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Nov 2019 Heritage Foundation Paper On GSE Receivership
Nov 2019 Heritage Foundation Paper On GSE Receivership
BACKGROUNDER
No. 3448 | November 4, 2019
THOMAS A. ROE INSTITUTE FOR ECONOMIC POLICY STUDIES
T
he Trump Administration appears ready to
KEY TAKEAWAYS
end the nearly 11 years of conservatorship
of America’s largest government-sponsored
GSEs received multiple bailouts since
enterprises (GSEs)—the Federal National Mortgage
2008 with capital infusions, Treasury
Association (Fannie Mae) and the Federal Home Loan
credit lines, asset purchases, and a senior
preferred stock dividend formula revision. Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac). However, the
current terms of the government conservatorship
would require the GSEs to raise the nearly $200 bil-
Rolling back dividend requirements or for- lion that they owe to the Treasury and an additional
giving GSE debt would constitute another $200 billion to build a capital buffer. Many special
taxpayer bailout and would deprive tax- interest groups are lobbying to alter the existing
payers of compensation for prior bailouts.
agreements to lessen the financial burden on the two
GSEs, amounting to yet another taxpayer bailout for
Structured liquidation of the GSEs—rather
the failed companies. Fortunately, this bailout is not
than recapitalization and release through the only path to ending the conservatorship.
another bailout—will better secure com- The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) has
petitive, private-sector housing finance. the authority to place the GSEs into receivership and
proceed with a structured liquidation of their assets.
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Nothing written here is to be construed as necessarily reflecting the views of The Heritage Foundation or as an attempt to aid or hinder the passage of any bill before Congress.
BACKGROUNDER | No. 3448
heritage.org November 4, 2019 | 2
Although the FHFA cannot revoke the GSEs’ charters without congressional
approval, it can issue new charters—to new companies—with higher capital
requirements, no credit lines with the Treasury, and neither implicit nor
explicit taxpayer backing. Rather than invest in the GSEs, investors can
provide capital to these new companies. This approach will reduce taxpayer
risk, curtail the economic distortions caused by the government domination
of the market, and gradually restore housing affordability.
In the 1990s, the GSEs Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac became the domi-
nant actors in the secondary residential mortgage market by securitizing a
growing share of residential mortgages. This process entailed buying res-
idential mortgages, holding some of them as investments, and packaging
others into securities for sale to the general public. These securities func-
tioned like bonds, though their value was tied to the underlying residential
mortgages, and the GSEs guaranteed the payment of principal and interest
to the investors. The investors, in turn, understood these mortgage-backed
securities (MBSs) to have implicit government backing because the GSEs
had special charters and a line of credit with the U.S. Treasury. As a result,
investors expected federal assistance in the event that the GSEs were unable
to make scheduled principal and interest payments on their MBSs.
This implicit government backing led to riskier lending than would have
otherwise taken place because it enabled investors in GSE bonds and MBSs
to ignore the true financial risks of those underlying mortgages and securi-
ties.1 Beginning in the late 1990s, trillions of dollars flowed into mortgage
markets, which were covering more mortgages for second homes and invest-
ment properties,2 as well as those with lower credit scores, minimal income
documentation, less-stable employment history, and scant down payments.3
This flow of credit kicked off a home-price boom, with prices rising by 112.4
percent from 1998 through the middle of 2006, more than quadruple the
overall rate of inflation of just 24.7 percent.4 The rapid run-up in home
prices temporarily masked the decrease in credit quality, but home prices
then plunged, losing 27 percent of their value by early 2012.5 As prices fell,
delinquency rates on single-family mortgages soared from 1.61 percent in
early 2006 to 10.34 percent by the end of 2009, and continued to rise until
peaking at 11.54 percent in 2010.6 As delinquency rates climbed, mortgage
defaults imperiled the GSEs’ ability to make the required principal and
interest payments on their MBSs.
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place the regulated entity in liquidation and proceed to realize upon the assets
of the regulated entity in such manner as the Agency deems appropriate,
including through the sale of assets, the transfer of assets to a limited-life
regulated entity established under subsection (i), or the exercise of any other
rights or privileges granted to the Agency under this paragraph.9
For conservatorship, the HERA gave the FHFA the authority to:
take such action as may be: (i) necessary to put the regulated entity in a sound and
solvent condition; and (ii) appropriate to carry on the business of the regulated
entity and preserve and conserve the assets and property of the regulated entity.10
On September 6, 2008, the FHFA chose to place the GSEs under con-
servatorship, rather than receivership. In accordance with its broad
conservator powers, the FHFA entered into an agreement with the Treasury
on behalf of the GSEs to bail the companies out of trouble with two $100
billion credit lines (one for each company). In exchange for this new line of
credit, each GSE issued 1 million shares of a new class of senior preferred
stock to the Treasury with an initial valuation of $1,000 per share.
