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Omega
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art ic l e i nf o a b s t r a c t
Article history: While affordability is traditionally assessed in economic terms, this paper tests a new assessment
Received 21 July 2014 method that draws closer links with sustainability by considering economic, social and environmental
Accepted 29 May 2015 criteria that impact on a household’s quality of life. The paper presents an empirical application and
Available online 16 June 2015
comparison of six different multiple criteria decision making (MCDM) approaches for the purpose of
Keywords: assessing sustainable housing affordability.
WPM The comparative performance of the weighted product model (WPM), the weighted sum model
WSM (WSM), the revised AHP, TOPSIS and COPRAS, is investigated. The purpose of the comparative analysis is
AHP to determine how different MCDM methods compare when used for a sustainable housing affordability
TOPSIS
assessment model. 20 Evaluative criteria and 10 alternative are as in Liverpool, England, were
COPRAS
considered. The applicability of different MCDM methods for the focused decision problem was
Decision making
Housing affordability investigated. The paper discusses the similarities in MCDM methods, evaluates their robustness and
Multiple criteria contrasts the resulting rankings.
MCDM & 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Sensitivity analysis
Sustainability
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.omega.2015.05.013
0305-0483/& 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
E. Mulliner et al. / Omega 59 (2016) 146–156 147
diverse scope of application [37–44]. There are different classifica- methods can incorporate these various aspects into one evaluation
tions of MCDM problems and methods. MCDM problems are process; MCDM is capable of considering criteria of incommensurable
frequently categorised according to the nature of the alternatives; units of measure (e.g. ratios, points, percentages) and those of both
either discrete or continuous [33,45–47]. A discrete problem can benefit (positive) and cost (negative) influence.
be described as a multi attribute discrete option, which often The initial data collection process (in this case) for the basis of
consists of a modest collection of alternatives (Multi Attribute the MCDM methods includes the following stages:
Decision Making (MADM)), whereas a continuous problem usually
consists of a vast or infinite amount of decision alternatives (Multi determine criteria for the comprehensive assessment of sus-
Objective Decision Making (MODM)) [33,45]. MCDM methods may tainable housing affordability (achieved via literature review
also be classified depending on their compensatory or non- and interviews with professionals);
compensatory nature. Compensatory methods allow explicit tra- determine criteria weights to reflect their importance
deoffs among criteria, whereas non-compensatory methods are (achieved via questionnaires surveys conducted with
principally based on the comparison of alternatives with respect to professionals);
individual criteria. The objective of this study is to assess different select decision alternatives for comparison;
housing locations based on an established set of sustainable calculate criteria values for each alternative (see measurement
housing affordability assessment criteria. The decision making examples in Mulliner and Maliene [65]).
situation is thus a ranking problem where alternatives need to
be ranked from best to worst. The problem has a discrete nature, A total of 20 decision criteria were identified for the basis of the
that is to say the alternatives (housing locations) will be pre- sustainable housing affordability assessment and weights were
specified, and therefore a MADM method will be suitable in this introduced in order to express the relative importance of the
instance. Consequently, the paper focuses on MADM methods. For criteria (Table 1). The criteria were identified via interviews with
MADM problems there are generally two Schools of thought; those housing and planning professionals in the UK and a supplemen-
based on multi-attribute value functions and multi-attribute tary extensive literature review [65]. A questionnaire survey was
utility theory (MAUT) (the American School) [48] and those based distributed to housing and planning professionals across all
on outranking methods (the French School) [49]. The methods regions of the UK in order to further verify the criteria and elicit
based on MAUT (e.g. WSM, WPM, AHP, TOPSIS, COPRAS) com- data on the importance of the criteria. Over 300 experts from
monly have a compensatory nature and mainly consist of aggre- different regions of the UK ranked the criteria on a scale of
gating the criteria into a function which has to be maximised [36] importance ranging from 1 to 10, where a ranking of 1 meant
In contrast, the outranking methods allow for incomparability “not important” and a ranking of 10 meant “most important”. In
between alternatives and hence have a non-compensatory nature. order to calculate criteria weights, the mean ranking of importance
ELECTRE [49] and PROMETHEE [50] are the most widely used obtained for each criterion was divided by the sum of the mean
outranking methods. However, it has been suggested that ELECTRE scores, as such it ensures the total of all weights is equal to one.
