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part four The Global Monetary System

The Global Capital Market


LEARNING OBJECTIVES
After reading this chapter, you will be able to:
12
LO12-1 Describe the benefits of the global capital market.

LO12-2 Identify why the global capital market has grown so rapidly.

LO12-3 Understand the risks associated with the globalization of capital markets.

LO12-4 Compare and contrast the benefits and risks associated with the Eurocurrency market, the global
bond market, and the global equity market.

LO12-5 Understand how foreign exchange risks affect the cost of capital.

©Hassan Ammar/AFP/Getty Images


Saudi Aramco 

OP ENI NG CA SE lists 170 companies and has a total market capitalization of


around $350 billion. Offering 5 percent of Saudi Aramco
In 2015, the government of Saudi Arabia announced an through the Tadawul will not result in a high price for the
ambitious plan, known as Vision 2030, to diversify the stock; there is simply not enough local demand to support
economy beyond oil. Saudi’s plans to modernize its econ- that. The only way to raise $100 billion is to offer stock of
omy will require copious funding, something that will strain Saudi Aramco for sale not just on the Tadawul, but also on
the finances of the desert kingdom. The country relies one or more additional large and highly liquid stock mar-
heavily on oil, with 87 percent of the budget, 42 percent of kets. The exchanges being considered include New York,
GDP, and 90 percent of export earnings being derived London, and Singapore. For example, with a market capi-
from oil revenues. As a consequence of lower oil prices talization of more than $20 trillion, the New York Stock Ex-
and higher government outlays, the Saudi government has change is far more able to absorb the offering than the
recently been running large budget deficits. In 2016, the Tadawul. Listing on multiple exchanges will make the IPO
deficit hit $90 billion, or 13 percent of GDP. To raise the available to a much wider pool of investors, thus poten-
funds for Vision 2030, therefore, the government decided tially increasing demand and driving up the price, making it
to sell off shares in Saudi Aramco, the state-run oil com- more likely that the Saudi government will hit its target of
pany that has exclusive control over Saudi Arabia’s oil raising $100 billion.
reserves. If Saudi Aramco does list on larger exchanges, which
Saudi Aramco is one of the largest enterprises on earth. seems highly likely, it will have to abide by the strict ac-
Saudi Arabia possesses about 16 percent of the world’s oil counting regulations and reporting requirements of
reserves, including some of the lowest cost reserves on those markets. Regular financial reporting will increase
the planet. This gives Saudi Aramco 10 times the reserves the transparency of Saudi Aramco, which in turn will in-
of the largest private oil company, ExxonMobil. Saudi gov- crease investor confidence in the IPO and thus increase
ernment estimates suggest that Saudi Aramco is worth demand and drive up the market price of the stock. An-
$2 trillion. Based on this valuation, the government is pro- other benefit of listing on multiple exchanges is that it
posing to sell 5 percent of the shares of Saudi Aramco to will make it easier for Saudi Aramco to undertake addi-
private investors, which would raise $100 billion in capital tional stock offerings down the road and to issue debt
for the government—enough to fund aggressive invest- securities in those markets. Right now, the IPO is being
ments in non-oil ventures to support Vision 2030. If this planned for 2018.
comes to pass, the initial public offering (IPO) of Saudi
Aramco will be the largest in history by a wide margin. Sources: J. Blas and W. Mahdi, “Saudi Arabia's Oil Wealth Is about
Raising $100 billion in capital has its challenges, not to Get a Reality Check,” Bloomberg, February 23, 2017; M. Farrell and
N. Parasie, “Saudi Aramco IPO: The Biggest Fee Event in Wall Street
least of which is that the Saudi stock exchange, or Tadawul, History,” The Wall Street Journal, June 9, 2016; J. Everington,
is far too small and illiquid to absorb such a massive stock “Saudi Aims to Double the Size of the Stock Market,” The National,
offering. As it stands, the entire Saudi stock market only April 5, 2016.

341
The Global Capital Market Chapter 12 343

Capital market loans to corporations are either equity loans or debt loans. An equity
loan is made when a corporation sells stock to investors (as Saudi Aramco is planning to
do in 2018; see the opening case). The money the corporation receives in return for its
stock can be used to purchase plants and equipment, fund R&D projects, pay wages, and
so on. A share of stock gives its holder a claim to a firm’s profit stream. Ultimately, the
corporation honors this claim by paying dividends to the stockholders (although many
fast-growing young corporations do not start to issue dividends until the business has ma-
tured and growth rate slows). The amount of the dividends is not fixed in advance. Rather,
it is determined by management based on how much profit the corporation is making. In-
vestors purchase stock both for its dividend yield and in anticipation of gains in the
price of the stock, which in theory reflects future dividend yields. Stock prices increase
when a corporation is projected to have greater earnings in the future, which increases the
probability that it will raise future dividend payments.
A debt loan requires the corporation to repay a predetermined portion of the loan
amount (the sum of the principal plus the specified interest) at regular intervals regardless
of how much profit it is making. Management has no discretion as to the amount it will
pay investors. Debt loans include cash loans from banks and funds raised from the sale of
corporate bonds to investors. When an investor purchases a corporate bond, he purchases
the right to receive a specified fixed stream of income from the corporation for a specified
number of years (i.e., until the bond maturity date). The maturity period of debt loans vary
from the very long term, such as 20 years, to extremely short-term loans, including those
with a maturity of just one day.

GLOSSARY

Our International Business textbook covers what is commonly referred to as a “survey” of


topics in international business. As such, the book includes a lot of terms, definitions, and
technical language associated with international business and worldwide trade. One such
chapter topic that covers a lot of important details is this chapter on global capital markets.
While our goal is to provide readers of the textbook with state-of-the-art knowledge, every
possible term and definition that may be important when conducting international business
around the world cannot be covered in our textbook (due to space and volume of terms).
Instead, globalEDGE provides several hundred relevant terms and definitions. They may
become valuable to better understand certain scenarios in our book as well as, most impor-
tantly, to better understand practical scenarios that you may encounter in the workplace. As
related to this Chapter 12 (and also all other chapters), check out globalEDGE’s glossary sec-
tion at globaledge.msu.edu/reference-desk/glossary. View the glossary, definitions, and
breadth of terminology as a quick examination of your understanding of the main issues in
international business.

ATTRACTIONS OF THE GLOBAL CAPITAL MARKET


A global capital market benefits both borrowers and investors. It benefits borrowers by
increasing the supply of funds available for borrowing and by lowering the cost of capital.
It benefits investors by providing a wider range of investment opportunities, thereby allow-
ing them to build portfolios of international investments that diversify their risks.

