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Chapter 11

Technology Opportunities:
Evaluating the Idea
Craig Shimasaki, PhD, MBA
CEO, BioSource Consulting Group and Moleculera Labs, Oklahoma City, OK, United States

Chapter Outline
Sources of Biotechnology Product Ideas 152 Is Product Development Feasible Using Today’s
Research to Commercialization Chasm 152 Knowledge and Systems? 157
Technology Transfer Offices Manage Large Portfolios of Is This a Single Product or a Core/Platform Technology
Intellectual Property 152 with Multiple Products? 157
So Why the Gap? 153 Evaluate the Product’s Market Potential in the Best
Experimental Paths: Basic Research Versus Translational Market Application 158
Research 154 The Technology Must be Directed Toward a Market
Technology is a Solution Seeking a Problem to Solve 154 With the Greatest Unmet Need 158
How to Determine if a Product Concept is Worth Pursuing Is There Market Demand That Is Not Met or Addressed
as a Company 155 with Substitutes? 159
Three Initial Criteria for Assessing Technology Product How Big is the Estimated Market for This Product? 159
Opportunities 155 Don’t be too far Ahead of the Market Need 159
Initial Assessment Criteria for Technology and Product Is the Target Market Highly Competitive With Minimal
Concepts 155 Differentiation Between Products? 160
Evaluate the Underlying Science and the Technology Team 155 Is there a Reimbursement Pathway for the Product
The Quality of the Underlying Science is Foundational 156 that is Readily Available and Accessible? 160
The Quality of the Researcher and the Technical Team 157 The People Factor 160
Be Sure the Underlying Biology of a Disease or Condition What to do Next? 161
is Sufficiently Understood 157 Summary 161
Reference 161

Entrepreneurs in the biotechnology industry build compa- product concept. The information in this chapter will pro-
nies based upon novel technologies that yield products vide you with a framework to more effectively evaluate
they believe will be successful in providing value to a new product technology ideas and understand how to
specific group of individuals. There are also venture capi- assess their likelihood for future commercial success. If
tal firms that have a specific focus on identifying novel you are an entrepreneur who is looking to license technol-
technologies in which they utilize to form start-up compa- ogy from an academic institution, or if you are a professor
nies themselves. How do they choose which technology or postdoc wanting to know whether your discoveries are
concepts and product ideas may be destined for success, viable for starting a company and developing a desirable
and which ones to reject because they may not be future product, this chapter is for you. If you are working in an
winners? The answer to this question is important for academic technology transfer office (TTO), this informa-
entrepreneurs, company leaders, and managers when tion will help you evaluate the potential opportunities you
determining which ideas have the best opportunity for have in the pipeline and recognize which ones may, and
success. These decisions have long-term impact because a may not be strong enough to go very far.
group of individuals will then commit an enormous When one evaluates technology, an internal analysis
amount of time and resources to the development of this must take place to determine whether or not the

Biotechnology Entrepreneurship. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-815585-1.00011-5


Copyright © 2020 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. 151
152 SECTION | IV The Innovative Technology Component

technology product concept is more than just a good Research to Commercialization Chasm
research project but has potential as a valuable product.
Any technology evaluation process must include an exam- A great chasm exists between the large body of excellent
ination of the soundness of the science, an appraisal of research conducted within the laboratories of academic
the supporting scientific and medical literature, and an and research institutions, and the translation of these ideas
evaluation of the scientific and technical team who will into commercial products. One reason for this chasm is
be participating in the early development of the product. that basic research expertise and commercialization
If the underlying technology and product concept is not expertise are segmented, and the interface between these
sound, no amount of marketing, capital, and team talent expertise holders is rarely linked. While the best scientific
can overcome flawed science. The research and discover- research is most often conducted at top-notch academic
ies that support the product concept must be able to stand and research institutions, the finest product development
up to criticism, naysayers, and pessimists, all of whom work is most often performed in the commercial enter-
predictably appear when individuals move forward with a prises. These entities operate independently of each other
new idea. In order to complete a technology assessment, and rarely overlap in any cross-functional way, and cer-
it must also include more than just an examination of the tainly not on a frequent basis. Due to this segmentation of
technology and the research team. Once the underlying expertise, knowledge and ability, academic institutions
science is validated, before proceeding further, one must may have as much as 75% 80% of their entire patent
also evaluate whether or not this product concept will sat- portfolio sitting on their shelves with no commercial
isfy an unmet market need. entity showing interest in these assets. During this time,
these institutions pay patent prosecution fees on pending
applications and maintenance fees, translation fees, and
Sources of Biotechnology Product Ideas taxes on intellectual property (IP) that remains on shelves
The majority of innovative biotechnology products can be unrecognized and unlicensed.
traced back to basic research that began at an academic or Due to this chasm and the abundance of technology
research institution over the course of several years, possi- opportunities, academic and research institutions are the
bly decades. If you examine the original source of most best places for entrepreneurs to uncover myriads of great
successful biotechnology products, you will find that the ideas for future biotechnology products. For those inter-
vast majority of them originated from the basic research ested in pursuing a path of biotechnology entrepreneur-
conducted by a scientist, professor, physician, or engineer ship, one great way to “discover” potential product ideas
at an academic or research institution. This is true because is to talk with the staff and management in TTOs at vari-
a fundamental goal of institutional research is the acquisi- ous academic and research institutions, including federal
tion and discovery of new knowledge. Basic and aca- laboratories. There you can find some of the best life sci-
demic research focuses on exploring new ideas, testing ence, agricultural, and biofuel research being conducted.
new concepts, and better understanding previously These institutions have numerous product opportunities
unknown processes in biology, science, and engineering. for entrepreneurs who have the skill, seasoned experience,
Unfortunately, for the commercially minded, academic and drive to forge company opportunities based upon
research objectives rarely include product development or these technology and product concepts. When approach-
commercialization goals. As you will learn in the subse- ing a TTO, be sure to define the technology areas or mar-
quent chapters about licensing and technology transfer ket opportunities you are interested in and the fields
processes at universities, increased efforts are being made where you believe you can recruit experienced help for
to advance basic research ideas toward the early stages of your product development.
product development while they are still at these institu-
tions. Nevertheless, academic and research institutions do
Technology Transfer Offices Manage Large
not typically possess the depth of expertise in biotechnol-
Portfolios of Intellectual Property
ogy product development and often are not well equipped
or experienced in assessing the potential for which tech- Although every academic and research institution and fed-
nology concepts may become blockbuster products. Very eral laboratory will admit that a chasm exists, it is not
few products have been fully developed within academic necessarily because the TTOs are not actively soliciting
and research institutions. This is because their goals are potential suitors for their portfolio assets. Stanford
not the same as in industry, and they possess limited University owns the IP that became “Google” and in the
experience in moving product concepts efficiently to early days attempted to out-license this IP to many of the
product development and precommercialization proto- web companies over a period of time. The inventors, then
types. As a result, many good technology product con- graduate students, Sergey Brin, and Larry Page, were
cepts accumulate but lay dormant at these institutions. completing their PhD work and realized that none of the
Technology Opportunities: Evaluating the Idea Chapter | 11 153

