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1) Let (X, A) and (Y, B) be measurable spaces and f : X → Y be a map. Then we define
the pull back σ-algebra as
f −1 (B) := {f −1 (B) : B ∈ B}
This is the smallest σ-algebra on X such that f is measurable. In particular, f is (A, B)-
measurable if and only if f −1 (B) ⊆ A.
is the σ-algebra generated by (fi )i∈I . Please note that i∈I fi−1 (Bi ) is not a σ-algebra in
S
general, and as in 1) we can easily prove that σ(fi , i ∈ I) is the smallest σ-algebra on X
such that all fi are measurable.
1 , . . . , an ∈ R be pairwise
a) Let aS distinct and A1 , . . . , An ∈ A be pairwise disjoint with
Ω = nj=1 Aj . Let X := nj=1 aj 1Aj and σ(X) be the σ-algebra generated by X.
P
i) Determine σ(X).
ii) Let Y be a σ(X)-measurable random variable. Show that Y is constant on each
set Aj , j = 1, . . . , n.
iii) Show that Y can be written as a function of X.
Y = Φ(X).
a) ii) We have Y −1 (B) ∈ σ(X) for all B ∈ B(R), in particular Y −1 ({z}) ∈ σ(X) for
all z ∈ R. Now assume that Y −1 ({z}) 6=S∅ for some z ∈ R. Then there exists a set
A ∈ σ(X) \ {∅} such that Y −1 ({z}) = A = j∈J Aj for some index set J ⊆ {1, . . . , n}, i.e.
Y (ω) = z for all ω ∈ A. This means, that Y is constant on each set Aj , j = 1, . . . , n.
1
Pn
By defining the map g : R → R by g(x) = i=1 zi 1{ai } (x) we finally obtain
n
X
g(X(ω)) = zi 1{X=ai } (ω) = Y (ω).
i=1
b) 1) Let Y be a simple function, i.e Y = ni=1 zi 1Ai for some (zi ) ⊆ R and (Ai ) ⊆ σ(X).
P
Then there exist sets Bi ∈ B(R) such that Ai = X −1 (Bi ), i = 1, . . . , n. Now define
n
X
ϕ(x) := zi 1Bi (x), x ∈ R.
i=1
Then we obtain
n
X n
X
ϕ(X(ω)) = zi 1Bi (X(ω)) = zi 1Ai = Y.
| {z }
i=1 i=1
=1X −1 (B ) (ω)
i
Lemma T2. Let fi : (Ω, A) → (Ωi , Bi ), i ∈ I, and ϕ : (Ω0 , A0 ) → (Ω, A) be maps. Then
we have
Proof: First assume the left-hand side. Since ϕ is (A0 , σ(fi ))-measurable and fi is
(σ(fi ), Bi )-measurable for any fixed i ∈ I, we trivially obtain that fi ◦ ϕ is (A0 , Bi )-
measurable for all i ∈ I.
Now assume the converse. Let M := i∈I fi−1 (Bi ) be the generating system of σ(fi , i ∈ I)
S
and A ∈ M be any set. Then there exists an i ∈ I and Bi ∈ Bi with A = fi−1 (Bi ) satisfying
2
Exercise 5 (Product probability spaces) .
Let (Ωj , Aj , Pj ), j ∈ N, be probability spaces,
∞ ∞
×
O
Ω := Ωj , and A := Aj := σ(πj , j ∈ N)
j=1 j=1
the product σ-algebra generated by the projections πj : Ω → Ωj (πj (ω) = ωj , j ∈ N). Show
that there exists a uniquely determined probability measure P on A satisfying
∞ n
×
Y
P A1 × . . . × An × Ωj = Pj (Aj )
j=n+1 j=1
1) For n ∈ N define
∞
×
Fn := Bn × Ωj : Bn ∈ A1 ⊗ . . . ⊗ An
j=n+1
2) For F := ∞
S
n=1 Fn show that F ⊂ A and σ(F) = A.
Before we start with the proof of this result we shortly recall Caratheodory’s extension
theorem and the measure uniqueness theorem:
1) µ(∅) = 0
2) µ is σ-additive
Then there exists a measure µ̃ on σ(R) with µ(A) = µ̃(A) for all A ∈ R.
3
Measure uniqueness theorem. Let M ⊆ P(Ω) be an intersection stable generator of
the σ-algebra A and let µ1 , µ2 be measures on A such that
Solution: 1) Let Fn := Bn × ×∞
j=n+1 Ωj : Bn ∈ A1 ⊗ . . . ⊗ An , n ∈ N. Using that
⊗nj=1 Aj is a σ-algebra, it can be easily verified that Fn is a σ-algebra as well. Moreover,
since Bn × Ωn+1 ∈ ⊗n+1 n
j=1 Aj for any set Bn ∈ ⊗j=1 Aj we trivially obtain Fn ⊆ Fn+1 .
S
2) Now define F := n∈N Fn (which is not a σ-algebra in general). Then F is an algebra:
iii) Let A, B ∈ F. Then there are m, n ∈ N such that A ∈ Fn and B ∈ Fm . Without loss
of generality we may assume that n < m. Then A, B ∈ Fm by part 1). Using again
that Fm is a σ-algebra, we get A ∪ B ∈ Fm , and this implies A ∪ B ∈ F by definition.
p n : Ω → Ω1 × . . . × Ωn , pn (ω) = (ω1 , . . . , ωn ).