The Borrower’s Perspective: Lower Cost of Capital


In a purely domestic capital market, the pool of investors is limited to residents of the
country. This places an upper limit on the supply of funds available to borrowers. In other
344 Part 4 The Global Monetary System

F I GU RE 12. 2
Market liquidity and the SSG
SSI
cost of capital.
D

10%

Cost of Capital
9

0
D1 D2
Dollars

words, the liquidity of the market is limited. A global capital market, with its much larger
pool of investors, provides a larger supply of funds for borrowers to draw on.
Perhaps the most important drawback of the limited liquidity of a purely domestic
capital market is that the cost of capital tends to be higher than it is in a global market. The
cost of capital is the price of borrowing money, which is the rate of return that borrowers
must pay investors. This is the interest rate on debt loans and the dividend yield and ex-
pected capital gains on equity loans. In a purely domestic market, the limited pool of inves-
tors implies that borrowers must pay more to persuade investors to lend them their money.
The larger pool of investors in an international market implies that borrowers will be able
to pay less.
The argument is illustrated in Figure 12.2, using Deutsche Telekom, the German tele-
communications company, as an example. In 1996, in what was one of the first major
global offerings, Deutsche Telekom raised more than $13 billion by simultaneously offer-
ing shares for sales in Frankfurt, New York, London, and Tokyo. The vertical axis in Fig-
ure 12.2 is the cost of capital (the price of borrowing money), and the horizontal axis is
the amount of money available at varying interest rates. The Deutsche Telekom demand
curve for borrowings is DD. Note that the Deutsche Telekom demand for funds varies with
the cost of capital; the lower the cost of capital, the more money Deutsche Telekom will
borrow. (Money is just like anything else; the lower its price, the more of it people can af-
ford.) The supply curve of funds available in the German capital market is SSG, and the
funds available in the global capital market is represented by SS I. Note that Deutsche
Telekom can borrow more funds more cheaply on the global capital market. As
Figure 12.2 illustrates, the greater pool of resources in the global capital market—the
greater liquidity—both lowers the cost of capital and increases the amount Deutsche Telekom
can borrow. Thus, the advantage of a global capital market to borrowers is that it lowers
the cost of capital.
Problems of limited liquidity are not restricted to less developed nations, which nat-
urally tend to have smaller domestic capital markets. In recent decades, even very large
enterprises based in some of the world’s largest economies have tapped the interna-
tional capital markets in their search for greater liquidity and a lower cost of capital.
One of the largest offerings of the global capital market era was that of the Industrial
and Commercial Bank of Japan, which is discussed below in the next Management
Focus. 1
MAN AG EM ENT F O C US

The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Taps the Global Capital Market
In October 2006, the Industrial and Commercial Bank of way  to go. By listing in Hong Kong, ICBC signaled to
China, or ICBC, successfully completed what was then the potential investors that it would adhere to the strict report-
world’s largest ever initial public offering (IPO), raising ing and governance standards expected of the top global
some $21 billion. It beat Japan’s 1998 IPO of NTT DoCoMo companies.
by a wide margin to earn a place in the record books (NTT The ICBC listing attracted considerable interest from
raised $18.4 billion in its IPO).  foreign investors, who saw it as a way to invest in the
The ICBC offering followed the IPOs of a number of Chinese economy. ICBC has a nationwide bank network of
other Chinese banks and corporations. Indeed, Chinese more than 18,000 branches, the largest in the nation. It
enterprises had been regularly tapping global capital mar- claims 2.5 million corporate customers and 150 million per-
kets for the prior decade as the Chinese have sought to sonal accounts. Some 1,000 institutions from across the
fortify the balance sheets of the country’s largest compa- globe reportedly bid for shares in the IPO. Total orders
nies, to improve corporate governance and transparency, from these institutions were equivalent to 40 times the
and to give China’s industry leaders global recognition. amount of stock offered for sale. In other words, the offer-
Between 2000 and 2006, Chinese companies raised ing was massively oversubscribed. Indeed, the issue gen-
more than $100 billion from the equity markets. About half erated a total demand of some $430 billion, almost twice
of that came in 2005 and 2006, largely from the country’s the value of Citi, the world’s largest bank by market capital-
biggest banks. Shares sold by Chinese companies are ization. The listing on Hong Kong attracted some $350 bil-
also accounting for a greater share of global equity sales— lion in orders from global investors, more than any other
about 10 percent in 2006 compared to 2.8 percent in offering in Hong Kong’s history. The domestic portion of
2001, surpassing the total amount raised by companies in the stock sales, through the Shanghai exchange, attracted
the world’s then-second-largest economy, Japan. some $80 billion in orders. This massive oversubscription
To raise this amount of capital, Chinese corporations enabled ICBC to raise the issuing price for its shares and
have been aggressively courting international investors. In reap some $2 billion more than planned.
the case of ICBC, it simultaneously listed its IPO shares on Sources: K. Linebaugh, “Record IPO Could Have Been Even Bigger,”
the Shanghai stock exchange and the Hong Kong ex- The Wall Street Journal, October 21, 2006, p. B3; “Deals That
change. The rationale for the Hong Kong listing was that Changed the Market in 2006: ICBC’s Initial Public Offering,” Euro-
money, February 7, 2007, p. 1; T. Mitchell, “ICBC Discovers That Good
regulations in Hong Kong are in accordance with inter- Things Come to Those Who Wait,” Financial Times, October 26,
national standards, while those in Shanghai have some 2006, p. 40.

The Investor’s Perspective: Portfolio Diversification


By using the global capital market, investors have a much wider range of investment op-
portunities than in a purely domestic capital market. The most significant consequence of
this choice is that investors can diversify their portfolios internationally, thereby reducing
their risk to less than what could be achieved in a purely domestic capital market. We con-
sider how this works in the case of stock holdings, although the same argument could be
made for bond holdings.
Consider an investor who buys stock in a biotech firm that has not yet produced a new
product. Imagine the price of the stock is very volatile—investors are buying and selling the
stock in large numbers in response to information about the firm’s prospects. Such stocks
are risky investments; investors may win big if the firm produces a marketable product; but
investors may also lose all their money if the firm fails to come up with a product that sells.
Investors can guard against the risk associated with holding this stock by buying other
firms’ stocks, particularly those weakly or negatively correlated with the biotech stock. By
holding a variety of stocks in a diversified portfolio, the losses incurred when some stocks
fail to live up to their promise are offset by the gains enjoyed when other stocks exceed
their promise.
345
346 Part 4 The Global Monetary System

