personal investing } fund watch
TA South East Asia Equity favours
Singapore and Indonesia
by Lim Siew May
joutheast Asian economies
S: ‘making headlines for
their strong equity gains and
economic growth this year. According
to Standard & Poors, the Asean 5,
which comprises the Philippines,
Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia and
‘Thailand, is expected to register an
as another regional favourite on a
longer-term basis. “With an improved
‘macro and political landscape, we
believe that the country is undergoing
a structural transformation,” he says,
adding that tight fiscal control has
kept Indonesia's deficit consistently
below 2.5% of GDP. “In terms of
capital expenditure, Indonesia stands
‘out as having one of the highest
investment-to-GDP ratios in Asia” he
says. “Also a positive is the country’s
natural advantage of an abundant
supply of commodity resources and
average growth of 7.9% in 1H2010.
TA South East Asia Equity Fund
has generated 74% gains from its |
inception in November 2005 to Sept
‘woe: Main theme forthe Asean
region is that of increasing domestic
30, 2010, and 17.34% gains over the | _uumoton | favourable demographics”
one year ended Sept 30, 2010. "Our | Onthe key risk to the Asean
exposure in the cyclical sectors, management changes by its new markets, Wong says strengthening
such as banking, industrial, energy | CEO, Piyush Gupta, could lead to | currencies may reduce their
and material stocks, did well inan __—_better execution of its corporate | competitiveness, and a possibility
environment of improving economic __ strategy” According to Wong, | of capital controls may result ina
fundamentals and increasing investor __stock ideas are generated primarily disruption in trade,
risk appetite” says Kelvin Wong, through the use of Lion Global filter, ‘The low growth environment in’
external investment manager for containing both fundamental and | the developed markets, particularly
the fund and Lion Global Investors’ valuation screens. “We believe in | the US and Europe, are attracting
‘Malaysia and Philippines country maintaininga strong value discipline, investors to turn to Asia’ higher:
specialist. and aim to buy stocksata prudent _—_—_growth outlook, Wong observes.
Asat Sept 30, the fund was 97% discount to their intrinsic value” | main theme of increasing domestic
invested in Southeast Asian markets) For the region, Wong favours consumption has been driving Asian
‘equities, with more than 40% | Singapore and its government's vision equities, especially in the Asean
allocated to equities in the financial in defining the country asa“Global markets,” he says. “Despite Asean
sector. Banks are favoured asa proxy |_ity’, “The two newly completed ‘economic growth having peaked,
tothe economic cycle. Foreseeing -—~_—_integrated resorts are driving tourist growth going forward is expected to
thata global economic recovery is arrivals he says, adding that recent expand at least in line with its long
in place, the fund seeks to achieve -—=—=smonthly tourist arrivalshave crossed _term trend average, which is better
exposure to the economic recovery, anew milestone of one million. than the global average”
through an overweight investment in Although the main transformational |_—_Valuations are looking a litle
cyclical, balanced by a commitment projects have already opened, there | stretched, Wong admit, but reckons
to high-quality defensives. Low cash are still further phased openings | that it isnt in an unreasonable
positions will be maintained, he adds. that wil be rolled out, he says. territory at this time. “With the
‘One of the fund’ top stock picks Given that the Singapore market | likelihood of an additional monetary
is DBS, forits attractive valuations, has underperformed its Asean peers _|_stimulus in the developed world,
‘Wong says: “The stock is trading at this year, coupled with its relatively which will drive interest rates and
adiscount toits 10-year mean,on |—--undemanding valuation, it maybe currencies in developed markets
both earnings and book value bases” poised to play catch-up, he adds. lower, liquidity should continue to
he says. “Moreover, the ongoing |" He also singles out Indonesia | flow into emerging market bourses”
‘40 PERSONAL MONEY . NovEMBER 2010