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Warren

Buffett’s
investing
wisdom
The most insightful excerpts from
his annual letters of the last 11 years
Warren Buffett’s Investing Wisdom 1
2010 ANNUAL LETTER

Perils of leverage and the virtue of cash


portion of your savings. In addition, important
Buffett says tough economic philanthropy is dependent on our prudence. Finally,
conditions can unravel debt-laden many disabled victims of accidents caused by our
insureds are counting on us to deliver sums payable
companies and cash is the ultimate decades from now. It would be irresponsible for us to
king, no matter if it appears to be risk what all these constituencies need just to pursue
a few points of extra return…
unproductive in the short term …we will hold at least $10 billion of cash, excluding
that held at our regulated utility and railroad

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nquestionably, some people have become very businesses. Because of that commitment, we
rich through the use of borrowed money. customarily keep at least $20 billion on hand so that
However, that’s also been a way to get very poor. we can both withstand unprecedented insurance
When leverage works, it magnifies your gains. Your losses… and quickly seize acquisition or investment
spouse thinks you’re clever, and your neighbors get opportunities, even during times of financial turmoil.
envious. But leverage is addictive. Once having We keep our cash largely in U.S. Treasury bills and
profited from its wonders, very few people retreat to avoid other short-term securities yielding a few more
more conservative practices. And as we all learned in basis points, a policy we adhered to long before the
third grade – and some relearned in 2008 – any series frailties of commercial paper and money market
of positive numbers, however impressive the numbers funds became apparent in September 2008. We agree
may be, evaporates when multiplied by a single zero. with investment writer Ray DeVoe’s observation,
History tells us that leverage all too often produces “More money has been lost reaching for yield than at
zeroes, even when it is employed by very smart people. the point of a gun.” At Berkshire, we don’t rely on
Leverage, of course, can be lethal to businesses as bank lines, and we don’t
well. Companies with large debts often assume that enter into contracts
these obligations can be refinanced as they mature. that could
That assumption is usually valid. Occasionally, require
though, either because of company-specific problems postings
or a worldwide shortage of credit, maturities must of
actually be met by payment. For that, only cash will collateral
do the job. except for
Borrowers then learn that credit is like oxygen. amounts
When either is abundant, its presence goes that are tiny in
unnoticed.When either is missing, that’s all that is relation to our
noticed. Even a short absence of credit can bring a liquid assets...
company to its knees. By being so cautious
In September 2008, in fact, its overnight in respect to leverage, we
disappearance in many sectors of the economy came penalize our returns by a
dangerously close to bringing our entire country to minor amount. Having loads
its knees. of liquidity, though, lets us sleep
Charlie and I have no interest in any activity that well. Moreover, during the episodes of financial chaos
could pose the slightest threat to Berkshire’s that occasionally erupt in our economy, we will be
wellbeing. (With our having a combined age of 167, equipped both financially and emotionally to play
starting over is not on our bucket list.) We are forever offense while others scramble for survival. That’s
conscious of the fact that you, our partners, have what allowed us to invest $15.6 billion in 25 days of
entrusted us with what in many cases is a major panic following the Lehman bankruptcy in 2008.

By being so cautious in respect to leverage, we penalize our returns by a minor


amount. Having loads of liquidity, though, lets us sleep well.
2 Warren Buffett’s Investing Wisdom
2011 ANNUAL LETTER

Stocks vs fixed income and gold


86% in value since 1965, when I took over management
In spite of their volatility, stocks are of Berkshire. It takes no less than $7 today to buy
actually less ‘risky’ than bonds and what $1 did at that time…
l The second major category of investments involves
gold, suggests Buffett assets that will never produce anything, but that are
purchased in the buyer’s hope that someone else –

