DATOS DE VIDA ACUMULADO F(t) ln(t) ln(-ln(R(t)))

2490 1 9.46% 7.82003799

0.9 -2.30888013
3410 2 22.97% 8.13446757
0.7 -1.3431819
f(x) = −2.84950909291056 x − x²
0.012952940680531 24.5740449716436
+ 3.06634101883917 x − 25.479824
0.998780894440523
R² = 0.998783301126328
4300 3 36.49% 8.36637030.5 -0.78983983
4830 4 50.00% 8.48260175
0.3 -0.36651292
5590 5 63.51% 8.62873457
0.1
0.00819456
6430 6 77.03% 8.76872982
-0.17.6
0.38584165
7.8 8 8.2 8.4 8.6
7470 7 90.54% 8.91865028
-0.3
0.85787951
-0.5
β 2.8495090929
-0.7
η 5563.359215 hrs Edad típica para la falla
-0.9
-1.1
MANTENIMIENTO CORRECTIVO
-1.3
Intervención 312.5 $
-1.5
Pérd. Prod. 750 $
-1.7
Cons. Ad. 4680 $
-1.9
TOTAL 5742.5 $
Cesp.corr. 1.032 $/hr -2.1
-2.3
-2.5
 56 x − x²
80531 24.5740449716436
+ 3.06634101883917 x − 25.4798244132207
23
28

8.2 8.4 8.6 8.8 9

Tpr. R(t) MTBI Tf Ao CEPpr. Riesgo CEPpr.esp.
200 99.99% 199.99601848 148.04447658 98.52% 515.4006 0.4006002 2.5770543
400 99.94% 399.94261384 296.07843969 99.24% 517.88666 2.88665964 1.29490242
600 99.82% 599.72677389 444.07782759 99.45% 524.160272 9.16027204 0.87399845
800 99.60% 799.17358683 592.00530747 99.51% 535.770121 20.7701206 0.67040519
1000 99.25% 998.0509983 739.81110485 99.48% 554.15773 39.1577295 0.55523989
1200 98.74% 1196.0737029 887.43351631 99.39% 580.665128 65.6651281 0.48547604
1400 98.06% 1392.9070325 1034.7992623 99.23% 616.52906 101.52906 0.44262039
1600 97.17% 1588.1712115 1181.8237374 99.02% 662.868249 147.868249 0.41737833
1800 96.07% 1781.4461838 1328.4111872 98.73% 720.666614 205.666614 0.40454021
2000 94.72% 1972.2771292 1474.4548285 98.38% 790.754236 275.754236 0.40093465
2200 93.14% 2160.180729 1619.8369256 97.95% 873.787465 358.787465 0.40449739
2400 91.29% 2344.65219 1764.4288339 97.45% 970.229394 455.229394 0.41380525
2600 89.19% 2525.1729881 1908.0910228 96.87% 1080.33188 565.331883 0.4278249
2800 86.82% 2701.2192534 2050.6730899 96.22% 1204.12026 689.120257 0.44576917
3000 84.19% 2872.2706722 2192.0137817 95.48% 1341.38175 826.381745 0.46701091
3200 81.32% 3037.8197429 2331.9410394 94.66% 1491.65865 976.658652 0.49102935
3400 78.21% 3197.38119 2470.272092 93.75% 1654.24711 1139.24711 0.51737563
3600 74.88% 3350.5013073 2606.813621 92.77% 1828.20208 1313.20208 0.54565031
3800 71.36% 3496.7669823 2741.3620283 91.71% 2012.34909 1497.34909 0.57548847
4000 67.67% 3635.8141406 2873.7038431 90.58% 2205.30283 1690.30283 0.60654993
4200 63.84% 3767.335347 3003.6163055 89.37% 2405.49256 1890.49256 0.63851299
4400 59.90% 3891.0863128 3130.8681741 88.10% 2611.19383 2096.19383 0.67107065
4600 55.90% 4006.8910793 3255.220803 86.77% 2820.56577 2305.56577 0.70392873
4800 51.86% 4114.6456839 3376.4295413 85.38% 3031.69291 2516.69291 0.73680534
MANTENIMIENTO PREVENTIVO
Intervención 290 $
Pérd. Prod. 225 $
TOTAL 515 $
Tpred. R(Tpred.) MTBI Ao CEPpred. Riesgo CEPpred.esp. MANTENIMIENTO PREDICTIVO
100 100.00% 99.99972379 99.50% 97.5600216 0.06002162 0.9756029109 Servicio
200 99.99% 199.99601848 98.52% 97.9325946 0.43259458 0.4896727211 Pérd. Prod.
300 99.98% 299.98103762 99.00% 98.8734679 1.37346791 0.3295990597 TOTAL
400 99.94% 399.94261384 99.24% 100.617206 3.11720587 0.2515791076
500 99.90% 499.86454285 99.37% 103.385792 5.88579156 0.2068276157 INTERVENCIONES
600 99.82% 599.72677389 99.45% 107.391867 9.89186717 0.1790679887 Predictivo
700 99.73% 699.50555974 99.49% 112.840298 15.3402976 0.1613143685 Preventivo
800 99.60% 799.17358683 99.51% 119.928949 22.4289489 0.150066207 COSTO TOTAL
900 99.44% 898.7000957 99.50% 128.849022 31.3490224 0.143372659
1000 99.25% 998.0509983 99.48% 139.785104 42.2851044 0.1400580778 CEPpred.prev.
1100 99.02% 1097.1889962 99.44% 152.91502 55.4150205 0.1393698087 CEPpred.prev.esp.
1200 98.74% 1196.0737029 99.39% 168.409545 70.9095454 0.1408019798
1300 98.42% 1294.6617717 99.32% 186.432004 88.9320043 0.1440005477
1400 98.06% 1392.9070325 99.23% 207.13779 109.63779 0.1487089842
1500 97.64% 1490.7606363 99.13% 230.673814 133.173814 0.1547356485
1600 97.17% 1588.1712115 99.02% 257.177908 159.677908 0.161933365
1700 96.65% 1685.0850297 98.88% 286.778191 189.278191 0.170186184
1800 96.07% 1781.4461838 98.73% 319.592402 222.092402 0.1794005373
1900 95.43% 1877.196778 98.56% 355.727235 258.227235 0.1894991717
2000 94.72% 1972.2771292 98.38% 395.27765 297.77765 0.2004168905
2100 93.96% 2066.6259809 98.17% 438.326209 340.826209 0.2120975024
2200 93.14% 2160.180729 97.95% 484.942418 387.442418 0.2244915954
2300 92.25% 2252.8776582 97.71% 535.182097 437.682097 0.2375548869
2400 91.29% 2344.65219 97.45% 589.086787 491.586787 0.2512469822
NIMIENTO PREDICTIVO
60 $
37.5 $
97.5 $

97.5
515
612.5 $

874.444 $
0.423 $/hr
PREDICTIVO
Tiempo 1100 1000 Para aplicar el predictivo:
Confiabilidad 99.02% 94.89% Confiabilidad del predictivo > confiabilidad preventivo
Vida útil del predictivo > vida útil del preventivo

PREVENTIVO
Tiempo 2000
Confiabilidad 94.72%
d preventivo ok