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Applied Financial Economics


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Determinants of corporate dividend policy in Greece


a b c
Theophano Patra , Sunil Poshakwale & Kean Ow-Yong
a
Department of Finance , The American College of Greece , Athens , Greece
b
School of Management, Cranfield University, Bedford , Cranfield, MK43 0AL , UK
c
Birmingham Business School, University of Birmingham , Birmingham , UK
Published online: 12 Mar 2012.

To cite this article: Theophano Patra , Sunil Poshakwale & Kean Ow-Yong (2012) Determinants of corporate dividend policy in
Greece, Applied Financial Economics, 22:13, 1079-1087, DOI: 10.1080/09603107.2011.639734

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Applied Financial Economics, 2012, 22, 1079–1087

Determinants of corporate dividend


policy in Greece
Theophano Patraa, Sunil Poshakwaleb,* and Kean Ow-Yongc
a
Department of Finance, The American College of Greece, Athens, Greece
b
School of Management, Cranfield University, Bedford, Cranfield,
MK43 0AL, UK
c
Birmingham Business School, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
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This article examines the determinants of corporate dividend policy of


listed firms in Greece as a case study of an emerging market country. The
analysis is based on 945 firm year observations of 63 nonfinancial firms
which paid dividends annually from 1993 to 2007. The study uses the
Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) to estimate the firm level factors
that may determine why firms distribute dividends. We find that size,
profitability and liquidity factors increase the probability to pay dividends.
However, investment opportunities, financial leverage and business risk
decrease the likelihood to pay dividends. On the whole, the findings lend
support for the information asymmetry and agency cost theories. In
addition, the factors that influence dividend policy in developed markets
also appear to apply for this emerging market country.

Keywords: dividend policy; emerging markets; Greece; generalized method


of moments
JEL Classification: G35; G30

I. Introduction capital markets, a number of theories have been put


forward. They focus on how dividends and dividend
There has been extensive empirical research on policy may affect firm value when the assumptions of
dividend policy, yet to date, there is no general perfect capital markets are relaxed. Various explana-
consensus as to what factors influence corporate tions as to why firms follow a particular dividend
dividend policy and how these factors interact. Black policy can be grouped into at least two types of
(1976) referred to this issue as the dividend puzzle. market imperfections namely information asymmetry
Brealey et al. (2008) concluded that the dividend and agency costs.
payout controversy is one of the 10 unresolved Extensive theoretical literature on information
problems in finance. In this study, we attempt to asymmetry has been documented on whether or not
provide some insights into the dividend policy in an dividends convey information about current and
emerging market, namely the Athens Stock future earnings (for example Bhattacharya, 1979;
Exchange, where there is a lack of empirical evidence Aharony and Swary, 1980; John and Williams, 1985;
about the determinants of corporate dividend policy. Miller and Rock, 1985). An inference from the agency
Following Miller and Modigliani’s (1961) seminal cost theory suggests that dividend policy can
paper on the irrelevance of dividends in perfect be used to minimize the costs arising from

