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SPAN:

The First
20 Years
By David Adam

Happy anniversary! With little fanfare the CME Group is celebrat-


ing the 20th anniversary of the launch of Standard Portfolio
Analysis of Risk, or SPAN—a methodology for evaluating risk and
calculating margin requirements that revolutionized futures and
options risk management when it was introduced and today
serves as an industry standard around the world.

Over 20 years ago, Rick Kilcollin and ments. They had captured the concept, but services could then apply the data in the
David Emanuel, chief economist and senior their proposal was too complicated for the SPAN file to the portfolio of positions held
economist in the CME research department, bookkeeping services in the mid-1980s. in individual accounts using simpler pro-
respectively, at the time, saw the need to Jerry Roberts, a CME economist, was grams and more understandable processes.
apply the same risk management approach to tasked with strengthening and simplifying This innovation gave the system the flexibil-
options that CME had successfully applied to this risk-based method and making it accept- ity it needed to deliver powerful risk manage-
futures. Options trading was growing rapidly, able to the industry’s back offices. He divided ment in a customer-friendly package.
but methods for calculating margin require- the process into two parts: the option pricing CME then created a cross-functional
ments in use at the time did not do a good job calculations with their complex math, and team to build the new system and sell the
of accurately capturing the true risk for com- the portfolio risk calculations with their basic industry on its merits. Kate Meyer, a key
bined portfolios of futures and options. That arithmetic. The exchange or clearing organ- member of the Clearing Division manage-
was a problem either way. If requirements ization would do the option pricing, and ment team, led the charge, and Ed Gogol,
were too low, they wouldn’t protect the clear- package results into a file called the SPAN software developer, Clearing Division, devel-
ing organization and the clearing firm from risk parameter file, also often referred to sim- oped the original version of the PC program
risk of default. If too high, they would use ply as the SPAN file. The SPAN file would that proved critical to success. CME rolled
capital inefficiently. Kilcollin and Emanuel be freely distributed to clearing firms and the SPAN out for calculating performance bond
proposed a true risk-based method for evalu- broader community of market participants. requirements for CME clearing firms on Dec.
ating a portfolio’s performance bond require- The clearing firms and their bookkeeping 16, 1988. “It was a big job,” recalls Gogol,

32 Futures Industry
now managing director, clearing solutions, For options, these parameters are specified for The data contained in the SPAN file is
“and truly an example of teamwork between the underlying instrument. Then, using par- then applied to particular portfolios—for
design, development, and operations. And if ticular combinations of changes in underlying example, a daily calculation for each cus-
we hadn’t listened to our customers and price and volatility of underlying price, tomer account by a clearing firm. The portfo-
incorporated their feedback, we would have SPAN performs a series of simulations to lio is divided into parts, called “combined
failed.” Roberts agrees: “The industry determine how each particular tradeable commodities”, each of which contains all of
accepted the concept, but they loved the instrument might gain or lose value over a the instruments related to the same ultimate
responsiveness and customer support.” specified time in the future. The set of scenar- underlying—for example, all futures and
“When we first developed SPAN, it was ios which is evaluated for each instrument is options related to the S&P 500 index would
for our own use,” says Gogol. “But other mar- called the risk scenario set, and the results of comprise a single combined commodity. For
kets had the same need, so it was natural for the simulations—a series of simple monetary each combined commodity, the following
us to provide SPAN to other exchanges and gains and losses—are called the risk arrays. steps are then performed:
clearing organizations.” Working through The risk arrays for every contract are • Evaluating the scan risk, in which the data
the Joint Audit Committee, SPAN was packaged into the daily SPAN risk parameter contained in the risk arrays is applied to
adopted over the next few years by all North file, which can be thought of as: a machine- the individual positions, to determine the
American futures markets. From there, readable database of eligible contracts; their maximum likely loss for that particular
SPAN spread to global financial capitals daily settlement prices and other product group of positions;
including London, Paris, Tokyo, Osaka, information; SPAN risk arrays; and all other • Evaluating the calendar spread risk, which
Singapore, Hong Kong, Sydney and many parameters needed by SPAN to calculate tailors additional charges to particular pat-
others. Over the years, SPAN has been margin requirements. Produced at least once terns of positions which may exist across par-
adopted by more than 50 exchanges and per day by every exchange or clearing organ- ticular contract months within the product;
clearing organizations. ization using SPAN, the SPAN file is then • Evaluating the delivery risk, which recog-
CME points to several reasons for distributed freely to market participants. nizes special risks which may be associated
SPAN’s widespread adoption: (1) the with positions in physically-deliverable
methodology itself, in particular its power
and flexibility, (2) the ease with which
SPAN could be implemented, (3) the bene-
fits of standardization, and (4) the software
for SPAN which CME has made available. STANS: OCC’s Model for
The SPAN Methodology Calculating Margin Requirements
Like all methodologies that are part of In 1986, The Options Clearing Corporation developed and distributed Theoretical Intermarket
the of the Value-at-Risk (VAR) family, it’s Margining System, the first portfolio margin system used at a clearinghouse. TIMS, an algorithm for
not really meaningful to ask whether margin calculating portfolio margins and facilitating risk management, addressed shortcomings of the strat-
requirements calculated by SPAN are higher egy-based method by determining the maximum loss associated with an entire portfolio of positions
or lower than those calculated by other given a percentage move in the underlying assets.TIMS is widely used today by derivative exchanges
methods. The results provided by SPAN are and clearing houses for calculating risk-based haircuts and customer portfolio margins.
crucially affected by the inputs provided to More recently, the OCC developed a proprietary risk margining system based on a more mod-
the methodology, and in particular the ern approach to measuring risk. This new approach, which requires more sophisticated statistical
desired degree of risk coverage. The most methods, more complex calculations, and greater computing power than TIMS, addresses certain
important point about SPAN is that, given a shortcomings of the TIMS model, particularly with respect to correlations in price movements and
particular desired degree of risk coverage, it the modeling of extreme events. Implemented in August 2006, System for Theoretical Analysis and
will do a better job of targeting the margin Numerical Simulations (STANS) generates a set of 10,000 hypothetical market scenarios that
requirement to the actual risk of the portfo- incorporate information extracted from the historical behavior of each individual security as well
lio than methodologies which are not portfo- as its relationship to the behavior of other securities. Scenarios are generated for more than 7,000
lio-approach based and risk-based. risk factors, including a broad range of individual equities, exchange-traded funds, stock indices,
For example, CME typically sets SPAN currencies and commodity products.
inputs to cover the maximum likely one-day Although the OCC continues to use TIMS for several risk management functions, it relies on
loss to at least a 95% confidence level, and in STANS for the critically important purpose of assessing clearing member margin requirements.
most cases to a 99% confidence level. Other According to the OCC, the STANS model provides margin calculations that are more precise, more
markets might set the inputs to cover risk to realistic, and more consistent across portfolios, which should improve the financial stability of the
a different confidence level, and some SPAN derivatives markets and produce capital efficiencies beneficial to investors.
users seek to cover the maximum loss over a The OCC is the world’s largest equity derivatives clearing organization. Last year the OCC
two-day or a three-day “look-ahead” period. cleared 2.872 billion options and futures contracts and handled $1.3 trillion in option premiums.
Besides the number of days ahead for Participant exchanges include: American Stock Exchange, Boston Options Exchange, Chicago
which risk is being evaluated, the key inputs Board Options Exchange, International Securities Exchange, NYSE Arca Options, and Philadelphia
to SPAN, for each product, are parameters Stock Exchange. The OCC also serves other markets, including those trading commodity futures,
which specify how much the price might commodity options, and security futures, such as CBOE Futures Exchange, OneChicago and
change over the desired period, and how Philadelphia Board of Trade.—David Adam
much the volatility of that price might vary.

