Understanding Demand and Supply Concepts
Understanding Demand and Supply Concepts
Economics Lecture II
In this lecture I will introduce the concepts of demand and supply as a tool of
understanding how changes take place in a market. This theory should explain how
consumer preferences determine consumer demand for commodities, while the cost of
production and business drive the supply of commodities.
So by demand we don’t mean a daydream. When we use the word demand we mean the
demand to buy a particular good or service by those who can afford to pay for it.
Both common sense and careful scientific observation show that the amount of a
commodity people demand and buy depends on its price. The higher the price of a
commodity, other things held constant, lower goes the demand for that commodity.
The lower the market price, the higher goes the demand for that commodity.
We can therefore define the Law of Demand as: Other things held constant, demand
and price are inversely related. That is, if price increases demand decreases, and if price
decreases demand increases.
As you can see, we are measuring the quantity demanded along the horizontal axis and
the price on the vertical axis. The demand curve DD is shown to be downward sloping
where each point along the demand curve stands for a combination of price and
demand, that is, the price at which a certain quantity is demanded. The curve shows that
at price level 1 the quantity demanded is 50 units, whereas at a higher price of 2
demand decreases to 30 units. Units demanded keeps decreasing as price increases. The
same logic follows in reverse if we start coming down from the price level 5 to the price
level 1. We find that while the units demanded were 10 at price level 5, it gradually
increases to 50 at price level 1.
1. First is the substitution effect, which happens because now, compared to its
substitute, this commodity is too expensive. For example, if the price of coffee
becomes too high, its demand will decrease because many people will shift to
drinking tea. Most goods have some kind of substitutes, and when its price rises,
people shift to using the substitutes thereby decreasing its demand.
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2. Second is the income effect, which comes into play when the price of a
commodity goes up because it reduces people’s real income as opposed to their
nominal income. Thus, if my income is Rs. 10,000 and I own a car, then if the
price of petrol goes up it does not bring down my actual nominal income which is
Rs. 10,000, but my real income goes down because now I will have less money in
hand due to the higher price of petrol. I will therefore try to reduce my
expenditure on petrol by reducing my demand for it, may be by driving the car
less than before.
Market Demand
So far we have been talking about “the” demand curve. But whose demand are we
talking about? Since we are doing microeconomic analysis here, our interest lies in
understanding both the individual’s and the market’s demand curve for a commodity.
We need to know the market demand curve because the price of a good is ultimately
determined in the market.
So how do we derive the market demand curve? The market demand curve is found by
adding together the quantities demanded by all individuals at a particular price.
We can explain this with the help of a simple example where we assume that there are
only two individuals who go to the market of a particular commodity, the sum total of
the demand of these two people would then represent the market demand for this
commodity. Suppose at the price of Rs. 1 the person A demands 16 units and person B
demands 6 units, then at the price of Rs. 1 the market demand for the commodity would
be 16+6=22. Similarly by adding the demands of person A and B for all other prices we
can derive the entire market demand curve.
To explain with the help of an example, in the city of Kolkata various places have the
name “market” like the Vardaan Market, the New Market or the Gariahat Market. Each
of these “markets” sells various kinds of goods within a defined area. But if we want to
understand the relation between price and demand in the “textile market” in Kolkata,
we would take into account all the places in Kolkata where textile is bought and sold,
which will therefore include some of the shops in the Vardaan Market or the New
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Market, but it will be bigger than either of these markets because the word “textile
market” will encompass all the areas in Kolkata where textile is bought and sold. In fact,
online buying and selling of textiles will also come under its purview because even if it
is taking place on the net money is being exchanged and textile is being bought and sold.
You will remember that when we were stating the law of demand we had highlighted
the condition “all other things being equal”. It is time we explain the need for that.
The factors we have listed in the earlier section under the title “factors determining
demand” stand for those other things. At every point of time when we are trying to
derive the relation between the price and the demand for a commodity x, we assume
that all the above listed factors are constant, i.e., the level of average income, tastes and
preferences, prices of related goods, will all stay the same for the particular demand
curve that we have derived for commodity x.
But it would be unrealistic to imagine that income or taste or prices of related goods
will forever stay constant. So we must now include in our theory of demand what
happens to the demand curve when any of these factors changes.
Let’s imagine that our economy is doing very well, our GDP is increasing at a high rate,
and therefore our average per capita income will be increasing. Now what will be the
effect of this increase in per capita income on the demand for, let’s say, mutton. We have
already derived a demand curve for mutton by holding all the other factors constant and
seen that we can derive a demand curve for mutton at many levels of prices and we are
satisfied that the law of demand holds in the case of mutton, which means that when the
price of mutton goes up its demand decreases while its price goes down its demand
increases. Suppose at this particular point of time the price for mutton in the market is
Rs. 250/kg and the market demand is 10,000 kgs given an average per capita income of
Rs. 5000.
