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Advanced credit risk rating platform

A launch pad for better risk management


Global Investment Compliance Monitoring | ICM infrastructure efficiency and effectiveness

Contents

New approach to credit risk management 2


A complex ecosystem being further challenged 3
Emergence of the advanced risk rating platform 6
Harmonization of technology, data, and processes
across the model lifecycle 9
Leading practices have started to emerge 14
Conclusion 17
Case study 1 18
Case study 2 18

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Advanced credit risk rating platform | A launch pad for better risk management

Introduction

There has been considerable attention institutions’ abilities to rapidly deploy the several upstream and downstream
placed in recent years regarding the use models in the field and to quickly have processes, such as underwriting and
of models in financial institutions. This the end-users (such as credit analysts allowance/reserving
has stemmed from a combination of and underwriters) use them effectively to •• Scenario analysis and planning during
multiple factors, including regulations conduct day-to-day operations. Models trigger events, including portfolio
and—more importantly—institutions’ are typically implemented via scorecards acquisitions and merger integrations,
own growing needs to manage business that are created specifically to address the and other regulatory aspects, such as
risks and operations more reliably using unique requirements of different types of stress testing and Comprehensive Capital
better predictors and indicators. Models obligors and facilities. Several organizations Analysis and Review (CCAR)
are intrinsic to the functioning of financial experience model deployment as a “choke
institutions and are deployed in variety of point,” whereby even if a model is ready Additionally, the emerging rating platforms
areas (businesses, finance, risk, operations) and approved, it takes several months to represent a generational leap in model
to manage multiple core functions, such as: implement the models in a rating platform. deployment by effectively using advanced
The effort is complicated further by the technologies, such as cloud computing,
•• lending fact that rating platforms in organizations advanced analytics, robotic process
are typically archaic and fragmented. automation, and artificial intelligence, in
•• fraud The deployment of new models takes several areas of the end-to-end business
considerable time, effort, and resources, and process. Financial institutions have started
•• pricing is done surgically by making modifications to derive significant cost and process
to mission-critical applications. The pace of efficiencies by such deployments.
•• business analytics changes to models, driven by internal and
regulatory mandates, have further strained This paper presents leading practices in
•• asset and liability management such implementation efforts. the industry, case studies, and an approach
that institutions may want to consider to
•• risk management In this whitepaper, we explore the assess the potential benefits of such an
ecosystem in institutions regarding the undertaking.
•• allowance/reserving model lifecycle, with emphasis on emerging
practices on model realization and
•• accounting execution. Advanced risk rating platforms
have emerged as a central constituent of
•• regulatory this ecosystem and play a key role in model
realization, as well as model execution. Such
While there has been much discussion leading platforms offer several benefits,
surrounding the accuracy of models and including:
managing inherent risks in those models,
•• Tighter integration between model
there has been relatively less attention paid developers, model risk management, and
to model realization and execution. business teams

We refer to model realization and model •• Ease of rapid implementation to


technology teams
execution as a core set of processes and
technologies that are instrumental in •• Flexibility in terms of interfacing with

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Advanced credit risk rating platform | A launch pad for better risk management

New approach to
credit risk management
With the rapid evolution of the US banking •• Cost and Process efficiencies: Several •• Oversight and governance: There is
regulatory and market landscapes, risk institutions are exploring means of an increased responsibility placed on
rating (especially in the context of credit leveraging new technologies such as banks’ senior management and boards
risk) and related processes have become digitization, robotic process automation, to provide the appropriate level of
increasingly critical. From a previously siloed natural language processing and governance and oversight across capital
generation and machine learning to planning and risk management processes,
activity, risk rating currently occupies center
reduce the cost and effort involved driving the need for robust risk rating
stage in almost every aspect of a bank’s
around risk rating processes. model execution processes with built-in
day-to-day operations. There is an increased control mechanisms.
focus on the models underlying risk rating
due to several factors:
Sidebar 1: Inventory of models is growing and becoming more diverse
•• Regulations: New regulations, such as
A typical financial institution today employs models in a wide variety of
Basel III, Comprehensive Capital Analysis
areas as detailed below.
Review (CCAR)/stress testing, and liquidity
coverage ratio (LCR), have resulted in the
Line of business and operations •• Reserves:
need for a larger inventory and increased
overall complexity of models (see Sidebar –– Loan loss forecasting
•• Underwriting and portfolio
1) with greater focus on ongoing model management: –– Allowance for Loan and Lease
accuracy. –– Customer targeting and profitability Losses (ALLL) calculation
–– Risk-based pricing –– Current Expected Credit Loss
•• Market conditions: Challenging US market
–– Consumer behavioral models model (CECL)
conditions and the prolonged low interest
rate regime have driven institutions to •• Operational controls and compliance:
revise underwriting models and adopt Treasury and finance
–– Anti-money laundering (AML)
superior technologies to facilitate efficient •• Capital management:
–– Trade surveillance
model rollout. –– Regulatory capital
•• Other: –– Economic capital
•• Positioning for Growth: As financial
institutions are re-calibrating their –– Mergers and acquisition –– CCAR / Dodd Frank Act Stress
business strategy to position for growth, –– Product pricing and valuation (e.g., Test (DFAST)
the increased pace of product innovation, derivative and structured products)
–– Actuarial models (for insurance •• Liquidity risk
acquisition of selected portfolios, etc.
mean new risk models need to be rapidly business) •• Asset liability management
developed and deployed.

