on the distributive side, and does not ask for changes in the rules of the
game to achieve its objectives (Hyden 2002: 17). Yet, sustainable development that
focuses on empowerment and enhanced access to resources also requires a change
in the rules, and, by implication, a shift in power relations.
In sum, governance has identifiable qualities with multiple dimensions. Analysis
and measurement techniques in the past decades made it possible to delineate some
of the crucial qualities and attributes of good government that have received wide
recognition and acceptance. The following UNDP (1997: 4) list is inclusive and
representative of the literature:
Measuring Governance
This is a difficult question for many reasons. Practices of governance continually
change, sometime precipitously, invalidating the result of measurement by the time
it was completed. Other aspects of governance generate particular dilemmas, defy-
ing measurement efforts. Over conformance and excessive compliance with rules
and procedures, for example, create rigidities, undermine creativity, and weaken
overall performance of basic duties. Procedural accountability cannot substitute for
performance accountability. Many efforts to measure good governance and deter-
mine its qualities—such as effectiveness, efficiency, accountability, and ethics—are
approximations or judgments that may have been subjected to particular predispo-
sitions. Measurement, however, is helpful in raising awareness, informing decisions,
pointing out trends, and underscoring strategies for improvement. The following
are some examples of notable measurement projects:
produced with the Oslo Governance Center to provide a “User’s Guide” that
measures the performance of governments, the quality of public institutions,
and people’s perceptions of various aspects of governance. This report points
out that “an indicator does not have to come in numeric form” such as clas-
sification of countries as free or not free. (2) Program on Governance in the
Arab Region (POGAR), initiated in early 2000, to promote capacity build-
ing of governance institutions including legislatures, judiciaries, and civil
society organizations. Advice and assistance have primarily focused on three
main aspects of governance: participation, rule of law, and transparency and
accountability.4
◾◾ A report by Lonti and Woods (2008) for the OECD countries sets some
specific ideas on measuring governance. The project emphasizes collecting
“core data that should enable comparative institutional arrangements and
performance” and shed some light on difference in institutional performance.
Comparative data, it is claimed, “enable countries to better understand their
own practices, to benchmark their achievements through international com-
parisons and to learn from experiences of other countries facing similar chal-
lenges” (Lonti and Woods, 2008: 7). The study underscores the importance
that core data be as stable as possible to detect trends. Core data suggested
includes indicators on government revenue and expenditure structures,
employment and compensation, executive government outcomes, and budget
procedures.
August 23 & 30: 31–42). The Newsweek survey, utilizing a team of experts,
selected “five categories of national wellbeing—education, health, quality of
life, economic competitiveness, and political environment—and compiled
metrics within these categories across 100 nations” (2010: 31). Despite the
difficulty of gathering comparative data, the magazine acknowledges that
the outcome was a “snapshot” of how countries looked in 2008 and 2009.
The top four countries in this ranking are Finland, Switzerland, Sweden, and
Australia. The bottom four were Zambia, Cameron, Nigeria, and Burkina
Faso. The United States was ranked number 11 (Newsweek 2010, August 23
& 30: 32–33).
Globalization
Globalization has mainly been defined in terms of linkages, integration, interde-
pendence, and connectedness among economies, peoples, cultures, and countries.
Certainly, goods and services produced in one country are increasingly obtainable
anywhere in the world. International travel, finance, communication, and a variety
of exchanges are made simple and fast. Nevertheless, the consequences of global-
ization have been grounds for high praise as well as criticism and resentment. The
Field of study?
Why is comparisons important to the practice
of Public Administration (PA)?
What is the ultimate goal of Comparative
Public Administration (CPA)?
What is relevant to PA to compare?
What is the current state of knowledge of
CPA?
What is the future of CPA?
Jreisat, using Ryan’s Heady argues that CPA
(1994) ideas, started as a field
identifies three stage focusing of
of CPA development
1. Imperialist Missionary administration
(Post WW II-1960s) The 1970s was a
decade of
2. Anti-parochial, Anti- retrenchment.
ethnocentric (1970- Financial support dried
1980) out. Scholars begin
3. Interdependence reappraising the field.
(1980s-Present) Shift from technical
assistance to action-
goal oriented practice
The emergence of CPA as a field is linked to the
process of decolonization and the expansion of
nation-states.
CPA in its origins attempt to help develop the
administrative practice of developing nations.
CPA was a “cold war” strategy to contain communism.
This articte discusses: the doctrinal content of the group of ideas known as 'new public
management' (NPM); the intellectual provenance of those ideas; explcinations for their
apparent persuasiveness in the 1980s; and criticisms which have been made of the new doc-
trines. Particular attention is paid to the claim that NPM offers an all-purpose key to better
provision of public services. TTiis article argues that NPM has been most commonly criticized
in terms of a claimed contradiction between 'equity' and 'efficiency' values, but that any
critique which is to survive NPM's claim to 'infinite reprogrammability' must be couched in
terms of possible conflicts between administrative values. The conclusion is that the ESRC's
Ivlanagement in Government' research irutiative has been more valuable in helping to identify
rather than to definitively answer, the key conceptual questions raised by NPM.
Christopher Hood is Professor of Public Administration and Public Policy in the University of London.
group of countries from the late 1970s (see Aucoin 1990; Hood 1990b; Pollitt 1990).
Although ill-defined, NPM aroused strong and varied emotions among bureaucrats.
At one extreme were those who held that NPM was the only way to correct for the
irretrievable failures and even moral bankruptcy in the 'old' public management (cf.
Keating 1989). At the other were those who dismissed much of the thrust of NPM as
a gratuitous and philistine destruction of more than a century's work in developing
a distinctive public service ethic and culture (cf. Martin 1988; Nethercote 1989b).
NPM's rise also sparked off debate as to how the movement was to be labelled,
interpreted and explained. What exactly was the public management Emperor now
wearing? Where did the design come from, and did its novelty lie mainly in
presentation or in content? Why did it find favour? Was it an all-purpose and
all-weather garment? This article attempts to discuss these questions, with par-
ticuleir attention to the last one.
Table 1 continued
scientific management movement (Merkle 1980; Hume 1981; Pollitt 1990). This
movement helped to generate a set of administrative reform doctrines based on the
ideas of 'professional management' expertise as portable (Martin 1983), paramount
over techrucal expertise, requiring high discretionary power to achieve results ('free
to manage') and central and indispensable to better organizational performance,
through the development of appropriate cultures (Peters and Waterman 1982) and
the active measurement and adjustment of orgaruzational outputs.
Whether the partners in this union were fully compatible remains to be seen.
'Free to manage' is a rather different slogan from 'free to choose'. The two can
conflict, particularly where the NPM revolution is led from above (as it was in
the UK) rather than from below. The relative dominance of the two partners varied
in different countries even within the 'Westminster model' tradition (cf. Hood
1990c). For example, in the unique circumstances of New Zealand, the synthesis
of public choice, transactions cost theory and principal-agent theory was predomi-
nant, producing an analytically driven NPM movement of unusual coherence. But
in the UK and Australia business-type managerialism was much more salient,
producing a more pragmatic and less intellectually elegant strain of NPM or 'neo-
Taylorism' (Pollitt 1990, p. 56). Potential frictions between these partners were
not resolved by any single coherent or definitive exposition of the joint philosophy.
Indeed, the New Zealand Treasury's Government Management (1987) comes closest
to a coherent NPM 'manifesto', given that much of the academic literature on the
subject either lacks full-scale elaboration or enthusiastic commitment to NPM.
WHY NPM FOUND FAVOUR: THE ACCEPTANCE FACTOR
There is no single accepted explanation or interpretation of why NPM coalesced
and why it 'caught on' (cf. Hood 1990b; Hood and Jackson 1991 forthcoming,
ch. 8). Many academic commentators associate it with the political rise of the 'New
Right'. But that on its own does not explain why these particular doctrines found
favour, nor why NPM was so strongly endorsed by Labour governments ostensibly
opposed to the 'New Right', notably in Australia and New Zealand. Among the
possible explanations are the following four.
First, for those who take a sceptical view of administrative reform as a series
of evanescent fads and fashions, NPM's rise might be interpreted as a sudden and
unpredictable product of loquocentric' success (Minogue 1986). (Spann (1981) offers
a classic statement of the 'fashion' interpretation of administrative reform.) 'Cheap,
superficial and popular', like the industrial 'rationalization' doctrines of the 1930s
(Hannah 1976, p. 38, fn. p. 34), NPM had many of the necessary qualities for a
period of pop management stardom. A 'whim of fashion' interpretation has some
attractions, and can cope with the cycles and reversals that took place within NPM
- for instance, the radical shift in the UK, from the 'Heseitine creed' of Ministers
as the hands-on public managers to the 'Next Steps' corporatization creed of pro-
fessional managers at the top, with ministers in a strictly 'hands-off' role (cf. also
Sturgess 1989). But equally, the weakness of a simple 'whim of fashion' explana-
tion is that it does not account for the relative endurance of many of the seven
precepts identified in table 1 over more than a decade.
A PUBLIC MANAGEMENT FOR ALL SEASONS? 7
The first is the assertion that NPM is like the Emperor's New Clothes in the well-
known Hans Andersen story - all hype and no substance, and in that sense a true
product of the style-conscious 1980s. From this viewpoint, the advent of new
managerialism has changed little, apart from the language in which senior public
'managers' speak in public. Underneath, all the old problems and weaknesses
remain. Implicitly, from this viewpoint, the remedy lies in giving NPM some real
substance in order to move from 'smoke and mirrors' to reality - for example,
in making output contracts between ministers and chief executives legally binding
or in breaking up the public service employment structure, as has happened in
New Zealand (cf. Hood and Jones in Treasury and Civil Service Committee
1989-90).
The second is the assertion that NPM has damaged the public service while being
ineffective in its ability to deliver on its central claim to lower costs per (constant)
luiit of service. Critics of this type suggest that the main result of NPM in many
cases has been an 'aggrandizement of management' (Martin 1983) and a rapid
middle-level bureaucratization of new reporting systems (as in the remarkable
growth of the 'performance indicator industry'). Budgetary and control framework
changes such as 'top-slicing' and 'creative accounting' serve to destabilize the
bureaucracy and to weaken or destroy elementary but essential competences at
the front line (see, for instance, Nethercote 1989b, p. 17; Nethercote 1989c). From
this viewpoint, the remedy lies in applying to the NPM system the disciplines that
it urges upon service-delivery bureaucracies but so signally fails to impose on itself
- particularly in strict resource control and the imposition of a battery of published
and measurable performance indicators to determine the overall costs and benefits
of the system.
The third common criticism is the assertion that NPM, in spite of its professed
claims to promote the 'public good' (of cheaper and better public services for all),
is actually a vehicle for particularistic advantage. The claim is that NPM is a self-
serving movement designed to promote the career interests of an elite group of
'new managerialists' (top mariagers and officials in central controlling departments,
management consultants and business schools) rather than the mass of public service
customers or low-level staff (Dunleavy 1985; Yeatman 1987; Kelleher 1988; Pollitt
1990, pp. 134-7). Implicitly, the remedy suggested by these criticisms is to have
disproportionate cutbacks on 'managerial' rather than on 'operational' staff
(cf. Martin 1983), and measures to 'empower' consumers, for instance by new
systems of direct democracy (cf. Pollitt 1990, pp. 183-4).
The fourth line of criticism, to which most attention will be peiid in the remainder
of this paper, is directed towards NPM's claim of universality. Contrary to NPM's
claim to be a public management for all seasons, these critics argue that different
administrative values have different implications for fundamental aspects of
administrative design - implications which go beyond altering the 'settings' of the
systems.
In order for their counter<laim to have any significance, it must be able to survive
obvious objections. First, it must be able to show that the objection is more than
a semantic quibble about where the line comes between a different programme
10 CHRISTOPHER HOOD
and a change of 'settings'. For that, it must be able to show that the incompatibility
problem lies in NPM's 'hard core' research programme rather than in its 'elaborative
belts' (Lakatos 1970). Second, it must be able to show that it is more than a trivial
and obvious proposition. In order to survive this objection, it needs to show that
there are different management-system implications of different mainstream,
relatively orthodox values, without reference to values at the extremes of the
orthodox belief sf)ectrum (since it needs no elaborate treatise to show that different
'fundamentalist' values have different implications for public management). Third,
the 'incompatibility' argument needs to rest on a plausible case that an 'all-purpose
culture' either does not exist or cannot be engineered into existence. Unless it can
do so, it risks being dismissed for mechanically assuming that there is a particular
set of administrative design-characteristics which goes with the ability to achieve
a particular set of values. Finally, it needs to show that the debate relates to
administrative values - values that relate to conventional and relatively narrow
ideas about 'good administration' rather than to broader ideas about the proper
role of the state in society. Unless the critique of the 'all seasons' quality of NPM
relates to administrative values in this sense, it risks being dismissed simply as an
undercover way of advocating different political values from those currently held
by elected governments. A case built on such a basis would not essentially be an
administrative design argument, and would neither demonstrate that NPM is
incapable of being adapted to promote alternative political values nor that NPM
is a false recipe for achieving the narrow 'efficiency' values of the current orthodox
agenda.
Most of the orthodox criticisms of NPM in this vein are vulnerable to counter-
attack from this last objection. Most academic attacks on NPM have questioned
NPM's universality by focusing on the equity costs of a preoccupation with cost-
cutting and a focus on 'bottom line ethics' Qackson 1989, p. 173). For instance,
a focus on outputs allied with heavy 'hands-on' demands on managers is often
claimed to downgrade equity considerations, particularly in its implications for
the ability of female managers to reach top positions in the public service (cf. Bryson
1987; Pollitt 1990, pp. 141-2). A focus on disaggregation and a private-sector PR
style is likewise often claimed to reduce the accessibility of public services by
increasing the complexity and opacity of government (Nethercote 1990c), and
increasing the scope for buck-passing and denial of responsibility, especially for
disadvantaged consumers. However, any simple dichotomy between 'efficiency'
and 'equity' can be countered by NPM's advocates on the grounds that 'efficiency'
can be conceived in ways which do not fimdamentally conflict with equity (cf.
Wilenski 1986), and that equity values could perfectly well be programmed in to
the target-setting and performance indication process, if there was strong enough
politiccJ pressure to do so.
in table 2 below (cf. Hood and Jackson 1991 forthcoming). Broadly, the 'sigma'
family of values relates to economy and parsimony, the 'theta' family relates to
honesty and fairness, and the 'lambda' family relates to security and resilience.
The trio corresponds roughly to the management values used by Susan Strange
(1988, pp. 1-6) in her account of the evolution of different regimes in the inter-
national sphere; and at least two of the three correspond to the groups of values
given by Harmon and Mayer (1986, pp. 34-53) in their well-known account of
the normative context of public sector organization. It cannot be claimed that these
values are esoteric or extreme, or that they are not 'administrative' values.
12 CHRISTOPHER HOOD
Sigma-type values: match resources to defined tasks. In the 'sigma' family come
administrative values connected with the matching of resources to narrowly defined
tasks and circumstances in a competent and sparing fashion. Such values are central,
mainstream and traditional in public management. From this viewpoint, frugality
of resource use in relation to given goals is the criterion of success, while failure
is counted in terms of instances of avoidable waste and incompetence. If sigma-
type values are emphasized, the central concern is to 'trim fat' and avoid 'slack'.
Classic expressions of sigma-type values include:
(i) 'just-in-time' inventory control systems (which avoid tying up resources in
storing what is not currently needed, pushing the onus of accessible storage
and rapid delivery on to suppliers);
(ii) pajmient-by-results reward systems (which avoid paying for what is not being
delivered); and
(iii) administrative 'cost er\gineering' (using resources sparingly to provide public
services of no greater cost, durability or quality than is absolutely necessary
for a defined task, without excessive concern for 'externalities').
The principal 'coin' in which success or failure to realize sigma-type values is
measured is time and money, in resource costs of consumers and producers.
It can be argued that an orthodox design for realizing sigma-type values would
closely parallel the 'mechanistic' structures which have frequently been identified
in contingency theory as applicable to defined and stable environmental conditions
(cf. Bums and Stalker 1961; Lawrence and Lorsch 1967). Since the 'sigma' group
of values stresses the matching of resources to defined objectives, the setting of
fixed and 'checkable' goals must be central to any design for realizing such values.
The fewer incompatible objectives are included, the more readily can unnecessary
fat be identified and removed. Equally, the more that the control emphasis is on
output rather than on process or input, the more unambiguous the waste-finding
process can be. To make output control a reality, two features are necessary. One
is a heavy emphasis on output databases. Such an emphasis in tum requires a
technological irrfrastructure of reporting which will tend to make each managerial
unit 'tightly coupled' in informational terms. The other is the sharp definition of
responsibilities, involving separation of 'thinking' and 'executing' activities and the
breakup of organizations into separate, non-overlapping parts, to come as close
as possible to the ideal of single-objective, trackable and manageable units. It follows
that information in such a control system will be highly segmented and valuable,
so that it will be guarded with extreme care and traded rather than given away.
These design characteristics map closely on to the recipes offered by the corporate
management strain of NPM.
withstand and leam from the blows of fate, to avoid 'competency traps' in
adaptation processes (Levitt and March 1988; liebowitz and Margolis 1990), to keep
operating even in adverse 'worst case' conditions and to adapt rapidly in a crisis.
Expectations of security and reliability are central to traditional public administra-
tion values, and have often been associated with the choice of public rather than
private organization for the provision of a hazard-related task. Perhaps the classic
historical case is of the Venetian arsenal and Tana as instruments for ensuring the
security of Venice's maritime power by direct state production of ropes and vessels
(cf. Lane 1966).
From the viewpoint of lambda-type values, success is counted in terms of
resilience and reliability, while failure is measured in terms of catastrophe,
breakdown and learning failure. If lambda-type values are placed at centre stage,
the central concern is to avoid system failure, 'down time', paralysis in the face
of threat or challenge.
Classic expressions of lambda-type values include:
(i) redundancy, the maintenance of back-up systems to duplicate normal capacity;
(ii) diversity, the maintenance of quite separate, self-standing units (to avoid
'common mode failure', whether in technical terms or in terms of 'groupthink');
and
(iii) robustness, use of greater amounts of materials than would ordinarily be
necessary for the job (cf. Health and Safety Executive 1988, p. 11).
The 'coin' in which success or failure is measured in lambda-type values includes
security, survival and the robustness of basic assumptions about social defence
mechanisms.
Orthodox discussions of learning problems and catastrophes tend to focus on
specific failings of individuals rather than systemic or structural factors in organiza-
tional design (Turner et al. 1989, p. 3). But some tentative pointers to the
administrative design implications of putting lambda-type values at centre stage
can be gleaned from three closely related literatures: 'contingency theory' ideas
about structural factors related to highly uncertain environments (cf. Lawrence
and Lorsch 1967); the literature on the organization of socially created disasters
(Dixon 1976; Turner 1976 and 1978; Perrow 1984); and the developing and related
literature on 'safety culture' (Westrum 1987; Turner et al. 1989).
Some of the ideas to be found in this literature about the engineering of adap-
tivity and error-avoidance are contradictory. A case in point is the debate about
'anticipation' versus 'resilience' (Wildavsky 1988). Moreover, Perrow (1984) claims
that for some technologies, administrative design for error-avoidance is impossible,
even if safety is highly valued. However, much of this literature tends to relate
error-generation, capacity for resilience and learning failures to three elements of
institutional structure
(i) degree of integration - the extent to which interdependent parts of the system
are linked in decision and information terms rather than isolated into separate
compartments, each trying to insulate itself independently against system
failure;
A PUBLIC MANAGEMENT FOR ALL SEASONS7 15
NOTE
1. I owe this idea to a suggestion by Dr. John Baker of John Baker and Associates.
A PUBLIC MANAGEMENT FOR ALL SEASONS7 17
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NEW PUBLIC MANAGEMENT
(NPM)
Introduction
Zig Ziglar
United Nations
Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the
Pacific
Conclusion
Figure 2: Characteristics of good governance
From the above discussion it should be clear that
good governance is an ideal which is difficult to
Consensus oriented
achieve in its totality. Very few countries and
There are several actors and as many view societies have come close to achieving good
points in a given society. Good governance governance in its totality. However, to ensure
requires mediation of the different interests in sustainable human development, actions must be
society to reach a broad consensus in society taken to work towards this ideal with the aim of
on what is in the best interest of the whole making it a reality.
community and how this can be achieved. It
also requires a broad and long-term More information
perspective on what is needed for
sustainable human development and how to
Mr. Yap Kioe Sheng
achieve the goals of such development. This
Chief,
can only result from an understanding of the Poverty Reduction Section
historical, cultural and social contexts of a UNESCAP, UN Building,
given society or community. Rajdamnern Nok Ave.
Bangkok 10200, Thailand
Equity and inclusiveness
Tel: 66-2-288-1600
A society’s well being depends on ensuring Fax: 66-2-288 1056
that all its members feel that they have a
stake in it and do not feel excluded from the E-mail: escap-prs@un.org
mainstream of society. This requires all URL: <www.unescap.org/pdd>
groups, but particularly the most vulnerable,
have opportunities to improve or maintain
their well being.
Accountability
Accountability is a key requirement of good
governance. Not only governmental
institutions but also the private sector and
civil society organizations must be
accountable to the public and to their
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J PART 23:791-816
ABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION
doi: 10.1093/jopart/mut028
Advance Access publication May 13, 2013
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The Author
Author 2013.
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792 Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory
Figure 1
Components of Representation
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Kennedy Role of Representation in Bureaucracy 793
representatives and what variables may shape this perception. This approach allows
representative bureaucracy to be studied regardless of the organizational context. In
addition, it offers the possibility of making comparisons among bureaucrats at differ
ent levels of the bureaucracy and across different types of agencies. Understanding
how bureaucrats view their role as representatives and how these perceptions differ
or remain constant across levels and agencies is a critical step in developing a deeper
understanding of representation in bureaucracies. Finally, studying role perception
offers the potential to provide insight into future empirical possibilities that may have
been overlooked.
