— : ee) ol At ON MATH2830 EXAM 3B SANTORICO, SPRING 2013 Directions: Complete each of the following problems in the space provided. Be sure to show your work in order to receive full or partial credit. This exam is closed book and closed notes. You may use your calculator and formula sheet. Rounding rules: Express probabilities as reduced fractions or rounded to 2-3 decimal places. If the probability is extremely small, then round to the first nonzero digit. You will be graded on whether you have followed appropriate rounding rules for your confidence intervals. Problems 1-10: Match the following terms with the appropriate definition. Clearly write the letter of the definition next to the appropriate term. (1 pts each) Terms: Definitions: 1. Point Estimate a. Aspecific numerical value estimate of a parameter. 2. Type llError b. The maximum probability of committing a Type | error. 3. Alternative Hypothesis The error that occurs if you reject the null hypothesis when it is true. 4. Critical/Rejection Region d._ The error that occurs if you do not reject the null hypothesis when itis false. 5. Confidence Level e. Atest that uses data obtained from a sample to make a decision about whether the null hypothesis should be rejected 6. Significance Level f. Astatistical hypothesis that states a difference between a parameter and a specific value or states that there is a difference between two parameters. 7. Statistical Test 8. Type | Error 8 Arange of values used to estimate a parameter. h. A statistical hypothesis that states that there is no difference between a parameter and a specific value or that there is no difference between two parameters. 9. Interval Estimate Pe BVI MM bo IH 4 Pi 10. Null Hypothesis, i. The probability that a parameter lies within the interval estimate of a parameter. J. The range of values of the test value that indicates that there is a significant difference and the null hypothesis should be rejected in favor of the null hypothesis. Page 1Data for problems 11-16: A random sample of 81 college students was surveyed to determine the time required to earn their bachelor’s degrees. The Sample had a mean of 4.6 years and a standard deviation of 2.2 years, Based on this sample, use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that the mean time for all college students i€greaterYnan 4 years. 11. Specify your null and alternative hypothesis. (2pts) My = 4 M> Y 12, Compute the testvalue. (spits). mA cues a 2 — ca) Gi (Bo Me - LYS So Mi 13. Find the p-value (gts) CQn Glo bead df: n-/ = GI / = 0 Fram table, 000s < prale < oo! From (aleulater , pial =~ AT > 245) ~ 0.00% Qu = L6d LOS, EF, 20 ) we Sha whaet or fail Coca mth, ‘Why? (2pts) Ajeet Ho vit/{ /upolhes/= ona the pralve Zax Page 215, Summarize your conclusion in the context of this problem. (2pts) Thre 1s evrcore +o support the blaine Hal the mann tite fo Carn A bathebrs Olegree 1s grockr than pars 16. Provide a 95% confidence interval for the true mean, include an interpretation for your confidence ace Gh Gi) G) Xt te-S - YOR NPQ « 22 2 TA [¢¥) (ti) Gi) = 464+ 0.4% = (4/,5/) Uke au 95% tifidet Mt 3) Hea Mth Lime £01 bemppheli@r K 4 Lattelive la Page 3Data for questions 17-22: A study of light and heavy users of marijuana in college was conducted to assess memory recall. The summary statistics for memory recall for the two groups are provided below. (Data from JAMA V275 No7) Light marijuana users: .0,| s 43.6 Heavy marijuana users: n= 65, ¥=51.3\ s}4.5 Use a 0.025 significance level to test the claim that heavy marijuana users ay one pm recall score than light users, = 17. Specify your null and alternative hypothesis. (2pts) bh 4th HW, : Mh> 18. Compute the test value. (5pts) t= oa Xv — = 1.77 J + Sf "0.7/7 Ae Yn et ony 19, Find the eitcl value(s). Draw the appropriate curve and label the