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The goal of this credit backstop was to bolster the capacity of the GSEs to
make payments on their issued MBSs despite the growing defaults on the
underlying mortgages, and to encourage investors to continue purchasing
MBSs to keep the housing finance sector moving. The Preferred Stock Pur-
chase Agreements (PSPAs) between the FHFA on behalf of the GSEs and the
Treasury specify the terms and conditions of this bailout. The initial Sep-
tember 2008 PSPAs contained a number of taxpayer protections, such as:
In 2008, the GSEs recorded combined net losses of $109 billion, a figure
that surpassed their cumulative net income over the prior 40 years.15 More
important, these losses completely exhausted the $90 billion of total cap-
ital that the GSEs had available to cover such losses. The bailout through
the FHFA conservatorship proved crucial in securing the GSEs’ survival
as going concerns.
Over the next four years, the companies continued to struggle and had
difficulty meeting their financial obligations under the PSPAs. While the
FHFA could have placed the GSEs into receivership, the FHFA and the
Treasury chose instead to amend the PSPAs three times; each rendition
effectively forced the taxpayers to bail out the GSEs again. These are the
four bailouts from 2008 through 2012:
As with any company, the GSEs’ capital acts as a cushion against insol-
vency and helps to absorb losses. The law imposes two capital requirements
on the GSEs. The first is a risk-based total capital requirement set by the
FHFA Director31 and designed to keep the GSEs solvent through a “stress
period.”32 The second is a core capital33 requirement determined accord-
ing to a statutory formula. The FHFA waived capital classifications and
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TABLE 1
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Have a Core Capital Deficit of $203 Billion
Figures shown are in billions.
Current Core Capital Deficit Critical Capital Required Total Core Capital Deficit
Fannie Mae $115 $12 $127
Freddie Mac $68 $8 $76
Total $183 $20 $203
bG3448 A heritage.org
billion core capital deficit or the estimated $118 billion risk-based capital
deficit in order to avoid the “critically undercapitalized” classification.
Just as important, given the current negative capitalization of the GSEs, a
major downturn in the near future could require another capital infusion
from the Treasury. In fact, the FHFA recently conducted stress tests that
estimate losses from $18 billion to $43.3 billion in a “severely adverse” eco-
nomic scenario.44
Naturally, meeting these capital requirements far from guarantees future
solvency. In the year prior to the 2008 housing collapse, the GSEs main-
tained risk-based total capital nearly double the statutory requirements.
The FHFA’s annual report to Congress released in June 2019 even warned
that a reversion from the current low-interest-rate environment could lead
to negative net worth of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.45 Regardless, the
GSEs are critically undercapitalized by more than $200 billion.
Critics of closing down the GSEs argue that the companies are now
profitable and that they would not be undercapitalized if the Treasury had
not started taking all of the GSE’s profits. They also claim that Fannie and
Freddie should be released because they have paid back more than the
Treasury disbursed.46 A main problem with these arguments is that they
ignore that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac would not exist today without the
aid of four successive taxpayer bailouts and continued government support.
The claims also ignore the GSEs’ existing obligations to the Treasury under
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the PSPAs, obligations that were supposed to ensure that taxpayers were
compensated for their risk under the bailouts. Finally, the notion that all
should be forgiven because the GSEs paid back more in dividends than the
amount they borrowed focuses strictly on cash-flow accounting while ignor-
ing the ongoing risks borne by the taxpayers, as well as the opportunity costs
associated with the cash infusions. Using a fair-value accounting approach
to incorporate these economic costs into the equation suggests that the
bailout was not a profitable endeavor for the taxpayers—it cost them more
than $300 billion.47
CHART 1
$8
Dividends
$6 Under Initial
Agreement
$4
$2
$0
Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1 Q1
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
NOTE: Figures are authors’ calculations based on the original agreement and the actual dividends paid.
SOURCES: Federal Housing Finance Agency, “Table 2: Dividends on Enterprise Draws from Treasury,”
https://www.fhfa.gov/DataTools/Downloads/Documents/Market-Data/Table_2.pdf (accessed October 21, 2019);
Department of the Treasury, “GSE Agreement Letters,” December 21, 2017, https://www.fhfa.gov/Conservatorship/
Documents/GSEAgreementLetters_12-21-2017.pdf (accessed October 21, 2019); and Department of the Treasury,
“Certificate of Creation, Designation, Powers, Preferences, Rights, Privileges, Qualifications, Limitations, Restrictions,
Terms and Conditions of Variable Liquidation Preference Senior Preferred Stock (Par Value $1.00 per Share),”
https://www.treasury.gov/press-center/press-releases/Documents/certificatefreb.pdf (accessed October 21, 2019).