But as the average per capita income increases to Rs. 8000 with a rising GDP, then at
the same price of Rs. 250/kg more people will demand to buy mutton because now
they can afford to. But then what happens to the earlier demand curve? What happens is
that the earlier demand curve shifts, that is, at the same price now the consumers want
to buy more mutton. Let me present it in the form of a diagram.
As you will see in the diagram below, we had derived an original demand curve DD that
provided us with a relation between price of commodity x and the quantity demanded
of the same commodity when the level of per capita income was unchanging or constant
at a particular level. But if the per capita income increases from that level, then even
though the price of the commodity has not changed still the demand for the commodity
has increased due to a change in one of the determining factors.
The diagram shows us that demand was at the level of 10 units at the price of Rs. 1, but
after the increase in per capita income the demand increased to 15 units without any
change in the price level. The same effect will therefore take place for all the price levels.
In this diagram, we see that while at price level 2 the market demand was 5 units, after
the increase in per capita income the demand has increase to 12 units without any
change in the price level. This will now hold for all the price levels.
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We will therefore derive a new demand curve for the commodity which will have
shifted parallelly from the original demand curve DD rightward or outward to that of
D’D’.
Do keep in mind that a shift in an opposite direction, that is leftward, is also possible if
instead of increasing the per capita income decreased. Then at the same price the
market demand would fall.
The demand curve therefore will shift with any change in the external factors that
determine demand. Whether it will shift rightward or leftward will depend upon which
way the external factor has changed. For example, if people’s taste changes from mill-
produced textiles to hand-woven textiles, then the demand curve for hand-woven
textiles would shift rightward while that of mill-produced textiles will shift leftward.
The relation between the price of a commodity and its supply is directly related, that is,
the higher the price the greater the supply and lower the price the lower the supply. The
following diagram presents a general supply curve.
The forces behind the supply curve are therefore the forces that shape the cost of
production of the good. These are:
For example, at the time when Henry Ford reorganized the production of
automobiles in America by introducing assembly line production of cars, it
greatly speeded up the time of production of cars and hence reduced the cost of
production of each car.
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Prices of related goods, particularly goods that are alternative outputs of the
same production process. An interesting example can be found in the US. The US
government, to reduce its dependence on foreign oil, had raised the subsidy for
automotive ethanol. Ethanol is made primarily of corn. The increased demand
for corn (which means an outward shift in the demand curve for corn because an
external factor had intervened) increased the price of corn. To take advantage of
the increased price of corn, farmers started to plant more corn displacing their
normal practice of planting soybeans in their fields. The prices of soybean
therefore rose. Since most of the increased production of corn was used to
produce Ethanol to make use of the government subsidy, both corn and soybean
supply fell in the food market which produced a grim situation as both corn and
soybean are staples for a large number of Americans.
Government policies have one of the most powerful impacts on supply. The
above example is one of the best examples. Apart from that, environmental and
health considerations often lead to the government dictating what technologies
can or cannot be used, while taxes and minimum wage laws can significantly
affect input prices. Also, government’s trade policy has a major impact on supply.
For example, when a free-trade agreement opens up the Indian market to
Chinese electronic goods, the domestic production and supply of electronic
wares in India decreases.
Shifts in Supply
When changes in factors other than a good’s market price affect the quantity supplied,
we call these changes shifts in supply. Then more (or less) is supplied at the same price
depending on how the change in the factor has affected supply.
We can illustrate a shift in supply for the automobile market. Let’s assume that cost-
saving computerized design and manufacturing reduced the requirement of labour for
producing cars. That is, the factor of technological advancement reduced the cost of
production. Supply would be affected similarly if the labourers as a group agreed to a
pay cut, or the government repealed some environmental regulations on the industry.
Any of these developments would shift the supply curve of automobiles to the right.
That is, as production cost falls, at every given price the producers would supply more
automobiles, thereby shifting the supply curve to the right. The diagram below
illustrates this situation.
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Supply and demand interact in the market to produce an equilibrium price and quantity.
The market equilibrium comes at that price and quantity where the forces of supply
and demand are in balance. At that price, the amount that the buyers demand is just
equal to the amount that the sellers want to supply. It is called the equilibrium price
because when the forces of supply and demand are in balance, there is no reason for
prices to rise or fall.
Let’s first consider the price level 2. At that relatively low price, demand is 15 units
while supply is only 7 units. So there is an excess demand in the market where the
consumers in their eagerness to buy up the good end up bidding the price up until it
increases to 3 at which price both demand and supply are equal at the quantity 12 units.
Conversely, at the price level 5, supply exceeds demand. While the high price brings
forth a low demand of 10 units, it induces the producers to supply 17 units. Since supply
thus exceeds demand, the sellers will be desperate to dispose of their excess supply
even at a low price. So the market price will be pushed down until the point where
demand equals supply, that is, where the price level is 3.