*Corresponding author. E-mail: sunil.poshakwale@cranfield.ac.uk


Applied Financial Economics ISSN 0960–3107 print/ISSN 1466–4305 online ß 2012 Taylor & Francis 1079
http://www.tandfonline.com
http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/09603107.2011.639734
1080 T. Patra et al.
shareholder-manager (or controlling-minority share- that although dividend decisions convey information
holder) conflict (see, e.g. Rozeff, 1982; Easterbrook, to investors, managers do not use payout policies to
1984; Jensen, 1986). The pecking order theory of reveal private information about their firms’ ability to
Myers and Majluf (1984) suggests that the higher the pay dividends. Hence, Brav et al. (2005) concluded
level of asymmetric information, the lower the level of that their evidence does not lend support to the
dividends that is paid out. signalling models of Bhattacharya (1979) and Miller
The empirical findings based on the theoretical and Rock (1985) which assume that firms deliberately
literature have been mixed when considering which use dividends as a signal to reduce information
factors may act as determinants of dividend policy. asymmetry between firms and outside shareholders.
Also, the published literature predominantly focuses Dong et al. (2005) in a questionnaire survey to a
on dividend policy pursued in developed capital panel of Dutch individual investors tested various
markets. The unresolved theoretical debate and lack theories underlying a firm’s dividend payout policy.
of empirical studies on dividend policy in emerging The theories that they examined from an investor’s
capital markets motivates this study which investi- perspective included signalling, agency costs, divi-
gates the potential factors influencing corporate dend irrelevance, transaction costs, uncertainty reso-
dividend policy in Greece. lution, free cash flow and taxes. They found that
The way in which firms adopt dividend policies respondents strongly believe that dividend payments
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may vary over time and across countries in both send a signal about the profitability of the firm. They
developed and emerging capital markets. Glen et al. concluded that firms are justified to keep up dividend
(1995) reported that dividend payout ratios in devel- payments in good and bad times given the signalling
oped countries were half as much as in developing effect of dividends. Their survey results did not
countries. However, Aivazian et al. (2003) observed support the Easterbrook (1984) agency theory
that ‘emerging market firms on the whole pay higher
whereby agency costs are increased if a firm by
dividends than their US counterparts’. It is interesting
paying dividends would be expected to raise addi-
to note that both Glen et al. (1995) and Aivazian
tional capital through financial markets, hence sub-
et al. (2003) draw their sample firms from the
jecting it to monitoring and disciplining of these
International Finance Corporation (IFC) database
markets. Their survey results are consistent with the
where only the largest listed firms on the local stock
results of Baker et al. (2001) and Brav et al. (2005)
exchange are included. Their mixed findings reveal
and suggest that individual investors prefer
the controversy in determining the nature of dividend
management to use internal rather than external
policy.
funds to finance capital budgeting projects, which
A basic premise underlying information asymmetry
and agency cost models is the notion of separation of thus supports Myers and Majluf (1984) pecking
ownership and control. Also, capital markets play an order theory.
important role in raising external finance for firms in Brav et al.’s (2005) and Dong et al.’s (2005) studies
developed markets. However, markets including were drawn from questionnaire surveys of investors
Greece usually feature financial systems that rely and managers in mature markets of US and Holland,
more on bank financing rather than equity markets. respectively. Maditinos et al. (2007) carried out a
This means that the banks’ role reduces the informa- similar study, this time testing the various dividend
tion asymmetry between the market and that of the theories from the perspective of individual investors
firm’s management. Hence it diminishes the role of in Greece, an emerging market country. Respondents
dividends either as a means to signal or to reduce of their questionnaire survey adapted from Dong
agency cost. In addition, emerging market firms are et al. (2005) study strongly support the signalling
usually subject to relatively more financial constraints theory, a finding that is consistent with the results of
than their counterparts in developed markets which Dong et al. (2005). Maditinos et al. (2007)
may then have an impact on their dividend policies. reported their results did not support the agency
These differences together with the specific charac- cost theory, a finding similar to the study of Dong
teristics found in the emerging markets themselves et al. (2005).
raise the issue about how useful it is to apply Thus, there are similarities between dividend
competing dividend policy theories to markets such policies such as its signalling role, pursued by Greek
as Greece. firms and firms from mature markets based on the
Empirical evidence in the form of questionnaire survey studies (Brav et al., 2005; Dong et al., 2005;
surveys were collected and analysed to ascertain why Maditinos et al., 2007). The purpose of this article is
investors want dividends. Brav et al. (2005) in a to re-examine the dividend policy issue using Greek
sample survey of financial executives in the US, found firm data. The findings from this study could offer
Determinants of corporate dividend policy in Greece 1081
a basis for future comparative research of other through time, future earnings can be inferred when
markets. current earnings are known. Thus, dividends indi-
The rest of the article proceeds as follows. Section rectly act as a signal of future earnings of the firm.
II briefly discusses the dividend theories examined in Their model suggests that a firm with higher current
this article. The discussion includes the choice of earnings is expected to pay a higher level of dividends