likely industry players were interested enough to license to quickly and economically license a technology
the IP. These inventors decided to commercialize the from the institution.
technology if no one else would. The TTO said that they 2. The most likely licensee organizations for these patent
were willing to grant a license, but they felt that the pair assets may not be interested in acquiring outside tech-
did not really know much about commercialization. These nology because they have already devoted internal
two nascent entrepreneurs learned some things along the research and development (R&D) resources toward
way, and we all know the rest of the story. internal projects that already address their market
Licensing offices at research and academic institutions interest.
are recognizing what methods work most effectively for 3. Industry executives may not be aware of the diversity
out-licensing more of their technology assets. Stanford is of IP opportunities available in academic, research,
one of the more prolific institutions in successfully licens- and federal laboratories, or they may not be willing to
ing its technology and IP to commercial entities. It is pay a license or royalty on future products that their
interesting to note that Stanford’s Office of Technology company would commercialize.
Licensing (OTL) employs mostly technical staff with 4. The IP assets are based upon excellent technology
backgrounds in industry and often individuals with MBA. concepts but the product application chosen and tested
The J.D.’s they have on staff appear to be managing con- by the scientist, engineer, or physician is not the ideal
tracts rather than negotiating licenses. It has been said of market opportunity due to existing competitive pro-
the Stanford’s OTL office that while outside legal counsel ducts in that market.
is available, such oversight is not required if an agreement 5. The TTO has the bulk of their resources focused on
does not deviate from the university’s standard practices prosecuting patents filed with the Patent and
of granting no warranty on an invention and total indem- Trademark Office and they have limited resources
nification by the licensee. Ms. Katherine Ku has been the remaining to find and solicit licensees for the IP tech-
director of the OTL since 1992. She came from a small nology they have.
biotechnology company, and most of her associates have 6. The TTO may not have the resources or budget appro-
similar backgrounds. She has been quoted as saying, “We priations to hire the type of staff with the skills and
feel we are a marketing office, not a legal office.” The expertise, or their current staff may not have the lib-
technical background and training of her staff have been erty to effectively negotiate deal structures that would
effective in negotiating licensing agreements because suc- attract the type of licensee partners needed for their
cessful negotiations require an understanding of the tech- assets.
nology. Several video lectures are available on the 7. Many first-time entrepreneurs who may be interested in
Stanford eCorner, which are helpful for other TTOs look- the IP assets do not have the skill set and experience to
ing for help in building a successful TTO model.1 proceed with commercialization and may not demon-
In an article by Fisher [1] about TTOs, Jeffrey strate enough know-how for the institution to confi-
Labovitz, who was the acting director of technology dently license the technology to these individuals.
licensing at the University of California at San Francisco
Due to these and other issues, the chasm remains.
at that time, said, “A lot of technology-transfer offices are
However, more TTOs are working to address these issues
built around patent attorneys, and they lead with the
and facilitate the licensing of more of their IP assets to
agreement, as opposed to the deal, so it is very hard for
the best suitors. The issues still remain, so the commercial
them to negotiate. Deal-making is very much a creative
entities and entrepreneurial teams must avail themselves
endeavor, so the more you know about the variables, the
to these untapped opportunities because they possess the
more creative you can be.”
greatest ability to commercialize products from these IP
assets. Together, the academic institutions and commer-
cial entities and entrepreneurial teams must develop
So Why the Gap?
financial models that make licensing IP assets a viable
I believe that there are many reasons for the accumulation alternative to conducting all of their own internal R&D. It
of IP at academic and research institutions in addition to is also helpful for entrepreneurs who are seeking to
those we have discussed. These include the following: license technology from a particular institution to become
acquainted with the individuals who are responsible for
1. Seasoned entrepreneurs who possess the ability to
licensing technology. It is equally important for the poten-
build a company around a technology may shy away
tial licensee to outline their product development plans
from licensing an academic institution’s IP because of
for the TTO as to how they intend to move a licensed
the perceived, or real, issues that hamper their ability