The solid lines of supply and demand tell us that the original equilibrium was at the
point E where demand is equal to supply. Suppose at this point the government imposes
a tax on one of the inputs of the commodity which effectively raises the cost of
production for the producers. The outcome is that they will not be able to supply the
same quantity as before at the equilibrium market price at E, because now their cost of
production has gone up so they need a higher price to compensate for that. As a result,
the supply curve will shift to the left denoted by the dotted line. As supply reduces in the
market, we are faced with a situation of excess demand at the original price at E.
Therefore, for the market to change to a new equilibrium the price will have to change.
And since it is a situation of excess demand, the new equilibrium has to be at a higher
price to wipe off the excess demand. As the diagram shows, the new equilibrium is at
the point E’, a point much higher than the original equilibrium E.
In the above diagram, the demand curve has shifted to the right, which means that at the
same price there is now more demand in the market. It could be due to an increase in
per capita income or due to a change in taste and preferences of the consumers or due
to an increase in the price of its substitute. There is therefore an excess demand now at
the original low level equilibrium price at which the market was clearing earlier. With
the rightward shift of the demand curve, now the demand and the supply curve
intersect at a higher equilibrium price level E’. At that price the excess demand has been
partially reduced until it balances the increased supply as a result of the higher
equilibrium price.
Such statements have to be answered by pointing out the changes in the other external
factors. When such things happen, it happens because due to some changes in some
external factors, the demand curve had shifted to the right. When that happens, we are
no longer measuring the quantity demanded on the original demand curve but on the
new and shifted demand curve. So the new demand curve dictates a higher demand
even at a higher price.
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For example, if we take the global demand for oil which keeps on increasing even in the
face of rising price of petrol, we must keep in mind that on a global scale, countries like
India and China are rapidly growing and hence using more petrol for many purposes.
This is an example of an external factor on a global scale where the income of a
particular and large group of people has increased and therefore their demand for
petrol has increased. This is a case of a shift in the global demand curve for petrol which
cannot be understood if we seek an answer along movements on the original demand
curve.
Economists deal with these sorts of questions all the time. When prices or quantities
change in a market, does the situation reflect a change on the supply side or on the
demand side? Suppose we find an increase in the price of bread in the market and a
decrease in supply. That would certainly indicate some changes in the external factors
determining supply, such as the prices of inputs or a change in government policy. So
the explanation for a decrease in the quantity supplied even in the face of a price
increase lies in a shift in the supply curve.
The concept of price elasticity of demand can give us some ideas about answering
such questions. The price elasticity of demand (sometimes simply called price
elasticity) measures how much the quantity demanded of a good changes when its
price changes. The precise definition of price elasticity is the percentage change in
quantity demanded divided by the percentage change in price.
Goods vary enormously in their price elasticity. When the price elasticity of a good is
high, we say it has “elastic” demand. When it is low, we say its demand is “inelastic”.
What are the factors that determine the price elasticity of a good? These are:
Goods that have ready substitutes tend to have an elastic demand. That’s
because it is easy for people to switch between the substitutes in the case of
price changes. That’s why we find that goods that are close substitutes of each
other have very similar prices. A very good example is the elasticity of demand
for Coke and Pepsi. The beverages are very close substitutes, and so if one of
them increases price to a level where it will be considered expensive as
compared to the other, consumers will quickly change their demand to the other
product. Another good example is the relation between tea and coffee.
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The length of time that people get to respond to a price change also determines
the level of elasticity. A good example is consumer durables like fridge or air
conditioner. Most people change them after several years. When they look for a
new one after let’s say 5 years, they may have developed new tastes or
preferences or needs and hence they may not buy the same type of machine as
before. This means that the elasticity for each model will be high since people
may move to a new type of model after 5 or 10 years.
Remember though that this does not mean that the demand for consumer
durables as a whole will be elastic. The demand for refrigerators and TVs and
ACs as a whole will be more or less inelastic because we are all used to them. But
the demand for different models and brands will tend to be elastic.
Another example of elasticity of demand changing in the long run is that of the
demand for petrol. People cannot change their level of use of petrol-driven
automobiles as soon as the price of petrol increases. But over a period of time
people may gradually reduce their demand by shifting to other modes of travel
like public transport or bicycles or motorbikes or simply arrange their lives in
such a manner that they have to use less of their cars. One can therefore say that
in the long run the elasticity of many goods will be higher than it will be in the
short run.
By this logic, perishables in the market will have a very high elasticity while non-
perishables will have a comparatively low elasticity in the short run.