rejection region. (pts) df: yrninunm Of (647) ang lés-1 ) - 43 —> ror un fable xo use - Go ASL Hg Wt oiled fest CritiCal vale = 2.00 G2) br cv \ \ \ - / J oF Pee hin 4 Zz resin 20d Page 420. Should we reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis? Why? (2pts) DME? S Pe the null fi fe dhe fist Wane rs malCle he rejection ral 21, Summarize your conclusion in the context of this problem. (2pts) Mere is eyrdlene tal hen MOry ups users have /bswer merory. recall tan Makt mar’) LONG USCIS 22, Provide a 95% confidence interval for the difference in means, include an interpretation for your aa interval. (Spts) 3 (4-H) by fe i "Fis - (53-613) fF 2 So2 , 52 GY bs = J.T LL 1438Y = (0.3, 3./) We are 95% Contidlat Hat Lhe To er”, recall wre Ve hofyeck Qa 2./ higher = c ap Wed Y “ght users haavy ULtSData for questions 23-24: Body temperatures (in °F) of a sample of 6 in 8am and midnight. iduals were measured at Individual | Temperature at 8:00am | Temperature at 12:00am \ 1 96.0 98.0 2 96.1 98.6 Me thal 3. 97.6 98. ' ve 4 96.4 98 5 9078. 98.5, ok reclent 6 99.2 975 23. Construct a 90% confidence interyal of the difference between the 8:00am and the 12:00am temperatures.(6ps) If'= f)-l =G-/> & &= Oc l om + Gn Ge Xp t 4 Sp, - {63 + 2015 4b dn )/ G =~ —108 E 1.2/9 = (-2'3 0.8) 24. Based on the confidence interval, is the body temperature significantly different at the two times? Provide your rationale. (spts) No. The bonhadené merval doihams O; Mhere pre , Lp=0 1s G0ns/hif or Plaus/ble tor out gla Page 6Data for problems 25-26: Among 2739 female atom bomb survivors, 1397 developed thyroid diseases. Among 1352 male atom bomb survivors, 436 developed thyroid diseases. 25, Provide a 90% confidence interval for the difference in the rate of thyroid disease among females and males, include an interpretation for your confidence interval. (8pts) 4 , 194) A-p)\)+2Z 1/48 32. Pre Jes (fe Fr) t t Zz Of. Pr fo # 0S, Yn g,) G@) —— Bn da =(0.6/- 0,722) +t pga 051049) , 93221-0229 1352 739 1252 ~ 9322 = ORF tUV.CUS* oO 01s 99698 ) —_——— — O48 E 00M%I5S = $7 (0.62 0.24) We au %% Cuil tht fle sabe 7 oc tease ta Lilien) © lo2 azo! 0289 hae ia felts congaicd! to 26, Based on the confidence interval, is the thyroid disease rate significantly different between males and females. Provide your rationale. (5pts) G2! Sino O mbt tallied bo narwel , thon Pe? Pn a 7 - Pin © lo mbt a Jersouhlr hue G He Puenetes fe Du ae , Page 7Data for problems 27-29: The following scatterplot contains data for global temperature (in °C) and concentration of carbon dioxide (CO: in parts per million) for 10 different years. 27. What kind of relationship do CO2 and temperature have? Be specific. (2pts) phadine Linon Aolslic wblhys 28. What statistic would you used to measure this relationship? What is a reasonable value of that statistic for this plot? (apts) CValetior, patie would A Lot Grech, Ln wot Naat 1 294 0O5- 09 29. Can you say that COa is eausing an increase in global temperature? Why or why not? (2pts) go Cwelatin oly autes adlblede Aer fandetion ~ aie hen oeFor problems 30-35, citcle the appropriate answer. (2pts each) 30. When a 99% confidence interval is calculated instead of a 95% confidence interval, the confidence interval will be b. Smaller c. Thesame . Itcannot be determined. 31. Interval estimates are preferred over point estimates since a confidence level can be specified. Fase 32. When the value of a is increased, the probability of committing a type I error is Increased_) b. Decreased c. Thesame d. None of the above 33. The test value separates the critical region from the noncritical region. 34. When the correlation coefficient is significant, you can assume x causes y. False > ‘True 35. A correlation coefficient of -1 implies a perfect linear relationship between the variables. False ‘True Page 9