and PROMETHEE are not always able to give a complete ranking of Liverpool, UK, was chosen as the location for the empirical case
the alternatives [32,50,51]. Accordingly, such methods may be study. Although it has experienced relatively fast economic grow in
unsuitable for the type of decision problem in hand, which recent decade, this city still contains some of the most deprived areas
requires a complete ordering of alternatives, and have therefore (housing wards) in the UK and thus is an excellent example for this
not been considered in this study. type of study. However, the MCDM methodology could be applied to
any city or region within the UK or potentially worldwide.
Ten housing wards in Liverpool were randomly selected for
4. Multiple criteria assessment of sustainable housing comparison purposes. The alternatives were: A1 (Everton), A2
affordability (Childwall), A3 (West Derby), A4 (Cressington), A5 (Allerton and
Hunts Cross), A6 (Yew Tree), A7 (Belle Vale), A8 (Princes Park), A9
Numerous MCDM methods have been applied in housing and (Fazakerley) and A10 (St Michaels) (Fig. 1). The alternative areas
sustainability studies. For example, AHP has been used to aid house were each measured against the 20 decision criteria and the values
selection for buyers [52], to analyse the environmental preferences of obtained are shown in Table 1. Succeeding the initial data collec-
homeowners [53], to examine housing location attributes [54] and in tion, a variety of MCDM methods can be applied to the data in
the assessment of urban quality of life in Iran [55]. Johnson has applied order to process the values and prioritise the alternative areas.
a number of MCDM methods, including AHP [56] and PROMETHEE
[57], to housing choice problems. COPRAS has been utilised to
determine the most rational housing investment instruments and 5. Comparative analysis of MCDM methods
lenders in Lithuania [58], to evaluate the sustainability of residential
areas [59] and to define the utility and market value of real estate [60]. Despite the large quantity of MCDM methods available, no single
PROMETHEE has been used to assess land-use suitability for residen- method is considered the most suitable for all types of decision-
tial housing construction [61]. The WSM, WPM, AHP, revised AHP, making situation [66,67]. This generates the paradox that the selec-
TOPSIS and COPRAS have aided in the process of building main- tion of an appropriate method for a given problem leads to an MCDM
tenance [62]. SAW, TOPSIS and ELECTRE were utilised to assist problem itself [32]. A major criticism of MCDM is the reality that
stakeholders in making better decisions on housing evaluation [63]. different methods can yield different results when applied to the
Furthermore, COPRAS, SAW and multiplicative exponential weighting same problem [36]. The identification and selection of an appropriate
(MEW) were applied for the purpose of selecting an appropriate MCDM method is thus not a simple task and considerable considera-
dwelling, taking into account the environmental impact of its con- tion must be given to the choice of method. The literature presents a
struction, financial and qualitative criteria [64]. number of practical applications of comparative analyses of different
MCDM methods have become increasingly popular in decision- MCDM methods [47,68–70]. Furthermore, a number of authors have
making for sustainability given the multi-dimensionality of the developed guidelines facilitating the choice of an appropriate MCDM
concept [51]. MCDM methods are suitable for the evaluation pre- method [66,67]. However, it has also been acknowledged that several
sented in this paper since affordability and sustainability issues are methods can be potentially valid for a particular decision making
multi-dimensional and involve multiple conflicting criteria. MCDM situation; there is not always an overwhelming reason to adopt one
E. Mulliner et al. / Omega 59 (2016) 146–156 149
Table 1
Initial matrix for MCDM.