As an investor increases the number of stocks in her portfolio, the portfolio’s risk de-
clines. At first, this decline is rapid. Soon, however, the rate of decline falls off and asymp-
totically approaches the systematic risk of the market. Systematic risk refers to movements
in a stock portfolio’s value that are attributable to macroeconomic forces affecting all
firms in an economy, rather than factors specific to an individual firm. The systematic risk
is the level of nondiversifiable risk in an economy. Data from a classic study by Solnik 2 sug-
gested that a fully diversified U.S. portfolio is only about 27 percent as risky as a typical
individual stock.
By diversifying a portfolio internationally, an investor can reduce the level of risk even
further because the movements of stock market prices across countries are not perfectly
correlated. For example, one study looked at the correlation among three stock market in-
dexes. The Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) summarized the movement of large U.S.
stocks. The Morgan Stanley Capital International Europe, Australia, and Far East Index
(EAFE) summarized stock market movements in other developed nations. The third index,
the International Finance Corporation Global Emerging Markets Index (IFC), summarized
stock market movements in less developed “emerging economies.” From 1981 to 1994, the
correlation between the S&P 500 and EAFE indexes was 0.45, suggesting they moved to-
gether only about 20 percent of the time (i.e., 0.45 × 0.45 = 0.2025). The correlation be-
tween the S&P 500 and IFC indexes was even lower at 0.32, suggesting they moved together
only a little more than 10 percent of the time.3 Other studies have confirmed that despite
casual observations, different national stock markets appear to be only moderately corre-
lated. One study found that between 1972 and 2000 the average pair-wise correlation be-
tween the world’s four largest equity markets in the United States, United Kingdom,
Germany, and Japan was 0.475, suggesting that these markets moved in tandem only about
22 percent of the time (0.475 × 0.472 = 0.22 or 22 percent of shared variance).4
The relatively low correlation between the movement of stock markets in different coun-
tries reflects two basic factors. First, countries pursue different macroeconomic policies
and face different economic conditions, so their stock markets respond to different forces
and can move in different ways. For example, in 1997, the stock markets of several Asian
countries, including South Korea, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Thailand, lost more than
50 percent of their value in response to the Asian financial crisis, while at the same time
the S&P 500 increased in value by more than 20 percent. Second, some stock markets are
still somewhat segmented from each other by capital controls—that is, by restrictions on
cross-border capital flows (although as noted earlier, such restrictions are declining rap-
idly). The most common restrictions include limits on the amount of a firm’s stock that a
foreigner can own and limits on the ability of a country’s citizens to invest their money
outside that country. For example, until recently it was difficult for foreigners to own more
than 30 percent of the equity of South Korean enterprises. Such barriers to cross-border
capital flows limit the ability of capital to roam the world freely in search of the highest
risk-adjusted return. Consequently, at any one time there may be too much capital invested
in some markets and too little in others. This will tend to produce differences in rates of
return across stock markets.5 The implication is that by diversifying a portfolio to include
foreign stocks, an investor can reduce the level of risk below that incurred by holding only
domestic stocks.
According to the classic study by Bruno Solnik,6 a fully diversified portfolio that con-
tains stocks from many countries is less than half as risky as a fully diversified portfolio
that contains only U.S. stocks. Solnik found that a fully diversified portfolio of interna-
tional stocks is only about 12 percent as risky as a typical individual stock, whereas a fully
diversified portfolio of U.S. stocks is about 27 percent as risky as a typical individual stock.
There is a perception, increasingly common among investment professionals, that the
growing integration of the global economy and the emergence of the global capital market
have increased the correlation between different stock markets, reducing the benefits of
international diversification.7 Today, it is argued, if the U.S. economy enters a recession,
and the U.S. stock market declines rapidly, other markets follow suit. Indeed, this is what
seems to have occurred in 2008 and 2009 as the financial crisis that started in the United
The Global Capital Market Chapter 12 347

States swept around the world. Another study by Solnik suggests there may be some truth
to this assertion, but the rate of integration is not occurring as rapidly as the popular per-
ception would lead one to believe. Solnik and his associate looked at the correlation be-
tween 15 major stock markets in developed countries between 1971 and 1998. They found
that on average, the correlation of monthly stock market returns increased from 0.66 in
1971 to 0.75 in 1998, indicating some convergence over time, but that “the regression re-
sults were weak,” which suggests that this “average” relationship was not strong and that
there was considerable variation among countries.8 Similarly, a more recent study con-
firmed this basic finding, suggesting that even today, most of the time a portfolio equally
diversified across all available markets can reduce portfolio risk to about 35 percent of the
volatility associated with a single market (i.e., a 65 percent reduction in risk).9
The implication here is that international portfolio diversification can still reduce risk.
Moreover, the correlation between stock market movements in developed and emerging
markets seems to be lower, and the rise of stock markets in developing nations, such as
China, has given international investors many more opportunities for international portfo-
lio diversification.10
The risk-reducing effects of international portfolio diversification would be greater were
it not for the volatile exchange rates associated with the current floating exchange rate re-
gime. Floating exchange rates introduce an additional element of risk into investing in
foreign assets. As we have said repeatedly, adverse exchange rate movements can trans-
form otherwise profitable investments into unprofitable investments. The uncertainty en-
gendered by volatile exchange rates may be acting as a brake on the otherwise rapid growth
of the international capital market.

GROWTH OF THE GLOBAL CAPITAL MARKET


According to data from the Bank for International Settlements, the global capital mar- LO 12-2
ket is growing at a rapid pace. Stocks, bonds, and bank loans currently total around Identify why the global
$300 trillion, more than three times the size of the world economy.11 There seem to be capital market has grown so
two factors driving this growth—advances in information technology and deregulation rapidly.
by governments.