Then pn is (A, ⊗ni=1 Ai )-measurable. This can be seen by considering the maps
n
πjn : ×Ω
i=1
i → Ωj , πjn ((ω1 , . . . , ωn )) = ωj , j = 1, . . . , n
which has the property πjn ◦ pn = πj , and this is (A, Aj )-measurable for each j = 1, . . . , n.
By Lemma T2 pn is (A, σ(πjn , j = 1, . . . , n))-measurable.
| {z }
=⊗n
j=1 Aj
A = p−1
n (Bn ) ∈ A.
This implies F ⊆ A.
Define the sets Rn := {A1 × . . . An × ×∞
j=n+1 Ωj : Aj ∈ Aj }, n ∈ N. Then we have
∞
[ ∞
[
πj−1 (Aj ) ⊆ Rj ⊆ F ⊆ A,
j=1 j=1
4
and the set function P on F by
P(A) := µn (A) if A ∈ Fn .
which means that P is finitely additive. We next show that P is continuous in ∅ (and
hence σ-additive). To prove that let (Cn )n ⊆ F be a decreasing sequence
T of sets such that
limn→∞ P(Cn ) > 0. In the remaining of this part we want to show that ∞n=1 Cn 6= ∅ (which
then proves the continuity of P).
We may assume that Cn = Bn × ×∞
j=n+1 Ωj , Bn ∈ A≤n . Then
Now define
Z
fn1 (ω1 ) := 1Bn (ω1 , ω2 , . . . , ωn ) d(P2 ⊗ . . . ⊗ Pn )(ω2 , . . . , ωn )
Ω2 ×...×Ωn
Z
≥ 1Bn+1 (ω1 , ω2 , . . . , ωn+1 ) d(P2 ⊗ . . . ⊗ Pn+1 )(ω2 , . . . , ωn+1 )
Ω2 ×...×Ωn+1
1
= fn+1 (ω1 ),
where the inequality comes from the fact that Cn+1 ⊆ Cn and Bn+1 ⊆ Bn × Ωn+1 . This
implies that (fn1 )n≥2 is a decreasing sequence. By monotone convergence this implies
Z Z
1 def
inf fn (ω1 ) dP1 (ω1 ) = inf fn1 (ω1 ) dP1 (ω1 ) = inf µn (Cn ) > 0.
Ω1 n≥2 n≥2 Ω1 n≥2
Hence, there exists an ω̄1 ∈ Ω1 such that inf n≥2 fn1 (ω̄1 ) > 0. Inductively, we can define for
any k ∈ N and n ≥ k + 1 the function
Z
k
fn (ω̄1 , . . . , ω̄k−1 , ωk ) := 1Bn (ω̄1 , . . . , ω̄k−1 , ωk , . . . , ωn ) d(Pk+1 ⊗. . .⊗Pn )(ωk+1 , . . . , ωn )
Ωk+1 ×...Ωn
k (ω̄ , . . . , ω̄ ) =
R
In particular, fk+1 1 k Ωk+1 1Bk+1 (ω̄1 , . . . , ω̄k , ωk+1 ) dPk+1 (ωk+1 ) > 0. This
implies that the set
{ωk+1 ∈ Ωk+1 : (ω̄1 , . . . , ω̄k , ωk+1 ) ∈ Bk+1 }
is not empty for all k ∈ N. Now using that Bk+1 ⊆ Bk × Ωk+1 we obtain
5
T∞
Eventually, ω̄ := (ω̄j )j≥1 ∈ n=1 Cn .
Proof: Let (Xi )i∈N be independent. Then, for any n ∈ N we have P(X1 ,...,Xn ) = ⊗ni=1 PXi .
Using this, we get
∞
PX (B1 × . . . × Bn × ×
j=n+1
Ωj ) = P(X1 ∈ B1 , . . . , Xn ∈ Bn , Xj ∈ Ωj , j ≥ n + 1)
n
Y
= P(X1 ∈ B1 , . . . , Xn ∈ Bn ) = PXj (Bj ).
j=1
Now assume the converse and let J ⊆ N be a finite subset. Then there is an N ∈ N such
that J ⊆ {1, . . . , N } and we have (let Bj = Ωj for j ∈
/ J)
∞ N
×
Y
X
P(Xj ∈ Bj , j ∈ J) = P (B1 × . . . × BN × Ωj ) = PXj (Bj )
j=N +1 j=1
Y Y
= PXj (Bj ) = P(Xj ∈ Bj ).
j∈J j∈J
6
Solution: Let X : Ω → N be the random variable counting the amounts of flips of this
experiment. By independence we get
P(X = 1) = P1 ({1}) = 1 − p,
P(X = 2) = P1 ({0})P2 ({1}) = p(1 − p),
P(X = 3) = P1 ({0})P2 ({0})P3 ({1}) = p2 (1 − p),
..
.
P(X = k) = P1 ({0}) . . . Pk−1 ({0})Pk ({1}) = pk−1 (1 − p), k ∈ N.
b) Similarly we get
∞
X ∞
X
P(B) = P(X = 2k) = p2k−1 (1 − p)
k=1 k=1
∞
X 1
= p(1 − p) p2j = p(1 − p)
1 − p2
j=0
p
= .
1+p
If we have a fair coin (p = 12 ) we get P(B) = 31 , which means that the probability of
X being odd is twice as much as X being even.