A1 A2 A3 A4 A5 A6 A7 A8 A9 A10
1 House prices in relation to income − Ratio 0.063135 3.5 4.9 4.7 4.9 5.1 4 4.8 3.6 3.8 4.7
2 Rental costs in relation to income − % 0.063135 19 30 24 28 28 24 29 30 23 25
3 Interest rates and mortgage availability − % 0.058055 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60
4 Availability of rented accommodation + % 0.058055 1.3 0.4 0.32 0.82 0.3 0.6 0.1 1.1 0.7 1.4
5 Availability of low cost homeownership products + Points 0.051524 2 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 1 2
6 Availability of market value home ownership products + % 0.04717 1.1 2.8 2.3 2.7 2.7 2.5 1.3 1.1 2.3 3
7 Crime − Rate 0.044267 135 39 58 41 57 56 65 135 89 75
8 Access to employment + Points 0.053701 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3
9 Access to public transport + Points 0.049347 4 3 4 5 4 4 4 5 5 6
10 Access to good quality schools + Points 0.050073 5 6 5 5 4 4 3 5 6 6
11 Access to shopping facilities + Points 0.045718 3 1 2 2 3 1 2 3 1 3
12 Access to health services + Points 0.047896 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
13 Access to child care + Points 0.046444 6 6 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 6
14 Access to leisure + Points 0.039913 6 3 5 5 4 5 4 5 4 4
15 Access to open green public space + Points 0.043541 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
16 Presence of environmental problems − % 0.044267 24 1.5 29.3 4 21.1 19.4 15.9 13 46.6 30.5
17 Quality of housing in area + % 0.055152 72.4 70.3 69.1 79.4 86.2 89.9 77.5 72.8 89.1 82.9
18 Energy efficiency of housing in area + % 0.05225 60 55 57 53 57 64 63 66 61 68
19 Waste management in area + % 0.04209 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35
20 Deprivation in area − % 0.044267 97.6 5 5.2 3.1 0 38.8 83.5 93.7 62.1 22.1
a
The sign (+/−) indicates that a greater/lesser criterion value satisfies sustainable housing affordability.
Table 2
Initial matrix for MCDM with all criteria calculated as benefit criteria
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
1 House prices in relation to incomes + 0.063135 5.1 3.7 3.9 3.7 3.5 4.6 3.8 5 4.8 3.9
2 Rental costs in relation to incomes + 0.063135 30 19 25 21 21 25 20 19 26 24
3 Interest rates and mortgage availability + 0.058055 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60
4 Availability of rented accommodation + 0.058055 1.3 0.4 0.32 0.82 0.3 0.6 0.1 1.1 0.7 1.4
5 Availability of low cost homeownership products + 0.051524 2 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 1 2
6 Availability of market value home ownership products + 0.04717 1.1 2.8 2.3 2.7 2.7 2.5 1.3 1.1 2.3 3
7 Crime + 0.044267 39 135 116 133 117 118 109 39 85 99
8 Access to employment + 0.053701 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3
9 Access to public transport + 0.049347 4 3 4 5 4 4 4 5 5 6
10 Access to good quality schools + 0.050073 5 6 5 5 4 4 3 5 6 6
11 Access to shopping facilities + 0.045718 3 1 2 2 3 1 2 3 1 3
12 Access to health services + 0.047896 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
13 Access to child care + 0.046444 6 6 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 6
14 Access to leisure + 0.039913 6 3 5 5 4 5 4 5 4 4
15 Access to open green public space + 0.043541 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
16 Presence of environmental problems + 0.044267 24.1 46.6 18.8 44.1 27 28.7 32.2 35.1 1.5 17.6
17 Quality of housing in area + 0.055152 72.4 70.3 69.1 79.4 86.2 89.9 77.5 72.8 89.1 82.9
18 Energy efficiency of housing in area + 0.05225 60 55 57 53 57 64 63 66 61 68
19 Waste management in area + 0.04209 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35
20 Deprivation in area + 0.044267 0 92.6 92.4 94.5 97.6 58.8 14.1 3.9 35.5 75.5
decision criterion. An is the WSM score of the optimal alternative of each criterion [32]. Although this final stage of AHP is similar to
and wi is the weight (importance) of the ith criterion. WSM, a central difference with the AHP method is that the values
of the decision matrix are normalized to sum to 1. This allows
5.2. Weighted product model (WPM) values with units of measurement to be transformed into dimen-
sionless ones. The best alternative (when all the criteria are
The WPM [73,74]is akin to the simple WSM method. The maximizing) is indicated by the following additive formula:
principal difference is that in the main mathematical process max X
N
there is multiplication instead of addition, where each alter- AnAHP ¼ aij wj; for i ¼ 1;2;3;…;M: ð3Þ
i j¼1
native is compared with the others by multiplying a number of
ratios, one for each criterion and each ratio is raised to the AnAHP is the score of the optimal alternative. The entry aij, in the
power equivalent of the relative weight of the corresponding M N matrix, represents the actual value of the ith alternative in
criterion [75]. This eliminates any units of measure and thus terms of the jth criterion, wjis the weight of importance of the jth
allows for dimensionless analysis so that the method can be criterion and N is the number of decision criteria.