Information Technology
Financial services is an information-intensive industry. It draws on large volumes of infor-
mation about markets, risks, exchange rates, interest rates, creditworthiness, and so on. It
uses this information to make decisions about what to invest where, how much to charge
borrowers, how much interest to pay to depositors, and the value and riskiness of a range of
financial assets including corporate bonds, stocks, government securities, and currencies.
Because of this information intensity, the financial services industry has been revolu-
tionized more than any other industry by advances in information technology since the
1970s. The growth of international communications technology has facilitated instanta-
neous communication between any two points on the globe. At the same time, rapid ad-
vances in data processing capabilities have allowed market makers to absorb and process
large volumes of information from around the world. According to one study, because of
these technological developments, the real cost of recording, transmitting, and processing
information fell by 95 percent between 1964 and 1990.12 With the rapid rise of the Internet
and the massive increase in computing power that we have seen since 1990, it seems likely
that the cost of recording, transmitting, and processing information has fallen by a similar
amount since 1990 and is now trivial.
Such developments have facilitated the emergence of an integrated international capital
market. It is now technologically possible for financial services companies to engage in
24-hour-a-day trading, whether it is in stocks, bonds, foreign exchange, or any other finan-
cial asset. Due to advances in communications and data processing technology, the inter-
national capital market never sleeps. San Francisco closes one hour before Tokyo opens,
but during this period trading continues in New Zealand.
348 Part 4 The Global Monetary System

The integration facilitated by technology has a dark side.13 “Shocks” that occur in one
financial center now spread around the globe very quickly. For example, the financial cri-
sis that began in the United States in 2008 quickly spread around the globe. However, most
market participants would argue that the benefits of an integrated global capital market far
outweigh any potential costs. Moreover, despite the fact that shocks in national financial
markets do seem to spill over into other markets, on average the correlation between move-
ments in national equity markets remains relatively low, suggesting that such shocks may
have a relatively moderate long-term impact outside their home market.14
Deregulation
In country after country, financial services has historically been the most tightly regulated
of all industries. Governments around the world have traditionally kept other countries’
financial service firms from entering their capital markets. In some cases, they have also
restricted the overseas expansion of their domestic financial services firms. In many coun-
tries, the law has also segmented the domestic financial services industry. In the United
States, for example, until the late 1990s commercial banks were prohibited from perform-
ing the functions of investment banks, and vice versa. Historically, many countries have
limited the ability of foreign investors to purchase significant equity positions in domestic
companies. They have also limited the amount of foreign investment that their citizens
could undertake. In the 1970s, for example, capital controls made it very difficult for a
British investor to purchase American stocks and bonds.
Many of these restrictions have been crumbling since the early 1980s. In part, this has
been a response to the development of the Eurocurrency market, which from the begin-
ning was outside national control. (This is explained later in the chapter.) It has also been
a response to pressure from financial services companies, which have long wanted to oper-
ate in a less regulated environment. Increasing acceptance of the free market ideology as-
sociated with an individualistic political philosophy also has a lot to do with the global
trend toward the deregulation of financial markets (see Chapter 2). Whatever the reason,
deregulation in a number of key countries has undoubtedly facilitated the growth of the
international capital market.
The trend began in the United States in the late 1970s and early 1980s with a series of
changes that allowed foreign banks to enter the U.S. capital market and domestic banks to
expand their operations overseas. In Great Britain, the so-called Big Bang of October 1986
removed barriers that had existed between banks and stockbrokers and allowed foreign fi-
nancial service companies to enter the British stock market. Restrictions on the entry of
foreign securities houses have been relaxed in Japan, and Japanese banks are now allowed
to open international banking facilities. In France, the “Little Bang” of 1987 opened the
French stock market to outsiders and to foreign and domestic banks. In Germany, foreign
banks are now allowed to lend and manage foreign euro issues, subject to reciprocity agree-
ments.15 All of this has enabled financial services companies to transform themselves from
primarily domestic companies into global operations with major offices around the world—
a prerequisite for the development of a truly international capital market. As we saw in
Chapter 8, in late 1997 the World Trade Organization brokered a deal that removed many
of the restrictions on cross-border trade in financial services. This deal facilitated further
growth in the size of the global capital market.
In addition to the deregulation of the financial services industry, many countries
beginning in the 1970s started to dismantle capital controls, loosening both restrictions on
inward investment by foreigners and outward investment by their own citizens and corpo-
rations. By the 1980s, this trend spread from developed nations to the emerging econo-
mies of the world as countries across Latin America, Asia, and eastern Europe started to
dismantle decades-old restrictions on capital flows.
The trends toward deregulation of financial services and removal of capital controls
were still firmly in place until 2008. However, the global financial crisis of 2008–2009
prompted many to wonder if deregulation had gone too far, and it focused attention on the
need for new regulations to govern certain sectors of the financial services industry,
The Global Capital Market Chapter 12 349

including the hedge funds, which operate largely outside of existing regulatory boundaries.
(Hedge funds are private investment funds that position themselves to make “long bets”
on assets that they think will increase in value and “short bets” on assets that they think
will decline in value.) Given the benefits associated with the globalization of capital, not-
withstanding the current contraction, over the long term the growth of the global capital
market can be expected to continue. While most commentators see this as a positive devel-
opment, some believe the globalization of capital holds inherent serious risks.

GLOBAL CAPITAL MARKET RISKS


Some analysts are concerned that due to deregulation and reduced controls on cross-border LO 12-3
capital flows, individual nations are becoming more vulnerable to speculative capital flows. Understand the risks
They see this as having a destabilizing effect on national economies.16 Harvard economist
associated with the
Martin Feldstein, for example, has argued that most of the capital that moves internation- globalization of capital
ally is pursuing temporary gains, and it shifts in and out of countries as quickly as condi-
markets.
tions change.17 He distinguishes between this short-term capital, or “hot money,” and
“patient money” that would support long-term cross-border capital flows. To Feldstein, pa-
tient money is still relatively rare, primarily because although capital is free to move interna-
tionally, its owners and managers still prefer to keep most of it at home. Feldstein supports
his arguments with statistics that demonstrate that although vast amounts of money flows
through the foreign exchange markets every day, “when the dust settles, most of the savings
done in each country stays in that country.” 18 Feldstein argues that the lack of patient
money is due to the relative paucity of information that investors have about foreign invest-
ments. In his view, if investors had better information about foreign assets, the global capital
market would work more efficiently and be less subject to short-term speculative capital
flows. Feldstein claims that Mexico’s economic problems in the mid-1990s were the result
of too much hot money flowing in and out of the country and too little patient money. This
example is reviewed in detail in the accompanying Country Focus.
A lack of information about the fundamental quality of foreign investments may en-
courage speculative flows in the global capital market. Faced with a lack of quality infor-
mation, investors may react to dramatic news events in foreign nations and pull their
money out too quickly. Despite advances in information technology, it is still difficult for
investors to get access to the same quantity and quality of information about foreign invest-
ment opportunities that they can get about domestic investment opportunities. This infor-
mation gap is exacerbated by different accounting conventions in different countries,
which makes the direct comparison of cross-border investment opportunities difficult for
all but the most sophisticated investor (see Chapter 19 for details). For example, histori-
cally German accounting principles have been different from those found in the United
States and presented quite a different picture of the health of a company. Thus, when the
Germany company Daimler-Benz translated its German financial accounts into U.S.-style
accounts in 1993, as it had to do to be listed on the New York Stock Exchange, it found
that while it had made a profit of $97 million under German rules, under U.S. rules it had
lost $548 million!19 However, in the 2000s there has been rapid movement toward harmo-
nization of different national accounting standards, which is certainly improving the qual-
ity of information available to investors (see Chapter 20 for details).
Given the problems created by differences in the quantity and quality of information,
many investors have yet to venture into the world of cross-border investing, and those who
do are prone to reverse their decision on the basis of limited (and perhaps inaccurate) in- TEST PREP
formation. However, if the international capital market continues to grow, financial inter- Use SmartBook to help retain
mediaries likely will increasingly provide quality information about foreign investment what you have learned.
opportunities. Better information should increase the sophistication of investment deci- Access your instructor’s
sions and reduce the frequency and size of speculative capital flows. Although concerns Connect course to check
about the volume of “hot money” sloshing around in the global capital market increased as out SmartBook or go to
a result of the Asian financial crisis, IMF research suggests there has not been an increase learnsmartadvantage.com
in the volatility of financial markets since the 1970s. 20 for help.
C O U NT RY F O C US