1. ,https://ecorner.stanford.edu/. [accessed 12.02.19].


154 SECTION | IV The Innovative Technology Component

product concept toward commercialization. There are academic research has uncovered a new biological mecha-
plenty of good product ideas waiting for good homes, and nism of action, ask youself the question, what potential
TTOs will be receptive to hearing from entrepreneurs applications would this mechanism-of-action have in
who have credible commercialization experience and other disease conditions, diagnostics, or new medical
strategies. devices? In other words, what other applications can this
discovery be applied toward?
Although all academic universities and research insti-
Experimental Paths: Basic Research tutions have large IP portfolios that are idle, the research
versus Translational Research that underlies this IP is not necessarily idle. It is the com-
mercial development of the product that is idle because
It is important to recognize that research conducted at the scientist or the professor will likely continue their
academic research institutions by nature has a different focus on more basic research to uncover new discoveries
goal than translational research performed at a biotechnol- and to better understand the science. This is where crea-
ogy company. Academic research is performed for the tive and experienced biotechnology entrepreneurs come
purpose of gaining new knowledge, publishing discover- in. There are vast technology opportunities housed within
ies, and securing grants to support further research. great academic institutions awaiting entrepreneurs who
Whereas, the translational research conducted at compa- have the creative skill, technical expertise, and market
nies is to develop a useful product. To casual observers, understanding to develop desperately needed products.
academic research experiments can appear, on the surface, This academic research resource can be a treasure chest
identical to the translational research in commercial labo- laden with valuable future biotechnology products (see
ratories. However, the basic research and translational (or Table 11.1).
applied) research programs differ markedly in their deci-
sions on the types of experiments to be conducted and the
time spent on a particular experimental direction. For Technology Is a Solution Seeking a
instance, in basic and academic research, a team may dis-
cover a new mechanism for cell signaling that triggers a
Problem to Solve
unique inflammatory response. Future research choices by Successful biotechnology entrepreneurs appreciate great
the academic research scientists may include identifying scientific research, but what they keenly understand is
the receptor, determining the crystal structure and protein that technology is simply a solution seeking an important
sequence, elucidating the triggering mechanism for stimu- problem to solve. If the problem that the technology can
lation, and uncovering the precise stepwise cascade solve is extremely significant, there will be great interest
involved in this inflammatory process. However, the ulti- from customers if this is a truly unmet need. If the prob-
mate experiments for industry researchers would be to lem this technology solves is minor and insignificant,
screen chemical compounds that inhibit this inflammatory there will be limited customer interest. Most people are
process for the development of drugs to treat rheumatoid amazed by the remarkable advances achieved in any field
arthritis or other inflammatory conditions. The industry of technology. Moreover, it is true that sophisticated,
researchers conduct similar types of experiments as aca- leading-edge technology can enamor us with its novelty,
demic researchers, but the underlying purpose is differ- complexity, and the amazing things that it can achieve.
ent—whereas they can use this knowledge to ultimately However, entrepreneurs must be cautious not to be overly
produce a product. Due to the difference in goals, the charmed by the technology and forget that the most criti-
entrepreneurial team or evaluator of a technology must cal aspect of any product’s value is the problem that it
see beyond the actual experiments and look for the best solves. It is helpful to keep this in perspective by realizing
commercial application of this research. For instance, if that the customer is not principally interested in the

TABLE 11.1 Basic research versus translational research.

Basic research Translational research

Driven by Curiosity and questions Developing useful products or services

Motivated by Expanding and acquiring knowledge Solving practical problems

Questions answered How things work, why things work What inventions can be made with this knowledge
Technology Opportunities: Evaluating the Idea Chapter | 11 155