I
nvesting is often described as the process of laying who also knows that the assets will be forever
out money now in the expectation of receiving unproductive – will pay more for them in the future.
more money in the future. At Berkshire we take a Tulips, of all things, briefly became a favorite of such
more demanding approach, defining investing as the buyers in the 17th century…
transfer to others of purchasing power now with the The major asset in this category is gold... Gold,
reasoned expectation of receiving more purchasing however, has two significant shortcomings, being
power – after taxes have been paid on nominal gains – neither of much use nor procreative. True, gold has
in the future. More succinctly, investing is forgoing some industrial and decorative utility, but the demand
consumption now in order to have the ability to for these purposes is both limited and incapable of
consume more at a later date. soaking up new production. Meanwhile, if you
From our definition there flows an important own one ounce of gold for an
corollary: The riskiness of an investment is not eternity, you will still own one
measured by beta (a Wall Street ounce at its end.
term encompassing volatility and l My own preference – and you
often used in measuring risk) but knew this was coming – is our
rather by the probability – the third category: investment in
reasoned probability – of that productive assets, whether
investment causing its owner a loss of businesses, farms, or real estate.
purchasing-power over his Ideally, these assets should have the
contemplated holding period. ability in inflationary times to deliver
Assets can fluctuate greatly output that will retain its purchasing-
in price and not be risky as power value while requiring a
long as they are reasonably minimum of new capital investment.
certain to deliver increased Farms, real estate, and many
purchasing power over their Assets can fluctuate greatly in businesses such as Coca-Cola,
holding period. And as we will IBM and our own See’s Candy
see, a non-fluctuating asset can price and not be risky as long meet that double-barreled test…
be laden with risk. as they are reasonably certain Our country’s businesses will
Investment possibilities are continue to efficiently deliver
both many and varied. There to deliver increased purchasing goods and services wanted by
are three major categories, power over their holding period our citizens. Metaphorically,
however, and it’s important to these commercial “cows” will
understand the characteristics of each. So let’s survey live for centuries and give ever greater quantities of
the field. “milk” to boot. Their value will be determined not by
l Investments that are denominated in a given the medium of exchange but rather by their capacity
currency include money-market funds, bonds, to deliver milk. Proceeds from the sale of the milk will
mortgages, bank deposits, and other instruments. compound for the owners of the cows, just as they did
Most of these currency-based investments are thought during the 20th century when the Dow increased from
of as “safe.” In truth they are among the most 66 to 11,497 (and paid loads of dividends as well)… I
dangerous of assets. Their beta may be zero, but their believe that over any extended period of time this
risk is huge… category of investing will prove to be the runaway
Even in the U.S., where the wish for a stable winner among the three we’ve examined. More
currency is strong, the dollar has fallen a staggering important, it will be by far the safest.

Warren Buffett’s Investing Wisdom 3


2012 ANNUAL LETTER

The opportunity in newspapers


long before the presses begin to roll… In one area of
Why Buffett likes newspapers as a interest after another, newspapers have therefore lost
business in spite of their falling their “primacy.” And, as their audiences have
fallen, so has advertising…
profitability Newspapers continue to reign

N
ews, to put it simply, is what supreme, however, in the delivery
people don’t know that they of local news. If you want to know
want to know. And people will what’s going on in your town –
seek their news – what’s important whether the news is about the
to them – from whatever sources mayor or taxes or high school
provide the best combination of football – there is no substitute for
immediacy, ease of access, reliability, a local newspaper that is doing its
comprehensiveness and low cost. The relative job. A reader’s eyes may glaze over after
importance of these factors varies with the nature of they take in a couple of paragraphs about
the news and the person wanting it. Canadian tariffs or political developments in
Before television and the Internet, newspapers were Pakistan; a story about the reader himself or his
the primary source for an incredible variety of news, neighbors will be read to the end. Wherever there is
a fact that made them indispensable to a very high a pervasive sense of community, a paper that serves
percentage of the population… the special informational needs of that community
Now the world has changed. Stock market quotes will remain indispensable to a significant portion of
and the details of national sports events are old news its residents…

Why you shouldn’t crave dividends


…and instead sell your stocks to generate income if needed

A
profitable company can allocate its earnings in company], there are two further – and important –
various ways (which are not mutually arguments for a sell-off policy. First, dividends impose
exclusive). A company’s management should a specific cash-out policy upon all shareholders…
first examine reinvestment possibilities offered by its The sell-off alternative, on the other hand, lets each
current business… shareholder make his own choice between cash
[The] next step... is to search for acquisitions receipts and capital build-up… Of course, a
unrelated to our current businesses... shareholder in our dividend-paying scenario could
The third use of funds – repurchases – is sensible turn around and use his dividends to purchase more
for a company when its shares sell at a meaningful shares. But he would take a beating in doing so: He
discount to conservatively calculated intrinsic value. would both incur taxes and also pay a 25% premium
Indeed, disciplined repurchases are the surest way to get his dividend reinvested. ([Assuming] Keep
to use funds intelligently: It’s hard to go remembering, open-market purchases of the stock
wrong when you’re buying dollar bills for take place at 125% of book value.)
80¢ or less… The second disadvantage of the dividend approach
But never forget: In repurchase decisions, is of equal importance: The tax consequences for all
price is all-important. Value is destroyed when taxpaying shareholders are inferior – usually
purchases are made above intrinsic value… far inferior – to those under the sell-off
And that brings us to dividends… program. Under the dividend program, all
Aside from the favorable math [here of the cash received by shareholders each
Buffett illustrates mathematically why year is taxed whereas the sell-off program
selling off shares to generate income is results in tax on only the gain portion of
better than drawing dividends from a the cash receipts.