Did the Global Capital Markets Fail Mexico?


In early 1994, soon after passage of the North American interest rates would fall, bond prices would rise, and the
Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), Mexico was widely ad- dollar would appreciate against the yen.
mired among the international community as a shining ex- Faced with large losses, money managers tried to reduce
ample of a developing country with a bright economic the riskiness of their portfolios by pulling out of risky situa-
future. Since the late 1980s, the Mexican government had tions. About the same time, events took a turn for the worse
pursued sound monetary, budget, tax, and trade policies. in Mexico. An armed uprising in the southern state of
By historical standards, inflation was low, the country was Chiapas, the assassination of the leading candidate in the pres-
experiencing solid economic growth, and exports were idential election campaign, and an accelerating inflation rate all
booming. This robust picture attracted capital from foreign helped produce a feeling that Mexican investments were risk-
investors; between 1991 and 1993, foreigners invested ier than had been assumed. Money managers began to pull
more than $75 billion in the Mexican economy, more than many of their short-term investments out of the country.
in any other developing nation. As hot money flowed out, the Mexican government real-
If there was a blot on Mexico’s economic report card, it ized it could not continue to count on capital inflows to finance
was the country’s growing current account (trade) deficit. its current account deficit. The government had assumed the
Mexican exports were booming but so were its imports. In inflow was mainly composed of patient, long-term money. In
the 1989–1990 period, the current account deficit was reality, much of it appeared to be short-term money. As money
equivalent to about 3 percent of Mexico’s gross domestic flowed out of Mexico, the Mexican government had to commit
product. In 1991, it increased to 5 percent, and by 1994, it more foreign reserves to defending the value of the peso
was running at an annual rate of more than 6 percent. Bad against the U.S. dollar, which was pegged at 3.5 pesos to the
as this might seem, it is not unsustainable and should not dollar. Currency speculators entered the picture and began to
bring an economy crashing down. The United States has bet against the Mexican government by selling pesos short.
been running a current account deficit for decades with Events came to a head in December 1994 when the Mexican
apparently little in the way of ill effects. A current account government was essentially forced by capital flows to aban-
deficit will not be a problem for a country as long as for- don its support for the peso. Over the next month, the peso
eign investors take the money they earn from trade with lost 40 percent of its value against the dollar, the government
that country and reinvest it within the country. This has was forced to introduce an economic austerity program, and
been the case in the United States for years, and during the Mexican economic boom came to an abrupt end.
the early 1990s, it was occurring in Mexico too. Thus, com- According to Martin Feldstein, the Mexican economy was
panies such as Ford took the pesos they earned from ex- brought down not by currency speculation on the foreign
ports to Mexico and reinvested those funds in productive exchange market, but by a lack of long-term patient money.
capacity in Mexico, building auto plants to serve the future He argued that Mexico offered, and still offers, many attrac-
needs of the Mexican market and to export elsewhere. tive long-term investment opportunities, but because of the
Unfortunately for Mexico, much of the $25 billion an- lack of information on long-term investment opportunities in
nual inflow of capital it received during the early 1990s was Mexico, most of the capital flowing into the country from 1991
not the kind of patient long-term money that Ford was put- to 1993 was short-term, speculative money, the flow of which
ting into Mexico. Rather, according to economist Martin could quickly be reversed. If foreign investors had better in-
Feldstein, much of the inflow was short-term capital that formation, Feldstein argued, Mexico should have been able
could flee if economic conditions changed for the worse. to finance its current account deficit from inward capital flows
This is what seems to have occurred. In February 1994, the because patient capital would naturally gravitate toward at-
U.S. Federal Reserve began to increase U.S. interest rates. tractive Mexican investment opportunities.
This led to a rapid fall in U.S. bond prices. At the same
Sources: Martin Feldstein, “Global Capital Flows: Too Little, Not Too
time, the yen began to appreciate sharply against the U.S. Much,”  The Economist, June 24, 1995, pp. 72–73; R. Dornbusch, “We
dollar. These events resulted in large losses for many man- Have Salinas to Thank for the Peso Debacle,” BusinessWeek, January 16,
agers of short-term capital, such as hedge fund managers 1995, p. 20; P. Carroll and C. Torres, “Mexico Unveils Program of Harsh
Fiscal Medicine,” The Wall Street Journal, March 10, 1995, pp. A1, A6. See
and banks, which had been betting on exactly the oppo- also Martin Feldstein and Charles Horioka, “Domestic Savings and Inter-
site happening. Many hedge funds had been betting that national Capital Flows,” Economic Journal 90 (1980), pp. 314–29.

350
352 Part 4 The Global Monetary System

F I GU RE 12. 3
Rate of
Interest rate spreads Interest
in domestic and
Eurocurrency markets.
Domestic
Lending Rate
Eurocurrency
Lending Rate