used in single- and multi-dimensional decision problems. Like Belton and Gear [77] observed a problem with the original AHP
for use of the WSM, the WPM also requires cost criteria to be method; they noted that AHP can reverse the ranking of the
transformed into benefit ones prior to normalization. From the alternatives when an alternative identical to one already existing is
normalised matrix, in order to compare the alternatives A K and introduced. Accordingly, they proposed a revised version where,
A L we calculate [73,74]: instead of having the relative values of the alternatives sum up to
N w one, each relative value is divided by the maximum value of the
R AK =AL ¼ ∏ aKj =aLj j; ð2Þ relative values [32,77]. This revision was subsequently accepted as a
j¼1
variation of the original AHP and is also referred to as ‘ideal mode
Here N is the number of criteria, aij is the actual value of the ith AHP’ [78]. Triantaphyllou and Mann [75] advocate that the revised
alternative in terms of the jth criterion, and wj is the weight of version appears to be more powerful than the original AHP approach.
importance of the jth criterion. If the ratio R(AK/AL) is Z1, then The revised AHP method was tested in two different ways:
alternative AK is more desirable than alternative AL (in the
maximization case). The best alternative is the one that is better 1. Revised AHP 1—The first approach uses only benefit criteria
than or equal to all the other alternatives. values within the assessment. Thus, as with the WSM and
WPM, cost criteria were transformed into benefit ones prior to
5.3. The revised analytic hierarchy process (revised AHP) normalization of the matrix (Table 2). This is the standard way
of handling cost criteria with the AHP methods [79].
The AHP is based on the use of pair-wise comparisons, both to 2. Revised AHP 2—The second approach uses both benefit and
estimate criteria weights and to compare the alternatives with cost criteria values. Cost criteria were kept within the analysis
regard to the decision criteria [76]. If criteria values and weights by incorporating them as negative weights within the initial
cannot be obtained directly then a method based on the pair-wise matrix. In order to do so, weights for cost criteria were multi-
comparisons must be employed. In this instance, criteria weights plied by 1.
were pre-determined by the expert method and not using AHP.
Only the final stages of the AHP, i.e. the processing of the The remaining stages of the revised AHP process were the same
numerical values, were required in this study. The final step in for both approaches. The normalisation procedure of the revised
the AHP deals with the construction of an M N matrix (where M AHP involves dividing each relative criterion value in the decision
is the number of alternatives and N is the number of criteria) that matrix by the maximum value (largest entry) in each column.
is made using the relative importance of the alternatives in terms Subsequently, each normalised value is multiplied by its weight.
E. Mulliner et al. / Omega 59 (2016) 146–156 151
Then, the sum of all the weighted normalised criteria values for distance from the negative-ideal solution. TOPSIS can be applied
each alternative is computed to obtain a final score for the both to maximizing (benefit) and minimizing (cost) criteria [80].
alternative. The best alternative (when all the criteria are max- TOPSIS begins with the normalization of criteria values, using
imizing) is indicated again by the additive formula(4), but now the vector normalisation. The normalized value rij is calculated as [32]:
normalization is different. xij
r ij ¼ qffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
PM ffi ð8Þ
2
5.4. COPRAS (complex proportional assessment) i ¼ 1 xij
vector normalisation is applied to eliminate the units of criterion order of the alternatives was actually equivalent using both
functions {41}. As a result, squared terms in the evaluation of approaches (Table 3). Accordingly, this approach could be a valid
criteria are used and this should be highlighted. The consequence option for future studies that wish to incorporate cost criteria
of this is that very good and very bad data points (criteria values) within AHP methods. The WPM was the most inconsistent with
can be exaggerated, having more of an impact on the final the other methods tested, in terms of the prioritisation of alter-
outcome, whereas average data points will not have as much of natives. It should be noted that the use of the WPM proved
an impact (in comparison with methods that do not utilise problematic owing to the ‘0’ (zero) value assigned to C20/A5 within
squared terms). Accordingly TOPSIS may have better distinguish- the initial matrix (Table 1) /C20/A1 within the ‘all benefit’ criteria
ing capability where criteria values for each alternative are matrix (Table 2). This method does not seem to function well
otherwise similar. where criterion values of zero are used and this may have
contributed to the dissimilar rankings achieved by the method.
