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Mathematical Models of Dependence of Surface Tempe
Mathematical Models of Dependence of Surface Tempe
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PARAMETERS.
ABSTRACT
Keywords: surface temperature (A), wind speed (B), cloud base (C), wetness (C),
1. Introduction
Although it has been long established1 that atmospheric corrosion is at least partially
controlled by the wetness on a surface, and surface wetness itself2 can be predicted
from a knowledge of deliquescent relative humidity (RH) of any salts that may
contaminate the surface and the RH at the surface, little work has been undertaken to
define the factors controlling surface RH. A major influence on surface RH is surface
controlled by the processes of solar heating, irradiation to the night sky and
on undercooling of metal plates at night. Recent work by Cole et al.5 has looked at
how surface wetness, cloud cover and wind speed may affect the difference between
surface temperature and ambient air temperature. This experimental study found that a
existed across a number of location but the extent of temperature difference was
strongly affected firstly by the presence of moisture on the surface and secondly by
This paper will present a number of models of the surface temperature of metal plates
and their dependence on climatic parameters. Data derived from these models will be
results that are more readily useable will be presented and the implications to
MATHEMATICAL MODEL
including conduction, convection (between the metal and the air layer adjacent to the
An object of low thermal mass may be assumed to be in thermal equilibrium with its
environment. The heat passing through a given area is related to the temperature
Q
= h (Ta − T ) (1)
A
where Q is the heat flow rate (watts), A is the surface area through which the heat
passes, T is the average temperature of the surface of the plate, and Ta is the average
local air temperature. This heat transfer coefficient need not be a constant and in general
won’t be constant. Heat transfer coefficients from different thermal processes can be summed.
h = h1 + h2 + h3 + h4 + h5 + h6 + h7 (2)
Where h is the total heat transfer coefficient and the individual heat transfer
1. Conduction
2. Natural Convection
3. Forced convection
assumption Q = 0 .
This is solved iteratively for the surface temperature T. Assumptions in the equations
of this report are that thermal storage in the object can be ignored (i.e. timescales are
longer than 5 minutes), that the concentration of solutes in the water on the surface
can be ignored, and that the surface tension of water drops on the surface can be
ignored. In all the calculations the Raleigh number (defined in Eq. 6) was high enough
the air by conduction. For pure conduction the heat transfer coefficient is given by:
h1 = k / L (3)
where k is the thermal conductivity and L is a typical length scale associated with the
plate. For air, k = 0.0257 Wm-1K-1. The conduction of heat within the plate is not
taken into account in this analysis, it is usually fast enough to be ignored. This is
Natural Convection
For exposed metal plates, the heat transfer due to conduction is usually much less than
that due to natural convection. In natural convection, the heat transfer can be
considered to be governed by the Nusselt (Nu) and Raleigh (Ra) numbers. The heat
Nu = h2 Lk −1 (4)
where L and k have the same meanings as they did for convection.
For natural convection on horizontal plates, the following formulae have been used6:
Upper surface:
where:
g = 9.81 ms-2 is the acceleration due to gravity
Forced Convection
In all winds except for very light winds, the effect of forced convection is stronger
For forced convection with flow along one side of a plate the heat transfer coefficient
is calculated from7:
where V is the speed of the wind in ms-1. 5 ms-1 is a typical average wind speed for
eastern Australia.
depends on whether any clouds are present. When no clouds are present it is given
by:8
h4 (Ta − T ) = εσ (Tsky
4
−T 4) (9)
constant (= 5.6697 × 10–8 W m–2 K–4), Tsky is the mean temperature of the sky, T is
the temperature of the surface of the plate, and Ta is the local air temperature.