Eurocurrency
Deposit Rate
Domestic
Deposit Rate
0%

borrowings in the home currency, making Eurocurrency loans attractive for those who
want to borrow money. In other words, the spread between the Eurocurrency deposit rate
and the Eurocurrency lending rate is less than the spread between the domestic deposit
and lending rates (see Figure 12.3). To understand why this is so, we must examine how
government regulations raise the costs of domestic banking.
Domestic currency deposits are regulated in all industrialized countries. Such regula-
tions ensure that banks have enough liquid funds to satisfy demand if large numbers of
domestic depositors should suddenly decide to withdraw their money. All countries oper-
ate with certain reserve requirements. For example, each time a U.S. bank accepts a
deposit in dollars, it must place some fraction of that deposit in a non-interest-bearing
account at a Federal Reserve Bank as part of its required reserves. Similarly, each time a
British bank accepts a deposit in pounds sterling, it must place a certain fraction of that
deposit with the Bank of England.
Banks are given much more freedom in their dealings in foreign currencies, however.
For example, the British government does not impose reserve requirement restrictions on
deposits of foreign currencies within its borders. Nor are the London branches of U.S.
banks subject to U.S. reserve requirement regulations, provided those deposits are payable
only outside the United States. This gives Eurobanks a competitive advantage.
For example, suppose a bank based in New York faces a 10 percent reserve require-
ment. According to this requirement, if the bank receives a $100 deposit, it can lend out
no more than $90 of that, and it must place the remaining $10 in a non-interest-bearing
account at a Federal Reserve bank. Suppose the bank has annual operating costs of
$1 per $100 of deposits and that it charges 10 percent interest on loans. The highest
interest the New York bank can offer its depositors and still cover its costs is 8 percent
per year. Thus, the bank pays the owner of the $100 deposit (0.08 × $100 =) $8, earns
(0.10 × $90 =) $9 on the fraction of the deposit it is allowed to lend, and just covers its
operating costs.
In contrast, a Eurobank can offer a higher interest rate on dollar deposits and still
cover its costs. The Eurobank, with no reserve requirements regarding dollar deposits,
can lend out all of a $100 deposit. Therefore, it can earn 0.10 × $100 = $10 at a loan
rate of 10 percent. If the Eurobank has the same operating costs as the New York bank
($1 per $100 deposit), it can pay its depositors an interest rate of 9 percent, a full per-
centage point higher than that paid by the New York bank, and still cover its costs. That
is, it can pay out 0.09 × $100 = $9 to its depositor, receive $10 from the borrower, and
be left with $1 to cover operating costs. Alternatively, the Eurobank might pay the de-
positor 8.5 percent (which is still above the rate paid by the New York bank), charge
borrowers 9.5 percent (still less than the New York bank charges), and cover its operating
The Global Capital Market Chapter 12 355

for a corporation to attract significant equity capital from foreign investors. These bar-
riers tumbled fast during the 1980s and 1990s. The global equity market enabled firms
to attract capital from international investors, to list their stock on multiple exchanges,
and to raise funds by issuing equity or debt around the world. For example, in 1994
Daimler-Benz, Germany’s largest industrial company, raised $300 million by issuing
new shares not in Germany, but in Singapore. 22 Similarly, in 1996 the German telecom-
munications provider Deutsche Telekom raised some $13.3 billion by simultaneously
listing its shares for sale on stock exchanges in Frankfurt, London, New York, and
Tokyo. These German companies elected to raise equity through foreign markets
because they reasoned that their domestic capital market was too small to supply
the requisite funds at a reasonable cost. To lower their cost of capital, they tapped
into the large and highly liquid global capital market.
More recently, many Chinese companies have been raising equity capital through
foreign stock issues. In 2010, a record 39 Chinese companies issued stock through the
New York Stock Exchange, giving them access to more capital at a lower cost than
would have been possible if they had just issued stock in China.23 In 2014, in what was
the largest IPO ever, the Chinese Internet company Alibaba raised equity capital in
the New York Stock Exchange. Of course, the other side of the coin is that if foreign
entities are going to issue stock in New York, London, or another major foreign mar-
ket, they also have to adhere to the stringent requirements for financial reporting that
are common in those markets.
Although we have talked about the growth of the global equity market, strictly speaking
there is no international equity market in the sense that there are international currency
and bond markets. Rather, many countries have their own domestic equity markets in
which corporate stock is traded. The largest of these domestic equity markets are to be
found in the United States, Great Britain, Japan, and Hong Kong. Although each domestic
equity market is still dominated by investors who are citizens of that country and compa-
nies incorporated in that country, developments are internationalizing the world equity
market. Investors are investing heavily in foreign equity markets to diversify their portfo-
lios. Facilitated by deregulation and advances in information technology, this trend seems
to be here to stay.
An interesting consequence of the trend toward international equity investment is the
internationalization of corporate ownership. Today it is still generally possible to talk
about U.S. corporations, British corporations, and Japanese corporations, primarily be-
cause the majority of stockholders (owners) of these corporations are of the respective
nationality. However, this is changing. Increasingly, U.S. citizens are buying stock in com-
panies incorporated abroad, and foreigners are buying stock in companies incorporated in
the United States. Looking into the future, Robert Reich has mused about “the coming ir-
relevance of corporate nationality.”24
A second development internationalizing the world equity market is that companies
with historic roots in one nation are broadening their stock ownership by listing their stock
in the equity markets of other nations. The reasons are primarily financial. Listing stock
on a foreign market is often a prelude to issuing stock in that market to raise capital. The
idea is to tap into the liquidity of foreign markets, thereby increasing the funds available
for investment and lowering the firm’s cost of capital. (The relationship between liquidity
and the cost of capital was discussed earlier in the chapter.) Firms also often list their
stock on foreign equity markets to facilitate future acquisitions of foreign companies. TEST PREP
Other reasons for listing a company’s stock on a foreign equity market are that the com- Use SmartBook to help retain
pany’s stock and stock options can be used to compensate local management and employ- what you have learned.
ees, it satisfies the desire for local ownership, and it increases the company’s visibility with Access your instructor’s
local employees, customers, suppliers, and bankers. Although firms based in developed Connect course to check
nations were the first to start listing their stock on foreign exchanges, increasingly firms out SmartBook or go to
from developing countries who find their own growth limited by an illiquid domestic capi- learnsmartadvantage.com
tal market are exploiting this opportunity. for help.
The Global Capital Market Chapter 12 357

matter what form of borrowing a firm uses—equity, bonds, or cash loans. The lower cost
of capital on the global market reflects its greater liquidity and the general absence of
government regulation. Government regulation tends to raise the cost of capital in most
domestic capital markets. The global market, being transnational, escapes regulation.
Balanced against this, however, is the foreign exchange risk associated with borrowing in
a foreign currency.
On the investment side, the growth of the global capital market is providing opportunities
for firms, institutions, and individuals to diversify their investments to limit risk. By holding a
diverse portfolio of stocks and bonds in different nations, an investor can reduce total risk to
a lower level than can be achieved in a purely domestic setting. Once again, however, for-
eign exchange risk is a complicating factor.