technology or scientific method of how their problem is delivered. However, scientific assessment by itself will
solved, just that your product delivered its promise and not predict the likelihood of product success. One must
their problem is solved. also evaluate the market potential of a product in order to
determine if it has a basis for a viable business. Initially,
the following criteria should be evaluated when consider-
How to Determine if a Product Concept ing a product concept or a technology license from an
is Worth Pursuing as a Company academic institution. The evaluation of future product
concepts must not end with only these two criteria but
There are many technology projects that are worthy of incorporate additional factors such as the company busi-
consideration. These projects usually have a product con- ness model and the five criteria for assessing a company,
cept in mind that may have some value. However, the which are discussed in Chapter 12: Understanding
entrepreneur must determine if this is simply an interest- Biotechnology Business Models and Managing Risk.
ing research project or can this product idea establish the However, these criteria should serve as the basis for the
basis for a viable company. A research project will be initial assessment of the science and product concept.
considered successful if the research idea is novel and the
technology is interesting enough to be funded. These cri-
Initial Assessment Criteria for Technology and
teria are not enough to consider a company successful.
Although the company’s product development must also Product Concepts
be funded, the resulting product must also provide enough 1. Evaluate the underlying science and the technology.
value to a target market of customers such that they 2. Evaluate the product’s market potential for the best
would gladly purchase it and use it. Regrettably, some market application.
young biotechnology companies are founded with the 3. Evaluate the people factor (see Fig. 11.1).
belief that success will follow if the research idea is novel
and the technology is interesting enough to be funded.
The criterion used for determining a successful research
Evaluate the Underlying Science and the
project is not the same criterion required for building a Technology Team
successful company. Research projects are considered What aspects of the science and technology make it worth
successful if they achieve their intended specific aims, creating a company to support the development of this
whereas companies are only successful if they produce
products that are successful in the market—these ultimate
goals are different. The decision for the biotech entrepre-
neur is to carefully assess the product idea and determine
whether it is simply a good research project or if it can
become a great company. Properly assessing the technol-
ogy is critical as once this is done the technology will-
move into product development, which will either result
in “doing things right” or “doing the right things.” In eople
The p
other words a company can be established upon any fa tor
c
research project concept, but if the resulting product idea
has limited market value, no amount of “right” method
development or “right” project planning can solve the
t
absence of a true market need for the product. arke
uct m
Prod tential
po
Three Initial Criteria for Assessing Technology
Product Opportunities
The biotech entrepreneur must carefully evaluate (1) the g
rlyin
underlying science, (2) the future product concept and the Unde ce
best market application, and (3) the people factor, which scien
will be discussed at the end of this chapter. A scientific
assessment of the technology is the first critical step, and
it is the foundation upon which a future company will be
built. If the science is not sound then no matter how great FIGURE 11.1: Three initial assessment criteria when evaluating tech-
the market interest is for such a product, it cannot be nology product concepts for licensing.
156 SECTION | IV The Innovative Technology Component

product idea? I believe that there are several qualities that greatly criticized for his theory and his experiments that
help determine a technology’s viability as a product con- were later proved to be true, and he received the Nobel
cept. These include Prize in 1997. When peptic ulcers were proposed to be
G
caused by bacteria, there were challenges in the medical
the quality of the underlying research and the technical
and scientific community until enough scientific evidence
team involved;
G
supported this theory leading to the ultimate identification
the breadth of scientific information understood
of Helicobacter pylori, the causative bacterial agent.
about the disease or condition, or the biological
Although countercurrent research arises, most ideas and
certainty of the targeted application for the product;
G
scientific concepts are built upon stepwise and incremen-
whether or not the product is capable of being devel-
tal research advancements expanded from previous dis-
oped within the knowledge and systems available
coveries in science, biology, medicine, engineering, or
today; and
G
physics.
whether this is a single product idea or a platform
When conducting a review of the scientific research,
technology with multiple future product applications.
be sure to meet with the researchers and inventors them-
selves to assess the confidence they have in their research
conclusions. Ask them about any conflicting research
The Quality of the Underlying Science Is
studies and whether the science has a controversial nature,
Foundational
and if so, what aspects. You can gain valuable insights by
A thorough evaluation of the quality of the science and talking with them about their research. Another good way
the underlying research is critical before making a deci- to assess the quality of the scientific research is to request
sion to license or move forward with any product concept. to read any grant applications that resulted in awards to
Know that a major portion of a biotechnology company’s the researchers. Moreover, find out how many grants and
early value is based on the science that underlies the granting agencies have funded their research. Having
product concept and the credentials of the inventors been awarded multiple federal grants is a good indicator
and researchers of the technology. Consequently, if the that both the researcher and the research are respected by
science is mediocre, the company will not have much their peers. In addition to the scientific review and meet-
value. If the science is top tier, then the company will ing with the researchers, for medical products, you should
be perceived to possess a great asset. As the company have discussions with academic and medical opinion lea-
achieves and reaches product development milestones, ders who would be prescribing, testing with, or utilizing
additional value is apportioned to the company based the proposed product. If the proposed product is in the
upon the increased likelihood that the product will be agricultural biotechnology industry, ask farmers, consu-
commercialized. mers, and regulatory agencies for their impressions of
One good method to assess the quality of the science such a product idea. Key opinion leaders’ impressions of
is by reviewing published articles about the research in a new product concept can impact the receptivity by
peer-reviewed journals. The originating scientist, engi- others in the industry. Be sure to assess the receptivity of
neer, or physician can provide you with some references the key opinion leaders when making a technology
to begin your search. You do not need to be an expert in assessment.
this research, but you do need to be able to glean whether If you are the inventor and you are also considering
or not the conclusions are supported by the basic tenets of being the future entrepreneur, it is too difficult to objec-
the underlying research. It is also important to conduct a tively assess your own technology, so the best advice is to
literature search for other researchers working in this get assistance in obtaining an unbiased opinion about the
field, as you may also find out whether others are further technical merits of your research leading to your envi-
ahead, or if they have disproved the research conclusions. sioned product. Most researchers tend to not be as critical
Find out to what extent others cite this inventor’s research of their own research as others may be, so it is advisable
papers and whether or not the conclusions are generally to recruit the help of others for feedback. If the research
believed and supported by others. One noteworthy point is performed at an academic or research institution, it is
is that any new research concept that is a sharp departure possible that your TTO may have conducted some type of
from previous understanding is often resisted by others technology evaluation when they were preparing inven-
until enough research is published, and many researchers tion disclosures or patent applications. If the institution
are working in this field. When new or “radical” concepts does not have this type of assessment available, find a
are proposed in science, if they go against current under- business person, consultant, or even another entrepreneur
standing, they most often will meet resistance. This was in a similar biotech sector who would be willing to assess
true for Stanley Prusiner and his proposed existence of the merit and likelihood of the research resulting in a via-
nongenetic infectious agents called “prions.” He was ble product. This can help you decide whether or not to
Technology Opportunities: Evaluating the Idea Chapter | 11 157