4 Warren Buffett’s Investing Wisdom


2013 ANNUAL LETTER

Investing gems
recent past is never a reason to buy it.
Buffett provides a distillation of his l With my two small investments [the farm and the
investment wisdom and highlights property], I thought only of what the properties would
produce and cared not at all about their daily
the common follies to avoid in valuations. Games are won by players who focus on
stock investing the playing field – not by those whose eyes are glued to
the scoreboard. If you can enjoy Saturdays and
[Here Buffett refers to an investment in a farm in 1986 Sundays without looking at stock prices, give it a try
and another in a retail property adjacent to NYU in on weekdays.
1993] l Forming macro opinions or listening to the macro
l You don’t need to be an expert in order to achieve or market predictions of others is a waste of time.
satisfactory investment returns. But if you aren’t, you Indeed, it is dangerous because it may blur your
must recognize your limitations and follow vision of the facts that are truly important.
a course certain to work reasonably well. (When I hear TV commentators glibly opine
Keep things simple and don’t swing for on what the market will do next, I am
the fences. When promised quick reminded of Mickey Mantle’s
profits, respond with a quick “no.” scathing comment: “You don’t
l Focus on the future productivity know how easy this game is
of the asset you are until you get into that
considering. If you don’t feel broadcasting booth.”)
comfortable making a rough l My two purchases were
estimate of the asset’s future made in 1986 and 1993. What
earnings, just forget it and move the economy, interest rates,
on. No one has the ability to or the stock market might do
evaluate every investment in the years immediately
possibility. But omniscience following – 1987 and 1994 – was
isn’t necessary; you only need of no importance to me in
to understand the actions you making those investments. I
undertake. can’t remember what the
l If you instead focus on the headlines or pundits were
prospective price change of a saying at the time. Whatever the
contemplated purchase, you are chatter, corn would keep growing
speculating. There is nothing improper about in Nebraska and students would flock to NYU.
that. I know, however, that I am unable to speculate There is one major difference between my two
successfully, and I am skeptical of those who claim small investments and an investment in stocks. Stocks
sustained success at doing so. Half of all coin-flippers provide you minute-to-minute valuations for your
will win their first toss; none of those winners has an holdings whereas I have yet to see a quotation for
expectation of profit if he continues to play the game. either my farm or the New York real estate.
And the fact that a given asset has appreciated in the It should be an enormous advantage for investors
in stocks to have those wildly fluctuating valuations
Games are won by players who focus placed on their holdings – and for some investors, it is.
After all, if a moody fellow with a farm bordering my
on the playing field – not by those property yelled out a price every day to me at which
whose eyes are glued to the he would either buy my farm or sell me his – and
those prices varied widely over short periods of time
scoreboard. If you can enjoy Saturdays depending on his mental state – how in the world
and Sundays without looking at stock could I be other than benefited by his erratic
behavior? If his daily shout-out was ridiculously low,
prices, give it a try on weekdays. and I had some spare cash, I would buy his farm. If

Warren Buffett’s Investing Wisdom 5


the number he yelled was absurdly high, I could either of our “circle of competence” and stay well inside of
sell to him or just go on farming. it. Even then, we will make some mistakes, both with
Owners of stocks, however, too often let the stocks and businesses. But they will not be the
capricious and often irrational behavior of their disasters that occur, for example, when a long-rising
fellow owners cause them to behave irrationally as market induces purchases that are based on
well. Because there is so much chatter about markets, anticipated price behavior and a desire to be where
the economy, interest rates, price behavior of stocks, the action is.
etc., some investors believe it is important to listen to Most investors, of course, have not made the study
pundits – and, worse yet, important to consider acting of business prospects a priority in their lives. If wise,
upon their comments. they will conclude that they do not know enough
Those people who can sit quietly for decades when about specific businesses to predict their future
they own a farm or apartment house too often become earning power.
frenetic when they are exposed to a stream of stock I have good news for these non-professionals: The
quotations and accompanying commentators typical investor doesn’t need this skill… The goal of
delivering an implied message of “Don’t just sit there, the non-professional should not be to pick winners –
do something.” For these investors, liquidity is neither he nor his “helpers” can do that – but should
transformed from the unqualified benefit it should be rather be to own a cross-section of businesses that in
to a curse. aggregate are bound to do well. A low-cost S&P 500
A “flash crash” or some other extreme market index fund will achieve this goal.
fluctuation can’t hurt an investor any more than an
erratic and mouthy neighbor can hurt my farm The goal of the non-professional
investment. Indeed, tumbling markets can be helpful should not be to pick winners – neither
to the true investor if he has cash available when
prices get far out of line with values. A climate of he nor his “helpers” can do that – but
fear is your friend when investing; a euphoric world should rather be to own a cross-
is your enemy.
During the extraordinary financial panic that section of businesses that in
occurred late in 2008, I never gave a thought to selling aggregate are bound to do well
my farm or New York real estate, even though a severe
recession was clearly brewing. And, if I had owned That’s the “what” of investing for the non-
100% of a solid business with good long-term prospects, professional. The “when” is also important. The
it would have been foolish for me to even consider main danger is that the timid or beginning investor
dumping it. So why would I have sold my stocks that will enter the market at a time of extreme
were small participations in wonderful businesses? exuberance and then become disillusioned when
True, any one of them might eventually disappoint, but paper losses occur. (Remember the late Barton Biggs’
as a group they were certain to do well… observation: “A bull market is like sex. It feels best
just before it ends.”) The antidote to that kind of
Invest in stocks as you would in a farm mistiming is for an investor to accumulate shares
When Charlie and I buy stocks – which we think of as over a long period and never to sell when the news is
small portions of businesses – our analysis is very bad and stocks are well off their highs. Following
similar to that which we use in buying entire those rules, the “know-nothing” investor who both
businesses. We first have to decide whether we can diversifies and keeps his costs minimal is virtually
sensibly estimate an earnings range for five years out, certain to get satisfactory results. Indeed, the
or more. If the answer is yes, we will buy the stock (or unsophisticated investor who is realistic about his
business) if it sells at a reasonable price in relation to shortcomings is likely to obtain better long-term
the bottom boundary of our estimate. If, however, we results than the knowledgeable professional who is
lack the ability to estimate future earnings – which is blind to even a single weakness...
usually the case – we simply move on to other Nevertheless, both individuals and institutions will
prospects. In the 54 years we have worked together, we constantly be urged to be active by those who profit
have never foregone an attractive purchase because of from giving advice or effecting transactions. The
the macro or political environment, or the views of resulting frictional costs can be huge and, for
other people. In fact, these subjects never come up investors in aggregate, devoid of benefit. So ignore the
when we make decisions. chatter, keep your costs minimal, and invest in stocks
It’s vital, however, that we recognize the perimeter as you would in a farm.

