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    Essai no 2

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    16 views7 pages

    Essai No 2

    Uploaded by

    AkmalHafidz

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    of 7

    Diketahui :

    Pandemic Best Case


    Unit Price Rp 500 25%
    Variable Cost Rp 400 -25%
    Fixed Cost Rp 18,000 -25%
    Unit sales 1000 25%

    Outlay Rp 300,000
    Expected life 5
    Salvage value Rp 50,000
    NOWC Rp 25,000
    Depreciation Rp 50,000
    Rate of return 14%
    Tax Rate 30%

    Base Case
    Unit price Rp 500
    Units 1000
    Variable cost (per unit) Rp 400
    Cash fixed cost Rp 18,000
    0 1
    Revenue Rp 500,000
    less : COGS Rp 400,000
    Gross Profit Rp 100,000
    Inflow : Cash Operating Cost Rp 18,000
    Outflow : Depreciation Rp 50,000
    Net Operating Income Rp 32,000
    less : taxes Rp 9,600
    NOPAT Rp 22,400
    plus : depreciation Rp 50,000
    Increase : CAPEX Rp 300,000 Rp -
    Increase : NOWC Rp 25,000 Rp -
    Free Cash Flow -Rp 325,000 Rp 72,400
    NPV -Rp 37,492
    IRR 10%

    Best Case
    Unit price Rp 625
    Units 1250
    Variable cost (per unit) Rp 300
    Cash fixed cost Rp 13,500
    0 1
    Revenue Rp 781,250
    less : COGS Rp 375,000
    Gross Profit Rp 406,250
    Inflow : Cash Operating Cost Rp 13,500
    Outflow : Depreciation Rp 50,000
    Net Operating Income Rp 342,750
    less : taxes Rp 102,825
    NOPAT Rp 239,925
    plus : depreciation Rp 50,000
    Increase : CAPEX Rp 300,000 Rp -
    Increase : NOWC Rp 25,000 Rp -
    Free Cash Flow -Rp 325,000 Rp 289,925
    NPV Rp 709,289
    IRR 86%

    Worst
    Unit price Rp -
    Units 0
    Variable cost (per unit) Rp -
    Cash fixed cost Rp -
    0 1
    Revenue Rp -
    less : COGS Rp -
    Gross Profit Rp -
    Inflow : Cash Operating Cost Rp -
    Outflow : Depreciation Rp 50,000
    Net Operating Income -Rp 50,000
    less : taxes Rp -
    NOPAT -Rp 50,000
    plus : depreciation Rp 50,000
    Increase : CAPEX Rp 300,000 Rp -
    Increase : NOWC Rp 25,000 Rp -
    Free Cash Flow -Rp 325,000 Rp -
    NPV -Rp 286,047
    IRR -25%
    Rp 625
    Rp 300
    Rp 13,500
    1250

    2 3 4 5 6
    Rp 500,000 Rp 500,000 Rp 500,000 Rp 500,000 Rp -
    Rp 400,000 Rp 400,000 Rp 400,000 Rp 400,000 Rp -
    Rp 100,000 Rp 100,000 Rp 100,000 Rp 100,000 Rp -
    Rp 18,000 Rp 18,000 Rp 18,000 Rp 18,000 Rp -
    Rp 50,000 Rp 50,000 Rp 50,000 Rp 50,000 Rp -
    Rp 32,000 Rp 32,000 Rp 32,000 Rp 32,000 Rp -
    Rp 9,600 Rp 9,600 Rp 9,600 Rp 9,600 Rp -
    Rp 22,400 Rp 22,400 Rp 22,400 Rp 22,400 Rp -
    Rp 50,000 Rp 50,000 Rp 50,000 Rp 50,000 Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp 50,000 Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp 25,000 Rp -
    Rp 72,400 Rp 72,400 Rp 72,400 Rp 147,400 Rp -

    2 3 4 5 6
    Rp 781,250 Rp 781,250 Rp 781,250 Rp 781,250 Rp -
    Rp 375,000 Rp 375,000 Rp 375,000 Rp 375,000 Rp -
    Rp 406,250 Rp 406,250 Rp 406,250 Rp 406,250 Rp -
    Rp 13,500 Rp 13,500 Rp 13,500 Rp 13,500 Rp -
    Rp 50,000 Rp 50,000 Rp 50,000 Rp 50,000 Rp -
    Rp 342,750 Rp 342,750 Rp 342,750 Rp 342,750 Rp -
    Rp 102,825 Rp 102,825 Rp 102,825 Rp 102,825 Rp -
    Rp 239,925 Rp 239,925 Rp 239,925 Rp 239,925 Rp -
    Rp 50,000 Rp 50,000 Rp 50,000 Rp 50,000 Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp 50,000 Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp 25,000 Rp -
    Rp 289,925 Rp 289,925 Rp 289,925 Rp 364,925 Rp -

    2 3 4 5 6
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp 50,000 Rp 50,000 Rp 50,000 Rp 50,000 Rp -
    -Rp 50,000 -Rp 50,000 -Rp 50,000 -Rp 50,000 Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    -Rp 50,000 -Rp 50,000 -Rp 50,000 -Rp 50,000 Rp -
    Rp 50,000 Rp 50,000 Rp 50,000 Rp 50,000 Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp 50,000 Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp 25,000 Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp 75,000 Rp -
    7 8 9 10
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -

    7 8 9 10
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -

    7 8 9 10
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Rp - Rp - Rp - Rp -
    Outlay Rp 300,000

    Being well probability 40% Revenue Rp 781,250


    Pandemic probability 60% Revenue Rp 500,000
    Discount 14%
    Penambahan outlet 3

    NPV
    Being well probability Rp 5,280,357
    Worst probability Rp 3,271,429

    Expected NPV Rp 10,411,429

    W/o expand Rp 4,075,000

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