REGRESSION

/DESCRIPTIVES MEAN STDDEV CORR SIG N

/MISSING LISTWISE
/STATISTICS COEFF OUTS CI(95) R ANOVA COLLIN TOL CHANGE ZPP
/CRITERIA=PIN(.05) POUT(.10)
/NOORIGIN
/DEPENDENT globalizationxm
/METHOD=ENTER WorldGDPinrealrategrowthfromIMF
Tariffratemostfavorednationweightedmeanallproducts
IndexcommodityFMI
BISProducerPriceIndexbyIndustryDeepSeaFreightTransportationDeepS Dummybefore1998
/SCATTERPLOT=(*ZRESID ,*ZPRED)
/RESIDUALS HISTOGRAM(ZRESID) NORMPROB(ZRESID).

Regression

Notes
Output Created 26-OCT-2020 17:10:05
Comments
Input Active Dataset DataSet2
Filter <none>
Weight <none>
Split File <none>
N of Rows in Working Data 1048566
File
Missing Value Handling Definition of Missing User-defined missing values
are treated as missing.
Cases Used Statistics are based on cases
with no missing values for
any variable used.
Syntax REGRESSION
/DESCRIPTIVES MEAN
STDDEV CORR SIG N
/MISSING LISTWISE
/STATISTICS COEFF
OUTS CI(95) R ANOVA
COLLIN TOL CHANGE ZPP
/CRITERIA=PIN(.05)
POUT(.10)
/NOORIGIN
/DEPENDENT
globalizationxm
/METHOD=ENTER
WorldGDPinrealrategrowthfro
mIMF
Tariffratemostfavorednationw
eightedmeanallproducts
IndexcommodityFMI
BISProducerPriceIndexbyInd
ustryDeepSeaFreightTranspo
rtationDeepS
Dummybefore1998
/SCATTERPLOT=(*ZRESID
,*ZPRED)
/RESIDUALS
HISTOGRAM(ZRESID)
NORMPROB(ZRESID).
Resources Processor Time 00:00:01,62
Elapsed Time 00:00:01,53
Memory Required 5680 bytes
Additional Memory Required 832 bytes
for Residual Plots

Descriptive Statistics
Mean Std. Deviation N
globalization (x+m) 39,60280211450 5,749384874618 31
7040 535
World GDP ( in real rate 3,645 1,1736 31
growth % ) from IMF
Tariff rate, most favored 5,799376667475 1,604854638514 31
nation, weighted mean, all 141 442
products (%)
Index commodity FMI 91,31850981750 30,80742291258 31
3570 9704
BIS:Producer Price Index by 191,1387864823 66,93492744786 31
Industry: Deep Sea Freight 34840 0290
Transportation: Deep Sea
Freight Transportation
Services, Index Jun
1988=100, Monthly, Not
Seasonally Adjusted
Dummybefore1998 ,32 ,475 31