BG3448 A heritage.org
the bailout, an error that understates the true cost by approximately $200
billion.55 And, of course, the return on an investment (preferred dividends)
is distinct from the investment itself (the credit commitment). At issue is
the $123 billion in additional dividends paid since the start of 2013 (the date
the net worth sweep went into effect) through the third quarter (Q3) of 2019
relative to the original fixed 10 percent dividend formula.
These statistics in isolation present an incomplete view of reality. The
Treasury made this change in the dividend formula because the GSEs were
in such bad shape that they were borrowing from the Treasury simply to
make the promised dividend payments.56 Furthermore, this net worth
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sweep did not result in exorbitant Treasury profits. More than 80 percent
of the $123 billion in excess dividends was due to an anomalous surge in net
income during a brief stretch in 2013 and 2014. In 11 of the past 19 quarters
(since the start of 2015), dividends based on net worth have fallen short of
what the payout would have been under the prior fixed rate. In fact, since the
start of 2015, dividends under the sweep relative to the 10 percent fixed rate
have resulted in $9.2 billion less in dividends.57 Retroactively reclassifying
dividends paid as repayment of the principal balance is yet another bailout.
Massive shareholder dilution and the likelihood of dismally small returns
on the shareholder equity also create significant hurdles to raising the
entirety of this needed capital in a share offering. First, a $400 billion capital
raise would massively dilute the ownership stake of existing common stock
shares by more than 95 percent.58 Second, unlike typical capital raises, the
proceeds will not be directed to investment in the expansion of business
operations intended to increase net income. Instead, the capital raise will
be earmarked for paying down the liquidation preference and restoring the
required capital buffer. Over the past 30 years, the average annual return
on equity for all U.S. banks is approximately 12 percent.59 Obtaining this
return on $400 billion of newly raised capital would require more than
$47 billion in combined GSE net income, a feat achieved only once in their
history. For the five years from 2014 to 2018, Fannie Mae earned $11.2 billion
annually60, and Freddie Mac earned $7.3 billion annually.61 The combined
$18.5 billion in net income represents just a 4.6 percent annual return on
the $400 billion of newly raised equity.
CHART 2
■ Liquidation preference
■ Capital needed to avoid critically undercapitalized classification
NOTE: Capital needed to avoid “critically undercapitalized” classification is the lesser of critical core capital deficit or
the risk-based capital deficit.
SOURCE: Securities and Exchange Commission, “Form 10-K, Annual Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934, for the Fiscal Year Ended December 31, 2018, Federal Home Loan Mortgage
Corporation, Freddie Mac,” p. 2, http://www.freddiemac.com/investors/financials/pdf/10k_021419.pdf (accessed
October 21, 2019); and Securities and Exchange Commission, “Form 10–K, Annual Report Pursuant to Section 13 or
15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, for the Fiscal Year Ended December 31, 2018, Federal National
Mortgage Association, Fannie Mae,” p. 13, https://www.fanniemae.com/resources/file/ir/pdf/quarterly-annual-
results/2018/q42018.pdf (accessed October 21, 2019).
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Conclusion
Joel Griffith is Research Fellow for Financial Regulations in the Thomas A. Roe Institute
for Economic Policy Studies, of the Institute for Economic Freedom, at The Heritage
Foundation. Norbert J. Michel, PhD, is the Director of the Center for Data Analysis, of the
Institute for Economic Freedom.
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Endnotes
1. The Congressional Budget Office advises that “the unpriced implicit guarantee, which reduced interest rates for mortgage borrowers, helped cause
more of the economy’s capital to be invested in housing than might otherwise have been the case.” Congressional Budget Office, “Transitioning to
Alternative Structures for Housing Finance: An Update,” August 2018, p. 7, https://www.cbo.gov/system/files?file=2018-08/54218-GSEupdate.pdf
(accessed September 16, 2019).
2. “At the peak of the boom in 2006, over a third of all U.S. home-purchase lending was made to people who already owned at least one house. In the
four states with the most pronounced housing cycles, the investor share was nearly half—45 percent. Investor shares roughly doubled between 2000
and 2006. While some of these loans went to borrowers with ‘just’ two homes, the increase in percentage terms is largest among those owning
three or more properties. In 2006, Arizona, California, Florida, and Nevada investors owning three or more properties were responsible for nearly 20
percent of originations, almost triple their share in 2000.” Andrew Haughwout et al., “‘Flip this House’: Investor Speculation and the Housing Bubble,”
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Liberty Street Economics, December 5, 2011, https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2011/12/flip-this-house-
investor-speculation-and-the-housing-bubble.html (accessed September 16, 2019).