March/April 2008 33
products as they approach or go into their very wide spectrum of derivative and physical a relatively small number of market partici-
delivery process; and product types. Over the years, SPAN has been pants—something which CME does as part
• Evaluating the intercommodity spread extended, generalized, and made very power- of every daily settlement cycle.
credit, which recognizes reductions in risk ful. “We’re now on the fourth generation of the
associated with offsetting positions in dif- SPAN methodology—we call it SPAN 4,” says Ease of Adoption,
ferent products. Gogol, “and we’re working on SPAN 5.” and SPAN Software
The sum of these risk components SPAN is also particularly well-suited for
becomes the SPAN risk requirement for the use in clearing linkages which can reduce Besides its characteristics as a methodol-
combined commodity, except that the value is margin requirements, such as inter-exchange ogy, two factors driving the worldwide adop-
floored at the short option minimum amount, spreading or formal cross-margin agreements. tion of SPAN have been the ease with which
a special process which recognizes risk for deep CME has cross-margin agreements in place an exchange or clearing organization can
out-of-the-money short option positions. The with the Options Clearing Corporation, implement it, and the software which CME
SPAN risk requirements for the different com- Nymex Clearing, LCH.Clearnet and the makes available for SPAN.
bined commodities are then converted to a Fixed Income Clearing Corp. Another As a machine-readable database of product
common currency and summed to yield the SPAN feature worthy of special mention is information, settlement prices, and margin
total requirement for the portfolio. the ability to recognize the higher risk of rates and rules, the daily SPAN file produced
As a methodology, SPAN is applicable to a markets where positions are concentrated in by each SPAN-using exchange and clearing

Scanning a Sample Portfolio


Here is an example of how the Span methodology works in practice. The following 16 scenarios are based on a simple port-
folio of two related positions: one long June 04 Euro FX futures contract and one short June 04 call option on the June 04 Euro
FX futures with a 1.150 strike. Assume that the settlement price on the futures contract was 1.1960, that the futures price scan
range was $2400, equivalent to 192 points, and that the volatility scan range was 1%. Based on these inputs, the system then
evaluates the “scan risk,” which represents the maximum likely loss for this portfolio under various market conditions.