proxy variables used to represent the attributes than a firm with lower current earnings. It also
indicated by these theories as well as control vari- implies that ceteris paribus, the dividend payout
ables. Section III describes the sample data and under asymmetric information will be higher than
methodology. Section IV reports and analyses the under full information scenario. So the signalling
results. Section V summarizes and concludes the effect predicts that the higher the level of asymmetric
article. information, the higher will be the level of dividends
paid out. A number of studies have shown that
dividends convey information (see, Bhattacharya,
1979; Aharony and Swary, 1980; Asquith and
II. Literature Review and Selection of Mullins, 1983). Some researchers (see,
Variables Bhattacharya, 1979; Kane et al., 1984; Miller and
Rock, 1985) report that dividends can convey infor-
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Researchers have suggested a number of different mation about earning levels. Others (Kumar, 1988;
theories which explain the factors that determine a Grullon et al., 2005) argue that dividends are weak
firm’s dividend policy. These theories include tax, predictors of future earnings. In addition, Allen and
asymmetric information (signalling and pecking Michaely (2003), DeAngelo et al. (2004) and Brav
order implications), agency costs and behavioural et al. (2005) provide empirical evidence that does not
explanations as key factors in explaining dividend support the predictive effect of dividend signalling
policies pursued by firms (see, e.g. Allen and Izan, models. Thus, exactly what dividends actually signal
1992; Easterbrook, 1984; Frankfurter and Wood, remains unresolved.
2002; DeAngelo and DeAngelo, 2007). Some Dividend payout may also act as a signal of a
researchers have developed and empirically tested firm’s risk (Bulan et al. 2007; Hoberg and Prabhala,
different models to explain dividend payout behav- 2009). We hypothesize an inverse relationship
iour (see, e.g. Alli et al., 1993; Deshmukh, 2005; between a firm’s dividend payments and risk as
Naceur et al., 2006; Li and Zhao, 2008). Others have measured by its business risk. Specifically, firms with
surveyed corporate managers to determine what higher business risk are expected to pay lower
factors drive their firms’ dividend policy (see, e.g. dividends due to the volatility of their earnings.
Baker et al., 2001; Brav et al., 2005; Baker and Smith,
2006). Pecking order theory. When asymmetric informa-
As exemplified above, there is a large volume of tion is present, Myers and Majluf (1984) suggest that
published literature on corporate dividend policy. We a firm may underinvest under certain conditions.
limit our discussion to the asymmetric information They point out that a firm can reduce underinvest-
and the agency cost theories as well as the reasons for ment and consequently ex-ante loss in firm value by
choice of proxy variables to represent these two
holding financial slack and paying out less dividends.
theories and the control variables.
Thus the dividend policy may be used to manage the
underinvestment problem arising from asymmetric
information. Based on this reasoning, the higher the
Models of information asymmetries
level of asymmetric information, the lower will be the
Signalling theory. Dividend payout decisions dividend payout in order to mitigate the problem of
convey information and can be seen as a means to underinvestment.
minimize information asymmetry between owners Using a similar argument, Myers’ (1984) pecking
and managers. Miller and Rock (1985) develop a order theory states that firms prefer to finance
formal model on the role of dividend policy under investments by retaining earnings rather than from
asymmetric information. They assume that the firm’s external finance raised in capital markets. Therefore,
managers possess more information about current firms with higher investment opportunities and thus
earnings than outside investors. Hence dividend higher fund requirements will pay out lower divi-
announcements provide information for outside dends to reduce their dependence on outside capital.
investors to deduce about the firm’s current earnings. In this study, investment opportunity is proxied by
As their model assumes that earnings are correlated the market-to-book ratio. We hypothesize that the
1082 T. Patra et al.
higher the market-to-book ratio, the lower will be the example, some researchers have shown that a firm’s
dividend payout. size is a significant determinant of dividend policy
(see Aivazian et al., 2003; Al-Malkawi, 2008 among
Agency cost theory. Agency cost theory suggests others). The lack of theoretical justification meant
that a firm’s capital structure is influenced by that we will treat firm size as a control variable.
attempts to minimize the costs associated with the We proxy size as measured by natural logarithm of
separation of ownership and control. Firms with total assets. As larger firms would usually have more
higher managerial ownership stakes are expected to institutional investors and relatively easier access to
have lower agency costs due to the better alignment capital markets, they tend to pay higher dividends.
of management and shareholder goals (Jensen and We hypothesise a positive relationship between div-
Meckling, 1976). In addition another dimension of idend payout and the firm’s size.
agency costs is the conflict between shareholders and It is also expected that a firm’s dividend payout is
debtholders. Debtholders interests may not be pro- linked to its liquidity position. Less liquid firms tend
tected when high levels of dividend are paid out. to pay lower dividends due to shortage of cash. Thus,
Hence dividend restrictions can be found in debt the second control variable we use is liquidity which is
covenants to alleviate this conflict (Kalay, 1982). represented by the current ratio. We hypothesize a
Rozeff (1982) suggests that ceteris paribus, firms positive association between dividend payout and
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with higher financial leverage tend to pay lower liquidity.