3. By the middle of 2008, 56 percent of all 55 million first-lien mortgages in the United States financial system were subprime or Alt-A (31 million). Of
the $9.42 trillion in outstanding first-lien mortgages, 57 percent ($5.3 trillion) were subprime and Alt-A. Edward Pinto, “Three Studies of Subprime and
Alt-A Loans in the U.S. Mortgage Market,” American Enterprise Institute, February 5, 2011 (updated January 6, 2015), p. 11, https://www.aei.org/wp-
content/uploads/2014/09/Pinto-Government-Housing-Policies-in-the-Lead-up-to-the-Financial-Crisis-3-Studies-1.6.15.pdf (accessed October 2, 2019).
4. As a comparison: From 1990 through 1997, home prices rose just 13.6 percent, less than half the cumulative inflation of 28.1 percent. S&P/Case-Shiller
U.S. National Home Price Index [CSUSHPINSA], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CSUSHPINSA
(accessed September 16, 2019), and Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items [CPIAUCSL] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIAUCSL
(accessed September 16, 2019).
5. Ibid.
6. Delinquency rates nearly doubled (to more than 3 percent) from early 2006 to the end of 2007. Delinquency Rate on Single-Family Residential
Mortgages, Booked in Domestic Offices, All Commercial Banks [DRSFRMACBS], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, https://fred.
stlouisfed.org/series/DRSFRMACBS (accessed September 16, 2019).
7. Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/PLAW-110publ289/pdf/PLAW-110publ289.pdf, (accessed
September 16, 2019).
8. Prior to the HERA, the Director of the HUD Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight possessed the power to appoint a conservator for GSEs
classified as critically undercapitalized. (See §§ 1365–1367 of the Federal Housing Financial Safety and Soundness Act of 1992.) The HERA vested the
authority to appoint a conservator in the Director of a newly created agency (the FHFA). A conservator appointed under the HERA possesses broader
powers than those held by a conservator under the 1992 act.
9. 12 U.S. Code § 4617(b)(2)(E).
10. 12 U.S. Code § 4617(b)(2)(D).
11. U.S. Department of the Treasury, “Certificate of Designation of Terms of Variable Liquidation Preference Senior Preferred Stock, Series 2008-2” (Fannie
Mae Preferred Stock Certificate), p. 4, https://www.treasury.gov/press-center/press-releases/Documents/certificatefnm2.pdf (accessed September
16, 2019), and U.S. Department of the Treasury, “Certificate of Creation, Designation, Power, Preferences, Rights, Privileges, Qualifications, Limitations,
Restrictions, Terms and Conditions of Variable Liquidation Preference Senior Preferrred Stock (Par Value $1.00 Per Schare)” (Freddie Mac Preferred
Stock Certificate), p. 4, https://www.treasury.gov/press-center/press-releases/Documents/certificatefreb.pdf (accessed September 16, 2019).
12. Federal Housing Finance Agency, “Amended and Restated Senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreement” (Fannie Mae Senior Preferred Stock Purchase
Agreement with Treasury), September 26, 2008, p. 6, https://www.fhfa.gov/Conservatorship/Documents/Senior-Preferred-Stock-Agree/2008-9-26_
SPSPA_FannieMae_RestatedAgreement_N508.pdf (accessed September 16, 2019), and Federal Housing Finance Agency, “Amended and Restated
Senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreement” (Freddie Mac Senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreement with Treasury), September 2008, p. 6, https://
www.fhfa.gov/Conservatorship/Documents/Senior-Preferred-Stock-Agree/2008-9-26_SPSPA_FreddieMac_RestatedAgreement_508.pdf (accessed
September 16, 2019).
13. Fannie Mae Preferred Stock Certificate, p. 2, and Freddie Mac Preferred Stock Certificate, p. 2.
14. Fannie Mae Senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreement with Treasury, September 26, 2008, p. 8, and Freddie Mac Senior Preferred Stock Purchase
Agreement with Treasury, September 26, 2008, p. 8.
15. Federal Housing Finance Agency, “2018 Report to Congress,” June 2019, pp. 79 and 96, https://www.fhfa.gov/AboutUs/Reports/ReportDocuments/
FHFA_2018_Report-to-Congress.pdf (accessed July 9, 2019).
16. Federal Housing Finance Agency, “Treasury and Federal Reserve Purchase Programs for GSE and Mortgage-Related Securities,” Table 1. “Quarterly
Draws on Treasury Commitments to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac per the Senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreements,” data as of September
30, 2019, https://www.fhfa.gov/DataTools/Downloads/Pages/Treasury-and-Federal-Reserve-Purchase-Programs-for-GSE-and-Mortgage-Related-
Securities.aspx (accessed October 22, 2019).