One Short
One Long June on June 04
June 04 1.150 Call
# EuroFX EuroFX Option Portfolio Scenario Description
1 $0 - $130 - $130 Price unchanged; Volatility up the Scan Range
2 $0 $155 $155 Price unchanged; Volatility down the Scan Range
3 $800 - $785 $15 Price up 1/3 the Price Scan Range; Volatility up the Scan Range
4 $800 - $531 $269 Price up 1/3 the Price Scan Range; Volatility down the Scan Range
5 - $800 $500 - $300 Price down 1/3 the Price Scan Range; Volatility up the Scan Range
6 - $800 $815 $15 Price down 1/3 the Price Scan Range; Volatility down the Scan Range
7 $1600 - $1463 $137 Price up 2/3 the Price Scan Range; Volatility up the Scan Range
8 $1600 - $1240 $360 Price up 2/3 the Price Scan Range; Volatility down the Scan Range
9 - $1600 $1102 - $498 Price down 2/3 the Price Scan Range; Volatility up the Scan Range
10 - $1600 $1446 - $154 Price down 2/3 the Price Scan Range; Volatility down the Scan Range
11 $2400 - $2160 $240 Price up 3/3 the Price Scan Range; Volatility up the Scan Range
12 $2400 - $1967 $433 Price up 3/3 the Price Scan Range; Volatility down the Scan Range
13 - $2400 $1674 - $726 Price down 3/3 the the Price Scan Range; Volatility up the Scan Range
14 - $2400 $2043 - $357 Price down 3/3 the Price Scan Range; Volatility down the Scan Range
15 $2304 - $2112 $192 Price up extreme (3 times the Price Scan Range) – Cover 32% of loss
16 - $2304 $1466 - $838 Price down extreme (3 times the Price Scan Range) – Cover 32% of loss

In the sample portfolio above, in scenario 8, the gain on one long June 04 EC futures position offsets the loss of one short
EC June/June 04 1.150 call option position, incurring a gain of $360.
In scenario 16, the portfolio would incur a loss of $838 over the next trading day, which is 32% of the resulting loss if the
price of the underlying future decreases by three times the price scan range.
After SPAN has scanned the different scenarios of underlying market price and volatility changes, it selects the largest loss
among these observations. This “largest reasonable loss” is the scan risk charge. In this example, the largest loss across all
16 scenarios is a result of scenario 16, a loss of $838.

34 Futures Industry
organization becomes an invaluable tool for risk management capabilities. A variety of the one hand, and keeping things simple to
market participants. As the developer of the option pricing calculations can be per- program and easy to understand on the
SPAN methodology, CME makes available to formed, portfolio “greeks” can be evalu- other,” says Gogol. “But today, computers are
the public, without charge, daily SPAN files ated, and what-if scenarios can be defined many times more powerful. And the com-
for most SPAN-using exchanges and clearing and applied. plexity of the derivatives that we have to
organization; in fact, for any SPAN-using • SPAN Risk Manager Clearing provides a process keeps increasing.”
exchange or clearing organization that cares to turn-key implementation of SPAN for use The next generation of SPAN is
transmit their files to CME. “People really look by exchanges and clearing organizations. expected to include increasing the sophisti-
to these files for risk management and other All three products run in the Microsoft cation of recognizing risk offsets between
purposes,” says Gogol. “We get calls from environment, either on workstations or related products, incorporating the effect of
around the world when somebody’s SPAN file servers, and can be operated in any of three volatility changes on a more dynamic basis,
is late getting to our FTP site.” modes: (1) a point-and-click graphical user and adding special processing for more com-
CME makes available three software interface; (2) using a script language, which plex options, such as digitals and barriers.
products for SPAN: PC-SPAN, SPAN Risk makes it easy to automate routine processing CME is not committing to a detailed time-
Manager, and SPAN Risk Manager Clearing, tasks; and (3) using the “real-time compo- frame for SPAN 5. “We’re acutely sensitive
each of which builds upon the capabilities of nent interface”, which allows the SPAN soft- to the magnitude of the investment that
the others: ware to be driven in a high-speed manner clearing firms and software providers have
• PC-SPAN loads SPAN risk parameter suitable for real-time risk-based pre-execu- made in building and enhancing SPAN,”
files, allows users to define portfolios, and tion credit controls. says Gogol. “We’re committed to maintain-
calculate SPAN performance bond “This is the same software we use our- ing SPAN’s high degree of customer friendli-
requirements. Users can then produce a selves,” says Gogol, “both for calculating ness and ease of implementation.” ■
wide variety of reports, and/or export performance bond requirements for our
results to other processes. The most typical clearing firms, and for a wide variety of asso- David Adam is a consultant and freelance writer
use for PC-SPAN is by a market partici- ciated risk management processes such as based in Chicago with 20 years experience in com-
pant wishing to verify the performance stress testing.” modity futures and options clearing/settlement oper-
bond requirements their clearing firm is ations and client services with multiple market users
charging, or to evaluate what the SPAN The Future of SPAN and providers including exchanges, institutional
requirement for a particular portfolio will futures brokers, and proprietary trading groups.
CME says that it is working on SPAN
be. Auditors and regulators also make wide 5—the next generation of the SPAN
use of the program. methodology. “In 1988, SPAN represented a
• SPAN Risk Manager provides generalized balance between theoretical perfection, on

March/April 2008 35

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