This project uses the Q methodology, which incorporates both qualitative and
quantitative data in its analysis. From this analysis, four perspectives on representative
bureaucracy are identified: leaders, traditional bureaucrats, identity empathizers, and
diversity advocates. Reflecting the various components of Pitkin's definition, these
perspectives provide a nuanced view of how bureaucrats see their role as representa
tives within their organizations. In addition, the data suggest that substantive repre
sentation may not require descriptive representation, characteristics other than race
and gender may be important, and organizational variables may be related to bureau
crats' role perception. Although the project is exploratory, these findings illuminate
future theoretical and empirical research possibilities.
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794 Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory
Many contemporary scholars have shifted their attention to studying active rep
resentation, measuring the extent to which passive representation leads to favora
ble policy outcomes for minority groups. Empirical studies of active representation
have found that increasing minorities in an organization can produce favorable ben
efits for minority constituents. For example, Meier and Stewart (1992) have exam
ined the link between the race of school teachers and administrators and various
discretionary decisions made on behalf of students. The findings suggest that as
the number of minority teachers and administrators increases, there are positive
outcomes for minority students. Other studies of the potential link between pas
sive and active forms of representation have found similar evidence supporting the
claim that descriptive representation leads to favorable policy outputs (Seiden 1997;
Hindera 1993).
The question remains whether passive representation is necessary for active rep
resentation. Most contemporary scholars ignore the possibility of active representa
tion occurring without passive representation, and this may lead to the overlooking
of instances of bureaucratic representation. Several important works demonstrate the
importance of looking beyond passive representation. Seiden, Brudney, and Kellough
(1998) examine "minority representative role," exploring both the factors that are
associated with adoption of this role and the effects of this role. Their findings suggest
that those who adopt a minority representative role are more likely to engage in active
representation of minority interests. They also find that although race and ethnic
ity are related to minority representative role, adoption of this role is not exclusive
to minorities and that other variables such as organizational factors and perceived
expectations also influence this role. Similarly, Bradbury and Kellough (2007) examine
attitude congruence between administrators and citizens. Their findings suggest that
minority administrators are more likely to share attitudes on questions of government
policy with minority citizens than white administrators. Further, their findings sug
gest that shared attitudes are an even stronger predictor than race for the adoption of
minority representative role. These two studies demonstrate the importance of look
ing beyond passive representation, the potential influence of organizational contexts,
and the utility of role perception to analyze these questions.
Although Kingsley's (1944) primary focus is social class, this treatment did not
translate well into the American context. In applying this concept to the American
context, scholars of representative bureaucracy initially examined a variety of
value sources such as income and religion (Meier, Wrinkle, and Polinard 1999).
Contemporary scholars have narrowed their application of representative bureau
cracy, arguing that race and gender should be the primary focus because these are the
most salient characteristics in the United States. Thus, other characteristics are not
expected to influence administrative behavior (blindera 1993; Meier and Stewart 1992;
Meier, Wrinkle, and Polinard 1999). Although many scholars maintain this restricted
view of descriptive representation, there is a limited body of research indicating that
other characteristics may also be important. For example, recent scholars have argued
that characteristics such as sexual orientation, age, and disability may be important to
consider (Kelly 1998; Slack 2001; Thielmann and Stewart 1996). Scholars' failure to
examine other potentially important characteristics may lead to an incomplete image
of representative bureaucracy.
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Kennedy Role of Representation in Bureaucracy 795
Although the literature up to this point has provided insight into the positive effects of
representative bureaucracy, the organizational context, including level of the bureau
cracy and policy area of the agency being studied, has been limited. Although some
scholars focus on a specific level, in general, scholars fail to theoretically differentiate
the bureaucracy into levels when analyzing representative bureaucracy (Meier and
Nigro 1976). In addition, few studies to date have compared representative bureau
cracy across different levels of the bureaucracy. Research in organizational theory
and a smaller body of literature on representative bureaucracy suggest that certain
variables, such as decision-making incentives and discretion, may differ according to
the level of the bureaucracy in which one works. These variables may, in turn, may
influence representation.
A limited body of research in representative bureaucracy literature has system
atically examined the level of employment as an independent variable. For example,
Meier (1993) analyzes and compares the effects of increasing the number of minor
ity teachers and administrators based on measures of minority school performance.
The findings suggest that street-level bureaucrats are more likely to actively represent
than their management counterparts. However, increasing the numbers of minority
administrators still produces positive (albeit weaker) results. These findings suggest
that the level of employment may be an important variable to consider in studying
representative bureaucracy.
When considering active representation, another important empirical question
within this literature is what policy area to study. Work in other fields distinguishes
among different types of organizations based on their policy area. For example, Lowi
(1985) classifies agencies according to four models based on the primary policy area of
the agency. Each of these agency types has a distinct political culture, political process,
elites, and group relationships. Regulatory agencies, such as law enforcement agencies,
implement control policies, generally through coercive measures. Distributive agen
cies, such as the Department of Highway Safety and Motor Vehicles, are based on
client-patron relationships and they exist to foster and promote the needs of their cli
ents. The primary function of Redistributive agencies is to reallocate wealth; examples
include health, education, and welfare agencies. Finally, constituent agencies, such as
budgeting or personnel agencies, make rules that govern other agencies, rather than
making rules that govern citizen conduct or status (Newman 1994).
The type of agency examined in representative bureaucracy studies has been lim
ited. Much of the work up to this point dealing with specific bureaucracies and out
puts uses redistributive agencies, and much of the work focuses on education. Seiden
(1997) argues that work measuring the link between active and passive forms of repre
sentation has focused solely on the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission or
studies of education policy. Seiden examines the Farmers Home Administration, but
few other scholars provide any variation in policy area. It is difficult to evaluate the
nature and scope of representative bureaucracy while maintaining an exclusive focus
on one type of agency and excluding others.
Scholars have recently expanded their scope of analysis, looking at other types of
agencies such as law enforcement. For example, Meier and Nicholson-Crotty (2006)
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796 Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory
examine the relationship between the gender of police officers and sexual assault
reports and arrests. The study found that police forces with larger numbers of female
officers filed more sexual assault reports and made more sexual assault arrests. This
study demonstrates the relevance and importance of extending studies of representa
tive bureaucracy to different organizational contexts.
In addition to simply adding different types of agencies to studies on representa
tive bureaucracy, scholars also need to compare different types of agencies and their
relationship to representative bureaucracy. The variations Lowi discusses (political cul
ture, political process, elites, and group relationships) may also be important variables
in the representational context. Different types of agencies may foster different cul
tures of representation. Several scholars demonstrate empirical links between Lowi's
typology or agency function and representative bureaucracy. For example, Newman
(1994) uses agency type as a variable to explain hiring and promotion of women in
state agencies. Other authors also use agency function as a variable that influences hir
ing practices in administrative agencies (Cayer and Sigelman 1980; Dometrius 1984).
Although scholars have established a representational link between agency function
and hiring practices, the use of this variable has so far been restricted to studies of
passive representation. It is possible that the same variables that structure hiring and
promotion practices or relationships within the agency may also influence relation
ships between the bureaucrats within the agency and their clientele.
Role Perception
One concept that offers the potential to overcome the aforementioned weaknesses in
the field of representative bureaucracy is role perception. Although a considerable
amount of work has examined bureaucratic behavior, very little work in representative
bureaucracy has attempted to understand this phenomenon through the use of role
perception. In contrast, much work in the legislative representation literature focuses
on the concept of role perception. In fact, Jewell (1983) argues that within the work on
representation, the volume of work dealing with legislative roles is enormous.
The first work linking role perception and representative bureaucracy is that
of Seiden (1997). Seiden juxtaposes two different bureaucratic role perceptions and
examines their relationship to active representation. The first role is the traditional
bureaucratic role and the second is the minority representative role. She finds that
bureaucrats who accept the minority representative role are more likely to actively rep
resent minorities in policy decisions. In addition, Seiden, Brewer, and Brudney (1999)
examine public administrator's role perceptions. They examine administrative roles
along two dimensions that form two intersecting continua. The horizontal is a contin
uum of political responsiveness versus proactive administration, and the vertical is a
continuum of managerial efficiency versus social equity. Administrative neutrality lies
at the center where the continua intersect. Under this framework, Seiden, Brewer, and
Brudney (1999) use a Q-sort approach and identify five different administrative roles:
stewards of the public interest, adapted realists, businesslike utilitarians, resigned cus
todians, and practical idealists. Stewards of the public interest want to participate
in formulating policies targeted toward all citizens, including disadvantaged groups.
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Kennedy Role of Representation in Bureaucracy 797
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
Building on earlier work, this project uses the Q methodology to examine bureaucratic
role perception, specifically as it relates to representation. Q Methodology also facili
tates comparison across organizational factors. Because qualitative methods are not
often used in this field and many of the questions under consideration have not been
well researched, this project focuses on exploratory analysis with the primary goal of
introducing new theoretical insight and many new empirical questions rather than
testing hypotheses.
As Brown (1980) explains, there are multiple steps to using the Q methodology. First,
the concourse or universe of possible statements about a given topic must be identi
fied. The most common source for the concourse is through interviews with subjects
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798 Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory
(Brown 1991). For this study, the concourse is created from focus groups and inter
views with government employees.
There were a total of 39 participants for the initial focus groups and interviews.
Because Q methodology is not aimed at generalizability, there is no assumption that
all relevant population characteristics are reflected, and there is no claim that the
viewpoints uncovered are representative or exhaustive of those in the population
(McKeown and Thomas 1988).
Although not demographically representative, to ensure that the concourse was
sufficiently representative of possible views, when establishing the respondent sample
for this analysis, there was an attempt to include individuals from all three levels of the
bureaucracy (street level, middle management, and executive) in all four (redistribu
tive, distributive, regulatory, and constituent) policy areas. Table 1 shows the employ
ment makeup of the respondent sample.
The focus groups and interviews were administered from October 2007 to June
2008. Four focus groups ranging from 4 to 10 participants were conducted, which
included a total of 27 respondents. Focus group participants were in-service Master of
Public Administration (MPA) students at state universities in Georgia and Oklahoma
who were employed at various levels of local, state, or federal agencies. Twelve addi
tional interviews were conducted in order to more evenly represent levels of the
bureaucracy and policy areas. Interview participants were identified through a web
based search according to their level and policy area within the bureaucracy. All inter
viewees were management- or executive-level bureaucrats employed at local, state, or
federal agencies located in Georgia.
The sample includes 11 participants employed at local agencies, 21 state level
employees, and 7 federal employees. A variety of different departments and agen
cies are represented in the sample: Public Works, Soil and Conservation, Parks and
Recreation, Department of Human Resources, Community Development, Community
Affairs, Department of Agriculture, Office of Planning and Budget, Public Health,
Education, Police, Public Safety, Probation, Federal Aviation Administration, Human
Resource Management, Public Information, Planning and Urban Redevelopment,
General Services Administration, Veterans Affairs, Employment Security, Army, Air
force, Human Rights, and Board of Regents.
The sample is less diverse in terms of demographic composition. Sixty percent of
the sample comprised men and 40%, women. Respondents' age range is 24-59 years,
with a mean age of 37 years. Whites are overrepresented in the sample, making up 83%
of the total participants. The other 17% include black, Asian, and native American
Table 1
Phase 1 Participant Matrix (N = 39)
Level
Level Executive Management
Executive Street Level
Street Level
Management
Policy
Policyarea area
Distributive 2 1 3
Redistributive 2 4 3
Regulatory 3 6 4
Constituent 2 6 3
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Kennedy Role of Representation in Bureaucracy 799
respondents. The sample is also skewed in terms of education level. All respondents
had completed a Bachelor's degree, and most had completed some graduate work.
Income levels range from less than $20,000 to more than $100,000, with a modal
income range between $40,000 and $75,000. Although not all demographic variables
are representative in the sample, this is not atypical for this type of project. The pur
pose of Q Methodology is not to produce a generalizable sample; therefore, the rep
resentativeness of the group with reference to these variables should not affect the
overall quality of the data and analysis.
Participants were first asked a series of general questions about their roles and the
role of others as representatives within the organization. Next, a series of questions
were asked in order to examine the role of descriptive representation and the potential
characteristics that may influence the process of representation. In order to evaluate
potential evidence of indirect representation, respondents were asked whether oth
ers in the organization helped shape their views on their role as a representative or
advocate in the organization. Finally, respondents were asked a series of questions
designed to analyze potential trade-offs or costs of representative bureaucracy.1
The focus groups and interviews yielded a total of 198 statements that make up
the concourse. These statements reflected and were categorized by six general areas
of interest: general representational role perception; objects of representation; indi
rect active representation; direct active representation; descriptive representation; and
potential trade-offs.
Once established, the concourse is used to produce the Q sample, which is a
representative subset of the concourse. These are the statements that are eventually
presented to participants for sorting (Brown 1991). For the current analysis, 50 state
ments were selected from the concourse based on their overall representation of the
original statements.
Q Sort Process
Once the Q sample is determined, the statements are printed on randomly numbered
cards.2 Respondents are asked to assign values to the statements on a continuum
according to how much they agree or disagree with the statement. Generally, when
the Q sort is complete, a brief follow-up interview is conducted in order to allow the
participants to elaborate on their own thinking about the subject and to add validity
to the sort responses. The sort itself is used as a guide for this interview (Brown 1980).
For this project, a second respondent group from the original focus group and inter
view participants was used for the sort. Although the Q Methodology allows for sample
sizes as small as 50, because one of the goals of this project is comparison across levels
and agency types, the N for this project is 60. Possible participants for the Q sort were
identified through a general Internet search of government agencies. Like the first phase,
participant selection for the second phase of data collection was based on purposive
sampling techniques. In hopes of creating samples large enough to facilitate comparison
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800 Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory
Table 2
Phase 2 Participant Matrix (N = 60)
Level Executive
IjAclLiiivc Management
ivicuiagciiicni oucciStreet Level
l^cvei
Policy
Policyarea area
Distributive
Distributive 5 6 5 6 55
Redistributive
Redistributive 4 5 4 5 55
Regulatory
Regulatory 5 5 5 5 66
Constituent
Constituent 5 5 5 5 44
across organization
equal numbers of
types. Agencies inc
Georgia, and withi
lead to a geographi
tory nature of the
Q sorts were com
the respondents, 6
federal employees.
level of employme
ticipants were emp
Conservation, Fore
and Extension Serv
Rural Developmen
Justice, Police, E
Safety, Childcare
include Budgeting,
Relations, Human
from previous studi
Like the earlier s
sample, 55% of r
ranged from 26- 69
resented in the sam
ents were black. T
reported some coll
bachelor's degree o
more than $100,00
Statistical Analysis
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Kennedy Role of Representation in Bureaucracy 801
FINDINGS
3 Under the four-factor solution, 14 participants either did not load significantly on any factor or loaded
significantly on multiple factors, and these were subsequently not used to estimate factor scores.
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802 Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory
Table 3
Factor Score Correlations
1 1 2 2 3
3 44
1 1 1.0000
1.0000 .5112
.5112 .2909
.2909 .6590.6590
2 2 .5112
.5112 1.0000
1.0000 .1711.1711 .4047.4047
3 3 .2909
.2909 .1711.1711 1.0000
1.0000 .3329.3329
4 4 .6590
.6590 .4047 .4047 .3329 .3329 1.0000
1.0000
Factor 1 : Leaders
Leaders do not appear to place much value on characteristics associated with repre
sentative bureaucracy. Instead, they emphasize the role of leadership in the organ
ization and highlight the importance of individual values, such as hard work and
honesty, over diversity and demographic characteristics.
Few statements relating directly to representation are distinguishing for this
group. Participants in this factor do indicate that they possess some level of discretion
(Statements 3 and 11). This group also emphasizes that leadership in the organization
is more important than diversity for achieving the organizational goals of efficiency
and accountability (Statement 50). Leaders also feel that their ability to understand
and meet the needs of their constituents is dependent upon their constituents' values
as opposed to shared demographic characteristics (Statement 33). Most statements
referencing specific demographic characteristics are not significant for this group.
However, respondents in this factor reject ideology as a variable influencing whether
or not they can relate to or serve the needs of their constituents (Statement 42).
Although this group emphasizes the role of leadership, they also deviate some
what from traditional theories of bureaucratic hierarchy by rejecting the notion that
their primary accountability is to their supervisor (Statement 46). This may be due to
the high number of executives in this group.
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Kennedy Role of Representation in Bureaucracy 803
Traditional Bureaucrats rank statements in a way that most closely reflects traditional
notions of bureaucracy rather than representative bureaucracy. The major emphasis
of this group is hierarchy and differentiation between levels of the organization. For
example, Traditional Bureaucrats indicate differences in both discretion and account
ability depending on the level within the organization (Statements 43, 36, and 17).
They indicate that those at the lower levels of the organization have little or no discre
tion (Statements 43 and 36). Also in line with traditional bureaucratic roles, this group
indicates that their primary accountability is with their supervisor (Statement 46).
However, Traditional Bureaucrats also indicate that they are accountable to multiple
other groups, including the organization, the community, and legislators (Statement
1). Similar to Leaders, this group emphasizes leadership rather than diversity in deter
mining efficiency and accountability (Statement 50). However, the strength of agree
ment among this group is much weaker than that for Leaders. The average Traditional
Bureaucrats rank this statement as one, whereas the average Leaders rank it five.
Interestingly, this group suggests that everyone in the organization should see
themselves as representatives, but it also suggests that individuals at higher levels of the
organization have a greater role in representation (Statement 49). In addition, for this
group, the target of representation is the public interest rather than specific group inter
ests (Statements 26). Most statements dealing directly with the relationship between
demographic characteristics and representation do not appear as significant statements
that define this group. However, they do reject race and gender as factors that influence
their ability to relate to or serve the needs of their constituents (Statement 22).
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804 Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory
in my organization." Further, they express slight disagreement with the idea that eve
ryone in the organization should see themselves as an advocate (Statement 14). This
group presents inconsistent or possibly ambivalent views on the relationship between
representation and accountability. Identity Empathizers express slight agreement
with Statements 4 ("If you see yourself as a representative within the organization,
you will have more accountability") and 34 ("Representation or advocacy by indi
viduals in the organization decreases accountability"). Relative to the other groups,
Identity Empathizers have a lower level of agreement with Statement 4, and all the
other groups indicate disagreement with Statement 34. This inconsistency is interest
ing for this group because it seems to suggest positive effects of representation or
advocacy from the individual but a negative view toward representation or advocacy
from others in the organization. Additionally, in contrast to the other groups, Identity
Empathizers disagree that representation increases efficiency.
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Kennedy Role of Representation in Bureaucracy 805
Table 4
Policy Area and Factor Location
Traditional Identity Diversity
Leaders Bureaucrats Empathizers Advocates Excluded
(%) (%) (%) (%) (%) N
Table 5
Level of Organization and Factor Location
numbers and the high percentage of redistributive and distributive participants who
do not load on any factor.
Exploring the factors relative to the organizational level also reveals some interest
ing patterns. These patterns partially align with existing literature; however, there are
some nuances that deviate from existing theory. As might be expected, nearly half of
the street-level employees load significantly on one of the factors associated with repre
sentative bureaucracy (Identity Empathizers or Diversity Advocates). However, a much
higher percentage of street-level bureaucrats associate with Diversity Advocates and are
opposed to Identity Empathizers. Additionally, a much higher percentage of executive
employees associate with Identity Empathizers than with street-level bureaucrats. Again,
although this evidence is not conclusive, it does affirm the need to expand the scope of
inquiry to include executives in studies of active representation. Table 5 illustrates the
relationship between level of the organization and respondent's factor locations.
Although these findings are based on exploratory analysis and no statistical infer
ences or generalizations can be made from the data, survey data and more traditional
quantitative analysis could be used to further examine these potential relationships.
As Danielson (2009, 219) explains, "Q Method is an effective way of identifying the
various shared perspectives that people may hold about a given topic. The ability to
measure those viewpoints in a later survey would allow the researcher to generalize the
findings to a larger population and to construct explanations in which the respond
ents' adherence to those perspectives is related to other variables."
The four factors uncovered in this project add deeper, more nuanced understanding of
bureaucratic representation and also identify future research possibilities. Individuals
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806 Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory
Figure 2
Representative Worldviews
Interests
Particular * Public
Particular ► Public
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to <*
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Kennedy Role of Representation in Bureaucracy 807
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808 Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory
can be sustained through their representative nature. Moving forward, the question
the field must address is this: If legitimacy is conferred by representation, but only
certain levels of the organization and certain types of agencies are potential sources of
representation, how do we legitimize the power of the other levels and types of organi
zations? Given the existing power of contemporary bureaucracies and the potential
for them to gain even more power, the importance of legitimizing bureaucracies goes
far beyond an academic endeavor. It is ultimately a question over the quality of con
temporary democracy and governance. Conversations over the potential illegitimacy
of bureaucracy are not confined to academic discussion but have become a central
component of popular discourse in US culture. Thus, it is fundamental not only for
scholars but for policymakers and, ultimately, good government that we probe further
into the remaining questions in this field.
The findings of this project suggest that the field of representative bureaucracy has
undersold its ability to legitimize the power of the bureaucracy. Bureaucrats across all
levels and policy areas indicate that they see themselves as representatives and should
be considered valid subjects of study. In order to do this, alternative data sources may
be necessary. One interesting research possibility is studying executive-level bureaucrats
using policy advocacy as a way to measure representation. In the initial open-ended
interviews, several executives indicated going to the legislature to advocate for policy
as an act of representation. This is an important avenue of research that should be
pursued.
This study highlights ways in which the field of representative bureaucracy can
be expanded in order to achieve this goal and legitimize bureaucracies more fully.
In order to accomplish this goal, the field needs to revisit some important theoreti
cal issues. This study probes the question of how to best define representation as
it applies to bureaucracy. However, a much more in-depth theoretical analysis is
needed in the field. Due to the inductive nature of this project, it is not possible to
project the prevalence of the different views of representation. Future empirical
research should try to determine the prevalence of these varying perspectives on
representation and also assess additional factors that may be related to respondents'
worldviews.
1. What do you see as your primary role in your agency? How would you describe the
primary role of your supervisor and/or subordinates?