The similarity in the rankings obtained by different methods
6. Comparison of alternative rankings using different MCDM can be further demonstrated by analysis of pairwise correlation.
methods Pairwise correlation between the MCDM methods showed that
five methods (COPRAS, TOPSIS, WSM, revised AHP 1 and 2) out of
The MCDM methods (WSM, WPM, revised AHP (approach six methods perform very similarly (Pearson correlation coeffi-
1 and 2), TOPSIS and COPRAS) were applied to the case study cient of 0.831 to 0.995) with revised AHP1 and revised AHP2
data. TOPSIS, COPRAS and Revised AHP 2 were applied to the methods delivering the same rankings of alternatives (Table 5).
initial decision making matrix in Table 1, while it was necessary The overall similarity of one MCDM method to all other methods
for WSM, WPM and revised AHP 1 to be applied to the initial used in the analysis compared as follows (with average correlation
matrix containing only benefit values (Table 2). The obtained coefficient shown in brackets): COPRAS (0.786) 4TOPSIS (0.762)
ranking results are presented in Table 3. The priority order of the 4WSM (0.745) 4revised AHP1/2 (0.735)4WPM (0.266). COPRAS,
alternatives is compared in Table 4; highlighting/shading has been WSM, revised AHP 1 and 2 are highly correlated amongst them-
used in order to easily demonstrate where different methods have selves. Interestingly, TOPSIS, which differs significantly from other
acted in the same way with regard to the prioritisation of MCDM methods on the basis that the optimal alternative should
alternatives. All tested methods concluded that the optimal alter- have the shortest distance from the ideal solution and the farthest
native was A10 (St Michaels). All methods ranked A4 (Cressington) distance from the negative-ideal solution, showed very high
in 2nd position. Three of the approaches, all except TOPSIS and similarity to COPRAS (Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.969)
WPM, concluded that A7 (Belle Vale) was the worst performing and was highly correlated with WSM, revised AHP 1 and
alternative, followed by A9 (Fazakerley), ranking 10th and 9th
consecutively, whereas TOPSIS and WPM ranked A7 (Belle Vale) as Table 4
9th priority. Revised AHP acted rather similarly to WSM, with both Priority of alternatives determined using different MCDM methods.
methods ranking six of the alternatives (60%) in identical posi-
tions. COPRAS also acted rather similarly to WSM, with both Priority of Methods
alternatives
methods ranking five of the alternatives (50%) in identical posi-
WSM WPM Revised AHP (approaches TOPSIS COPRAS
tions. As an example, the ranking of housing wards using COPRAS 1 and 2)
method is highlighted with different colour circles, green (high),
yellow (medium) and red (low) in Fig. 1. TOPSIS acted most 1 A10 A10 A10 A10 A10
correspondingly to the revised AHP, with the two methods 2 A4 A4 A4 A4 A4
3 A8 A5 A8 A2 A5
prioritising four of the alternatives (40%) in identical positions. 4 A1 A6 A5 A5 A2
However, the two methods also produced some rather contrasting 5 A5 A3 A1 A6 A8
results, for example, in relation the prioritisation of A2 (Childwall). 6 A6 A2 A6 A8 A1
In fact, A2 produced rather unstable rankings by the different 7 A2 A8 A3 A3 A6
8 A3 A9 A2 A1 A3
methods tested, along with A1 and A8. Although it is not usual to
9 A9 A7 A9 A7 A9
adopt the second approach within the revised AHP method, i.e. 10 A7 A1 A7 A9 A7
incorporating cost criteria as negative weights, the final priority
Table 3
Data obtained by ranking of the alternatives using different MCDM methods.