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17. Federal Housing Finance Agency, “Amendment to Amended and Restated Senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreement” (First Amendment to Fannie
Mae’s Senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreement with Treasury), May 6, 2009, pp. 1 and 4, https: //www.fhfa.gov/Conservatorship/Documents/
Senior-Preferred-Stock-Agree/2009-5-6_SPSPA_FreddieMac_Amendment_508.pdf (accessed September 16, 2019), and “Amendment to Amended
and Restated Senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreement” (First Amendment to Freddie Mac’s Senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreement with
Treasury), May 6, 2009, pp. 1 and 4, https://www.fhfa.gov/Conservatorship/Documents/Senior-Preferred-Stock-Agree/2009-5-6_SPSPA_FreddieMac_
Amendment_508.pdf (accessed September 16, 2019).
18. The December 2009 amendment to the PSPAs specified that any positive net worth on the balance sheet at the end of 2012 would be subtracted from
the needed draws to cover any deficiencies from 2010 through 2012 in order to determine how much the Treasury commitment would be increased
or decreased over this period. Federal Housing Finance Agency, “Second Amendment to Amended and Restated Senior Preferred Sock Purchase
Agreement” (Second Amendment to Freddie Mac’s Senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreement with Treasury), December 24, 2009, p. 2, https://www.
fhfa.gov/Conservatorship/Documents/Senior-Preferred-Stock-Agree/2009-12-24_SPSPA_FreddieMac_Amendment2_N508.pdf (accessed September
16, 2019), and Federal Housing Finance Agency, “Second Amendment to Amended and Restated Senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreement”
(Second Amendment to Fannie Mae’s Senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreement with Treasury), December 24, 2009), p. 2, https://www.fhfa.gov/
Conservatorship/Documents/Senior-Preferred-Stock-Agree/2009-12-24_SPSPA_FannieMae_Amendment2_508.pdf (accessed September 16, 2019).
19. The Treasury commitment stands at $233.7 billion for Fannie Mae and $211.8 billion for Freddie Mac. See U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission,
“Form 10-Q,” Fannie Mae, for the Quarterly Period ending March 31, 2019, p. 3, https://www.fanniemae.com/resources/file/ir/pdf/quarterly-annual-
results/2019/q12019.pdf (accessed September 16, 2019), and U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, “Form 10-K,” Freddie Mac, for the fiscal year
ended December 31 2018, p. 2, http://www.freddiemac.com/investors/financials/pdf/10k_021419.pdf (accessed September 16, 2019).
20. The GSEs have not utilized the Treasury commitment as heavily since 2011. Fannie Mae requested a $3.687 billion draw in fourth quarter (Q4) 2017.
Freddie Mac requested a $0.019 billion draw in Q1 2012 and a $0.312 billion draw in Q4 2017. Federal Housing Finance Agency, “Treasury and Federal
Reserve Purchase Programs for GSE and Mortgage-Related Securities,” Table 1. “Quarterly Draws on Treasury Commitments to Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac per the Senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreements.”
21. Federal Housing Finance Agency, “2018 Report to Congress,” pp. 79 and 96.
22. Federal Housing Finance Agency, “Treasury and Federal Reserve Purchase Programs for GSE and Mortgage-Related Securities,” Table 1. “Quarterly
Draws on Treasury Commitments to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac per the Senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreements,” and Federal Housing
Finance Agency, “Treasury and Federal Reserve Purchase Programs for GSE and Mortgage-Related Securities,” Table 2. “Dividends on Enterprise
Draws from Treasury,” data as of September 30, 2019, https://www.fhfa.gov/DataTools/Downloads/Documents/Market-Data/Table_2.pdf (accessed
September 16, 2019).
23. Federal Housing Finance Agency, “Third Amendment to Amended and Restated Senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreement” (Third Amendment to
Fannie Mae’s Senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreement with Treasury), August 2012, p. 4, https://www.fhfa.gov/Conservatorship/Documents/Senior-
Preferred-Stock-Agree/2012-8-17_SPSPA_FannieMae_Amendment3_508.pdf (accessed September 16, 2019), and Federal Housing Finance Agency,
“Third Amendment to Amended and Restated Senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreement (Third Amendment to Freddie Mac’s Senior Preferred Stock
Purchase Agreement with Treasury), August 2012, p. 4, https://www.fhfa.gov/Conservatorship/Documents/Senior-Preferred-Stock-Agree/2012-8-17_
SPSPA_FreddieMac_Amendment3_N508.pdf (accessed September 16, 2019). See also, letter from the Treasurey to the FHFA, December 21, 2017,
https://www.fhfa.gov/Conservatorship/Documents/GSEAgreementLetters_12-21-2017.pdf (accessed October 22, 2019).