2. Is client advocacy a part of your role? How central is this?
3. Do you think that individuals above or below you have more or less of a representa
tive role in the organization?
4. Do you think that bureaucrats in general have a representative role in policymak
ing? Do you see yourself or others in your organization as representatives? Of what
or whom? Do you see your role as a representative as one that is similar or different
from legislators or the President?
5. How would you define public interest?
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Kennedy Role of Representation in Bureaucracy 809
6. Would you say your primary responsibility as a representative is toward the public
interest, specific groups, or legislators?
7. In your view, are there groups in society (such as racial or gender groups) that have
been traditionally underrepresented by your organization or other public agencies?
If so, do you think this places a special responsibility on bureaucrats to include
these groups in the policy process?
1. If you view yourself as a representative, what specific tasks do you perform in your
organization that you consider representation or advocacy?
2. What are the primary tools you use to assess clients and their need for services? Do
you use any informal methods to assess clients?
3. Do you possess information that can potentially help clients maneuver through the
process of receiving services more easily, by this, I mean information that you are
not required to share with clients as part of the application process? What types of
factors may influence your decision to share or not share this information?
4. Do you ever feel that your clients would be better served if their posture or behavior
toward the organization were altered?
5. Do you feel that it is part of your job to stimulate demand from potential clients?
If so, do you have formal outreach programs? Describe how these programs work,
specifically in terms of determining who to contact for such programs? Do you use
any informal mechanisms?
6. Do you feel that you relate more easily to clients who share your background or
demographic characteristics? What sort of characteristics would you say are most
likely to influence your ability to relate to clients? Do you feel that this in any way
influences the way in which you handle individuals' cases?
7. Have you ever noticed behavior by others in your organization that you felt were
discriminatory, either toward coworkers or clients? If so, how did you handle the
situation?
4. Religion
5. Marital status
6. Party affiliation
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810 Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory
7. Native language
8. What is your highest level of education?
9. What is your country, city, and state of birth?
10. Do you have any physical or mental disabilities?
11. Have you ever served in the armed forces?
12. Which of the following best describes your current household income level?
-5-5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5
1. There are 50 cards numbered 1 to 50. As you read the cards, sort the cards into three
piles. Place those you agree with in one pile. Place those you disagree with in a second
pile. Put the cards you feel neutral about or have no opinion of in a third pile.
2. From the disagree pile, choose the TWO with which you most disagree. Write the
number of the statements with which you most disagree in the pile labeled -5.
3. From the disagree pile, choose the THREE with which you most disagree. Write the
number of the statements with which you most disagree in the pile labeled -4.
4. From the disagree pile, choose the FOUR with which you most disagree. Write the
number of the statements with which you most disagree in the pile labeled -3.
5. From the disagree pile, choose the FIVE with which you most disagree. Write the
number of the statements with which you most disagree in the pile labeled -2.
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Kennedy Role of Representation in Bureaucracy 811
6. From the disagree pile, choose the SEVEN with which you most disagree. Write the
number of the statements with which you most disagree in the pile labeled -1.
7. If at any time you do not have enough cards in the disagree pile, choose the cards
you most disagree with from the neutral pile to complete the step. Place any
remaining cards in the neutral pile.
8. At this time, do not fill in the 0 column. Go to the agree pile and select the TWO
with which you most agree and write the numbers in the column labeled +5.
9. Go to the agree pile and select the THREE statements with which you most agree
and write the numbers in the column labeled +4.
10. Go to the agree pile and select the FOUR statements with which you most agree
and write the numbers in the column labeled +3.
11. Go to the agree pile and select the FIVE statements with which you most agree and
write the numbers in the column labeled +2.
12. Go to the agree pile and select the SEVEN statements with which you most agree
and write the numbers in the column labeled +1.
13. Now write down the numbers of the remaining cards in the 0 column. When
you are finished you should have no cards left over and no blank spaces on your
answering sheet.
General representational
representational role
role perception
perception
31. I see representation
representation or
or advocacy
advocacy as
as part
partof
ofmy
myrole
roleininmy
myorganization.
organization.
14. Ideally, everyone
everyone in
in my
my organization
organization should
shouldsee
seerepresentation
representationasaspart
partofoftheir
theirrole
roleininthe
the
organization.
49. Those who work above me have more of representational or advocacy role, and those below
me have less.
23. Everyone in my organization is an advocate, but we do not all advocate to the same groups.
9. I believe that the frontline staff under me have a more direct role of representation, and
those above me have less of a role.
43. Individuals at lower levels of my organization do not have the same power to influence policy
as those at higher levels.
36. I work in a very top-down organization where policies are set at a much higher level. I do
not have discretion or influence over policy.
Objects of representation
26. My primary responsibility as a representative is toward the public interest, rather than
specific groups or legislators.
45. My primary responsibility as a representative is to represent legislative mandates.
48. My primary responsibility as a representative is to advocate for specific groups.
35. I represent multiple interests including specific groups, the public interest, and legislative
mandates.
47. Individuals in my organization have a special ability and/or responsibility to represent groups
that are otherwise underrepresented.
Continued
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812 Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory
Appendix 3 (Continued)
Indirect representation
lUUUCtl ICpiCSCUldUUll
29.
29.MyMy peers,
peers,
staff, staff,
and/or supervisors
and/or have supervisors
helped to shape
havethe helped
way I see to
myself
shape
as a the way I see myse
representative
representative in my in
organization.
my organization.
6.
6.MyMy peers,
peers,
subordinates,
subordinates,
and supervisors
andhave
supervisors
encouraged andhave
supported
encouraged
my views asand
a supported m
representative
representative but they
buthave
they
not really
have shaped
not these
really
views.
shaped these views.
38.
38.I try
I try
to mentor
to mentor
my staffmyand/or
staff
peers and/or
and to empower
peers them
and to to
be more
empower
effectivethem to be more eff
representatives.
representatives.
Direct
Direct representation
representation
40.
40.I am
I am
able able
to influence
to influence
policymaking
policymaking
and/or program development.
and/or program development.
24.
24.I advocate
I advocateon behalf
on of
behalf
my constituents,
of my constituents,
but I do not personally
buthave
I do
thenot
power
personally
to make have the
decisions about their case.
39. My organization encourages public input and participation.
11. I use informal procedures for needs' assessments.
32. Sometimes, constituents misunderstand my organization and this may influence the quality
of services they receive.
15. I have information that I can choose to give to my constituents and that may help them get
faster or better services from my organization.
16. I make decisions such as resource allocation or information provision that I consider acts of
representation or advocacy.
28. We have formal outreach programs, and we target certain groups in our outreach programs
such as lower-income individuals.
3. I make daily decisions on how to implement policy.
5. It is part of my job to ensure quality service provision from my staff or others in the
organization.
30. We have outreach programs, but we do not target specific groups.
37. Constituents will be better served if they are more educated on the services of our
organization.
Descriptive representation
2. I sometimes feel that I am able to better relate to and meet the needs of constituents who
share my background or demographic characteristics.
22. Race and gender are characteristics that may influence my ability to relate to and understand
the needs of my constituents and serve them.
10. It is important that our organizations reflect the demographic makeup of the population we
serve.
Continued
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Kennedy Role of Representation in Bureaucracy 813
Appendix 3 (Continued)
Trade-offs
Trade-offs
17.
17. Individuals
Individualsininthe
theorganization
organization
above
aboveandand
below
below
me me
havehave
similar
similar
levels
levels
of accountability.
of accountability.
18. Our
Our organization
organizationisisprimarily
primarilyaccountable
accountable to to
thethe
community
community we serve.
we serve.
1. II am
am accountable
accountabletotomultiple
multiplegroups—my
groups—my supervisor,
supervisor,
mymy organization,
organization,
the community,
the community,
and and
legislators.
My primary accountability is to the public at large.
My primary accountability is to my supervisor.
I am primarily accountable to politicians or elected officials.
Representation or advocacy increases efficiency because it allows you to better understand
the needs of certain groups and to better serve them.
Representation or advocacy decreases efficiency because the more interests you represent, the
more difficult it becomes to make decisions.
Representation or advocacy by individuals in the organization decreases accountability.
If you see yourself as a representative within the organization, you will have more
accountability.
The services I provide to my constituents are not finite or zero-sum.
I do provide some services that are finite or zero-sum.
Organizational efficiency and accountability are related to leadership, not the diversity of the
organization.
In my organization, I feel that assumptions are sometimes made about constituents based on
their background or demographic characteristics.
Distinguishing
Distinguishing statements
statements for
for leaders
leaders
50 5 1.79* 1 0.70 -2 -0.76 -1 -0.37
33 5 1.66* 1 0.49 2 0.80 -2 -0.84
3 1 0.65 1 0.23 4 1.41 3 1.23
11 1 0.63* 0 0.01 -2 -0.64 -1 -0.32
32 1 0.18 1 0.69 3 1.10 -2 -0.84
30 0 0.08* -5 -2.21 -3 -1.00 -1 -0.74
16 0 -0.26 0 0.15 2 0.82 3 1.21
15 -1 -0.48* 2 0.84 1 0.18 1 0.48
28 -1 -0.55 0 -0.12 1 0.63 0 0.25
46 -2 -0.83* 3 1.29 -5 -1.87 -5 -1.91
42 -3 -0.88 -4 -1.28 -1 -0.30 -3 -1.27
Continued
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814 Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory
Appendix 4 (Continued)
Distinguishing
Distinguishing statements
statementsfor
foridentity
identityempathizers
empathizers
40 2 1.12
1.12 0 -0.17 5 1.90* 2 0.97
2 -1-1 -0.56 -2
-2 -0.73 3 1.21*
1.21* -3-3 -1.10
8 -3 -1.13 -3 -0.97 3 1.02* -4 -1.67
25 -4 -1.48 0 -0.02 3 1.01* -4 -1.54
1 4 1.50
1.50 5 2.17 2 0.89*
0.89* 5 1.50
22 -4 -1.63 -3
-3 -1.19 1 0.40*
0.40* -5 -1.81
4 3 1.12 0 -0.13 1 0.38 2 0.93
0.93
34 -3 -1.13 -4 -1.24 1 0.22* -3 -1.15
31 2 0.71
0.71 2 0.80 0 0.03*
0.03* 4 1.42
19 1 0.41 2 0.87
0.87 -1
-1 -0.03* 1 0.70.74
4
42 -3
-3 -0.88 -4 -1.28 -1
-1 -0.30* -3 -1.27
14 3 1.42
1.42 2 0.94
0.94 -1
-1 -0.44* 4 1.38
12 2 0.76 1 0.42 -1 -0.50* 1 0.0.6666
27 -5
-5 -1.85 -3
-3 -1.13 -2 -0.53 -4 -1.56
26 2 1.09
1.09 1 0.68 -2-2 -0.73* 4 1.43
1.43
7 0 -0.20 -1 -0.29 -3 -0.17* -1 -0.34
17 1 0.0.70
70 -2-2 -0.97 -4 -1.65* 1 0.34
0.34
45 -2 -0.78 -2
-2 -0.78 -4 -1.84* -2 -0.78
36 -3
-3 -0.94 1 0.43
0.43 -5 -2.50* -3
-3 -1.30
Distinguishing
Distinguishing statements
statements for
for diversity
diversity advocates
advocates
31 2 0.71 2 0.80 0 0.03 4 1.42*
10 1 0.20.22
2 -1-1 -0.62 -1
-1 -0.18 3 0.98*
37 3 1.22 4 1.38 4 1.46
1.46 0 0.24*
13 -2
-2 -0.79 -2
-2 -0.90 -1 -0.40 0 0.09
43 -4 -1.20 4 1.39
1.39 -2
-2 -0.85 0 -0.17*
32 1 0.10.18
8 1 0.60.69
9 3 1.10 -2 -0.84*
33 5 1.66 1 0.49 2 0.80
0.80 -2
-2 -0.84*
8 -3 -1.13 -3
-3 -0.97 3 1.02 -4 -1.67*
p
p << .05;
.05; *p
*p << .01.
.01.
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Kennedy Role of Representation in Bureaucracy 815
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Abstract: Globalization with the revolution of information technology has been dramatically changing
human behavior, management of corporations, and governance of states much more than the industrial
revolution transformed the agricultural society. Public administration systems appear to help some
countries to have far more benefits than others, even if many social scientists believe that international
economic, trade, and political systems have played more significant role in helping some countries to
get far more benefits than others. Globalization and public administration are enmeshed in a complex
pattern of interdependence that cannot easily be untangled, but the World Wide Web provides a
transparent window through which to take a closer look at these linkages. The Internet may be viewed
both as a cause and consequence of globalization, and as an interactive link to connect it with
administrative phenomena.
which dissolve the authority of the national states, 2. Globalization and regionalization -
shaping national decisions bassing on supranational
parameters[5] via many international actors more or
correlative phenomena?
Many questions arise regarding the phenomenon of
less institutionalized. "Called in French
globalization: What is globalizing? What escapes to
mondialization, globalization is often understood as
the globalization? How does the process of
a result of advances in transport and
globalization connect to the regionalization process?
communications which have created networks more
Usually it is considered that the debate on
and more efficient and faster, covering the whole
globalization includes sectors such as the economy
surface of the Earth. In a broader sense,
(trade, finance, production), immigration, the
globalization means the universalization of the
ecological military, cultural and political field[9],
economy by reducing national barriers regarding the
public administration having tangency with the last
trade and investment, telecommunications and
one but far from identifying with it. Rightfully says
information systems development, the growth of
Tiberiu Braila that globalisation is the most
financial markets located outside the the national
important event of the contemporary events as it
borders, the increasing of the role of multinational
involves a change of perception where the national
companies, regional economic integration, in
administrations, the national state are no longer the
essence, creating a single global market "[6].
best suppliers of goods and services for their regions
Although at national and regional level, different
[10], their role being replaced by other entities. "But
countries are facing a multitude of specific problems
like any action arises reaction, globalization is
of the economic and social process, those essentials
accompanied by a contrary process of
for the development are common, regardless of the
regionalization, localization, organization of social
geographic region or the development of the
and economic life closer to the person and his needs,
countries. So, globalization involves processes of
a process that can sometimes take extreme forms of
the high interdependence in the modern world,
"tribelisation", degenerating into nationalisms and
generated by the international, economical, political
fundamentalisms of all sorts "[11]. Without being
and cultural cooperation expanded, and also by the
new phenomena, globalization and regionalization
need to face together the global problems which can
know emphasized forms of development today.
not be solved but on a global scale[7].
From their intersection derives a series of important
Contemporary society has generated a series of
implications in many fields: economic, social,
problems of global nature, whose management goes
moral, political, cultural, philosophical, the
beyond the national borders and requires a large
appearance of new mentalities, from where it comes
cooperation of the states in international relations.
the need of some new actions, of a reformed
Economic and social phenomena such as the
institutional framework, new categories of thinking
internationalization of production, the
politics and lawmakings that could shape a new
unprecedented increase of international trade,
international order. The globalization engine is the
capital finance global markets formation, the
economy that succeeded much deeper than politics
persistence of underdevelopment and poverty, the
or administration to become global, forcing us to
high rates of unemployment, illicit drug trafficking
update our concepts as much as our behaviors.
and consumption, resource depletion and
"Globalization leads to an increased polarization of
environmental degradation are some of the main
the richness, to the appearance of richness without
topics of the international interaction between the
nations and of nations without richness. The result
economies and the states[8]. Globalization is meant
of these evolutions, particularly of the deregulation,
to be a response to the action of finalizing the new
liberalization of the markets and the capital
international order, glimpsed since the early '70s,
movements makes that, slowly but surely , the link
marked, however, after the 1990, by a series of
between the state, the territory, the population and
elements of instability, the contemporary world
the richness disappear, from where the significant
today still facing the economic gap between the
erosion of the national sovereignty, fiscal
developed countries and those which are still
fundaments and economical and social policies . At
developing, with the crise of energy shortage, raw
least in economic terms, the war with the space was
materials and the drinking water, the ecological
won."[12] Thanks to a particular technical support,
crisis and the attempts to reduce the effects of armed
transactions are carried over longer distances with
conflicts of the last few years, but also with the
more accelerated speeds. The dynamic became the
possibility of releasing new conflicts.
spirit of the world and one of the most significant
aspects wich illustrates the paradigm of the
globalization, a factor of imbalance and at the same identities [14]. Globalization and regionalization are
time, of transition to a new equilibrium. The not contradictory but complementary processes, thet
increasing of the complexity of the international are mutually supporting. You might even say that
organizations and of their role and force, came as a globalization incites regionalization, both public
consequence. Although they talk a lot about actors (going as far as the state) and private ones
flexibility, they have adopted working patterns seeking to integrate themselvs in the different
somewhat standardized, smoothed for all the formulas to become more credible on the market,
countries, that are applied with the power help and stronger in the competitive battle and more
the centralization of the informational system, attractive for the potential investments or
supporting the hegemony of the strong ones on the placements of capital. Regional constructions can be
global market . Thus the force and domination of the considered laboratories for the development of some
multinationals companies,of the large corporations institutions better suited to the context of
and economical conglomerates grew as never globalization, but every experience is interested to
before. Globalization indicates the appearance of a identify the best its ambitions, if it aims to succeed,
new economy. The traditional system of the closed including the EU [15]. There is even a tendency to
national economies, or at least protected, entities exacerbate the regionalism, even the separatism, a
that establish between them economic relationships phenomenon that can be seen even in the countries
through trade and foreign investment leave place to the most involved in globalization: Canada, Spain,
some form of integration-cooperation, increasingly Belgium, Italy, Ireland. The phenomenon resulted
extended to some new specialization and to some after the fall of communism, the disintegration of
increased interdependence, the companies change the USSR, Yugoslavia and Czechoslovakia,
their international strategies, developing extensive different and extremely interesting cases for
global network,that are using the resources the analysts.
capacities and potentialities of the market, of the This tendency of regrouping or separating the
different countries and geographical areas, regions has mainly economic reasons. Thus,
absorbing them inside a single global strategy. "The supranational integration allows to the actors in
time of an unipolar world has past. The U.S. question the access to a larger market, allows a more
dominated the world as the only global power for diversified production structure, opened to the
only a generation . The future will belong to the different compensation or complementarities
continental and regional blocks and to their between the provinces and between the different
competition. In the last few years there has been a economic sectors, such entities or networks can
growing regionalization and internationalization of deliver superior advantages in terms of collective
the production and of the finance, so for both real goods, infrastructure and improving relationships
and monetary economy. "[13]. The balance of the with the outside . Regional or nationalist attitudes
economical power has shifted significantly, being take into consideration the correlative phenomenon
called into question the national sovereignty and of globalization, of uneven distribution of the
even the legitimacy of the nation-states, the richness in the world, differences in the
governmental autonomy and the role of the State . development of the countries, important differences
There have appeared other important sub- or in the structure of the labor market, wages etc. What
supranationals actors such as" IMF, World Bank, is the role of the state and of the national
World Trade Organization as well as numerous administrations in dealing with the unavoidable
regional and local actors, seemingly disparate but phenomenon of globalization? The answer is given
connected by invisible wires in a network of by Joseph Stiglitz: "In my activity – both in the
interdependencies and potentialities. This lead to works and in my role as an economical adviser of
talking about a new medievalism, a new political the the U.S. President and Chief Economist of the
organization, fragmented and decentralized, similar World Bank - I have supported the need for a
to that of the Middle Ages and opposed to the balanced conception regarding the role of the state,
Westphalian state system that has dominated the of a concept that takes into account both the
modern era, specifically the last three hundred limitations or the shortcomings of the market and of
years. This "new medievalism" is only a metaphor the state, but in which the two should be seen as
that wants to better highlight the fact that the State acting together as an association, the exact nature of
does not have the same role in the international this association being different from one country to
system, that he is confronting with the emergence of another depending on their political and economical
the competing authorities at local, regional and development stage. Regardless of the political and
global level, with redefinitions of communitar economical development stage of a country, the
state plays an important role, weak governments as The public administrations of the well-developed
much as the strong ones have negatively influenced countries make unstoppable efforts to adapt to the
both stability and growth. The Asian financial crisis global market with the purpose of taking advantage
was caused by the inadequate regulation of the of the benefits and opportunities that are offered by
financial sector activity, and the Russian mafia the globalization . That is why they adapt their
capitalism arose due to the lack of the basic law and operating mechanisms using as model the
order. Without the existence of institutional corporatist management in the attempt of using in
infrastructure, privatization has led in countries in the interest of the public welfare the financial
transition to the assets circumvention, not to the flows and the global economic processes . Also,
creation of richness. In other countries, given the mostly on the specialists level, it has been
lack of regulations, privatized monopolies have questioned the problem of standardization of the
been able to exploit the consumers better than the administrative activities for achieving a global
state monopolies has made it before some compatibility . This process had success regionally,
regulations, enterprise restructuring and their solid generally determined by the ideological barriers ,
management led to the acceleration of the but even nowadays with no agreement on the
economical growth.[16] "Therefore, the state organization of the public administration and still
should limit itself to adapt his own socio-economic existing the centralized and decentralized systems.
system to the requirements of the global markets, to Although at the practical level it was expected that
ensure the social justice. The dissatisfaction the political projects became the globalization
regarding the globalization doesn't come necessarily engine of the administrative phenomena , it was
from the fact that the economical theory is put noticed that technological phenomena generated
above all , but rather from the fact that a certain the necessary feed-back for reforming the
economical concept - market fundamentalism - is administrations for being able to answer to the
placed before all the other concepts [17], perhaps global needs. It is about the appearance of the public
even before the national interests. The opposition to institutions sites, that became step-by-step a
globalization manifested in many parts of the world condition imposed by law and their translation in
does not concern globalization itself - the new English or in various languages of international
sources of funds destinated to promote the circulation. Practically, from each corner of the
economical growth or the new export markets - but world it is possible to observe the activity and
a certain set of doctrines, the politics covered by the effectiveness of an institution, and the institutions
Washington Consensus which were imposed by the had to present themselves mutually in an
international financial institutions.”, Stiglitz adds. In comprehensible manner. Another phenomenon that
this global context, the public administration suffers supports the public administration globalization is
from powerful influences, although they were the appearance of the high level education
characterized by an identification with the own institutions in the administrative domain that will
interests of the state. What is noticeable is that in the create specialists in public administration with
majority of the EU states the only obligatory similar abilities – as long as the higher educational
conditions that every candidate must fulfil in order system answers to some global demanding . A brief
to have a public function is not only to belong to a research proved that in most of world states, from
specific state belonging to EU, but also to take an the American continent to the Arabic states, exist
oath at the acceptance of a specific function, where higher education institutions and institutions
the party swears to serve only the interests of the EU specialized in forming officials that have a
as whole and not the interests of a specific state transparent activity, with training programs that are
belonging to the EU, this prevents the rising of displayed on their sites , at the same time showing a
opposing morals to rise within the EU along with tendency to match them . Even so, the general
other kinds of interests, such as global ones. Public tendency of this higher educational institutions is
administration stays strongly linked to the national given by the accent on the national administration of
states, most of the time to the regional and local the sovereign states, under the impact of
administration , serving their interests exclusively, globalization being necessary that the notion of
in opposition with the global interests . public administration expands to domains which
the specialists in public administration avoid despite
3. Globalization and public the fact that the administration is always facing
those problems. We speak about research fields
administration – influences such as : gaps in the covering area of the states with
mass communication, the role of patronage,
military forces in public administration, based on skills . Unfortunately, the decision makers
international administration, public policies, “the from the public administrations , because they are
third sector” – the ONG, non-state organizations politicians , don’t have the necessary competences
,external intervention and technical assistance [18]. for the job they have , and , at a brief analysis of the
The research domain is so unexplored that even the public politics application process, it becomes clear
announcing of a possible research direction is a that exactly them are the ones that still benefit from
progress. favoritism .