•• Advanced analytics: The emphasis on Risk management Note: Although this document focuses
more sophisticated internal reporting •• Wholesale/retail credit risk models: on credit risk rating models, many of
and analytics, as well as regulatory –– Risk rating models (e.g., Obligor the principles and ideas are equally
expectations for risk and model data (e.g., Ratings, Facility Ratings, etc.) applicable to other models.
BCBS 239, SR 11-7) and model overlay,
–– Risk segmentation models
are driving a need for more robust risk
rating data infrastructure, integration, •• Market risk models:
traceability, and model inventory
•• Operational risk models
management.

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Advanced credit risk rating platform | A launch pad for better risk management

A complex ecosystem
being further challenged
Risk rating models pass through a complex lifecycle encompassing model development, initial and periodic model validation, model
realization, and ongoing model execution to generate ratings. Various internal and external drivers are placing an increased emphasis on
banks’ infrastructure supporting rating models across their lifecycle.

Figure 1. Credit risk model lifecycle (illustrative)

Stage 3 The focus of this document*

Model realization/
scorecard setup
Stage 1 Stage 4
Model results and monitoring reports Pre-populate
Model methodology automated data inputs
Model specification Data storage and
and data definition
and testing reporting

1
Model Model
development execution
Model monitoring Implementation Workflow and Capture manual
and refinement and support approvals data inputs

Independent validation Execute scorecard


calculation logic
Stage 2

Assess model Review model


Model development implementation approach Model results and
documentation monitoring reports

Model
risk management
Assess model
and data
Validate specification
monitoring plan

Review development
evidence

*This whitepaper explores the ecosystem in institutions regarding the model lifecycle with emphasis on emerging practices
around model realization and execution, tightly integrated with loan underwriting and decisioning.
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Advanced credit risk rating platform | A launch pad for better risk management

The typical model lifecycle (see Figure


1) includes several sub-processes that Banks are enhancing existing models
are highly inter-dependent and involves
activities across multiple teams. Risk rating
model development typically involves the
while also developing new models at
statistical analysis of historical loss data
to arrive at a model specification. The
a rapid pace, thus experiencing the
model specification defines a calculation
algorithm that employs specific attributes need to significantly compress the
of the obligor or exposure (e.g., financial
ratios, external ratings) to predict the
corresponding credit risk parameters (e.g.,
risk rating model lifecycle.
PD, LGD, EAD). An independent model risk
management team evaluates the process of
significant time and effort is needed to •• Integrating data across multiple sources
model development and provides approval
bridge these data and technology gaps. and data pre-processing, which may
for the model to be made available to raters/ require significant effort
underwriters for use. The process of model Finally, the complex inter-dependencies
realization translates the approved model across model lifecycle necessitate •• Performing scenario and sensitivity
specification to a technology solution which careful coordination between the model analyses on new models and ongoing
development team, validation team, raters, monitoring of model performance,
can then be used by the raters/underwriters
and various technology/business teams. which can be time-consuming and labor-
to perform model execution (i.e., generate
Many of these stakeholders may be in intensive
ratings using the model calculation
algorithm). The model risk management also different locations and time- zones, leading
to significant delays. 2. Model risk management activities
performs an independent evaluation of the
are geared toward providing independent
model realization process and performs
The various processes supporting the model oversight over models across its
ongoing monitoring of model execution. The
lifecycle are becoming more sophisticated, development, implementation, and ongoing
model development team also performs
robust, and integrated with each other and execution. Financial institutions may face
continuous analysis of outputs generated by
with banks’ broader risk management and challenges because:
the model to evaluate model performance
and recalibrate/redevelop the model as reporting processes and infrastructure. With •• Validation efforts could be hampered
appropriate. the increased emphasis on shortening the by limited transparency into the model
model lifecycle, several new challenges have implementation and execution processes
emerged across the various stages in the including data sourcing and complex pre-
In our experience the end-to-end
model lifecycle. processing, calculation algorithm, handling
process of development, validation, and
of exception scenarios, model version
realization of a complex new model takes control, and change management
six months or more. Various factors play 1. Model development activities include
a role in elongating the model lifecycle. methodology selection, development •• There may be limited implementation
Availability of usable historical loss data is dataset definition, model specification, testing evidence to indicate that the
testing, ongoing monitoring, and re- implemented model aligns with the model
a typical constraint that slows down model
development/re-calibration. As financial specification that was approved
development. Also, the sources of data and
pre-processing techniques employed during institutions are moving toward development •• Model performance monitoring requires
model development may not be relevant of more statistically grounded models and advanced reporting and analytics
for model execution. Model development continuous model refinement, they are functionality
and execution are typically carried out in faced with several challenges, including:
different technology environments—the 3. Model realization includes the set of
•• Obtaining timely and high-quality data
former typically uses analytical tools such for model development and refinement implementation activities that make the
as SAS and R while the latter may employ a (including historical rating data inputs and model available to the underwriters for
variety of technology solutions ranging from outputs, charge-off and recovery data, and risk rating. The need to implement new
excel spreadsheets to custom applications external market data such as ratings and and updated models that are increasingly
and tools. As part of model realization, financial statements) complex is placing significant stress on
model realization processes.