24. The August 2012 amendment to the agreement allowed each GSE to retain capital in order to maintain $3 billion net worth. This agreement was
extended in 2017. See letter from Department of the Treasury to the FHFA, December 21, 2017.
25. News release, “Changes to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Preferred Stock Purchase Agreements,” Federal Housing Finance Agency, August 17, 2012,
https://www.fhfa.gov/Media/PublicAffairs/Pages/Statement-of-FHFA-Acting-Director-Edward-J-DeMarco-on-Changes-to-Fannie-Mae-and-Freddie-
Mac-Preferred-Stock-Purchas.aspx (accessed September 16, 2019).
26. Federal Housing Finance Agency, “Treasury and Federal Reserve Purchase Programs for GSE and Mortgage-Related Securities,” Table 3. “Treasury
Purchases of GSE Mae MBS,” data as of September 30, 2019, https://www.fhfa.gov/DataTools/Downloads/Documents/Market-Data/Table_3.pdf
(accessed September 16, 2019).
27. News release, “Federal Reserve Announces It Will Initiate a Program to Purchase the Direct Obligations of Housing-Related Government-Sponsored
Enterprises and Mortgage-Backed Securities Backed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae,” Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System,
November 25, 2008, https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20081125b.htm (accessed September 16, 2019).
28. Financial Housing Finance Agency, “Treasury and Federal Reserve Purchase Programs for GSE and Mortgage-Related Securities,” February 2016,
Tables 3, 4a, 4b, and 5, https://www.fhfa.gov/DataTools/Downloads/Documents/Market-Data/Current_Market_Data-2016-02-19.pdf (accessed
September 16, 2019).
29. Ibid., Table 4b. “Federal Reserve Purchases of Agency MBS, October 2011–Present,” https://www.fhfa.gov/DataTools/Downloads/Documents/Market-
Data/Table_4b.pdf (accessed September 16, 2019).
30. “Form 10-K,” Fannie Mae, for fiscal year ended December 31, 2018, p. 13, and “Form 10-K,” Freddie Mac, for fiscal year ended December 31, 2018, p. 2.
31. 12 U.S. Code § 4611(a)(1).
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32. 12 CFR § 1750.13. The regulation defines the “stress period” as “a hypothetical ten-year period immediately following the day for which capital is being
measured, which is a period marked by the severely adverse economic circumstances defined in 12 CFR 1750.13 and appendix A to this subpart.”
33. Core capital is the sum of the stated value of outstanding common stock, the stated value of outstanding noncumulative preferred stock, paid in
capital, and retained earnings. Senior preferred stock is excluded. Total capital is broader, including core capital plus the total allowance for loan losses
and the guarantee liability for MBSs, less any specific loss allowance. The core capital definition can be found at 12 U.S. Code § 2279bb(2). The total
capital definition can be found at 12 U.S. Code § 4502(23).
34. In October 2008, the FHFA announced a suspension of capital classifications and binding capital requirements for the duration of the conservatorship.
News release, “FHFA Announces Suspension of Capital Classifications During Conservatorship,” Federal Housing Finance Agency, October 9, 2008,
https://www.fhfa.gov/Media/PublicAffairs/Pages/FHFA-Announces-Suspension-of-Capital-Classifications-During-Conservatorship-and-Discloses-
Minimum-and-RiskBased-Cap.aspx (accessed September 16, 2019).
35. The capital levels and capital classifications can be found at 12 U.S. Code § 4612–§ 4614.
36. 12 U.S. Code § 4617(a)(3)(K). Core capital for the GSEs fell $223 billion short of statutory requirements for adequately capitalized classification at the
end of 2018. Federal Housing Finance Agency, “2018 Report to Congress,” pp. 90 and 107. The amount of capital needed to avoid classification as
critically undercapitalized is slightly less.
37. 12 U.S. Code § 4614(a)(4). The critical capital level is essentially a statutory formula that is the sum of 1.25 percent of total on-balance sheet assets,
0.25 percent of the unpaid principal balance of outstanding mortgage-backed securities (and their equivalent) that are off-balance sheet, and 0.25
percent of other off-balance sheet obligations (though the FHFA director can adjust this last percentage). See 12 U.S. Code § 4613(a).
38. The August 2012 amendments allowed each GSE to retain capital sufficient to maintain $3 billion net worth. This agreement was extended
in 2017. See letter from Department of the Treasury to the FHFA, December 21, 2017, https://www.fhfa.gov/Media/PublicAffairs/Documents/
GSEletteragreementfnm12-21-2017.pdf (accessed October 22, 2019).
