Professional Documents
Culture Documents
© 2009
Predicting Pay Quality, Production,
and Long Term Performance
• Log-derived KH rarely works in unconventional reservoirs
– Porosity does not correlate well to permeability
– Pore size and size distribution are needed
– Saturation (or resistivity) may be misleading
– Distribution of phases, wettability, clay morphology (not volume)
may be important
– Small, sparse natural fractures contribute to effective permeability in
tight rock
• Drainage area and EUR can be difficult to predict from short-
term flow data
– Wells can remain in transient flow for years
– Decline curve analysis is not reliable
– Flow barriers can be formed by lithology, saturation, and capillary
effects
© 2009
Comments on Barnett Shale
Experience (Arthur Berman)
• Most reserve predictions based on hyperbolic production decline
methods were too optimistic when compared with production
performance.
• There is little correlation between initial production rates (IP) and
ultimately recoverable reserves (EUR).
• Average well life is much shorter than predicted, and the volume of
the commercially recoverable resource has been greatly over-
estimated
• Core areas of the play do not have appreciably higher average EURs
than the play overall, and the EUR from horizontal wells is not
significantly greater than from vertical wells.
• Finally, average well performance has decreased consistently since
2003 for horizontal wells.
© 2009
Comments on Barnett Shale
Experience (Arthur Berman)
© 2009
Gas Recovery Mechanisms in Coal
© 2009
Porosity of Coals Falls into Two Groups
• Macropores (> 500 Angstroms): Flow capacity but minimal storage
– Space within cleats and natural fractures
– primarily determines the storage capacity for water
– considered to vary between 1-5% of bulk volume
• Micropores (8 to 20 Angstroms)
– Capillaries and cavities of molecular dimensions in the coal matrix
– Essential for gas storage in the adsorbed state
– Gas is adsorbed on particle surface
– 98% of methane is typically adsorbed in the micropores
– Storage capacity is equivalent to
• 20% porosity sandstone of 100% gas saturation @ the same depth
• 1 lb of sample Fruitland coal has an estimated internal surface area of
325,000 to 1,000,000sqft
– A very large volume of methane can be stored in the micropores of coal
despite low porosity in the cleat system.
© 2009
Typical Desorption Isotherm for Coal
© 2009
Coal Permeability Changes with
Pore Pressure Due to Shrinkage
30
Matrix shrinkage: 25
0
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200
Gas Pressure in Cleats,psi
Permeability in shales in also stress dependent, but shale matrix does not shrink
© 2009
Shale-Gas Production
Follows a Similar Model
© 2009
Shale-Gas Content: Free and Adsorbed Gas
© 2009
Flow Through Smooth Surfaced
Fracture, The Cubic Law Equation
6 H∆Pb
3
Q = 5.11x10
Lµ
Q = Flow rate (bbl/day)
H = Height of fracture (ft)
∆P = Pressure differential (psi)
b = Fracture aperture (in)
L = Length of fracture (ft)
µ = Fluid viscosity (cp)
© 2009
Effect of Fractures on System
Permeability for Parallel Flow
100000
10000
Folds of Increase over Matrix Perm
Matrix Perm
1000
K=0.05
K=0.01
K=0.001
K=0.0001
100
10
1
0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00 90.00 100.00
Fracture Spacing, ft
© 2009
Core Permeability
Changes with Stress Cycling
25
20
First Loading
First Unloading
Permeability (µd)
Second Loading
15 Second Unloading
10
0
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000
Net Stress (psi)
Hexane
1 3000
0.1 2000
7% KCl
0.01 1000
0.001 0
0 500 1000 1500 2000
Time, min
Damaged Formation
Fracture
Both allow 100 fold reduction in perm with no loss of stimulation benefit
© 2009
Matrix Fluid Invasion for Cvc Control
(no filtercake)
100
10
Leakoff Invasion Distance, inches
K=0.1 mD
K=0.01 mD
0.1
K=0.001 mD
K=1e-9 D
0.01
0.001
0.0001
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500
Minutes of Leakoff © 2009
Capillary Face Discontinuities or
“Capillary End-Effect”
A buildup of water saturation at any capillary discontinuity or interface.
No-Flow No-Flow
Low Pc Low Pc
Areas of low porosity, high capillary pressure
Fracture or wellbore pressure under drawdown
© 2009
Capillary Effects in Circular Tubes
σCosθ At equilibrium Force Up =
σ Force Down
r
ForceUp = 2π rσCosθ
ForceDown = π r 2 ∆ρgh
h θ
2π rσCosθ 2σCosθ
Pc = = and
πr 2
r
π r 2 ∆ρh g g c g
Pc = = ∆ρh
πr 2
gc
Capillary Rise of
a Wetting Phase © 2009
Capillary Pressure and Frontal
Advance Rate
2σCosθ r ∆P
2
Pc = V =
r 4 µ∆L
© 2009
Capillary Controlled Displacement:
Drainage
© 2009
Capillary Controlled Displacement:
Drainage
© 2009
Capillary Controlled Displacement:
Drainage
© 2009
Capillary Controlled Displacement:
Drainage
© 2009
Capillary Controlled Displacement:
Drainage
Pressure
Pg-Pw=Pc
© 2009
Distance
20/40 Sandpack De-Watering
with N2 Gas
Flow Direction
Elapsed
Time
39:15
42:50
45:20
50:10
55:35
© 2009
20/40 Sandpack De-Watering
Flow Direction
Elapsed
Time
58:10
60:45
63:00
66:35
73:50
6/15/07
83:25
© 2009
What causes capillary saturation
blockage after breakthrough?