pursue the product concept, modify the product concept, the early 1980s, the infectious cycle of the virus and
or obtain a license for the technology. knowledge of immunology were not totally understood.
As the mechanism of the HIV infectious cycle and its
evasion of the immune system were elucidated, better and
The Quality of the Researcher and the
more effective treatments were developed. At the outset
Technical Team
of any technology endeavor, you want to start with rea-
Great scientific research is associated with talented sonable certainty that the future product is directed
researchers who are of high caliber and respected in the against the underlying pathway of the disease or
scientific community. Typically, they will also have tal- condition.
ented technicians, postdocs, and other researchers work-
ing in their laboratories. Practically speaking, the science Is Product Development Feasible Using Today’s
and the scientists are not mutually exclusive. In other
Knowledge and Systems?
words, talented scientists tend to conduct impressive
research. When you assess the science, you should also Often a biotechnology product idea may appear initially
assess the quality of the research team who developed the intriguing, but as you delve deeper into the science and
underlying technology that supports the product concept technology, you may uncover systems or methodology
you are considering. Often a good way to assess the team challenges that must also be overcome before the product
is to have face-to-face discussions, but when that is not can be developed. For instance, oral administration of
possible, be sure to have plenty of telephone or video/ peptide and protein-based drugs are typically degraded in
Internet-based communications before making a decision the gut. If the market requires your product to be orally
to license a technology. Once you have concluded that the administered but there is no delivery method available for
underlying science is solid, and the research team is of the drug to become systemic except by intravenous injec-
high caliber, you must be sure that this team is willing to tion, the rest of the product development process is moot.
spend time working on the commercial application you In another example, if you are developing a drug that
are interested in developing. If there is limited time for works effectively in the brain but you do not have a
this team to devote to product development due to method that permits it to cross the blood brain barrier,
research and teaching responsibilities, grant commitments, the product development process is academic. Ensure that
or other administrative duties, it will be challenging to get there is not a major roadblock in product development,
the momentum you need to move the company forward. which cannot be solved or resolved by the knowledge and
In the beginning, you critically need the expertise of the systems available today.
researchers who developed the technology so that they
can help train or transfer the technology to others who
Is This a Single Product or a Core/Platform
can continue translational development of the product.
Technology with Multiple Products?
The technology only remains viable as long as those who
have developed it remain associated with its development When assessing the technology, be sure to explore
in some capacity. It is imperative, for a period of time, to whether or not this is a single product or a technology
retain the inventors and researchers when negotiating a platform that can produce multiple products. This may
technology license. There are creative ways to work out take some time to determine, but most product concepts
arrangements with the discovering scientists even if they in biotechnology have an underlying scientific basis that
do not plan on being cofounders or employees of the is applicable and transferrable to other applications.
company. Spend some time to uncover the underlying scientific
basis and work to identify additional product opportu-
nities that have significant market value. Sometimes, it is
Be Sure the Underlying Biology of a Disease or
subtle whether a technology can yield multiple applica-
Condition Is Sufficiently Understood
tions. It is possible that the product development process
For instance, in the medical sector, there are several tech- may be the technology platform which can generate
nology concepts being advanced for the treatment of diverse products having related characteristics. For exam-
Alzheimer’s disease, which is a degenerative process ple, an innovative method for rapidly producing highly
albeit not completely understood. There is great market specific humanized monoclonal antibodies may be the
interest and need for products to treat this condition. core technology, and the original product application of
However, to the degree that any product correctly targets the core technology may be, for example, a treatment for
the true underlying cause, to that same degree the product glioblastoma. There are multiple disease targets that
will have a high likelihood of being successful. When would benefit from highly specific humanized monoclonal
HIV was first discovered and its association with AIDS in antibody treatments. In another example, the product
158 SECTION | IV The Innovative Technology Component