dividends to reduce the transaction costs associated
with external financing. Jensen (1986) points out that
debt can be used as a substitute device for dividends
in reducing the agency costs of free cash flow. This III. Data and Methodology
means that a firm with financial leverage will be
monitored by its debtholders and will have less Sample
discretionary funds available to its managers.
Hence, highly leveraged firms are expected to pay Our initial sample consists of all firms listed on the
lower dividends. Athens Stock Exchange (ASE). Financial institutions
We hypothesize a negative relationship between and banks have been excluded from the sample as
leverage and a firm’s dividend policy. In this study, their different accounting practices compared to
we represent the leverage ratio by dividing a firm’s industrial firms may significantly affect dividend
total liabilities by its common equity. policy decision.1 The final sample includes 63 firms
Profitability is considered as a key determinant of for which complete data for the examined variables
dividend policy in Lintner’s empirical work (1956), are available for the period 1993–2007 (a total of 945
Aivazian et al. (2003), Naceur et al. (2006) and others. firm-year observations). We choose 1993 as the start
Agency cost theory suggests that the payment of of our sample period because data on all 63 firms is
dividends reduces the free cash flow available to the available only from this date. All selected firms have
managers and attempts to minimize agency conflicts been continuously trading during the sample period
(Easterbrook, 1984; Jensen, 1986). Shareholders and are representative of the Greek capital market.2
therefore expect managers of highly profitable firms The sample accounts more than 70% of the ASE’s
to pay higher dividends in order to reduce the agency equity market capitalization and almost 60% of the
costs. ASE’s equity turnover.
In this study, profitability is proxied by the return
on equity ratio. We hypothesize that a firm’s prof-
itability is positively associated with its dividend Variables
payout. The variables used in this study to explain firm’s
dividend decision are measures of size, profitability,
Control variables. In addition to the proxy variables investment opportunities, leverage, liquidity and
mentioned above, there are other factors that may business risk. The choice of the aforementioned
influence a firm’s dividend policy but do not explicitly variables is influenced by available empirical litera-
relate to the dividend theories mentioned above. For ture and data was obtained from the annual reports
1
Cross sectional asset pricing studies typically exclude financial firms because of their high leverage and relatively greater
industry regulations (see, e.g. Fama and French (1992) among others).
2
Our dataset is not subject to survivorship bias since we have eliminated only 16 firms that stopped trading due to bankruptcy
(they represent less than 5% of the initial sample).
Determinants of corporate dividend policy in Greece 1083
of the selected firms. Definitions of the examined Methodology
variables are as follows:
Yit ¼ 0 þ Yi,t1 þ Zit þ i þ "it i ¼ 1, . . . , 63
(1) Dividend policy measures are represented by t ¼ 1, . . . , 15 ð1Þ
the firm’s dividend payout ratio and dividend
yield.3 The payout ratio is defined as a firm’s Xit ¼ 0 þ Yi,t1 þ Zit þ i þ it i ¼ 1, . . . , 63
dividend per share divided by its earnings per t ¼ 1, . . . , 15 ð2Þ
share. The dividend yield is defined as a firm’s
dividend per share divided by the average We consider the following dynamic panel data
of the high and low price in the firm’s financial regressions with dividend payout as the dependent
year. variable in Equation 1 while the dividend yield is the
(2) Size – measured as the natural logarithm of dependent variable in Equation 2.