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Advanced credit risk rating platform | A launch pad for better risk management

•• Initial model implementation and their calculation processes pose several issues Risk rating enablement: Different
ongoing maintenance typically requires during model execution. stakeholders, common needs
extensive involvement from banks’ There are a variety of bank stakeholders
information technology staff and can •• Sourcing of input data from disparate
internal and external data sourcing with different roles and responsibilities
result in significant delays and costs across the model lifecycle. However, these
presents challenges around ensuring
•• Limited involvement of business timely availability of accurate data stakeholders have several common needs
stakeholders in the process may result with respect to credit risk rating that need
in invalid implementation and incorrect •• Appropriate control mechanisms need
to be addressed by the infrastructure and
ratings to be established around execution
processes supporting rating enablement
steps that require manual input (ranging
•• Testing of implemented models to ensure from selection of model for rating and (see Figure 2).
their consistency with the expected incorporating manual rating inputs to
behavior under various scenarios can also manual override of system-generated
be time-consuming ratings) to minimize user error

•• Integration of rating model execution


4. Model execution encompasses the
processes with the overall underwriting
capture of model input data, execution of process and other consumers of rating
the model algorithm to generate risk ratings, outputs (including model development
and rating approval workflow. Increasing and validation processes) is critical
complexity in model data sourcing and

Figure 2. Risk rating —


­ diverse stakeholders with common needs

Several bank stakeholders representing Stakeholders have common needs which


various functions are involved in credit need to be addressed by rating enablement
risk rating processes: infrastructure and processes:

• Model developers
• Meeting regulatory expectations around rating systems,
• Raters / underwriters model risk management, risk data, reporting etc.
• Risk / portfolio management • Adoption of advanced technologies to achieve data
• Line of business integration with source systems and consumers of
rating output
• Finance / treasury Credit
• Information technology
risk rating • Achieving improved transparency through reporting
and analytics and greater business involvement
enablement
• Senior management •
• Model risk management automation and improved usability

• Internal audit • Risk-focused supervision and improved support for


ongoing model monitoring / validation
• Regulators

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Advanced credit risk rating platform | A launch pad for better risk management

Emergence of the
advanced risk rating
platform
The advanced risk rating platform tends to increase model implementation data management layer supports a wide
(RRP) represents a paradigm shift from accuracy and overall transparency. There range of stakeholders needs including
conventional approaches to credit risk is also a drastic reduction in technology model performance monitoring, sensitivity
rating enablement. It has several dynamic team efforts that reduces the time and analysis, and operational/analytical
new features that can help holistically cost to implement new and updated reporting.
models.
address the demands of a diverse set of •• Upstream and downstream data
stakeholders. •• Use of advanced technologies: integration: The platform supports the
Cloud-computing technology is leveraged easy integration with sources of model
•• Business self-service: The advanced
to enable institutions to quickly stand up input and consumers of model output
RRP enables business stakeholders, such
a comprehensive and scalable solution using a variety of robust and flexible
as model developers and risk/portfolio
with minimal infrastructure investments. interfaces. Workflow management
managers, to take ownership of the model
Advances in business rules and workflow features also allow for easy integration
realization and maintenance activities.
management technology are employed to with enterprise user authentication, as
Users are able to easily configure pre-
enable business users to use visual “drag- well as credit approval and origination
built solution components to implement
and-drop” interfaces to implement model business processes.
models quickly, rather than engaging
calculation algorithms and generate rating
in custom development activities. This
screens. A functionality- rich analytics and

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Advanced credit risk rating platform | A launch pad for better risk management

The advanced risk rating platform is at the •• Consumers: Various downstream systems
core of a streamlined credit risk rating eco- and teams are dependent on the rating
system (see Figure 3). data generated by the platform. The final
obligor and facility ratings are used in the
•• Sources: Several databases and data loan origination process to make decisions
warehouses form the source of input data around loan approval and structuring.
to risk rating models. Outputs from periodic re-rating of obligors
•• Rating platform: rating execution layer: and facilities is factored into ongoing
This is the part of the platform where the loan servicing processes. Obligor ratings,
rating inputs are processed based on facility ratings, and EAD outputs also play a
the model calculation logic to generate central role in determining the calculation
outputs. The execution layer facilitates the of regulatory and economic capital and
initiation of the rating, including manual Basel III/CCAR reporting. Rating outputs
or automated selection of the obligors are also used to estimate expected loss
and facilities to be rated and the selection reserves. Several portfolio analytics
of the appropriate models to be used. functions—such as portfolio monitoring,
Data inputs needed for the rating are economic capital allocation, economic
then sourced either automatically from profitability analysis, relationship value
source systems or from raters. In the assessment, watch-list management,
case of re-ratings, rating inputs may be and asset resolution— depend on rating
pre-populated from a prior rating, where outputs generated by the platform. The
appropriate. Data inputs are validated model development team is dependent on
and any requisite pre-processing steps the availability of historical rating inputs,
are performed. The model calculation intermediate values, and outputs for use in
algorithm is then executed using the data model re-calibration and re-development
inputs to generate the ratings. At this efforts. The ongoing monitoring of model
point, the rater may be provided with the performance also relies on the availability
ability to override the system-generated of rating outputs in a timely manner.
rating. The rating may also pass through
an approval workflow before it is finalized.

•• Rating platform: data and analytics


layer: This module stores the final output
(Obligor/Facility rating, EAD amount, model
inputs, etc.) from the rating execution
layer. The data layer also publishes data
extracts to downstream consumers
of rating outputs. The data analytics
layer enables scenario and sensitivity
analysis of models, monitoring of model
performance, benchmarking of model
outputs, and analytical reporting.