Globalization changed dramatically the priorities Interesting are that the states from Eastern Asia
of public administration because of the modification and Eastern Europe , in European countries , so-
and the extension of administrative actions both called states in development that benefited from the
inside and outside the states . Even though the state globalization, they tried to rationalize the public
bureaucracies stay fundamental, their functions were bureaucracy through the liberalization and
considerably modified by the new-made structures privatization , by reducing the government functions
by the globalization extension .For understanding and services, also by the mobilization of information
the impact of globalization on public administration, technology in public administration. The public
generally , we do not only need to look at what administration’s systems of transition from
happens to the state bureaucracy, but we also need Singapore, Taiwan, South Korea, Hungary,
to look at many other levels , including the trans- Bulgaria, Czechoslovakia helped their countries to
states ones , or internal organizations or private benefit from the globalization. For example, the
administrations . government of South Korea has established “The
Gaps in the covering area of the states with mass open system of competitive jobs” in 1999, which
communication ways. Many states can’t afford the was conceived to pick up remarkable talents from
luxury to have the public administration connected the public and private sectors and approximately
to a global communication system through sites of 20% of their jobs were selected through this system;
institutions posted on the Internet . For these states plus the government introduced the payment
the science-based administration is more difficult system depending on the performance of the
and the globalization influence is lower . There are worker, also the program of bonus performance for
situations when , due to the lack of administrative encouraging the competition through the public
culture , the sites of institutions don’t have a officials [19]. The Singapore government created
relevant content , which means that instead of the portal eCitizen in 1997 as an unique access to
posting things regarding administrative issues , they the governmental services, information regarding
are filled with politicians speeches , so they are used the integration of governmental services and
in a propaganda purpose . The public information according to the intuitive categories,
administration from each corner of the world must such as “education”, ”home”, etc.[20]. In addition
realize that , belonging to a global world, the usage to this, these countries seem to have benefited from
of sites leads to easier mobilization of resources that the globalization, because of the powerful political
could help them handle the huge problems that they leading, the technocratic plans of economic
are facing . development and the efforts of the citizen . The
The influence of politics public management of Eastern Asia and Eastern
Generally bureaucratic career are spoken about Europe is truly expected to be more rational , more
and it is necessary that this idea is strengthened for efficient ,receptive ,responsible and transparent due
an optimized work of administrative systems to the fact that presently the professionalism and the
formed by professional clerks. Even so, some sort of rationality aren’t established regarding the behavior
preferences when hiring equally important as and the institutions on this large scale of
technical skills are maintained in different public bureaucracy. [21]
organizations especially in the under-state ones (the Military forces in public administration
case of federal states) or non-state. We are talking Another category of officials that are usually
about those specific discriminations, the public ignored by the specialists in public administration
administrations or the ONGs ( that can discriminate are the military personnel. Traditionally, it was
ethnically, sexually, racialist, etc.). It gets even analyzed only the civil service and the military
worse if these discriminations are found in public forces were ignored. This fact not only ruins the
administrations too , at this level existing a understanding of the way in which states manage
political influence , with a considerably negative the public affairs , although until now we see more
influence , so it can be said that not only in the and more military personnel involved in
occidental industrialized states the recruitment is maintaining the peace, humanitarian and military
actions and ONU functions and international and The globalization created the third sector because of
regional organizations or other kinds of the free access to the world financial resources , and
organizations. Military schools are even older than this field is still growing up . It is possible to find
the public administration ones and this educational out more about this third sector through the
component is necessary because it happens International Society of research of the Third Sector
frequently that military personnel have to ,quoting from the declaration of intention the
administrate regions, have to be involved in the following statement : „ In this era of deep change in
management of public functions or even have to the way societies are organized, the third sector
become a leading elite. plays a critical role and won a significant
International administrations: ONU, FMI, OMC, importance in several countries. International
The World Bank, UNESCO, etc. research for a better understanding of implications
Public policies from an economical, sociological, cultural, juridical
Generally the public policies were conceived as and political perspective of these changes continues
part of the administration act and subordinated by it. to amplify”[22].
There is a new approach of public policies from a It is compulsory that the ONG sector to be taken
global perspective taken from the national behaviors seriously into consideration and not only because of
that are specific for public administrations. That’s its economical aspect , but mostly for the political
why the attention is drawn to the fact that the and administrative one because it has a big capacity
domain of public administration doesn’t identify to lobby.
with the public policies domain. In this way, in USA Non-state organizations
the differences between public policies and public The public administration, drawn to its own
administration were institutionalized by creating the issues , has the tendency to ignore the international
Association for Public Policy Analysis, APPAM, organizations that belong to the public authorities .
with main objectives such as: producing instruments Also, and now we refer especially to the federal
and technics for taking public decisions as well as states and those ones with a more powerful regional
announcing the results of the analysis of politics component , the national governments , the under
and studies of management for public organizations states and the regional pay less attention to the
and non-profit organizations with the purpose of specific of the administration at this level .
supporting the decisional factors . At international Regarding this subject, there is the International
level it isn’t similar to APPAM, maybe it will be Union of Local Authorities, IULA , created with the
possible in the future , especially because the good purpose of being a source of key information , at a
American practices were imported in many other world scale, a source of learning ,of exchanging and
states. of the consolidation programs of the capacities for
The third sector – ONGs the local democratic government.
This third sector of administration becomes External interventions and technical assistance
more and more powerful and more important at From the many international organizations that
global level, taking day by day more public try to offer technical assistance in the field of public
activities , from the environmental protection , administration located in the countries in course of
disadvantaged people , to every level of education , development ONU has the best view.
researches and different public services . Starting These organizations that offer technical
with the idea that the state is a far too expensive assistance are real creations of the globalization
administrator, the third sector takes step-by-step process . They appeared, generally, in the first half
more responsibilities that belong to the of the XX century, lots of governments turned to
administration field. This thing isn’t lacked of their support. The activities spectrum is extremely
dangers because the level of responsibilities are large: from consultancy in the financial and
lower , as well as their control of the state . This economical field , to the one in the political field
kind of organizations also have the disadvantage of under the shape of technical assistance for passing
having extremely different types of management . to democratic regimes or even electoral
Without any doubt, they have in common advisory.
administrative characteristics, with or without
having an orientation to the market . Regarding the
educational system , these organizations are being
discussed mostly in institutions specialized in 4. Conclusions
economics, and less in those specialized in We close this presentation with the remark that ,
administration , which can be considered a big gap . despite of national and regional oppositions , the
globalization already had a powerful impact on the and the role of public administrations for answering
public administration field , and this thing is the global forces are likely to be limited.
obvious , not only by researching information on the
governments sites , the university sites ,associations References:
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(Faculty Research Working Articles Series: p.41-42.
RWP04-101, p.34 [22]. http://www.jhu.edu/
The “Old” public administration Public servants serve public rather than private interest.
The prevailing approach to public administration drew on a This “command and control” approach was introduced in most
model of bureaucracy based on hierarchy and meritocracy. Commonwealth countries, including in Singapore where the
McCourt (2013) lists the principal features of this model: post-independence political leadership built a high quality and
efficient civil service (see Box, overleaf ).
Page 1
www.undp.org/publicservice
performance management and audit;
Singapore’s model of public management Disaggregation of public services into basic units and a
focus on savings;
Reforms and achievements
Increased of use of market principles for resource
The Singapore model of public management is allocation and service delivery.
premised on meritocratic principles. Success derives
from four policies: comprehensive reform of the Some aspects of NPM reforms have been criticized: the idea
Singapore Civil Service; strong and enforceable that its success is dependent on buy-in from top officials
anti-corruption measures; decentralisation of and central departments; its singular emphasis on private
the Public Service Commission; and payment of sector principles; the weakening of democratic accountability
competitive salaries to attract and retain the best with the creation of executive agencies; and failure to
candidates (Quah, 2013). foreground the needs of citizens as the primary focus for
public sector reforms (Peters and Savoie, 1998). NPM is said
Singapore selectively introduced NPM reforms to have diminished coherence across government owing to
by adopting market-based principles in creating fragmentation between policy and delivery (Denhardt and
arms-length public corporations, and adopting Denhardt, 2000), and it has also been described as a cluster of
new management models and e-government different approaches (Osborne, 2006).
techniques (Lee and Haque, 2006). The government
established “Public Service for the 21st Century”
to nurture public service excellence and The new public governance (NPG)
promoted “whole-of-government” thinking on key NPG places citizens and the public interest, rather than
strategic challenges (Ho, 2012). government, at the centre of its frame. NPG conceives the
state as both plural and pluralist; government is no longer the
Challenges and limitations sole force shaping public policy and implementation. Several
The model is not without its challenges: retention of strands of NPG are identified in the literature:
public service leaders with the right skills and attitudes;
meeting the changing needs and rising aspirations of New public service (NPS) argues that the focus of public
the population; public concerns about meritocracy, management should be citizens, community and civil
accountability and high salaries in the senior civil service; society, and the primary role of public servants is to help
shortcomings in transparency and responsiveness; citizens articulate and meet shared interests (Denhardt
and dealing with uncertainty and complexity in cross- and Denhardt, 2000). Bourgon (2007, p.22) suggests that
cutting policy issues (Saxena, 2011). this approach has four elements:
● Build collaborative relationships with citizens and
Singapore’s success in public management has limited groups;
potential for replicability, as such sustained political will
on the part of the government is rare elsewhere. Singapore ● Encourage shared responsibilities;
is also a small city-state with a relatively homogenous ● Disseminate information to elevate public
Chinese majority population (Quah, 2013). discourse; and
● Seek opportunities to involve citizens in government
Lessons learnt
activities.
The importance of integrity and strong anti-corruption
measures; meritocracy expressed through recruitment The “whole-of-government” approach arose in response
to a lack of coherence and coordination problems in the
of the best talent; results-orientation in which pay
NPM approach. It strengthened central oversight and
and promotion reflect individual performance and
increased horizontal collaboration.
contribution to innovative outcomes; and competitive
salaries for the public service to mitigate the risk of The “motivation of public officials” approach, takes the
corruption; operational autonomy for public sector view that changes in organizational arrangements require
corporations; rewarding performance through attention to the values and incentives that govern the
incentives and recognition; a practice of continuous behaviour and performance of public officials. A study of
innovation; and leadership by example (Saxena, 2011). public officials in one state government in Brazil identified
four key elements in explaining motivation and dedication
(Tendler, 2007; Rao, 2013):
The new public management (NPM) ● Dedication and civic duty is appreciated by
The key elements of NPM can be summarised as follows communities;
(Osborne, 2006): ● Recognition by rewards and public information
campaigns is effective;
Incorporates lessons from private-sector management;
● Officials exhibit voluntarism and willingness to carry
Growth of hands-on “management” and of “arm’s- out a larger range of tasks;
length” organizations where policy implementation is
organizationally distanced from the policy makers; ● Downward accountability through scrutiny of
performance by local communities.
Focus is on entrepreneurial leadership;
The following table summarizes the three approaches
Emphasis on input/output control, evaluation, examined so far:
Page 2
Table 2. Comparing perspectives: Old public administration, new public management, and the new
public service
Old Public
New Public Management New Public Service
Administration
Political theory, naïve social Economic theory, positivist
Theoretical foundations Democratic theory
science social science
Rationality and models Administrative rationality, Technical and economic
Strategic rationality, citizen interest
of human behaviour public interest rationality, self-interest
Conception of the Aggregation of individual
Political, enshrined in law Dialogue about shared values
public interest interests
To whom are civil
Clients and constituents Customers Citizens
servants responsive?
“Rowing”, implementation “Steering”, serving as
“Serving”, negotiating and
Role of government focused on politically catalyst to unleash market
brokering interests among citizens
defined objectives forces
Mechanisms for Administering Creating mechanisms and
Building coalitions of public, non-
achieving policy programmes through incentives through private
profit private agencies
objectives government agencies and non-profit agencies
Hierarchical - Market-drive-outcomes Multifaceted-public servants
Approach to
administrators responsible result from accumulation of guided by law, values, professional
accountability
to elected leaders self-interests norms and citizen interests
Administrative Limited discretion granted Wide latitude to meet Discretion needed but constrained
discretion to public officials entrepreneurial goals and accountable
Assumed Bureaucratic organizations Decentralized public
Collaborative structures with
organizational with top-down authority organisations with primary
shared leadership
structure and control of clients control within agency
Entrepreneurial spirit, desire
Assumed motivational Pay and benefits, civil- Public service, desire to contribute
to reduce size and functions
basis of public servants service protections to society
of government
Source: Adapted from Denhardt and Denhardt (2000, p.554)
Globalization, complexity and wicked problems control and staff recruitment. In practice many countries
adopt an approach that combines elements of different
Koppell (2010, S50-51) identifies three institutional forms and
models of public administration. Organizational hybridity in
practices that transcend boundaries: (i) organizations with
the public sector has several distinct features, among them a
mixed governmental and non-governmental characteristics
mix of organizations at the interface of the public and private
play a central role in the delivery of public goods and
sector, located in the market or civil society, a mix of market
services; (ii) the regulation and allocation of scarce resources
and hierarchy, or a mixture of different organizational forms
using market mechanisms is favoured in numerous policy
inside ministries that encompass specialized agencies, state
areas; and (iii) cross-border cooperation and reliance on
enterprises and different levels of government (Christensen
institutions that span nation states is a common response
and Laegreid, 2011). In some African countries this has
to transnational policy challenges.
produced “governance states” where finance ministries have
There is growing recognition that many contemporary public acquired strong internal capacity and have adopted NPM-
policy problems are complex, relentless and contested, that is, style market reforms (Harrison, 2004). Elsewhere successive
they are “wicked problems” that cannot be addressed through civil service reforms did not substantially improve efficiency
single interventions by individual agencies. Collaborative or reduce corruption (McCourt, 2013). While the NPG and
networks between public managers, citizens and not-for-profit NPS approaches offer useful correctives by focusing on inter-
actors become critical for addressing such wicked problems organizational relationships and citizen engagement, they
(Weber and Khademian, 2008). do not offer a comprehensive solution to problems of public
service efficiency and effectiveness.
Page 3
Next steps? McCourt, W. (2013). Models of Public Service Reform: A
Problem-Solving Approach. Policy Research Working
First, public sector reform efforts should be sensitive to
Paper, No. 6428. Washington D.C: The World Bank. Available
context and draw on various approaches; no single model
of public management offers a magic bullet solution for from http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/
deep-seated problems. WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/2013/04/30/000158349_201304
30082936/Rendered/PDF/wps6428.pdf.
Second, only those countries that have established the
basic organizational requirement of a functioning public Nunberg, B. (1992). Managing the Civil Service: Reform
administration will be in a position to experiment with Lessons from Advanced Industrialized Countries. Policy
NPM. A whole-of-government perspective can mitigate Research Working Paper, WPS 945. Washington D.C: The World
the risks of incoherence and fragmentation associated Bank. Available from http://www-wds.worldbank.org/servlet/
with the NPM approach and digital governance offers WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/1992/08/01/000009265_396100
the potential simultaneously to increase efficiency and 3052453/Rendered/PDF/multi_page.pdf.
transparency.
Third, and by extension, a heterodox approach that draws Osborne, S. P. (2006). The New Public Governance? Public
selectively on a range of public management traditions Management Review, vol. 8, No. 3, pp. 377-388. Available from
( “best fit”) will be more appropriate for developing spp.xmu.edu.cn/wp-content/uploads/.../the-New-Public-
countries than a singular approach to reform grounded Governance.pdf.
in models that have evolved in the political and economic
conditions of advanced countries (“best practice”). Peters, B. G. and D. J. Savoie, eds. (1998).Taking Stock:
Assessing Public Sector Reforms. Montreal: Canadian Centre
For a more detailed coverage of Public Sector Reform please for Management Development.
refer to the full paper and GCPSE’s other publications:
www.bit.ly/GCPSE-evidence. Quah, J. S. T. (2013). Ensuring Good Governance in Singapore:
Is This Experience Transferable to Other Asian Countries?
References International Journal of Public Sector Management, vol. 26,
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Service: Serving Rather Than Steering. Public Administration
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University. Available from www.rsis.edu.sg/wp-content/
uploads/rsis-pubs/WP248.pdf.
WONHYUK CHO
Seoul National University, South Korea
TOBIN IM
Seoul National University, South Korea
GREGORY A. PORUMBESCU
Florida International University, USA
HYUNKUK LEE
Seoul National University, South Korea
&
JUNGHO PARK
Seoul National University, South Korea
INTRODUCTION
Accordingly, this vein of criticism has led to calls to “let managers manage” (Norman
2001), and to the subsequent introduction of market-oriented human resource practices
that facilitate lateral entry into the civil service and introduce monetary incentives (Pollitt
& Bouckaert 2004).Such changes are said to stimulate an emphasis upon results and
flexibility, which may in turn result in the production of public services that better satisfy
citizens (Van Ryzin 2007; Brewer 2007; Pollitt 2009). Ostensibly, those who stand to
benefit from a more responsive and results-oriented state bureaucracy first and foremost are
the citizens.
Another criticism of WB is that it is too insulated from society. Ideally, the state must
answer to the demands and needs of citizens and its environment, as opposed to dictating
them. However, in WB, citizens’ ability to guide the actions of their bureaucracy is limited,
as bureaucracy is separated from actors in its environment, such as citizens. Additionally,
given bureaucrats’ obligation to faithfully execute the law, public sector bureaucracy is also
said to be separated from political influence. In order to protect bureaucrats from external
pressure, Weber(1968) argued that bureaucrats should be anonymous to outsiders, which
implied non-transparency. Thus, WB stands in clear contrast to the NPM model, which
emphasizes customer-oriented and transparent administration. Here, it is important to
emphasize that WB was actually identified by Weber (1968:975) as “efficient” and “rational”
way of organizing. Max Weber’s ideal bureaucracy is characterized by features such as
rules implemented by neutral officials, merit-based recruitment and career advancement,
expert training, rule-based action, clear lines of authority, and hierarchical organization.
These features, which Weber considered to be inherent to modern bureaucracy, resulted in
its technical superiority over other forms of organization.
Drawing on the original insight of Weber(1968: 1904–1911), Evans and Rauch
(1999, 2000) further investigated the virtues of the Weberian model of bureaucracy by
focusing on specific features of WB, such as meritocratic recruitment, internal promotion,
career stability, and competitive salaries; they identified these characteristics of WB as
determinants of bureaucratic performance and predictors of economic growth. This is
referred to as the “Weberian state hypothesis.”More interested in low-income countries,
Evans (1992, 1995) argued that the replacement of a patronage system by recruitment
of state officials to a professional merit-based state bureaucracy is a necessary condition
for a nation to be “developmental.” More concretely, they suggest that governments in
less developed countries should form what they call Weberian bureaucracy, which has
institutional characteristics of meritocratic recruitment through competitive examinations,
civil service procedures for hiring and firing rather than political appointments and
dismissals, and filling higher levels of the hierarchy through internal promotion.
Evans (1992, 1995) explains how those ingredients of the Weberian state combine
to produce good bureaucratic performance. A capable pool of officials can be cultivated
by making entry to the bureaucracy conditional on passing a civil service exam, and
paying salaries comparable to those for private positions that require similar skills and
December 2013 Wonhyuk Cho, Tobin Im, Gregory A. Porumbescu, Hyunkuk Lee, & Jungho Park 119
responsibility.1 Internal promotion provides job stability, and this stability forms stronger
ties among bureaucrats, in turn improving communication and effectiveness. This causes
members of the organization to consider at greater length what their colleagues think of
them, which leads to greater adherence to behavioral norms. Their job performance is
valued because they entered the bureaucracy on the basis of merit and skill rather than
political connections; concerns about how much they can accomplish on behalf of their
political clan are less important under this system. Internal promotion generates long-term
career rewards that reinforce adherence to codified rules of behavior and can also offer a
sense of commitment to corporate goals, thus developing “esprit de corps.”
These features of WB are in line with descriptions of Asian bureaucracy by
Frederickson(2002) and Ouch(1981). Bureaucracies in countries adhering to Confucian
value systemshave for long operated on principles such as recruitment by highly
competitive exam, placed strong emphasis on merit and morality, and possessed a
strong hierarchy based upon internal promotion and lifetime employment. The Asian
bureaucracies run by these personnel administration methods are commonly argued to have
produced remarkable performance, as evidenced by the “Asian Tigers” success stories.