total assets. where firms are indicated by i and time by t. The
(3) Profitability (PROF) – proxied by the return on lagged dependent variables capture the dynamics of
equity ratio.4 dividend policy and Zit is a vector of explanatory
(4) Investment opportunities (INV) – proxied by variables used in the regression estimation. The
the market-to-book ratio. parameter i accounts for unobserved firm specific
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(5) Leverage (LEV) – measured by total liabilities effects and the error terms "it and vit are assumed to
divided by the book value of common equity. be mutually uncorrelated with zero mean and con-
(6) Liquidity (LIQ) – proxied by the current ratio stant variance.
as at the end of the firm’s financial year. However, the presence of lagged dependent vari-
(7) Business risk (Busrisk) – measured by year to ables and the potential endogeneity of the explana-
year volatility of earnings. tory variables render both Fixed-Effects (FE) and
Random-Effects (RE) estimators inconsistent.5
A list of the aforementioned variables and their Specifically, the endogeneity problem induced by
expected signs are shown in the Appendix 1. Table 1 the directional causality between dividends and cer-
presents descriptive statistics of all variables tain explanatory variables could seriously affect the
employed in this study and the correlation coeffi- estimation results. The presence of interrelations
cients among the variables are reported in Table 2. among the variables implies that the error term is
Specifically, the results in Table 1 indicate that the correlated with the endogenous regressors, and
dividend payout ratio varies from 0.96% to 99.98% therefore standard estimation procedures lead to
with a mean of just over 43%. The sample firms’ biased coefficients. Hence, we estimate our models
profitability ranged from 1.62 to 11.01% and the by using the Generalized Method of Moments
leverage mean of 41.36% is much higher than the (GMM) specification.6 The variables employed are
median of 13.74% suggesting that there are a large also tested for stationarity by employing both Hadri
number of firms with high leverage in our sample. (2000) and Im et al.’s (2003) panel unit root tests.7
The results in Table 2 show that dividend payout
ratio is positively correlated with size, profitability,
liquidity and negatively correlated with investment
opportunities, leverage and business risk. The IV. Empirical Results
correlation coefficients of the dividend yield ratio
with each of the independent variables are also The panel unit root test statistics are summarized in
significant and consistent with the theoretical Table 3. For the level series, all variables except
predictions. Further, correlation matrix indicates investment and liquidity appear to be nonstationary
that strong correlations, which may induce in the panel data set. For the first-differenced series,
multicollinearity problems, are not present among there is no statistical evidence of presence of a
the regressors. unit root.
3
All 63 firms included in the sample reported positive earnings and paid dividends every year during the period examined.
4
Return on Equity (ROE) is a commonly used proxy for measuring profitability. The ratio is calculated as net income after
interest and taxes divided by the book value of equity.
5
Nickell (1981) has shown that FE estimator is biased (for large N and small T) because within transformation induces a
correlation of order 1/T between the lagged dependent variable and the error term.
6
See Greene (2012).
7
If the regression model contains unit roots, then the GMM approach of using estimators based on standard orthogonality
conditions breaks down (Binder et al., 2005).
1084 T. Patra et al.
Table 1. Descriptive statistics