The temperature of the sky when there is no cloud can be calculated from the local air
1/ 4
T − 273
Tsky = Ta 0.8 + d (10)
250
where Td is the dewpoint temperature. The dewpoint can be calculated from the local
RTa2
Td = Ta + ln(RH ) (11)
∆H v M w
where R is the gas constant ( = 8.314 J mol–1 K–1), ∆Hv is the latent heat of
vaporisation of water, and Mw if the molecular weight of water, and ∆HvMw = 4.5 ×
104 J mol–1.
Clouds act by reflecting incident radiation back to the ground and plate. The amount
of incident radiation which is reflected back is known as the cloud albedo (Rc) and
depends on cloud thickness (Rc ranges from 0.2 with a cloud thickness of 50 m to 0.9
with a cloud thickness of 1000 m.8 Thus, radiative heat transfer to the sky from metal
εσ
h4 (Ta − T ) = ((1 − Rc )Tsky
4
+ Rc (1 − t12 )T14 − (1 − Rc t12 )T 4 ) (12)
1− Rc t12 (1 − ε )
where t1 is the transmittance through the air beneath the cloud and T1 is the mean
temperature of that air. Both t1 and T1 can be calculated from the local air
293 degrees, 0.53 at 288 degrees, 0.67 at 283 degrees, 0.78 at 278 degrees and 0.87 at
273 degrees). The value of Ta − T1 is 10.5 degrees at a Ta and RH of 293 degrees and
25%, 5.5 degrees at 273 degrees and 25%, 5.5 degrees at 293 degrees and 95%, and
0.5 degrees at 273 degrees and 95%, and can be interpolated linearly within those
limits.
ε
h5 (Ta − T ) = σ (Tg4 − T 4 ) (13)
2−ε
Where Tg is the average temperature of the ground. Where there are objects between
the plate and the ground, the ground temperature in this equation needs to be replaced
When the incoming solar radiation q s is in W m-2 and the solar absorptance is a , the
h6 = q s a /(Ta − T ) (14)
The incoming solar radiation is the sum of the direct and diffuse solar radiation on the
object and depends primarily on the height of the sun above the horizon. The diffuse
solar radiation is not completely zero even when the sun is slightly below the horizon.
is condensation on the plates and affects the heating of plates in the morning when the
Where the following formulas for the partial pressures of water vapour in the
17.67(T − 273.16)
Psat = 611.2 exp
T − 29.66
17.67(Ta − 273.16)
Pa , sat = 611.2 exp (16)
Ta − 29.66
RH
Pa = Pa, sat
100
F = 0.58 is a factor found from calibrating the result using wet-bulb thermometer
equations.
follows.
First lump together all convection (forced and natural) and conduction effects into a
convection and conduction can be calculated directly from this heat transfer
coefficient as follows:
where
Computed values of condensation rate have not yet been checked against
RESULTS
Base Scenario
The balance of these effects is best considered for given scenarios. Consider the
scenario of a near-horizontal galvanised steel plate with L = 8 m with the top open to
the sky. The top is subjected to wind of speed V and has air temperature Ta . The
underside is enclosed (Vu = 0) but well ventilated ( Tg = Ta ) and objects below have
the same temperature as the air temperature and the same emissivity ( ε = 0.12) as the
plate. Cloud, when present, has albedo Rc = 0.65 . The solar absorptance is a = 0.65 .
derived for the maximum night time undercooling as a function of air temperature and
air RH for still air and for a slight breeze (1 m/s) assuming a clear sky in both cases.
Table 1 Maximum Night –Time Undercooling of a Metal Plate in Still air with a clear
sky
(1m/s).
been calculated and is presented in Table 3 and Table 4 for the cases of still air and a
slight breeze.
Table 3. Maximum Undercooling of a Metal Plate in Still air on a cloudy night sky
cloudy night.
Table 1-4 is compared with the average annual undercooling measured in Wagga
Wagga (NSW-Australia) as detailed in Cole et al.5 for the same conditions. Full
condition of site details are found in Cole et al.10 The experimental RH and
temperature are the average annual values for that climatic condition (eg. Clear-
Modelled Experiment % °C
PLATE HEATING
The local air temperature and solar radiation have been extracted from readings near
the spring equinox (21 Mar 2000) at the weather station at the CSIRO DBCE site at
Highett, Victoria, latitude 38°. For overcast days, the data in Table 6 is the average
from 5 days for days with no rain in the period from 1 hour before sunrise to 4 hours
after sunrise. For clear days, the temperature data is from the average of 6 days and
the solar radiation data is derived from the pyrometer readings for 21 Mar 2000.