6 Warren Buffett’s Investing Wisdom


2014 ANNUAL LETTER

Buy wonderful businesses at fair prices


Buffett credits Charlie Munger for motivating him to move beyond cigar-butt
strategy of buying stocks and instead focus on wonderful enterprises

M
y cigar-butt strategy [buying discarded stocks certain to give See’s major gains in earnings over
with declining business fundamentals and then time. Better yet, these would materialize with only
selling them when they rise a little] worked minor amounts of incremental investment. In other
very well while I was managing small sums. Indeed, the words, See’s could be expected to gush cash for
many dozens of free puffs I obtained in the 1950s made decades to come.
that decade by far the best of my life for both The family controlling See’s wanted $30
relative and absolute investment million for the business, and Charlie rightly
performance… said it was worth that much. But I didn’t
But a major weakness in this approach want to pay more than $25 million and wasn’t
gradually became apparent: Cigar-butt all that enthusiastic even at that figure. (A

%
investing was scalable only to a point. price that was three times net tangible
With large sums, it would never work assets made me gulp.) My misguided
well. caution could have scuttled a terrific
In addition, though marginal purchase. But, luckily, the sellers
businesses purchased at cheap prices decided to take our $25 million bid.
may be attractive as short-term To date, See’s has earned $1.9 billion
investments, they are the wrong pre-tax, with its growth having required
foundation on which to build a large and added investment of only $40 million.
enduring enterprise. Selecting a marriage See’s has thus been able to distribute huge
partner clearly requires more demanding criteria sums that have helped Berkshire buy other
than does dating… businesses that, in turn, have themselves produced
It took Charlie Munger to break my cigar-butt large distributable profits. (Envision rabbits
habits and set the course for building a business that breeding.) Additionally, through watching See’s in
could combine huge size with satisfactory profits… action, I gained a business education about the value
…The blueprint he gave me was simple: Forget of powerful brands that opened my eyes to many
what you know about buying fair businesses at other profitable investments.
wonderful prices; instead, buy wonderful businesses Even with Charlie’s blueprint, I have made plenty
at fair prices. of mistakes… The most gruesome was Dexter Shoe.
The year 1972 was a turning point for Berkshire… When we purchased the company in 1993, it had a
We had the opportunity then to buy See’s Candy for terrific record and in no way looked to me like a cigar
Blue Chip Stamps, a company in which Charlie, I and butt. Its competitive strengths, however, were soon to
Berkshire had major stakes, and which was later evaporate because of foreign competition. And I
merged into Berkshire. simply didn’t see that coming.
See’s was a legendary West Coast manufacturer and Consequently, Berkshire paid $433 million for
retailer of boxed chocolates, then annually earning Dexter and, rather promptly, its value went to zero.
about $4 million pre-tax while utilizing only $8 million GAAP accounting, however, doesn’t come close to
of net tangible assets. Moreover, the company had a recording the magnitude of my error. The fact is that I
huge asset that did not appear on its balance sheet: a gave Berkshire stock to the sellers of Dexter rather
broad and durable competitive advantage that gave it than cash, and the shares I used for the purchase are
significant pricing power. That strength was virtually now worth about $5.7 billion. As a financial disaster,
this one deserves a spot in the Guinness Book of
Trading shares of a wonderful World Records.

business for ownership of a so-so ...Mistakes of that kind are deadly. Trading shares
of a wonderful business... for ownership of a so-so
business irreparably destroys value business irreparably destroys value.