Bureaucratic performance is often analyzed based on a principal-agent model in the
economics literature. Rauch (1995) attempted to marry this principal-agent framework to
the Weberian state hypothesis. In his analytic framework, internal promotion is viewed as
the recruitment of the principal from the ranks of agents. The principal is the only actor who
exercises power in the sense of deciding or influencing the mix of services the bureaucracy
supplies. Rauch assumes individuals have different levels of desire to impose their
preferences over collective goods on the public, and imposing preferences requires effective
bureaucracy that can fulfill the mission. A principal values exercising power and spends
more time and effort supervising his or her agents to insure that agents are implementing
the principal’s preferences, while spending less time and effort looking for ways to line his
or her own pockets. In order to increase the chances of becoming a principal, agents in an
internal promotion system are more responsive to supervision. Because agents who care
about power are more likely to become principal, principals are, in turn, more likely to care
about power, and as a result principals supervise their agents more closely.By this process,
a virtuous circle is generated by internal promotion; internal promotion increases the value
or expectation that the principal places on exercising power, and this increases the extent to
which the bureaucracy as a whole carries out its assigned tasks of providing public goods,
while decreasing the extent to which it implicitly taxes the private sector through large-
scale corruption (Rauch 1995).
has civil service protection as well as formal examinations. It is argued that civil service
protection de-motivates public officials, because firing them is difficult. A civil service
system based on WB, in other words, has worse monitoring, from this perspective.
Requirements such as formal examinations can prevent qualified outsiders from being
hired. In the same respect, internal promotion can function as a barrier to entry that blocks
the best candidates, who could be appointed to higher positions in an open system. These
arguments are often addressed by NPM advocates in the discussion of bureaucratic reform.
Even though NPM approaches to bureaucratic reform are somewhat contradictory to
WB, some have even argued that WB can be seen as a precondition for implementation
of NPM reforms (Bale &Dale 1998; Schick 1998). In the 1990s, developmental studies
started to debate the applicability of NPM-style reform such as that of New Zealand to
less developed countries, and they found that some preconditions were needed as a basis
for the NPM reforms to ensure their success (Wallis & Dollery 2001; Common 1998).
In New Zealand for example, there was a well-functioning political market; relatively
competent civil service with a tradition of political neutrality; little concern about corruption
or nepotism; a consistent and well-enforced legal code, including contract law; and a
competent but suppressed private sector. It has been argued that an appropriate reform
mix for developing countries should reflect major differences in these preconditions, and
NPM reforms in developed countries, such as the reform carried out in New Zealand,
are simply notable to be transplanted (Bale &Dale 1998; Schick 1998; Wallis & Dollery
2001; Common 1998; Neshkova & Kostadinova 2012).In addition, establishing a modern
bureaucracy can be a necessary condition for many developing countries. In the same
vein, Randma-Liiv (2008,2009) highlights specific characteristics in Central and Eastern
European (CEE) countries as to bureaucratic reforms, summarizing key findings with
further suggestions:
It is clear […] that NPM provides a wrong medicine for the CEE problems.
Meanwhile, many of the above-made points refer to the necessity to Weberian
principles before introducing modern management mechanisms in CEE […] The
key for further development in CEE countries is to first ensure the presence of the
“Weberian” elements […] and only then start gradually building the “Neo” elements
by introducing individual modern management tools. (Randma-Liiv 2008; 2009,
12–13).
Then why do political context and more specifically democracy matter for the
performance of a bureaucratic organization? Rauch and Evans (2000) pointed out
shortcomings in assumptions guiding the theoretical predictions made by NPM, indicating
that political context can make a difference; the organizational performance of NPM has
been advocated according to analysis using the principal-agent model, but Rauch and Evans
(2000) argue that this principal-agent approach to NPM can be not applicable to developing
December 2013 Wonhyuk Cho, Tobin Im, Gregory A. Porumbescu, Hyunkuk Lee, & Jungho Park 121
rate, but we think government performance indices can be a better measure because
theyare closer to the theoretical approach used by Rauch (1999). Therefore, this study uses
government performance indices as a dependent variable.
attract competent personnel, salaries offered in the public sector must be on par with those
offered in the private sector (Rauch &Evans 2000). Failure to offer such salaries runs the
risk of attracting personnel from a less talented labor pool, or not attracting personnel at all.
Our study put less emphasis on this feature of WB, because this research focused mainly on
the role of political context in the relationship between WB and government performance,
and competitive salary, Rauch and Evans posit, is less influenced by political context in
terms of its impact on performance. We do not, however, neglect the role of monetary
rewards in forming competitive bureaucracy, therefore we tested the effect of performance-
based pay, which is what NPM reform strategy emphasizes. In other words, we tested two
types of monetary reward, one advocated by WB and the other advocated by NPM, even
though those two are not conflicting strategies but, rather, complementary.
updated it in 2010 with expanded country coverage. Considering possible systematic errors
in combining the two survey datasets, our study conducted data analysis for both survey
datasets and compared the results in order to check the reliability and consistency of our
findings.
The countries that each dataset includes are listed in Table 1. The survey questionnaires
of bureaucratic professionalism and closedness are measured by a 1–10 scale; however we
standardized the variables into a range from -3 to 3.
For other variables, we have used data from the World Bank, ICRG, and Freedom
House, which are all widely used in comparative research. The data source for each
variable is listed in Table 1. We used two different indicators as dependent variables in order
December 2013 Wonhyuk Cho, Tobin Im, Gregory A. Porumbescu, Hyunkuk Lee, & Jungho Park 125
to enhance the robustness of our findings: the World Bank’s Government Effectiveness
indicator and ICRG’s Quality of Government indicator. The Government Effectiveness
(World Bank) index combines into a single grouping the responses on indicators such
as quality of public service provision, quality of the bureaucracy, competence of civil
servants, and credibility of the government’s commitment to policies, while in the Quality
of Government (ICRG) index, high points are given to countries where the bureaucracy has
the strength and expertise to govern without drastic changes in policy or interruptions in
government services.
Results
Table 2 presents the summary statistics. The source of each variable is in parentheses.
We standardized the scores of bureaucratic professionalism and bureaucratic closedness;
therefore the standard deviations of these indicators are exactly 1.00,with a mean of zero.
The scores for bureaucratic professionalism in the sample countries are shown in Figure
2, which reveals that bureaucracies in Macedonia, South Africa, Serbia, Albania, and
Bosnia are the most politicized, while those in New Zealand, Ireland, Denmark, Norway,
and Sweden are the most professionalized.
Table 3 presents the results of the regression analysis testing the relationships between
Weberianess variables and government performance indicators with the 2008 QoG dataset.
Model 1 is the base model, which includes Weberianess variables and control variables.
Model 2 added the democracy variable and the democracy variable multiplied by the
bureaucratic professionalism variable in order to test the moderating role of the democracy
variable in the relationship between professionalism and government performance. Model 3
tests the moderating role of democracy in the relationship between bureaucratic closedness
and government performance in the same way. Model 4 includes both democracy variables
multiplied by professionalism and the democracy variable multiplied by closedness.
In terms of the practical implications, most notably this research has found that of the
features associated with WB, professionalism may be the most important with respect to
performance. Moreover, the findings of this research also imply that, in terms of personnel
policies of the public sector, different approaches should be taken according to the level of
democratic development. In particular, those nations possessing higher levels of democratic
development may be advised to pursue employment policies that permit political
nominations to senior-level posts, for example, whereas in less democratically developed
nations such practices should be avoided.
The aforementioned practical implication is embedded within a broader vein of
literature related to corruption and democratization. A curvilinear relationship (inverted
“u”) is found to exist between levels of democratization and corruption; as democratization
begins, corruption is said to increase to a certain level of democratization, and then
eventually decrease (Rock 2008). Therefore, as professionalism is a useful tool in
combating corruption, it is a particularly useful personnel practice during the beginning
of the democratic transition phase, but the effect gradually reduces over time as the nation
becomes increasingly democratized and is therefore less susceptible to corruption (Rock
2008; Neshkova & Kostadinova2012).
NOTES
* This study is supported by Young Scholar's Research Support Program of the Korea
Association for Public Administration and by National Research Foundation of Korea(NRF-
2011-330-B00195)
1. However, not accounted for by Evans is that a “comparable” salary is not possible for
bureaucrats in most developing countries.
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Wonhyuk Cho earned his PhD at the Graduate School of Public Administration, Seoul
National University. He is affiliated with the Korea Institute of Public Affairs at Seoul
National University. His research interests include organizational behavior, performance
management, and developmental and social policy. Lead/first author. Email:wonhyukcho@
gmail.com
Hyunkuk Lee earned his PhD at the Graduate School of Public Administration, Seoul
National University. He is affiliated with the Government Competitiveness Research
Centerat Seoul National University. His interests include public budgeting and finance and
public performance and management. Corresponding author. Email:hyunkuklee@gmail.
com
Jungho Park earned his PhD at the Graduate School of Public and International Affairs,
University of Pittsburgh. He is affiliated with the Government Competitiveness Research
Center at Seoul National University. His research interests include human resource
management and organization theories, particularly public service motivation (PSM), trust
in public agencies, and performance management. Email:fulled78@gmail.com
December 2013 Wonhyuk Cho, Tobin Im, Gregory A. Porumbescu, Hyunkuk Lee, & Jungho Park 137
and
asdf
United Nations
New York, 2020
Statistical annex
Country classifications
Data sources
The annex was prepared by the Economic Analysis and Policy Division (EAPD) of the De-
partment of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat (UN DESA).
It is based on information obtained from the Statistics Division and the Population Di-
vision of UN DESA, as well as from the five United Nations regional commissions, the
United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), the International
Monetary Fund (IMF), the World Bank, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and
Development (OECD), Eurostat and national sources. Estimates for 2019 and forecasts for
2020 and 2021 were made by EAPD in consultation with the regional commissions and
UNCTAD, partly guided by the World Economic Forecasting Model (WEFM) of EAPD.1
Longer-term projections are based on a technical model-based extension of the WEFM.
Data presented in the WESP may differ from those published by other organizations
for several reasons, including differences in timing, sample composition and aggregation
methods. Historical data may differ from those in previous editions of the WESP because
of updating and changes in the availability of data for individual countries.
Country classifications
For analytical purposes, the WESP classifies all countries of the world into one of three
broad categories: developed economies, economies in transition and developing econo-
mies.2 The composition of these analytical groupings, specified in tables A, B and C, is
intended to reflect basic economic country conditions, and are not strictly aligned with the
regional classifications defined by the Statistics Division of UN DESA known as M49.3 Ta-
ble A.XX reports estimates for regional GDP growth according to the M49 definitions for
comparison. Several countries (in particular the economies in transition) have characteris-
tics that could place them in more than one category; however, for purposes of analysis, the
groupings have been made mutually exclusive. Within each broad category, some subgroups
are defined based either on geographical location or on ad hoc criteria, such as the subgroup
of “major developed economies”, which is based on the membership of the Group of Seven.
In parts of the analysis, a distinction is made between fuel exporters and fuel import-
ers. An economy is classified as a fuel exporter if the share of fuel exports in its total mer-
chandise exports is greater than 20 per cent and the level of fuel exports is at least 20 per
cent higher than that of the country’s fuel imports (table D). This criterion is drawn from
the share of fuel exports in the total value of world merchandise trade. Fuels include coal,
oil and natural gas.
For other parts of the analysis, countries have been classified by their level of develop-
ment as measured by per capita gross national income (GNI). Accordingly, countries have
been grouped as high-income, upper-middle-income, lower-middle-income and low-in-
come (table E). To maintain compatibility with similar classifications used elsewhere, the
threshold levels of GNI per capita are those established by the World Bank. Countries with
less than $1,025 GNI per capita are classified as low-income countries, those with between
$1,026 and $3,995 as lower-middle-income countries, those with between $3,996 and
$12,375 as upper-middle-income countries, and those with incomes of more than $12,375
as high-income countries. GNI per capita in dollar terms is estimated using the World
Bank Atlas method,4 and the classification in table E is based on data for 2018.
The list of the least developed countries (LDCs) is determined by the United Nations
Economic and Social Council and, ultimately, by the General Assembly, on the basis of
recommendations made by the Committee for Development Policy. The basic criteria for
inclusion require that certain thresholds be met with regard to per capita GNI, a human
assets index and an economic vulnerability index.5 As of December 2018, there were 47
LDCs (table F).
The WESP also makes reference to the group of heavily indebted poor countries
(HIPCs), which are considered by the World Bank and IMF as part of their debt-relief ini-
tiative (the Enhanced HIPC Initiative).6 In December 2018, there were 39 HIPCs (table G).
Aggregation methodology
Aggregate data are either sums or weighted averages of individual country data. Unless
otherwise indicated, multi-year averages of growth rates are expressed as compound annual
percentage rates of change. The convention followed is to omit the base year in a multi-year
growth rate. For example, the 10-year average growth rate for the decade of the 2000s
would be identified as the average annual growth rate for the period from 2001 to 2010.
The WESP utilizes market exchange rate conversions of national data in order to
aggregate output of individual countries into regional and global totals. The growth of out-
put in each group of countries is calculated from the sum of gross domestic product (GDP)
of individual countries measured at 2010 prices and exchange rates. This method supplies
a reasonable set of aggregate growth rates for a period of about 15 years, centred on 2010.
The exchange rate-based aggregation method differs from the one mainly applied
by the IMF for their estimates of world and regional economic growth, which is based on
purchasing power parity (PPP) weights. Over the past two decades, the growth of world
4 See http://data.worldbank.org/about/country-classifications.
5 Handbook on the Least Developed Country Category: Inclusion, Graduation and Special Support
Measures (United Nations publication, Sales No. E.18.II.A.1). Available from https://www.un.org/
development/desa/dpad/wp-content/uploads/sites/45/2018CDPhandbook.pdf .
6 International Monetary Fund, Debt Relief Under the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) In-
itiative. Available from https://www.imf.org/en/About/Factsheets/Sheets/2016/08/01/16/11/Debt-
Relief- Under-the-Heavily-Indebted-Poor-Countries-Initiative.
Country classification 165
gross product (WGP) on the basis of the exchange rate-based approach has been below that
based on PPP weights. This is because developing countries, in the aggregate, have seen
significantly higher economic growth than the rest of the world in the 1990s and 2000s and
the share in WGP of these countries is larger under PPP measurements than under market
exchange rates. Table I.1 in Chapter I reports world output growth with PPP weights as a
comparator.
Table A
Developed economies
Europe
Major developed
North America European Union Other Europe economies (G7)
Canada EU-15 Iceland Canada
United States Austriaa Norway France
Belgiuma Switzerland Germany
Denmark Italy
Finlanda Japan
Francea United Kingdom
Germanya United States
Greecea
Irelanda
Italya
Luxembourga
Netherlandsa
Portugala
Spaina
Sweden
United Kingdomb
Developed Asia
and Pacific EU-13c
Bulgaria
Australia
Croatia
Japan
Cyprusa
New Zealand a Member of Euro area.
Czechia
Estoniaa b At the time of writing, the
Hungary United Kingdom was a member
Latviaa of the EU and is therefore
Lithuaniaa included in all EU aggregations.
Maltaa The country is scheduled to
withdraw from the EU at the end
Poland
of January 2020.
Romania
c Used in reference to the
Slovakiaa
13 countries that joined the
Sloveniaa
EU since 2004.
Table C
a
Developing economies by region
Latin America
Africa Asia and the Caribbean
North Africa Southern Africa East Asiab Caribbean
Algeria Angola Brunei Darussalam Bahamas
Egypt Botswana Cambodia Barbados
Libya Eswatini China Belize
Mauritania Lesotho Democratic People’s Guyana
Republic of Korea
Morocco Malawi Fiji Jamaica
Sudan Mauritius Hong Kong SARc Suriname
Tunisia Mozambique Indonesia Trinidad and Tobago
Namibia Kiribati
Central Africa Mexico and Central America
South Africa Lao People’s Democratic
Cameroon Zambia Republic Costa Rica
Central African Malaysia Cuba
Zimbabwe
Republic Mongolia Dominican Republic
Chad West Africa Myanmar
El Salvador
Congo Papua New Guinea
Benin Philippines Guatemala
Equatorial Guinea Burkina Faso Haiti
Republic of Korea
Gabon Cabo Verde Honduras
Samoa
Sao Tome and Côte d’Ivoire Singapore Mexico
Prinicipe
Gambia Solomon Islands Nicaragua
East Africa Ghana Taiwan Province of China Panama
Thailand
Burundi Guinea South America
Timor-Leste
Comoros Guinea-Bissau Vanuatu
Democratic Republic Liberia Argentina
Viet Nam
of the Congo Mali Bolivia (Plurinational
Djibouti South Asia State of)
Niger
Eritrea Brazil
Nigeria Afghanistan
Ethiopia Chile
Senegal Bangladesh
Kenya Bhutan Colombia
Sierra Leone
Madagascar India Ecuador
Togo
Rwanda Iran (Islamic Republic of) Paraguay
Somalia Maldives Peru
Nepal Uruguay
South Sudan
Pakistan Venezuela (Bolivarian
Uganda
Sri Lanka Republic of)
United Republic
of Tanzania Western Asia
Bahrain
a Economies systematically Iraq
monitored for the World Israel
Economic Situation and Jordan
Prospects report. These
Kuwait
analytical groupings differ
from the geographical Lebanon
aggregations defined Oman
according to M49. Qatar
b Throughout the report Saudi Arabia
the term ‘East Asia’ is used State of Palestine
in reference to this set of Syrian Arab Republic
developing countries, and Turkey
excludes Japan. United Arab Emirates
c Special Administrative Yemen
Region of China.
Country classification 167
Table D
Fuel-exporting countries
Developing countries
Latin America
Developed Economies and the
countries in transition Caribbean Africa East Asia South Asia
Table E a
Economies by per capita GNI in June 2019
Low-income
Table F
Least developed countries (as of December 2018)
Latin America
Africa East Asia South Asia Western Asia and the Caribbean
Table G
Heavily indebted poor countries (as of December 2018)
Table H
Small island developing States
Table I
Landlocked developing countries
Table J
International Organization for Standardization of Country Codes
Table A.1
Developed economies: rates of growth of real GDP
Annual percentage change
1997–2011a 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019b 2020c 2021c
Developed economies 2.0 1.1 1.2 1.9 2.3 1.7 2.4 2.2 1.7 1.5 1.7
United States 2.4 2.2 1.8 2.5 2.9 1.6 2.4 2.9 2.2 1.7 1.8
Canada 2.7 1.8 2.3 2.9 0.7 1.1 3.0 1.9 1.5 1.5 1.6
Japan 0.6 1.5 2.0 0.4 1.2 0.6 1.9 0.8 0.7 0.9 1.3
Australia 3.3 3.9 2.2 2.6 2.5 2.8 2.5 2.7 1.8 2.1 2.2
New Zealand 2.8 2.6 2.2 3.1 4.1 4.2 2.7 2.8 2.6 2.9 2.8
European Union 1.9 -0.4 0.3 1.7 2.3 2.0 2.6 2.0 1.4 1.6 1.7
EU-15 1.8 -0.5 0.2 1.6 2.2 1.9 2.4 1.8 1.2 1.4 1.6
Austria 2.1 0.7 0.0 0.7 1.0 2.1 2.5 2.4 1.3 1.5 1.6
Belgium 2.1 0.2 0.2 1.3 1.7 1.5 1.7 1.4 1.4 1.6 2.0
Denmark 1.4 0.2 0.9 1.6 2.3 2.4 2.3 1.5 1.9 2.0 2.0
Finland 2.7 -1.4 -1.0 -0.4 0.6 2.6 3.1 1.7 1.4 1.6 1.7
France 1.9 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.1 2.3 1.7 1.3 1.5 1.6
Germany 1.4 0.4 0.4 2.2 1.7 2.2 2.5 1.5 0.7 1.3 1.4
Greece 1.5 -7.3 -3.2 0.7 -0.4 -0.2 1.5 1.9 1.7 1.9 2.0
Ireland 4.6 0.2 1.4 8.6 25.2 3.7 8.1 8.2 4.3 3.1 3.2
Italy 0.8 -3.0 -1.8 0.0 0.8 1.3 1.7 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.7
Luxembourg 3.8 -0.4 3.7 4.3 4.3 4.6 1.8 3.1 2.1 2.3 2.0
Netherlands 2.2 -1.0 -0.1 1.4 2.0 2.2 2.9 2.6 1.6 1.8 1.2
Portugal 1.5 -4.1 -0.9 0.8 1.8 2.0 3.5 2.4 2.0 2.1 1.9
Spain 2.6 -3.0 -1.4 1.4 3.8 3.0 2.9 2.4 2.2 1.9 1.9
Sweden 2.7 -0.6 1.1 2.7 4.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 1.8 1.9 2.2
United Kingdom 2.1 1.5 2.1 2.6 2.4 1.9 1.9 1.4 1.1 1.2 1.8
EU-13 3.4 0.7 1.2 3.0 3.9 3.2 4.8 4.3 3.8 3.3 3.2
Bulgaria 3.3 0.4 0.3 1.9 4.0 3.8 3.5 3.1 3.6 3.0 2.9
Croatia 2.4 -2.2 -0.6 -0.1 2.5 3.4 3.2 2.5 2.8 2.7 2.5
Cyprus 3.5 -3.5 -6.5 -1.9 3.4 6.7 4.4 4.0 3.4 2.7 2.9
Czechia 2.5 -0.8 -0.5 2.7 5.3 2.5 4.4 3.0 2.7 2.5 2.4
Estonia 4.4 3.1 1.3 3.0 1.8 2.6 5.7 4.8 3.9 3.5 3.0
Hungary 2.5 -1.5 2.0 4.2 3.8 2.2 4.3 5.1 5.0 3.8 3.5
Latvia 4.5 4.0 2.4 1.9 3.0 2.1 4.6 4.8 2.6 3.0 3.0
Lithuania 4.5 3.8 3.6 3.5 2.0 2.6 4.2 3.6 3.8 3.0 2.7
Malta 2.9 2.8 4.6 8.7 10.8 5.7 6.7 6.8 4.8 5.0 4.5
Poland 4.3 1.6 1.4 3.3 3.8 3.1 4.9 5.1 4.3 3.6 3.6
Romania 2.6 2.1 3.5 3.4 3.9 4.8 7.0 4.1 4.1 3.8 3.5
Slovakia 4.2 1.7 1.5 2.8 4.2 3.1 3.2 4.1 2.5 2.7 2.9
Slovenia 3.0 -2.6 -1.0 2.8 2.2 3.1 4.8 4.1 2.6 2.7 2.7
Other Europe 2.0 1.7 1.5 2.2 1.6 1.5 2.1 2.2 1.8 1.9 2.1
Iceland 3.4 1.3 4.1 2.1 4.7 6.6 4.4 4.8 3.8 2.8 2.6
Norway 2.0 2.7 1.0 2.0 2.0 1.1 2.3 1.3 1.9 2.1 2.2
Switzerland 2.1 1.0 1.9 2.4 1.3 1.7 1.8 2.8 1.7 1.8 1.9
Memorandum items
North America 2.5 2.2 1.9 2.6 2.7 1.6 2.4 2.8 2.1 1.7 1.7
Developed Asia and Pacific 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.8 1.5 1.1 2.1 1.2 1.0 1.1 1.5
Europe 1.9 -0.3 0.3 1.8 2.3 2.0 2.6 2.0 1.5 1.6 1.7
Major developed economies 1.8 1.4 1.4 1.9 2.1 1.5 2.3 2.0 1.5 1.4 1.6
Euro area 1.8 -0.9 -0.3 1.4 2.1 1.9 2.5 1.9 1.2 1.4 1.5
Source: UN DESA, based on data of the United Nations Statistics Division and UN DESA forecasts.