Table 6 . Air Temperature Rise and Solar radiation at CSIRO (Highett) in March
minutes after sunrise. On clear days, the minimum air temperature occurs about half
When adjusting these results to other locations on the earth’s surface, the most
important variable is latitude. The most important variation with latitude is the peak
solar radiation on a clear day. Moving from latitude 30 to 38 to 43 reduces the peak
solar radiation at the equinox from 850 to 805 to 720 W m-2. It varies as the cosine of
the latitude.
The second most important variation with latitude is in cloud cover. Further from the
equator the thermal forcing is less and the clouds tend more to stratus than cumulus.
Stratus clouds block a higher proportion of solar radiation on rain-free cloudy days.
radiation received at and before dawn is larger at further distances from the equator
and consequently the time at which the plate temperature (and air temperature) is
lowest is earlier. The idealised diurnal air temperature of Oke (1982) as quoted by
Stull (1988)8 gives a minimum temperature 1 hour before sunrise. The results from
Highett give a minimum from ½ hour before sunrise (sunny days) to 10 minutes after
Given the base scenario and the variation of solar radiation as presented in Table 6 the
rise in temperature difference for clear days for still air and variable wind conditions
temperature in rise rate, Table 8 is presented for only one set of temperature and RH
conditions.
Table 7. Dry plate temperature rise in the morning on a clear day with no wind.
Table 8 Dry Temperature rise in the morning with variable wind conditions
Figure 1 shows that the main effect of cloud is to reduce the solar radiation on the
exposed plate. The secondary effect of cloud of altering the re-radiation of the heat of
the plate to the sky is only important when the solar radiation is very small.
50.00
Cloud, No wind
Cloud, Wind 1 m/s
40.00 Cloud, Wind 5 m/s
Plate Temperature minus Air Temperature
Clear, No wind
30.00 Clear, Wind 1 m/s
Clear, Wind 5 m/s
20.00
10.00
0.00
-10.00
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
Solar Radiation (W/m^2)
The radiation emissivity ε for dry plates is ε = 0.12 and for water is ε = 0.96 .
Current experimental results suggest that it is correct to use the dry plate emissivity
ambient air temperature) is given immediately before and after sun-rise for wet plates
Table 10. Wet plate temperature rise in the morning on a cloudy day
the plate remains wet. When the heat from the sun has evaporated off all the moisture,
the plate temperature quickly comes to match that for dry plates tabulated above. The
reverse side of this is that when a dry plate is rained on in the day, the temperature
The change from wet to dry depends on the total evaporation. Figure 2 shows the total
evaporation from the surface of a plate in microns of water lost as a function of time
of day when the temperature one hour before dawn is 283 degrees.
Cumulative Evaporation
200
Clear, No Wind, 75%RH
180 Clear, No Wind, 95%RH
Clear, 5 m/s, 75%RH
160 Clear, 5 m/s, 95%RH
Total evaporation (microns)
80
60
40
20
0
-1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4
Time after dawn (hours)
Figure 2.
Evaporation when the wind speed is 5 metres/second and the night-time relative
humidity is 75% is by far the most rapid at early times of those plotted. That’s
because of the effect of forced convection. Evaporation when the wind speed is 0
metres/second and the night-time relative humidity is 95% is by far the most rapid at
early times.