Warren Buffett’s Investing Wisdom 7


2015 ANNUAL LETTER

Why it pays to be optimistic


families in my upper middle-class neighborhood
Despite all challenges, human regularly enjoy a living standard better than that
society has progressed, as Buffett achieved by John D. Rockefeller Sr. at the time of my
birth. His unparalleled fortune couldn’t buy what we
illustrates in the case of the now take for granted, whether the field is – to name
American people. Growth-related just a few – transportation, entertainment,
communication or medical services. Rockefeller
concerns are often overblown. certainly had power and fame; he could not, however,
live as well as my neighbors now do.

I
t’s an election year, and candidates can’t stop Though the pie to be shared by the next generation
speaking about our country’s problems (which, of will be far larger than today’s, how it will be divided
course, only they can solve). As a result of this will remain fiercely contentious…
negative drumbeat, many Americans now believe The good news, however, is that even members of
that their children will not live as well as they the “losing” sides will almost certainly enjoy – as they
themselves do. That view is dead wrong: The should – far more goods
babies being born in America today are the and services in the
luckiest crop in history.
American GDP per capita is now about Nothing rivals the
$56,000. As I mentioned last year that – in real
terms – is a staggering six times the amount
market system in
in 1930, the year I was born, a leap far beyond producing what
the wildest dreams of my parents or their
contemporaries. U.S. citizens are not
people want – nor,
intrinsically more intelligent today, nor do they even more so, in
work harder than did Americans in 1930.
Rather, they work far more efficiently and
delivering what
thereby produce far more. This all-powerful people don’t yet
trend is certain to continue: America’s economic
magic remains alive and well.
know they want
Some commentators bemoan our current 2%
per year growth in real GDP – and, yes, we would future than they have in the
all like to see a higher rate. But let’s do some past. The quality of their
simple math using the much-lamented 2% figure. increased bounty will also
That rate, we will see, delivers astounding gains. dramatically improve. Nothing
America’s population is growing about .8% per year rivals the market system in producing what people
(.5% from births minus deaths and .3% from net want – nor, even more so, in delivering what people
migration). Thus 2% of overall growth produces about don’t yet know they want. My parents, when young,
1.2% of per capita growth. That may not sound could not envision a television set, nor did I, in my
impressive. But in a single generation of, say, 25 years, 50s, think I needed a personal computer. Both
that rate of growth leads to a gain of 34.4% in real products, once people saw what they could do,
GDP per capita. (Compounding’s effects produce the quickly revolutionized their lives. I now spend ten
excess over the percentage that would result by simply hours a week playing bridge online. And, as I write
multiplying 25 x 1.2%.) In turn, that 34.4% gain will this letter, “search” is invaluable to me. (I’m not
produce a staggering $19,000 increase in real GDP per ready for Tinder, however.)
capita for the next generation. Were that to be For 240 years it’s been a terrible mistake to bet
distributed equally, the gain would be $76,000 annually against America... America’s golden goose of
for a family of four. Today’s politicians need not shed commerce and innovation will continue to lay more
tears for tomorrow’s children. and larger eggs... And, yes, America’s kids will live far
Indeed, most of today’s children are doing well. All better than their parents did.

8 Warren Buffett’s Investing Wisdom


2016 ANNUAL LETTER

The folly of investment advice


You don’t need some exotic investment idea or product to do well.
Simplicity is your best bet.