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Advanced credit risk rating platform | A launch pad for better risk management

Figure 3. Credit risk rating ecosystem (illustrative)

Sources Credit risk rating platform—rating execution layer Consumers

Model
Initiation Data Sourcing Pre-processing
Obligor / calculation
Loan origination
guarantor data
Obligor rating & servicing *
Customer • Loan structuring
master data • Obligor selection • Automated data • Missing value • Model score • Rating analysis &
• Limit management
repository • Obligor scorecard sourcing treatment calculation overrides
• Periodic reviews
selection • Manual data • Extreme value • PD Grade • Rating review &
input capture treatment assignment approval C 1 2
Spreading • Input data • Generation of • Rating
applications validation model inputs
Capital
Facility rating management &
External ratings reporting
data providers • Facility creation • Automated data • Missing value • Collateral value • Rating analysis & • Basel III RWA
sourcing treatment calculation overrides
• CCAR stress testing
• Facility selection • Manual data • Extreme value • Model score • Rating review &
input capture treatment calculation approval • Economic capital / ICAAP
• Facility scorecard
selection • Input data • Cross-collateral- • LGD grade • Rating
C 6
validation ization analysis assignment
Macro-economic • Cross-guarantee
data analysis
Reserves
Market data
providers
EAD generation** • Loan loss forecasting
• ALLL calculations
• Automated • Automated data • Missing value • EAD 5
triggering sourcing treatment computation
• Active exposures • Collateral data • Extreme value • EAD aggregation
• Obligor data treatment C
• Ead model • Data • Generation of Portfolio analytics
Delinquency selection model inputs
reconciliation • Portfolio level monitoring
data
• Economic capital
Watch-list allocation
monitoring •
systems Credit risk rating platform—data & analytics layer • Relationship value
• Credit review
Data Persistence Layer • Watch list management
• Asset resolution
Data storage Data extraction
Facility / loan Model inputs, intermediate values & outputs System Performance Monitoring
data Finalized PD & LGD ratings
C 3 4
Periodic data extracts for downstream
Rating roles & privileges Monitoring periodic data extracts for downstream
Transaction
systems
Model monitoring
Data Analytics Layer • Reports generation &
Facility / loan analysis
master data Scenario & Performance Model Reporting • Escalation & remediation
repository
sensitivity monitoring benchmarking • Ad-hoc and dynamic A B
analysis • Portfolio level check • data analysis
• Model setup & • Re-calibrated model • Model versioning • Data visualization
results • Parallel model run • Scorecard Model
Collateral data • Input value calibration • Comparison and • Champion /
performance metrics
development
• Model execution statistical analysis challenger outputs • Exception
Collateral • Simulation analysis & reporting reporting •
management • Outputs analysis &
reporting • Canned reports & •
system dashboards testing
A A B A A A

Legend

Area/function Database A Model development life cycle B Model risk mmanagement life cycle
Business process
Potential control 1 Lifecycle stage C Model execution life cycle D Credit life cycle

*Integration of the risk rating platform with underwriting systems provides the most immediate beneficial impacts.
** Although not traditionally considered within the scope of the risk rating platform, some institutions are now also incorporating EAD generation within
their risk rating platform implementations, given that EAD is model-driven and also drives credit decisioning, capital management decisions, etc.

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Advanced credit risk rating platform | A launch pad for better risk management

Harmonization of
technology, data, and
processes across the
model lifecycle
The advanced risk rating platform •• Ongoing monitoring: The analytics, data Model realization and execution:
orchestrates the harmonization of visualization, and alerting capabilities The platform provides robust support
technology components, data flows, and can significantly enhance ongoing model across all model realization and execution
business processes to address the diverse performance monitoring. The platform steps to increase efficiency and accuracy of
needs of the various stakeholders across can also assist with comparing model the rating process.
performance with challenger/ benchmark
the model lifecycle.
models. •• Rating initiation: The platform can enable
automated triggering of ratings based
Model development: on specific criteria (e.g., external rating
Model risk management:
The platform provides production data and The platform supports model risk downgrade). Also, the platform can use
analytics support for model development pre-defined business logic to identify
management activities by enabling model
the appropriate model to be used to
activities, including scenario/sensitivity stress tests, providing options for model
perform the rating (e.g., selection of the
analysis, data visualization support, and versioning/ audit trail, and monitoring appropriate PD scorecard based on the
model redevelopment/recalibration. deployed model performance. obligor NAICS code).
•• Model development data: The data •• Change control: The platform can •• Pre-populated rating inputs: The
persistence layer provides high-quality enable audit trail and version control platform can automatically pre-populate
rating data on a real-time basis for use capabilities across model realization and relevant rating inputs sourced from prior
in model development and recalibration, implementation processes. This enables historical ratings or from data sources
thus enabling the bank to fine-tune its model risk management to ensure that (e.g., spreading application, market data),
models rapidly in response to internal and any changes made to models and ratings thus reducing the need for manual input
external triggers. are tightly controlled and validated. and minimizing user input errors.
•• Model testing: The data analytics layer •• Monitoring reports: Analysis and •• Data validation: Business rules can be
provides scenario/sensitivity analysis reporting functionality can help ensure easily configured to verify the validity of
functionality for stress testing developed adequate oversight of model performance. data against specific data ranges, list of
models prior to roll-out. This enables a
•• Transparent model realization: The values, formats, and other business logic.
comprehensive impact analysis of the
model data sourcing and calculation Rules can also be configured to highlight
model on the bank’s existing portfolio to
algorithm is easy to review and validate via input values that are outliers with respect
identify potential changes to regulatory/
graphical interfaces/documentation that is to the overall rating population. Robust
economic capital, provisions, etc. It also
generated by the platform. data validation functionality is critical to
helps to identify sensitivity to specific
ensuring ongoing rating accuracy.
inputs and assumptions.