Calculating Elasticity
We know that the value of price elasticity of demand in the simplest sense is the
percentage change in the quantity demanded divided by the percentage change
in the price. That is
When a 1 percent change in price brings forth a more than 1 percent change in
the quantity demanded, then the commodity has a price-elastic demand.
When a 1 percent change in price brings forth a less than 1 percent change in the
quantity demanded, then the commodity has a price-inelastic demand.
When a 1 percent change in price brings forth an exactly 1 percent change in the
quantity demanded, then it is a special case of unit-elastic demand.
This is the simplest formulation for evaluating the price elasticity of demand at a
particular price. But it is a bit too simple. We need to introduce some complications in
our formulation in order to arrive at a more accurate estimate.
Recall that the relation between price and demand is inverse, that is, when price
increases demand decreases and price decreases demand increases. Therefore in
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any situation of change in price, one of the factors, either demand or price, will
have a negative value. As in our diagram, price increases from 90 to 110, a
positive value of 20, leading to a decrease in demand from 240 to 160. The value
of change in demand is therefore negative, it is – 80.
Note that the definition of elasticity uses percentage changes in price and
demand rather than absolute changes. This is because we want to avoid getting
different values for price elasticity depending on the units we use for price. For
example, if the unit of price in our above example is Rs. 1, then the change in
price is 20. But if the unit of price is 1 paise, then the change in price is 12000 –
9000 = 11,100.
Note that we have to measure elasticity as the ratio of δD/D and δP/P. Now the
values of change in D and change in P are easy to calculate. According to our
diagram, they are 80 and 20 respectively. But what would be the value of δD?
Would it be 160 or 240? Similarly, what would be the value of δP? Should it be 90
or 110? To solve this problem, what we do is that we take the average of the two
values of demand and price. Thus, for P we take (90+110)/2 and for D we take
(160+240)/2.
Therefore, the value of elasticity for our example between the points A and B
would be
[80/(160+240)/2]÷ [20/(90+110)/2] = 80/200 ÷ 20/100 = 4/10 ÷ 1/5 = 2
Where P1 and Q1 stand for the original price and quantity demanded respectively,
and P2 and Q2 stand for the changed new price and quantity respectively.
In diagram (a), a halving of price has tripled the quantity demanded. This is therefore a
case of highly elastic demand.
In diagram (b), a halving of the price has resulted in a doubling of the demand. It is
therefore a case of unit elasticity of demand.
In diagram (c), a halving of the price leads to only a 50% increase in demand. This is
therefore a case of inelastic demand.
Total revenue is, by definition, equal to price times quantity or P x Q. If consumers buy
5 units of a product at Rs. 3 each, then the total revenue for the seller is 3 x 5 = Rs. 15.
This is where knowing the value of the price elasticity of demand for a product helps in
getting a sense of where the total revenue might go.
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The concept of price elasticity is widely used today as businesses attempt to separate
customers into groups with different elasticities. The technique has been pioneered by
the airlines by charging a relatively high price to business travellers whose demand is
inelastic precisely because it is paid for by their employers. But they charge their other
passengers a lower price to fill up all other empty seats.
Why did this happen? It happened because the demand for staple foodstuff like wheat is
relatively inelastic. People generally do not increase their consumption of wheat by a
great amount just because the prices are low. While the increase in supply arising from
an abundant harvest tends to lower the price, the lower price does not increase quantity
demanded very much.
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Price elasticity of supply is the percentage change in quantity supplied divided by the
percentage change in price.
Just as with demand elasticities, there are polar extremes of high and low elasticities of
supply. Suppose the amount supplied is completely fixed, as in the case of perishable
fish brought to the market to be sold at whatever price they will fetch. This is the case of
completely inelastic supply with a vertical supply curve.
At the other extreme, a small increase in price may bring about a sizable increase in
supply for some commodity like computers, because the supply of inputs like chips can
be increased by a greater percentage with a relatively small increase in price. This is a
case of elastic supply.
And in the border-line case, the increase in price results in exactly the same percentage
increase in supply. This is the case of unit-elasticity of supply.
What are the factors that determine the degree of elasticity of supply? The major factor
influencing supply elasticity is the ease with which production in the industry can be
increased. If all inputs can be readily found at the going market price, as is the case for
the textile industry, then output can be greatly increased with little increase in price. In
such cases supply elasticity will be relatively large.
On the other hand, if production capacity is severely limited, as is the case for gold
mining, then even sharp increases in the price of gold will bring about only a small
response in gold production. This is therefore an example of inelastic supply.
Another important factor in supply elasticity is the time period under consideration. A
given change in price tends to have a larger effect on the amount supplied as the time
for suppliers to respond increases. For a short period after an increase in price, firms
may be unable to increase their inputs of labour, materials and capital. So in the short
run supply may be price inelastic. As time passes, however, businesses can hire more
labour, build new factories and expand capacities, supply elasticities tend to increase.