O
ver the years, I’ve often been asked for clearly the best choice. My calculation, admittedly very
investment advice, and in the process of rough, is that the search by the elite for superior
answering I’ve learned a good deal about human investment advice has caused it, in aggregate, to
behavior. My regular recommendation has been a low- waste more than $100 billion over the past decade.
cost S&P 500 index fund. To their credit, my friends Figure it out: Even a 1% fee on a few trillion dollars
who possess only modest means have usually followed adds up. Of course, not every investor who put
my suggestion. money in hedge funds ten years ago lagged S&P
I believe, however, that none of the mega-rich returns. But I believe my calculation of the
individuals, institutions or pension funds aggregate shortfall is conservative.
has followed that same advice Much of the financial
when I’ve given it to them. damage befell pension funds
Instead, these investors politely for public employees. Many of
thank me for my thoughts and these funds are woefully
depart to listen to the siren song underfunded, in part because
of a high-fee manager or, in the they have suffered a double
case of many institutions, to whammy: poor investment performance
seek out another breed of accompanied by huge fees. The
hyper-helper called a resulting shortfalls in their
consultant. assets will for decades have to be
That professional, however, made up by local taxpayers.
faces a problem. Can you imagine an Human behavior won’t change.
investment consultant telling clients, year When a person with Wealthy individuals, pension funds,
after year, to keep adding to an index fund endowments and the like will continue to
replicating the S&P 500? That would be money meets a feel they deserve something “extra” in
career suicide. Large fees flow to these person with investment advice. Those advisors who
hyper-helpers, however, if they cleverly play to this expectation will get
recommend small managerial shifts every experience, the one very rich. This year the magic potion may
year or so. That advice is often delivered with experience be hedge funds, next year something else.
in esoteric gibberish that explains why The likely result from this parade of
fashionable investment “styles” or ends up with the promises is predicted in an adage: “When
current economic trends make the shift money and the one a person with money meets a person with
appropriate. experience, the one with experience ends
The wealthy are accustomed to feeling with money leaves up with the money and the one with
that it is their lot in life to get the best with experience money leaves with experience.”
food, schooling, entertainment, housing, Long ago, a brother-in-law of mine,
plastic surgery, sports ticket, you name it. Their Homer Rogers, was a commission agent working in
money, they feel, should buy them something superior the Omaha stockyards. I asked him how he induced a
compared to what the masses receive. farmer or rancher to hire him to handle the sale of
...For that reason, the financial “elites” – wealthy their hogs or cattle to the buyers from the big four
individuals, pension funds, college endowments and packers... After all, hogs were hogs and the buyers
the like – have great trouble meekly signing up for a were experts who knew to the penny how much any
financial product or service that is available as well to animal was worth...Homer gave me a pitying look and
people investing only a few thousand dollars. This said: “Warren, it’s not how you sell ‘em, it’s how you
reluctance of the rich normally prevails even though tell ‘em.” What worked in the stockyards continues to
the product at issue is – on an expectancy basis – work in Wall Street.

Warren Buffett’s Investing Wisdom 9


2017 ANNUAL LETTER

The acquisition logic


Acquisitions are touted as mega achievements.
In reality, the efficacy of most is suspect.

I
n our search for new stand-alone businesses, the key forecast. Spreadsheets never disappoint.
qualities we seek are durable competitive strengths; The ample availability of extraordinarily cheap debt
able and high-grade management; good returns on in 2017 further fueled purchase activity. After all, even a
the net tangible assets required to operate the business; high-priced deal will usually boost per-share earnings
opportunities for internal growth at attractive returns; if it is debt-financed. At Berkshire, in contrast, we
and, finally, a sensible purchase price. evaluate acquisitions on an all-equity basis, knowing
That last requirement proved a barrier to virtually that our taste for overall debt is very low and that to
all deals we reviewed in 2017, as prices for decent, but assign a large portion of our debt to any individual
far from spectacular, businesses hit an all-time high. business would generally be fallacious... We also never
Indeed, price seemed almost irrelevant to an army of factor in, nor do we often find, synergies.
optimistic purchasers. Our aversion to leverage has dampened our returns
Why the purchasing frenzy? In part, it’s because the over the years. But Charlie and I sleep well. Both of us
CEO job self-selects for “can-do” types. If Wall Street believe it is insane to risk what you have and need in
analysts or board members urge that brand of CEO to order to obtain what you don’t need. We held this view
consider possible acquisitions, it’s a bit like telling your 50 years ago when we each ran an investment
ripening teenager to be sure to have a normal sex life. partnership, funded by a few friends and relatives who
Once a CEO hungers for a deal, he or she will never trusted us. We also hold it today after a million or so
lack for forecasts that justify the purchase. “partners” have joined us at Berkshire.
Subordinates will be cheering, envisioning enlarged Despite our recent drought of acquisitions, Charlie
domains and the compensation levels that typically and I believe that from time to time Berkshire will
increase with corporate size. Investment bankers, have opportunities to make very large purchases. In
smelling huge fees, will be applauding as well. (Don’t the meantime, we will stick with our simple guideline:
ask the barber whether you need a haircut.) If the The less the prudence with which others conduct their
historical performance of the target falls short of affairs, the greater the prudence with which we must
validating its acquisition, large “synergies” will be conduct our own.

The magic of retained earnings


The gains from undistributed owned businesses – Berkshire received $3.7 billion of
dividends in 2017…
earnings accumulate for patient That dividend figure, however, far understates the

investors over the long term “true” earnings emanating from our stock holdings…
we expect undistributed earnings of our investees to

C
harlie and I view the marketable common stocks deliver us at least equivalent earnings by way of
that Berkshire owns as interests in businesses, subsequent capital gains…
not as ticker symbols to be bought or sold based The connection of value-building to retained
on their “chart” patterns, the “target” prices of earnings… will be impossible to detect in the short
analysts or the opinions of media pundits. Instead, we term. Stocks surge and swoon, seemingly untethered
simply believe that if the businesses of the investees to any year-to-year buildup in their underlying value.
are successful (as we believe most will be) our Over time, however, Ben Graham’s oft-quoted maxim
investments will be successful as well… proves true: “In the short run, the market is a voting
From our stock portfolio – call our holdings machine; in the long run, however, it becomes a
“minority interests” in a diversified group of publicly- weighing machine.”