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Advanced credit risk rating platform | A launch pad for better risk management

•• Intuitive data capture screens: •• Calculation logic execution: The –– Adjusting model output by specific
Graphical user interface screens are easy platform supports the easy configuration increments or notches which is subject
to configure and maintain on the platform. of complex mathematical computations to controls and audit trail requirements
This allows for easy design and fine-tuning associated with the model. In addition, in the same fashion as overrides.
to meet the needs of raters/underwriters the platform also enables automated –– Configuring the platform to automatically
and other users. execution of the model calculation logic
trigger a review and approval workflow
against an input data set. This functionality
•• Data pre-processing: Rating data based on specific business rules
may be used for automated testing of
inputs may need to undergo several (e.g., deal size exceeds pre-defined
the calculation logic as well as bulk rating
pre-processing steps prior to their use thresholds, rating migration exceeding
execution against a sub-portfolio based
in model execution, including treatment pre-defined number of notches)
on specific criteria.
for missing input values, capping/flooring
of extreme values, and other data •• Workflow and approval: Inbuilt controls •• Data storage and reporting: The
transformations required to generate and automated and manual review steps, platform persists the input, intermediate,
model input values (e.g., calculation of like the ones listed below, help to provide and final calculation values. It also has
financial ratios, log transforms, etc.). process checks and balances. pre-prepared and template reports for
The risk rating platform allows for easy –– Overriding model output to incorporate regulatory and management reporting.
configuration of data pre-processing the impact of factors not otherwise
steps. captured by the model. The platform can
be configured to capture a detailed audit
trail around each override.

Each of the key stakeholders involved in the risk rating process stands to benefit from the
advanced risk rating platform

Role Significant potential benefits

Raters/ •• Improved rating process efficiency driven by workflow automation


underwriters •• Automated execution of re-rating across portfolios based on specific criteria
•• Pre-populated input data from source systems and prior rating reduces effort
•• Integration with origination systems streamlines the underwriting process
•• Ability to rate using various devices including laptops and PDAs
•• Integration with single sign-on removes need for separate login to platform
•• Screens can be personalized based on the user profile to improve ease of use

Model •• Easy creation of model development datasets integrating internal/external data


developers •• Ability to easily analyze model sensitivity to various input parameters
•• Advanced performance monitoring against challenger models/actual outcomes

Line of •• Rapid model realization improves overall responsiveness to market changes


business •• Streamlined rating execution reduces time taken for loan decisioning
•• Improved controls around process raise model accuracy and reduce credit losses
•• Ability to simulate risk parameter impact of new models, portfolio changes, etc.
•• Increased transparency improves overall confidence in the rating process
•• Ability to perform ad-hoc/drill-down analysis on rating data

Information •• Reduced total cost of ownership driven by ease of platform maintenance


technology •• Emphasis on configuration versus custom build reduces model realization effort
•• Increased business involvement leads to reduced implementation defects
•• Easier functional validation of model calculations
•• Easy to setup scalable technology infrastructure leveraging cloud computing
•• Efficient change management through streamlined version control capabilities

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Advanced credit risk rating platform | A launch pad for better risk management

Role Significant potential benefits

Risk/portfolio •• Eases process of model development, roll-out, and maintenance


management •• Input data validation and controls improves rating accuracy
•• Robust repository for models (including archived and challenger models)
•• Increased transparency into model realization process
•• Enhanced ability to track operational efficiency of the rating process
•• Advanced analytical reporting around portfolio risk drivers

Regulatory •• Can simulate impact of new models on regulatory/economic capital adequacy


compliance •• Facilitates regulatory compliance around model development and risk rating
•• Supports overall data governance through controls, improved transparency, etc.

Model •• Easier to review and validate model implementation


risk •• Facilitates analysis to monitor model performance and population stability
management •• Easy to monitor model use through traceable data flows and user authentication
•• Tight controls around model updates through model versioning and audit trails

Internal audit •• Audit can be based on automatically generated system documentation


•• Audit trails around rating overrides, modifications to financial ratios from spreading application, treatment of
missing/invalid data inputs, etc.
•• Easy to validate model calculation algorithm through automated test execution

Senior •• Reduced lead time for model realization improves organizational responsiveness to market shocks, regulatory
management changes, etc.
•• Governance and control mechanisms enable increased confidence in ratings

Regulators •• Increased transparency results in more effective supervision


•• Greater alignment with regulatory expectations around risk rating, model development and validation, model data
governance, and management oversight

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Advanced credit risk rating platform | A launch pad for better risk management

Sidebar 2. Credit risk rating platform: Technical architecture


The credit risk rating platform consists of three main modules working in close synchronization, viz., model execution layer,
model authoring platform, and model repository.