Variable Mean Median SD Min. Max. Skewness Kurtosis


Payout 43.06 39.45 23.27 0.96 99.98 0.42 2.55
Yield 2.51 1.95 2.13 0.01 16.72 1.72 7.53
Size 4.71 4.76 1.60 0.12 8.80 0.10 2.85
PROF 9.91 1.29 0.47 1.62 11.01 0.30 3.46
INV 2.96 0.84 0.69 0.03 4.86 1.73 7.55
LEV 41.36 13.74 16.91 0.02 81.04 0.60 2.61
LIQ 1.88 1.46 0.45 0.05 71.78 0.71 2.76
Busrisk 4.71 4.76 1.60 0.10 8.80 0.10 2.85

Notes: This table presents descriptive statistics for all variables employed in this study. Payout is a firm’s dividend per share
divided by its earnings per share. Yield is a firm’s dividend per share divided by the average of the high and low price in the
firm’s financial year. Size is measured as the natural logarithm of total assets. PROF is the net income after interest and taxes
divided by the book value of equity. INV is measured by total liabilities divided by the book value of common equity. LEV is
measured by total liabilities divided by the book value of common equity. LIQ is a firm’s current ratio at the end of its
financial year. Busrisk is measured by a firm’s year to year volatility of earnings.
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Table 2. Correlation matrix

Payout Yield Size PROF INV LEV LIQ Busrisk


Size 0.622 0.484 1.0 – – – – –
PROF 0.559 0.551 0.275 1.0 – – – –
INV 0.536 0.500 0.257 0.218 1.0 – – –
LEV 0.497 0.575 0.127 0.122 0.096 1.0 – –
LIQ 0.553 0.525 0.026 0.077 0.136 0.178 1.0 –
Busrisk 0.508 0.553 0.141 0.014 0.271 0.118 0.028 1.0

Notes: This table reports the correlation matrix between the variables used in this study. For variables explanation see notes in
Table 1.

Table 3. Panel unit root tests specification tests, the Sargan test for overidentifica-
tion accepts the validity of instruments and the m2
Im, Pesaran test does not reject the null of no second-order serial
Hadri Z-test and Shin W-test correlation.
First First The regression results in Table 4 show that all
Variable Level difference Level difference the variables are statistically significant and have the
expected sign. In particular, the coefficient on the
Payout 18.099** 1.999 5.093 14.013**
Yield 11.911** 1.534 2.562 9.334** firm size variable is positive and significant in both
Size 17.498** 1.457 1.452 3.917** panels suggesting that larger firms pay higher divi-
PROF 15.011** 1.638 1.871 11.405** dends. The profitability variable is highly significant
INV 1.497 7.623*** and positively related to dividend payments. This
LEV 11.179** 1.265 1.824 9.805** result is in line with the results of Naceur et al. (2006)
LIQ 1.354 9.274***
Busrisk 16.764** 1.751 1.242 10.134** and indicates that profitability is an important
determinant of a firm’s dividend policy. The signif-
Notes: This table reports the panel unit root tests and their icant negative coefficient on the investment variable
t-statistics from cross-section regressions. For variables supports the pecking order argument and implies that
explanation see notes in Table 1.
** Indicates significance at 1% level.
firms with high investment opportunities reduce
dividends. The coefficient of the leverage variable is
negative and significant, which is consistent with the
findings of Rozeff (1982). Liquidity has a strong
The effects of explanatory variables on dividend positive effect on dividend policy whereas business
policy decisions are reported in Table 4. Panel (a) risk is significant and inversely related to dividend
presents the results for dividend payout while in Panel decisions. Therefore, the empirical results suggest
(b) the dependent variable is dividend yield. As to the that larger, more profitable, high liquid firms pay
Determinants of corporate dividend policy in Greece 1085
Table 4. GMM regression results