application could be the development of a hepatitis vac- 1. Determine if the product application is directed toward
cine, but the platform technology provides the ability to an acute market need that is not currently being met
rapidly produce vaccines in mammalian cells in a fraction or suitably addressed by other products or substitutes.
of the normal time. This core technology process could be 2. Determine whether the technology has the ability to
adapted to rapidly manufacture influenza vaccines for the deliver the market-needed product features.
next season’s strain since part of the problem for flu vac- 3. Assess if there is an existing reimbursement pathway
cine manufacturers is to quickly generate product once for the product.
the World Health Organization and the Centers for 4. Assess if the market is already saturated with multiple
Disease Control predict the next season’s strain. For an competitors having very little differentiation in value,
example, in the molecular testing industry, let us say that even though all are meeting this need.
a product application is a combination of gene signatures
that predict the recurrence of breast cancer. However, the
The Technology Must be Directed toward a
know-how generated during the development of this prod-
Market with the Greatest Unmet Need
uct could be leveraged to rapidly develop another gene
signature for colon or prostate cancer recurrence. When As will be discussed in more detail in Chapter 13:
you are searching for additional product applications, do Directing Your Technology toward a Market Problem:
not overlook the know-how generated during the develop- What You Need to Know Before Using the Business Model
ment of the first product as an asset for accelerating other Canvas?, understanding the market interest for a product
product opportunities. Often a single specific product is critical to the success of any biotechnology company.
application may have been the focus, but in reality, all The choice of the first product application of any technol-
biotechnology products operate with an underlying scien- ogy is key. Often biotechnology companies only get one
tific basis that enables that product application to work. chance to develop a product even though they may have a
Your ability to attract investors increases with the likeli- number of other good product application opportunities
hood that the technology can produce multiple products using the same technology. A single product failure for a
from the same research. Investor interest increases well-capitalized pharmaceutical company will quickly
because they understand that follow-on products grow the get shelved, and another will take its place in the devel-
future business, and a one-product company has limited opment without missing much of a beat. Whereas,
long-term success. If the technology is absolutely development-stage biotechnology companies do not have
limited to a single product, this does not mean that the cash reserves to support multiple product development
technology is second rate, or that the company cannot programs through to commercialization. If a biotechnol-
raise capital for the product development. In fact, if ogy company’s first product fails anywhere along the
the product is successful, there is a high likelihood that development path, it is challenging to recover and have
this single product may find other indications for use a second chance, irrespective of how great the other
the longer it remains in the market. Spend time talking applications may be.
to individuals in the field such as scientists, physicians, Ensuring that the first application of any technology is
clinicians, medical specialists, hospital staff, and labora- appropriately directed toward a market with the greatest
tory directors, because these discussions can help you unmet need is essential. For example, in the medical
identify additional useful applications even for a single device and diagnostic sector, there is an unmet need for
product. assay methods to determine the most effective chemother-
apeutic agent prior to the treatment of a patient’s cancer.
These chemosensitivity assays could serve a great need
Evaluate the Product’s Market Potential by predicting the most effective chemotherapy for a spe-
cific tumor biopsied from a patient without having to
in the Best Market Application resort to trial and error. If a researcher developed a che-
When evaluating technology, it is not uncommon to find mosensitivity test that worked on a certain tumor tissue
that the research has a solid scientific basis, but some- type, but selected a tumor tissue target based on the avail-
times, the initial product application is directed toward ability of tumors from collaborators, not based upon the
a subpar market, or to a market that is already filled market need (problem to be solved) the choice of this first
with competitive products adequately serving the product application will be directed toward a suboptimal
customer’s needs. To produce a successful product the market. For instance, in some cancers, there may only be
technology must be wisely applied to the best product one or two treatment choices that are effective, therefore,
opportunity that is directed toward an underserved market a chemosensitivity device specifically targeting for that
having a great need. Aspects of these criteria include the type of cancer would not solve a significant market prob-
following: lem. Whereas, if this device tests for a tumor type that
Technology Opportunities: Evaluating the Idea Chapter | 11 159