Although not shown on the graph, the evaporation rate increases linearly with, or
slightly faster than linearly with, the wind speed. The effect of sunshine is to greatly
increase the evaporation rate at later times in the morning. By four hours after sunrise
it is nearly 0.7 mm/hr greater on sunny than on cloudy days. Relative humidity has a
big effect on evaporation rates at early times but this effect is much less significant
In Table 11 and 12 experimental data derived from Wagga –Wagga is compared with
difference results do not vary significantly with season and thus a comparison of the
yearly average experimental results with theoretical results derived from a particular
season is indicative. In Table 10 experimental data are given when the lifting
condensation level is high (>500m) or low (<500m). In table 11, two values are given
for the modelled data at 75% RH (the first value assumes a cloudy morning and the
second value a clear data. Only the cloudy day value is given for the modelled data
when the RH is 95% as it is assumed that clear skies are improbable under these
conditions. The experimental data is the average value for a full year for the
temperature differences and for the ambient temperature (2 hours after sunrise).
These additional data of ambient temperature and RH are given for wet plates as the
temperature difference is highly dependent on these conditions and omitted for dry
(model) (experiment)
The tables presented in this paper do nor readily lend themselves to inclusion in an
β = exp(α+χ*T)
where the value of the constants are given in Table 13 for clear skies and Table 14 for
cloudy skies.
Table 13 . Value of constants for Estimating Temperature Difference for Clear Skies
α χ ε φ
Still air 0.56 0.0027 -4.0 0.011
Moving air* -1.46 0.0084 -7.0 0.021
α χ ε φ
Still air -0.46 0.0053 -0.66 0.0035
Moving air* -0.99 0.0057 -0.43 0.0024
*Moving air was determined at 1 m/s and can be applied if air speed is > 0.5 M/S
The best model for prediction temperature difference after sun-rise is a bi-linear
model. If solar radiation (R) is less than 250 W/m2 and for dry plates then the model
Ts –T = B *R
B = 0.08*e^-0.26V
C=7.25*e^-0.27V
D = 0.045*e^-0.27V
For wet plates if solar radiation (R) is less than 250 W/m2 then
Ts –T = E *R
For wet plates if solar radiation (R) is greater than 250 W/m2 then
Ts –T = F+G *R
Where G is given by
F = ( 1-0.0167*T)*(6-10.15*V) V =>1
primarily on cloud state and wind speed with a significant but reduced dependence on
ambient RH. Ambient temperature had only a marginal effect. For most conditions
modelled undercooling was less than 2 oC and only under exceptional conditions was
then on whether the sky was cloudy or not. For dry plates the only significant
additional variable was wind speed. In the case of wet plates, the rate of evaporation
and thus the ambient RH and temperature are important. The dependence on sky
conditions (cloudy or not) is directly related to the solar radiation reaching the surface
and thus common algorithms to determine the rise in temperature difference can be
made for days with cloudy and clear skies if expressed in terms of incident solar
radiation.
The temperature rise directly after sun-rise will of course depend on the same
conditions as above. Thus the temperature difference two hours after sunrise may be
characterised as follows
1. For dry plates under clear skies there will be very substantial (>7 oC)
temperature difference
2. For dry plates under cloudy skies and with still to moderate air flow or wet
plates under clear skies and still air there will be significant (>4 oC)
temperature difference
3. For dry plates under cloudy skies and moderate winds or wet plates under
cloudy skies and still air there will be only a small (<4 oC) temperature
difference.
4. For wet plates on both clear or cloudy days if there is any significant wind
The most critical condition in the morning for corrosion is if course if the plate is wet
from condensation. The above analysis indicates that if there is any significant wind
evaporative cooling will prevent the rise in plate surface temperature for at least the
first two hours after sun-rise. Wind speed data present in Cole et al.5 indicates that
even in the case of still nights it is common for wind speeds to increase after sun-rise.
time post-sun-rise when the moisture film is slowly evaporating. These are of course
The trends outlined above for the theoretical models reflect those observed in the
experimental data of Cole et al.5. This same consistency in trends is also indicated in
Tables 5, 10 and 11 which compare the modelled and experimental data for
in trends the values predicted by the models and observed experimentally are in some
cases quite different. There are a possible number of reasons for these differences.