Panel (a) Panel (b)

Payout ratio as dependent variable Dividend yield as dependent variable

Variable Coefficient t-statistic p-value Coefficient t-statistic p-value


Size 8.203 24.258** [0.000] 0.482 16.986** [0.000]
PROF 0.120 3.922** [0.000] 0.004 21.696** [0.000]
INV 3.645 12.182** [0.000] 3.511 51.212** [0.000]
LEV 0.078 3.365** [0.000] 0.018 12.987** [0.000]
LIQ 0.690 5.701** [0.000] 0.007 3.087** [0.001]
Busrisk 0.131 2.523** [0.011] 0.001 3.770** [0.004]
Adj. R2 0.884 0.741
Sargan [0.65] [0.54]
m2 [0.81] [0.78]

Notes: This table shows the slope coefficients from the GMM regressions in Equations 1 and 2. The Sargan test is a test of
overidentifying restrictions. m2 is a test for second-order serial correlation in the residuals, asymptotically distributed as
N(0,1). For variables explanation see notes in Table 1.
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** Indicates significance at 1% level.

more dividends while riskier, more leveraged firms based on a relatively small sample of investors’ view
with high investment opportunities tend to pay lower whereas our study focussed on the variables as
dividends.8 reported by our sample firms.
The study from this emerging market therefore
supports the evidence found in developed markets
regarding the signalling role played by dividends.
V. Conclusions
However, though our results support the earlier
findings about the impact of agency costs by
This article investigates firm level variables that may
Easterbrook (1984) and Rozeff (1982), it is at
influence corporate dividend policy based on a
sample of Greek firms paying dividend between variance with the later findings by Brav et al.
1993 and 2007 with an aim to gain insights into the (2005), Dong et al. (2005) and Maditinos et al.
corporate dividend policy in the Greek emerging (2007). This indicates that there is mixed evidence on
market where there is relatively less empirical the effect of agency costs on dividend payout.
evidence. Perhaps, future research using the data post-2008
Using the GMM technique, we find that all six financial crisis based on Greek data may substantiate
variables are statistically significant and carry the or otherwise the relevance of agency costs in deter-
expected signs. Specifically, firm size, profitability mining dividend payout policy in emerging markets.
and liquidity relate to dividend payments positively,
and investment opportunities, leverage and business
risk are inversely associated with dividend decisions.
The findings are broadly consistent with the References
signalling, pecking order and agency cost theories
Aharony, J. and Swary, I. (1980) Quarterly dividend and
related to dividend policy. With regard to the earnings announcements and stockholder returns: an
signalling effect of dividends, our findings are con- empirical analysis, Journal of Finance, 35, 1–12.
sistent with those reported by Dong et al. (2005) and Aivazian, V., Booth, L. and Cleary, S. (2003) Do emerging
Maditinos et al. (2007) via survey studies. However, market firms follow different dividend policies from
our results are inconsistent with Dong et al. (2005) the US firms?, The Journal of Financial Research, 3,
371–87.
and Maditinos et al. (2007) who report weak support Al-Malkawi, H. N. (2008) Factors influencing corporate
for the agency cost theories. A possible reason for dividend decision: evidence from Jordanian panel data,
these differences might be that the survey studies were International Journal of Business, 13, 177–95.

8
For the purpose of robustness, we also used the FE and RE models as alternative specifications. The Hausman test (1978)
suggested using the FE model. Except for the size, investment opportunities and business risk, all other determinants were
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Appendix 1

Appendix 1: Variable Definition and Expected Signs

Variable Definition Expected sign


Size Natural logarithm of total assets þ
Profitability (PROF) ROE ¼ net income/common equity þ
Investment opportunities (INV) Market-to-book ratio 
Leverage (LEV) Total liabilities/common equity 
Liquidity (LIQ) Current ratio ¼ current assets/current liabilities þ
Business risk (Busrisk) Volatility of earnings 
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