10 Warren Buffett’s Investing Wisdom


2018 ANNUAL LETTER

When numbers Buffett doesn’t


are adjusted, be worry about Street
extra careful expectations
Adjusted numbers can hide important Trying to meet
details. Dig deeper into them. them can lead to

D corporate bad
espite our recent additions to marketable
equities, the most valuable grove in
Berkshire’s forest remains the many dozens behaviour and
of non-insurance businesses that Berkshire
controls... Those subsidiaries earned $16.8 billion
fudged numbers
last year. When we say “earned,” moreover, we are

F
describing what remains after all income taxes, or 54 years our managerial decisions at Berkshire
interest payments, managerial compensation have been made from the viewpoint of the
(whether cash or stock-based), restructuring shareholders who are staying, not those who are
expenses, depreciation, amortization and home- leaving. Consequently, Charlie and I have never focused
office overhead. on current-quarter results.
That brand of earnings is a far cry from that Berkshire, in fact, may be the only company in the
frequently touted by Wall Street bankers and Fortune 500 that does not prepare monthly earnings
corporate CEOs. Too often, their presentations reports or balance sheets. I, of course, regularly view
feature “adjusted EBITDA,” a measure that redefines the monthly financial reports of most subsidiaries. But
“earnings” to exclude a variety of all-too-real costs. Charlie and I learn of Berkshire’s overall earnings and
For example, managements sometimes assert that financial position only on a quarterly basis.
their company’s stock-based compensation shouldn’t Furthermore, Berkshire has no company-wide
be counted as an expense. (What else could it be – a budget (though many of our subsidiaries find one
gift from shareholders?) And restructuring useful). Our lack of such an instrument means that the
expenses? Well, maybe last year’s exact parent company has never had a quarterly “number”
rearrangement won’t recur. But restructurings of to hit. Shunning the use of this bogey sends an
one sort or another are common in business... important message to our many managers, reinforcing
Abraham Lincoln once posed the question: “If the culture we prize.
you call a dog’s tail a leg, how many legs does it Over the years, Charlie and I have seen all sorts of
have?” and then answered his own query: “Four, bad corporate behavior, both accounting and
because calling a tail a leg doesn’t make it one.” operational, induced by the desire of management to
Abe would have felt lonely on Wall Street. meet Wall Street expectations. What starts as an
“innocent” fudge in order to not disappoint “the Street”
– say, trade-loading at quarter-end, turning a blind eye
to rising insurance losses, or drawing down a “cookie-
jar” reserve – can become the first step toward full-
fledged fraud. Playing with the numbers “just this once”
may well be the CEO’s intent; it’s seldom the end result.
And if it’s okay for the boss to cheat a little, it’s easy for
subordinates to rationalize similar behavior.
At Berkshire, our audience is neither analysts nor
commentators: Charlie and I are working for our
shareholder-partners. The numbers that flow up to us
will be the ones we send on to you.