has 10 treatment options, each with varying degrees of significant and acute market need for the resulting prod-
success in different individuals, this would meet a signifi- uct, which is not addressed by substitutes, the endeavor
cant market need. Be sure that the first product applica- will be futile.
tion of the technology is directed toward an unmet and
significant need in the market.
How Big Is the Estimated Market for This
Two additional criteria for evaluating the market
potential of a product application include the following:
Product?
Having a large market for a future product will help
1. the acuteness of the market need for that product and
attract the type of investors needed to fund your product
2. the competition or substitutes in the market now and
development. But there is also great interest in certain
in the near future.
niche markets and especially those that can gain “orphan
These and other assessment criteria are essential to drug” status. If the product is for AgBiotech markets, the
examine before starting a company or business based niche market strategy is not likely to be successful
upon any product concept. Recognize that the greater the because of the low profit margins for most of these pro-
product market need, the increased likelihood that the ducts. Regardless of where the technology is directed
company can also raise the capital to fund development. toward, whether it be AgBiotech, therapeutics, medical
When choosing a product concept to build a company devices, molecular diagnostics, or industrial enzymes, be
upon, be sure to optimize your chances of success and sure that you know the size of the total market for your
minimize your risk of failure. future product and the size of the “target” market which
is the highest likely group of customers who have the
Is There Market Demand That Is Not Met or most acute need for that product. In the end, an acute
need for a product is even more important than the size of
Addressed with Substitutes?
the market. The need for a product must be acute and
Another key question to be answered before considering unmet in order for a future product to have great success.
the licensing of any technology—is there significant mar- The greater the need for the product, the greater will be
ket demand that is not addressed by competitors or substi- the receptivity. Conversely, if these customers are satis-
tutes for this product? World-class technology directed fied with the currently available products and substitutes,
toward a product that is only “useful” will not guarantee there will be minimal demand for your product.
that anyone will want to purchase the product once it is When assessing the technology, determine if the pro-
developed. For many biotech entrepreneurs, the analysis posed product features provide superior value to the target
of market need and substitutes does not always rise to sig- audience and that substitutes or alternatives are not
nificance at this early stage, even though it should. This is already satisfying customer needs, or at least be sure the
a grave mistake because the level of market interest in the alternatives are inadequate or minimally effective in satis-
product impacts a multitude of other issues—especially fying the needs of potential customers. This includes veri-
your ability to raise capital for the company. For example, fying that there is an existing unmet customer demand for
suppose you find a novel licensing opportunity with a your product because it is extremely difficult to sell a
product application for peptides that possess powerful product for which you first have to create a demand.
antibiotic properties against a limited number of Gram- Successful products are launched to meet an existing
negative bacteria. The science may be novel and the unmet market need. If you must also create customer
results may be fantastic, yet there are dozens of antibio- demand, it requires first educating the customer that they
tics in the market (substitutes), which are very effective “need” the product when they do not know this. Creating
against Gram-negative bacteria and certainly economical market demand for a product is more difficult than pro-
to use. This project’s lackluster market appeal makes it ducing a product that meets an existing unmet need.
difficult if not impossible, to generate much interest from
biotech investors, which hold the capital needed to
Don’t Be Too Far Ahead of the Market Need
develop any product through to commercialization.
However, suppose the same technology produces a pep- Because of the lengthy biotechnology product develop-
tide with antibiotic properties against methicillin-resistant ment time frame, it is good to anticipate future product
Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA). The market for such a market needs. However, there is a potential problem in
product would be tremendous because of the lack of being too far ahead of any market need because products
effective antibiotics that work against MRSA. Raising take time to be accepted if they are too far ahead of need.
money for this product would be less difficult than the Technology adoption, customer interest, medical prac-
first. Recognize that no matter how stellar, novel, excit- tices, and societal norms constantly change, and it is diffi-
ing, or ground-breaking the science is, if there is not a cult to predict where demand will be far into the future.
160 SECTION | IV The Innovative Technology Component

Premature products move very slowly along adoption The People Factor
curves. Sometimes, these types of products may also cre-
ate ethical concerns or face unknown consequences that Before you finally decide that you should proceed for-
would limit their market acceptance. For example, gene ward with a particular technology and product applica-
therapy has tremendous potential and should ultimately tion, there is one intangible factor that also needs to be
be effective for many debilitating conditions, but recog- addressed and that is the “people factor,” as it is the next
nize how many decades it has taken to see the beginning critical predictor of success. What I mean by the people
of acceptance, whereas the first companies were too far factor is the “chemistry” between you and the stake-
ahead of medical adoption. Getting the timing right for a holders in the entire process and value chain of the tech-
new product is just as important as choosing the right nology development and the building of the company.
product application itself. Evaluate the market need for This is something that must be inwardly evaluated
the future product before licensing any technology, and throughout the process when talking to the inventor, the
this will greatly improve your chances of success. research team, and others who are associated with the
technology. This evaluation may include other individuals
who have authority and responsibility for the development
process throughout.
Is the Target Market Highly Competitive with In reality, the majority of the real know-how for any
Minimal Differentiation between Products? technology is not contained within the IP, but inherent
You do not want to plan on entering a market that is cur- within the inventor and the technical staff. If you can
rently saturated with products having minimal differenti- communicate well with the inventor and the technical
ating features because biotechnology products do not staff, and they are enthusiastic about the commercializa-
make good commodities. Biotech products are more com- tion of their research, this is a favorable sign. If it is chal-
plex, more expensive, and are breakthrough in nature. lenging to communicate with the inventor and their staff,
Companies with the most potential for success are target- or to get answers to various questions, it is not likely to
ing markets where there are very few, if any, existing get much better when the pressure of meeting product
competitors, or they are targeting markets where competi- development goals is added. The ability to communicate,
tor’s products do not fully meet the customer’s needs. work well with, and to quickly resolve issues is important
because there are a myriad of challenges a biotechnology
entrepreneur will face during the product development,
fundraising, and growth of the company. Therefore, the
Is There a Reimbursement Pathway for the quality of this interaction and the cohesiveness of the
Product That Is Readily Available and team are vital. If there are constant disagreements result-
Accessible? ing in the inability to quickly resolve issues, these are
In the medical biotechnology industry, there are typically what I call “artificial problems.” These are internally gen-
three customers who must see value in a product: the erated issues among the team members instead of external
patient, the physician, and the payer. We discuss more issues between the team and the environment. When arti-
about these three customers in Chapter 32: Biotechnology ficial problems arise, they consume an inordinate amount
Products and Their Customers: Developing a Successful of time and energy to resolve. Artificial problems detract
Market Strategy. In order for a medical biotechnology from progress and reduce the ability to focus and resolve
product to be successful, there needs to be a value propo- the true problems that the company will face during its
sition for the “payers” that cover some or all of the cost product development. The ability to work effectively and
of these products ordered by the physician that are used efficiently as a team is like glue for a woodworking proj-
on, or used by, the patient. Because most countries have ect. You may join all the right parts and pieces, but if
some form of a third-party payer system, it is critical to they do not stick together, there will be no product.
know if each payer system has a mechanism to cover the Knowing you can work well with all the stakeholders is
costs of your future product and that they would be will- an strategic advantage, and this will help accelerate rather
ing and inclined to do so. More information about reim- than slow down the product development process.
bursement issues is covered in Chapter 33: Biotechnology It is rare, and highly unlikely, to find that all indivi-
Product Coverage, Coding, and Reimbursement duals within a group are happily cooperative and enthusi-
Strategies. Even though there may be an unmet market astic about every decision that is made. However, learn to
need for your product, if there is not a reimbursement recognize the situations and the individuals that create
pathway that is available and accessible for your custo- unresolvable disputes and insurmountable challenges.
mers, this future product will likely have many challenges There are enough challenges you will face when develop-
in the market. ing a biotechnology product and building a company, you
Technology Opportunities: Evaluating the Idea Chapter | 11 161