39. In 2017, despite the GSEs’ limited ability to build capital, the FHFA identified the need “to develop an aligned risk measurement framework to better
evaluate each Enterprise’s business decisions while they are in conservatorship.” This framework is the Conservatorship Capital Framework (CCF). See
Federal Housing Finance Agency, “Enterprise Capital Requirements,” Notice of proposed rulemaking, Federal Register, Vol. 83, No. 137 (July 17, 2018), p.
33313, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2018-07-17/pdf/2018-14255.pdf (accessed September 19, 2019).
40. Estimated at $51.9 billion for second quarter 2019, or 2.44 percent of current assets. News release, “Freddie Mac Reports Net Income of $1.5 Billion
and Comprehensive Income of $1.8 Billion for Second Quarter 2019,” Freddie Mac, July 31, 2019, pp. 5 and 13. http://www.freddiemac.com/investors/
financials/pdf/2019er-2q19_release.pdf (accessed September 16, 2019).
41. Total capital is not currently reported. Core capital is used as an approximation for total capital.
42. 12 U.S. Code § 4613(a).
43. The FHFA does not report the critical core capital numbers during conservatorship. However, the FHFA does report the “minimum capitalization”
levels ($22.6 billion for Fannie Mae and $17.6 billion for Freddie Mac) required to be considered “adequately capitalized.” Applying the statutory
definition to the current reported minimum capital balances, the authors of this Backgrounder estimate a critical core capital requirement for Fannie
Mae at $12 billion and Freddie Mac at $7.7 billion. The critical core capital requirement is the sum of 1.25 percent of the on-balance-sheet assets, 0.25
percent of the unpaid principal balance of outstanding MBSs issued or guaranteed, and 0.25 percent of other off-balance-sheet obligations. Fannie
Mae and Freddie Mac had negative core capital of $114.9 billion and negative $68 billion, respectively, in 2018. This amounts to a critical core capital
deficit for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac of $127 billion and $76 billion, respectively. See Federal Housing Finance Agency, “2018 Report to Congress,”
pp. 90 and 107.
44. Federal Housing Finance Agency, “Dodd–Frank Act Stress Tests Results: Severely Adverse Scenario,” August 15, 2019, p. 6, https://www.fhfa.gov/
AboutUs/Reports/ReportDocuments/2019_DFAST_Severely-Adverse-Scenario.pdf (accessed September 26, 2019).
45. Federal Housing Finance Agency, “2018 Report to Congress,” p. 5.
46. Moelis & Company, “Blueprint for Restoring Safety and Soundness to the GSEs: One Year Later,” November 2018, https://gsesafetyandsoundness.com/
wp-content/uploads/2018/11/Blueprint-for-Restoring-Safety-and-Soundness-to-the-GSEs-Final.pdf (accessed September 23, 2019).
47. Deborah Lucas, “Measuring the Cost of Bailouts,” working paper prepared for the Annual Review of Financial Economics, November 2018, http://gcfp.
mit.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/Lucas-Bailouts-Nov2018.pdf (accessed September 25, 2019).
48. Under the modifications announced on September 30, 2019, Fannie and Freddie will be permitted to maintain capital reserves of $25 billion and
$20 billion, respectively. See news release, “Treasury Department and FHFA Modify Terms of Preferred Stock Purchase Agreements for Fannie
Mae and Freddie Mac,” U.S. Department of the Treasury, September 30, 2019, https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sm786 (accessed
October 24, 2019).
49. Lucinda Shen, “These Are the 9 Biggest IPOs of All Time,” Fortune, April 26, 2019, https://fortune.com/2019/04/26/biggest-ipos-history-uber/
(accessed September 16, 2019).
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50. “The first step to accomplish these objectives must be to begin rebuilding capital at Fannie and Freddie by suspending dividends to Treasury. The
second step is to recognize the government’s historical profits, by acknowledging that Treasury’s senior preferred stock has now been repaid in full,
with the original 10% annual return. With the senior preferred outstanding, it will be impossible for the GSEs to raise equity from the private markets,
as the senior preferred stock would effectively block any path to the return of invested capital.” Moelis & Company, “Blueprint for Restoring Safety
and Soundness to the GSEs: One Year Later,” p. 6. Also see the Community Mortgage Lenders America’s advocacy for undoing the current net worth
dividend sweep, “CMLA Policy on GSE Reform,” April 2016, p. 2, http://thecmla.com/cmla/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/cmla-2016-gse-reform-
policy-.pdf (accessed September 23, 2019).