E. Mulliner et al. / Omega 59 (2016) 146–156 153
2 methods. These findings are fairly consistent with a number of rankings of alternatives. Ginevicius and Podvezko [82] also used
other studies comparing the results obtained by applying several SAW, TOPSIS and COPRAS and found similarity, albeit not entirely
MCDM methods. For example, Banaitieneet al. [68] found that equal, in the ranking of alternatives. Rao [83] found similarity in
SAW (also known as WSM), TOPSIS and COPRAS produced equal the rankings given by TOPSIS, COPRAS and AHP. Zanakiset al. [47]
concluded that all version of AHP behave similarly to SAW, while
Table 5 they found that TOPSIS behaves closer to AHP.
Correlation between alternative rankings computed using different MCDM
methods.
7. Sensitivity analysis
Fig. 2. Criteria sensitivity to the change. Chart represents sensitivity analysis results demonstrating how the change of criterion weight affects the ranking of alternatives.
Dark green rectangles indicate tolerable change of criteria weight (as shown in the top panel), to which the alternative ranking is not sensitive, while light green rectangles
represent the range that contributes to the single change of alternatives. In principle, the length of the horizontal bar indicates the criteria sensitivity to the change, where
the shorter the barimplies the higher level of sensitivity. Abbreviations of criteria are shown on the left side of panel. Results for six MSDM methods in each criterion panel
are displayed in the following order: WSM (top), WPM, revised AHP 1, revised AHP 2, TOPSIS and COPRAS (bottom). (For interpretation of the references to color in this figure
legend, the reader is referred to the web version of this article.)
154 E. Mulliner et al. / Omega 59 (2016) 146–156
models of MCDM methods described in Sections 5.1–5.5. A As shown in Fig. 4, criteria C4 (WSM), C20 (WPM, TOPSIS and
sensitivity analysis was performed to quantify the level of cross- COPRAS) and C16 (Revised AHP 1 and 2) were identified as most
talk between criteria and ranking, through revealing how the critical criteria for any alternative, and C16 was the most critical
ranking of alternatives change due to variation of criteria weights. criterion for best alternative in case of all MCDM methods.
Results of the sensitivity analysis for each individual criterion were
compared in Fig. 2. It should be noted that any change in one
criterion weight (increase or decrease) was reflected in remaining 8. Discussion
criteria weights by adjusting proportionally criteria weights and
ensuring that the total criteria weight is equal to unity. The comparative analysis of the MCDM methods – WSM, WPM,
Fig. 3 represents sensitivity coefficients SCn, which were calcu- revised AHP (approach 1 and approach 2), TOPSIS and COPRAS –
lated for each criterion using all six MCDM methods. The specific highlighted that the WSM, revised AHP methods and COPRAS are
value of the sensitivity coefficient SCnj for criterion Cj, indicates that relatively simple to use. The WPM also appeared straightforward,
a 5% or 50% increase or decrease of the criterion weight leads to a although it was problematic with the use of zero values within the
single, double or multiple changes in the ranking of alternatives. analysis. However, a drawback of the WSM, WPM and revised AHP
The distribution of sensitivity coefficients is summarised in is that benefit and cost criteria should not generally be used at the
Table 6. Results revealed that criteria C3, C8, C12, C13, C15 and same time within the analysis. Cost criteria ought to be trans-
C19 were robust for all six MCDM methods used in the analysis. formed into benefit criteria prior to normalisation. However, Millet
The comparative analysis of the distribution of sensitivity and Schoner [79] discussed this transformation in relation to the
coefficients revealed that the simulated 5% change in the criterion AHP methods and suggest that it can cause computational com-
weight (increase and decrease) did not have any influence on the plexity and elicit inconsistent results. There is an option, mathe-
ranking of alternatives using WPM and COPRAS methods and had matically, to incorporate cost criteria as negative weights within
some effect on the ranking with other methods. The WPM methods, as demonstrated within the comparative analysis with
method-based ranking was least affected by the 50% change in the revised AHP (approach 2). However, such a way of dealing with
the criterion weight, while other methods tolerated such change cost criteria is not generally adopted in practice and thus the
within acceptable limits for a majority of criteria (Fig. 2, Table 6). results may not always be acceptable. In contrast, the TOPSIS and
Next, we investigated what was the most critical criterion in COPRAS methods allow for both benefit and cost criteria to be
each MCDM model. The “most criticalcriterion” was defined as the incorporated with one analysis without difficulty or question.