do not want to add more problems by creating teams that Of note, do not be misled into believing that high-
are not meant to work together. quality research automatically guarantees a useful or
If you determine that the people factor is positive, marketable biotechnology product. In other words, entre-
then before you are ready to move forward with licensing preneurs should understand that excellent research is not
the technology, you need to have a discussion and agree- a surrogate for medically useful or marketable products.
ment as to what level of involvement the inventors and There are multitudes of laboratories filled with excellent
research team will have. At a minimum, if the inventor research, much of which never results in a successful bio-
and team are not part of the company, there needs to be technology product. This is because there is more to pro-
an understanding that the inventors will consult for the ducing a successful biotechnology product than
company or possibly even conduct some product develop- conducting great science. The most successful products
ment activity within their own laboratory for a period of absolutely are predicated upon quality science; however,
time, and for a fee. conducting quality science alone does not assure a suc-
cessful biotechnology product. Spend adequate time eval-
uating the science and consulting industry and clinical
What to Do Next? experts in the field.
Once you have made a decision to move forward with the Remember that the evaluation process must include an
technology concept and to obtain a license to the technol- assessment of the future product’s perceived value to the
ogy, you must then negotiate with the institution that target audience. It is often the case that the technical staff
owns the IP rights. Academic institutions that conduct and founders become enamored with their technology, but
basic research have a TTO or Technology Licensing they must remember that technology is simply a solution
Office staffed with individuals who are trained to license looking for a problem to solve. If the problem that is
their technology and to work out a deal with the licensee. selected is not selected based upon a true unmet need,
As mentioned previously, there can be significant differ- then there will be limited opportunity and interest in the
ences in the philosophies of various TTOs. There are stan- future product. The final and most telling assessment is
dard terms and conditions when licensing technology but the people factor: the ability to effectively communicate
there are also terms that are negotiable. You may be able with each team member to address and resolve issues
to find out what to expect in the deal terms from a partic- without creating “artificial problems” that are distracting
ular institution by talking to others who have licensed and take away from the focus of the organization towards
technology previously from that institution. Additional reaching its goal.
information about licensing terms and licensing conven- We have discussed three initial criteria that are impor-
tions are reviewed in Chapter 15: Licensing the tant when evaluating a technology product concept or
Technology: Biotechnology Commercialization Strategies idea: (1) the underlying science and technology; (2) the
Using University and Federal Labs. product’s market potential; and (3) the people factor.
These three critera are critical when assessing any tech-
nology product idea and they serve as the basis for
Summary screening potential technology product ideas. When con-
The first step in starting a biotechnology endeavor is to sidering building a company around technology owned by
be sure that the technology and product concept is foun- academic or research institutions, be sure to evaluate the
dationally sound and properly evaluated for the underly- underlying science, technology, and market application.
ing science, literature support, and the inventor and When building a company and raising capital, the investor
technical team. This technology evaluation process is and interested partners are also looking at the future pro-
essential, and determines whether or not the future prod- duct’s value. If you build a company on sound science
uct will provide true value to the target audience and and the product addresses an acute unmet need, and the
whether the concept has a high likelihood of success sci- team can work together to quickly resolve problems, you
entifically. A detailed analysis of the scientific merit of a will have minimized many of your early risks.
technology is essential during a scientific review. If the
basic research conducted at a particular academic institu-
tion is reputable and known for excellence, the majority
Reference
of their IP available for licensing may likely be of high [1] Fisher LM. The innovation incubator: technology transfer at
quality. That is why you should always work with high- Stanford University. Strategy 1 Business. October 1, 1998 ,http://
quality and reputable institutions when seeking to license www.strategy-business.com/article/13494. [accessed February 12,
2019].
technology and future product concepts.

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