Credit risk rating platform: technical architecture


Figure 4. Advanced rating platform – technical architecture

Sources Model execution

Credit rating Data layer


Spreading system
system

Calculation
Loan
rules engine Input
origination Obligor
Data attributes
system
integration Enterprise
Intermediate
Facility datawarehouse /
rules engine values
Rating datamart
agencies
Collateral Rating output
Webserver
Client
information
system

Production
Web user
input

Model authoring platform

Calculation rules User interface layer


Consumer
Calculation algorithm GUI screen design applications
Model
development
environment Data pre-processing UI validation rules
Regulatory reporting
Model Data post-processing
Portfolio analytics
specs
SAS Model monitoring

R Economic capital
Development
Matlab ALLL

SPSS Scenario analysis


Model repository
Excel Benchmarking
Inventory Versioning Audit trail Permissions

The model execution layer is where the The model execution layer pulls the relevant The model authoring platform is used to
rating models are executed to generate input data from various external sources configure the rating models, which are used
credit ratings. The core credit rating system (e.g., spreading applications, rating agencies) in the execution layer to generate ratings.
includes a web server which enables the and internal systems (e.g., transaction It enables the setup of calculation rules as
rating user interface screens, a calculation systems, loan origination systems). Output well as the user interface and workflow rules
rules engine that incorporates the model from the credit risk rating platform is for each model. The model configuration is
calculation algorithm, and a workflow typically fed into an enterprise wide data based on the model specification developed
rules engine that orchestrates the rating warehouse or data mart, which serves in the model development environment
workflow. The rater/underwriter connects to as the source of all credit rating data for through statistical analysis (typically using
the credit rating system using web interface downstream consumers (e.g., regulatory tools such as SAS and R) of historical default
to create risk rating for the borrower or reporting, portfolio analytics, loan servicing, data.
associated facility. The execution layer capital requirement/economic capital, ALLL,
can also support bulk ratings using an model monitoring). This data is also used as The model repository acts as an inventory
automated batch process. The rating data a feedback for future model recalibration, of all models currently or previously being
including rating inputs, intermediate values, development, and benchmarking. used or deployed within the credit risk rating
and final output are all stored in the data platform. It supports model versioning,
layer along with master records comprising audit trails, and user authentication.
of obligor, facility, and collateral data.

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Advanced credit risk rating platform | A launch pad for better risk management

Artificial intelligence and


advanced automation:
Implications for credit risk
rating platforms
Financial institutions are increasingly model developers, and other business users As these technologies are becoming more
adopting leading technologies, including to focus on high-value activities, such as accessible, financial institutions have
machine learning, robotic process building customer relationships and product already started considering advanced
automation, natural language processing, innovation. Automation can improve automation and artificial intelligence-related
and natural language generation, to further process efficiencies across various risk rating technologies in the model cycle and risk
enhance the value realized from their risk processes, including data sourcing, loan rating platform related processes. Risk
rating infrastructure and processes. The review, and model performance monitoring. rating platforms play a key role in financial
dynamic nature of the market means that it’s institutions, and are tightly integrated
critical for financial institutions to be able to Natural language processing with multitude of mission-critical business
quickly identify and predict trends and adapt technologies are being used to derive processes – thus becoming cross-functional
their lending strategy and decision making useful input data for risk management areas with immense potential for realizing
accordingly. processes from internal and external the benefits of employing these new
unstructured data, including analyst reports, technologies.
Machine learning techniques help industry articles, and loan documentation.
banks uncover hidden insights from Increasing availability of digitization
data underlying various rating processes. technologies has led to an exponential
In addition, it can enable solutions with increase in the amount of unstructured data
predictive capabilities that continuously that is available. The risk rating platform
improve their predictive accuracy based can efficiently integrate natural language
on the data they receive over time. The risk processing technology with the core
rating platform provides a comprehensive rating processes to increase the financial
repository of accurate and timely data institution’s nimbleness in responding to
related to risk rating. This, coupled external trigger events.
with robust processes, provides a solid
foundation for financial institutions to use Natural language generation is
machine-learning techniques. useful in the automated generation
of human-readable reports for internal
Robotic process automation can be stakeholders, such as credit approvers,
employed to efficiently perform high- model validation, senior management, as
volume repetitive tasks with rules-based well as regulators.
decision making. This frees up underwriters,

13
Advanced credit risk rating platform | A launch pad for better risk management

Leading practices have


started to emerge

The implementation of the advanced risk rating platform typically represents a regime shift in a bank’s credit risk management practices.
Several leading practices have been proven to help financial institutions navigate typical pitfalls during the initial implementation or
transformation phase as well as the post-implementation or business-as-usual phase.

Transformation phase
Given the central role of risk rating in banks, the initial implementation of the platform generally involves surgical changes to existing systems,
business process, and data flows. Several critical success factors have been identified across the various implementation phases.

Functional validation
Implementation Requirements Solution design User training
and readiness
planning definition and configuration and rollout
assessment

Assess pros and cons of Gather current and fu- Ensure flexibility in Involve raters/ underwrit- Tailor training to user
big bang versus phased ture requirements from overall solution architecture ers early in the testing groups
implementation all stakeholders process

Align implementation Incorporate support for Design scalable system in- Ensure comprehensive- Establish helpdesk
timelines with regulatory analytics and reporting terfaces ness of functional valida- support
deadlines functionality tion scenarios

Program management

Careful coordination Ensure effective organi- Establish clear lines of re- Promote transparency Ensure continuous
across stakeholders driv- zational change manage- sponsibility across various across stakeholders alignment with overall
en by business ment teams through frequent com- program objectives
munications

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Advanced credit risk rating platform | A launch pad for better risk management

