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Policy measures that indirectly have a demographic impact by promoting health, protecting the
environment, generating conditions for fertility decline, or creating a desirable internal population
distribution, are important for the implementation of the National Population Policy.
SITUATION ANALYSIS
Population Growth and Size
In 19990 the estimated end of year population for Jamaica was 2.41 million. The population can be
described as youthful with 65 per cent of the population below age 30 and 33 per cent below age 15
(1990). The aged persons (65 and over) constitute about 10 per cent of the total population.
The control of population growth and the increase in real GDP are preconditions for the attainment of
satisfactory social and economic development. In Jamaica, a shrinking national product has to be
distributed to meet the needs of a growing popn.
Fertility
The increase in Contraceptive Prevalence Rate (CPR) coincides with the decline in fertility.
Mortality
Although Jamaica is classified by international agencies as a low under-five and infant mortality
country, further reductions in these rates are desirable.
1990 estimate: 25.5 infant mortalities per 1000 live births. Crude death rate of 5.1 per 1000 in 1990.
Mortality rate has thus been declining.
External Migration
Has been steadily increasing, thus exerting a stronger decrement on the population mortality.
1943-1960: 11540 persons migrated annually to UK, Canada, USA (main destinations)
1960-1980: 20000 annually
1980-1990: 24000 annually
60% of total migration comprised of persons under 30 years of age reflecting to a large extent
Canadian and American immigration policies in relation to the admission of spouses, children and
dependents. 53% if immigrants were females.
While emigration has played a significant role in curbing population growth it has resulted in a
serious loss of skilled manpower. Between 1980-1989, 46% were categorized as workers. Within this,
18% were professional, technical, administrative and managerial persons, while 45% were clerical,
sales, craftsmen and operatives. The retention of skilled personnel is critical for national
development. If the volume and characteristics of emigration streams are maintained, the goal of
national development could be severely hampered.