Key Terms
hedge fund, p. 349 foreign bonds, p. 353 Eurobonds, p. 353
Eurocurrency, p. 351

C H A P T E R S U M M A RY

This chapter explained the functions and form of the and lending rates. This gives Eurobanks a com-
global capital market and defined the implications of petitive advantage.
these for international business practice. This chapter  6. The global bond market has two classifications:
made the following points: the foreign bond market and the Eurobond
 1. The function of a capital market is to bring those market. Foreign bonds are sold outside of the
who want to invest money together with those borrower’s country and are denominated in the
who want to borrow money. currency of the country in which they are issued.
A Eurobond issue is normally underwritten
 2. Relative to a domestic capital market, the global
by an international syndicate of banks and
capital market has a greater supply of funds avail-
placed in countries other than the one in whose
able for borrowing, and this makes for a lower
currency the bond is denominated. Eurobonds
cost of capital for borrowers.
account for the lion’s share of international
 3. Relative to a domestic capital market, the global bond issues.
capital market allows investors to diversify port-
 7. The Eurobond market is an attractive way for
folios of holdings internationally, thereby reduc-
companies to raise funds due to the absence of
ing risk.
regulatory interference, less stringent disclosure
 4. The growth of the global capital market during requirements, and Eurobonds’ favorable tax status.
recent decades can be attributed to advances
 8. Foreign investors are investing in other coun-
in information technology, the widespread dereg-
tries’ equity markets to reduce risk by diversify-
ulation of financial services, and the relaxation
ing their stock holdings among nations.
of regulations governing cross-border capital
flows.  9. Many companies are now listing their stock in
the equity markets of other nations, primarily
 5. A Eurocurrency is any currency banked outside
as a prelude to issuing stock in those markets
its country of origin. The lack of government reg-
to raise additional capital. Other reasons for
ulations makes the Eurocurrency market attrac-
listing stock in another country’s exchange
tive to both depositors and borrowers. Due to the
are to facilitate future stock swaps; to enable
absence of regulation, the spread between the
the company to use its stock and stock options
Eurocurrency deposit and lending rates is less
for compensating local management and
than the spread between the domestic deposit
358 Part 4 The Global Monetary System

employees; to satisfy local ownership desires; 11. One major implication of the global capital mar-
and to increase the company’s visibility among ket for international business is that companies
its local employees, customers, suppliers, and can often borrow funds at a lower cost of capital
bankers. in the international capital market than they can
10. When borrowing funds from the global capital in the domestic capital market.
market, companies must weigh the benefits of a 12. The global capital market provides greater oppor-
lower interest rate against the risks of greater real tunities for businesses and individuals to build a
costs of capital due to adverse exchange rate truly diversified portfolio of international invest-
movements. ments in financial assets, which lowers risk.

C ri ti ca l Th ink i ng a n d Di sc us sion Q u e sti on s


 1. Why has the global capital market grown so rap- working capital, and the firm will repay them
idly in recent decades? Do you think this growth with interest in one year. Happy Company’s trea-
will continue throughout the next decade? Why surer is considering three options:
or why not? a. Borrowing U.S. dollars from Security Pacific
 2. In 2008–2009, the world economy retrenched in Bank at 8 percent.
the wake of a global financial crisis. Do you b. Borrowing British pounds from Midland
think the globalization of capital markets con- Bank at 14 percent.
tribute to this crisis? If so, what can be done to c. Borrowing Japanese yen from Sanwa Bank at
stop global financial contagion in the future? 5 percent.
 3. A firm based in Norway has found that its If Happy borrows foreign currency, it will not
growth is restricted by the limited liquidity of the cover it; that is, it will simply change foreign cur-
Norwegian capital market. List the firm’s options rency for dollars at today’s spot rate and buy the
for raising money on the global capital market. same foreign currency a year later at the spot rate
Discuss the pros and cons of each option, and then in effect. Happy Company estimates the
make a recommendation. How might your rec- pound will depreciate by 5 percent relative to the
ommended options be affected if the Norwegian dollar and the yen will appreciate 3 percent rela-
krona depreciates significantly on the foreign ex- tive to the dollar in the next year. From which
change markets over the next two years? bank should Happy Company borrow?
 4. Happy Company wants to raise $2 million with
debt financing. The funds are needed to finance

re se a rch t a sk g lob aledge. msu .edu

Use the globalEDGE website (globaledge.msu.edu) to 2. The Bureau of Economic Analysis is an agency
complete the following exercises: of the U.S. Department of Commerce. It lists
1. The top management team of your not-for-profit data about the U.S. economic accounts, includ-
organization would like to find out more about ing current investment positions and the amount
investing in environmentally responsible compa- of direct investment by multinational corpora-
nies in Europe. FTSE develops various indexes tions in the United States and abroad. Prepare a
for the global financial markets. A series of in- brief report regarding the direct investments of
dexes, called ESG, cover social, environmental, other countries in the United States. Include in
and good governance standards. One of these is your report the leading countries in foreign di-
the Environmental Europe 40 Index. Download rect investment.
the index’s factsheet for your analysis. Evaluate the
top 10 companies, countries, and industries repre-
sented in this index. What patterns do you see?
The Global Capital Market Chapter 12 359