•• Assess pros and cons of big bang versus –– Data storage: The underlying data model In addition to the above, given the typical
phased implementation: Where feasible, should be granular enough to capture all scale and complexity of a rating platform
a phased approach may allow for a gradual rating data inputs and intermediate/final implementation, effective program
ramp-up in scope and sophistication of outputs. The data architecture should management practices are particularly
the platform while potentially reducing be scalable to accommodate data from crucial. This includes:
overall risk and delivering quick business
models to be deployed in the future.
benefits. However, the bank’s business •• Careful coordination across stakeholders
–– UI Design: The user interface should be driven by business
processes or technology architecture
might mandate the need for implementing designed to allow for easy addition and
modification of rating inputs and related •• Providing effective organizational change
all existing models and most of the
data validation/business rules. management
desired functionality as part of the initial
implementation cycle. •• Design scalable system interfaces: •• Establishing clear lines of responsibility
Platform interfaces to external data across various teams
•• Align implementation timelines with
regulatory deadlines: The platform sources (e.g., spreading applications, •• Promoting transparency across
implementation plan should be aligned external ratings providers) and internal stakeholders through frequent
with the model development/recalibration systems (e.g., origination systems, communications
timelines to help drive execution so that enterprise data warehouse) should
be defined in a scalable manner to •• Monitoring continuous alignment with
approved models are rolled out in a timely
accommodate for changes in model data overall program objectives
manner to meet regulatory and business
expectations. inputs/outputs and new models. The
interface design needs to be able to bridge Business-as-usual phase
•• Gather current and future potential differences in data structures, After the completion of the initial
requirements from all stakeholders: granularity, and exchange protocols. The implementation, the focus shifts to
It’s important that the requirements design also needs to consider the timing ongoing enhancement and maintenance
gathering effort captures current as of source systems data availability for activities. This may include deployment
well as future requirements from all the periodic or on-demand model execution.
relevant business and technology teams of new or redeveloped credit risk models,
including risk/portfolio management, •• Involve representative raters/ integration of additional data sources, and
raters/ underwriters, model development, underwriters early in the testing incorporation of new reports. The following
model risk management, consumers of process: Early involvement of users can best practices are relevant post the initial
risk ratings (such as regulatory capital, help provide that any inefficiencies in implementation:
economic capital, CCAR, and ALLL) rating execution in the new platform are
identified promptly. •• Proactive operational monitoring:
and technology teams including those
Implementation of a comprehensive set
responsible for enterprise systems •• Ensure comprehensiveness of of system and data controls around the
architecture, data governance, and functional validation scenarios: rating processes coupled with operational
application development. Validation scenarios should be defined to monitoring is critical for early identification
•• Incorporate support for analytics address extreme values for rating inputs, of implementation issues. In addition,
and reporting functionality: Model boundary conditions, and exceptions, such monitoring can also highlight areas where
monitoring, development, and as missing/invalid data. raters need additional guidance.
recalibration are critically dependent on •• Tailor training to user groups: Any
sensitivity/scenario analysis and other training materials/sessions and user
analytic/reporting functionality. Capture manuals that are developed should be
of appropriate rating data attributes and tailored to the various raters (e.g., by
integrating data into the analysis in a business portfolio) and other user groups
timely fashion should also be addressed. and cover typical usage scenarios (e.g.,
•• Ensure flexibility in overall solution rating/re-rating, searching for a historical
architecture: The platform architecture rating).
design should be able to easily incorporate •• Establish helpdesk support: To ease
the requirements and risk models that the transition for users during and
evolve as the product portfolio and immediately after rollout, it’s important
business strategy of the bank changes. To to set up a dedicated support helpdesk
develop a robust platform architecture, to address user questions. Publishing an
the following features need to be kept in FAQ document with typical user questions
mind during design. and responses would also help ease the
–– Core model: Model implementation transition.
should be well designed for easy
maintenance, allow detailed debugging,
and support traceability.

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Advanced credit risk rating platform | A launch pad for better risk management

•• Effective resource model for ongoing •• Integrated model change management: •• Minimizing manual inputs: As the
platform maintenance: A cross- The overall model change-management platform matures, its level of integration
functional team including business and version-control processes across with source systems providing model
subject matter experts, technology business and technology teams should be execution inputs should be increased,
experts, and functional testers should tightly integrated with the version control thereby reducing the need for manual
be established for ongoing platform capabilities in the platform. This can help inputs/adjustments as well as increasing
maintenance. It’s important to retain provide that the platform can be most the data quality and reliability. Any
business team participation to allow close effectively leveraged as a model inventory intermediate data transformations should
coordination with the model development across the enterprise. be automated within the rating system,
teams and continued alignment with as opposed to being performed by the
•• Automated bulk rating: Enablement of
business needs. Business team members underwriter.
platform functionality to automatically
should own maintenance/enhancement
execute re-ratings for select sub-portfolios
activities involving configuration changes.
can ease the burden on raters to perform
Technology team members should take
periodic re-ratings. In addition, this feature
responsibility where development/
can also help provide that the relevant
customization efforts may be required
risk rating parameters are updated very
and/or technical complexity is involved.
quickly following the implementation of a
recalibrated model.

