Will Covid19 accelerate

digital transition?
• Cedefop skills forecasts
• Online job advertisements LMSInext: from simple
• Digital skills post-Covid19 statistics to advanced
• Making skills intelligence research tools
actionable
Supporting digital
transformation: LMSI and
digital policies
 Digital skills post-Covid 19

Konstantinos Alessandro Matteo Jakub

Pouliakas Vaccarino Sostero Kajtman
(CEDEFOP) (Burning Glass (JRC-Seville) (DG Connect)
Technologies)
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Digital skills, Covid19 and automation:
Evidence from latest Cedefop research
 2020 in skills: Digital on the rise
Skill demand in online job ads: 2020 vs. 2019

Rapid growth Some growth Some decline Rapid decline

Digital Business / Communication / Values / Mechanical /

skills office collaboration / creativity attitudes electrical trades
 Digital skills in jobs: rising, but slowly
Digital skills in occupations: Employment share by ICT tasks importance

Very high

2011 High Average Low Very low

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

2019 High Average Low Very low

Very high
Source: Labour Force Survey and the Eurofound/JRC task framework
 Digital skills gaps: good policies or bad jobs?
Digital skills demand (Risk of) digital skill gap

No ICT

Advanced Advanced
Risk of skill gap
Moderate Moderate Skill gap

Basic Basic

0% 20% 40% 60% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Source: Cedefop 1st European skills and jobs survey
 Automation risk in post-Covid19 job market?
Higher risk Lower risk

Guiding, directing and motivating

14%
Handling and moving objects
subordinates high automation risk;
Communicating with persons
Performing general physical activities
outside the organisation
Updating and using relevant 40% task transformation.
Thinking creatively
knowledge
Establishing and maintaining
Staffing organisational units interpersonal relationships ~40%
Supervise peers or subordinates
of “fully automatable”
Scheduling work and activities
occupations grew in 2013-18
Controlling machines and processes Analysing data or information

Maintaining and repairing Judging the qualities of things, -2%

mechanised equipment services or people
average employment
Operating vehicles, mechanised Making decisions and solving
devices or equipment problems change
Evaluating information to determine Developing and building teams
compliance with standards Key: worker information
Inspecting equipment, structures or Provide consultation and advice to
materials others provision & consultation
Source: Pouliakas (2021) using Cedefop Skills OVATE
 2nd European skills and jobs survey
Digitalisation and skill mismatch
Main research questions: Pillars and conceptual design:

▪ What do people do at work? Digital job Job

skill needs skill needs
▪ Basic or complex digital skills use?

▪ New digital technologies?

New digital technologies
▪ Skill gaps or remedial learning?

Better measurement of: Upskilling vs. routinisation

▪ job-skill requirements
Skill mismatch
▪ skills/learning complexity
Skill gaps / learning Job insecurity
▪ job routinisation vs. upskilling intensity Automation
Job satisfaction
▪ digitalisation / automation Wages
 Effect of new digital technologies on EU workers
EU workers using a main
50-55% computing device (PC, laptop) to
Skill obsolescence
do their job
Automation Outcomes

Skill gap
EU workers who need advanced
11-20% digital skills (database management, More learning
coding, AI) to do their jobs More routine Changing
job tasks
More task variety

EU workers who had to learn new More autonomy

43% digital software or computerised Innovation skills
machinery for their job
Communication skills

Advanced numeracy skills Skill needs

EU workers who learnt such new
52% digital software or computerised
Advanced literacy skills

machinery in less than 5 days 0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

Affected by new digital tech Not affected
Source: Cedefop 2nd ESJS pilot survey N = 1,148
11
 Digital skills or digital workers?
Skills needs of online platform workers
Computer literacy

Analytical skills

Organisational skills

Personal dispositions

Communication skill
Microworkers
"Being an online worker" Online freelancers
Learning skills

Obtaining work on platforms

Foreign languages

Core technical skills

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

Where the Covid-19 impacts the most?

Digital workers?

Digital learners?

Digital citizens?
The European skills and jobs survey
https://www.cedefop.europa.eu/en/events-and-projects/projects/european-skills-and-jobs-survey-esjs

Digitalisation, AI and future of work

https://www.cedefop.europa.eu/en/events-and-projects/projects/digitalisation-and-future-work

Skills in online job advertisements

https://www.cedefop.europa.eu/en/data-visualisations/skills-online-vacancies

Konstantinos Pouliakas Jiri Branka

konstantinos.pouliakas@cedefop.europa.eu jiri.branka@cedefop.europa.eu