. Basha Bista Group? Enea Bol! No! 32125 chevrolet_are_Sho®n below. Develop Auto Sales at Carmen's - eek movino average” a__3-Week eb. q Week | Auto sales \ | 3 | - | 40 | | 3 | 3 | iL | 4 | ow ai s | 0 i 6 | 43 I t | = | Solutron:- Re knod that Moving averse = & Demand th Previous "n’ Periods g Uv 1 - € Sales tn preuus 3 Weeks 3 3- Week Noving? Average | p> to ‘ | (Ee 3 | | " | (841043) /3 = 9 5 ‘tor fo | Cos 9449/3 = 10 43 (9+u+10)/3 = 10 ES #0 - | Ute totsa)/ a = te a S Scanned with CamScanner[Problem 2: Carmen's decides to forecast auto Sales by Loe hting ral ie = tHe three weexs as follows: Develop & 3- Week WAIT — moviny querage « re _——— Weights Applied —_ i 3 last week | fr 2 tu weeks 24° | fi 4 Three Weeks ago _ | i 2m Jott LT Solution; : : _. ft We have (oeigbled Moving Average ~ 2Woeglt Fav ported 'n’) x g od v Cdlemand Fn Perret! n’ S weghts | im kleew Auto -Sales [ 3-een Weighted M i eet eulng Average 2 do 3 g L e q 44 [fea texioruaitye =9t | s so [3 x19) + (249) 4 (1 #005] [6 = t0¢ | G | sa. [ (3x10) +(x 49 + (1x9) = 10% i a: - US xis)4 (2xie)+(IeuYIe= 11 3% | Scanned with CamScannerA jim uses Simple. expenentit Smoothing ott 4204 Lo dg ~ | precast demand» The forecast fer the. “Week of Jemue A loas 500 units whereas the actuclt demand turned out eo be 450 units: Caleutate the demand forecast for the 19 of Tawa of g. 1 a Solution + here, Smoothing Constant (a )=0-4 Prevu foretast demand _[F, wie Goo units Nea forecast demand (f,7 = ? Now, We lenovo cone £70 (A -£ ) tL ber eee = S5o0r0-1 (450— 500) =. 49S unBe 4 tetace ' the demand forecast Calewloted for we week lof cae Rk & 4g5 Unik- Scanned with CamScannerlem 4? poem 4 : Exponential Smoothing & Used te forecast auomobi/e lkoltery Soles: Taso Value of a _are, | X= aod = 05 . examined | Evaluate the accurecy of Cach Emoothing (Constant. lohfch fs preferable ? (Assume. HOR hover. f ol Sales forecast for_Januow pace 02 batertes) Actu are fiver below: T meri Honth | Actual Baifery Forecast - Cee fonua ry [ lo 22 febsauary ad Narohk 15 Apt 14 Nay 43 Vune 16 Solution > Here, X08 and 06 tnd, Pevous forcacte demand (4): a2. Scanned with CamScanneri. 1 | for} 00-8 : I] Month | Battery? [Rounded T Absolule | Rounded | Agcotule & | | Sales [forecast | recast | forecast | fyeaab I} Nanuary | go Qo 9 | GL 2 i febrony [at dou Log | Sot ° [March | 46 ao3g | 6-29 | Qt le ee Apsil 14 16-12 ate | 4 4 & May 413 44g | tege | 16 3 ' | June 46 ag | 2a | we | te i Now, We Know t | Mean Absolute Deviedron = lODevations) } So, ' he Hi When, X= 0-8, i Mean Absolute. Deviaton = ze = &5 klhen, & = 0-5 ° ; Mean Apsoivte Deviation = TES _ pag AN so Mean Squared Erroy_= € (forecast Ener)” 1 idhen, of = 0-8, <2 it = I Mean squared bro: 2406 S307 aay rout 2 = REP e fo oleo6. Sorters | Mean Squared Prove A — Hace: on the bass of these analyte, Salts Constant of do 9 | iS to phot X20 because It “how @ | Smalley iyean Absolute Dewi'ation. * cere yaa nee = a! is = a= Scanned with CamScanner Crore