Correlations
BIS:Produc
er Price
Index by
Industry:
Deep Sea
Freight
Transportati
on: Deep
Tariff rate, Sea Freight
most Transportati
favored on Services,
nation, Index Jun
World GDP weighted 1988=100,
( in real rate mean, all Index Monthly, Not
globalization growth % ) products commodity Seasonally
(x+m) from IMF (%) FMI Adjusted
Pearson globalization (x+m) 1,000 ,372 -,752 ,689 ,952
Correlation World GDP ( in real ,372 1,000 -,287 ,212 ,236
rate growth % ) from
IMF
Tariff rate, most -,752 -,287 1,000 -,665 -,731
favored nation,
weighted mean, all
products (%)
Index commodity FMI ,689 ,212 -,665 1,000 ,770
 BIS:Producer Price ,952 ,236 -,731 ,770 1,000
Index by Industry:
Deep Sea Freight
Transportation: Deep
Sea Freight
Transportation
Services, Index Jun
1988=100, Monthly,
Not Seasonally
Adjusted
Dummybefore1998 -,854 -,194 ,745 -,478 -,817
Sig. (1-tailed) globalization (x+m) . ,020 ,000 ,000 ,000
World GDP ( in real ,020 . ,059 ,126 ,100
rate growth % ) from
IMF
Tariff rate, most ,000 ,059 . ,000 ,000
favored nation,
weighted mean, all
products (%)
Index commodity FMI ,000 ,126 ,000 . ,000
BIS:Producer Price ,000 ,100 ,000 ,000 .
Index by Industry:
Deep Sea Freight
Transportation: Deep
Sea Freight
Transportation
Services, Index Jun
1988=100, Monthly,
Not Seasonally
Adjusted
Dummybefore1998 ,000 ,147 ,000 ,003 ,000
N globalization (x+m) 31 31 31 31 31
World GDP ( in real 31 31 31 31 31
rate growth % ) from
IMF
Tariff rate, most 31 31 31 31 31
favored nation,
weighted mean, all
products (%)
Index commodity FMI 31 31 31 31 31
 BIS:Producer Price 31 31 31 31 31
Index by Industry:
Deep Sea Freight
Transportation: Deep
Sea Freight
Transportation
Services, Index Jun
1988=100, Monthly,
Not Seasonally
Adjusted
Dummybefore1998 31 31 31 31 31

Correlations
Dummybefore1998
Pearson Correlation globalization (x+m) -,854
World GDP ( in real rate growth % ) from IMF -,194
Tariff rate, most favored nation, weighted ,745
mean, all products (%)
Index commodity FMI -,478
BIS:Producer Price Index by Industry: Deep -,817
Sea Freight Transportation: Deep Sea
Freight Transportation Services, Index Jun
1988=100, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Dummybefore1998 1,000
Sig. (1-tailed) globalization (x+m) ,000
World GDP ( in real rate growth % ) from IMF ,147
Tariff rate, most favored nation, weighted ,000
mean, all products (%)
Index commodity FMI ,003
BIS:Producer Price Index by Industry: Deep ,000
Sea Freight Transportation: Deep Sea
Freight Transportation Services, Index Jun
1988=100, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Dummybefore1998 .
N globalization (x+m) 31
World GDP ( in real rate growth % ) from IMF 31
Tariff rate, most favored nation, weighted 31
mean, all products (%)
Index commodity FMI 31
 BIS:Producer Price Index by Industry: Deep 31
Sea Freight Transportation: Deep Sea
Freight Transportation Services, Index Jun
1988=100, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Dummybefore1998 31

Variables Entered/Removeda
Variables Variables
Model Entered Removed Method
1 Dummybefore19 . Enter
98, World GDP (
in real rate
growth % ) from
IMF, Index
commodity FMI,
Tariff rate, most
favored nation,
weighted mean,
all products (%),
BIS:Producer
Price Index by
Industry: Deep
Sea Freight
Transportation:
Deep Sea
Freight
Transportation
Services, Index
Jun 1988=100,
Monthly, Not
Seasonally
Adjustedb

a. Dependent Variable: globalization (x+m)

b. All requested variables entered.

Model Summaryb
Change Statistics
Adjusted R Std. Error of the R Square
Model R R Square Square Estimate Change F Change
1 ,973a ,947 ,936 1,451211259018 ,947 89,174
697

Model Summaryb
Change Statistics
Model df1 df2 Sig. F Change
1 5 25 ,000

a. Predictors: (Constant), Dummybefore1998, World GDP ( in real rate growth % ) from IMF, Index commodity
FMI, Tariff rate, most favored nation, weighted mean, all products (%), BIS:Producer Price Index by Industry:
Deep Sea Freight Transportation: Deep Sea Freight Transportation Services, Index Jun 1988=100, Monthly, Not
Seasonally Adjusted
b. Dependent Variable: globalization (x+m)

ANOVAa
Model Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig.
1 Regression 939,012 5 187,802 89,174 ,000b
Residual 52,650 25 2,106
Total 991,663 30

a. Dependent Variable: globalization (x+m)

b. Predictors: (Constant), Dummybefore1998, World GDP ( in real rate growth % ) from IMF, Index
commodity FMI, Tariff rate, most favored nation, weighted mean, all products (%), BIS:Producer
Price Index by Industry: Deep Sea Freight Transportation: Deep Sea Freight Transportation
Services, Index Jun 1988=100, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted

Coefficientsa
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients Coefficients
Model B Std. Error Beta t
1 (Constant) 26,534 2,720 9,757
World GDP ( in real rate ,748 ,237 ,153 3,160
growth % ) from IMF
Tariff rate, most favored -,129 ,299 -,036 -,433
nation, weighted mean, all
products (%)
Index commodity FMI -,011 ,017 -,059 -,656
 BIS:Producer Price Index by ,067 ,010 ,781 6,391
Industry: Deep Sea Freight
Transportation: Deep Sea
Freight Transportation
Services, Index Jun
1988=100, Monthly, Not
Seasonally Adjusted
Dummybefore1998 -2,267 1,257 -,187 -1,803

Coefficientsa
95,0% Confidence Interval for B Correlations
Model Sig. Lower Bound Upper Bound Zero-order
1 (Constant) ,000 20,933 32,135
World GDP ( in real rate growth ,004 ,260 1,235 ,372
% ) from IMF
Tariff rate, most favored nation, ,669 -,745 ,486 -,752
weighted mean, all products
(%)
Index commodity FMI ,518 -,045 ,023 ,689
BIS:Producer Price Index by ,000 ,045 ,089 ,952
Industry: Deep Sea Freight
Transportation: Deep Sea
Freight Transportation
Services, Index Jun 1988=100,
Monthly, Not Seasonally
Adjusted
Dummybefore1998 ,083 -4,856 ,322 -,854

Coefficientsa
Correlations
Model Partial Part Tolerance VIF
1 (Constant)
World GDP ( in real rate growth % ) ,534 ,146 ,911 1,098
from IMF
Tariff rate, most favored nation, -,086 -,020 ,305 3,277
weighted mean, all products (%)
Index commodity FMI -,130 -,030 ,267 3,748
BIS:Producer Price Index by ,788 ,295 ,142 7,032
Industry: Deep Sea Freight
Transportation: Deep Sea Freight
Transportation Services, Index Jun
1988=100, Monthly, Not Seasonally
Adjusted
 Dummybefore1998 -,339 -,083 ,197 5,084

a. Dependent Variable: globalization (x+m)

Collinearity Diagnosticsa
Variance Proportions
Tariff rate, most
World GDP ( in favored nation,
real rate growth weighted mean,
Model Dimension Eigenvalue Condition Index (Constant) % ) from IMF all products (%)
1 1 5,012 1,000 ,00 ,00 ,00
2 ,825 2,465 ,00 ,00 ,00
3 ,078 8,022 ,00 ,64 ,00
4 ,068 8,568 ,01 ,23 ,15
5 ,010 22,561 ,01 ,00 ,14
6 ,007 27,378 ,98 ,12 ,71

Collinearity Diagnosticsa
Variance Proportions
BIS:Producer Price
Index by Industry: Deep
Sea Freight
Transportation: Deep
Sea Freight
Transportation
Services, Index Jun
1988=100, Monthly, Not
Model Dimension Index commodity FMI Seasonally Adjusted Dummybefore1998
1 1 ,00 ,00 ,00
2 ,00 ,00 ,12
3 ,10 ,01 ,05
4 ,07 ,00 ,17
5 ,74 ,92 ,64
6 ,09 ,06 ,01

a. Dependent Variable: globalization (x+m)

Residuals Statisticsa
Minimum Maximum Mean Std. Deviation N
Predicted Value 31,83792114257 46,91811752319 39,60280211450 5,59467735184 31
8125 3360 7040 4366
Residual - 2,67609238624 -,000000000000 1,32476857045 31
2,55727028846 5728 010 0023
7407
Std. Predicted Value -1,388 1,308 ,000 1,000 31
Std. Residual -1,762 1,844 ,000 ,913 31

a. Dependent Variable: globalization (x+m)

Charts