criterion Cj for which the smallest relative change (in percentage), However, the TOPSIS method was more complex and time con-
denoted as Dj, in its weight value Wj must occur to alter the suming to apply in comparison to COPRAS. Dyer et al. [84] warn
existing ranking of the alternatives. The sensitivity coefficient of
criterion Cj, denoted as SCj, can be used as a measure of sensitivity Table 6
to the change of criterion weight and is given as follows: Distribution of sensitivity coefficients SCns.
0 1 41 0 1 41 0 1 41 0 1 41
Occurance of sensitivity coefficient amongst 20 criteria
WSM 19 1 0 17 3 0 12 5 3 12 5 3
WPM 20 0 0 20 0 0 13 5 2 16 2 2
Revised AHP 1 15 5 0 15 5 0 6 7 7 10 4 6
Revised AHP 2 15 5 0 15 5 0 6 7 7 10 4 6
TOPSIS 19 0 1 19 1 0 14 0 6 14 0 6
COPRAS 20 0 0 20 0 0 11 3 6 8 7 5
0.7
C16 C16 Most critical criteria
for any alternative
0.6
C4
Most critical criteria
Sensitivity coefficient
0.4
C20
0.3
0.2 C20
C16
0.1 C20
C16
C16 C16 C16 C16
0.0
WSM WPM Revised Revised TOPSIS COPRAS
AHP 1 AHP 2
Fig. 3. Diagram of sensitivity coefficients SCns for each criterion. Multiple bars for Fig. 4. Most critical criteria for any and best alternatives. Bar chart compares
each criterion show sensitivity coefficients calculated for all six MCDM methods sensitivity coefficients SCs of most critical criteria established using different
allowing for 5%, 50%, þ 5%, and þ 50% changes of the criterion weight. MCDM models.
E. Mulliner et al. / Omega 59 (2016) 146–156 155
that the complexity of many MCDM methods can prevent their In the presented decision problem the ‘best’ (and second best)
application in practice. Moreover, the findings of several compara- alternative obtained by all examined methods was equal but the
tive studies actually suggest that simpler evaluation techniques are overall ranking of all alternatives varied between methods. We
often superior [47,69,70]. found that some of the methods were in strong agreement with
All methods produced somewhat different ranking results. high correlations found amongst rankings, but certain differences
COPRAS, TOPSIS, WSM, revised AHP 1 and 2 showed most also arose. The comparative analysis demonstrates that none of
consistency amongst themselves. Although none of these five the MCDM methods are considered to be ‘perfect’. We suggest that
methods outclassed others considerably, the correlation analysis ideally, and where possible, more than one method should be
showed that COPRAS would be an optimal choice if one method to applied to the same problem in order to provide a more compre-
be used for alternative’s ranking purpose. The sensitivity analysis hensive decision basis. However, when this is not possible we
also revealed that COPRAS (together with WPM) tolerated best the recommend the use of the COPRAS method since it exhibited the
5% change in criterion weight (increase and decrease), which did highest potential in sustainable housing affordability decision
not have any influence on ranking alternatives using these two analysis. Nonetheless, considering the results of the sensitivity
methods. COPRAS also has the ability to account for both benefit analysis, in cases of higher levels of uncertainty with regard to
(maximizing) and cost (minimizing) evaluation criteria, which can criteria importance (weighting), TOPSIS, WSM and WPM can also
be assessed separately within one evaluation process. Contrast- be considered owing to their better tolerance to a higher level of
ingly, the WSM and revised AHP methods require transformation change in criterion weight.
of cost criteria into benefit ones. This makes the procedure more
complicated and time consuming for potential users and can elicit
inconsistent results. The COPRAS method is transparent, simple to
References
use and has a low calculation time in comparison with other
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