CLOSI NG CAS E
Alibaba’s Record-Setting IPO
In 2013 senior managers at Alibaba, China’s largest New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and the U.S. Securi-
e-commerce enterprise, decided that it was time to take ties and Exchange Commission (SEC). The NYSE and
the company public and offer its shares for sale to retail SEC indicated that they would have no problem with
and institutional investors. Alibaba was founded in Alibaba’s partners retaining control over more than half
1999 by a former English teacher, Jack Ma, with just of all board seats.
$60,000 in capital. Often described as a fusion of Alibaba realized that an offering on the NYSE would
Amazon and eBay, by 2013 Alibaba was already the have other advantages beyond retaining control of the
world’s largest online e-commerce company. In 2012, board. The NYSE is the largest and most liquid exchange
transactions at its online sites totaled $248 billion, in the world. The recent successful IPO of Facebook and
more than those of Amazon and eBay combined. Twitter had demonstrated that U.S. investors had an ap-
Driven by rapid growth in China’s online shopping petite for Internet offerings. Demand for Alibaba shares
market, projections called for the company to reach was expected to be high, raising the possibility that
online sales of $713 billion by 2017. Alibaba might have a record-setting IPO. Moreover, if its
Ma and his colleagues had several motives for the IPO. shares were listed on the NYSE, this might make it easier
First, they wanted to raise capital to finance the infra- for Alibaba to subsequently use those shares to acquire
structure investment required at a company that was U.S. and other foreign enterprises, giving Alibaba a bigger
growing at breakneck speed. Second, publicly traded global footprint.
shares would give Alibaba a currency that it could use to The biggest obstacle standing in the way of a U.S.
acquire other enterprises (by offering its shares in ex- listing was the Chinese government–imposed limits
change for the shares of an acquired company). Third, a on foreign ownership of Chinese technology busi-
public market in Alibaba shares would be a major liquid- nesses. Alibaba was able to circumvent these limits by
ity event for the large number of Alibaba employees who establishing a complex corporate structure in which
held stock in the enterprise. It would enable them to investors would actually own shares in a Cayman
more easily sell shares in order to raise cash for other Island entity, Alibaba Group Holdings, which has
purchases. contractual rights to all of the earnings of Alibaba
Initially, Alibaba considered doing an IPO in Hong China, but no ownership interest in the Chinese
Kong. The choice made sense. Hong Kong has a large entity, which would continue to be owned by Ma and
and liquid stock market that attracts investors from all his partners.
over the world. However, while Hong Kong is part of The IPO took place on the NYSE on September 18,
China, it retains its own legal system. Hong Kong’s stock 2014. The initial offering price was $68 a share, but de-
exchange has a “one share one vote” requirement. Ma mand was so strong that Alibaba’s shares opened at
and his colleagues were opposed to this. Even though $92.70. Alibaba sold 368 million shares in the offering,
they would hold only a minority of shares after the IPO, or about 15 percent of the company. The IPO raised
they wanted to retain the ability to nominate more than $25 billion for Alibaba, $6 billion more than originally
half of the company’s board of directors, ensuring that estimated, and valued the company at $231 billion,
they maintained control over the management of the making it the largest IPO in history.
enterprise.
Alibaba entered into negotiations with the Hong
Sources: S. D. Solomon, “Alibaba Investors Will Buy a Risky Corporate
Kong stock exchange to see if the rules could be changed, Structure,” The New York Times, May 6, 2014; T. Demos and J. Osawa,
but to no avail. As it became increasingly apparent that “Alibaba Debut Makes a Splash,” The Wall Street Journal, September 19,
the Hong Kong exchange was unwilling to change its 2014; D. Thomas and E. Barreto, “Alibaba’s Choice of US IPO Spurred by
rules in a timely manner, Alibaba made inquiries to the Rivals, Hong Kong Impass,” Reuters, March 19, 2014.
360 Part 4 The Global Monetary System

C a se D is cu s si on Qu es ti on s 3. What were the legal, financial, and strategic ad-


1. Why did Jack Ma decide it was time to take vantages to Alibaba of undertaking its IPO in
Alibaba public? New York?
2. Why do you think the management of Alibaba 4. Because the IPO was undertaken in New York,
decided against doing the IPO in China’s main does this make Alibaba an American enterprise?
stock market, Shanghai? Why did they ultimately Design Elements: Implications (idea): ©ARTQU/Getty Images; Problem
decide against Hong Kong? (jigsaw): ©ALMAGAMI/Shutterstock; All Others: ©McGraw-Hill
Education.

En d no te s
 1. K. Linebaugh, “Record IPO Could Have Been Even Bigger,” 12. T. F. Huertas, “U.S. Multinational Banking: History and
The Wall Street Journal, October 21, 2006, p. B3. Prospects,” in Banks as Multinationals, ed. G. Jones (London:
 2. B. Solnik, “Why Not Diversify Internationally Rather Than Do- Routledge, 1990).
mestically?” Financial Analysts Journal, July 1974, p. 17. 13. G. J. Millman, The Vandals’ Crown (New York: Free Press, 1995).
 3. C. G. Luck and R. Choudhury, “International Equity Diversifi- 14. Goetzmann et al., “Long-Term Global Market Correlations”;
cation for Pension Funds,” Journal of Investing 5, no. 2 (1996), Vermeulen, “International Diversification during the Financial
pp. 43–53. Crisis: A Blessing for Equity Investors?”
 4. W. N. Goetzmann, L. Li, and K. G. Rouwenhorst, “Long-Term 15. P. Dicken, Global Shift: The Internationalization of Economic
Global Market Correlations,” The Journal of Business, January Activity (London: Guilford Press, 1992).
2005, pp. 78–126. 16. P. Dicken, Global Shift: The Internationalization of Economic
 5. Ian Domowitz, Jack Glen, and Ananth Madhavan, “Market Activity (London: Guilford Press, 1992).
Segmentation and Stock Prices: Evidence from an Emerging 17. M. Feldstein, “Global Capital Flows: Too Little, Not Too
Market,” Journal of Finance 3, no. 3 (1997), pp. 1059–68. Much,” The Economist, June 24, 1995, pp. 72–73.
 6. Solnik, “Why Not Diversify Internationally Rather Than 18. M. Feldstein, “Global Capital Flows: Too Little, Not Too
Domestically?” Much,” The Economist, June 24, 1995, p. 73.
 7. A. Lavine, “With Overseas Markets Now Moving in Sync with 19. D. Duffy and L. Murry, “The Wooing of American Investors,”
U.S. Markets, It’s Getting Harder to Find True Diversification The Wall Street Journal, February 25, 1994, p. A14.
Abroad,” Financial Planning, December 1, 2000, pp. 37–40.
20. International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook
 8. B. Solnik and J. Roulet, “Dispersion as Cross-Sectional Correla- (Washington, DC: IMF, 1998).
tion,” Financial Analysts Journal 56, no. 1 (2000), pp. 54–61.
21. C. Schenk, “The Origins of the Eurodollar Market in London,
 9. W. Goetzmann, L. Li, and K. Rouwenhorst, “Long-Term Global 1955–1963,” Explorations in Economic History 35 (1998),
Market Correlations,” Journal of Business 78 (2005), pp. 1–38. pp. 221–39.
See also R. Vermeulen, “International Diversification during
22. D. Waller, “Daimler in $250m Singapore Placing,” Financial
the Financial Crisis: A Blessing for Equity Investors?” Journal
Times, May 10, 1994.
of International Money and Finance 35 (2013), pp. 104–23.
23. L. Spears and C. Vannucci, “China’s Latest American IPOs
10. W. Goetzmann, L. Li, and K. Rouwenhorst, “Long-Term Global
Slump as Offerings Increase to Annual Record,” Bloomberg
Market Correlations,” Journal of Business 78 (2005), pp. 1–38.
Businessweek, December 6, 2010.
See also R. Vermeulen, “International Diversification during
the Financial Crisis: A Blessing for Equity Investors?” Journal 24. R. Reich, The Work of Nations (New York: Knopf, 1991).
of International Money and Finance 35 (2013), pp. 104–23.
11. Bank for International Settlements, BIS Quarterly Review,
March 2013.

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