Warren Buffett’s Investing Wisdom 11


2019 ANNUAL LETTER

The sinecure of directorship


Buffett mocks the way directors are appointed and how they work

O
ver the years, board “independence” has become – indeed, craved – is almost universally classified as
a new area of emphasis. One key point relating “independent” while many directors possessing
to this topic, though, is almost invariably fortunes very substantially linked to the welfare of the
overlooked: Director compensation has now soared to corporation are deemed lacking in independence. Not
a level that inevitably makes pay a subconscious long ago, I looked at the proxy material of a large
factor affecting the behavior of many non-wealthy American company and found that eight directors had
members. Think, for a moment, of the director never purchased a share of the company’s stock using
earning $250,000-300,000 for board meetings consuming their own money. (They, of course, had received grants
a pleasant couple of days six or so times a year. of stock as a supplement to their generous cash
Frequently, the possession of one such directorship compensation.) This particular company had long been
bestows on its holder three to four a laggard, but the directors were doing wonderfully.
times the annual median income
of U.S. households. (I missed
When seeking Paid-with-my-own-money ownership, of course,
does not create wisdom or ensure business smarts.
much of this gravy train: As a directors, Nevertheless, I feel better when directors of our
director of Portland Gas Light in
the early 1960s, I received $100
CEOs don’t portfolio companies have had the experience of
purchasing shares with their savings, rather than
annually for my service. To earn look for pit simply having been the recipients of grants.
this princely sum, I commuted to
Maine four times a year.)
bulls. It’s the Here, a pause is due: I’d like you to know that almost
all of the directors I have met over the years have been
And job security now? It’s cocker spaniel decent, likable and intelligent. They dressed well, made
fabulous. Board members may get
politely ignored, but they seldom
that gets good neighbors and were fine citizens. I’ve enjoyed
their company. Among the group are some men and
get fired. Instead, generous age taken home. women that I would not have met except for our mutual
limits – usually 70 or higher – act board service and who have become close friends.
as the standard method for the Nevertheless, many of these good souls are people
genteel ejection of directors. whom I would never have chosen to handle money
Is it any wonder that a non- or business matters. It simply was not their game.
wealthy director (“NWD”) now They, in turn, would never have asked me for
hopes – or even yearns – to be help in removing a tooth, decorating their home
asked to join a second board, or improving their golf swing… We are all duds
thereby vaulting into the $500,000- at one thing or another. For most of us, the list
600,000 class? To achieve this goal, is long…
the NWD will need help. The CEO At Berkshire, we will continue to
of a company searching for board look for business-savvy directors
members will almost certainly who are owner-oriented and
check with the NWD’s current arrive with a strong specific
CEO as to whether NWD is a interest in our company.
“good” director. “Good,” of course, is Thought and principles, not
a code word. If the NWD has robot-like “process,” will
seriously challenged his/her present guide their actions. In
CEO’s compensation or acquisition representing your interests,
dreams, his or her candidacy will silently they will, of course, seek managers
die. When seeking directors, CEOs don’t whose goals include delighting their
look for pit bulls. It’s the cocker customers, cherishing their
spaniel that gets taken home. associates and acting as good
Despite the illogic of it all, the citizens of both their
director for whom fees are important communities and our country.

12 Warren Buffett’s Investing Wisdom


2020 ANNUAL LETTER

The trickery of conglomerates


The valuation illusion created by conglomerates to get a controlling stake
in a mediocre business and how Berkshire Hathaway is different

B
erkshire is often labeled a conglomerate, a fees that deal-making generates, and the press loves the
negative term applied to holding companies stories that colorful promoters provide. At a point, also,
that own a hodge-podge of unrelated the soaring price of a promoted stock can itself become
businesses. And, yes, that describes the “proof ” that an illusion is reality.
Berkshire – but only in part. To Owning a non- Eventually, of course, the party ends,
understand how and why we differ and many business “emperors” are
from the prototype conglomerate, controlling portion found to have no clothes. Financial
let’s review a little history. of a wonderful history is replete with the names of
Over time, conglomerates have famous conglomerateurs who were
generally limited themselves to business is more initially lionized as business geniuses by
buying businesses in their entirety. profitable, more journalists, analysts and investment
That strategy, however, came with bankers, but whose creations ended up
two major problems. One was enjoyable and far as business junkyards.
unsolvable: Most of the truly great less work than Conglomerates earned their terrible
businesses had no interest in having reputation.
anyone take them over. Consequently, struggling with Charlie and I want our conglomerate
deal-hungry conglomerateurs had to 100% of a marginal to own all or part of a diverse group of
focus on so-so companies that lacked businesses with good economic
important and durable competitive enterprise characteristics and good managers.
strengths. That was not a great pond Whether Berkshire controls these
in which to fish. businesses, however, is unimportant to us.
Beyond that, as conglomerateurs dipped It took me a while to wise up. But Charlie – and also
into this universe of mediocre businesses, my 20-year struggle with the textile operation I
they often found themselves required to inherited at Berkshire – finally convinced me that
pay staggering “control” premiums to owning a non-controlling portion of a wonderful
snare their quarry. Aspiring business is more profitable, more enjoyable
conglomerateurs knew the answer to this and far less work than struggling
“overpayment” problem: They simply with 100% of a marginal enterprise.
needed to manufacture a vastly overvalued For those reasons, our
stock of their own that could be used as a conglomerate will remain a
“currency” for pricey acquisitions. (“I’ll pay collection of controlled and non-
you $10,000 for your dog by giving you two controlled businesses. Charlie and I will
of my $5,000 cats.”) simply deploy your capital into whatever we
Often, the tools for fostering the believe makes the most sense, based on a
overvaluation of a conglomerate’s stock company’s durable competitive strengths,
involved promotional techniques and the capabilities and character of its
“imaginative” accounting maneuvers that management, and price.
were, at best, deceptive and that If that strategy requires little or no effort on
sometimes crossed the line into fraud. our part, so much the better. In contrast to the
When these tricks were “successful,” scoring system utilized in diving competitions,
the conglomerate pushed its own stock you are awarded no points in business
to, say, 3x its business value in order to endeavors for “degree of difficulty.”
offer the target 2x its value. Furthermore, as Ronald Reagan cautioned: “It’s
Investing illusions can continue for a said that hard work never killed anyone, but I say
surprisingly long time. Wall Street loves the why take the chance?”

Warren Buffett’s Investing Wisdom 13


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