Note: Regional aggregates calculated at 2010 prices and exchange rates.
a Average percentage change.
b Partly estimated.
c Baseline scenario forecasts, based in part on UN DESA World Economic Forecasting Model.
176 World Economic Situation and Prospects 2020
Table A.2
Economies in transition: rates of growth of real GDP
Annual percentage change
1997–2011a 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019b 2020c 2021c
Economies in transition 4.5 3.5 2.4 1.0 -1.8 0.8 2.2 2.7 1.9 2.3 2.5
South-Eastern Europe 4.1 -0.5 2.6 0.2 2.4 3.2 2.5 3.9 3.1 3.4 3.4
Albania 5.0 1.5 1.0 1.8 2.2 3.3 3.8 4.1 2.6 3.0 3.0
Bosnia and Herzegovina 6.7 -0.9 2.4 1.2 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.1 2.5 3.0 3.0
Montenegro 3.5 -2.7 3.5 1.8 3.4 2.9 4.7 4.5 3.0 3.0 3.0
North Macedonia 3.0 -0.4 2.9 3.6 3.8 2.9 0.2 2.7 3.4 3.2 3.4
Serbia 3.3 -0.7 3.0 -1.6 1.8 3.4 2.0 4.5 3.4 3.8 3.8
Commonwealth of Independent
States and Georgiad 4.6 3.6 2.4 1.0 -1.9 0.7 2.1 2.7 1.8 2.3 2.4
Commonwealth of Independent
States and Georgia –
net fuel exporters 4.6 3.8 2.4 1.3 -1.7 0.4 1.9 2.5 1.5 2.1 2.2
Azerbaijan 11.9 2.2 5.8 2.8 1.0 -3.1 0.1 1.4 2.3 2.5 2.6
Kazakhstan 6.9 4.8 6.0 4.2 1.2 1.1 4.0 4.1 4.0 3.5 3.5
Russian Federation 4.2 3.7 1.8 0.7 -2.3 0.3 1.6 2.3 1.1 1.8 2.0
Turkmenistan 7.1 11.1 10.2 10.3 6.5 6.2 6.5 6.2 6.2 5.6 5.2
Commonwealth of Independent
States and Georgia –
net fuel importers 4.5 2.4 2.3 -0.8 -3.3 2.3 3.6 4.0 3.9 3.7 3.8
Armenia 7.0 7.2 3.3 3.6 3.2 0.2 7.5 7.5 6.5 5.4 5.6
Belarus 7.2 1.7 1.0 1.7 -3.8 -2.5 2.5 3.0 1.1 2.0 2.5
Georgiad 5.9 6.4 3.4 4.6 2.9 2.8 4.8 4.7 4.8 4.5 4.5
Kyrgyzstan 4.5 -0.1 10.9 4.0 3.9 4.3 4.6 3.5 5.8 4.5 4.1
Republic of Moldova 3.3 -0.6 9.0 5.0 -0.3 4.4 4.7 2.8 5.2 3.9 3.8
Tajikistan 6.8 7.5 7.4 6.7 6.0 6.9 7.1 7.0 7.0 6.0 5.9
Ukrainee 3.0 0.2 0.0 -6.6 -9.8 2.4 2.5 3.3 3.6 3.0 3.0
Uzbekistan 6.4 8.2 8.0 8.0 7.9 6.2 5.2 5.1 5.7 5.7 5.5
Source: UN DESA, based on data of the United Nations Statistics Division and UN DESA forecasts.
Note: Regional aggregates calculated at 2010 prices and exchange rates.
a Average percentage change.
b Partly estimated.
c Baseline scenario forecasts, based in part on UN DESA World Economic Forecasting Model.
d Georgia officially left the Commonwealth of Independent States on 18 August 2009. However, its performance is discussed in the context of this group of
countries for reasons of geographic proximity and similarities in economic structure.
e Starting in 2010, data for Ukraine excludes the temporarily occupied territory of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea and Sevastopol.
Annex tables 177
Table A.3
Developing economies: rates of growth of real GDP
Annual percentage change
1997–2011a 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019b 2020c 2021c
Developing countriesd 5.3 5.0 4.9 4.5 4.1 4.0 4.5 4.2 3.4 4.0 4.3
Africa 4.5 5.7 2.3 3.6 2.7 1.6 2.9 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.5
North Africa 3.9 8.6 -2.9 0.7 2.6 2.9 4.0 2.6 3.4 3.6 3.7
Algeria 3.6 3.4 2.8 3.8 3.7 3.2 1.4 2.1 2.0 2.3 2.5
Egypte 4.8 2.2 2.2 2.9 4.4 4.3 4.2 5.3 5.5 5.8 5.3
Libya -2.4 124.7 -52.1 -50.1 -45.5 -16.1 64.0 17.9 5.2 4.5 4.3
Mauritania 3.8 5.8 6.1 5.6 0.9 1.7 3.5 3.0 4.2 4.6 4.7
Morocco 4.4 3.0 4.5 2.7 4.5 1.1 4.1 3.0 2.8 3.0 3.8
Sudane 6.4 -2.2 2.2 3.2 3.0 3.5 3.2 -2.1 -1.0 -0.1 1.5
Tunisia 4.2 4.0 2.9 3.0 1.2 1.3 1.8 2.5 1.4 2.0 3.0
East Africa 4.9 1.5 7.8 7.7 6.3 5.4 5.4 6.3 6.0 6.0 6.2
Burundi 2.6 4.4 4.9 4.2 -0.4 2.8 0.0 0.1 1.8 1.9 2.5
Comoros 1.8 6.3 8.9 3.9 2.0 4.1 3.4 2.8 2.5 3.2 3.5
Democratic Republic of the Congo 2.2 7.1 8.5 9.5 6.9 2.4 3.7 5.8 4.8 5.0 5.6
Djibouti 3.9 4.8 5.0 8.9 9.7 8.7 4.1 6.7 6.8 6.0 6.3
Eritrea 1.3 7.0 4.7 2.9 2.6 1.8 5.0 4.2 4.8 5.0 4.9
Ethiopia 7.4 9.6 10.4 10.3 9.0 8.5 8.1 6.8 7.3 7.5 7.4
Kenya 3.7 4.6 5.9 5.4 5.7 5.9 4.9 6.3 5.6 5.5 5.7
Madagascar 3.0 3.0 2.3 3.3 3.1 4.0 3.9 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.1
Rwanda 8.5 8.6 4.7 7.6 8.9 6.0 6.1 8.6 7.4 7.3 7.1
Somalia 2.5 2.6 2.6 3.7 2.7 4.9 2.3 3.1 3.5 3.4 3.5
South Sudan 5.6 -49.8 29.9 21.7 3.4 0.3 -0.7 -1.2 7.8 8.1 7.0
Uganda 7.3 3.2 4.7 4.5 5.7 2.6 5.0 8.9 6.2 6.0 6.1
United Republic of Tanzania 6.0 5.1 6.8 6.7 6.2 6.9 6.8 7.0 5.8 5.5 6.2
Central Africa 4.9 6.7 0.9 4.7 -0.8 -0.1 0.3 1.6 2.7 2.9 3.1
Cameroon 4.1 4.5 5.4 5.9 5.7 4.6 3.5 4.1 4.0 4.2 4.7
Central African Republic 2.5 5.1 -36.4 0.1 4.3 4.8 4.5 3.8 4.6 4.8 4.9
Chad 7.1 8.2 3.2 2.6 3.9 -2.6 -1.9 3.1 3.8 5.5 4.9
Congo 4.4 9.6 -2.5 9.7 -13.2 -2.8 -3.1 0.8 3.5 2.3 1.4
Equatorial Guinea 19.2 8.3 -4.1 0.4 -9.1 -8.6 -3.2 -4.7 -2.5 -2.9 -2.6
Gabon 0.9 5.3 5.6 4.3 3.9 2.1 0.5 1.2 2.5 2.8 3.3
Sao Tome and Principe 4.2 3.1 4.8 6.5 3.9 4.2 3.9 3.0 3.0 3.5 4.6
West Africa 6.0 5.4 5.8 5.9 3.2 0.5 2.7 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.8
Benin 4.2 4.6 6.9 6.5 6.5 5.0 5.8 6.5 6.8 6.5 6.5
Burkina Faso 5.8 6.5 5.8 4.3 3.9 5.9 6.3 6.0 6.0 5.9 6.0
Cabo Verde 6.1 1.1 0.8 0.6 1.0 4.7 4.0 4.7 4.8 4.6 4.6
Côte D’Ivoire 1.1 10.1 9.3 8.8 8.8 8.0 7.7 7.4 7.4 7.1 6.9
Gambia 3.2 5.2 2.9 -1.4 4.1 1.9 4.8 6.5 5.7 5.5 4.7
Ghana 5.9 9.3 7.3 2.9 2.2 3.4 8.1 6.3 7.0 6.0 5.3
Guinea 3.5 5.9 3.9 3.7 3.8 10.5 8.2 5.8 6.1 6.0 6.0
Guinea-Bissau 2.1 -1.7 3.3 1.0 6.1 6.3 5.9 3.8 4.9 4.6 5.2
Liberia 14.0 11.3 4.6 5.2 9.3 -0.5 2.4 1.2 0.4 1.6 1.3
Mali 8.6 11.2 7.0 7.8 7.6 8.8 6.9 6.7 5.2 5.3 5.4
Niger 4.1 11.8 5.3 7.5 4.3 4.9 4.9 5.2 6.1 5.9 5.7
178 World Economic Situation and Prospects 2020
Table A.3
Developing economies: rates of growth of real GDP (continued)
Table A.3
Developing economies: rates of growth of real GDP (continued)
Table A.3
Developing economies: rates of growth of real GDP (continued)
Table A.4
Growth of world output and gross domestic product by SDG regions
Annual percentage change
2017 2018 2019a 2020b 2021b
World 3.2 3.0 2.3 2.5 2.7
Developed regions 2.4 2.2 1.6 1.6 1.7
Developing regions 4.5 4.2 3.4 4.1 4.3
Africa 2.9 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.5
Northern Africa 4.0 2.6 3.4 3.6 3.7
Eastern Africa 5.5 6.0 4.8 5.2 5.7
Middle Africa -0.5 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.8
Southern Africa 1.4 0.9 0.6 1.0 1.6
Western Africa 2.7 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.8
Americas 2.1 2.4 1.7 1.6 1.8
Northern America 2.4 2.8 2.1 1.7 1.7
Latin America and the Caribbean 1.2 0.9 0.1 1.3 2.0
Caribbean 2.2 3.7 2.2 2.3 2.8
Central America 2.3 2.1 0.3 1.5 1.8
South America 0.8 0.4 -0.1 1.2 2.1
Asia 4.8 4.3 3.6 4.0 4.2
Central Asia 4.7 4.6 4.8 4.3 4.2
Eastern Asia 4.8 4.3 3.9 4.0 4.1
Southern Asia 6.8 5.6 3.3 5.1 5.3
South-eastern Asia 5.1 5.0 4.4 4.5 4.7
Western Asia 2.6 2.3 1.1 2.4 2.9
Europe 2.5 2.0 1.4 1.6 1.8
Eastern Europe 3.0 3.2 2.4 2.5 2.6
Northern Europe 2.6 2.1 1.6 1.6 2.0
Southern Europe 2.3 1.6 1.2 1.3 1.4
Western Europe 2.4 1.8 1.1 1.4 1.5
Oceania 2.5 2.7 1.9 2.2 2.3
Sources: UN DESA, based on data of the United Nations Statistics Division and UN DESA forecasts.
Notes: Regional aggregates in this table follow geographic regions defined under the Standard Country or Area Codes for Statistical Use (known as M49)
and are not strictly comparable to those in the WESP. Full details on the M49 standard can be found on the United Nations Statistics Division website at
https://unstats.un.org/unsd/methodology/m49. Calculated at 2010 prices and exchange rates.
a Partly estimated.
b Baseline scenario forecasts, based in part on UN DESA World Economic Forecasting Model.
182 World Economic Situation and Prospects 2020
Table A.5
Developed economies: consumer price inflation
Annual percentage changea
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019b 2020c 2021c
Developed economies 2.6 1.9 1.3 1.4 0.3 0.7 1.7 2.0 1.6 1.7 1.9
United States 3.2 2.1 1.5 1.6 0.1 1.3 2.1 2.4 1.8 2.0 2.1
Canada 2.9 1.5 0.9 1.9 1.1 1.4 1.6 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.8
Japan -0.3 -0.1 0.3 2.8 0.8 -0.1 0.5 1.0 0.7 0.7 1.3
Australia 3.3 1.8 2.4 2.5 1.5 1.3 1.9 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.9
New Zealand 4.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 0.3 0.6 1.9 1.6 1.4 1.4 2.1
European Union 3.0 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.7 1.9
EU-15 1.9 2.9 2.5 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.7 1.8 1.5 1.6
Austria 3.6 2.6 2.1 1.5 0.8 1.0 2.2 2.1 1.7 2.1 2.0
Belgium 3.4 2.6 1.2 0.5 0.6 1.8 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4
Denmark 2.7 2.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.1 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.1
Finland 3.3 3.2 2.2 1.2 -0.2 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.6
France 2.3 2.2 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.1 1.2 1.4 1.7
Germany 2.5 2.1 1.6 0.7 0.7 0.4 1.7 1.9 1.6 1.7 1.9
Greece 3.1 1.0 -0.9 -1.4 -1.1 0.0 1.1 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.5
Ireland 1.2 1.8 0.5 0.3 0.0 -0.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.4
Italy 2.9 3.3 1.3 0.2 0.1 -0.1 1.4 1.2 0.9 1.1 1.3
Luxembourg 3.7 2.9 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.1 2.0 2.5 2.6 2.5
Netherlands 2.5 2.8 2.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.2
Portugal 3.6 2.8 0.4 -0.2 0.5 0.6 1.6 1.2 1.6 2.1 2.4
Spain 3.0 2.4 1.5 -0.2 -0.6 -0.3 2.0 1.7 1.3 1.6 1.9
Sweden 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.1
United Kingdom 4.5 2.9 2.5 1.5 0.0 0.7 2.7 2.4 1.9 2.0 2.1
EU-13 3.7 3.7 1.4 0.3 -0.4 -0.2 1.8 2.1 2.7 2.3 2.2
Bulgaria 3.4 2.4 0.4 -1.6 -1.1 -1.3 1.2 2.6 2.7 2.3 2.0
Croatia 2.2 3.4 2.3 0.2 -0.3 -0.6 1.3 1.5 1.0 1.5 1.6
Cyprus 3.5 3.1 0.4 -0.3 -1.5 -1.2 0.7 0.8 1.4 1.9 2.3
Czechia 2.2 3.6 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.7 2.4 1.9 2.7 2.0 2.0
Estonia 5.1 4.2 3.2 0.5 0.1 0.8 3.7 3.4 2.5 2.1 2.1
Hungary 3.9 5.7 1.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.4 2.9 3.0 3.0 2.9
Latvia 4.2 2.3 0.0 0.7 0.2 0.1 2.9 2.6 2.9 2.7 2.0
Lithuania 4.1 3.2 1.2 0.2 -0.7 0.7 3.7 2.5 2.3 2.2 2.3
Malta 2.5 3.2 1.0 0.8 1.2 0.9 1.3 1.7 1.7 1.9 2.2
Poland 3.9 3.6 0.8 0.1 -0.7 -0.2 1.6 1.2 2.7 2.3 2.1
Romania 5.8 3.4 3.2 1.4 -0.4 -1.1 1.1 4.1 3.9 3.0 3.0
Slovakia 4.1 3.7 1.5 -0.1 -0.3 -0.5 1.4 2.5 2.5 2.1 2.1
Slovenia 2.1 2.8 1.9 0.4 -0.8 -0.2 1.6 1.9 1.4 1.6 1.6
Other European countries 0.6 -0.2 0.9 0.8 0.4 1.3 1.1 1.8 1.4 1.4 1.6
Iceland 4.2 6.0 4.1 1.0 0.3 0.8 -1.6 0.7 1.8 1.9 2.1
Norway 1.3 0.3 2.0 1.9 2.0 3.9 1.8 3.0 2.3 2.1 2.0
Switzerland 0.1 -0.7 0.1 0.0 -0.8 -0.5 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.9 1.3
Memorandum items:
North America 3.1 2.0 1.4 1.6 0.2 1.3 2.1 2.4 1.8 2.0 2.1
Developed Asia and Pacific 0.4 0.3 0.7 2.7 0.9 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.9 0.9 1.4
Europe 2.9 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.7 1.9
Major developed economies 2.5 1.8 1.3 1.6 0.3 0.7 1.7 2.0 1.5 1.6 1.8
Euro area 2.7 2.5 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 1.5 1.7 1.4 1.6 1.8
Sources: UN DESA, based on OECD Main Economic Indicators; Eurostat; individual national sources; and UN DESA forecasts.
a Data for country groups are weighted averages, where weights for each year are based on 2010 GDP in United States dollars.
b Partly estimated.
c Baseline scenario forecasts, based in part on UN DESA World Economic Forecasting Model.
Annex tables 183
Table A.6
Economies in transition: consumer price inflation
Annual percentage changea
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019b 2020c 2021c
Economies in transition 9.6 6.2 6.4 7.8 15.7 7.9 5.1 4.0 4.9 4.3 4.1
South-Eastern Europe 7.2 4.7 4.4 1.1 0.9 0.6 2.5 1.8 1.7 1.8 1.9
Albania 3.4 2.0 1.9 1.6 1.9 1.3 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.8 2.0
Bosnia and Herzegovina 3.7 2.1 -0.1 -0.9 -1.0 -1.1 1.2 1.4 1.1 1.5 1.7
Montenegro 3.5 4.1 2.2 -0.7 1.5 -0.3 2.4 2.6 0.5 0.9 0.9
North Macedonia 3.2 1.8 2.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 2.1 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5
Serbia 11.2 7.3 7.7 2.3 1.5 1.3 3.4 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.2
Commonwealth of Independent States
and Georgiad 9.7 6.3 6.5 8.1 16.3 8.2 5.2 4.1 5.0 4.4 4.1
Commonwealth of Independent States 8.4 5.0 6.6 7.5 14.3 7.8 4.3 3.3 4.6 4.1 3.8
and Georgia – net fuel exporters
Azerbaijan 7.9 1.1 2.4 1.4 4.0 12.4 12.9 1.9 3.0 2.8 3.0
Kazakhstan 8.5 5.2 5.9 6.8 6.7 14.4 7.4 6.0 5.8 5.2 5.0
Russian Federation 8.4 5.1 6.8 7.8 15.5 7.0 3.7 2.9 4.4 4.0 3.7
Turkmenistan 5.3 5.3 6.8 6.0 7.4 3.6 8.0 13.6 11.0 8.0 6.0
Commonwealth of Independent States 18.4 14.9 6.0 11.8 29.3 11.0 11.0 9.5 7.8 6.5 6.1
and Georgia – net fuel importers
Armenia 7.7 2.6 5.8 3.0 3.7 -1.4 1.0 2.5 3.0 2.8 3.0
Belarus 53.2 59.2 18.3 18.1 13.5 11.8 6.0 4.9 5.4 5.0 4.8
Georgiad 8.5 -0.9 -0.5 3.1 4.0 2.1 6.0 2.6 4.0 3.5 3.4
Kyrgyzstan 16.6 2.8 6.6 7.5 6.5 0.4 3.2 1.5 1.0 1.5 2.0
Republic of Moldova 7.7 4.5 4.6 5.1 9.7 6.4 6.6 3.0 4.3 3.8 3.5
Tajikistan 12.4 5.8 5.0 6.1 5.7 6.0 7.3 3.8 5.4 6.2 6.7
Ukrainee 8.0 0.6 -0.2 12.1 48.7 13.9 14.4 11.0 8.0 7.0 6.5
Uzbekistan 12.4 11.9 11.7 9.1 8.5 8.0 12.5 17.9 14.5 10.1 8.9
Sources: UN DESA, based on data of the United Nations Statistics Division, individual national sources and UN DESA forecasts.
a Data for country groups are weighted averages, where weights for each year are based on 2010 GDP in United States dollars.
b Partly estimated.
c Baseline scenario forecasts, based in part on UN DESA World Economic Forecasting Model.
d Georgia officially left the Commonwealth of Independent States on 18 August 2009. However, its performance is discussed in the context of this group of
countries for reasons of geographic proximity and similarities in economic structure.
e Starting in 2010, data for Ukraine excludes the temporarily occupied territory of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea and Sevastopol.