The models assume that ambient conditions (RH, temperature and wind speed) are
constant which they are manifestly not in the experimental case. (quoted ambient
conditions are at the time when the temperature difference was measured but this
may have been and in many cases where different prior to this time). Secondly in the
experimental case cloud cover is not measured but LBL [Ivan, do you mean LCL?] is
calculated. It is assumed that a high LBL is equivalent to a clear sky and a low LBL is
equivalent to a cloudy sky. This assumption is only an approximation and thus there
may be difference in the cloud state in the experimental and modelled cases. Lastly
Errors are associated both with direct measurement errors of two sets of thermo-
couple but also with “errors” associated with placement of the ambient and surface
temperature sensors. The modelled data assumes that the ambient conditions are those
in close proximity of the metal surface. Experimentally, in order to avoid any
reflective effects from the plates and to ensure that ambient sensors do not affect
surface air flow the ambient sensors were placed at some distance from the plates.
This errors are difficult to quantify but could be or the order of 0.5 oC.
Thus the difference in modelled and experimental undercooling (0.6 to 0.8 oC) in
Table 5 may be in part associated with these experimental errors. The differences in
experimental and modelled values temperature difference for dry plates, two hours
after sun-rise are more substantial (1.9 to 11.3 oC) and cannot be just associated with
modelled data for low air speed and a clear sky with the experimental data for low air
speed and high LBL. The experimental case could differ from the modelled data in
two significant ways. Firstly clouds at a high level may reduce radiation and thus
lower heating effects of the experimental study relative to the modelled data.
Secondly the wind speed may have been higher or the LBL lower than recorded 2
hours after sunrise and this may have reduced the heating of the experimental plates
relative to the modelled plate. Given the possible differences between the modelled
and experimental conditions further analysis of reasons for variations would not be
profitable
In the case of wet plates the modelled and experimental temperature difference two
hours after sun-rise (Table 11) are relatively close. For the modelled data at 75% RH
the temperature difference is given for cloudy and clear skies. The experimental data
includes both cases and thus experimental data could be considered close to the
modelled if it appears within the range for the modelled data. In most cases the
experimental temperature difference are within 1 oC of the modelled values or close to
This study has contributed to our understanding of atmospheric corrosion and the
predict the degree of under-cooling and surface heating of metal plates and the
2. It has been shown that under certain conditions (wet plates under cloudy skies)
the rate of temperature rise in temperature difference between the ambient air
and plate surface temperature is very slow. This can be attributed to the
the thinning moisture film. In the case of wet plates under clear skies the
modelling indicates that a reduced but still significant evaporating phase (with
Conclusions
Mathematical models of heat transfer between metal plates and the environment have
been presented and used to determine the possible extent of nigh-time undercooling
speed
2) Plate heating in the daytime depends on whether the plate was dry or wet, then
on whether the sky was cloudy or not. For dry plates the only significant
additional variable was wind speed. In the case of wet plates, the rate of
In addition to this basic understanding of the factors controlling plate temperature the
paper also contributes to the development of an holistic model and our understanding
of atmospheric corrosion by
conditions
4) Defining the evolution of a wet surface post sun-rise and demonstrating that
435, pp. 326–359, American Society for Testing and Materials, West
W. W.Kirk and H. H.Lawson), pp. ____, American Society for Testing and
Environmental Parameters”
6. F.P. Incropera & D. P. DeWitt, Fundamentals of Heat and Mass Transfer, John
7. Watmuff, Charters & Proctor (1977) "solar and wind induced external
8. J. Seinfeld, and S. Pandis: ‘Atmospheric chemistry and physics’, John Wiley &
Publishers, 1988.
10. I. S. Cole, W. D. Ganther, D. A. Paterson, G. A. King, S. A. Furman, and D. Lau:
11. I. S. Cole, D. A. Paterson, and W. D. Ganther: Corros. Eng, Sci. & Technol.,