Path to success
The following are the critical preliminary steps to be performed:
Further enhance benefit realization
across the enterprise consider using
artificial intelligence and advances
automation (6+ months)
Complete initial implementation
in selected areas: start realization
of cost benefits and significant
Value

efficiencies (4-6 months)

Establish business case and


prepare for implementation
(1-2 months)

Time

Establish implementation
roadmap and path to
rapid benefit realization

Perform build-vs-buy
decision and conduct 4
tool/vendor evaluations

Assess institution's
business process and 3
technology capabilities
Prioritize areas for immediate
consideration and benefit
realization (e.g. commercial
lending, retail lending, and 2
other risk models)

Determine change
drivers and establish 1
business case

16
Advanced credit risk rating platform | A launch pad for better risk management

Conclusion
Changes in market conditions and The significance of a fully functional platform
regulations have meant that financial lies in its deep impact on various critical
institutions are under pressure to churn enterprise risk management processes,
out models at a faster pace while ensuring including the underwriting process, capital
that associated model risks are managed allocation, and regulatory reporting. The
effectively. Rating processes based on implementation of an advanced commercial
spreadsheets or fragmented technology credit risk rating platform makes strategic
are increasingly being replaced by advanced sense given that it can upscale the risk
credit risk rating platforms as institutions management framework of commercial
strive to remain competitive in the banks to the next level of maturity and
marketplace and comply with regulatory provide a vital competitive advantage in the
expectations. With strong linkages across current market.
each stage of the model lifecycle supported
by a robust platform, executives can realize:

Reduced time to market for credit


risk models through streamlined
implementation and deployment processes

•• Incorporated best practices in model


development, including support for
sensitivity analysis, enhanced model
monitoring, benchmarking, and analytical
reporting

•• Seamless integration across business


processes and systems

•• Centralized model inventory with robust


version control and change management
capabilities
•• Improvements in risk rating process
efficiency and user friendliness

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Advanced credit risk rating platform | A launch pad for better risk management

Case study 1
Case study 2
Credit risk rating platform platform implementation. Deloitte •• Reducing the time needed for model
implementation at a large US bank worked closely with end users, model deployment and execution
A large US bank had embarked on a developers, downstream consumers, •• Supporting the quick rollout of new
strategic initiative aimed at and other business/technology redeveloped rating models
redeveloping its portfolio of commercial stakeholders to define and document
risk rating models. As part of this model calculation, workflows, user •• Improving end-user experience
through better source system
initiative, the bank also initiated an interface, and other rating-related
integration and a more intuitive user
effort to enhance its credit risk rating functionality requirements. The team
interface
infrastructure to improve speed to steered end-to-end implementation of
market and reduce the effort needed to the entire suite of redeveloped
The Deloitte team played an important
deploy the new models, while ensuring commercial risk rating (PD, LGD, and
role in the bank’s transformation
performance stability and reliability. To EAD) models, including providing
journey and helped the bank achieve its
achieve these business objectives, the support around design, functional
goals through our deep experience in
bank leadership decided to implement a validation, and new platform rollout.
credit risk rating platform
“best-in- class” commercial credit risk Deloitte also provided strategic
implementation and related issues
rating solution using sophisticated, guidance around the
around the model lifecycle, regulatory
off-the-shelf tools. post-implementation target operating
compliance, and change management.
model for model realization.
From project inception, the Deloitte The successful platform
team has provided the bank team with implementation at the bank is already
on-the-ground advisory assistance in powering performance by:
planning, design, and execution of the

Credit risk rating platform functionality for the rating platform and •• High maintainability — rating
implementation at US super was instrumental in deployment of all scorecards can be developed, updated,
regional bank credit risk scorecards (including PD and and deployed by end users with limited
A large banking organization’s growth LGD) in the new platform. As a technology support required
was taking it closer to the Basel necessary step for the success of the •• Advanced rating capabilities —
regulatory threshold that defines it as a implementation, the team also designed sophisticated stress testing and
“core bank.” To better support a tactical obligor-facility repository to simulations
continued growth and achieve a robust, support the rating platform. This effort
•• Data integrity — with spreading
reliable, and tractable credit process, included a one-time migration of applications such as Moody’s Risk
bank leadership elected to implement a historical obligor data and assisted with Analyst and security (e.g., single sign-
more integrated credit risk rating the integration of the rating platform on)
system (strategic dual risk rating, with spreading applications and
S-DRR). reporting data marts. The Deloitte team was instrumental in
the overall success of the
The Deloitte team was brought in to The bank’s new platform is designed to implementation project and also
assist with the implementation of a be more efficient, Basel compliant, and provided valuable post-implementation
third-party vendor platform. In its is helping to power performance support, including working with the
advisory capacity, the Deloitte team through: bank executives for future
designed and implemented the enhancement plans and end-user
customized rating workflow training.

18
Advanced credit risk rating platform | A launch pad for better risk management

Authors Contributors
Bala Balachander Binny George
Principal | Deloitte Risk & Financial Advisory Senior Solution Advisor | Deloitte Risk & Financial Advisory
Deloitte & Touche LLP Deloitte & Touche LLP
+1 212 436 5340 +1 615 718 2350
lbalachander@deloitte.com bingeorge@deloitte.com

Jess Zacharias Souradip Adak


Senior Manager | Deloitte Risk & Financial Advisory Senior Solution Advisor | Deloitte Risk & Financial Advisory
Deloitte & Touche LLP Deloitte & Touche LLP
+1 412 338 7255 +1 404 487 7369
jzacharias@deloitte.com sadak@deloitte.com

Acknowledgements
Alok Sinha
Principal | Deloitte Risk & Financial Advisory
Advisory Financial Services Industry Leader
Deloitte & Touche LLP
+1 415 783 5203
asinha@deloitte.com

Monica O’Reilly
Principal | Deloitte Risk & Financial Advisory
Banking and Securities Industry Leader
Deloitte & Touche LLP
+1 415 783 5780
monoreilly@deloitte.com

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Advanced credit risk rating platform | A launch pad for better risk management

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As used in this document, “Deloitte” means Deloitte & Touche LLP, a subsidiary
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Copyright © 2017 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved..


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