184 World Economic Situation and Prospects 2020
Table A.7
Developing economies: consumer price inflation
Annual percentage changea
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019b 2020c 2021c
Developing countries by regiond 6.3 5.3 5.6 4.7 4.4 5.4 4.5 5.2 5.4 5.1 4.6
Africa 8.9 9.0 6.9 6.8 7.3 13.8 14.7 10.6 9.1 8.2 7.3
North Africa 8.2 8.6 7.8 7.7 7.8 11.3 17.7 13.3 8.8 8.6 7.9
Algeria 4.5 8.9 3.3 2.9 4.8 6.4 5.6 4.3 3.8 3.6 2.9
Egypt 10.1 7.1 9.4 10.1 10.4 13.8 29.5 14.4 9.8 10.2 9.3
Libya 15.5 6.1 2.6 2.4 9.8 25.9 25.8 13.6 -1.0 6.9 5.3
Mauritania 5.7 4.9 4.1 3.5 3.3 1.5 2.3 3.1 2.2 3.1 3.7
Morocco 0.9 1.3 1.9 0.4 1.6 1.6 0.8 1.9 0.4 2.1 2.3
Sudan 18.1 35.6 36.5 36.9 16.9 17.8 32.4 63.3 53.1 35.1 34.5
Tunisia 3.2 4.6 5.3 4.6 4.4 3.6 5.3 7.3 6.9 6.0 5.0
East Africa 19.3 16.2 5.4 5.2 9.7 38.9 28.8 16.6 12.6 9.0 8.1
Burundi 9.6 18.2 7.9 4.4 5.5 5.6 16.1 -2.8 -1.9 5.2 5.7
Comoros 1.8 6.3 -4.3 1.3 2.0 1.8 1.0 2.0 2.9 2.5 3.0
Democratic Republic of the Congo 15.3 9.7 0.8 1.2 0.7 2.9 41.5 29.3 14.9 7.7 4.0
Djibouti 5.1 3.7 2.7 1.3 -0.8 2.7 0.6 0.1 1.4 2.5 3.2
Eritrea 3.9 6.0 6.5 10.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.4 8.9 7.8
Ethiopia 33.3 24.1 8.1 7.4 10.1 7.3 9.8 13.8 11.5 8.8 8.4
Kenya 14.0 9.4 5.7 6.9 6.6 6.3 8.0 4.7 6.2 6.4 6.3
Madagascar 9.5 5.7 5.8 6.1 7.4 6.7 8.3 7.3 6.4 6.1 5.9
Rwanda 3.1 10.3 5.9 2.4 2.5 7.2 8.3 -0.3 2.3 5.3 5.3
Somalia -3.0 -1.9 -3.2 -5.6 -5.6 -0.9 3.7 2.7 2.5 2.6 2.0
South Sudan 47.3 45.1 1.7 3.4 50.4 401.8 213.6 99.7 72.0 40.8 34.0
Uganda 16.6 12.7 4.9 3.1 5.6 5.7 5.2 2.6 2.9 4.1 4.6
United Republic of Tanzania 12.7 16.0 7.9 6.1 5.6 5.2 5.3 3.5 3.8 3.6 4.3
Central Africa 1.9 4.8 2.1 3.2 3.0 1.4 0.9 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.6
Cameroon 2.9 2.7 2.1 1.9 2.7 0.9 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.7 2.2
Central African Republic 1.3 5.8 1.5 25.3 37.1 4.6 4.1 3.0 1.1 0.1 -0.1
Chad -3.7 14.0 0.1 1.7 3.7 -1.1 -0.9 2.5 2.8 2.9 2.7
Congo 1.8 5.0 4.6 0.9 3.2 3.2 0.5 1.2 2.1 2.9 3.3
Equatorial Guinea 4.8 3.7 2.9 4.3 1.7 1.4 0.7 1.1 2.2 2.6 2.8
Gabon 1.3 2.7 0.5 4.7 -0.3 2.1 2.7 4.7 4.3 3.7 3.0
Sao Tome and Principe 14.3 10.6 8.1 7.0 5.2 5.4 5.7 7.9 4.9 3.1 2.1
West Africa 9.6 10.2 7.6 7.4 8.4 13.2 13.6 10.2 9.0 7.6 6.4
Benin 2.7 6.7 0.9 -1.0 0.3 -0.8 0.1 1.0 2.3 2.6 2.7
Burkina Faso 2.8 3.8 0.5 -0.3 1.0 -0.2 0.4 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.6
Cabo Verde 4.5 2.5 1.5 -0.2 0.1 -1.4 0.8 1.3 1.5 2.1 2.5
Côte D’Ivoire 4.9 1.3 2.6 0.4 1.3 0.7 0.7 0.4 1.4 2.1 2.6
Gambia 4.8 4.3 5.7 5.9 6.8 7.2 8.0 6.5 6.6 6.3 5.5
Ghana 8.7 7.1 11.7 15.5 17.1 17.5 12.4 9.8 9.4 8.4 7.7
Guinea 21.4 15.2 11.9 9.7 8.2 8.2 8.9 9.8 9.1 8.8 8.8
Guinea-Bissau 5.0 2.1 1.2 -1.5 1.4 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.7
Liberia 8.5 6.8 7.6 9.9 7.7 8.8 12.4 23.6 15.0 7.7 2.3
Mali 3.0 5.3 -0.6 0.9 1.5 -1.8 1.8 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.9
Niger 2.9 0.5 2.3 -0.9 -0.6 1.7 2.8 3.0 3.1 2.7 2.4
Annex tables 185
Table A.7
Developing economies: consumer price inflation (continued)
Table A.7
Developing economies: consumer price inflation (continued)
Table A.7
Developing economies: consumer price inflation (continued)
Sources: UN DESA, based on data of the United Nations Statistics Division, individual national sources and UN DESA forecasts.
a Data for country groups are weighted averages, where weights for each year are based on 2010 GDP in United States dollars.
b Partly estimated.
c Baseline scenario forecasts, based in part on UN DESA World Economic Forecasting Model.
d Regional aggregates exclude Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of).
e Special Administrative Region of China.
f Includes data for Algeria, Bahrain, Comoros, Djibouti, Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Mauritania, Morocco, Oman, Qatar,
Saudi Arabia, Somalia, Sudan, Syrian Arab Republic, Tunisia, United Arab Emirates, and Yemen.
188 World Economic Situation and Prospects 2020
Table A.8
Developed economies: unemployment ratesa,b
Percentage of labour force
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019c 2020d 2021d
Developed economies 8.5 9.5 8.5 7.8 7.1 6.5 5.8 5.2 4.9 4.9 4.9
United States 8.9 8.1 7.4 6.2 5.3 4.9 4.4 3.9 3.7 3.6 3.7
Canada 7.5 7.3 7.1 6.9 6.9 7.0 6.3 5.8 5.6 5.9 6.2
Japan 4.6 4.4 4.0 3.6 3.4 3.1 2.8 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3
Australia 5.1 5.2 5.7 6.1 6.1 5.7 5.6 5.3 5.4 5.7 6.0
New Zealand 6.0 6.4 5.8 5.4 5.4 5.1 4.7 4.3 4.2 4.0 4.0
European Union 9.7 10.5 10.9 10.2 9.4 8.5 7.6 6.8 6.4 6.3 6.1
EU-15 9.6 10.6 11.1 10.5 9.8 9.0 8.2 7.5 7.0 6.9 6.8
Austria 4.6 4.9 5.4 5.6 5.7 6.0 5.5 4.9 4.7 5.2 5.3
Belgium 7.2 7.6 8.4 8.5 8.5 7.8 7.1 6.0 5.4 5.1 4.9
Denmark 7.6 7.5 7.0 6.6 6.2 6.2 5.7 5.0 4.5 4.4 3.9
Finland 7.8 7.7 8.2 8.7 9.4 8.8 8.6 7.4 6.7 6.4 6.0
France 9.2 9.8 10.3 10.3 10.4 10.1 9.4 9.1 8.8 8.7 8.5
Germany 5.8 5.4 5.2 5.0 4.6 4.1 3.8 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.4
Greece 17.9 24.5 27.5 26.5 24.9 23.6 21.5 19.3 17.5 15.9 14.3
Ireland 15.4 15.5 13.8 11.9 10.0 8.4 6.7 5.8 5.3 6.4 7.3
Italy 8.4 10.7 12.1 12.7 11.9 11.7 11.2 10.6 10.4 10.7 10.8
Luxembourg 4.8 5.1 5.9 6.0 6.5 6.3 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.8 5.9
Netherlands 5.0 5.8 7.3 7.4 6.9 6.0 4.9 3.8 3.4 3.4 3.7
Portugal 12.9 15.8 16.4 14.1 12.6 11.2 9.0 7.0 5.6 4.7 4.3
Spain 21.4 24.8 26.1 24.5 22.1 19.6 17.2 15.3 13.8 12.8 11.8
Sweden 7.8 8.0 8.0 7.9 7.4 6.9 6.7 6.3 6.1 6.0 5.8
United Kingdom 8.1 7.9 7.5 6.1 5.3 4.8 4.3 4.0 4.0 4.2 4.3
EU-13 9.8 10.0 10.1 9.0 7.9 6.6 5.4 4.4 3.9 3.8 3.6
Bulgaria 11.3 12.3 13.0 11.4 9.2 7.6 6.2 5.2 4.5 4.2 3.9
Croatia 13.7 15.8 17.4 17.2 16.1 13.4 11.0 8.4 6.8 6.0 5.5
Cyprus 7.9 11.9 15.9 16.1 15.0 13.0 11.1 8.4 6.8 6.0 5.3
Czech Republic 6.7 7.0 7.0 6.1 5.1 4.0 2.9 2.2 1.8 2.1 2.0
Estonia 12.3 10.0 8.6 7.4 6.2 6.8 5.8 5.4 5.2 5.1 4.8
Hungary 11.0 11.0 10.2 7.7 6.8 5.1 4.2 3.7 3.5 3.5 3.5
Latvia 16.2 15.0 11.9 10.8 9.9 9.6 8.7 7.4 7.1 6.8 6.7
Lithuania 15.4 13.4 11.8 10.7 9.1 7.9 7.1 6.2 5.6 5.2 4.8
Malta 6.4 6.2 6.1 5.7 5.4 4.7 4.0 3.7 3.7 4.0 4.1
Poland 9.7 10.1 10.3 9.0 7.5 6.2 4.9 3.9 3.5 3.5 3.3
Romania 7.2 6.8 7.1 6.8 6.8 5.9 4.9 4.2 3.8 3.6 3.4
Slovakia 13.7 14.0 14.2 13.2 11.5 9.7 8.1 6.5 5.9 5.5 5.3
Slovenia 8.2 8.9 10.1 9.7 9.0 8.0 6.6 5.1 4.1 3.7 3.3
Other Europe 4.1 4.1 4.4 4.4 4.7 4.8 4.5 4.4 4.1 4.2 4.2
Iceland 7.1 6.0 5.4 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.8 2.7 2.0 2.4 2.6
Norway 3.4 3.3 3.8 3.6 4.5 4.8 4.2 3.9 3.4 3.2 2.8
Switzerland 4.4 4.5 4.7 4.8 4.8 4.9 4.8 4.7 4.6 4.9 5.1
Memorandum items:
North America 8.8 8.0 7.3 6.2 5.5 5.1 4.6 4.1 3.9 3.9 4.0
Developed Asia and Pacific 4.7 4.5 4.3 4.0 3.8 3.6 3.3 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.0
Europe 9.5 10.3 10.7 10.0 9.3 8.4 7.5 6.8 6.3 6.2 6.1
Major developed economies 7.6 7.4 7.1 6.4 5.8 5.4 5.0 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.5
Euro area 10.2 11.4 12.0 11.6 10.9 10.0 9.1 8.2 7.7 7.5 7.3
Sources: UN DESA, based on data from Eurostat; OECD Main Economic Indicators; ILOSTAT; and UN DESA forecasts.
a Unemployment rates are standardized by the OECD and Eurostat for comparability across countries and over time, in conformity with the definitions of
the International Labout Organization (see OECD, Standardized Unemployment Rates: Sources and Methods (Paris, 1985)).
b Data for country groups are weighted averages, where labour force is used for weights.
c Partly estimated.
d Baseline scenario forecasts, based in part on UN DESA World Economic Forecasting Model.
Annex tables 189
Table A.9
Economies in transition and developing economies: unemployment ratesa
Percentage of labour force
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019b
South-Eastern Europe
Albania 13.5 13.4 15.9 17.5 17.1 15.2 13.8 12.3 12.0
Bosnia and Herzegovina 27.6 28.0 27.5 27.5 24.4 22.4 18.1 18.4 18.1
Montenegro 19.7 20.0 19.5 18.0 17.5 17.7 16.1 15.2 14.5
North Macedonia 31.4 46.1 29.0 39.3 26.1 23.7 22.4 20.7 17.9
Serbia 23.0 24.0 22.2 19.2 17.7 15.3 13.5 12.7 11.0
Commonwealth of Independent States and Georgia c
Armenia 21.6 17.3 16.2 15.5 15.8 15.6 13.7 12.2 10.9
Azerbaijan 5.5 5.3 5.1 4.9 4.9 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.8
Belarus 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 5.8 5.7 4.8 4.6
Georgiac 19.6 19.7 19.4 17.4 16.5 16.6 13.9 12.2 10.6
Kazakhstan 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.1 4.9 5.0 4.9 4.7 4.5
Kyrgyzstan 8.5 8.4 4.1 8.1 7.6 7.2 6.9 6.7 6.6
Republic of Moldova 6.7 5.6 5.1 3.9 3.7 4.2 4.1 3.0 5.1
Russian Federation 6.5 5.4 5.5 5.2 5.6 5.6 5.2 4.8 4.5
Tajikistan 5.8 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.2
Turkmenistan 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.8
Ukrained 7.9 7.5 7.2 9.3 9.1 9.3 9.5 8.8 8.6
Uzbekistan 5.0 4.9 4.9 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.8 6.2 6.1
Africa
Algeria 10.0 11.0 9.8 10.2 11.2 10.2 9.4 8.7 8.1
Botswana 17.8 17.9 18.3 18.2 18.0 17.7 17.7 17.8 17.8
Egypt 11.8 12.6 13.2 13.1 13.1 12.4 11.7 11.0 10.1
Mauritius 7.5 7.5 7.3 7.5 7.4 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.9
Morocco 8.9 9.0 9.2 9.7 9.5 9.3 9.2 9.9 10.2
South Africa 24.7 24.7 24.6 24.9 25.2 26.6 27.1 26.9 27.3
Tunisia 18.3 17.6 15.9 15.1 15.2 15.5 15.4 15.5 15.7
Latin America and the Caribbean
Argentina 7.2 7.2 7.1 7.3 6.5 8.5 8.4 9.2 10.5
Barbados 11.2 11.6 11.6 12.3 11.3 9.7 10.0 10.1 11.9
Bolivia (Plurinational State of) 3.8 3.2 4.0 3.5 4.4 4.7 5.1 4.9 4.7
Brazil 6.0 8.2 8.0 7.8 9.3 13.0 14.5 14.2 14.3
Chile 7.4 6.7 6.2 6.7 6.4 6.8 6.9 7.3 7.1
Colombia 11.8 11.4 10.7 10.0 9.8 10.3 10.5 10.9 11.0
Costa Rica 7.7 9.8 9.1 9.5 9.7 9.6 9.0 10.3 11.6
Dominican Republic 6.7 7.2 7.9 7.2 7.9 7.9 6.1 6.1 5.9
Ecuador 5.0 4.2 4.0 4.3 4.7 5.9 5.0 4.7 5.8
El Salvador 6.6 6.2 5.6 6.7 6.5 6.9 6.8 6.1 6.0
Guatemala 3.1 4.0 3.8 4.0 3.2 3.4 3.2 3.9 4.3
Honduras 6.8 5.6 6.0 7.5 8.8 9.0 8.2 8.0 9.7
Jamaica 12.6 13.9 15.2 13.7 13.5 13.2 11.7 9.1 8.0
Mexico 5.6 5.4 5.4 5.3 4.7 4.3 3.8 3.6 3.7
Nicaragua 8.1 8.7 7.7 8.5 7.7 6.3 5.2 7.5 10.4
190 World Economic Situation and Prospects 2020
Table A.9
Economies in transition and developing economies: unemployment ratesa (continued)
Percentage of labour force
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019b
Latin America and the Caribbean (continued)
Panama 5.4 4.8 4.7 5.4 5.8 6.4 6.9 7.1 7.8
Paraguay 6.9 7.9 7.7 7.8 6.5 7.7 6.9 7.1 7.4
Peru 5.1 4.7 4.8 4.5 4.4 5.2 5.0 4.8 6.2
Trinidad and Tobago 5.1 5.0 3.6 3.3 3.5 4.0 4.8 5.1 5.5
Uruguay 6.6 6.7 6.7 6.9 7.8 8.2 8.3 8.6 8.9
Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) 8.3 8.1 7.8 7.2 7.0 7.3 7.6 … …
Developing Asia
China 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.7 3.6
Hong Kong SARe 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.0 2.5 3.6
India 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.5
Indonesia 5.2 4.5 4.3 4.0 4.5 4.3 4.2 3.3 2.6
Iran, Islamic Republic of 12.5 12.6 10.4 10.6 11.1 12.4 12.1 12.0 12.8
Israel 5.6 6.9 6.2 5.9 5.2 4.8 4.2 4.0 3.8
Jordan 12.9 12.2 12.6 11.9 13.1 15.3 16.6 17.3 17.8
Malaysia 3.1 3.0 3.1 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4
Pakistan 0.8 1.7 3.0 1.8 3.6 4.6 4.3 4.1 5.8
Philippines 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.1 2.7 2.6 2.3 2.2
Republic of Korea 3.4 3.2 3.1 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.8 4.2
Saudi Arabia 5.8 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.6 5.7 5.9 6.0 6.4
Singapore 1.9 3.7 3.9 3.7 3.8 4.1 4.5 4.8 5.2
Sri Lanka 4.1 3.9 4.2 4.2 4.5 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.5
Taiwan Province of China 4.4 4.2 4.2 4.0 3.8 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.7
Thailand 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.6
Turkey 8.8 8.2 8.7 10.0 10.3 10.9 10.9 11.0 11.4
Viet Nam 1.9 1.7 2.0 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.8
Sources: UN DESA, based on data from Eurostat; UN/ECLAC, OECD Main Economic Indicators; ILOSTAT; and UN DESA estimates.
a As a percentage of labour force. Reflects national definitions and coverage. Not comparable across economies.
b Partly estimated.
c Georgia officially left the Commonwealth of Independent States on 18 August 2009. However, its performance is discussed in the context of this group of
countries for reasons of geographic proximity and similarities in economic structure.
d Starting in 2010, data for the Ukraine excludes the temporarily occupied territory of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea and Sevastopol.
e Special Administrative Region of China.