51. On September 27, 2019, the Treasury and the FHFA amended the PSPAs in order to allow Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to maintain capital reserves
of $25 billion and $20 billion, respectively. This represents an increase of $22 billion and $17 billion, respectively, in the amount of capital the GSEs
may maintain. The liquidation preferences for the Treasury preferred stock will gradually increase by the amount of the capital reserves retained by
the GSEs under this revised agreement. News release, “Treasury Department and FHFA Modify Terms of Preferred Stock Purchase Agreements for
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac,” U.S. Department of the Treasury, September 30, 2019, https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sm786 (accessed
October 2, 2019).
52. Moelis & Company, “Blueprint for Restoring Safety and Soundness to the GSEs: One Year Later,” p. 23.
53. Federal Housing Finance Agency, “Treasury and Federal Reserve Purchase Programs for GSE and Mortgage-Related Securities,” Table 2, “Dividends on
Enterprise Draws from Treasury.”
54. Federal Housing Finance Agency, “Treasury and Federal Reserve Purchase Programs for GSE and Mortgage-Related Securities,” Table 1., “Quarterly
Draws on Treasury Commitments to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac per the Senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreements.”
55. Lucas, “Measuring the Cost of Bailouts.”
56. The United States Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit did find in September 2019 that sweeping the entirety of net worth each quarter to the
Treasury exceeds the statutory powers of the FHFA as conservator. However, this finding was tangential to the core of the case: the constitutionality of
the FHFA’s governance structure. The court declined to mandate the end of the net worth sweep but did hold that the for-cause removal protection
of the FHFA Director (rather than serving at the pleasure of the President) is unconstitutional for an independent agency. Collins v. Mnuchin, 896
F.3d 640 (5th Cir. 2018), http://www.ca5.uscourts.gov/opinions/pub/17/17-20364-CV2.pdf (accessed October 22, 2019). This decision could portend
a future court-mandated change to the dividend formula. While the shareholders should have their day in court, the legal merits of their claims do
nothing to change the fact that the GSEs are critically undercapitalized and would need to raise hundreds of billions in new capital if released from
conservatorship without yet another taxpayer bailout.
57. Furthermore, the sweep has not resulted in excess returns for taxpayers. Viewed as return on investment, taxpayers have earned a (annually
compounded) return of about 12 percent (annualized since 2013) on the GSEs’ credit draws, nearly identical to the return on equity for all United State
banks over the past 30 years. Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council (US), Return on Average Equity for all U.S. Banks [USROE], retrieved
from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/USROE (accessed July 24, 2019).
58. Based on closing prices September 25, 2019, Fannie Mae would need to issue 66.1 billion shares at current prices to exit conservatorship ($251 billion
/ 3.8 per share = 66.1 billion shares); Freddie Mac would need to issue 42.6 billion shares at current prices to exit conservatorship ($151.6 billion / $3.56
per share = 42.6 billion shares). Ownership dilution would exceed 95 percent for both GSEs. Fannie Mae: 1.16 billion existing shares outstanding/
(1.16 billion existing shares outstanding + 66.1 billion newly issued shares) = 1.7%. Freddie Mac: 0.65 billion existing shares outstanding / (0.65 billion
existing shares + 42.6 billion newly issued shares) = 1.5%.
59. Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council (US), Return on Average Equity for all U.S. Banks [USROE], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve
Bank of St. Louis, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/USROE (accessed July 24, 2019).
60. Federal Housing Finance Agency, “2018 Report to Congress,” p. 79.
61. Ibid., p. 96.
62. Although a 30-day notice of this reclassification is typically required, the notice period can be shortened if the GSEs consent. 12 U.S. Code § 4618(a)-
(c). Regardless of whether the notice period is shortened, after considering the provided information, the FHFA Director then is required to provide
notice (of unspecified duration) of his decision on the classification change to (1) the entity, (2) the House Financial Services Committee, and (3)
the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs. Upon receipt of this notice, the classification change takes effect. See 12 U.S. Code §
4618(d) and (e).
63. The FHFA Director possesses an array of escalating discretionary (or mandatory) actions in response to undercapitalization. In instances where assets
are less than obligations, or the enterprise is failing to pay its debts, receivership is mandatory—even if the enterprise is not classified as critically
undercapitalized. See 12 U.S. Code § 4617(a)(4).
64. 12 U.S. Code § 4617(a)(4)(D). Upon the appointment, the enterprise has 30 days to demand judicial review of the receivership decision. The court must
decide based on the merits. See 12 U.S. Code § 4617(a)(5).
65. 12 U.S. Code § 4617(b)(2)(E).
66. The FHFA appoints the entire board of directors of the LLRE. This board is required to adopt bylaws approved by the FHFA. 12 U.S. Code §4617(i)(2)(D).
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