Pc
E
Pc2
Pressure
Pg-Pw=Pc Pc
1
Distance 1 .
0
Outside the reservoir the capillary pressure Sw
approaches zero as radius of curvature of
the gas bubble or oil droplet increases. © 2009
Drainage and Imbibition Residual
Saturations at Capillary Equilibrium
1.0
krg
Capillary Pressure
Relative Perm
krw
0
0 Water Saturation, Sw 1.0
Swc Sgt © 2009
Typical Tight Sand and Shale Pore Sizes
© 2009
Capillary Threshold Pressure for
Various Fluid Systems
100000
10000
1000
Capillary Threshold Pressure, psi
100
PC, gas-wtr
PC, gas-oil
10
PC, surf
PC, ca
0.1
0.01
0.001
0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000
Pore Radius, microns
© 2009
What Kind of Frac Do We Need?
• Single planar frac
– Limited surface area
– All flow passes through a small channel
– Requires high conductivity
– Production dependent on frac conductivity and
reservoir perm
• Complex (shear) fracture network
– Large surface area exposed
– May not be able to connect and drain entire network
(load recovery experience)
– Fracture conductivity may be less important (except
near the well, but must be measurable)
– Production dependent on effective surface area
(diffusion dominated)
© 2009
Fracture Complexity in Shales
1500
All Microseisms
Simple Fracture Complex Fracture
1000 ~2700 ft
500
Frac
Northing (ft)
0 Well
-500 ~1200 ft
Possible
Complex Fracture Complex Fracture -1000
With Fissure Opening Network Aligned
Features
-1500
Observation Well
-2000
-1000 -500 0 500 1000 1500
Easting (ft)
© 2009
What is Stimulated Reservoir Volume
(SRV)?
• SPE 119890: M.J. Mayerhofer, E.P. Lolon, N.R. Warpinski, C.L. Cipolla, D.
Walser, Pinnacle and C.M. Rightmire, Forrest A. Garb and Associates
– Stimulated reservoir volume is the bulk volume of rock affected by
microseismic activity
– The model assumes a dual-porosity Warren-Root type model with a lattice of
fractures surrounding matrix blocks
– All fractures are assumed to be conductive and interconnected to the
wellbore
– All exposed block surface feed to the fracture network
• Barree and Gilbert approach (this course)
– Enhanced permeability region around primary induced fractures caused by
secondary shear and tensile failures
– Contributing volume is not directly related to microseismic activity
– Not all fractures remain open or conductive
– System behaves as a limited volume with effectively increased single-porosity
flow capacity
© 2009
Basis of SRV (SPE 119890)
• MS mapping shows large fracture networks in shales
• Early work (Fisher et al. 2004) hypothesized a correlation
between network size and production
– Large treatment volume generates larger network
– Larger network yields larger stimulated reservoir volume
– Larger SRV leads to higher production
• In shales, MS event cloud width approximates the network
size
– SRV is proportional to the created gross network size
– This is Not equal to the effectively producing SRV
– no information on frac density (spacing) provided by MS data
• Potential approaches for effective SRV:
– Geophysical (seismic moment=strength; Maxwell et al. 2006)
– Reservoir modeling (Mayerhofer et al. 2006)
© 2009
Estimating SRV from MS Events
(SPE 119890)
400
500
600
700
800
900
000
100
200
300
400
500
700
800
0
0
Map View
Side View © 2009
Reservoir Modeling:
MS-SRV & Frac Spacing
• Each matrix block has a
106 ft3
SRV=2,000 x
small storage volume and
expansive energy
Xf
component
• As spacing decreases, the
Xn After 1 Year Production rate at which the matrix
block drains must
increase
• In Warren-Root models
the fractures blow down
very fast, depending on
the relative volume of
fractures and matrix
© 2009
Total Exposed Formation Length from
SRV and Fracture Spacing
1000000
Total Fracture Face Length, ft
100000 10
30
50
100
150
200
250
10000 300
4 x f xn
L ftotal = + 2 x f + xn
∆xs
1000
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
Effective Frac Half-Length, ft
© 2009
Enhanced Permeability Model
© 2009
Enhanced Permeability Model
• The enhanced region has been disturbed by generation of
secondary tensile and shear fractures
• Average permeability may be increased by 10-1000 fold
• Volume of enhanced region remains constant and may be
small (10-100 acres)
• Storage volume of original perm may be large (200-1000
acres) but feeds in slowly
• Both regions are assumed to produce through the wellbore
via the primary fracture and lateral well and contribute
continuously
• The enhanced perm region, if small, will deplete rapidly and
the storage volume will support long-term flow
© 2009
How do Real Wells Respond?
• One of the primary goals of this discussion is to
analyze real field data to see how actual wells
respond
• How can the SRV or enhanced perm region be
quantified
– Permeability ratio
– Area ratio
• How can lateral length and stimulation design be
optimized for maximum economic value?
– Lateral length effects
– Lateral azimuth
– Spacing of frac stages
– Size of each frac stage and required conductivity
© 2009