Annex tables 191
Table A.10
Selected economies: real effective exchange rates, broad measurementa, b
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019c
Developed economies
Australia 92.9 99.3 100.0 94.8 90.1 81.0 81.8 84.6 81.4 77.2
Austria 100.6 101.1 100.0 101.7 103.2 101.0 102.6 103.5 104.7 104.2
Belgium 101.4 102.2 100.0 101.2 101.2 97.4 100.0 101.4 103.3 103.0
Bulgaria 100.8 101.8 100.0 99.9 99.6 96.9 96.8 96.7 100.1 100.2
Canada 98.6 100.8 100.0 96.4 90.3 81.2 79.4 80.8 80.0 79.5
Croatia 104.6 101.5 100.0 100.7 100.4 98.6 99.6 99.9 101.3 99.8
Czechia 100.4 102.5 100.0 97.4 92.2 91.4 93.8 97.0 100.9 100.9
Denmark 103.7 102.9 100.0 100.6 101.5 97.2 98.3 98.7 99.7 98.5
Finland 102.6 102.3 100.0 102.3 104.8 101.9 103.2 102.1 104.4 103.5
France 103.6 103.1 100.0 101.1 101.2 96.2 97.5 97.9 99.7 98.3
Germany 103.7 103.2 100.0 102.0 102.6 98.2 99.8 100.5 102.5 101.5
Greece 104.6 105.2 100.0 99.3 98.0 92.1 93.6 94.3 93.2 91.6
Hungary 102.2 101.7 100.0 98.4 95.0 92.5 93.1 94.5 93.6 92.6
Ireland 105.9 104.9 100.0 101.5 100.5 92.7 93.9 94.1 95.1 93.1
Italy 101.8 102.0 100.0 101.6 101.7 96.9 98.0 98.5 99.4 97.6
Japan 99.9 101.6 100.0 80.1 75.2 69.9 78.6 74.9 74.6 77.2
Netherlands 103.1 102.6 100.0 102.8 102.8 98.3 99.6 99.8 101.1 100.4
New Zealand 93.9 97.9 100.0 102.4 105.1 96.1 97.3 99.2 94.0 92.8
Norway 100.3 101.0 100.0 97.9 92.7 84.9 86.1 86.9 87.5 86.3
Poland 104.5 102.2 100.0 100.0 101.1 98.4 94.9 97.0 97.6 96.6
Portugal 101.1 101.9 100.0 100.0 99.3 96.8 98.7 98.8 98.3 98.3
Romania 103.4 105.9 100.0 103.6 105.0 102.5 101.3 99.2 101.0 100.6
Slovakia 98.8 99.7 100.0 101.1 101.8 99.8 100.0 98.9 100.4 100.6
Spain 102.1 102.8 100.0 101.6 101.0 95.8 96.8 98.3 98.5 97.7
Sweden 96.1 100.3 100.0 101.3 96.3 91.1 91.8 91.0 86.7 83.8
Switzerland 95.0 104.3 100.0 98.5 99.1 104.6 102.7 101.0 98.0 99.3
United Kingdom 95.5 96.3 100.0 98.7 105.5 110.3 98.5 93.8 95.4 93.1
United States 102.1 97.8 100.0 100.1 101.9 112.8 117.7 118.5 115.7 121.4
Economies in transition
Azerbaijan 94.3 96.7 100.0 99.7 103.5 95.5 70.1 71.0 72.2 75.5
Belarus 124.9 104.3 100.0 107.8 119.6 110.1 101.6 99.5 97.8 101.0
Kazakhstan 96.1 96.0 100.0 100.6 93.5 93.4 71.0 76.9 75.8 72.7
Russian Federation 93.7 98.3 100.0 100.2 90.0 74.3 74.4 86.8 79.5 80.9
Ukrained 97.5 98.0 100.0 96.4 73.9 69.9 70.1 73.6 77.8 87.9
Developing economies
Algeria 96.1 95.5 100.0 98.0 99.8 95.3 94.4 95.4 92.0 95.1
Argentina 102.4 99.2 100.0 90.9 74.3 87.6 77.7 85.6 59.7 60.8
Bangladesh 106.9 103.7 100.0 110.7 118.6 135.4 143.3 145.0 142.8 150.0
Brazil 106.3 111.8 100.0 94.5 92.4 75.5 80.2 89.8 73.7 72.8
Chile 97.2 98.4 100.0 98.9 89.6 87.1 88.5 92.4 91.3 87.4
China 93.2 96.1 100.0 103.8 106.5 114.3 109.0 106.3 106.5 105.2
192 World Economic Situation and Prospects 2020
Table A.10
Selected economies: real effective exchange rates, broad measurementa, b (continued)
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019c
Developing economies (continued)
Colombia 94.2 95.4 100.0 96.3 91.4 74.1 72.8 79.4 68.4 65.4
Dominican Republic 99.4 100.3 100.0 96.8 94.7 96.3 96.6 95.4 86.0 85.7
Egypt 97.1 94.8 100.0 94.2 101.0 111.9 98.3 69.4 77.5 89.5
Ethiopia 79.5 84.7 100.0 100.4 100.8 109.9 112.1 108.4 104.2 110.5
Guatemala 94.3 98.4 100.0 102.0 106.4 114.5 122.0 130.0 124.5 126.0
Hong Kong SARe 102.4 98.2 100.0 101.9 105.0 112.2 117.4 117.2 115.3 119.5
India 106.4 105.9 100.0 99.4 101.0 107.4 108.5 112.8 107.6 109.0
Indonesia 104.3 104.3 100.0 95.1 89.1 89.9 94.1 95.5 89.9 93.4
Iran, Islamic Republic of 83.5 91.8 100.0 90.3 74.5 79.4 82.0 82.7 86.5 96.6
Israel 104.4 105.8 100.0 106.2 107.3 105.8 107.8 112.6 111.0 113.6
Korea, Republic of 101.1 101.4 100.0 103.3 108.6 107.5 106.3 109.6 110.8 104.3
Kuwait 97.5 99.0 100.0 100.6 102.1 105.3 108.9 108.3 106.3 107.6
Malaysia 101.8 101.1 100.0 99.3 98.6 89.7 86.6 85.3 89.1 87.8
Mexico 102.7 103.3 100.0 105.6 104.3 92.4 80.2 82.4 81.1 83.3
Morocco 104.6 102.4 100.0 101.5 102.0 101.8 104.1 103.5 104.3 104.5
Nigeria 89.1 89.6 100.0 106.7 113.9 110.4 98.0 91.7 99.6 110.6
Pakistan 96.6 99.6 100.0 97.2 103.7 109.5 112.9 114.4 100.9 89.0
Peru 94.4 93.1 100.0 98.8 96.7 95.1 94.1 98.0 93.8 94.8
Philippines 95.8 96.2 100.0 102.0 100.9 104.9 101.7 96.9 94.6 98.5
Qatar 103.7 97.7 100.0 103.7 106.3 115.4 118.4 117.0 113.7 114.7
Saudi Arabia 98.4 97.3 100.0 102.9 104.4 112.1 114.6 111.4 110.8 110.4
Singapore 90.7 95.7 100.0 101.7 101.2 99.0 98.2 97.0 96.2 95.8
South Africa 108.5 106.6 100.0 88.9 83.7 81.1 76.5 85.7 86.8 81.3
Sri Lanka 105.4 107.4 100.0 104.4 105.6 110.4 107.9 108.3 100.3 94.7
Taiwan Province of China 100.5 100.8 100.0 100.1 98.6 98.9 98.8 104.2 103.4 100.7
Thailand 101.2 100.3 100.0 103.7 99.9 100.0 97.0 100.1 103.6 108.3
Turkey 110.1 97.1 100.0 98.7 94.4 92.1 90.8 80.7 68.0 68.1
United Arab Erirates 107.2 100.1 100.0 100.9 103.4 113.0 114.9 115.0 115.6 113.3
Uruguay 92.0 96.5 100.0 106.8 103.3 104.7 106.9 117.9 103.7 102.2
Viet Nam 94.7 94.2 100.0 104.9 108.1 112.8 116.0 115.3 114.7 117.8
Source: UN DESA.
a 2012=100.
b CPI-based indices. The real effective exchange rate gauges the effect on international price competitiveness of currency changes and inflation
differentials. A rise in the index implies a fall in competitiveness and vice versa.
c Average for the first ten months.
d Starting in 2010, data for Ukraine excludes the temporarily occupied territory of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea and Sevastopol.
e Special Administrative Region of China.
Annex tables 193
Table A.11
Free market commodity price indices
Index: Year 2015=100
Non-fuel commodities
Table A.12
World oil supply and demand
Table A.13
World trade:a changes in value and volume of exports and imports, by major country group
Annual percentage change
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019b 2020c 2021c
Dollar value of exports
World 18.9 1.5 2.7 1.9 -10.9 -2.2 9.9 10.3 -1.7 3.3 4.9
Developed economies 15.6 -1.6 3.3 3.2 -9.6 0.3 8.4 8.4 -0.4 3.6 4.8
North America 14.4 3.5 3.2 3.9 -6.2 -2.2 6.3 6.5 -1.1 3.6 4.7
Europe 16.6 -3.1 4.9 3.2 -10.5 0.8 8.9 9.3 -0.4 3.4 4.6
Developed Asia and Pacific 11.5 -2.3 -6.6 1.8 -11.7 3.4 10.5 7.1 0.8 5.1 5.7
Economies in transition 30.6 3.2 -0.6 -5.7 -28.7 -11.7 21.9 20.8 -1.7 2.9 4.9
South-Eastern Europe 20.8 -6.1 15.3 4.1 -10.2 9.2 15.1 15.7 2.5 6.3 7.2
Commonwealth of Independent States
and Georgia d 31.0 3.6 -1.1 -6.1 -29.5 -12.8 22.3 21.2 -2.0 2.7 4.8
Developing economies 22.6 5.5 2.3 1.0 -11.1 -4.7 11.2 12.0 -3.3 2.8 5.2
Latin America and the Caribbean 19.4 1.9 0.1 -3.2 -12.0 -3.1 11.2 8.7 -0.3 3.0 5.1
Africa 15.7 7.9 -10.4 -3.5 -27.9 -7.8 16.6 11.1 -2.0 2.8 5.4
East Asia 20.9 5.1 5.1 4.1 -5.9 -5.1 10.4 12.1 -4.6 2.4 4.7
South Asia 24.5 0.9 3.2 -4.4 -9.0 2.2 13.6 10.7 -2.7 4.3 6.2
Western Asia 36.1 11.2 0.3 -2.5 -23.5 -6.7 11.6 15.8 -0.6 3.9 6.5
Dollar value of imports
World 19.0 1.2 2.7 2.1 -10.0 -2.5 9.7 9.8 -1.5 3.1 4.9
Developed economies 16.2 -2.0 1.7 3.0 -9.9 -0.5 8.6 9.0 -0.2 3.1 4.4
North America 13.6 3.0 0.1 3.4 -4.3 -1.9 7.0 7.1 -0.4 3.7 4.8
Europe 16.2 -5.3 3.7 3.0 -11.2 0.8 9.1 9.8 0.1 3.0 4.4
Developed Asia and Pacific 22.9 5.3 -5.4 1.5 -16.8 -4.5 9.5 9.6 -1.0 1.5 3.9
Economies in transition 27.8 8.5 3.3 -9.1 -28.3 -4.7 19.2 10.7 0.8 4.1 5.4
South-Eastern Europe 20.0 -6.6 4.9 4.1 -14.0 5.3 14.6 16.3 2.2 5.7 6.4
Commonwealth of Independent States
and Georgia d 28.4 9.6 3.2 -9.9 -29.3 -5.6 19.6 10.1 0.6 4.0 5.3
Developing economies 22.6 5.2 4.1 1.9 -8.8 -5.1 10.7 10.8 -3.4 3.1 5.6
Latin America and the Caribbean 20.7 5.1 4.4 -0.2 -2.4 -14.0 5.1 9.7 -1.5 2.5 4.7
Africa 15.4 3.4 5.6 1.7 -17.0 -6.7 5.8 10.2 -0.7 5.5 7.7
East Asia 24.5 4.9 5.0 2.9 -9.9 -3.0 12.8 12.2 -4.7 3.0 5.3
South Asia 24.4 6.0 -3.6 -3.9 -7.5 0.7 17.8 11.4 -3.3 4.2 8.3
Western Asia 20.5 7.3 4.7 3.9 -6.9 -6.7 5.8 5.3 -0.9 2.1 4.7
Volume of exports
World 7.1 3.3 3.2 4.2 3.1 2.5 5.5 3.9 0.2 2.3 3.2
Developed economies 5.9 2.2 2.7 4.5 4.7 2.8 4.9 3.1 1.5 2.3 3.0
North America 6.7 3.3 3.3 4.6 1.0 0.3 3.0 3.1 -0.5 2.3 3.0
Europe 6.6 2.0 2.6 3.9 6.1 3.5 5.4 3.0 2.0 2.2 2.8
Developed Asia and Pacific -0.2 1.3 2.0 8.5 3.9 3.0 5.9 3.8 1.9 3.3 4.0
Economies in transition 2.4 1.3 2.6 -0.5 2.0 3.0 6.0 5.9 2.9 3.3 3.4
South-Eastern Europe 7.5 1.7 11.2 5.4 7.9 10.6 9.0 8.3 5.8 5.4 5.3
Commonwealth of Independent States
and Georgiad 2.2 1.3 2.2 -0.8 1.7 2.7 5.8 5.7 2.7 3.2 3.3
196 World Economic Situation and Prospects 2020
Table A.13
World tradea: Changes in value and volume of exports and imports by major country group (continued)
Table A.14
Balance of payments on current accounts, by country or country group, summary table
Billions of dollars
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019a
Developed economies -184.8 -213.8 -150.1 -1.4 -20.9 23.0 105.1 189.6 86.6 40.4
Japan 220.9 129.6 60.1 46.4 36.4 136.5 197.0 201.6 174.7 213.4
United States -431.3 -445.7 -426.8 -348.8 -365.2 -407.8 -428.4 -439.6 -491.0 -521.3
Europeb 131.9 201.3 353.7 414.2 400.8 412.0 430.8 515.6 486.2 432.3
EU-15 47.5 130.5 249.9 281.5 289.4 302.6 343.9 439.7 384.9 339.8
EU-13 -50.8 -49.6 -30.5 -1.4 -4.2 1.0 7.3 7.3 -6.8 -10.9
Economies in transition 62.2 97.6 58.9 12.5 51.5 48.3 -2.4 15.4 102.5 91.2
South-Eastern Europe -6.1 -9.4 -8.4 -5.6 -6.1 -3.8 -3.9 -5.0 -5.5 -5.7
Commonwealth of Independent States 68.3 107.0 67.3 18.2 57.6 52.2 1.5 20.4 107.9 96.9
and Georgiac
Developing economies 395.4 456.5 478.8 344.2 345.5 157.1 191.9 259.6 155.2 123.7
Net fuel exporters 310.8 620.6 560.7 423.3 274.6 -131.9 -107.8 50.4 270.0 218.2
Net fuel importers 84.6 -164.1 -81.9 -79.1 71.0 289.0 299.6 209.2 -114.8 -94.5
Latin America and the Caribbean -98.1 -111.1 -143.9 -167.2 -179.5 -167.7 -95.2 -75.9 -95.9 -82.6
Net fuel exporters 0.3 11.0 -3.6 -2.4 -10.9 -36.9 -17.3 -2.9 -8.9 -13.3
Net fuel importers -98.5 -122.2 -140.2 -164.8 -168.5 -130.8 -77.9 -73.1 -87.1 -69.3
Africa 4.6 -13.5 -22.0 -62.4 -118.4 -159.7 -118.7 -74.0 -74.6 -82.3
Net fuel exporters 46.2 43.3 62.6 22.7 -38.7 -78.0 -42.6 -14.9 -5.5 -13.1
Net fuel importers -41.6 -56.8 -84.6 -85.1 -79.7 -81.7 -76.1 -59.1 -69.2 -69.2
Western Asia 103.3 278.7 355.2 287.9 203.7 -65.6 -70.4 -4.3 131.1 126.3
Net fuel exporters 150.4 358.2 419.5 361.7 251.7 -34.3 -32.5 51.8 167.6 157.7
Net fuel importers -47.0 -79.5 -64.3 -73.8 -48.0 -31.3 -37.9 -56.2 -36.4 -31.3
East and South Asia 385.6 302.5 289.4 285.9 439.6 550.1 476.2 413.8 194.5 162.3
Net fuel exporters 27.3 61.7 -5.0 -9.0 -10.3 -12.4 3.4 4.6 -8.8 1.1
Net fuel importers 358.3 240.8 294.5 294.9 449.9 562.5 472.8 409.2 203.3 161.2
World residuald 272.8 340.3 387.5 355.4 376.2 228.5 294.5 464.6 344.2 255.2
Source: UN DESA based on data from IMF International Financial Statistics and UN DESA estimates.
a Partly estimated.
b Europe consists of the EU-15, the EU-13 and Iceland, Norway and Switzerland (Table A).
c Georgia officially left the Commonwealth of Independent States on 18 August 2009. However, its performance is discussed in the context of this group
of countries for reasons of geographic proximity and similarities in economic structure.
d Statistical discrepancy.
198 World Economic Situation and Prospects 2020
Table A.15
Net ODA from major sources, by type
Total
Donor group 1997– 2007– (United Nations United
or country 2007 2015 2016 2017 2018 2018 2018 Total & Other) Nations Other
Total DAC countries 5.9 8.8 10.7 -0.3 -2.7 0.30 149333 70.8 29.2 4.5 24.7
Total EU 6.4 9.4 14.5 -0.1 -1.2 0.48 87392 62.4 37.6 4.8 32.8
Austria 11.9 12.0 22.2 -25.9 -12.3 0.26 1167 41.4 58.6 2.7 55.9
Belgium 7.1 10.9 19.0 -7.9 1.0 0.44 2361 57.1 42.9 6.2 36.7
Denmark 3.4 5.0 -8.2 -0.1 0.0 0.71 2568 67.8 32.2 07.9 24.2
Finland 8.3 10.8 -18.0 -0.4 -14.6 0.36 983 47.9 52.1 11.3 40.8
Francea 2.6 5.1 6.6 14.8 4.4 0.44 12504 56.0 44.0 3.9 40.1
Germany 4.5 8.2 36.4 -2.3 -3.0 0.63 25886 76.0 24.0 2.1 21.9
Greece 9.6 13.6 55.2 -17.0 -12.0 0.13 290 13.3 86.7 5.4 81.3
Ireland 18.8 19.5 12.9 2.0 6.3 0.31 934 56.8 43.2 11.5 31.7
Italy 4.6 13.0 26.4 12.3 -21.3 0.23 4900 39.1 60.9 4.5 56.4
Luxembourg 14.8 14.4 7.1 4.2 3.7 0.98 473 70.8 29.2 11.4 17.9
Netherlands 6.1 8.2 -13.4 -3.2 5.8 0.61 5616 64.1 35.9 8.7 27.2
Portugal 7.2 8.6 9.8 7.2 -15.6 0.15 341 25.5 74.5 2.2 72.3
Spain 13.7 16.9 202.4 -41.3 -4.6 0.18 2581 27.6 72.4 2.6 69.8
Sweden 7.3 9.6 -31.1 11.1 4.5 1.04 5847 65.6 34.4 14.2 20.2
United Kingdom 10.8 11.6 7.9 3.0 1.8 0.70 19455 63.3 36.7 4.1 32.7
Australia 8.6 9.8 -6.3 -13.1 3.8 0.23 3119 78.3 21.7 4.3 17.4
Canada 7.7 8.1 -5.3 4.9 5.0 0.27 4616 75.1 24.9 4.7 20.1
Japan -1.8 0.2 1.5 13.7 -13.4 0.20 10064 73.7 26.3 4.5 21.7
New Zealand 9.2 7.7 -0.5 -4.6 25.6 0.28 556 83.3 16.7 8.3 8.5
Norway 10.0 10.7 7.9 -10.7 -4.2 0.94 4257 75.9 24.1 10.3 13.8
Switzerland 4.6 7.6 4.6 -12.1 -2.9 0.44 3091 75.3 24.7 7.7 17.0
United States 8.0 13.0 9.9 -1.0 -5.0 0.16 33741 88.6 11.4 2.8 8.6
Source: UN DESA, based on OECD/DAC online database, available from http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/statistics.
a Excluding flows from France to the Overseas Departments, namely Guadeloupe, French Guiana, Martinique and Réunion.
Annex tables 199
Table A.16
Total net ODA flows from OECD Development Assistance Committee countries, by type
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Official Development Assistance 105.4 104.9 122.8 120.6 128.4 135.0 126.9 134.7 137.2 131.6
Bilateral official development assistance 77.5 73.7 87.1 83.9 90.6 94.8 88.4 93.4 94.7 94.4
in the form of:
Technical cooperation 22.4 15.1 17.3 17.6 18.6 18.0 18.2 16.9 17.3 ..
Humanitarian aid 6.8 6.5 8.8 8.6 9.3 9.7 8.5 10.5 13.1 ..
Debt forgiveness 18.9 9.7 11.1 2.0 4.2 6.3 3.3 6.1 1.4 ..
Bilateral loans -2.4 -2.2 -1.1 2.5 3.8 1.9 2.6 1.4 5.2 ..
Contributions to multilateral institutionsa 27.9 31.2 35.7 36.6 37.8 40.2 38.5 41.3 42.6 37.2
of which are:
UN agencies 5.3 5.9 5.9 6.2 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.9 6.8 7.6
EU institutions 10.1 12.0 13.5 14.2 13.6 13.7 12.0 12.8 13.3 12.0
World Bank 7.2 6.2 8.6 7.6 8.8 10.2 8.6 9.3 9.8 8.6
Regional development banks 2.5 2.4 3.2 3.1 3.2 4.1 3.9 3.9 4.0 3.2
Others 2.7 4.7 4.4 5.4 5.7 5.8 7.5 8.4 8.7 ..
Memorandum item
Bilateral ODA to least developed countries 17.4 19.7 23.5 24.3 28.2 30.7 27.4 30.0 26.3 ..
Source: UN DESA, based on OECD/DAC online database, available from http://www.oecd.org/dac/stats/idsonline.
a Grants and capital subscriptions. Does not include concessional lending to multilateral agencies.
200 World Economic Situation and Prospects 2020
Table A.17
Commitments and net flows of financial resources, by selected multilateral institutions
Billions of dollars
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Resource commitmentsa 193.7 245.4 163.8 189.8 130.8 185.0 119.9 245.4 256.7 224.8
Financial institutions, excluding
International Monetary Fund (IMF) 114.5 119.6 106.8 96.5 98.8 99.2 99.9 106.9 108.0 114.6
Regional development banksb 55.1 46.2 46.9 43.0 45.8 41.1 46.9 49.8 54.0 56.0
World Bank Groupc 59.4 73.4 59.9 53.5 53.0 58.1 53.0 57.0 54.0 58.6
International Bank for
Reconstruction and Development
(IBRD) 32.9 44.2 26.7 20.6 15.2 18.6 23.5 29.7 22.6 23.0
International Development
Association (IDA) 14.0 14.6 16.3 14.8 16.3 22.2 19.0 16.2 19.5 24.0
International Financial Corporation
(IFC)d 12.4 14.6 16.9 9.2 11.0 10.0 10.5 11.1 11.9 11.6
International Fund for
Agricultural Development (IFAD) 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.7 1.3 0.8 1.3 1.3
International Monetary Fund (IMF) 68.2 114.1 45.7 82.5 19.6 72.7 6.2 123.9 132.9 89.9
United Nations operational agenciese 11.0 11.6 11.3 10.8 12.4 13.1 13.7 14.7 15.8 20.4
Net flows 54.6 64.6 78.7 35.1 8.8 -5.1 17.7 32.2 36.3 82.6
Financial institutions, excluding IMF 22.6 27.2 38.0 26.3 22.2 25.0 35.5 33.8 36.6 46.8
Regional development banksb 15.7 9.9 10.5 8.6 5.7 11.2 15.4 14.2 13.1 14.2
World Bank Groupc 6.9 17.2 27.6 17.7 16.5 13.8 20.1 19.6 23.6 32.7
International Bank for
Reconstruction and Development
(IBRD) -2.1 8.3 17.2 8.0 7.8 6.4 9.0 10.0 13.2 17.4
International Development
Association (IDA) 7.0 7.0 9.1 7.8 7.0 7.4 9.9 8.8 8.8 14.7
International Financial Corporation
(IFC) 2.1 1.9 1.2 1.9 1.6 0.1 1.3 0.8 1.6 0.6
International Fund for Agricultural
Development (IFAD) 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3
International Monetary Fund (IMF) 32.0 37.4 40.7 8.9 -13.4 -30.1 -17.9 -1.5 -0.4 35.8
Source: Annual reports of the relevant multilateral institutions, various issues.
a Loans, grants, technical assistance and equity participation, as appropriate; all data are on a calendar-year basis.
b African Development Bank (AfDB), Asian Development Bank (ADB), Caribbean Development Bank (CDB), European Bank for Reconstruction and
Development (EBRD), Inter-American Development Bank (IaDB) and the International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD).
c Data is for fiscal year.
d Effective 2012, data does not include short-term finance.
e United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA), United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF), and the World
Food Programme (WFP).